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BUF Buffalo Bills@MIA Miami Dolphins

23–24 · Miami Dolphins won
2005-12-04 · Regular Week 13
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i
Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 26.72 which ranks in the 98.6 percentile.
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THRILLA
99percentile
Raw Score: 26.72
i
Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.51, which ranks in the 69.8 percentile.
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GEI
70percentile
Raw Score: 4.51
i
Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Miami Dolphins fell to a 1.6% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 5.93 which ranks in the 99.3 percentile.
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Comeback
99percentile
Raw Score: 5.93
i
Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 23.75 which ranks in the 96.5 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 2 × 3pts = 6pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 8 × 0.5pts = 4pts
  • Turnovers: 6 × 0.75pts = 4.5pts
  • Sacks: 5 × 0.1pts = 0.5pts
  • Safeties: 1 × 0.75pts = 0.75pts
  • Touchdowns: 6 × 1pts = 6pts
Total: 23.75pts
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Audience
97percentile
Raw Score: 23.75
Spread
MIA -3
O/U 35.5
MIA
BUF
Biggest Play
Q4 0:06 · BUF 23–MIA 23
MIA +54.4%
Win probability: MIA 25.5%
MIA4th & 4 · BUF 4
(:06) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Game Log
QtrClockScorePoss.Down & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—BUF 0–MIA 0BUF—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 68 yards from MIA 30 to BUF 2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 39 for 37 yards (42-N.LeJeune).BUF +2.4%
Q114:52BUF 0–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 39(14:52) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 7 yards (30-L.Schulters).BUF +1.3%
Q114:17BUF 0–MIA 0BUF2nd & 3BUF 46(14:17) 7-J.Losman pass to 21-W.McGahee to MIA 49 for 5 yards (91-V.Holliday).BUF +1.3%
Q113:38BUF 0–MIA 0BUF1st & 10MIA 49(13:38) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to MIA 46 for 3 yards (56-D.Pope).MIA +1.4%
Q112:55BUF 6–MIA 0BUF2nd & 7MIA 46(12:55) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +11.9%
Q1—BUF 7–MIA 0BUF—MIA 29-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.BUF +0.3%
Q1—BUF 7–MIA 0MIA—BUF 309-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 3. 83-W.Welker to MIA 16 for 13 yards (29-E.King).BUF +0.3%
Q112:41BUF 7–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 16(12:41) 23-R.Brown left tackle to MIA 17 for 1 yard (90-C.Kelsay).BUF +1.7%
Q112:09BUF 7–MIA 0MIA2nd & 9MIA 17(12:09) 23-R.Brown left tackle to MIA 22 for 5 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 24-T.McGee).BUF +1.2%
Q111:29BUF 7–MIA 0MIA3rd & 4MIA 22(11:29) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 42 for 20 yards (22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (22-N.Clements), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 44. 24-T.McGee to BUF 44 for no gain (82-B.Gilmore).BUF +3.4%
Q111:18BUF 13–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 44(11:18) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +11.4%
Q1—BUF 14–MIA 0BUF—MIA 29-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.BUF +0.2%
Q1—BUF 14–MIA 0MIA—BUF 309-R.Lindell kicks 66 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 4. 83-W.Welker to MIA 25 for 21 yards (20-S.Williams).MIA +0.5%
Q111:02BUF 14–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 25(11:02) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 33 for 8 yards (36-L.Milloy).MIA +2.1%
Q110:34BUF 14–MIA 0MIA2nd & 2MIA 33(10:34) (No Huddle) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 47 for 14 yards (55-A.Crowell; 22-N.Clements).MIA +1.3%
Q110:00BUF 14–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 47(10:00) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 47 for 6 yards (94-A.Schobel; 90-C.Kelsay).BUF +0.5%
Q19:30BUF 14–MIA 0MIA2nd & 4BUF 47(9:30) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown left tackle to BUF 40 for 7 yards (22-N.Clements).MIA +1.1%
Q18:58BUF 14–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 40(8:58) (No Huddle) 11-G.Frerotte sacked at BUF 49 for -9 yards (59-L.Fletcher).BUF +2.5%
Q18:28BUF 14–MIA 0MIA2nd & 19BUF 49(8:28) 23-R.Brown left tackle to BUF 46 for 3 yards (94-A.Schobel).BUF +1.3%
Q17:48BUF 14–MIA 0MIA3rd & 16BUF 46(7:48) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +3.1%
Q17:43BUF 14–MIA 0MIA4th & 16BUF 46(7:43) 5-D.Jones punts 30 yards to BUF 16, Center-97-J.Denney, fair catch by 11-R.Parrish.MIA +3.8%
Q17:34BUF 14–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 16(7:34) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 20 for 4 yards (90-J.Zgonina; 59-D.Spragan).BUF +1.2%
Q16:56BUF 14–MIA 0BUF2nd & 6BUF 20(6:56) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 24 for 4 yards (59-D.Spragan).BUF +0.4%
Q16:11BUF 14–MIA 0BUF3rd & 2BUF 24(6:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (21-T.Daniels).MIA +3.1%
Q16:05BUF 14–MIA 0BUF4th & 2BUF 24(6:05) 8-B.Moorman punts 53 yards to MIA 23, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 22 for -1 yards (33-J.Greer).BUF +2.4%
Q15:54BUF 14–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 22(5:54) 34-R.Williams left guard to MIA 22 for no gain (90-C.Kelsay).BUF +1.4%
Q15:18BUF 14–MIA 0MIA2nd & 10MIA 22(5:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +0.8%
Q15:09BUF 14–MIA 0MIA3rd & 10MIA 22(5:09) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (33-J.Greer).BUF +2.3%
Q15:08BUF 14–MIA 0MIA4th & 10MIA 22(5:08) 5-D.Jones punts 40 yards to BUF 38, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to MIA 26 for 36 yards (5-D.Jones).BUF +1.4%
Q14:57BUF 14–MIA 0BUF1st & 10MIA 26(4:57) 21-W.McGahee right end to MIA 23 for 3 yards (21-T.Daniels; 26-T.Tillman).BUF +1.0%
Q14:23BUF 14–MIA 0BUF2nd & 7MIA 23(4:23) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 80-E.Moulds.MIA +0.9%
Q14:18BUF 14–MIA 0BUF3rd & 7MIA 23(4:18) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 21-W.McGahee to MIA 10 for 13 yards (52-C.Crowder).BUF +2.5%
Q13:39BUF 14–MIA 0BUF1st & 10MIA 10(3:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to MIA 5 for 5 yards (93-K.Carter).MIA +0.5%
Q13:03BUF 14–MIA 0BUF2nd & 5MIA 5(3:03) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to MIA 4 for 1 yard (21-T.Daniels; 91-V.Holliday).BUF +0.1%
Q12:19BUF 20–MIA 0BUF3rd & 4MIA 4(2:19) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIA +1.2%
Q1—BUF 21–MIA 0BUF—MIA 29-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.BUF +0.2%
Q1—BUF 21–MIA 0MIA—BUF 309-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 3. 83-W.Welker to MIA 20 for 17 yards (82-J.Reed). PENALTY on BUF-27-C.Wire, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 20.MIA +1.8%
Q12:08BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 35(2:08) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 39 for 4 yards (96-J.Posey).BUF +0.9%
Q11:30BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 6MIA 39(1:30) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 46 for 7 yards (59-L.Fletcher).BUF +0.3%
Q11:01BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 46(1:01) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 50 for 4 yards (55-A.Crowell).MIA +0.5%
Q10:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 6MID 50(:41) 34-R.Williams right tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (36-L.Milloy).MIA +0.6%
Q215:00BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 1BUF 45(15:00) 34-R.Williams right end to BUF 44 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher).MIA +0.4%
