JAX Jacksonville Jaguars@BUF Buffalo Bills
13–10 · Jacksonville Jaguars won
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 16.88 which ranks in the 91.4 percentile.
Learn more →Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 16.88 which ranks in the 91.4 percentile.
THRILLA
91percentile
Raw Score: 16.88
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 5.27, which ranks in the 84.8 percentile.
Learn more →Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 5.27, which ranks in the 84.8 percentile.
GEI
85percentile
Raw Score: 5.27
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Jacksonville Jaguars fell to a 10.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 3.20 which ranks in the 91.8 percentile.
Learn more →How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Jacksonville Jaguars fell to a 10.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 3.20 which ranks in the 91.8 percentile.
Comeback
92percentile
Raw Score: 3.20
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 11.80 which ranks in the 25.8 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
Learn more →The audience score for this game was 11.80 which ranks in the 25.8 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 3 × 0.5pts = 1.5pts
- Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
- Sacks: 3 × 0.1pts = 0.3pts
- Touchdowns: 2 × 1pts = 2pts
Total: 11.8pts
Audience
26percentile
Raw Score: 11.80
Spread
BUF -3
O/U 35
BUF
JAX
Biggest Play
Q4 0:04 · JAX 12–BUF 10
JAX +57.5%
Win probability: JAX 37.2%
(:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Poss. | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 60 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 10. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 24 for 14 yards (53-M.Haggan). | JAX +0.6% |
| Q1 | 14:54 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 24 | (14:54) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 24 for no gain (95-S.Adams). | BUF +0.5% |
| Q1 | 14:18 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | JAX 24 | (14:18) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 26 for 2 yards (23-T.Vincent, 59-L.Fletcher). Swing pass right, caught at JAX 26. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q1 | 13:35 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 3rd & 8 | JAX 26 | (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Pressure on QB: P.Prioleau. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 27, right side. | BUF +3.0% |
| Q1 | 13:29 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 4th & 8 | JAX 26 | (13:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 42 yards to BUF 32, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | BUF +2.3% |
| Q1 | 13:21 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (13:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 40 for 8 yards (51-A.Ayodele). Swing pass left, caught at BUF 34. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q1 | 12:40 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 2nd & 2 | BUF 40 | (12:40) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 37-D.Grant). | JAX +4.2% |
| Q1 | 11:54 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 45 | (11:54) 82-J.Reed to BUF 38 for -7 yards (94-L.Barnes). End around, handoff from QB. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q1 | 11:15 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 2nd & 17 | BUF 38 | (11:15) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed (30-D.Washington). Receiver and coverage at BUF 43, left side. PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play. | BUF +0.5% |
| Q1 | 11:08 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 2nd & 12 | BUF 43 | (11:08) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 43 for no gain (98-J.Henderson, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +2.1% |
| Q1 | 10:30 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 3rd & 12 | BUF 43 | (10:30) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw. Overthrown, receiver at JAX 48, right side. | JAX +3.1% |
| Q1 | 10:24 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 4th & 12 | BUF 43 | (10:24) 8-B.Moorman punts 40 yards to JAX 17, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 26 for 9 yards (54-J.Dorenbos). | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 10:12 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 26 | (10:12) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 28 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey, 90-C.Kelsay). | BUF +0.8% |
| Q1 | 9:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 2nd & 8 | JAX 28 | (9:34) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel, 27-C.Wire). | BUF +1.0% |
| Q1 | 8:48 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 3rd & 6 | JAX 30 | (8:48) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Overthrown screen pass, receiver at JAX 22, left side. Pressure: P.Prioleau. | BUF +3.5% |
| Q1 | 8:42 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 4th & 6 | JAX 30 | (8:42) 2-C.Hanson punts 54 yards to BUF 16, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 22-N.Clements to BUF 21 for 5 yards (50-T.Gilbert). PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 21. | JAX +3.4% |
| Q1 | 8:29 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 11 | (8:29) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 15 for 4 yards (54-M.Peterson). | JAX +0.8% |
| Q1 | 7:58 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 2nd & 6 | BUF 15 | (7:58) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 21 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele; 54-M.Peterson). Dump pass right, caught at BUF 15. | JAX +1.0% |
| Q1 | 7:15 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (7:15) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 16 for -5 yards (92-R.Meier). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q1 | 6:35 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 2nd & 15 | BUF 16 | (6:35) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 25 for 9 yards (99-M.Stroud; 54-M.Peterson). Caught at BUF 21, right side. | BUF +2.6% |
| Q1 | 5:53 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 3rd & 6 | BUF 25 | (5:53) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw (37-D.Grant). Receiver and coverage over middle at BUF 30. | JAX +2.8% |
| Q1 | 5:48 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 4th & 6 | BUF 25 | (5:48) 8-B.Moorman punts 80 yards to JAX -5, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 7 for 12 yards (24-T.McGee). | BUF +2.9% |
| Q1 | 5:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 7 | (5:34) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 83-T.Yoder. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 8, left side. Pressure on QB: S.Adams. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 5:30 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | JAX 7 | (5:30) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 13 for 6 yards (27-C.Wire, 94-A.Schobel). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q1 | 4:47 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 3rd & 4 | JAX 13 | (4:47) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey). PENALTY on BUF-95-S.Adams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 13 - No Play. | JAX +4.1% |
| Q1 | 4:23 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 18 | (4:23) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for -3 yards (94-A.Schobel, 95-S.Adams). | BUF +4.3% |
| Q1 | 3:40 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | JAX | 2nd & 13 | JAX 15 | (3:40) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-Ji.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at JAX 20. 22-N.Clements to JAX 18 for 2 yards (82-Ji.Smith). Pass tipped by receiver before INT on left side. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 03:34.) | BUF +11.0% |
| Q1 | 3:34 | JAX 0–BUF 0 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 18 | (3:34) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 17 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer; 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +1.5% |
| Q1 | 2:55 | JAX 0–BUF 6 | BUF | 2nd & 9 | JAX 17 | (2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline. | BUF +6.4% |
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | — | JAX 2 | 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | BUF +0.7% |
| Q1 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 69 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 1. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 27 for 26 yards (25-P.Prioleau; 55-A.Crowell). | JAX +0.7% |
| Q1 | 2:41 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (2:41) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 35 for 8 yards (27-C.Wire). | JAX +1.5% |
| Q1 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 2 | JAX 35 | (2:00) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 47 for 12 yards (23-T.Vincent). | BUF +0.0% |
| Q1 | 1:22 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 47 | (1:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 44 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q1 | 0:53 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 1 | BUF 44 | (:53) 22-L.Toefield right guard to BUF 42 for 2 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 90-C.Kelsay). | JAX +0.3% |
