JAX Jacksonville Jaguars@BUF Buffalo Bills
13–10 · Jacksonville Jaguars won
2004-09-12 · 2004 Regular Week 1
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 16.88 which ranks in the 91.6 percentile.
THRILLA
92percentile
Raw Score: 16.88
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 5.27, which ranks in the 85.1 percentile.
GEI
85percentile
Raw Score: 5.27
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Jacksonville Jaguars fell to a 10.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 3.20 which ranks in the 91.9 percentile.
Comeback
92percentile
Raw Score: 3.20
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 11.80 which ranks in the 26.0 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 3 × 0.5pts = 1.5pts
- Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
- Sacks: 3 × 0.1pts = 0.3pts
- Touchdowns: 2 × 1pts = 2pts
Total: 11.8pts
Learn more →Audience
26percentile
Raw Score: 11.80
Spread
BUF -3
O/U 35
BUF
JAX
Biggest Play
Q4 0:04 · JAX 12–BUF 10
JAX +57.5%
Win probability: JAX 37.2%
(:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 0 | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 60 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 10. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 24 for 14 yards (53-M.Haggan). | JAX +0.6% |
| Q1 | 14:54 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | JAX 24 | (14:54) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 24 for no gain (95-S.Adams). | BUF +0.5% |
| Q1 | 14:18 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 24 | (14:18) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 26 for 2 yards (23-T.Vincent, 59-L.Fletcher). Swing pass right, caught at JAX 26. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q1 | 13:35 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 3rd & 8 | JAX 26 | (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Pressure on QB: P.Prioleau. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 27, right side. | BUF +3.0% |
| Q1 | 13:29 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 4th & 8 | JAX 26 | (13:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 42 yards to BUF 32, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | BUF +2.3% |
| Q1 | 13:21 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (13:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 40 for 8 yards (51-A.Ayodele). Swing pass left, caught at BUF 34. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q1 | 12:40 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 2 | BUF 40 | (12:40) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 37-D.Grant). | JAX +4.2% |
| Q1 | 11:54 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | BUF 45 | (11:54) 82-J.Reed to BUF 38 for -7 yards (94-L.Barnes). End around, handoff from QB. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q1 | 11:15 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 17 | BUF 38 | (11:15) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed (30-D.Washington). Receiver and coverage at BUF 43, left side. PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play. | BUF +0.5% |
| Q1 | 11:08 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 12 | BUF 43 | (11:08) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 43 for no gain (98-J.Henderson, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +2.1% |
| Q1 | 10:30 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 3rd & 12 | BUF 43 | (10:30) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw. Overthrown, receiver at JAX 48, right side. | JAX +3.1% |
| Q1 | 10:24 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 4th & 12 | BUF 43 | (10:24) 8-B.Moorman punts 40 yards to JAX 17, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 26 for 9 yards (54-J.Dorenbos). | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 10:12 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | JAX 26 | (10:12) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 28 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey, 90-C.Kelsay). | BUF +0.8% |
| Q1 | 9:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 8 | JAX 28 | (9:34) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel, 27-C.Wire). | BUF +1.0% |
| Q1 | 8:48 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 3rd & 6 | JAX 30 | (8:48) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Overthrown screen pass, receiver at JAX 22, left side. Pressure: P.Prioleau. | BUF +3.5% |
| Q1 | 8:42 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 4th & 6 | JAX 30 | (8:42) 2-C.Hanson punts 54 yards to BUF 16, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 22-N.Clements to BUF 21 for 5 yards (50-T.Gilbert). PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 21. | JAX +3.4% |
| Q1 | 8:29 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | BUF 11 | (8:29) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 15 for 4 yards (54-M.Peterson). | JAX +0.8% |
| Q1 | 7:58 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 6 | BUF 15 | (7:58) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 21 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele; 54-M.Peterson). Dump pass right, caught at BUF 15. | JAX +1.0% |
| Q1 | 7:15 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (7:15) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 16 for -5 yards (92-R.Meier). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q1 | 6:35 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 15 | BUF 16 | (6:35) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 25 for 9 yards (99-M.Stroud; 54-M.Peterson). Caught at BUF 21, right side. | BUF +2.6% |
| Q1 | 5:53 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 3rd & 6 | BUF 25 | (5:53) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw (37-D.Grant). Receiver and coverage over middle at BUF 30. | JAX +2.8% |
| Q1 | 5:48 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 4th & 6 | BUF 25 | (5:48) 8-B.Moorman punts 80 yards to JAX -5, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 7 for 12 yards (24-T.McGee). | BUF +2.9% |
| Q1 | 5:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | JAX 7 | (5:34) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 83-T.Yoder. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 8, left side. Pressure on QB: S.Adams. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 5:30 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 7 | (5:30) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 13 for 6 yards (27-C.Wire, 94-A.Schobel). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q1 | 4:47 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 3rd & 4 | JAX 13 | (4:47) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey). PENALTY on BUF-95-S.Adams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 13 - No Play. | JAX +4.1% |
| Q1 | 4:23 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | JAX 18 | (4:23) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for -3 yards (94-A.Schobel, 95-S.Adams). | BUF +4.3% |
| Q1 | 3:40 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 2nd & 13 | JAX 15 | (3:40) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-Ji.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at JAX 20. 22-N.Clements to JAX 18 for 2 yards (82-Ji.Smith). Pass tipped by receiver before INT on left side. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 03:34.) | BUF +11.0% |
| Q1 | 3:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | 1st & 10 | JAX 18 | (3:34) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 17 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer; 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +1.5% |
| Q1 | 2:55 | JAX 0–BUF 6 | 2nd & 9 | JAX 17 | (2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline. | BUF +6.4% |
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | JAX 2 | 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | BUF +0.7% |
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 69 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 1. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 27 for 26 yards (25-P.Prioleau; 55-A.Crowell). | JAX +0.7% |
| Q1 | 2:41 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (2:41) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 35 for 8 yards (27-C.Wire). | JAX +1.5% |
