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NE New England Patriots@MIA Miami DolphinsOT

19–13 · New England Patriots won
2003-10-19 · Regular Week 7
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 21.06 which ranks in the 96.3 percentile.
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THRILLA
96percentile
Raw Score: 21.06
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 6.66, which ranks in the 97.2 percentile.
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GEI
97percentile
Raw Score: 6.66
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, New England Patriots fell to a 11.2% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 3.16 which ranks in the 91.4 percentile.
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Comeback
91percentile
Raw Score: 3.16
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 14.45 which ranks in the 53.3 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 5 × 0.5pts = 2.5pts
  • Turnovers: 5 × 0.75pts = 3.75pts
  • Sacks: 2 × 0.1pts = 0.2pts
  • Touchdowns: 3 × 1pts = 3pts
Total: 14.45pts
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Audience
53percentile
Raw Score: 14.45
Spread
MIA -6.5
O/U 37
MIA
NE
Biggest Play
OT 5:57 · NE 19–MIA 13
NE +61.3%
Win probability: NE 38.7%
NE1st & 10 · NE 18
(5:57) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game Log
QtrClockScorePoss.Down & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—NE 0–MIA 0MIA—NE 304-A.Vinatieri kicks 77 yards from NE 30 to MIA -7. 32-C.Rogers, Touchback. +0.0%
Q115:00NE 0–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 20(15:00) 34-R.Williams left guard to MIA 22 for 2 yards (58-M.Chatham).NE +1.1%
Q114:22NE 0–MIA 0MIA2nd & 8MIA 22(14:22) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to MIA 39 for 17 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +3.5%
Q113:45NE 0–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 39(13:45) 34-R.Williams right end to MIA 38 for -1 yards (97-J.Green).NE +6.0%
Q113:02NE 0–MIA 0MIA2nd & 11MIA 38(13:02) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.MIA +0.2%
Q112:57NE 0–MIA 0MIA3rd & 11MIA 38(12:57) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.NE +2.0%
Q112:52NE 0–MIA 0MIA4th & 11MIA 38(12:52) 1-M.Turk punts 46 yards to NE 16, Center-47-J.Grau. 80-T.Brown to NE 18 for 2 yards (50-B.Ayanbadejo; 30-O.Ayanbadejo).MIA +3.6%
Q112:40NE 0–MIA 0NE1st & 10NE 18(12:40) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 27 for 9 yards (23-P.Surtain).NE +2.2%
Q112:03NE 0–MIA 0NE2nd & 1NE 27(12:03) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 88-C.Fauria.MIA +0.6%
Q111:57NE 0–MIA 0NE3rd & 1NE 27(11:57) 21-M.Cloud right guard to NE 27 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas; 64-L.Chester).MIA +3.0%
Q111:57NE 0–MIA 0NE4th & 1NE 27(11:57) 13-K.Walter punts 43 yards to MIA 30, Center-66-L.Paxton. 32-C.Rogers MUFFS catch, recovered by MIA-27-T.Buckley at MIA 31.NE +2.0%
Q111:08NE 0–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 31(11:08) 34-R.Williams right tackle to MIA 33 for 2 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +1.0%
Q110:31NE 0–MIA 0MIA2nd & 8MIA 33(10:31) 9-J.Fiedler pass intended for 88-D.Thompson INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson (22-A.Samuel) at NE 27. 26-E.Wilson to NE 27 for no gain (88-D.Thompson). PENALTY on MIA-88-D.Thompson, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NE 27.NE +4.4%
Q110:21NE 0–MIA 0NE1st & 10NE 42(10:21) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 46 for 4 yards (54-Z.Thomas).MIA +1.0%
Q19:51NE 0–MIA 0NE2nd & 6NE 46(9:51) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to MIA 45 for 9 yards (24-S.Knight).NE +3.5%
Q19:03NE 0–MIA 0NE1st & 10MIA 45(9:03) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 46 for -1 yards (55-J.Seau; 95-T.Bowens).MIA +1.7%
Q18:27NE 0–MIA 0NE2nd & 11MIA 46(8:27) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 43 for 3 yards (24-S.Knight; 54-Z.Thomas).NE +0.0%
Q17:42NE 0–MIA 0NE3rd & 8MIA 43(7:42) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to MIA 40 for 3 yards (29-S.Madison).NE +1.0%
Q17:06NE 0–MIA 0NE4th & 5MIA 40(7:06) 13-K.Walter punts 27 yards to MIA 13, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-81-B.Johnson.MIA +7.9%
Q16:55NE 0–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 13(6:55) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 31 for 18 yards (22-A.Samuel).MIA +2.3%
Q16:10NE 0–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 31(6:10) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 42 for 11 yards (54-T.Bruschi). FUMBLES (54-T.Bruschi), RECOVERED by NE-37-R.Harrison at MIA 42. 37-R.Harrison to MIA 26 for 16 yards (34-R.Williams).NE +16.3%
Q15:57NE 0–MIA 0NE1st & 10MIA 26(5:57) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 80-T.Brown (52-M.Greenwood).MIA +1.5%
Q15:52NE 0–MIA 0NE2nd & 10MIA 26(5:52) 33-K.Faulk left guard to MIA 22 for 4 yards (27-T.Buckley).NE +0.4%
Q15:09NE 0–MIA 0NE3rd & 6MIA 22(5:09) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to MIA 15 for 7 yards (55-J.Seau; 52-M.Greenwood).NE +0.2%
Q14:19NE 0–MIA 0NE1st & 10MIA 15(4:19) 33-K.Faulk right end to MIA 18 for -3 yards (54-Z.Thomas).MIA +1.9%
Q13:40NE 0–MIA 0NE2nd & 13MIA 18(3:40) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to MIA 10 for 8 yards (27-T.Buckley; 31-B.Marion).NE +2.9%
Q13:07NE 0–MIA 0NE3rd & 5MIA 10(3:07) 12-T.Brady up the middle to MIA 7 for 3 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).MIA +0.9%
Q12:27NE 3–MIA 0NE4th & 2MIA 7(2:27) 4-A.Vinatieri 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.MIA +1.9%
Q1—NE 3–MIA 0MIA—NE 304-A.Vinatieri kicks 64 yards from NE 30 to MIA 6. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 36 for 30 yards (23-A.Harris).MIA +2.9%
Q12:17NE 3–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 36(2:17) 34-R.Williams right end to MIA 43 for 7 yards (58-M.Chatham).NE +0.6%
Q11:40NE 3–MIA 0MIA2nd & 3MIA 43(1:40) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 47 for 10 yards (95-R.Phifer).MIA +0.3%
Q11:12NE 3–MIA 0MIA1st & 10NE 47(1:12) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 47 for no gain (93-R.Seymour; 58-M.Chatham).NE +4.0%
Q10:30NE 3–MIA 0MIA2nd & 10NE 47(:30) 9-J.Fiedler sacked at NE 48 for -1 yards (94-T.Warren). Penalty on MIA-61-T.Ruddy, Offensive Holding, declined.NE +1.8%
Q215:00NE 3–MIA 0MIA3rd & 11NE 48(15:00) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 34-R.Williams to NE 41 for 7 yards (38-T.Poole).MIA +0.4%
Q214:22NE 3–MIA 0MIA4th & 4NE 41(14:22) 1-M.Turk punts 34 yards to NE 7, Center-47-J.Grau, downed by MIA-50-B.Ayanbadejo.NE +0.2%
Q214:12NE 3–MIA 0NE1st & 10NE 7(14:12) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 11 for 4 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 55-J.Seau).NE +0.1%
Q213:36NE 3–MIA 0NE2nd & 6NE 11(13:36) 33-K.Faulk right end to NE 14 for 3 yards (52-M.Greenwood).NE +2.4%
Q212:55NE 3–MIA 0NE3rd & 3NE 14(12:55) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NE 16 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIA-91-J.Williams at NE 16. Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by NE at 12:49.)MIA +13.7%