| Q1 | 0:14 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 42 | (:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-Ji.Smith. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, left side. Pressure on QB: R.Denney. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q1 | 0:07 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | BUF 42 | (:07) PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play. | BUF +1.2% |
| Q1 | 0:07 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 15 | BUF 47 | (:07) 28-F.Taylor right guard to BUF 48 for -1 yards (90-C.Kelsay). | BUF +2.2% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 16 | BUF 48 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 40 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey, 51-T.Spikes). | JAX +0.0% |
| Q2 | 14:17 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 4th & 8 | BUF 40 | (14:17) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick touched goal line. | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 14:06 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (14:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 33 for 13 yards (20-D.Darius, 37-D.Grant). | BUF +1.9% |
| Q2 | 13:31 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 33 | (13:31) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton. Pressure on QB: R.Meier. | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 13:24 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 10 | BUF 33 | (13:24) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 34 for 1 yard (51-A.Ayodele, 52-D.Smith). | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 12:45 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 9 | BUF 34 | (12:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw to BUF 41 for 7 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught in left flat at BUF 41. PENALTY on JAX-51-A.Ayodele, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 34 - No Play. | BUF +0.9% |
| Q2 | 12:18 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 4 | BUF 39 | (12:18) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to 50 for 11 yards (98-J.Henderson). Caught at BUF 45, right side. | BUF +0.8% |
| Q2 | 11:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | MID 50 | (11:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed to JAX 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +1.7% |
| Q2 | 11:22 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 5 | JAX 45 | (11:22) (No Huddle) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 38 for 7 yards (37-D.Grant). | BUF +1.6% |
| Q2 | 10:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 38 | (10:46) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 10:30 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 15 | JAX 43 | (10:30) (No Huddle) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to JAX 48 for -5 yards (54-M.Peterson). Screen pass left, caught at JAX 48. Pressure on QB by 3 Jaguars. | JAX +1.7% |
| Q2 | 9:48 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 20 | JAX 48 | (9:48) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at JAX 35 for 13 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught along left sideline at JAX 35. | BUF +1.3% |
| Q2 | 9:24 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 7 | JAX 35 | (9:24) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 29 for 6 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Measurement = fourth down. Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 28 for 7 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Ball respotted after forward progress credited upon review. | BUF +3.0% |
| Q2 | 9:05 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 28 | (9:05) 20-T.Henry left end to JAX 30 for -2 yards (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +0.7% |
| Q2 | 8:23 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 12 | JAX 30 | (8:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (51-A.Ayodele). Receiver and coverage at JAX 26, right sideline. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q2 | 8:15 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 12 | JAX 30 | (8:15) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 24 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q2 | 7:34 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 4th & 6 | JAX 24 | (7:34) 9-R.Lindell 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | JAX +7.0% |
| Q2 | 7:29 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 32 | (7:29) 28-F.Taylor right guard to JAX 33 for 1 yard (93-P.Williams, 59-L.Fletcher). | BUF +0.3% |
| Q2 | 6:51 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 9 | JAX 33 | (6:51) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 33, left side. Pressure on QB: A.Schobel, J.Posey. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q2 | 6:45 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 9 | JAX 33 | (6:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 31 for -2 yards (sack split by 98-R.Edwards and 25-P.Prioleau). | BUF +3.4% |
| Q2 | 6:29 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 4th & 11 | JAX 31 | (6:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 69 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick into end zone. | JAX +0.9% |
| Q2 | 6:20 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (6:20) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius, 30-D.Washington). | JAX +0.4% |
| Q2 | 5:40 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 4 | BUF 26 | (5:40) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson). | BUF +0.7% |
| Q2 | 5:03 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 1 | BUF 29 | (5:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld (27-R.Mathis). Receiver and coverage at BUF 30, right side. | JAX +2.3% |
| Q2 | 4:57 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | BUF | 4th & 1 | BUF 29 | (4:57) 8-B.Moorman punts 39 yards to JAX 32, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 39 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell). | JAX +3.5% |
| Q2 | 4:46 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 39 | (4:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 45 for 16 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught at BUF 46, right side. | JAX +1.5% |
| Q2 | 4:08 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 45 | (4:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 32 for 13 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 32. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q2 | 3:25 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (3:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to BUF 31 for 1 yard (95-S.Adams, 59-L.Fletcher). | BUF +2.0% |
| Q2 | 2:44 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 9 | BUF 31 | (2:44) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at BUF 20 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught along left sideline at BUF 29. | JAX +5.3% |
| Q2 | 2:19 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (2:19) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to BUF 17 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 59-L.Fletcher). | JAX +0.1% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 7 | BUF 17 | (2:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 17 - No Play. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 12 | BUF 22 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams pushed ob at BUF 15 for 7 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught along left sideline at BUF 15. | JAX +1.2% |
| Q2 | 1:55 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 5 | BUF 15 | (1:55) 22-L.Toefield left tackle to BUF 10 for 5 yards (96-J.Posey; 27-C.Wire). | JAX +3.6% |
| Q2 | 1:11 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 10 | (1:11) 33-G.Jones right guard to BUF 7 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 51-T.Spikes). | BUF +2.9% |
| Q2 | 0:33 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:33) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in rear left corner of end zone. | BUF +2.7% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | — | BUF 7 | Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:26. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:26 | JAX 0–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford. Ball caught of of end zone, over middle. Pressure on QB: T.Spikes. | BUF +4.6% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 0–BUF 7 | — | — | BUF 7 | Timeout #3 by JAX at 00:20. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:20 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 4th & 7 | BUF 7 | (:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | JAX +3.3% |
| Q2 | — | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 23 yards (35-D.Cooper). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q2 | 0:10 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (:10) 11-D.Bledsoe kneels to BUF 20 for -1 yards. | JAX +1.7% |