Q214:26BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 44(14:26) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers ran ob at BUF 39 for 5 yards.BUF +0.9%
Q214:07BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 5BUF 39(14:07) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 28 for 11 yards (59-L.Fletcher).MIA +2.0%
Q213:27BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 28(13:27) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 30 for -2 yards (96-J.Posey).BUF +2.8%
Q212:43BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 12BUF 30(12:43) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (92-R.Denney).BUF +0.9%
Q212:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 12BUF 30(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-72-V.Carey, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 30 - No Play.BUF +1.1%
Q212:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 17BUF 35(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-66-R.Hadnot, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.BUF +0.6%
Q212:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 22BUF 40(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-68-S.McKinney, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 40 - No Play.BUF +0.2%
Q212:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 27BUF 45(12:41) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to BUF 37 for 8 yards (29-E.King).BUF +1.6%
Q212:41BUF 21–MIA 0MIA4th & 19BUF 37(12:41) 5-D.Jones punts 29 yards to BUF 8, Center-97-J.Denney, downed by MIA-37-Y.Bell.MIA +1.0%
Q212:04BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 8(12:04) 7-J.Losman right tackle to BUF 14 for 6 yards (99-J.Taylor; 56-D.Pope). PENALTY on MIA-29-S.Madison, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 14.BUF +0.5%
Q211:58BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 19(11:58) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to BUF 22 for 3 yards (56-D.Pope).MIA +0.2%
Q211:20BUF 21–MIA 0BUF2nd & 7BUF 22(11:20) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 12 for -10 yards (75-M.Wright).MIA +2.7%
Q210:00BUF 21–MIA 0BUF3rd & 17BUF 12(10:00) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 20-S.Williams to BUF 25 for 13 yards (99-J.Taylor).BUF +1.4%
Q29:44BUF 21–MIA 0BUF4th & 4BUF 25(9:44) 8-B.Moorman punts 42 yards to MIA 33, Center-54-M.Schneck, downed by BUF-53-M.Haggan.BUF +0.9%
Q29:31BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 34(9:31) PENALTY on MIA-66-R.Hadnot, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 34 - No Play.BUF +1.2%
Q29:31BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 15MIA 29(9:31) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 43 for 14 yards (23-T.Vincent). Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +0.9%
Q29:26BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 15MIA 29(9:26) 23-R.Brown up the middle to MIA 29 for no gain (77-T.Anderson; 55-A.Crowell).BUF +0.7%
Q29:26BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 15MIA 29(9:26) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte sacked at MIA 18 for -11 yards (94-A.Schobel).BUF +1.3%
Q28:25BUF 21–MIA 0MIA4th & 26MIA 18(8:25) 5-D.Jones punts 39 yards to BUF 43, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 43 for no gain (59-D.Spragan).BUF +0.2%
Q28:15BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 43(8:15) (Shotgun) 11-R.Parrish pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 46 for 3 yards (26-T.Tillman; 21-T.Daniels).MIA +0.1%
Q27:33BUF 21–MIA 0BUF2nd & 7BUF 46(7:33) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 11-R.Parrish (75-M.Wright).MIA +0.8%
Q27:29BUF 21–MIA 0BUF3rd & 7BUF 46(7:29) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at MIA 28 for 26 yards (30-L.Schulters).BUF +2.7%
Q26:59BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10MIA 28(6:59) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 19 for 9 yards (21-T.Daniels).BUF +1.9%
Q26:17BUF 21–MIA 0BUF2nd & 1MIA 19(6:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 17 for 2 yards (91-V.Holliday).MIA +0.3%
Q25:39BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10MIA 17(5:39) PENALTY on BUF-87-T.Euhus, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 17 - No Play.MIA +0.4%
Q25:15BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 15MIA 22(5:15) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to MIA 15 for 7 yards (25-R.Howard).BUF +0.5%
Q24:35BUF 21–MIA 0BUF2nd & 8MIA 15(4:35) 7-J.Losman sacked at MIA 26 for -11 yards (59-D.Spragan). FUMBLES (59-D.Spragan), RECOVERED by MIA-52-C.Crowder at MIA 30. 52-C.Crowder to MIA 30 for no gain (71-J.Peters).MIA +5.1%
Q24:28BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 30(4:28) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 23-R.Brown (90-C.Kelsay).BUF +0.1%
Q24:21BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 10MIA 30(4:21) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (22-N.Clements).BUF +1.7%
Q24:15BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 10MIA 30(4:15) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker.BUF +1.3%
Q24:07BUF 21–MIA 0MIA4th & 10MIA 30(4:07) 5-D.Jones punts 52 yards to BUF 18, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 16 for -2 yards (59-D.Spragan).MIA +2.4%
Q23:56BUF 21–MIA 0BUF1st & 10BUF 16(3:56) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 16 for no gain (29-S.Madison).MIA +0.3%
Q23:16BUF 21–MIA 0BUF2nd & 10BUF 16(3:16) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton (99-J.Taylor).MIA +0.8%
Q23:11BUF 21–MIA 0BUF3rd & 10BUF 16(3:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 89-S.Aiken.MIA +2.2%
Q23:05BUF 21–MIA 0BUF4th & 10BUF 16(3:05) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to MIA 38, Center-54-M.Schneck, fair catch by 83-W.Welker.BUF +3.3%
Q22:58BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10MIA 38(2:58) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 37 for -1 yards (29-E.King).BUF +0.6%
Q22:20BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 11MIA 37(2:20) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 44 for 19 yards (59-L.Fletcher).MIA +3.3%
Q22:00BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 44(2:00) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 35 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements).MIA +1.4%
Q21:40BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 1BUF 35(1:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael.BUF +1.1%
Q21:34BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 1BUF 35(1:34) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 33 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel). PENALTY on BUF-77-T.Anderson, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 33.MIA +1.9%
Q21:30BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 28(1:30) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +1.0%
Q21:22BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 10BUF 28(1:22) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 12 for 16 yards (29-E.King).MIA +2.9%
Q21:15BUF 21–MIA 0MIA1st & 10BUF 12(1:15) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 82-B.Gilmore to BUF 6 for 6 yards (97-J.Bannan; 59-L.Fletcher).BUF +0.9%
Q2—BUF 21–MIA 0——BUF 6Timeout #1 by MIA at 01:00. +0.0%
Q21:00BUF 21–MIA 0MIA2nd & 4BUF 6(1:00) (Shotgun) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher). Direct snap to 34 - Williams, Ricky.BUF +0.9%
Q2—BUF 21–MIA 0——BUF 5Timeout #2 by MIA at 00:50. +0.0%
Q20:50BUF 21–MIA 0MIA3rd & 3BUF 5(:50) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (59-L.Fletcher).BUF +2.6%
Q20:45BUF 21–MIA 3MIA4th & 3BUF 5(:45) 10-O.Mare 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.BUF +2.1%
Q2—BUF 21–MIA 3BUF—MIA 3010-O.Mare kicks 56 yards from MIA 30 to BUF 14. 35-J.Burns to BUF 33 for 19 yards (87-L.Diamond; 50-N.Rogers).BUF +1.2%