Q212:49NE 3–MIA 0MIA1st & 10NE 16(12:49) 34-R.Williams right end to NE 10 for 6 yards (54-T.Bruschi).MIA +2.1%
Q212:04NE 3–MIA 0MIA2nd & 4NE 10(12:04) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 5 for 5 yards (37-R.Harrison).NE +0.5%
Q211:24NE 3–MIA 0MIA1st & 5NE 5(11:24) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 3 for 2 yards (94-T.Warren).MIA +1.1%
Q210:40NE 3–MIA 0MIA2nd & 3NE 3(10:40) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 6 for -3 yards (54-T.Bruschi).NE +4.0%
Q210:08NE 3–MIA 6MIA3rd & 6NE 6(10:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIA +8.4%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 7MIA—NE 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.MIA +0.8%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 7NE—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 71 yards from MIA 30 to NE -1. 81-B.Johnson to NE 24 for 25 yards (28-T.Minor).NE +0.6%
Q29:56NE 3–MIA 7NE1st & 10NE 24(9:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at NE 36 for 12 yards (29-S.Madison).NE +1.4%
Q29:26NE 3–MIA 7NE1st & 10NE 36(9:26) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 42 for 6 yards (31-B.Marion). FUMBLES (31-B.Marion), RECOVERED by MIA-64-L.Chester at NE 40.MIA +8.9%
Q29:16NE 3–MIA 7MIA1st & 10NE 40(9:16) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to NE 23 for 17 yards (38-T.Poole).MIA +3.4%
Q28:35NE 3–MIA 7MIA1st & 10NE 23(8:35) 34-R.Williams left tackle to NE 20 for 3 yards (97-J.Green).NE +0.1%
Q27:52NE 3–MIA 7MIA2nd & 7NE 20(7:52) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo ran ob at NE 16 for 4 yards. PENALTY on NE-37-R.Harrison, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NE 20 - No Play.NE +0.0%
Q27:27NE 3–MIA 7MIA2nd & 2NE 15(7:27) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 12 for 3 yards (94-T.Warren).NE +0.3%
Q26:43NE 3–MIA 7MIA1st & 10NE 12(6:43) 34-R.Williams left tackle to NE 3 for 9 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +1.9%
Q25:58NE 3–MIA 7MIA2nd & 1NE 3(5:58) 30-O.Ayanbadejo up the middle to NE 5 for -2 yards (91-B.Hamilton).NE +2.1%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 7——NE 5Timeout #2 by NE at 05:18. +0.0%
Q25:18NE 3–MIA 7MIA3rd & 3NE 5(5:18) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson.NE +2.3%
Q25:11NE 3–MIA 10MIA4th & 3NE 5(5:11) 10-O.Mare 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.NE +1.8%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 10NE—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 69 yards from MIA 30 to NE 1. 81-B.Johnson to NE 34 for 33 yards (52-M.Greenwood).NE +2.3%
Q25:01NE 3–MIA 10NE1st & 10NE 34(5:01) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 41 for 7 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 55-J.Seau).MIA +0.2%
Q24:29NE 3–MIA 10NE2nd & 3NE 41(4:29) 44-F.McCrary up the middle to NE 45 for 4 yards (24-S.Knight).NE +1.2%
Q23:53NE 3–MIA 10NE1st & 10NE 45(3:53) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.MIA +1.1%
Q23:47NE 3–MIA 10NE2nd & 10NE 45(3:47) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at MIA 46 for 9 yards (29-S.Madison).NE +1.7%
Q23:18NE 3–MIA 10NE3rd & 1MIA 46(3:18) 21-M.Cloud up the middle to MIA 44 for 2 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 92-J.Zgonina).NE +0.8%
Q22:38NE 3–MIA 10NE1st & 10MIA 44(2:38) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 42 for 2 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).MIA +3.2%
Q22:00NE 3–MIA 10NE2nd & 8MIA 42(2:00) 33-K.Faulk left guard to MIA 36 for 6 yards (20-A.Freeman; 24-S.Knight).NE +0.3%
Q21:21NE 3–MIA 10NE3rd & 2MIA 36(1:21) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 81-B.Johnson. PENALTY on MIA-99-J.Taylor, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 36 - No Play.NE +3.7%
Q21:16NE 3–MIA 10NE1st & 10MIA 21(1:16) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to MIA 2 for 19 yards (31-B.Marion; 24-S.Knight).NE +5.4%
Q20:28NE 3–MIA 10NE1st & 2MIA 2(:28) 90-D.Klecko up the middle to MIA 2 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas).MIA +2.9%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 10——MIA 2Timeout #3 by NE at 00:20.MIA +3.2%
Q20:20NE 3–MIA 10NE2nd & 2MIA 2(:20) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NE-68-T.Ashworth, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 2 - No Play. +0.0%
Q20:14NE 3–MIA 10NE2nd & 12MIA 12(:14) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.MIA +1.4%
Q2—NE 3–MIA 10——MIA 12Timeout #1 by MIA at 00:07. +0.0%
Q20:07NE 6–MIA 10NE3rd & 12MIA 12(:07) 4-A.Vinatieri 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.MIA +1.7%
Q2—NE 6–MIA 10MIA—NE 304-A.Vinatieri kicks 43 yards from NE 30 to MIA 27. 85-D.Lee (didn't try to advance) to MIA 27 for no gain.NE +5.2%
Q3—NE 6–MIA 10NE—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from MIA 30 to NE 5. 81-B.Johnson to NE 27 for 22 yards (51-T.Hendricks).NE +0.2%
Q314:54NE 6–MIA 10NE1st & 10NE 27(14:54) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 30 for 3 yards (55-J.Seau; 64-L.Chester).MIA +0.2%
Q314:15NE 6–MIA 10NE2nd & 7NE 30(14:15) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 29 for -1 yards (23-P.Surtain).MIA +2.0%
Q313:45NE 6–MIA 10NE3rd & 8NE 29(13:45) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch (29-S.Madison).MIA +2.5%
Q313:32NE 6–MIA 10NE4th & 8NE 29(13:32) 13-K.Walter punts 21 yards to 50, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-66-L.Paxton.MIA +4.8%
Q313:21NE 6–MIA 10MIA1st & 10MID 50(13:21) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 28 for 22 yards (95-R.Phifer).MIA +2.7%
Q312:39NE 6–MIA 10MIA1st & 10NE 28(12:39) 34-R.Williams left end pushed ob at NE 29 for -1 yards (26-E.Wilson).NE +2.1%
Q312:05NE 6–MIA 10MIA2nd & 11NE 29(12:05) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 14 for 15 yards (95-R.Phifer).MIA +3.6%
Q311:18NE 6–MIA 10MIA1st & 10NE 14(11:18) 34-R.Williams right end to NE 18 for -4 yards (58-M.Chatham).NE +2.2%
Q310:33NE 6–MIA 10MIA2nd & 14NE 18(10:33) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 34-R.Williams (94-T.Warren).NE +1.2%
Q310:26NE 6–MIA 10MIA3rd & 14NE 18(10:26) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 34-R.Williams to NE 16 for 2 yards (54-T.Bruschi).NE +1.4%
Q39:49NE 6–MIA 13MIA4th & 12NE 16(9:49) 10-O.Mare 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.MIA +2.3%
Q3—NE 6–MIA 13NE—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 66 yards from MIA 30 to NE 4. 87-D.Givens to NE 24 for 20 yards (28-T.Minor).NE +0.4%
Q39:38NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 24(9:38) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to NE 31 for 7 yards (23-P.Surtain).NE +0.6%
Q39:06NE 6–MIA 13NE2nd & 3NE 31(9:06) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 32 for 1 yard (64-L.Chester).NE +0.1%
Q38:25NE 6–MIA 13NE3rd & 2NE 32(8:25) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to NE 38 for 6 yards (54-Z.Thomas).NE +2.6%
Q37:47NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 38(7:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens.MIA +0.5%