| Q3 | — | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 73 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -3. 24-T.McGee to BUF 17 for 20 yards (21-J.Bolden). | JAX +1.1% |
| Q3 | 14:54 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 17 | (14:54) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 20 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q3 | 14:19 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 7 | BUF 20 | (14:19) 11-D.Bledsoe right tackle to BUF 17 for -3 yards (95-P.Spicer). Broken play. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q3 | 13:45 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 10 | BUF 17 | (13:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 25 for 8 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught in right flat at BUF 25. | JAX +2.0% |
| Q3 | 13:11 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 4th & 2 | BUF 25 | (13:11) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to JAX 29, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 35 for 6 yards (54-J.Dorenbos). | JAX +0.2% |
| Q3 | 12:58 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 35 | (12:58) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to JAX 44 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught over middle at JAX 40. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q3 | 12:21 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 1 | JAX 44 | (12:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-67-V.Manuwai, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 44 - No Play. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q3 | 12:04 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 6 | JAX 39 | (12:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 43 for 4 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 43. | BUF +0.8% |
| Q3 | 11:22 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 2 | JAX 43 | (11:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at JAX 42 for -1 yards (57-J.Stamer). Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined. | BUF +4.1% |
| Q3 | 11:11 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 4th & 3 | JAX 42 | (11:11) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to BUF 18, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | JAX +1.1% |
| Q3 | 11:03 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 18 | (11:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, right side. Pressure on QB: L.Barnes. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q3 | 10:59 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 10 | BUF 18 | (10:59) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (52-D.Smith). Pass tipped at line, bounced short of receiver at BUF 25, left side. | JAX +2.1% |
| Q3 | 10:55 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 10 | BUF 18 | (10:55) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 32 for 14 yards (21-J.Bolden, 54-M.Peterson). | BUF +5.5% |
| Q3 | 10:22 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 32 | (10:22) 20-T.Henry left end pushed ob at BUF 36 for 4 yards (51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q3 | 9:57 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 6 | BUF 36 | (9:57) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 47 for 11 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught over middle at BUF 44. | BUF +1.4% |
| Q3 | 9:25 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 47 | (9:25) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 47 for no gain (54-M.Peterson, 52-D.Smith). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q3 | 8:48 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 10 | BUF 47 | (8:48) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 47 for 6 yards (98-J.Henderson, 51-A.Ayodele). | BUF +0.9% |
| Q3 | 8:05 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 4 | JAX 47 | (8:05) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds ran ob at JAX 41 for 6 yards. Caught at JAX 38, right sideline; receiver curled back after catch. | BUF +4.9% |
| Q3 | 7:39 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 41 | (7:39) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 43 for -2 yards (95-P.Spicer). | JAX +2.3% |
| Q3 | 6:57 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 12 | JAX 43 | (6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 48, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at 50. 20-D.Darius to 50 for no gain (83-L.Evans). Attempted backward pass to E.Moulds, never caught. | JAX +12.4% |
| Q3 | 6:50 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | MID 50 | (6:50) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 49 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). | BUF +1.9% |
| Q3 | 6:24 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 9 | BUF 49 | (6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at BUF 49 - No Play. | JAX +11.9% |
| Q3 | 6:15 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 11 | (6:15) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor left end pushed ob at BUF 5 for 6 yards (22-N.Clements). | JAX +0.6% |
| Q3 | 5:51 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 4 | BUF 5 | (5:51) (Shotgun) 22-L.Toefield up the middle to BUF 4 for 1 yard (96-J.Posey, 27-C.Wire). | BUF +3.8% |
| Q3 | 5:08 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 3 | BUF 4 | (5:08) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 1 for 3 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 1. PENALTY on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 4 - No Play. | BUF +0.9% |
| Q3 | 4:42 | JAX 3–BUF 7 | JAX | 3rd & 8 | BUF 9 | (4:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in back of end zone, right side. | BUF +4.3% |
| Q3 | 4:35 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | JAX | 4th & 8 | BUF 9 | (4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | BUF +2.6% |
| Q3 | — | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | — | JAX 30 | 10-J.Scobee kicks 78 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -8. 24-T.McGee, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 4:32 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 20 | (4:32) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (54-M.Peterson, 37-D.Grant). | BUF +0.3% |
| Q3 | 4:02 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 4 | BUF 26 | (4:02) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 27 for 1 yard (94-L.Barnes, 20-D.Darius). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q3 | 3:23 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 3 | BUF 27 | (3:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at BUF 31 for 4 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught along left sideline at BUF 31. | BUF +3.9% |
| Q3 | 3:00 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 31 | (3:00) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at BUF 44 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). WR screen right. | BUF +2.1% |
| Q3 | 2:39 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 44 | (2:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 2 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 96-W.Blade). | JAX +1.0% |
| Q3 | 2:02 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 8 | BUF 46 | (2:02) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 42, right sideline. Penalty on BUF-80-E.Moulds, Illegal Motion, declined. | JAX +3.4% |
| Q3 | 1:56 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 8 | BUF 46 | (1:56) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 84-M.Campbell to JAX 27 for 27 yards (20-D.Darius). FUMBLES (20-D.Darius), recovered by BUF-83-L.Evans at JAX 27. 83-L.Evans to JAX 27 for no gain (54-M.Peterson). Caught at JAX 40, over middle. | BUF +11.3% |
| Q3 | 1:10 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (1:10) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (20-D.Darius). Receiver and coverage at JAX 15, over middle. | JAX +1.8% |
| Q3 | 1:05 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 10 | JAX 27 | (1:05) 20-T.Henry left guard to JAX 27 for no gain (93-B.McCray). | JAX +2.7% |
| Q3 | 0:25 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 10 | JAX 27 | (:25) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 21-W.McGahee to JAX 15 for 12 yards (95-P.Spicer, 35-D.Cooper). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 30. | BUF +5.1% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 15 | (15:00) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 13 for 2 yards (99-M.Stroud). | JAX +0.4% |
| Q4 | 14:21 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 8 | JAX 13 | (14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7. | JAX +17.3% |
| Q4 | 14:09 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 12 | (14:09) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 16 for 4 yards (93-P.Williams; 95-S.Adams). | BUF +0.4% |
| Q4 | 13:28 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 6 | JAX 16 | (13:28) 28-F.Taylor left end to JAX 27 for 11 yards (96-J.Posey, 22-N.Clements). | JAX +2.5% |
| Q4 | 12:49 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 27 | (12:49) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 24 for -3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Initial pressure on QB: A.Schobel. | BUF +4.7% |