Q20:35BUF 21–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 33(:35) 20-S.Williams right tackle to BUF 37 for 4 yards (56-D.Pope).MIA +0.6%
Q3—BUF 21–MIA 3MIA—BUF 309-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 0. 83-W.Welker to MIA 23 for 23 yards (27-C.Wire; 26-R.Baker).BUF +0.5%
Q314:52BUF 21–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 23(14:52) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 25 for 2 yards (90-C.Kelsay; 97-J.Bannan).BUF +0.7%
Q314:18BUF 21–MIA 3MIA2nd & 8MIA 25(14:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (55-A.Crowell).BUF +0.6%
Q314:13BUF 21–MIA 3MIA3rd & 8MIA 25(14:13) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker.BUF +1.1%
Q314:03BUF 21–MIA 3MIA4th & 8MIA 25(14:03) PENALTY on MIA-37-Y.Bell, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 25 - No Play.BUF +0.8%
Q314:03BUF 21–MIA 3MIA4th & 13MIA 20(14:03) 5-D.Jones punts 35 yards to BUF 45, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIA-35-E.Jackson at BUF 45. 35-E.Jackson to BUF 45 for no gain (88-R.Neufeld). Penalty on BUF-27-C.Wire, Defensive Holding, declined.MIA +6.6%
Q313:53BUF 21–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 45(13:53) 23-R.Brown right guard to BUF 44 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher).BUF +1.2%
Q313:18BUF 21–MIA 3MIA2nd & 9BUF 44(13:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +0.9%
Q313:13BUF 21–MIA 3MIA3rd & 9BUF 44(13:13) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael.BUF +2.1%
Q313:08BUF 21–MIA 3MIA4th & 9BUF 44(13:08) 5-D.Jones punts 30 yards to BUF 14, Center-97-J.Denney. 22-N.Clements ran ob at BUF 15 for 1 yard.MIA +0.7%
Q312:58BUF 21–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 15(12:58) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 25 for 10 yards (59-D.Spragan; 21-T.Daniels).BUF +0.6%
Q312:33BUF 21–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 25(12:33) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans.MIA +0.4%
Q312:05BUF 21–MIA 3BUF2nd & 10BUF 25(12:05) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 29 for 4 yards (91-V.Holliday).MIA +0.0%
Q311:23BUF 21–MIA 3BUF3rd & 6BUF 29(11:23) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 20-S.Williams.MIA +1.4%
Q311:18BUF 21–MIA 3BUF4th & 6BUF 29(11:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 53 yards to MIA 18, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 20 for 2 yards (92-R.Denney; 53-M.Haggan). PENALTY on MIA-28-T.Minor, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 20.BUF +5.2%
Q311:06BUF 21–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 10(11:06) 23-R.Brown up the middle to MIA 11 for 1 yard (33-J.Greer).BUF +0.4%
Q310:32BUF 21–MIA 3MIA2nd & 9MIA 11(10:32) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Illegal Contact, offsetting, enforced at MIA 11 - No Play. Penalty on MIA-84-C.Chambers, Offensive Pass Interference, offsetting.BUF +0.0%
Q310:22BUF 21–MIA 3MIA2nd & 9MIA 11(10:22) PENALTY on MIA-73-S.McDougle, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 11 - No Play.BUF +0.7%
Q310:22BUF 21–MIA 3MIA2nd & 14MIA 6(10:22) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker (29-E.King).BUF +0.4%
Q310:16BUF 23–MIA 3MIA3rd & 14MIA 6(10:16) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (59-L.Fletcher).MIA-11-G.Frerotte was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.MIA +0.1%
Q3—BUF 23–MIA 3BUF—MIA 205-D.Jones kicks 55 yards from MIA 20 to BUF 25. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 38 for 13 yards (35-E.Jackson).BUF +1.0%
Q310:06BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 38(10:06) 21-W.McGahee left guard to BUF 39 for 1 yard (98-M.Roth).MIA +0.2%
Q39:35BUF 23–MIA 3BUF2nd & 9BUF 39(9:35) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans ran ob at BUF 47 for 8 yards.BUF +0.5%
Q39:05BUF 23–MIA 3BUF3rd & 1BUF 47(9:05) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 48 for 1 yard (59-D.Spragan).BUF +0.2%
Q38:37BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 48(8:37) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 44 for -4 yards (56-D.Pope).MIA +0.9%
Q38:37BUF 23–MIA 3BUF2nd & 14BUF 44(8:37) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to MIA 46 for 10 yards (25-R.Howard).BUF +1.0%
Q37:12BUF 23–MIA 3BUF3rd & 4MIA 46(7:12) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 82-J.Reed to MIA 37 for 9 yards (25-R.Howard).BUF +0.9%
Q36:33BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 10MIA 37(6:33) 7-J.Losman pass to 87-T.Euhus to MIA 32 for 5 yards (21-T.Daniels).MIA +0.2%
Q36:02BUF 23–MIA 3BUF2nd & 5MIA 32(6:02) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 22 for 10 yards (26-T.Tillman).BUF +0.9%
Q35:41BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 10MIA 22(5:41) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 25 for -3 yards (56-D.Pope).BUF +0.3%
Q3—BUF 23–MIA 3——MIA 25Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:40. +0.0%
Q34:40BUF 23–MIA 3BUF2nd & 13MIA 25(4:40) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 89-S.Aiken ran ob at MIA 3 for 22 yards (29-S.Madison).BUF +1.0%
Q34:14BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 3MIA 3(4:14) 7-J.Losman pass intended for 82-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 29-S.Madison at MIA 1. 29-S.Madison to MIA 12 for 11 yards (82-J.Reed).MIA +1.8%
Q34:03BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 12(4:03) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +0.3%
Q33:58BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 10MIA 12(3:58) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 18 for 6 yards (36-L.Milloy).MIA +0.1%
Q33:29BUF 23–MIA 3MIA3rd & 4MIA 18(3:29) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 35 for 17 yards (23-T.Vincent).MIA +0.4%
Q33:09BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 35(3:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 44 for 9 yards (59-L.Fletcher).MIA +0.4%
Q32:51BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 1MIA 44(2:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers ran ob at BUF 45 for 11 yards.MIA +0.2%
Q32:43BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 45(2:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to BUF 40 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell).BUF +0.4%
Q32:25BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 5BUF 40(2:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to BUF 25 for 15 yards (36-L.Milloy).MIA +0.5%
Q3—BUF 23–MIA 3——BUF 25Timeout #2 by BUF at 01:58. +0.0%
Q31:58BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 25(1:58) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 14 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements).MIA +0.3%
Q31:34BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 14(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +0.5%
Q31:20BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 10BUF 14(1:20) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (33-J.Greer).BUF +0.5%
Q31:17BUF 23–MIA 3MIA3rd & 10BUF 14(1:17) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to BUF 9 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell; 42-J.Leonhard).BUF +0.7%
Q30:30BUF 23–MIA 3MIA4th & 5BUF 9(:30) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete (55-A.Crowell). PENALTY on MIA-18-S.Rosenfels, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 9.BUF +1.0%
Q30:23BUF 23–MIA 3BUF1st & 10BUF 20(:23) 21-W.McGahee left guard to BUF 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Crowder; 75-M.Wright).BUF +0.3%
Q415:00BUF 23–MIA 3BUF2nd & 6BUF 24(15:00) 21-W.McGahee right end ran ob at BUF 27 for 3 yards (21-T.Daniels).BUF +0.0%
Q414:35BUF 23–MIA 3BUF3rd & 3BUF 27(14:35) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-66-B.Anderson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 27 - No Play.MIA +0.2%