Q37:41NE 6–MIA 13NE2nd & 10NE 38(7:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to NE 44 for 6 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).MIA +1.4%
Q37:08NE 6–MIA 13NE3rd & 4NE 44(7:08) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NE 49 for 5 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 91-J.Williams).NE +2.2%
Q36:29NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 49(6:29) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to MIA 43 for 8 yards (23-P.Surtain).NE +2.9%
Q35:57NE 6–MIA 13NE2nd & 2MIA 43(5:57) 21-M.Cloud up the middle to MIA 39 for 4 yards (64-L.Chester).NE +1.2%
Q35:17NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 10MIA 39(5:17) 21-M.Cloud right end to MIA 37 for 2 yards (23-P.Surtain).MIA +1.8%
Q34:41NE 6–MIA 13NE2nd & 8MIA 37(4:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham pushed ob at MIA 35 for 2 yards (55-J.Seau).MIA +3.0%
Q34:00NE 6–MIA 13NE3rd & 6MIA 35(4:00) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 24 for 11 yards (24-S.Knight).NE +3.9%
Q33:13NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 10MIA 24(3:13) PENALTY on NE-68-T.Ashworth, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 24 - No Play.MIA +2.2%
Q32:47NE 6–MIA 13NE1st & 15MIA 29(2:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens.MIA +1.4%
Q32:40NE 6–MIA 13NE2nd & 15MIA 29(2:40) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 24 for 5 yards (90-R.Burnett; 54-Z.Thomas).NE +0.6%
Q31:55NE 12–MIA 13NE3rd & 10MIA 24(1:55) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +16.9%
Q3—NE 13–MIA 13NE—MIA 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.NE +0.4%
Q3—NE 13–MIA 13MIA—NE 304-A.Vinatieri kicks 72 yards from NE 30 to MIA -2. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 26 for 28 yards (84-F.Baxter).NE +0.4%
Q31:43NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 26(1:43) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael (37-R.Harrison).NE +1.7%
Q31:37NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 10MIA 26(1:37) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 39 for 13 yards (37-R.Harrison; 38-T.Poole).MIA +4.7%
Q30:50NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 39(:50) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 80-J.McKnight to NE 45 for 16 yards (37-R.Harrison). FUMBLES (37-R.Harrison), ball out of bounds at NE 45.MIA +2.6%
Q30:21NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 45(:21) 34-R.Williams right guard to NE 42 for 3 yards (54-T.Bruschi; 94-T.Warren).NE +2.9%
Q415:00NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 7NE 42(15:00) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.NE +3.1%
Q414:55NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 7NE 42(14:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (34-C.Akins).NE +4.4%
Q414:48NE 13–MIA 13MIA4th & 7NE 42(14:48) 1-M.Turk punts 23 yards to NE 19, Center-47-J.Grau, fair catch by 80-T.Brown.MIA +1.0%
Q414:41NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 19(14:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham to NE 26 for 7 yards (52-M.Greenwood; 24-S.Knight).NE +0.9%
Q414:10NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 3NE 26(14:10) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 28 for 2 yards (24-S.Knight).MIA +0.9%
Q413:34NE 13–MIA 13NE3rd & 1NE 28(13:34) 21-M.Cloud right tackle to NE 28 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas).MIA +5.3%
Q413:00NE 13–MIA 13NE4th & 1NE 28(13:00) 13-K.Walter punts 45 yards to MIA 27, Center-66-L.Paxton, fair catch by 32-C.Rogers.NE +1.7%
Q412:51NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 27(12:51) 34-R.Williams right tackle to MIA 28 for 1 yard (91-B.Hamilton).NE +1.9%
Q412:12NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 9MIA 28(12:12) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.NE +3.6%
Q412:08NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 9MIA 28(12:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael (95-R.Phifer).NE +3.8%
Q412:03NE 13–MIA 13MIA4th & 9MIA 28(12:03) 1-M.Turk punts 26 yards to NE 46, Center-47-J.Grau, out of bounds. Penalty on MIA-47-J.Grau, Offensive Holding, declined.NE +3.1%
Q411:56NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 46(11:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown pushed ob at MIA 49 for 5 yards (29-S.Madison).MIA +0.0%
Q411:27NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 5MIA 49(11:27) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.MIA +3.3%
Q411:21NE 13–MIA 13NE3rd & 5MIA 49(11:21) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.MIA +5.5%
Q411:15NE 13–MIA 13NE4th & 5MIA 49(11:15) 13-K.Walter punts 39 yards to MIA 10, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-51-D.Davis.MIA +2.2%
Q411:03NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 10(11:03) 34-R.Williams right guard to MIA 10 for no gain (94-T.Warren; 37-R.Harrison).NE +2.6%
Q410:41NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 10MIA 10(10:41) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (38-T.Poole).NE +4.4%
Q4—NE 13–MIA 13——MIA 10Timeout #1 by MIA at 10:21. +0.0%
Q410:21NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 10MIA 10(10:21) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 26 for 16 yards (95-R.Phifer).MIA +8.8%
Q49:39NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 26(9:39) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 26 for no gain (93-R.Seymour; 91-B.Hamilton).NE +4.0%
Q48:57NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 10MIA 26(8:57) 9-J.Fiedler up the middle to MIA 31 for 5 yards (95-R.Phifer).NE +2.2%
Q48:14NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 5MIA 31(8:14) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael pushed ob at MIA 38 for 7 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +10.4%
Q47:31NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 38(7:31) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 46 for 16 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +2.3%
Q4—NE 13–MIA 13——NE 46Timeout #1 by NE at 06:48. +0.0%
Q46:48NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 46(6:48) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 45 for 1 yard (95-R.Phifer).NE +1.9%
Q46:09NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 9NE 45(6:09) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 41 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison).NE +3.2%
Q45:22NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 5NE 41(5:22) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers. PENALTY on NE-38-T.Poole, Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at NE 41 - No Play. Penalty on NE-26-E.Wilson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.MIA +8.8%
Q45:17NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 32(5:17) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 31 for 1 yard (58-M.Chatham; 91-B.Hamilton).NE +0.9%
Q44:34NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 9NE 31(4:34) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson.NE +1.3%