| Q4 | 12:17 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | JAX | 2nd & 13 | JAX 24 | (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. | BUF +21.5% |
| Q4 | 12:06 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 1st & 3 | JAX 3 | (12:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 2 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson). | JAX +1.2% |
| Q4 | 11:29 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 2nd & 2 | JAX 2 | (11:29) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 1 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer). | JAX +2.0% |
| Q4 | 10:47 | JAX 6–BUF 7 | BUF | 3rd & 1 | JAX 1 | (10:47) 11-D.Bledsoe sacked at JAX 7 for -6 yards (94-L.Barnes). | JAX +8.1% |
| Q4 | 10:19 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 4th & 7 | JAX 7 | (10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | — | BUF 30 | 9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 3. 84-J.Lewis pushed ob at BUF 34 for 63 yards (24-T.McGee). Return actually to BUF 34, but credited to JAX 22 (spot of foul) - 19-yd. return. PENALTY on JAX-57-T.Hendricks, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 22. | BUF +2.9% |
| Q4 | 10:05 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 12 | (10:05) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith (51-T.Spikes). Receiver and coverage at JAX 16, right side. | BUF +1.5% |
| Q4 | 10:01 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | JAX 12 | (10:01) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to JAX 21 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught in right flat at JAX 20. | JAX +2.2% |
| Q4 | 9:16 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 3rd & 1 | JAX 21 | (9:16) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 25 for 4 yards (51-T.Spikes, 22-N.Clements). Caught at JAX 25, left side. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q4 | 8:34 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Through receiver's hands at JAX 25, right side. | BUF +1.9% |
| Q4 | 8:29 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, receiver at JAX 24, right side. Penalty on BUF-93-P.Williams, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Shift, offsetting. | BUF +4.2% |
| Q4 | 8:24 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 10 | JAX 25 | (8:24) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 8:24 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 15 | JAX 20 | (8:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 22 for 2 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught along right sideline at JAX 22. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q4 | 7:55 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 3rd & 13 | JAX 22 | (7:55) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 20 for -2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 19. | BUF +6.4% |
| Q4 | 7:23 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 4th & 15 | JAX 20 | (7:23) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to BUF 43, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements. | JAX +0.2% |
| Q4 | 7:13 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 1st & 10 | BUF 43 | (7:13) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 49 for 8 yards (27-R.Mathis). | BUF +1.3% |
| Q4 | 6:28 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 2nd & 2 | JAX 49 | (6:28) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 46 for 3 yards (20-D.Darius). | BUF +0.0% |
| Q4 | 5:46 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 46 | (5:46) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 43 for 3 yards (54-M.Peterson). | BUF +0.5% |
| Q4 | 5:03 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 2nd & 7 | JAX 43 | (5:03) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 38 for 5 yards (93-B.McCray). | BUF +0.1% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | — | JAX 38 | Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:17. | BUF +1.6% |
| Q4 | 4:17 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 3rd & 2 | JAX 38 | (4:17) PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 4:17 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 1st & 10 | JAX 33 | (4:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 28 for 5 yards (27-R.Mathis). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | 3:35 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 2nd & 5 | JAX 28 | (3:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 25 for 3 yards (99-M.Stroud). | BUF +1.1% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | — | JAX 25 | Timeout #2 by BUF at 02:45. | JAX +5.0% |
| Q4 | 2:45 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 3rd & 2 | JAX 25 | (2:45) 21-W.McGahee right guard to JAX 21 for 4 yards (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:39 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 3rd & 12 | JAX 35 | (2:39) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (35-D.Cooper, 21-J.Bolden). | BUF +0.2% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | — | JAX 33 | Timeout #1 by JAX at 02:18. | JAX +1.6% |
| Q4 | 2:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 4th & 10 | JAX 33 | (2:18) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | BUF | 4th & 15 | JAX 38 | (2:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 18 yards to JAX 20, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, downed by BUF-24-T.McGee. Penalty on BUF-54-J.Dorenbos, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty before kick. | JAX +7.0% |
| Q4 | 2:07 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 20 | (2:07) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams to JAX 22 for 2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught over middle at JAX 22. | JAX +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 8 | JAX 22 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards ran ob at JAX 38 for 16 yards. Caught along left sideline at JAX 38. | JAX +4.1% |
| Q4 | 1:55 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 10 | JAX 38 | (1:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 33 for -5 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Dump pass right, caught at JAX 33. | BUF +6.6% |
| Q4 | 1:28 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 15 | JAX 33 | (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at JAX 34 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 34. | BUF +2.9% |
| Q4 | 1:23 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 3rd & 14 | JAX 34 | (1:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards (95-S.Adams, 24-T.McGee). Pass tipped by S.Adams at line, then nearly intercepted by T.McGee at JAX 48, left side. | BUF +5.1% |
| Q4 | 1:18 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 4th & 14 | JAX 34 | (1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side. | JAX +37.3% |
| Q4 | 1:06 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 10 | BUF 21 | (1:06) PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 21 - No Play. Player kicked ball. | JAX +6.8% |
| Q4 | 0:52 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 5 | BUF 16 | (:52) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 5, left side. | BUF +2.8% |
| Q4 | 0:47 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 5 | BUF 16 | (:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 13 for 3 yards (96-J.Posey). | JAX +0.8% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 6–BUF 10 | — | — | BUF 13 | Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:36. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 0:36 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 3rd & 2 | BUF 13 | (:36) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Thrown wide of receiver at BUF 7, right side. | BUF +12.4% |
| Q4 | 0:33 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 4th & 2 | BUF 13 | (:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 7 for 6 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught at BUF 7, over middle crossing from right. | JAX +10.7% |
| Q4 | 0:14 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 1st & 7 | BUF 7 | (:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in front left corner of end zone. | BUF +3.9% |
| Q4 | 0:10 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 2nd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:10) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, over middle at goal line. | BUF +5.0% |
| Q4 | 0:07 | JAX 6–BUF 10 | JAX | 3rd & 7 | BUF 7 | (:07) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in rear of end zone, right side. | BUF +8.3% |
| Q4 | 0:04 | JAX 12–BUF 10 | JAX | 4th & 7 | BUF 7 | (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld. | JAX +57.5% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 12–BUF 10 | — | — | BUF 2 | Timeout #3 by BUF at 00:00. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | — | JAX 13–BUF 10 | JAX | — | BUF 2 | 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. | JAX +5.4% |
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 41.1%
9-R.Lindell kicks 60 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 10. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 24 for 14 yards (53-M.Haggan).