| Q1 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 2 | JAX 35 | (2:00) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 47 for 12 yards (23-T.Vincent). | BUF +0.0% |
| Q1 | 1:22 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 47 | (1:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 44 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q1 | 0:53 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 1 | BUF 44 | (:53) 22-L.Toefield right guard to BUF 42 for 2 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 90-C.Kelsay). | JAX +0.3% |
| Q1 | 0:14 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 42 | (:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-Ji.Smith. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, left side. Pressure on QB: R.Denney. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 0:07 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 10 | BUF 42 | (:07) PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play. | BUF +1.2% |
| Q1 | 0:07 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 15 | BUF 47 | (:07) 28-F.Taylor right guard to BUF 48 for -1 yards (90-C.Kelsay). | BUF +2.2% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 16 | BUF 48 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 40 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey, 51-T.Spikes). | JAX +0.0% |
| Q2 | 14:17 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 4th & 8 | BUF 40 | (14:17) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick touched goal line. | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 14:06 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (14:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 33 for 13 yards (20-D.Darius, 37-D.Grant). | BUF +1.9% |
| Q2 | 13:31 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 33 | (13:31) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton. Pressure on QB: R.Meier. | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 13:24 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 10 | BUF 33 | (13:24) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 34 for 1 yard (51-A.Ayodele, 52-D.Smith). | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 12:45 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 9 | BUF 34 | (12:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw to BUF 41 for 7 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught in left flat at BUF 41. PENALTY on JAX-51-A.Ayodele, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 34 - No Play. | BUF +0.9% |
| Q2 | 12:18 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 4 | BUF 39 | (12:18) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to 50 for 11 yards (98-J.Henderson). Caught at BUF 45, right side. | BUF +0.8% |
| Q2 | 11:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | MID 50 | (11:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed to JAX 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +1.7% |
| Q2 | 11:22 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 5 | JAX 45 | (11:22) (No Huddle) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 38 for 7 yards (37-D.Grant). | BUF +1.6% |
| Q2 | 10:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 38 | (10:46) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 10:30 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 15 | JAX 43 | (10:30) (No Huddle) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to JAX 48 for -5 yards (54-M.Peterson). Screen pass left, caught at JAX 48. Pressure on QB by 3 Jaguars. | JAX +1.7% |
| Q2 | 9:48 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 20 | JAX 48 | (9:48) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at JAX 35 for 13 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught along left sideline at JAX 35. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q2 | 9:24 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 7 | JAX 35 | (9:24) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 29 for 6 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Measurement = fourth down. Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 28 for 7 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Ball respotted after forward progress credited upon review. | BUF +3.0% |
| Q2 | 9:05 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 28 | (9:05) 20-T.Henry left end to JAX 30 for -2 yards (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +0.7% |
| Q2 | 8:23 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 12 | JAX 30 | (8:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (51-A.Ayodele). Receiver and coverage at JAX 26, right sideline. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 8:15 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 12 | JAX 30 | (8:15) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 24 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q2 | 7:34 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 4th & 6 | JAX 24 | (7:34) 9-R.Lindell 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | JAX +7.0% |
| Q2 | 7:29 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 32 | (7:29) 28-F.Taylor right guard to JAX 33 for 1 yard (93-P.Williams, 59-L.Fletcher). | BUF +0.3% |
| Q2 | 6:51 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 9 | JAX 33 | (6:51) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 33, left side. Pressure on QB: A.Schobel, J.Posey. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q2 | 6:45 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 9 | JAX 33 | (6:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 31 for -2 yards (sack split by 98-R.Edwards and 25-P.Prioleau). | BUF +3.4% |
| Q2 | 6:29 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 4th & 11 | JAX 31 | (6:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 69 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick into end zone. | JAX +0.9% |
| Q2 | 6:20 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (6:20) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius, 30-D.Washington). | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 5:40 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 4 | BUF 26 | (5:40) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson). | BUF +0.7% |
| Q2 | 5:03 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 1 | BUF 29 | (5:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld (27-R.Mathis). Receiver and coverage at BUF 30, right side. | JAX +2.3% |
| Q2 | 4:57 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 4th & 1 | BUF 29 | (4:57) 8-B.Moorman punts 39 yards to JAX 32, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 39 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell). | JAX +3.5% |
| Q2 | 4:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 39 | (4:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 45 for 16 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught at BUF 46, right side. | JAX +1.5% |
| Q2 | 4:08 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 45 | (4:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 32 for 13 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 32. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q2 | 3:25 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (3:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to BUF 31 for 1 yard (95-S.Adams, 59-L.Fletcher). | BUF +2.0% |
| Q2 | 2:44 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 9 | BUF 31 | (2:44) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at BUF 20 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught along left sideline at BUF 29. | JAX +5.3% |
| Q2 | 2:19 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (2:19) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to BUF 17 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 59-L.Fletcher). | JAX +0.1% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 7 | BUF 17 | (2:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 17 - No Play. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 12 | BUF 22 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams pushed ob at BUF 15 for 7 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught along left sideline at BUF 15. | JAX +1.2% |
| Q2 | 1:55 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 5 | BUF 15 | (1:55) 22-L.Toefield left tackle to BUF 10 for 5 yards (96-J.Posey; 27-C.Wire). | JAX +3.6% |