Q4—NE 13–MIA 13——NE 31Timeout #2 by NE at 04:28. +0.0%
Q44:28NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 9NE 31(4:28) 34-R.Williams right guard to NE 21 for 10 yards (26-E.Wilson; 34-C.Akins). Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #3 by NE.)MIA +9.0%
Q43:58NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 21(3:58) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 17 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison).NE +0.6%
Q43:22NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 6NE 17(3:22) PENALTY on MIA-85-D.Lee, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 17 - No Play.NE +1.6%
Q43:18NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 11NE 22(3:18) 34-R.Williams right tackle to NE 18 for 4 yards (91-B.Hamilton).NE +1.1%
Q42:33NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 7NE 18(2:33) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 17 for 1 yard (54-T.Bruschi; 94-T.Warren).MIA +0.8%
Q42:00NE 13–MIA 13MIA4th & 6NE 17(2:00) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-R.Seymour), Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk, RECOVERED by NE-80-T.Brown at NE 29. 80-T.Brown to NE 35 for 6 yards (10-O.Mare).NE +30.2%
Q41:52NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 35(1:52) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 45 for 20 yards (31-B.Marion).NE +10.6%
Q41:35NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10MIA 45(1:35) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 43 for 2 yards (64-L.Chester).NE +1.8%
Q40:50NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 8MIA 43(:50) 33-K.Faulk left end to 50 for -7 yards (27-T.Buckley).MIA +20.1%
Q40:18NE 13–MIA 13NE3rd & 15MID 50(:18) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 46 for 4 yards (27-T.Buckley).NE +0.7%
OT—NE 13–MIA 13MIA—NE 304-A.Vinatieri kicks 68 yards from NE 30 to MIA 2. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 26 for 24 yards (48-T.Banta-Cain).NE +0.0%
OT14:54NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 26(14:54) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson (93-R.Seymour).NE +5.0%
OT14:50NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 10MIA 26(14:50) (Shotgun) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to NE 43 for 31 yards (34-C.Akins).MIA +22.4%
OT14:21NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 43(14:21) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 33 for 10 yards (90-D.Klecko). Penalty on NE, Illegal Substitution, declined.MIA +7.8%
OT14:02NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 33(14:02) 34-R.Williams right end pushed ob at NE 20 for 13 yards (26-E.Wilson).MIA +8.0%
OT—NE 13–MIA 13——NE 20Timeout #1 by NE at 13:32. +0.0%
OT13:32NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10NE 20(13:32) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 19 for 1 yard (93-R.Seymour).NE +1.2%
OT12:49NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 9NE 19(12:49) 34-R.Williams left guard to NE 17 for 2 yards (93-R.Seymour; 95-R.Phifer).NE +2.0%
OT—NE 13–MIA 13——NE 17Timeout #2 by NE at 12:06. +0.0%
OT12:06NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 7NE 17(12:06) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.NE +35.9%
OT12:01NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 26(12:01) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to NE 28 for 2 yards (27-T.Buckley). PENALTY on MIA-27-T.Buckley, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, enforced at NE 26 - No Play.NE +3.2%
OT11:46NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 5NE 31(11:46) 33-K.Faulk right guard to NE 34 for 3 yards (54-Z.Thomas).MIA +0.6%
OT11:15NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 2NE 34(11:15) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 37 for 3 yards (24-S.Knight; 55-J.Seau).NE +1.1%
OT10:37NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 37(10:37) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete.MIA +3.8%
OT10:28NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 10NE 37(10:28) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to NE 48 for 11 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 23-P.Surtain).NE +9.3%
OT9:53NE 13–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 48(9:53) 44-F.McCrary up the middle to NE 47 for -1 yards (92-J.Zgonina).MIA +7.6%
OT9:15NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 11NE 47(9:15) PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 47 - No Play.MIA +3.8%
OT8:55NE 13–MIA 13NE2nd & 16NE 42(8:55) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to 50 for 8 yards (23-P.Surtain).NE +0.1%
OT8:12NE 13–MIA 13NE3rd & 8MID 50(8:12) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 40 for -10 yards (99-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (99-J.Taylor), and recovers at NE 40.MIA +13.5%
OT7:39NE 13–MIA 13NE4th & 18NE 40(7:39) 13-K.Walter punts 39 yards to MIA 21, Center-66-L.Paxton. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 30 for 9 yards (53-L.Izzo).NE +19.0%
OT7:26NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 30(7:26) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 47 for 17 yards (37-R.Harrison).MIA +3.3%
OT6:49NE 13–MIA 13MIA1st & 10MIA 47(6:49) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 45 for -2 yards (94-T.Warren).NE +7.4%
OT6:14NE 13–MIA 13MIA2nd & 12MIA 45(6:14) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.NE +4.9%
OT6:08NE 13–MIA 13MIA3rd & 12MIA 45(6:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass intended for 84-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at NE 18. 38-T.Poole to NE 18 for no gain (84-C.Chambers).MIA +24.0%
OT5:57NE 19–MIA 13NE1st & 10NE 18(5:57) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +61.3%
Q1 · NE 0–MIA 0
+0.0%
MIANE 30
4-A.Vinatieri kicks 77 yards from NE 30 to MIA -7. 32-C.Rogers, Touchback.
Q1 15:00 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 29.2%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 20
(15:00) 34-R.Williams left guard to MIA 22 for 2 yards (58-M.Chatham).
Q1 14:22 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +3.5%
Win probability: MIA 69.7%
MIA2nd & 8 · MIA 22
(14:22) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to MIA 39 for 17 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q1 13:45 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +6.0%
Win probability: NE 26.8%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 39
(13:45) 34-R.Williams right end to MIA 38 for -1 yards (97-J.Green).
Q1 13:02 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 67.2%
MIA2nd & 11 · MIA 38
(13:02) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q1 12:57 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +2.0%
Win probability: NE 32.6%
MIA3rd & 11 · MIA 38
(12:57) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q1 12:52 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +3.6%
Win probability: MIA 65.4%
MIA4th & 11 · MIA 38
(12:52) 1-M.Turk punts 46 yards to NE 16, Center-47-J.Grau. 80-T.Brown to NE 18 for 2 yards (50-B.Ayanbadejo; 30-O.Ayanbadejo).