Q1 14:54 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 58.3%
(14:54) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 24 for no gain (95-S.Adams).
Q1 14:18 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 58.8%
(14:18) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 26 for 2 yards (23-T.Vincent, 59-L.Fletcher). Swing pass right, caught at JAX 26.
Q1 13:35 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 60.6%
(13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Pressure on QB: P.Prioleau. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 27, right side.
Q1 13:29 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.3%
Win probability: BUF 63.6%
(13:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 42 yards to BUF 32, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q1 13:21 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 65.9%
(13:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 40 for 8 yards (51-A.Ayodele). Swing pass left, caught at BUF 34.
Q1 12:40 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +4.2%
Win probability: JAX 32.0%
(12:40) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 37-D.Grant).
Q1 11:54 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 36.2%
(11:54) 82-J.Reed to BUF 38 for -7 yards (94-L.Barnes). End around, handoff from QB.
Q1 11:15 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 61.8%
(11:15) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed (30-D.Washington). Receiver and coverage at BUF 43, left side. PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play.
Q1 11:08 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.1%
Win probability: JAX 37.7%
(11:08) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 43 for no gain (98-J.Henderson, 54-M.Peterson).
Q1 10:30 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +3.1%
Win probability: JAX 39.7%
(10:30) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw. Overthrown, receiver at JAX 48, right side.
Q1 10:24 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 57.2%
(10:24) 8-B.Moorman punts 40 yards to JAX 17, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 26 for 9 yards (54-J.Dorenbos).
Q1 10:12 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 58.5%
(10:12) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 28 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey, 90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 9:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 59.3%
(9:34) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel, 27-C.Wire).
Q1 8:48 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +3.5%
Win probability: BUF 60.2%
(8:48) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Overthrown screen pass, receiver at JAX 22, left side. Pressure: P.Prioleau.
Q1 8:42 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +3.4%
Win probability: JAX 36.2%
(8:42) 2-C.Hanson punts 54 yards to BUF 16, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 22-N.Clements to BUF 21 for 5 yards (50-T.Gilbert). PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 21.
Q1 8:29 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 39.7%
(8:29) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 15 for 4 yards (54-M.Peterson).
Q1 7:58 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 40.4%
(7:58) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to BUF 21 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele; 54-M.Peterson). Dump pass right, caught at BUF 15.
Q1 7:15 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 41.4%
(7:15) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 16 for -5 yards (92-R.Meier).
Q1 6:35 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 56.6%
(6:35) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 25 for 9 yards (99-M.Stroud; 54-M.Peterson). Caught at BUF 21, right side.
Q1 5:53 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 40.9%
(5:53) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 81-B.Shaw (37-D.Grant). Receiver and coverage over middle at BUF 30.
Q1 5:48 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 56.3%
(5:48) 8-B.Moorman punts 80 yards to JAX -5, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 7 for 12 yards (24-T.McGee).
Q1 5:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 59.2%
(5:34) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 83-T.Yoder. Thrown wide of receiver at JAX 8, left side. Pressure on QB: S.Adams.
Q1 5:30 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 60.5%
(5:30) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 13 for 6 yards (27-C.Wire, 94-A.Schobel).
Q1 4:47 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 39.4%
(4:47) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for 2 yards (96-J.Posey). PENALTY on BUF-95-S.Adams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 13 - No Play.
Q1 4:23 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +4.3%
Win probability: BUF 56.5%
(4:23) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 15 for -3 yards (94-A.Schobel, 95-S.Adams).
Q1 3:40 · JAX 0–BUF 0
BUF +11.0%
Win probability: BUF 60.8%
(3:40) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-Ji.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at JAX 20. 22-N.Clements to JAX 18 for 2 yards (82-Ji.Smith). Pass tipped by receiver before INT on left side. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 03:34.)
Q1 3:34 · JAX 0–BUF 0
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 28.1%
(3:34) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 17 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer; 54-M.Peterson).
Q1 2:55 · JAX 0–BUF 6
BUF +6.4%
Win probability: BUF 70.4%
(2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline.
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 76.7%
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q1 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 22.6%
9-R.Lindell kicks 69 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 1. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 27 for 26 yards (25-P.Prioleau; 55-A.Crowell).
Q1 2:41 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 23.2%
(2:41) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 35 for 8 yards (27-C.Wire).