| Q2 | 1:11 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 10 | (1:11) 33-G.Jones right guard to BUF 7 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 51-T.Spikes). | BUF +2.9% |
| Q2 | 0:33 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 2nd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:33) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in rear left corner of end zone. | BUF +2.7% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | BUF 7 | Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:26. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:26 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | 3rd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford. Ball caught of of end zone, over middle. Pressure on QB: T.Spikes. | BUF +4.6% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | BUF 7 | Timeout #3 by JAX at 00:20. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:20 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 4th & 7 | BUF 7 | (:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | JAX +3.3% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 3–BUF 7 | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 23 yards (35-D.Cooper). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q2 | 0:10 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (:10) 11-D.Bledsoe kneels to BUF 20 for -1 yards. | JAX +1.7% |
| Q3 | — | JAX 3–BUF 7 | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 73 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -3. 24-T.McGee to BUF 17 for 20 yards (21-J.Bolden). | JAX +1.1% |
| Q3 | 14:54 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 17 | (14:54) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 20 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q3 | 14:19 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 7 | BUF 20 | (14:19) 11-D.Bledsoe right tackle to BUF 17 for -3 yards (95-P.Spicer). Broken play. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q3 | 13:45 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 10 | BUF 17 | (13:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 25 for 8 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught in right flat at BUF 25. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q3 | 13:11 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 4th & 2 | BUF 25 | (13:11) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to JAX 29, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 35 for 6 yards (54-J.Dorenbos). | JAX +0.2% |
| Q3 | 12:58 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 35 | (12:58) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to JAX 44 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught over middle at JAX 40. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q3 | 12:21 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 1 | JAX 44 | (12:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-67-V.Manuwai, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 44 - No Play. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q3 | 12:04 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 6 | JAX 39 | (12:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 43 for 4 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 43. | BUF +0.8% |
| Q3 | 11:22 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 2 | JAX 43 | (11:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at JAX 42 for -1 yards (57-J.Stamer). Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined. | BUF +4.1% |
| Q3 | 11:11 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 4th & 3 | JAX 42 | (11:11) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to BUF 18, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q3 | 11:03 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 18 | (11:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, right side. Pressure on QB: L.Barnes. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q3 | 10:59 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 10 | BUF 18 | (10:59) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (52-D.Smith). Pass tipped at line, bounced short of receiver at BUF 25, left side. | JAX +2.1% |
| Q3 | 10:55 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 10 | BUF 18 | (10:55) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 32 for 14 yards (21-J.Bolden, 54-M.Peterson). | BUF +5.5% |
| Q3 | 10:22 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (10:22) 20-T.Henry left end pushed ob at BUF 36 for 4 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q3 | 9:57 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 6 | BUF 36 | (9:57) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 47 for 11 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught over middle at BUF 44. | BUF +1.4% |
| Q3 | 9:25 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 47 | (9:25) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 47 for no gain (54-M.Peterson, 52-D.Smith). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q3 | 8:48 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 10 | BUF 47 | (8:48) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 47 for 6 yards (98-J.Henderson, 51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.9% |
| Q3 | 8:05 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 4 | JAX 47 | (8:05) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds ran ob at JAX 41 for 6 yards. Caught at JAX 38, right sideline; receiver curled back after catch. | BUF +4.9% |
| Q3 | 7:39 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 41 | (7:39) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 43 for -2 yards (95-P.Spicer). | JAX +2.3% |
| Q3 | 6:57 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 12 | JAX 43 | (6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 48, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at 50. 20-D.Darius to 50 for no gain (83-L.Evans). Attempted backward pass to E.Moulds, never caught. | JAX +12.4% |
| Q3 | 6:50 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | MID 50 | (6:50) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 49 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). | BUF +1.9% |
| Q3 | 6:24 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 9 | BUF 49 | (6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at BUF 49 - No Play. | JAX +11.9% |
| Q3 | 6:15 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 11 | (6:15) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor left end pushed ob at BUF 5 for 6 yards (22-N.Clements). | JAX +0.6% |
| Q3 | 5:51 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 2nd & 4 | BUF 5 | (5:51) (Shotgun) 22-L.Toefield up the middle to BUF 4 for 1 yard (96-J.Posey, 27-C.Wire). | BUF +3.8% |
| Q3 | 5:08 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 3 | BUF 4 | (5:08) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 1 for 3 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 1. PENALTY on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 4 - No Play. | BUF +0.9% |
| Q3 | 4:42 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | 3rd & 8 | BUF 9 | (4:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in back of end zone, right side. | BUF +4.3% |
| Q3 | 4:35 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 4th & 8 | BUF 9 | (4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | BUF +2.6% |
| Q3 | — | JAX 6–BUF 7 | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 78 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -8. 24-T.McGee, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 4:32 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (4:32) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (54-M.Peterson, 37-D.Grant). | BUF +0.3% |
| Q3 | 4:02 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 4 | BUF 26 | (4:02) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 27 for 1 yard (94-L.Barnes, 20-D.Darius). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q3 | 3:23 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 3rd & 3 | BUF 27 | (3:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at BUF 31 for 4 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught along left sideline at BUF 31. | BUF +3.9% |