Q414:08BUF 23–MIA 3BUF3rd & 8BUF 22(14:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 80-E.Moulds (21-T.Daniels).MIA +0.5%
Q414:04BUF 23–MIA 3BUF4th & 8BUF 22(14:04) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 22 - No Play.MIA +0.4%
Q414:03BUF 23–MIA 3BUF4th & 13BUF 17(14:03) 8-B.Moorman punts 48 yards to MIA 35, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 30 for -5 yards (89-S.Aiken; 53-M.Haggan).BUF +0.8%
Q413:53BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 30(13:53) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 35 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell).MIA +0.1%
Q413:40BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 5MIA 35(13:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 39 for 4 yards (29-E.King).MIA +0.2%
Q413:40BUF 23–MIA 3MIA3rd & 1MIA 39(13:40) (No Huddle) 18-S.Rosenfels up the middle to MIA 42 for 3 yards (93-L.Sape).BUF +0.5%
Q412:55BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10MIA 42(12:55) (No Huddle) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 48 for 6 yards (36-L.Milloy).BUF +0.0%
Q412:37BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 4MIA 48(12:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 38 for 14 yards (22-N.Clements). PENALTY on BUF-22-N.Clements, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 38.MIA +1.1%
Q412:22BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 23(12:22) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +0.2%
Q412:18BUF 23–MIA 3MIA2nd & 10BUF 23(12:18) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +0.4%
Q412:11BUF 23–MIA 3MIA3rd & 10BUF 23(12:11) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker. PENALTY on BUF-33-J.Greer, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 23 - No Play.MIA +0.6%
Q412:06BUF 23–MIA 3MIA1st & 10BUF 18(12:06) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 5 for 13 yards (22-N.Clements; 42-J.Leonhard).MIA +0.3%
Q411:40BUF 23–MIA 9MIA1st & 5BUF 5(11:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 34-R.Williams right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIA +0.7%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 10MIA—BUF 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.MIA +0.4%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 10BUF—MIA 305-D.Jones kicks 75 yards from MIA 30 to BUF -5. 24-T.McGee to BUF 15 for 20 yards (35-E.Jackson).MIA +0.1%
Q411:29BUF 23–MIA 10BUF1st & 10BUF 15(11:29) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans.MIA +0.6%
Q411:22BUF 23–MIA 10BUF2nd & 10BUF 15(11:22) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to BUF 22 for 7 yards (29-S.Madison; 26-T.Tillman). PENALTY on MIA-59-D.Spragan, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 15 - No Play.BUF +0.7%
Q411:01BUF 23–MIA 10BUF1st & 10BUF 20(11:01) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 21 for 1 yard (90-J.Zgonina; 52-C.Crowder).MIA +1.0%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 10——BUF 21Timeout #3 by BUF at 10:14. +0.0%
Q410:14BUF 23–MIA 10BUF2nd & 9BUF 21(10:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 11-R.Parrish (25-R.Howard).MIA +0.7%
Q410:08BUF 23–MIA 10BUF3rd & 9BUF 21(10:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete (25-R.Howard).MIA +1.1%
Q49:53BUF 23–MIA 10BUF4th & 9BUF 21(9:53) 8-B.Moorman punts 36 yards to MIA 43, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to BUF 49 for 8 yards (26-R.Baker).MIA +0.8%
Q49:53BUF 23–MIA 10MIA1st & 10BUF 49(9:53) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.BUF +0.8%
Q49:49BUF 23–MIA 10MIA2nd & 10BUF 49(9:49) (No Huddle) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 32 for 17 yards (33-J.Greer).MIA +3.5%
Q49:31BUF 23–MIA 10MIA1st & 10BUF 32(9:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (33-J.Greer).BUF +0.8%
Q49:25BUF 23–MIA 10MIA2nd & 10BUF 32(9:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 32 for no gain (29-E.King).BUF +2.0%
Q49:03BUF 23–MIA 10MIA3rd & 10BUF 32(9:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 20 for 12 yards (22-N.Clements).MIA +4.7%
Q48:27BUF 23–MIA 10MIA1st & 10BUF 20(8:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 23-R.Brown to BUF 13 for 7 yards (22-N.Clements).MIA +2.4%
Q48:01BUF 23–MIA 10MIA2nd & 3BUF 13(8:01) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 10 for 3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). PENALTY on MIA-78-J.James, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 13 - No Play.BUF +3.0%
Q47:51BUF 23–MIA 10MIA2nd & 13BUF 23(7:51) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker (24-T.McGee).BUF +2.3%
Q47:44BUF 23–MIA 16MIA3rd & 13BUF 23(7:44) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 23-R.Brown for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIA +7.6%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 17MIA—BUF 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.MIA +1.3%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 17BUF—MIA 305-D.Jones kicks 70 yards from MIA 30 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q47:35BUF 23–MIA 17BUF1st & 10BUF 20(7:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 28 for 8 yards (90-J.Zgonina).BUF +2.4%
Q47:13BUF 23–MIA 17BUF2nd & 2BUF 28(7:13) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 29 for 1 yard (93-K.Carter).BUF +0.3%
Q46:34BUF 23–MIA 17BUF3rd & 1BUF 29(6:34) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman right end to BUF 31 for 2 yards (96-D.Bowens).BUF +1.3%
Q45:51BUF 23–MIA 17BUF1st & 10BUF 31(5:51) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 33 for 2 yards (90-J.Zgonina).MIA +1.5%
Q45:02BUF 23–MIA 17BUF2nd & 8BUF 33(5:02) 20-S.Williams left end to BUF 35 for 2 yards (90-J.Zgonina; 56-D.Pope).MIA +1.6%
Q44:21BUF 23–MIA 17BUF3rd & 6BUF 35(4:21) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans. PENALTY on MIA-25-R.Howard, Defensive Pass Interference, 6 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.BUF +3.5%
Q44:00BUF 23–MIA 17BUF1st & 10BUF 41(4:00) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 42 for 1 yard (90-J.Zgonina).MIA +1.6%
Q43:24BUF 23–MIA 17BUF2nd & 9BUF 42(3:24) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 44 for 2 yards (59-D.Spragan).MIA +0.8%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 17——BUF 44Timeout #1 by MIA at 03:16. +0.0%
Q43:16BUF 23–MIA 17BUF3rd & 7BUF 44(3:16) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (21-T.Daniels).MIA +6.1%
Q43:10BUF 23–MIA 17BUF4th & 7BUF 44(3:10) 8-B.Moorman punts 37 yards to MIA 19, Center-54-M.Schneck, out of bounds.BUF +0.3%
Q43:03BUF 23–MIA 17MIA1st & 10MIA 19(3:03) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 26 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell).MIA +0.7%
Q42:47BUF 23–MIA 17MIA2nd & 3MIA 26(2:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers pushed ob at BUF 50 for 24 yards (94-A.Schobel).MIA +7.6%
Q42:34BUF 23–MIA 17MIA1st & 10MID 50(2:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass INTERCEPTED by 94-A.Schobel at BUF 49. 94-A.Schobel to BUF 49 for no gain (77-D.McIntosh).BUF +22.4%
Q42:29BUF 23–MIA 17BUF1st & 10BUF 49(2:29) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 48 for -1 yards (52-C.Crowder).MIA +2.1%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 17——BUF 48Timeout #2 by MIA at 02:24. +0.0%
Q42:24BUF 23–MIA 17BUF2nd & 11BUF 48(2:24) 7-J.Losman to 50 for 2 yards (21-T.Daniels).BUF +4.9%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 17——MID 50Timeout #3 by MIA at 02:17. +0.0%
Q42:17BUF 23–MIA 17BUF3rd & 9MID 50(2:17) (Shotgun) 20-S.Williams up the middle to BUF 45 for -5 yards (52-C.Crowder; 37-Y.Bell).MIA +2.7%
Q42:00BUF 23–MIA 17BUF4th & 14BUF 45(2:00) 8-B.Moorman punts 38 yards to MIA 17, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 27 for 10 yards (54-M.Schneck).MIA +7.9%