Q1 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 75.3%
(2:00) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 47 for 12 yards (23-T.Vincent).
Q1 1:22 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 24.7%
(1:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 44 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent).
Q1 0:53 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.3%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(:53) 22-L.Toefield right guard to BUF 42 for 2 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 0:14 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 73.8%
(:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-Ji.Smith. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, left side. Pressure on QB: R.Denney.
Q1 0:07 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 75.1%
(:07) PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play.
Q1 0:07 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 76.3%
(:07) 28-F.Taylor right guard to BUF 48 for -1 yards (90-C.Kelsay).
Q2 15:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 21.4%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 40 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey, 51-T.Spikes).
Q2 14:17 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 21.5%
(14:17) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick touched goal line.
Q2 14:06 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(14:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 33 for 13 yards (20-D.Darius, 37-D.Grant).
Q2 13:31 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 20.0%
(13:31) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton. Pressure on QB: R.Meier.
Q2 13:24 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 20.4%
(13:24) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 34 for 1 yard (51-A.Ayodele, 52-D.Smith).
Q2 12:45 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.5%
(12:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw to BUF 41 for 7 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught in left flat at BUF 41. PENALTY on JAX-51-A.Ayodele, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 34 - No Play.
Q2 12:18 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 79.3%
(12:18) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to 50 for 11 yards (98-J.Henderson). Caught at BUF 45, right side.
Q2 11:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 80.1%
(11:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed to JAX 45 for 5 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q2 11:22 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 81.8%
(11:22) (No Huddle) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 38 for 7 yards (37-D.Grant).
Q2 10:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 16.6%
(10:46) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play.
Q2 10:30 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 17.7%
(10:30) (No Huddle) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 20-T.Henry to JAX 48 for -5 yards (54-M.Peterson). Screen pass left, caught at JAX 48. Pressure on QB by 3 Jaguars.
Q2 9:48 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 80.6%
(9:48) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at JAX 35 for 13 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught along left sideline at JAX 35.
Q2 9:24 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 82.0%
(9:24) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 29 for 6 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Measurement = fourth down. Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 28 for 7 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught along right sideline at JAX 29. Ball respotted after forward progress credited upon review.
Q2 9:05 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 15.0%
(9:05) 20-T.Henry left end to JAX 30 for -2 yards (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson).
Q2 8:23 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 15.7%
(8:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (51-A.Ayodele). Receiver and coverage at JAX 26, right sideline.
Q2 8:15 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 83.2%
(8:15) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 24 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q2 7:34 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +7.0%
Win probability: JAX 16.7%
(7:34) 9-R.Lindell 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q2 7:29 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 76.3%
(7:29) 28-F.Taylor right guard to JAX 33 for 1 yard (93-P.Williams, 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 6:51 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 76.7%
(6:51) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 33, left side. Pressure on QB: A.Schobel, J.Posey.
Q2 6:45 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +3.4%
Win probability: BUF 78.6%
(6:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 31 for -2 yards (sack split by 98-R.Edwards and 25-P.Prioleau).
Q2 6:29 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.9%
Win probability: JAX 18.0%
(6:29) 2-C.Hanson punts 69 yards to end zone, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Touchback. Kick into end zone.
Q2 6:20 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 18.9%
(6:20) 20-T.Henry left tackle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius, 30-D.Washington).
Q2 5:40 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 80.7%
(5:40) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson).
Q2 5:03 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 18.6%
(5:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld (27-R.Mathis). Receiver and coverage at BUF 30, right side.
Q2 4:57 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +3.5%
Win probability: JAX 20.9%
(4:57) 8-B.Moorman punts 39 yards to JAX 32, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 39 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q2 4:46 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(4:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 45 for 16 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught at BUF 46, right side.
Q2 4:08 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(4:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 32 for 13 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 32.
Q2 3:25 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.0%
Win probability: BUF 72.1%
(3:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to BUF 31 for 1 yard (95-S.Adams, 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 2:44 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +5.3%
Win probability: JAX 25.9%
(2:44) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at BUF 20 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught along left sideline at BUF 29.
Q2 2:19 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +0.1%
Win probability: JAX 31.1%
(2:19) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to BUF 17 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 68.8%
(2:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 17 - No Play.
Q2 2:00 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 29.1%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams pushed ob at BUF 15 for 7 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught along left sideline at BUF 15.
Q2 1:55 · JAX 0–BUF 7
JAX +3.6%
Win probability: JAX 30.2%
(1:55) 22-L.Toefield left tackle to BUF 10 for 5 yards (96-J.Posey; 27-C.Wire).
Q2 1:11 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 66.2%
(1:11) 33-G.Jones right guard to BUF 7 for 3 yards (27-C.Wire; 51-T.Spikes).
Q2 0:33 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +2.7%
Win probability: BUF 69.1%
(:33) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in rear left corner of end zone.
Q2 · JAX 0–BUF 7
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:26.
Q2 0:26 · JAX 0–BUF 7
BUF +4.6%
Win probability: BUF 71.8%
(:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford. Ball caught of of end zone, over middle. Pressure on QB: T.Spikes.
Q2 · JAX 0–BUF 7
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by JAX at 00:20.
Q2 0:20 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +3.3%
Win probability: JAX 23.6%
(:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
Q2 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 26.9%
10-J.Scobee kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 23 yards (35-D.Cooper).
Q2 0:10 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 28.0%
(:10) 11-D.Bledsoe kneels to BUF 20 for -1 yards.
Q3 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 29.7%
10-J.Scobee kicks 73 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -3. 24-T.McGee to BUF 17 for 20 yards (21-J.Bolden).
Q3 14:54 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 30.7%
(14:54) 20-T.Henry right guard to BUF 20 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson).
Q3 14:19 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.7%
(14:19) 11-D.Bledsoe right tackle to BUF 17 for -3 yards (95-P.Spicer). Broken play.