| Q3 | 3:00 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 31 | (3:00) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at BUF 44 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). WR screen right. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q3 | 2:39 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | BUF 44 | (2:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 2 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 96-W.Blade). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q3 | 2:02 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 8 | BUF 46 | (2:02) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 42, right sideline. Penalty on BUF-80-E.Moulds, Illegal Motion, declined. | JAX +3.4% |
| Q3 | 1:56 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 3rd & 8 | BUF 46 | (1:56) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 84-M.Campbell to JAX 27 for 27 yards (20-D.Darius). FUMBLES (20-D.Darius), recovered by BUF-83-L.Evans at JAX 27. 83-L.Evans to JAX 27 for no gain (54-M.Peterson). Caught at JAX 40, over middle. | BUF +11.3% |
| Q3 | 1:10 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (1:10) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (20-D.Darius). Receiver and coverage at JAX 15, over middle. | JAX +1.8% |
| Q3 | 1:05 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 27 | (1:05) 20-T.Henry left guard to JAX 27 for no gain (93-B.McCray). | JAX +2.7% |
| Q3 | 0:25 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 3rd & 10 | JAX 27 | (:25) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 21-W.McGahee to JAX 15 for 12 yards (95-P.Spicer, 35-D.Cooper). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 30. | BUF +5.1% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 15 | (15:00) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 13 for 2 yards (99-M.Stroud). | JAX +0.4% |
| Q4 | 14:21 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 8 | JAX 13 | (14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7. | JAX +17.3% |
| Q4 | 14:09 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 12 | (14:09) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 16 for 4 yards (93-P.Williams; 95-S.Adams). | BUF +0.4% |
| Q4 | 13:28 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 6 | JAX 16 | (13:28) 28-F.Taylor left end to JAX 27 for 11 yards (96-J.Posey, 22-N.Clements). | JAX +2.5% |
| Q4 | 12:49 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (12:49) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 24 for -3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Initial pressure on QB: A.Schobel. | BUF +4.7% |
| Q4 | 12:17 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 13 | JAX 24 | (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. | BUF +21.5% |
| Q4 | 12:06 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 1st & 3 | JAX 3 | (12:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 2 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q4 | 11:29 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 2nd & 2 | JAX 2 | (11:29) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 1 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q4 | 10:47 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | 3rd & 1 | JAX 1 | (10:47) 11-D.Bledsoe sacked at JAX 7 for -6 yards (94-L.Barnes). | JAX +8.1% |
| Q4 | 10:19 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 7 | JAX 7 | (10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 3. 84-J.Lewis pushed ob at BUF 34 for 63 yards (24-T.McGee). Return actually to BUF 34, but credited to JAX 22 (spot of foul) - 19-yd. return. PENALTY on JAX-57-T.Hendricks, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 22. | BUF +2.9% |
| Q4 | 10:05 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 12 | (10:05) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith (51-T.Spikes). Receiver and coverage at JAX 16, right side. | BUF +1.5% |
| Q4 | 10:01 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 12 | (10:01) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to JAX 21 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught in right flat at JAX 20. | JAX +2.2% |
| Q4 | 9:16 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 1 | JAX 21 | (9:16) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 25 for 4 yards (51-T.Spikes, 22-N.Clements). Caught at JAX 25, left side. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q4 | 8:34 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Through receiver's hands at JAX 25, right side. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q4 | 8:29 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, receiver at JAX 24, right side. Penalty on BUF-93-P.Williams, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Shift, offsetting. | BUF +4.2% |
| Q4 | 8:24 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:24) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 8:24 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 15 | JAX 20 | (8:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 22 for 2 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught along right sideline at JAX 22. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q4 | 7:55 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 13 | JAX 22 | (7:55) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 20 for -2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 19. | BUF +6.4% |
| Q4 | 7:23 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 15 | JAX 20 | (7:23) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to BUF 43, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | JAX +0.2% |
| Q4 | 7:13 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | BUF 43 | (7:13) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 49 for 8 yards (27-R.Mathis). | BUF +1.3% |
| Q4 | 6:28 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 2 | JAX 49 | (6:28) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 46 for 3 yards (20-D.Darius). | BUF +0.0% |
| Q4 | 5:46 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 46 | (5:46) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 43 for 3 yards (54-M.Peterson). | BUF +0.5% |
| Q4 | 5:03 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 7 | JAX 43 | (5:03) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 38 for 5 yards (93-B.McCray). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | JAX 38 | Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:17. | BUF +1.6% |
| Q4 | 4:17 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 2 | JAX 38 | (4:17) PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 4:17 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 33 | (4:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 28 for 5 yards (27-R.Mathis). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | 3:35 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 5 | JAX 28 | (3:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 25 for 3 yards (99-M.Stroud). | BUF +1.1% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | JAX 25 | Timeout #2 by BUF at 02:45. | JAX +5.0% |
| Q4 | 2:45 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 2 | JAX 25 | (2:45) 21-W.McGahee right guard to JAX 21 for 4 yards (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:39 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 12 | JAX 35 | (2:39) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (35-D.Cooper, 21-J.Bolden). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | JAX 33 | Timeout #1 by JAX at 02:18. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q4 | 2:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 10 | JAX 33 | (2:18) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 15 | JAX 38 | (2:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 18 yards to JAX 20, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, downed by BUF-24-T.McGee. Penalty on BUF-54-J.Dorenbos, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty before kick. | JAX +7.0% |
| Q4 | 2:07 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 20 | (2:07) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams to JAX 22 for 2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught over middle at JAX 22. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 8 | JAX 22 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards ran ob at JAX 38 for 16 yards. Caught along left sideline at JAX 38. | JAX +4.1% |