Q1 12:40 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 31.0%
NE1st & 10 · NE 18
(12:40) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 27 for 9 yards (23-P.Surtain).
Q1 12:03 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 66.8%
NE2nd & 1 · NE 27
(12:03) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 88-C.Fauria.
Q1 11:57 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +3.0%
Win probability: MIA 67.4%
NE3rd & 1 · NE 27
(11:57) 21-M.Cloud right guard to NE 27 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas; 64-L.Chester).
Q1 11:57 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +2.0%
Win probability: NE 29.6%
NE4th & 1 · NE 27
(11:57) 13-K.Walter punts 43 yards to MIA 30, Center-66-L.Paxton. 32-C.Rogers MUFFS catch, recovered by MIA-27-T.Buckley at MIA 31.
Q1 11:08 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.0%
Win probability: MIA 68.3%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 31
(11:08) 34-R.Williams right tackle to MIA 33 for 2 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q1 10:31 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +4.4%
Win probability: NE 30.7%
MIA2nd & 8 · MIA 33
(10:31) 9-J.Fiedler pass intended for 88-D.Thompson INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson (22-A.Samuel) at NE 27. 26-E.Wilson to NE 27 for no gain (88-D.Thompson). PENALTY on MIA-88-D.Thompson, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NE 27.
Q1 10:21 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.0%
Win probability: MIA 64.9%
NE1st & 10 · NE 42
(10:21) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 46 for 4 yards (54-Z.Thomas).
Q1 9:51 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +3.5%
Win probability: NE 34.1%
NE2nd & 6 · NE 46
(9:51) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to MIA 45 for 9 yards (24-S.Knight).
Q1 9:03 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.7%
Win probability: MIA 62.4%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 45
(9:03) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 46 for -1 yards (55-J.Seau; 95-T.Bowens).
Q1 8:27 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 35.9%
NE2nd & 11 · MIA 46
(8:27) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 43 for 3 yards (24-S.Knight; 54-Z.Thomas).
Q1 7:42 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +1.0%
Win probability: NE 35.9%
NE3rd & 8 · MIA 43
(7:42) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to MIA 40 for 3 yards (29-S.Madison).
Q1 7:06 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +7.9%
Win probability: MIA 63.1%
NE4th & 5 · MIA 40
(7:06) 13-K.Walter punts 27 yards to MIA 13, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-81-B.Johnson.
Q1 6:55 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +2.3%
Win probability: MIA 71.0%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 13
(6:55) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 31 for 18 yards (22-A.Samuel).
Q1 6:10 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +16.3%
Win probability: NE 26.7%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 31
(6:10) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 42 for 11 yards (54-T.Bruschi). FUMBLES (54-T.Bruschi), RECOVERED by NE-37-R.Harrison at MIA 42. 37-R.Harrison to MIA 26 for 16 yards (34-R.Williams).
Q1 5:57 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.5%
Win probability: MIA 57.0%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 26
(5:57) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 80-T.Brown (52-M.Greenwood).
Q1 5:52 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 41.5%
NE2nd & 10 · MIA 26
(5:52) 33-K.Faulk left guard to MIA 22 for 4 yards (27-T.Buckley).
Q1 5:09 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 42.0%
NE3rd & 6 · MIA 22
(5:09) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to MIA 15 for 7 yards (55-J.Seau; 52-M.Greenwood).
Q1 4:19 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.9%
Win probability: MIA 57.9%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 15
(4:19) 33-K.Faulk right end to MIA 18 for -3 yards (54-Z.Thomas).
Q1 3:40 · NE 0–MIA 0
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 40.2%
NE2nd & 13 · MIA 18
(3:40) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to MIA 10 for 8 yards (27-T.Buckley; 31-B.Marion).
Q1 3:07 · NE 0–MIA 0
MIA +0.9%
Win probability: MIA 56.9%
NE3rd & 5 · MIA 10
(3:07) 12-T.Brady up the middle to MIA 7 for 3 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).
Q1 2:27 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +1.9%
Win probability: MIA 57.8%
NE4th & 2 · MIA 7
(2:27) 4-A.Vinatieri 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.
Q1 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +2.9%
Win probability: MIA 59.7%
MIANE 30
4-A.Vinatieri kicks 64 yards from NE 30 to MIA 6. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 36 for 30 yards (23-A.Harris).
Q1 2:17 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 37.4%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 36
(2:17) 34-R.Williams right end to MIA 43 for 7 yards (58-M.Chatham).
Q1 1:40 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +0.3%
Win probability: MIA 62.0%
MIA2nd & 3 · MIA 43
(1:40) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 47 for 10 yards (95-R.Phifer).
Q1 1:12 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +4.0%
Win probability: NE 37.7%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 47
(1:12) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 47 for no gain (93-R.Seymour; 58-M.Chatham).
Q1 0:30 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 41.7%
MIA2nd & 10 · NE 47
(:30) 9-J.Fiedler sacked at NE 48 for -1 yards (94-T.Warren). Penalty on MIA-61-T.Ruddy, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q2 15:00 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 56.5%
MIA3rd & 11 · NE 48
(15:00) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 34-R.Williams to NE 41 for 7 yards (38-T.Poole).
Q2 14:22 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 43.1%
MIA4th & 4 · NE 41
(14:22) 1-M.Turk punts 34 yards to NE 7, Center-47-J.Grau, downed by MIA-50-B.Ayanbadejo.
Q2 14:12 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 43.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 7
(14:12) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 11 for 4 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 55-J.Seau).
Q2 13:36 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +2.4%
Win probability: NE 43.4%
NE2nd & 6 · NE 11
(13:36) 33-K.Faulk right end to NE 14 for 3 yards (52-M.Greenwood).
Q2 12:55 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +13.7%
Win probability: MIA 54.2%
NE3rd & 3 · NE 14
(12:55) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NE 16 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIA-91-J.Williams at NE 16. Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by NE at 12:49.)
Q2 12:49 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +2.1%
Win probability: MIA 68.0%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 16
(12:49) 34-R.Williams right end to NE 10 for 6 yards (54-T.Bruschi).
Q2 12:04 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +0.5%
Win probability: NE 30.0%
MIA2nd & 4 · NE 10
(12:04) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 5 for 5 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q2 11:24 · NE 3–MIA 0
MIA +1.1%
Win probability: MIA 69.5%
MIA1st & 5 · NE 5
(11:24) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 3 for 2 yards (94-T.Warren).
Q2 10:40 · NE 3–MIA 0
NE +4.0%
Win probability: NE 29.4%
MIA2nd & 3 · NE 3
(10:40) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 6 for -3 yards (54-T.Bruschi).
Q2 10:08 · NE 3–MIA 6
MIA +8.4%
Win probability: MIA 66.6%
MIA3rd & 6 · NE 6
(10:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 7
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 75.0%
MIANE 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 24.2%
NEMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 71 yards from MIA 30 to NE -1. 81-B.Johnson to NE 24 for 25 yards (28-T.Minor).