Q41:51BUF 23–MIA 17MIA1st & 10MIA 27(1:51) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +1.5%
Q41:45BUF 23–MIA 17MIA2nd & 10MIA 27(1:45) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 23-R.Brown.BUF +2.0%
Q41:41BUF 23–MIA 17MIA3rd & 10MIA 27(1:41) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 16 for 57 yards (59-L.Fletcher).MIA +29.2%
Q41:06BUF 23–MIA 17MIA1st & 10BUF 16(1:06) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 9 for 7 yards.MIA +6.0%
Q41:00BUF 23–MIA 17MIA2nd & 3BUF 9(1:00) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.BUF +5.3%
Q40:55BUF 23–MIA 17MIA3rd & 3BUF 9(:55) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 1 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey).MIA +13.7%
Q40:43BUF 23–MIA 17MIA1st & 1BUF 1(:43) 18-S.Rosenfels spiked the ball to stop the clock.BUF +4.6%
Q40:39BUF 23–MIA 17MIA2nd & 1BUF 1(:39) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (22-N.Clements).BUF +4.4%
Q40:36BUF 23–MIA 17MIA3rd & 1BUF 1(:36) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-83-W.Welker, Illegal Touch Pass, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 1 - No Play.BUF +5.0%
Q40:29BUF 23–MIA 17MIA3rd & 6BUF 6(:29) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels up the middle to BUF 4 for 2 yards (90-C.Kelsay).BUF +16.6%
Q40:06BUF 23–MIA 23MIA4th & 4BUF 4(:06) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.MIA +54.4%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 24MIA—BUF 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.MIA +1.7%
Q4—BUF 23–MIA 24BUF—MIA 305-D.Jones kicks 71 yards from MIA 30 to BUF -1. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 22 yards (96-D.Bowens).MIA +18.3%
Q1 · BUF 0–MIA 0
BUF +2.4%
Win probability: BUF 41.1%
BUFMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 68 yards from MIA 30 to BUF 2. 24-T.McGee to BUF 39 for 37 yards (42-N.LeJeune).
Q1 14:52 · BUF 0–MIA 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 43.5%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 39
(14:52) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 46 for 7 yards (30-L.Schulters).
Q1 14:17 · BUF 0–MIA 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 44.8%
BUF2nd & 3 · BUF 46
(14:17) 7-J.Losman pass to 21-W.McGahee to MIA 49 for 5 yards (91-V.Holliday).
Q1 13:38 · BUF 0–MIA 0
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 54.0%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 49
(13:38) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to MIA 46 for 3 yards (56-D.Pope).
Q1 12:55 · BUF 6–MIA 0
BUF +11.9%
Win probability: BUF 44.6%
BUF2nd & 7 · MIA 46
(12:55) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · BUF 7–MIA 0
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 56.5%
BUFMIA 2
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q1 · BUF 7–MIA 0
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 56.8%
MIABUF 30
9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 3. 83-W.Welker to MIA 16 for 13 yards (29-E.King).
Q1 12:41 · BUF 7–MIA 0
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 57.1%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 16
(12:41) 23-R.Brown left tackle to MIA 17 for 1 yard (90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 12:09 · BUF 7–MIA 0
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 58.8%
MIA2nd & 9 · MIA 17
(12:09) 23-R.Brown left tackle to MIA 22 for 5 yards (59-L.Fletcher; 24-T.McGee).
Q1 11:29 · BUF 7–MIA 0
BUF +3.4%
Win probability: BUF 60.0%
MIA3rd & 4 · MIA 22
(11:29) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 42 for 20 yards (22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (22-N.Clements), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 44. 24-T.McGee to BUF 44 for no gain (82-B.Gilmore).
Q1 11:18 · BUF 13–MIA 0
BUF +11.4%
Win probability: BUF 63.4%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 44
(11:18) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 74.8%
BUFMIA 2
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q1 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 25.0%
MIABUF 30
9-R.Lindell kicks 66 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 4. 83-W.Welker to MIA 25 for 21 yards (20-S.Williams).
Q1 11:02 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +2.1%
Win probability: MIA 25.5%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 25
(11:02) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 33 for 8 yards (36-L.Milloy).
Q1 10:34 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +1.3%
Win probability: MIA 27.6%
MIA2nd & 2 · MIA 33
(10:34) (No Huddle) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 47 for 14 yards (55-A.Crowell; 22-N.Clements).
Q1 10:00 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 71.1%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 47
(10:00) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 47 for 6 yards (94-A.Schobel; 90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 9:30 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +1.1%
Win probability: MIA 28.4%
MIA2nd & 4 · BUF 47
(9:30) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown left tackle to BUF 40 for 7 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q1 8:58 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +2.5%
Win probability: BUF 70.5%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 40
(8:58) (No Huddle) 11-G.Frerotte sacked at BUF 49 for -9 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q1 8:28 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 73.1%
MIA2nd & 19 · BUF 49
(8:28) 23-R.Brown left tackle to BUF 46 for 3 yards (94-A.Schobel).
Q1 7:48 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +3.1%
Win probability: BUF 74.3%
MIA3rd & 16 · BUF 46
(7:48) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q1 7:43 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +3.8%
Win probability: MIA 22.6%
MIA4th & 16 · BUF 46
(7:43) 5-D.Jones punts 30 yards to BUF 16, Center-97-J.Denney, fair catch by 11-R.Parrish.
Q1 7:34 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 73.7%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 16
(7:34) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 20 for 4 yards (90-J.Zgonina; 59-D.Spragan).
Q1 6:56 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 74.9%
BUF2nd & 6 · BUF 20
(6:56) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 24 for 4 yards (59-D.Spragan).
Q1 6:11 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +3.1%
Win probability: MIA 24.7%
BUF3rd & 2 · BUF 24
(6:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (21-T.Daniels).
Q1 6:05 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +2.4%
Win probability: BUF 72.2%
BUF4th & 2 · BUF 24
(6:05) 8-B.Moorman punts 53 yards to MIA 23, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 22 for -1 yards (33-J.Greer).
Q1 5:54 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 74.6%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 22
(5:54) 34-R.Williams left guard to MIA 22 for no gain (90-C.Kelsay).
Q1 5:18 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 76.0%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 22
(5:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q1 5:09 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +2.3%
Win probability: BUF 76.8%
MIA3rd & 10 · MIA 22
(5:09) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (33-J.Greer).
Q1 5:08 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 79.1%
MIA4th & 10 · MIA 22
(5:08) 5-D.Jones punts 40 yards to BUF 38, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to MIA 26 for 36 yards (5-D.Jones).
Q1 4:57 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 80.4%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 26
(4:57) 21-W.McGahee right end to MIA 23 for 3 yards (21-T.Daniels; 26-T.Tillman).