| Q4 | 1:55 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | JAX 38 | (1:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 33 for -5 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Dump pass right, caught at JAX 33. | BUF +6.6% |
| Q4 | 1:28 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 15 | JAX 33 | (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at JAX 34 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 34. | BUF +2.9% |
| Q4 | 1:23 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 14 | JAX 34 | (1:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards (95-S.Adams, 24-T.McGee). Pass tipped by S.Adams at line, then nearly intercepted by T.McGee at JAX 48, left side. | BUF +5.1% |
| Q4 | 1:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 14 | JAX 34 | (1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side. | JAX +37.3% |
| Q4 | 1:06 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (1:06) PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 21 - No Play. Player kicked ball. | JAX +6.8% |
| Q4 | 0:52 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 5 | BUF 16 | (:52) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 5, left side. | BUF +2.8% |
| Q4 | 0:47 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 5 | BUF 16 | (:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 13 for 3 yards (96-J.Posey). | JAX +0.8% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | BUF 13 | Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:36. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 0:36 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 2 | BUF 13 | (:36) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Thrown wide of receiver at BUF 7, right side. | BUF +12.4% |
| Q4 | 0:33 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 4th & 2 | BUF 13 | (:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 7 for 6 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught at BUF 7, over middle crossing from right. | JAX +10.7% |
| Q4 | 0:14 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 1st & 7 | BUF 7 | (:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in front left corner of end zone. | BUF +3.9% |
| Q4 | 0:10 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 2nd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:10) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, over middle at goal line. | BUF +5.0% |
| Q4 | 0:07 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | 3rd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:07) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in rear of end zone, right side. | BUF +8.3% |
| Q4 | 0:04 | JAX 12–BUF 10 | 4th & 7 | BUF 7 | (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld. | JAX +57.5% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 12–BUF 10 | — | BUF 2 | Timeout #3 by BUF at 00:00. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 13–BUF 10 | — | BUF 2 | 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | JAX +5.4% |
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 41.1%
9-R.Lindell kicks 60 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 10. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 24 for 14 yards (53-M.Haggan).
Q1 14:54 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 58.3%
(14:54) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 24 for no gain (95-S.Adams).
Q1 14:18 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 58.8%
(14:18) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 26 for 2 yards (23-T.Vincent, 59-L.Fletcher). Swing pass right, caught at JAX 26.
Q1 13:35 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 60.6%
(13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Pressure on QB: P.Prioleau. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 27, right side.
Q1 13:29 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.3%
Win probability: BUF 63.6%
(13:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 42 yards to BUF 32, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q1 13:21 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 65.9%
(13:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 40 for 8 yards (51-A.Ayodele). Swing pass left, caught at BUF 34.
Q1 12:40 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +4.2%
Win probability: JAX 32.0%
(12:40) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 37-D.Grant).
Q1 11:54 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 36.2%
(11:54) 82-J.Reed to BUF 38 for -7 yards (94-L.Barnes). End around, handoff from QB.
Q1 11:15 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 61.8%
(11:15) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed (30-D.Washington). Receiver and coverage at BUF 43, left side. PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play.
Q1 11:08 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.1%
Win probability: JAX 37.7%
(11:08) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 43 for no gain (98-J.Henderson, 54-M.Peterson).
Q1 10:30 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +3.1%
Win probability: JAX 39.7%
(10:30) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw. Overthrown, receiver at JAX 48, right side.
Q1 10:24 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 57.2%
(10:24) 8-B.Moorman punts 40 yards to JAX 17, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 26 for 9 yards (54-J.Dorenbos).
Q1 10:12 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 58.5%
(10:12) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 28 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey, 90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 9:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 59.3%
(9:34) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel, 27-C.Wire).
Q1 8:48 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +3.5%
Win probability: BUF 60.2%
(8:48) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Overthrown screen pass, receiver at JAX 22, left side. Pressure: P.Prioleau.
Q1 8:42 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +3.4%
Win probability: JAX 36.2%
(8:42) 2-C.Hanson punts 54 yards to BUF 16, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 22-N.Clements to BUF 21 for 5 yards (50-T.Gilbert). PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 21.
Q1 8:29 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 39.7%
(8:29) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 15 for 4 yards (54-M.Peterson).
Q1 7:58 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 40.4%
(7:58) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 21 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele; 54-M.Peterson). Dump pass right, caught at BUF 15.
Q1 7:15 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 41.4%
(7:15) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 16 for -5 yards (92-R.Meier).
Q1 6:35 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 56.6%
(6:35) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 25 for 9 yards (99-M.Stroud; 54-M.Peterson). Caught at BUF 21, right side.
Q1 5:53 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 40.9%
(5:53) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw (37-D.Grant). Receiver and coverage over middle at BUF 30.
Q1 5:48 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 56.3%
(5:48) 8-B.Moorman punts 80 yards to JAX -5, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 7 for 12 yards (24-T.McGee).
Q1 5:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 59.2%
(5:34) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 83-T.Yoder. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 8, left side. Pressure on QB: S.Adams.
Q1 5:30 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 60.5%
(5:30) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 13 for 6 yards (27-C.Wire, 94-A.Schobel).
Q1 4:47 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 39.4%
(4:47) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey). PENALTY on BUF-95-S.Adams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 13 - No Play.
Q1 4:23 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +4.3%
Win probability: BUF 56.5%
(4:23) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for -3 yards (94-A.Schobel, 95-S.Adams).