Q2 9:56 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 24.8%
NE1st & 10 · NE 24
(9:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at NE 36 for 12 yards (29-S.Madison).
Q2 9:26 · NE 3–MIA 7
MIA +8.9%
Win probability: MIA 73.8%
NE1st & 10 · NE 36
(9:26) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 42 for 6 yards (31-B.Marion). FUMBLES (31-B.Marion), RECOVERED by MIA-64-L.Chester at NE 40.
Q2 9:16 · NE 3–MIA 7
MIA +3.4%
Win probability: MIA 82.8%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 40
(9:16) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to NE 23 for 17 yards (38-T.Poole).
Q2 8:35 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 13.8%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 23
(8:35) 34-R.Williams left tackle to NE 20 for 3 yards (97-J.Green).
Q2 7:52 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 13.9%
MIA2nd & 7 · NE 20
(7:52) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo ran ob at NE 16 for 4 yards. PENALTY on NE-37-R.Harrison, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NE 20 - No Play.
Q2 7:27 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 14.0%
MIA2nd & 2 · NE 15
(7:27) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 12 for 3 yards (94-T.Warren).
Q2 6:43 · NE 3–MIA 7
MIA +1.9%
Win probability: MIA 85.7%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 12
(6:43) 34-R.Williams left tackle to NE 3 for 9 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q2 5:58 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +2.1%
Win probability: NE 12.4%
MIA2nd & 1 · NE 3
(5:58) 30-O.Ayanbadejo up the middle to NE 5 for -2 yards (91-B.Hamilton).
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 7
+0.0%
NE 5
Timeout #2 by NE at 05:18.
Q2 5:18 · NE 3–MIA 7
NE +2.3%
Win probability: NE 14.5%
MIA3rd & 3 · NE 5
(5:18) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson.
Q2 5:11 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 16.8%
MIA4th & 3 · NE 5
(5:11) 10-O.Mare 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +2.3%
Win probability: NE 18.6%
NEMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 69 yards from MIA 30 to NE 1. 81-B.Johnson to NE 34 for 33 yards (52-M.Greenwood).
Q2 5:01 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 79.1%
NE1st & 10 · NE 34
(5:01) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 41 for 7 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 55-J.Seau).
Q2 4:29 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 20.7%
NE2nd & 3 · NE 41
(4:29) 44-F.McCrary up the middle to NE 45 for 4 yards (24-S.Knight).
Q2 3:53 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +1.1%
Win probability: MIA 78.1%
NE1st & 10 · NE 45
(3:53) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.
Q2 3:47 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +1.7%
Win probability: NE 20.8%
NE2nd & 10 · NE 45
(3:47) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at MIA 46 for 9 yards (29-S.Madison).
Q2 3:18 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 22.5%
NE3rd & 1 · MIA 46
(3:18) 21-M.Cloud up the middle to MIA 44 for 2 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 92-J.Zgonina).
Q2 2:38 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +3.2%
Win probability: MIA 76.7%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 44
(2:38) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 42 for 2 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).
Q2 2:00 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 20.1%
NE2nd & 8 · MIA 42
(2:00) 33-K.Faulk left guard to MIA 36 for 6 yards (20-A.Freeman; 24-S.Knight).
Q2 1:21 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +3.7%
Win probability: NE 20.4%
NE3rd & 2 · MIA 36
(1:21) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 81-B.Johnson. PENALTY on MIA-99-J.Taylor, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 36 - No Play.
Q2 1:16 · NE 3–MIA 10
NE +5.4%
Win probability: NE 24.1%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 21
(1:16) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to MIA 2 for 19 yards (31-B.Marion; 24-S.Knight).
Q2 0:28 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +2.9%
Win probability: MIA 70.5%
NE1st & 2 · MIA 2
(:28) 90-D.Klecko up the middle to MIA 2 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas).
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +3.2%
Win probability: MIA 73.4%
MIA 2
Timeout #3 by NE at 00:20.
Q2 0:20 · NE 3–MIA 10
+0.0%
NE2nd & 2 · MIA 2
(:20) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NE-68-T.Ashworth, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 2 - No Play.
Q2 0:14 · NE 3–MIA 10
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 76.6%
NE2nd & 12 · MIA 12
(:14) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.
Q2 · NE 3–MIA 10
+0.0%
MIA 12
Timeout #1 by MIA at 00:07.
Q2 0:07 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +1.7%
Win probability: MIA 78.0%
NE3rd & 12 · MIA 12
(:07) 4-A.Vinatieri 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.
Q2 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +5.2%
Win probability: NE 20.3%
MIANE 30
4-A.Vinatieri kicks 43 yards from NE 30 to MIA 27. 85-D.Lee (didn't try to advance) to MIA 27 for no gain.
Q3 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 25.5%
NEMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from MIA 30 to NE 5. 81-B.Johnson to NE 27 for 22 yards (51-T.Hendricks).
Q3 14:54 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 74.2%
NE1st & 10 · NE 27
(14:54) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 30 for 3 yards (55-J.Seau; 64-L.Chester).
Q3 14:15 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +2.0%
Win probability: MIA 74.5%
NE2nd & 7 · NE 30
(14:15) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 29 for -1 yards (23-P.Surtain).
Q3 13:45 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +2.5%
Win probability: MIA 76.5%
NE3rd & 8 · NE 29
(13:45) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch (29-S.Madison).
Q3 13:32 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +4.8%
Win probability: MIA 79.0%
NE4th & 8 · NE 29
(13:32) 13-K.Walter punts 21 yards to 50, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-66-L.Paxton.
Q3 13:21 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +2.7%
Win probability: MIA 83.8%
MIA1st & 10 · MID 50
(13:21) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 28 for 22 yards (95-R.Phifer).
Q3 12:39 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +2.1%
Win probability: NE 13.5%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 28
(12:39) 34-R.Williams left end pushed ob at NE 29 for -1 yards (26-E.Wilson).
Q3 12:05 · NE 6–MIA 10
MIA +3.6%
Win probability: MIA 84.5%
MIA2nd & 11 · NE 29
(12:05) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 14 for 15 yards (95-R.Phifer).
Q3 11:18 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 11.9%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 14
(11:18) 34-R.Williams right end to NE 18 for -4 yards (58-M.Chatham).
Q3 10:33 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 14.1%
MIA2nd & 14 · NE 18
(10:33) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 34-R.Williams (94-T.Warren).
Q3 10:26 · NE 6–MIA 10
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 15.3%
MIA3rd & 14 · NE 18
(10:26) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 34-R.Williams to NE 16 for 2 yards (54-T.Bruschi).
Q3 9:49 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +2.3%
Win probability: MIA 83.3%
MIA4th & 12 · NE 16
(9:49) 10-O.Mare 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.
Q3 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 14.4%
NEMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 66 yards from MIA 30 to NE 4. 87-D.Givens to NE 24 for 20 yards (28-T.Minor).
Q3 9:38 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 14.8%
NE1st & 10 · NE 24
(9:38) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to NE 31 for 7 yards (23-P.Surtain).
Q3 9:06 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 15.4%
NE2nd & 3 · NE 31
(9:06) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 32 for 1 yard (64-L.Chester).