Q1 4:23 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +0.9%
Win probability: MIA 18.6%
BUF2nd & 7 · MIA 23
(4:23) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 80-E.Moulds.
Q1 4:18 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +2.5%
Win probability: BUF 80.5%
BUF3rd & 7 · MIA 23
(4:18) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 21-W.McGahee to MIA 10 for 13 yards (52-C.Crowder).
Q1 3:39 · BUF 14–MIA 0
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 17.0%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 10
(3:39) 21-W.McGahee right guard to MIA 5 for 5 yards (93-K.Carter).
Q1 3:03 · BUF 14–MIA 0
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 82.5%
BUF2nd & 5 · MIA 5
(3:03) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to MIA 4 for 1 yard (21-T.Daniels; 91-V.Holliday).
Q1 2:19 · BUF 20–MIA 0
MIA +1.2%
Win probability: MIA 17.3%
BUF3rd & 4 · MIA 4
(2:19) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 81.4%
BUFMIA 2
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Q1 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +1.8%
Win probability: MIA 18.4%
MIABUF 30
9-R.Lindell kicks 67 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 3. 83-W.Welker to MIA 20 for 17 yards (82-J.Reed). PENALTY on BUF-27-C.Wire, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 20.
Q1 2:08 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 79.8%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 35
(2:08) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 39 for 4 yards (96-J.Posey).
Q1 1:30 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 80.7%
MIA2nd & 6 · MIA 39
(1:30) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 46 for 7 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q1 1:01 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 19.0%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 46
(1:01) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 50 for 4 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q1 0:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 19.4%
MIA2nd & 6 · MID 50
(:41) 34-R.Williams right tackle to BUF 45 for 5 yards (36-L.Milloy).
Q2 15:00 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 20.0%
MIA3rd & 1 · BUF 45
(15:00) 34-R.Williams right end to BUF 44 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 14:26 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 79.6%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 44
(14:26) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers ran ob at BUF 39 for 5 yards.
Q2 14:07 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +2.0%
Win probability: MIA 19.6%
MIA2nd & 5 · BUF 39
(14:07) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 28 for 11 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 13:27 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +2.8%
Win probability: BUF 78.5%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 28
(13:27) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 30 for -2 yards (96-J.Posey).
Q2 12:43 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 81.3%
MIA2nd & 12 · BUF 30
(12:43) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (92-R.Denney).
Q2 12:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 82.2%
MIA3rd & 12 · BUF 30
(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-72-V.Carey, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 30 - No Play.
Q2 12:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 83.2%
MIA3rd & 17 · BUF 35
(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-66-R.Hadnot, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.
Q2 12:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 83.8%
MIA3rd & 22 · BUF 40
(12:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-68-S.McKinney, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 40 - No Play.
Q2 12:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 84.0%
MIA3rd & 27 · BUF 45
(12:41) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to BUF 37 for 8 yards (29-E.King).
Q2 12:41 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +1.0%
Win probability: MIA 14.5%
MIA4th & 19 · BUF 37
(12:41) 5-D.Jones punts 29 yards to BUF 8, Center-97-J.Denney, downed by MIA-37-Y.Bell.
Q2 12:04 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 84.6%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 8
(12:04) 7-J.Losman right tackle to BUF 14 for 6 yards (99-J.Taylor; 56-D.Pope). PENALTY on MIA-29-S.Madison, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 14.
Q2 11:58 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 14.9%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 19
(11:58) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to BUF 22 for 3 yards (56-D.Pope).
Q2 11:20 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +2.7%
Win probability: MIA 15.1%
BUF2nd & 7 · BUF 22
(11:20) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 12 for -10 yards (75-M.Wright).
Q2 10:00 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 82.1%
BUF3rd & 17 · BUF 12
(10:00) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 20-S.Williams to BUF 25 for 13 yards (99-J.Taylor).
Q2 9:44 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 83.5%
BUF4th & 4 · BUF 25
(9:44) 8-B.Moorman punts 42 yards to MIA 33, Center-54-M.Schneck, downed by BUF-53-M.Haggan.
Q2 9:31 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 84.4%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 34
(9:31) PENALTY on MIA-66-R.Hadnot, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 34 - No Play.
Q2 9:31 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 85.6%
MIA1st & 15 · MIA 29
(9:31) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 43 for 14 yards (23-T.Vincent). Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q2 9:26 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 86.5%
MIA2nd & 15 · MIA 29
(9:26) 23-R.Brown up the middle to MIA 29 for no gain (77-T.Anderson; 55-A.Crowell).
Q2 9:26 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 87.1%
MIA3rd & 15 · MIA 29
(9:26) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte sacked at MIA 18 for -11 yards (94-A.Schobel).
Q2 8:25 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 88.4%
MIA4th & 26 · MIA 18
(8:25) 5-D.Jones punts 39 yards to BUF 43, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 43 for no gain (59-D.Spragan).
Q2 8:15 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.1%
Win probability: MIA 11.4%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 43
(8:15) (Shotgun) 11-R.Parrish pass to 83-L.Evans to BUF 46 for 3 yards (26-T.Tillman; 21-T.Daniels).
Q2 7:33 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 11.5%
BUF2nd & 7 · BUF 46
(7:33) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 11-R.Parrish (75-M.Wright).
Q2 7:29 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +2.7%
Win probability: BUF 87.7%
BUF3rd & 7 · BUF 46
(7:29) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at MIA 28 for 26 yards (30-L.Schulters).
Q2 6:59 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 90.4%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 28
(6:59) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 19 for 9 yards (21-T.Daniels).
Q2 6:17 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.3%
Win probability: MIA 7.7%
BUF2nd & 1 · MIA 19
(6:17) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 17 for 2 yards (91-V.Holliday).
Q2 5:39 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 8.1%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 17
(5:39) PENALTY on BUF-87-T.Euhus, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 17 - No Play.
Q2 5:15 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 91.5%
BUF1st & 15 · MIA 22
(5:15) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to MIA 15 for 7 yards (25-R.Howard).
Q2 4:35 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +5.1%
Win probability: MIA 8.0%
BUF2nd & 8 · MIA 15
(4:35) 7-J.Losman sacked at MIA 26 for -11 yards (59-D.Spragan). FUMBLES (59-D.Spragan), RECOVERED by MIA-52-C.Crowder at MIA 30. 52-C.Crowder to MIA 30 for no gain (71-J.Peters).
Q2 4:28 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 87.0%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 30
(4:28) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 23-R.Brown (90-C.Kelsay).
Q2 4:21 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 87.0%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 30
(4:21) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (22-N.Clements).
Q2 4:15 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 88.7%
MIA3rd & 10 · MIA 30
(4:15) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker.
Q2 4:07 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +2.4%
Win probability: MIA 10.0%
MIA4th & 10 · MIA 30
(4:07) 5-D.Jones punts 52 yards to BUF 18, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 16 for -2 yards (59-D.Spragan).
Q2 3:56 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.3%
Win probability: MIA 12.4%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 16
(3:56) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 16 for no gain (29-S.Madison).
Q2 3:16 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 12.7%
BUF2nd & 10 · BUF 16
(3:16) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 31-D.Shelton (99-J.Taylor).
Q2 3:11 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +2.2%
Win probability: MIA 13.5%
BUF3rd & 10 · BUF 16
(3:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 89-S.Aiken.