Q1 3:40 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +11.0%
Win probability: BUF 60.8%
(3:40) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-Ji.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at JAX 20. 22-N.Clements to JAX 18 for 2 yards (82-Ji.Smith). Pass tipped by receiver before INT on left side. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 03:34.)
Q1 3:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 28.1%
(3:34) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 17 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer; 54-M.Peterson).
Q1 2:55 · JAX 0–BUF 6
BUF +6.4%
Win probability: BUF 70.4%
(2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline.
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 76.7%
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 22.6%
9-R.Lindell kicks 69 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 1. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 27 for 26 yards (25-P.Prioleau; 55-A.Crowell).
Q1 2:41 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 23.2%
(2:41) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 35 for 8 yards (27-C.Wire).
Q1 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 75.3%
(2:00) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 47 for 12 yards (23-T.Vincent).
Q1 1:22 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 24.7%
(1:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 44 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent).
Q1 0:53 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.3%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(:53) 22-L.Toefield right guard to BUF 42 for 2 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 0:14 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 73.8%
(:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-Ji.Smith. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, left side. Pressure on QB: R.Denney.
Q1 0:07 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 75.1%
(:07) PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play.
Q1 0:07 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 76.3%
(:07) 28-F.Taylor right guard to BUF 48 for -1 yards (90-C.Kelsay).
Q2 15:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 21.4%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 40 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey, 51-T.Spikes).
Q2 14:17 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 21.5%
(14:17) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick touched goal line.
Q2 14:06 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(14:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 33 for 13 yards (20-D.Darius, 37-D.Grant).
Q2 13:31 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 20.0%
(13:31) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton. Pressure on QB: R.Meier.
Q2 13:24 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 20.4%
(13:24) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 34 for 1 yard (51-A.Ayodele, 52-D.Smith).
Q2 12:45 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.5%
(12:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw to BUF 41 for 7 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught in left flat at BUF 41. PENALTY on JAX-51-A.Ayodele, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 34 - No Play.
Q2 12:18 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 79.3%
(12:18) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to 50 for 11 yards (98-J.Henderson). Caught at BUF 45, right side.
Q2 11:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 80.1%
(11:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed to JAX 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q2 11:22 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 81.8%
(11:22) (No Huddle) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 38 for 7 yards (37-D.Grant).
Q2 10:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 16.6%
(10:46) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play.
Q2 10:30 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 17.7%
(10:30) (No Huddle) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to JAX 48 for -5 yards (54-M.Peterson). Screen pass left, caught at JAX 48. Pressure on QB by 3 Jaguars.
Q2 9:48 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 80.6%
(9:48) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at JAX 35 for 13 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught along left sideline at JAX 35.
Q2 9:24 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 82.0%
(9:24) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 29 for 6 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Measurement = fourth down. Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 28 for 7 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Ball respotted after forward progress credited upon review.
Q2 9:05 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 15.0%
(9:05) 20-T.Henry left end to JAX 30 for -2 yards (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson).
Q2 8:23 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 15.7%
(8:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (51-A.Ayodele). Receiver and coverage at JAX 26, right sideline.
Q2 8:15 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 83.2%
(8:15) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 24 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q2 7:34 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +7.0%
Win probability: JAX 16.7%
(7:34) 9-R.Lindell 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q2 7:29 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 76.3%
(7:29) 28-F.Taylor right guard to JAX 33 for 1 yard (93-P.Williams, 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 6:51 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 76.7%
(6:51) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 33, left side. Pressure on QB: A.Schobel, J.Posey.
Q2 6:45 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +3.4%
Win probability: BUF 78.6%
(6:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 31 for -2 yards (sack split by 98-R.Edwards and 25-P.Prioleau).
Q2 6:29 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.9%
Win probability: JAX 18.0%
(6:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 69 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick into end zone.
Q2 6:20 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 18.9%
(6:20) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius, 30-D.Washington).
Q2 5:40 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 80.7%
(5:40) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson).
Q2 5:03 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 18.6%
(5:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld (27-R.Mathis). Receiver and coverage at BUF 30, right side.
Q2 4:57 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +3.5%
Win probability: JAX 20.9%
(4:57) 8-B.Moorman punts 39 yards to JAX 32, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 39 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q2 4:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(4:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 45 for 16 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught at BUF 46, right side.
Q2 4:08 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(4:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 32 for 13 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 32.
Q2 3:25 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.0%
Win probability: BUF 72.1%
(3:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to BUF 31 for 1 yard (95-S.Adams, 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 2:44 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +5.3%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(2:44) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at BUF 20 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught along left sideline at BUF 29.
Q2 2:19 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.1%
Win probability: JAX 31.1%
(2:19) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to BUF 17 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 68.8%
(2:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 17 - No Play.
Q2 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 29.1%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams pushed ob at BUF 15 for 7 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught along left sideline at BUF 15.
Q2 1:55 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +3.6%
Win probability: JAX 30.2%
(1:55) 22-L.Toefield left tackle to BUF 10 for 5 yards (96-J.Posey; 27-C.Wire).
Q2 1:11 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 66.2%
(1:11) 33-G.Jones right guard to BUF 7 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 51-T.Spikes).
Q2 0:33 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.7%
Win probability: BUF 69.1%
(:33) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in rear left corner of end zone.
Q2 · JAX 0–BUF 7
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:26.
Q2 0:26 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +4.6%
Win probability: BUF 71.8%
(:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford. Ball caught of of end zone, over middle. Pressure on QB: T.Spikes.