Q3 8:25 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 15.5%
NE3rd & 2 · NE 32
(8:25) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to NE 38 for 6 yards (54-Z.Thomas).
Q3 7:47 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 81.9%
NE1st & 10 · NE 38
(7:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens.
Q3 7:41 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 82.4%
NE2nd & 10 · NE 38
(7:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to NE 44 for 6 yards (93-A.Ogunleye).
Q3 7:08 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 16.2%
NE3rd & 4 · NE 44
(7:08) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NE 49 for 5 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 91-J.Williams).
Q3 6:29 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 18.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 49
(6:29) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to MIA 43 for 8 yards (23-P.Surtain).
Q3 5:57 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 21.3%
NE2nd & 2 · MIA 43
(5:57) 21-M.Cloud up the middle to MIA 39 for 4 yards (64-L.Chester).
Q3 5:17 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +1.8%
Win probability: MIA 77.5%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 39
(5:17) 21-M.Cloud right end to MIA 37 for 2 yards (23-P.Surtain).
Q3 4:41 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +3.0%
Win probability: MIA 79.3%
NE2nd & 8 · MIA 37
(4:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham pushed ob at MIA 35 for 2 yards (55-J.Seau).
Q3 4:00 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +3.9%
Win probability: NE 17.8%
NE3rd & 6 · MIA 35
(4:00) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 24 for 11 yards (24-S.Knight).
Q3 3:13 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +2.2%
Win probability: MIA 78.4%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 24
(3:13) PENALTY on NE-68-T.Ashworth, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 24 - No Play.
Q3 2:47 · NE 6–MIA 13
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 80.6%
NE1st & 15 · MIA 29
(2:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens.
Q3 2:40 · NE 6–MIA 13
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 18.0%
NE2nd & 15 · MIA 29
(2:40) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 24 for 5 yards (90-R.Burnett; 54-Z.Thomas).
Q3 1:55 · NE 12–MIA 13
NE +16.9%
Win probability: NE 18.6%
NE3rd & 10 · MIA 24
(1:55) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 35.5%
NEMIA 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.
Q3 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 36.0%
MIANE 30
4-A.Vinatieri kicks 72 yards from NE 30 to MIA -2. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 26 for 28 yards (84-F.Baxter).
Q3 1:43 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.7%
Win probability: NE 36.3%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 26
(1:43) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael (37-R.Harrison).
Q3 1:37 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +4.7%
Win probability: MIA 62.0%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 26
(1:37) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 39 for 13 yards (37-R.Harrison; 38-T.Poole).
Q3 0:50 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +2.6%
Win probability: MIA 66.6%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 39
(:50) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 80-J.McKnight to NE 45 for 16 yards (37-R.Harrison). FUMBLES (37-R.Harrison), ball out of bounds at NE 45.
Q3 0:21 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 30.8%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 45
(:21) 34-R.Williams right guard to NE 42 for 3 yards (54-T.Bruschi; 94-T.Warren).
Q4 15:00 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 33.6%
MIA2nd & 7 · NE 42
(15:00) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q4 14:55 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +4.4%
Win probability: NE 36.8%
MIA3rd & 7 · NE 42
(14:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (34-C.Akins).
Q4 14:48 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +1.0%
Win probability: MIA 58.8%
MIA4th & 7 · NE 42
(14:48) 1-M.Turk punts 23 yards to NE 19, Center-47-J.Grau, fair catch by 80-T.Brown.
Q4 14:41 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.9%
Win probability: NE 40.2%
NE1st & 10 · NE 19
(14:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham to NE 26 for 7 yards (52-M.Greenwood; 24-S.Knight).
Q4 14:10 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +0.9%
Win probability: MIA 59.0%
NE2nd & 3 · NE 26
(14:10) 33-K.Faulk left guard to NE 28 for 2 yards (24-S.Knight).
Q4 13:34 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +5.3%
Win probability: MIA 59.9%
NE3rd & 1 · NE 28
(13:34) 21-M.Cloud right tackle to NE 28 for no gain (54-Z.Thomas).
Q4 13:00 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.7%
Win probability: NE 34.8%
NE4th & 1 · NE 28
(13:00) 13-K.Walter punts 45 yards to MIA 27, Center-66-L.Paxton, fair catch by 32-C.Rogers.
Q4 12:51 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.9%
Win probability: NE 36.5%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 27
(12:51) 34-R.Williams right tackle to MIA 28 for 1 yard (91-B.Hamilton).
Q4 12:12 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.6%
Win probability: NE 38.4%
MIA2nd & 9 · MIA 28
(12:12) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q4 12:08 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.8%
Win probability: NE 41.9%
MIA3rd & 9 · MIA 28
(12:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael (95-R.Phifer).
Q4 12:03 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 45.7%
MIA4th & 9 · MIA 28
(12:03) 1-M.Turk punts 26 yards to NE 46, Center-47-J.Grau, out of bounds. Penalty on MIA-47-J.Grau, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q4 11:56 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +0.0%
Win probability: MIA 51.2%
NE1st & 10 · NE 46
(11:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown pushed ob at MIA 49 for 5 yards (29-S.Madison).
Q4 11:27 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +3.3%
Win probability: MIA 51.2%
NE2nd & 5 · MIA 49
(11:27) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.
Q4 11:21 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +5.5%
Win probability: MIA 54.5%
NE3rd & 5 · MIA 49
(11:21) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch.
Q4 11:15 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +2.2%
Win probability: MIA 60.1%
NE4th & 5 · MIA 49
(11:15) 13-K.Walter punts 39 yards to MIA 10, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-51-D.Davis.
Q4 11:03 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 37.8%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 10
(11:03) 34-R.Williams right guard to MIA 10 for no gain (94-T.Warren; 37-R.Harrison).
Q4 10:41 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +4.4%
Win probability: NE 40.4%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 10
(10:41) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (38-T.Poole).
Q4 · NE 13–MIA 13
+0.0%
MIA 10
Timeout #1 by MIA at 10:21.
Q4 10:21 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +8.8%
Win probability: MIA 55.2%
MIA3rd & 10 · MIA 10
(10:21) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 26 for 16 yards (95-R.Phifer).
Q4 9:39 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +4.0%
Win probability: NE 36.0%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 26
(9:39) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 26 for no gain (93-R.Seymour; 91-B.Hamilton).
Q4 8:57 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 40.0%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 26
(8:57) 9-J.Fiedler up the middle to MIA 31 for 5 yards (95-R.Phifer).
Q4 8:14 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +10.4%
Win probability: MIA 57.9%
MIA3rd & 5 · MIA 31
(8:14) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael pushed ob at MIA 38 for 7 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q4 7:31 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +2.3%
Win probability: MIA 68.3%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 38
(7:31) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 46 for 16 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q4 · NE 13–MIA 13
+0.0%
NE 46
Timeout #1 by NE at 06:48.
Q4 6:48 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.9%
Win probability: NE 29.3%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 46
(6:48) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo pushed ob at NE 45 for 1 yard (95-R.Phifer).