Q2 3:05 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +3.3%
Win probability: BUF 84.3%
BUF4th & 10 · BUF 16
(3:05) 8-B.Moorman punts 46 yards to MIA 38, Center-54-M.Schneck, fair catch by 83-W.Welker.
Q2 2:58 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 87.7%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 38
(2:58) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 37 for -1 yards (29-E.King).
Q2 2:20 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +3.3%
Win probability: MIA 11.7%
MIA2nd & 11 · MIA 37
(2:20) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 44 for 19 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 2:00 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 15.0%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 44
(2:00) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 35 for 9 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q2 1:40 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 83.6%
MIA2nd & 1 · BUF 35
(1:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael.
Q2 1:34 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +1.9%
Win probability: MIA 15.3%
MIA3rd & 1 · BUF 35
(1:34) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 33 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel). PENALTY on BUF-77-T.Anderson, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 33.
Q2 1:30 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 82.9%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 28
(1:30) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q2 1:22 · BUF 21–MIA 0
MIA +2.9%
Win probability: MIA 16.1%
MIA2nd & 10 · BUF 28
(1:22) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 12 for 16 yards (29-E.King).
Q2 1:15 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 80.9%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 12
(1:15) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 82-B.Gilmore to BUF 6 for 6 yards (97-J.Bannan; 59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 · BUF 21–MIA 0
+0.0%
BUF 6
Timeout #1 by MIA at 01:00.
Q2 1:00 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 81.8%
MIA2nd & 4 · BUF 6
(1:00) (Shotgun) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher). Direct snap to 34 - Williams, Ricky.
Q2 · BUF 21–MIA 0
+0.0%
BUF 5
Timeout #2 by MIA at 00:50.
Q2 0:50 · BUF 21–MIA 0
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 82.7%
MIA3rd & 3 · BUF 5
(:50) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (59-L.Fletcher).
Q2 0:45 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 85.4%
MIA4th & 3 · BUF 5
(:45) 10-O.Mare 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
Q2 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 87.5%
BUFMIA 30
10-O.Mare kicks 56 yards from MIA 30 to BUF 14. 35-J.Burns to BUF 33 for 19 yards (87-L.Diamond; 50-N.Rogers).
Q2 0:35 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 11.4%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 33
(:35) 20-S.Williams right tackle to BUF 37 for 4 yards (56-D.Pope).
Q3 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 88.1%
MIABUF 30
9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to MIA 0. 83-W.Welker to MIA 23 for 23 yards (27-C.Wire; 26-R.Baker).
Q3 14:52 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 88.6%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 23
(14:52) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 25 for 2 yards (90-C.Kelsay; 97-J.Bannan).
Q3 14:18 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 89.3%
MIA2nd & 8 · MIA 25
(14:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (55-A.Crowell).
Q3 14:13 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 89.9%
MIA3rd & 8 · MIA 25
(14:13) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker.
Q3 14:03 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 91.0%
MIA4th & 8 · MIA 25
(14:03) PENALTY on MIA-37-Y.Bell, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 25 - No Play.
Q3 14:03 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +6.6%
Win probability: MIA 8.2%
MIA4th & 13 · MIA 20
(14:03) 5-D.Jones punts 35 yards to BUF 45, Center-97-J.Denney. 11-R.Parrish MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIA-35-E.Jackson at BUF 45. 35-E.Jackson to BUF 45 for no gain (88-R.Neufeld). Penalty on BUF-27-C.Wire, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q3 13:53 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 85.3%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 45
(13:53) 23-R.Brown right guard to BUF 44 for 1 yard (59-L.Fletcher).
Q3 13:18 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 86.5%
MIA2nd & 9 · BUF 44
(13:18) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q3 13:13 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 87.4%
MIA3rd & 9 · BUF 44
(13:13) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 81-R.McMichael.
Q3 13:08 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +0.7%
Win probability: MIA 10.6%
MIA4th & 9 · BUF 44
(13:08) 5-D.Jones punts 30 yards to BUF 14, Center-97-J.Denney. 22-N.Clements ran ob at BUF 15 for 1 yard.
Q3 12:58 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 88.7%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 15
(12:58) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 25 for 10 yards (59-D.Spragan; 21-T.Daniels).
Q3 12:33 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 10.7%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 25
(12:33) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans.
Q3 12:05 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +0.0%
Win probability: MIA 11.1%
BUF2nd & 10 · BUF 25
(12:05) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 29 for 4 yards (91-V.Holliday).
Q3 11:23 · BUF 21–MIA 3
MIA +1.4%
Win probability: MIA 11.1%
BUF3rd & 6 · BUF 29
(11:23) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 20-S.Williams.
Q3 11:18 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +5.2%
Win probability: BUF 87.5%
BUF4th & 6 · BUF 29
(11:18) 8-B.Moorman punts 53 yards to MIA 18, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 20 for 2 yards (92-R.Denney; 53-M.Haggan). PENALTY on MIA-28-T.Minor, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 20.
Q3 11:06 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 92.7%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 10
(11:06) 23-R.Brown up the middle to MIA 11 for 1 yard (33-J.Greer).
Q3 10:32 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 93.1%
MIA2nd & 9 · MIA 11
(10:32) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Illegal Contact, offsetting, enforced at MIA 11 - No Play. Penalty on MIA-84-C.Chambers, Offensive Pass Interference, offsetting.
Q3 10:22 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 93.1%
MIA2nd & 9 · MIA 11
(10:22) PENALTY on MIA-73-S.McDougle, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 11 - No Play.
Q3 10:22 · BUF 21–MIA 3
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 93.7%
MIA2nd & 14 · MIA 6
(10:22) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker (29-E.King).
Q3 10:16 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.1%
Win probability: MIA 5.9%
MIA3rd & 14 · MIA 6
(10:16) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (59-L.Fletcher).MIA-11-G.Frerotte was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Q3 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 94.0%
BUFMIA 20
5-D.Jones kicks 55 yards from MIA 20 to BUF 25. 11-R.Parrish to BUF 38 for 13 yards (35-E.Jackson).
Q3 10:06 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 5.0%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 38
(10:06) 21-W.McGahee left guard to BUF 39 for 1 yard (98-M.Roth).
Q3 9:35 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 94.8%
BUF2nd & 9 · BUF 39
(9:35) 7-J.Losman pass to 83-L.Evans ran ob at BUF 47 for 8 yards.
Q3 9:05 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 95.3%
BUF3rd & 1 · BUF 47
(9:05) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 48 for 1 yard (59-D.Spragan).
Q3 8:37 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.9%
Win probability: MIA 4.5%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 48
(8:37) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 44 for -4 yards (56-D.Pope).
Q3 8:37 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 94.6%
BUF2nd & 14 · BUF 44
(8:37) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to MIA 46 for 10 yards (25-R.Howard).
Q3 7:12 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 95.5%
BUF3rd & 4 · MIA 46
(7:12) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 82-J.Reed to MIA 37 for 9 yards (25-R.Howard).
Q3 6:33 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 3.5%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 37
(6:33) 7-J.Losman pass to 87-T.Euhus to MIA 32 for 5 yards (21-T.Daniels).
Q3 6:02 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 96.2%
BUF2nd & 5 · MIA 32
(6:02) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 22 for 10 yards (26-T.Tillman).
Q3 5:41 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 97.1%
BUF1st & 10 · MIA 22
(5:41) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to MIA 25 for -3 yards (56-D.Pope).
Q3 · BUF 23–MIA 3
+0.0%
MIA 25
Timeout #1 by BUF at 04:40.