Q2 · JAX 0–BUF 7
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by JAX at 00:20.
Q2 0:20 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +3.3%
Win probability: JAX 23.6%
(:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
Q2 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 26.9%
10-J.Scobee kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 23 yards (35-D.Cooper).
Q2 0:10 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 28.0%
(:10) 11-D.Bledsoe kneels to BUF 20 for -1 yards.
Q3 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 29.7%
10-J.Scobee kicks 73 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -3. 24-T.McGee to BUF 17 for 20 yards (21-J.Bolden).
Q3 14:54 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 30.7%
(14:54) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 20 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson).
Q3 14:19 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.7%
(14:19) 11-D.Bledsoe right tackle to BUF 17 for -3 yards (95-P.Spicer). Broken play.
Q3 13:45 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.7%
(13:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 25 for 8 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught in right flat at BUF 25.
Q3 13:11 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.2%
Win probability: JAX 33.7%
(13:11) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to JAX 29, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 35 for 6 yards (54-J.Dorenbos).
Q3 12:58 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 34.0%
(12:58) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to JAX 44 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught over middle at JAX 40.
Q3 12:21 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 64.4%
(12:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-67-V.Manuwai, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 44 - No Play.
Q3 12:04 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 66.3%
(12:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 43 for 4 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 43.
Q3 11:22 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.1%
Win probability: BUF 67.1%
(11:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at JAX 42 for -1 yards (57-J.Stamer). Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q3 11:11 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 28.8%
(11:11) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to BUF 18, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q3 11:03 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 29.9%
(11:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, right side. Pressure on QB: L.Barnes.
Q3 10:59 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.1%
Win probability: JAX 31.5%
(10:59) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (52-D.Smith). Pass tipped at line, bounced short of receiver at BUF 25, left side.
Q3 10:55 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +5.5%
Win probability: BUF 66.4%
(10:55) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 32 for 14 yards (21-J.Bolden, 54-M.Peterson).
Q3 10:22 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 71.9%
(10:22) 20-T.Henry left end pushed ob at BUF 36 for 4 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q3 9:57 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 72.1%
(9:57) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 47 for 11 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught over middle at BUF 44.
Q3 9:25 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 26.6%
(9:25) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 47 for no gain (54-M.Peterson, 52-D.Smith).
Q3 8:48 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 72.2%
(8:48) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 47 for 6 yards (98-J.Henderson, 51-A.Ayodele).
Q3 8:05 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.9%
Win probability: BUF 73.2%
(8:05) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds ran ob at JAX 41 for 6 yards. Caught at JAX 38, right sideline; receiver curled back after catch.
Q3 7:39 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 21.9%
(7:39) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 43 for -2 yards (95-P.Spicer).
Q3 6:57 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +12.4%
Win probability: JAX 24.2%
(6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 48, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at 50. 20-D.Darius to 50 for no gain (83-L.Evans). Attempted backward pass to E.Moulds, never caught.
Q3 6:50 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 63.4%
(6:50) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 49 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent).
Q3 6:24 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +11.9%
Win probability: JAX 34.7%
(6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at BUF 49 - No Play.
Q3 6:15 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 46.6%
(6:15) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor left end pushed ob at BUF 5 for 6 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q3 5:51 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +3.8%
Win probability: BUF 52.8%
(5:51) (Shotgun) 22-L.Toefield up the middle to BUF 4 for 1 yard (96-J.Posey, 27-C.Wire).
Q3 5:08 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 56.6%
(5:08) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 1 for 3 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 1. PENALTY on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 4 - No Play.
Q3 4:42 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.3%
Win probability: BUF 57.5%
(4:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in back of end zone, right side.
Q3 4:35 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 61.9%
(4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
Q3 · JAX 6–BUF 7
+0.0%
10-J.Scobee kicks 78 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -8. 24-T.McGee, Touchback.
Q3 4:32 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 64.5%
(4:32) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (54-M.Peterson, 37-D.Grant).
Q3 4:02 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 35.3%
(4:02) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 27 for 1 yard (94-L.Barnes, 20-D.Darius).
Q3 3:23 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 62.7%
(3:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at BUF 31 for 4 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught along left sideline at BUF 31.
Q3 3:00 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 66.5%
(3:00) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at BUF 44 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). WR screen right.
Q3 2:39 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.4%
(2:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 2 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 96-W.Blade).
Q3 2:02 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +3.4%
Win probability: JAX 32.4%
(2:02) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 42, right sideline. Penalty on BUF-80-E.Moulds, Illegal Motion, declined.
Q3 1:56 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +11.3%
Win probability: BUF 64.2%
(1:56) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 84-M.Campbell to JAX 27 for 27 yards (20-D.Darius). FUMBLES (20-D.Darius), recovered by BUF-83-L.Evans at JAX 27. 83-L.Evans to JAX 27 for no gain (54-M.Peterson). Caught at JAX 40, over middle.
Q3 1:10 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.8%
Win probability: JAX 24.6%
(1:10) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (20-D.Darius). Receiver and coverage at JAX 15, over middle.
Q3 1:05 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.7%
Win probability: JAX 26.4%
(1:05) 20-T.Henry left guard to JAX 27 for no gain (93-B.McCray).
Q3 0:25 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +5.1%
Win probability: BUF 70.9%
(:25) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 21-W.McGahee to JAX 15 for 12 yards (95-P.Spicer, 35-D.Cooper). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 30.
Q4 15:00 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 24.0%
(15:00) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 13 for 2 yards (99-M.Stroud).