Q4 6:09 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.2%
Win probability: NE 31.2%
MIA2nd & 9 · NE 45
(6:09) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to NE 41 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q4 5:22 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +8.8%
Win probability: MIA 65.6%
MIA3rd & 5 · NE 41
(5:22) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers. PENALTY on NE-38-T.Poole, Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at NE 41 - No Play. Penalty on NE-26-E.Wilson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Q4 5:17 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.9%
Win probability: NE 25.6%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 32
(5:17) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 31 for 1 yard (58-M.Chatham; 91-B.Hamilton).
Q4 4:34 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.3%
Win probability: NE 26.4%
MIA2nd & 9 · NE 31
(4:34) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson.
Q4 · NE 13–MIA 13
+0.0%
NE 31
Timeout #2 by NE at 04:28.
Q4 4:28 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +9.0%
Win probability: MIA 72.2%
MIA3rd & 9 · NE 31
(4:28) 34-R.Williams right guard to NE 21 for 10 yards (26-E.Wilson; 34-C.Akins). Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #3 by NE.)
Q4 3:58 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 18.7%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 21
(3:58) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 17 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison).
Q4 3:22 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 19.3%
MIA2nd & 6 · NE 17
(3:22) PENALTY on MIA-85-D.Lee, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 17 - No Play.
Q4 3:18 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 20.9%
MIA2nd & 11 · NE 22
(3:18) 34-R.Williams right tackle to NE 18 for 4 yards (91-B.Hamilton).
Q4 2:33 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 78.0%
MIA3rd & 7 · NE 18
(2:33) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 17 for 1 yard (54-T.Bruschi; 94-T.Warren).
Q4 2:00 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +30.2%
Win probability: NE 21.2%
MIA4th & 6 · NE 17
(2:00) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-R.Seymour), Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk, RECOVERED by NE-80-T.Brown at NE 29. 80-T.Brown to NE 35 for 6 yards (10-O.Mare).
Q4 1:52 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +10.6%
Win probability: NE 51.4%
NE1st & 10 · NE 35
(1:52) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 45 for 20 yards (31-B.Marion).
Q4 1:35 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 62.0%
NE1st & 10 · MIA 45
(1:35) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to MIA 43 for 2 yards (64-L.Chester).
Q4 0:50 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +20.1%
Win probability: MIA 36.2%
NE2nd & 8 · MIA 43
(:50) 33-K.Faulk left end to 50 for -7 yards (27-T.Buckley).
Q4 0:18 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.7%
Win probability: NE 43.7%
NE3rd & 15 · MID 50
(:18) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to MIA 46 for 4 yards (27-T.Buckley).
OT · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 44.4%
MIANE 30
4-A.Vinatieri kicks 68 yards from NE 30 to MIA 2. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 26 for 24 yards (48-T.Banta-Cain).
OT 14:54 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +5.0%
Win probability: NE 44.4%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 26
(14:54) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 88-D.Thompson (93-R.Seymour).
OT 14:50 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +22.4%
Win probability: MIA 50.6%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 26
(14:50) (Shotgun) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson to NE 43 for 31 yards (34-C.Akins).
OT 14:21 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +7.8%
Win probability: MIA 73.0%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 43
(14:21) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 33 for 10 yards (90-D.Klecko). Penalty on NE, Illegal Substitution, declined.
OT 14:02 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +8.0%
Win probability: MIA 80.8%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 33
(14:02) 34-R.Williams right end pushed ob at NE 20 for 13 yards (26-E.Wilson).
OT · NE 13–MIA 13
+0.0%
NE 20
Timeout #1 by NE at 13:32.
OT 13:32 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 11.2%
MIA1st & 10 · NE 20
(13:32) 34-R.Williams up the middle to NE 19 for 1 yard (93-R.Seymour).
OT 12:49 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +2.0%
Win probability: NE 12.4%
MIA2nd & 9 · NE 19
(12:49) 34-R.Williams left guard to NE 17 for 2 yards (93-R.Seymour; 95-R.Phifer).
OT · NE 13–MIA 13
+0.0%
NE 17
Timeout #2 by NE at 12:06.
OT 12:06 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +35.9%
Win probability: NE 14.4%
MIA3rd & 7 · NE 17
(12:06) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Grau, Holder-1-M.Turk.
OT 12:01 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +3.2%
Win probability: NE 50.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 26
(12:01) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to NE 28 for 2 yards (27-T.Buckley). PENALTY on MIA-27-T.Buckley, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, enforced at NE 26 - No Play.
OT 11:46 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 46.5%
NE1st & 5 · NE 31
(11:46) 33-K.Faulk right guard to NE 34 for 3 yards (54-Z.Thomas).
OT 11:15 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 53.0%
NE2nd & 2 · NE 34
(11:15) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to NE 37 for 3 yards (24-S.Knight; 55-J.Seau).
OT 10:37 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +3.8%
Win probability: MIA 45.9%
NE1st & 10 · NE 37
(10:37) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete.
OT 10:28 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +9.3%
Win probability: NE 50.3%
NE2nd & 10 · NE 37
(10:28) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to NE 48 for 11 yards (54-Z.Thomas; 23-P.Surtain).
OT 9:53 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +7.6%
Win probability: MIA 40.4%
NE1st & 10 · NE 48
(9:53) 44-F.McCrary up the middle to NE 47 for -1 yards (92-J.Zgonina).
OT 9:15 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +3.8%
Win probability: MIA 48.1%
NE2nd & 11 · NE 47
(9:15) PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 47 - No Play.
OT 8:55 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 48.1%
NE2nd & 16 · NE 42
(8:55) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to 50 for 8 yards (23-P.Surtain).
OT 8:12 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +13.5%
Win probability: MIA 51.8%
NE3rd & 8 · MID 50
(8:12) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 40 for -10 yards (99-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (99-J.Taylor), and recovers at NE 40.
OT 7:39 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +19.0%
Win probability: NE 34.7%
NE4th & 18 · NE 40
(7:39) 13-K.Walter punts 39 yards to MIA 21, Center-66-L.Paxton. 32-C.Rogers to MIA 30 for 9 yards (53-L.Izzo).
OT 7:26 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +3.3%
Win probability: MIA 46.3%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 30
(7:26) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 47 for 17 yards (37-R.Harrison).
OT 6:49 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +7.4%
Win probability: NE 50.4%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 47
(6:49) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 45 for -2 yards (94-T.Warren).
OT 6:14 · NE 13–MIA 13
NE +4.9%
Win probability: NE 57.8%
MIA2nd & 12 · MIA 45
(6:14) 9-J.Fiedler pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
OT 6:08 · NE 13–MIA 13
MIA +24.0%
Win probability: MIA 37.3%
MIA3rd & 12 · MIA 45
(6:08) 9-J.Fiedler pass intended for 84-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at NE 18. 38-T.Poole to NE 18 for no gain (84-C.Chambers).
OT 5:57 · NE 19–MIA 13
NE +61.3%
Win probability: NE 38.7%
NE1st & 10 · NE 18
(5:57) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.