Q3 13:45 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.7%
(13:45) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 25 for 8 yards (21-J.Bolden). Caught in right flat at BUF 25.
Q3 13:11 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.2%
Win probability: JAX 33.7%
(13:11) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to JAX 29, Center-54-J.Dorenbos. 84-J.Lewis to JAX 35 for 6 yards (54-J.Dorenbos).
Q3 12:58 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 34.0%
(12:58) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to JAX 44 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught over middle at JAX 40.
Q3 12:21 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 64.4%
(12:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-67-V.Manuwai, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 44 - No Play.
Q3 12:04 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 66.3%
(12:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 43 for 4 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 43.
Q3 11:22 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.1%
Win probability: BUF 67.1%
(11:22) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at JAX 42 for -1 yards (57-J.Stamer). Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q3 11:11 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 28.8%
(11:11) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to BUF 18, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q3 11:03 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 29.9%
(11:03) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 88-R.Neufeld. Underthrown, receiver at BUF 20, right side. Pressure on QB: L.Barnes.
Q3 10:59 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.1%
Win probability: JAX 31.5%
(10:59) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (52-D.Smith). Pass tipped at line, bounced short of receiver at BUF 25, left side.
Q3 10:55 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +5.5%
Win probability: BUF 66.4%
(10:55) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 32 for 14 yards (21-J.Bolden, 54-M.Peterson).
Q3 10:22 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 71.9%
(10:22) 20-T.Henry left end pushed ob at BUF 36 for 4 yards (51-A.Ayodele).
Q3 9:57 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 72.1%
(9:57) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to BUF 47 for 11 yards (30-D.Washington). Caught over middle at BUF 44.
Q3 9:25 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 26.6%
(9:25) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 47 for no gain (54-M.Peterson, 52-D.Smith).
Q3 8:48 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 72.2%
(8:48) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 47 for 6 yards (98-J.Henderson, 51-A.Ayodele).
Q3 8:05 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.9%
Win probability: BUF 73.2%
(8:05) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds ran ob at JAX 41 for 6 yards. Caught at JAX 38, right sideline; receiver curled back after catch.
Q3 7:39 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 21.9%
(7:39) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 43 for -2 yards (95-P.Spicer).
Q3 6:57 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +12.4%
Win probability: JAX 24.2%
(6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 48, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at 50. 20-D.Darius to 50 for no gain (83-L.Evans). Attempted backward pass to E.Moulds, never caught.
Q3 6:50 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 63.4%
(6:50) 28-F.Taylor right end pushed ob at BUF 49 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent).
Q3 6:24 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +11.9%
Win probability: JAX 34.7%
(6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at BUF 49 - No Play.
Q3 6:15 · JAX 3–BUF 7
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 46.6%
(6:15) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor left end pushed ob at BUF 5 for 6 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q3 5:51 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +3.8%
Win probability: BUF 52.8%
(5:51) (Shotgun) 22-L.Toefield up the middle to BUF 4 for 1 yard (96-J.Posey, 27-C.Wire).
Q3 5:08 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 56.6%
(5:08) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 1 for 3 yards (43-I.Reese). Caught over middle at BUF 1. PENALTY on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 4 - No Play.
Q3 4:42 · JAX 3–BUF 7
BUF +4.3%
Win probability: BUF 57.5%
(4:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in back of end zone, right side.
Q3 4:35 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 61.9%
(4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
Q3 · JAX 6–BUF 7
+0.0%
10-J.Scobee kicks 78 yards from JAX 30 to BUF -8. 24-T.McGee, Touchback.
Q3 4:32 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 64.5%
(4:32) 20-T.Henry up the middle to BUF 26 for 6 yards (54-M.Peterson, 37-D.Grant).
Q3 4:02 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 35.3%
(4:02) 20-T.Henry left guard to BUF 27 for 1 yard (94-L.Barnes, 20-D.Darius).
Q3 3:23 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 62.7%
(3:23) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at BUF 31 for 4 yards (27-R.Mathis). Caught along left sideline at BUF 31.
Q3 3:00 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 66.5%
(3:00) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at BUF 44 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). WR screen right.
Q3 2:39 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.4%
(2:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 2 yards (51-A.Ayodele, 96-W.Blade).
Q3 2:02 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +3.4%
Win probability: JAX 32.4%
(2:02) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 82-J.Reed. Underthrown, receiver at JAX 42, right sideline. Penalty on BUF-80-E.Moulds, Illegal Motion, declined.
Q3 1:56 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +11.3%
Win probability: BUF 64.2%
(1:56) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 84-M.Campbell to JAX 27 for 27 yards (20-D.Darius). FUMBLES (20-D.Darius), recovered by BUF-83-L.Evans at JAX 27. 83-L.Evans to JAX 27 for no gain (54-M.Peterson). Caught at JAX 40, over middle.
Q3 1:10 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.8%
Win probability: JAX 24.6%
(1:10) 11-D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to 84-M.Campbell (20-D.Darius). Receiver and coverage at JAX 15, over middle.
Q3 1:05 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.7%
Win probability: JAX 26.4%
(1:05) 20-T.Henry left guard to JAX 27 for no gain (93-B.McCray).
Q3 0:25 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +5.1%
Win probability: BUF 70.9%
(:25) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 21-W.McGahee to JAX 15 for 12 yards (95-P.Spicer, 35-D.Cooper). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 30.
Q4 15:00 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 24.0%
(15:00) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 13 for 2 yards (99-M.Stroud).
Q4 14:21 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +17.3%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7.
Q4 14:09 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 58.3%
(14:09) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 16 for 4 yards (93-P.Williams; 95-S.Adams).
Q4 13:28 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.5%
Win probability: JAX 41.3%
(13:28) 28-F.Taylor left end to JAX 27 for 11 yards (96-J.Posey, 22-N.Clements).
Q4 12:49 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +4.7%
Win probability: BUF 56.3%
(12:49) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 24 for -3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Initial pressure on QB: A.Schobel.