Q4 14:21 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +17.3%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7.
Q4 14:09 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 58.3%
(14:09) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 16 for 4 yards (93-P.Williams; 95-S.Adams).
Q4 13:28 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.5%
Win probability: JAX 41.3%
(13:28) 28-F.Taylor left end to JAX 27 for 11 yards (96-J.Posey, 22-N.Clements).
Q4 12:49 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +4.7%
Win probability: BUF 56.3%
(12:49) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 24 for -3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Initial pressure on QB: A.Schobel.
Q4 12:17 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +21.5%
Win probability: BUF 61.0%
(12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Q4 12:06 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 17.5%
(12:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 2 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson).
Q4 11:29 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 18.7%
(11:29) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 1 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer).
Q4 10:47 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +8.1%
Win probability: JAX 20.7%
(10:47) 11-D.Bledsoe sacked at JAX 7 for -6 yards (94-L.Barnes).
Q4 10:19 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 71.1%
(10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 71.4%
9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 3. 84-J.Lewis pushed ob at BUF 34 for 63 yards (24-T.McGee). Return actually to BUF 34, but credited to JAX 22 (spot of foul) - 19-yd. return. PENALTY on JAX-57-T.Hendricks, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 22.
Q4 10:05 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 74.3%
(10:05) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith (51-T.Spikes). Receiver and coverage at JAX 16, right side.
Q4 10:01 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +2.2%
Win probability: JAX 24.2%
(10:01) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to JAX 21 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught in right flat at JAX 20.
Q4 9:16 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 26.4%
(9:16) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 25 for 4 yards (51-T.Spikes, 22-N.Clements). Caught at JAX 25, left side.
Q4 8:34 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 72.0%
(8:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Through receiver's hands at JAX 25, right side.
Q4 8:29 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +4.2%
Win probability: BUF 73.9%
(8:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, receiver at JAX 24, right side. Penalty on BUF-93-P.Williams, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Shift, offsetting.
Q4 8:24 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(8:24) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.
Q4 8:24 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 21.9%
(8:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 22 for 2 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught along right sideline at JAX 22.
Q4 7:55 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +6.4%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(7:55) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 20 for -2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 19.
Q4 7:23 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.2%
Win probability: JAX 15.5%
(7:23) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to BUF 43, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q4 7:13 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 84.4%
(7:13) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 49 for 8 yards (27-R.Mathis).
Q4 6:28 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 85.7%
(6:28) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 46 for 3 yards (20-D.Darius).
Q4 5:46 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 85.7%
(5:46) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 43 for 3 yards (54-M.Peterson).
Q4 5:03 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 86.2%
(5:03) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 38 for 5 yards (93-B.McCray).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 86.3%
Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:17.
Q4 4:17 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(4:17) PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play.
Q4 4:17 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 87.8%
(4:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 28 for 5 yards (27-R.Mathis).
Q4 3:35 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 88.0%
(3:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 25 for 3 yards (99-M.Stroud).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +5.0%
Win probability: JAX 10.9%
Timeout #2 by BUF at 02:45.
Q4 2:45 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(2:45) 21-W.McGahee right guard to JAX 21 for 4 yards (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.
Q4 2:39 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 84.1%
(2:39) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (35-D.Cooper, 21-J.Bolden).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 15.7%
Timeout #1 by JAX at 02:18.
Q4 2:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(2:18) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play.
Q4 2:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +7.0%
Win probability: JAX 17.3%
(2:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 18 yards to JAX 20, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, downed by BUF-24-T.McGee. Penalty on BUF-54-J.Dorenbos, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty before kick.
Q4 2:07 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 24.3%
(2:07) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams to JAX 22 for 2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught over middle at JAX 22.
Q4 2:00 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards ran ob at JAX 38 for 16 yards. Caught along left sideline at JAX 38.
Q4 1:55 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +6.6%
Win probability: BUF 71.5%
(1:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 33 for -5 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Dump pass right, caught at JAX 33.
Q4 1:28 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at JAX 34 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 34.
Q4 1:23 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +5.1%
Win probability: BUF 80.9%
(1:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards (95-S.Adams, 24-T.McGee). Pass tipped by S.Adams at line, then nearly intercepted by T.McGee at JAX 48, left side.
Q4 1:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +37.3%
Win probability: JAX 14.0%
(1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side.
Q4 1:06 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +6.8%
Win probability: JAX 51.4%
(1:06) PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 21 - No Play. Player kicked ball.
Q4 0:52 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.8%
Win probability: BUF 41.9%
(:52) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 5, left side.
Q4 0:47 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 55.3%
(:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 13 for 3 yards (96-J.Posey).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:36.
Q4 0:36 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +12.4%
Win probability: BUF 43.9%
(:36) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Thrown wide of receiver at BUF 7, right side.
Q4 0:33 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +10.7%
Win probability: JAX 43.8%
(:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 7 for 6 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught at BUF 7, over middle crossing from right.
Q4 0:14 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 45.6%
(:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in front left corner of end zone.
Q4 0:10 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +5.0%
Win probability: BUF 49.5%
(:10) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, over middle at goal line.
Q4 0:07 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +8.3%
Win probability: BUF 54.5%
(:07) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in rear of end zone, right side.
Q4 0:04 · JAX 12–BUF 10
JAX +57.5%
Win probability: JAX 37.2%
(:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.
Q4 · JAX 12–BUF 10
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by BUF at 00:00.
Q4 · JAX 13–BUF 10
JAX +5.4%
Win probability: JAX 94.6%
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.