Q4 12:17 · JAX 6–BUF 7
BUF +21.5%
Win probability: BUF 61.0%
(12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Q4 12:06 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 17.5%
(12:06) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 2 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith, 54-M.Peterson).
Q4 11:29 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 18.7%
(11:29) 20-T.Henry right guard to JAX 1 for 1 yard (95-P.Spicer).
Q4 10:47 · JAX 6–BUF 7
JAX +8.1%
Win probability: JAX 20.7%
(10:47) 11-D.Bledsoe sacked at JAX 7 for -6 yards (94-L.Barnes).
Q4 10:19 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 71.1%
(10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 71.4%
9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to JAX 3. 84-J.Lewis pushed ob at BUF 34 for 63 yards (24-T.McGee). Return actually to BUF 34, but credited to JAX 22 (spot of foul) - 19-yd. return. PENALTY on JAX-57-T.Hendricks, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 22.
Q4 10:05 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 74.3%
(10:05) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith (51-T.Spikes). Receiver and coverage at JAX 16, right side.
Q4 10:01 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +2.2%
Win probability: JAX 24.2%
(10:01) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to JAX 21 for 9 yards (23-T.Vincent). Caught in right flat at JAX 20.
Q4 9:16 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 26.4%
(9:16) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 44-M.Edwards to JAX 25 for 4 yards (51-T.Spikes, 22-N.Clements). Caught at JAX 25, left side.
Q4 8:34 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 72.0%
(8:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 28-F.Taylor. Through receiver's hands at JAX 25, right side.
Q4 8:29 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +4.2%
Win probability: BUF 73.9%
(8:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, receiver at JAX 24, right side. Penalty on BUF-93-P.Williams, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-16-T.Edwards, Illegal Shift, offsetting.
Q4 8:24 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(8:24) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.
Q4 8:24 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 21.9%
(8:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards pushed ob at JAX 22 for 2 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught along right sideline at JAX 22.
Q4 7:55 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +6.4%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(7:55) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 20 for -2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Screen pass right, caught at JAX 19.
Q4 7:23 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.2%
Win probability: JAX 15.5%
(7:23) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to BUF 43, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 22-N.Clements.
Q4 7:13 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 84.4%
(7:13) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 49 for 8 yards (27-R.Mathis).
Q4 6:28 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 85.7%
(6:28) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 46 for 3 yards (20-D.Darius).
Q4 5:46 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 85.7%
(5:46) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 43 for 3 yards (54-M.Peterson).
Q4 5:03 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 86.2%
(5:03) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 38 for 5 yards (93-B.McCray).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 86.3%
Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:17.
Q4 4:17 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(4:17) PENALTY on JAX-99-M.Stroud, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play.
Q4 4:17 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 87.8%
(4:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 28 for 5 yards (27-R.Mathis).
Q4 3:35 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 88.0%
(3:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to JAX 25 for 3 yards (99-M.Stroud).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +5.0%
Win probability: JAX 10.9%
Timeout #2 by BUF at 02:45.
Q4 2:45 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(2:45) 21-W.McGahee right guard to JAX 21 for 4 yards (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on BUF-58-C.Villarrial, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.
Q4 2:39 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 84.1%
(2:39) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (35-D.Cooper, 21-J.Bolden).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +1.6%
Win probability: JAX 15.7%
Timeout #1 by JAX at 02:18.
Q4 2:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
(2:18) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play.
Q4 2:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +7.0%
Win probability: JAX 17.3%
(2:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 18 yards to JAX 20, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, downed by BUF-24-T.McGee. Penalty on BUF-54-J.Dorenbos, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty before kick.
Q4 2:07 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 24.3%
(2:07) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams to JAX 22 for 2 yards (51-T.Spikes). Caught over middle at JAX 22.
Q4 2:00 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 24.4%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards ran ob at JAX 38 for 16 yards. Caught along left sideline at JAX 38.
Q4 1:55 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +6.6%
Win probability: BUF 71.5%
(1:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 22-L.Toefield to JAX 33 for -5 yards (59-L.Fletcher). Dump pass right, caught at JAX 33.
Q4 1:28 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.1%
(1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at JAX 34 for 1 yard (23-T.Vincent). Caught along right sideline at JAX 34.
Q4 1:23 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +5.1%
Win probability: BUF 80.9%
(1:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards (95-S.Adams, 24-T.McGee). Pass tipped by S.Adams at line, then nearly intercepted by T.McGee at JAX 48, left side.
Q4 1:18 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +37.3%
Win probability: JAX 14.0%
(1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side.
Q4 1:06 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +6.8%
Win probability: JAX 51.4%
(1:06) PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 21 - No Play. Player kicked ball.
Q4 0:52 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +2.8%
Win probability: BUF 41.9%
(:52) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 5, left side.
Q4 0:47 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 55.3%
(:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich up the middle to BUF 13 for 3 yards (96-J.Posey).
Q4 · JAX 6–BUF 10
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:36.
Q4 0:36 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +12.4%
Win probability: BUF 43.9%
(:36) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Thrown wide of receiver at BUF 7, right side.
Q4 0:33 · JAX 6–BUF 10
JAX +10.7%
Win probability: JAX 43.8%
(:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to BUF 7 for 6 yards (24-T.McGee). Caught at BUF 7, over middle crossing from right.
Q4 0:14 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 45.6%
(:14) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in front left corner of end zone.
Q4 0:10 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +5.0%
Win probability: BUF 49.5%
(:10) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 16-T.Edwards. Dropped, over middle at goal line.
Q4 0:07 · JAX 6–BUF 10
BUF +8.3%
Win probability: BUF 54.5%
(:07) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. Overthrown, receiver in rear of end zone, right side.
Q4 0:04 · JAX 12–BUF 10
JAX +57.5%
Win probability: JAX 37.2%
(:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.
Q4 · JAX 12–BUF 10
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by BUF at 00:00.
Q4 · JAX 13–BUF 10
JAX +5.4%
Win probability: JAX 94.6%
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.