Q3 4:40 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 97.4%
BUF2nd & 13 · MIA 25
(4:40) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 89-S.Aiken ran ob at MIA 3 for 22 yards (29-S.Madison).
Q3 4:14 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +1.8%
Win probability: MIA 1.6%
BUF1st & 3 · MIA 3
(4:14) 7-J.Losman pass intended for 82-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 29-S.Madison at MIA 1. 29-S.Madison to MIA 12 for 11 yards (82-J.Reed).
Q3 4:03 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 96.6%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 12
(4:03) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q3 3:58 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.1%
Win probability: MIA 3.2%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 12
(3:58) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 18 for 6 yards (36-L.Milloy).
Q3 3:29 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 3.3%
MIA3rd & 4 · MIA 18
(3:29) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to MIA 35 for 17 yards (23-T.Vincent).
Q3 3:09 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 3.7%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 35
(3:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 44 for 9 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q3 2:51 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 4.1%
MIA2nd & 1 · MIA 44
(2:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers ran ob at BUF 45 for 11 yards.
Q3 2:43 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 95.6%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 45
(2:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to BUF 40 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q3 2:25 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 4.0%
MIA2nd & 5 · BUF 40
(2:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to BUF 25 for 15 yards (36-L.Milloy).
Q3 · BUF 23–MIA 3
+0.0%
BUF 25
Timeout #2 by BUF at 01:58.
Q3 1:58 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.3%
Win probability: MIA 4.5%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 25
(1:58) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 14 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q3 1:34 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 95.2%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 14
(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q3 1:20 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 95.7%
MIA2nd & 10 · BUF 14
(1:20) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (33-J.Greer).
Q3 1:17 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 96.2%
MIA3rd & 10 · BUF 14
(1:17) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to BUF 9 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell; 42-J.Leonhard).
Q3 0:30 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 96.8%
MIA4th & 5 · BUF 9
(:30) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete (55-A.Crowell). PENALTY on MIA-18-S.Rosenfels, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 9.
Q3 0:23 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 97.8%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 20
(:23) 21-W.McGahee left guard to BUF 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Crowder; 75-M.Wright).
Q4 15:00 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 98.1%
BUF2nd & 6 · BUF 24
(15:00) 21-W.McGahee right end ran ob at BUF 27 for 3 yards (21-T.Daniels).
Q4 14:35 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 1.9%
BUF3rd & 3 · BUF 27
(14:35) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-66-B.Anderson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 27 - No Play.
Q4 14:08 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.5%
Win probability: MIA 2.1%
BUF3rd & 8 · BUF 22
(14:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 80-E.Moulds (21-T.Daniels).
Q4 14:04 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 2.6%
BUF4th & 8 · BUF 22
(14:04) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BUF-26-R.Baker, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 22 - No Play.
Q4 14:03 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 97.0%
BUF4th & 13 · BUF 17
(14:03) 8-B.Moorman punts 48 yards to MIA 35, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 30 for -5 yards (89-S.Aiken; 53-M.Haggan).
Q4 13:53 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.1%
Win probability: MIA 2.3%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 30
(13:53) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 35 for 5 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q4 13:40 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.2%
Win probability: MIA 2.3%
MIA2nd & 5 · MIA 35
(13:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 34-R.Williams to MIA 39 for 4 yards (29-E.King).
Q4 13:40 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 97.5%
MIA3rd & 1 · MIA 39
(13:40) (No Huddle) 18-S.Rosenfels up the middle to MIA 42 for 3 yards (93-L.Sape).
Q4 12:55 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 98.0%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 42
(12:55) (No Huddle) 34-R.Williams up the middle to MIA 48 for 6 yards (36-L.Milloy).
Q4 12:37 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +1.1%
Win probability: MIA 2.0%
MIA2nd & 4 · MIA 48
(12:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 38 for 14 yards (22-N.Clements). PENALTY on BUF-22-N.Clements, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 38.
Q4 12:22 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 96.9%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 23
(12:22) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q4 12:18 · BUF 23–MIA 3
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 97.1%
MIA2nd & 10 · BUF 23
(12:18) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q4 12:11 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 2.4%
MIA3rd & 10 · BUF 23
(12:11) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker. PENALTY on BUF-33-J.Greer, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 23 - No Play.
Q4 12:06 · BUF 23–MIA 3
MIA +0.3%
Win probability: MIA 3.1%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 18
(12:06) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 5 for 13 yards (22-N.Clements; 42-J.Leonhard).
Q4 11:40 · BUF 23–MIA 9
MIA +0.7%
Win probability: MIA 3.4%
MIA1st & 5 · BUF 5
(11:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 34-R.Williams right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +0.4%
Win probability: MIA 4.1%
MIABUF 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +0.1%
Win probability: MIA 4.5%
BUFMIA 30
5-D.Jones kicks 75 yards from MIA 30 to BUF -5. 24-T.McGee to BUF 15 for 20 yards (35-E.Jackson).
Q4 11:29 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +0.6%
Win probability: MIA 4.6%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 15
(11:29) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans.
Q4 11:22 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 94.8%
BUF2nd & 10 · BUF 15
(11:22) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish to BUF 22 for 7 yards (29-S.Madison; 26-T.Tillman). PENALTY on MIA-59-D.Spragan, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 15 - No Play.
Q4 11:01 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +1.0%
Win probability: MIA 4.5%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 20
(11:01) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 21 for 1 yard (90-J.Zgonina; 52-C.Crowder).
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 10
+0.0%
BUF 21
Timeout #3 by BUF at 10:14.
Q4 10:14 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +0.7%
Win probability: MIA 5.5%
BUF2nd & 9 · BUF 21
(10:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 11-R.Parrish (25-R.Howard).
Q4 10:08 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +1.1%
Win probability: MIA 6.2%
BUF3rd & 9 · BUF 21
(10:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete (25-R.Howard).
Q4 9:53 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 7.3%
BUF4th & 9 · BUF 21
(9:53) 8-B.Moorman punts 36 yards to MIA 43, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to BUF 49 for 8 yards (26-R.Baker).
Q4 9:53 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 91.9%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 49
(9:53) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore.
Q4 9:49 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +3.5%
Win probability: MIA 7.3%
MIA2nd & 10 · BUF 49
(9:49) (No Huddle) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 32 for 17 yards (33-J.Greer).
Q4 9:31 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 89.2%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 32
(9:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 82-B.Gilmore (33-J.Greer).
Q4 9:25 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +2.0%
Win probability: BUF 90.0%
MIA2nd & 10 · BUF 32
(9:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 32 for no gain (29-E.King).
Q4 9:03 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +4.7%
Win probability: MIA 8.0%
MIA3rd & 10 · BUF 32
(9:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 20 for 12 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q4 8:27 · BUF 23–MIA 10
MIA +2.4%
Win probability: MIA 12.7%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 20
(8:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 23-R.Brown to BUF 13 for 7 yards (22-N.Clements).
Q4 8:01 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 84.9%
MIA2nd & 3 · BUF 13
(8:01) (No Huddle) 23-R.Brown up the middle to BUF 10 for 3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). PENALTY on MIA-78-J.James, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 13 - No Play.
Q4 7:51 · BUF 23–MIA 10
BUF +2.3%
Win probability: BUF 87.9%
MIA2nd & 13 · BUF 23
(7:51) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 83-W.Welker (24-T.McGee).
Q4 7:44 · BUF 23–MIA 16
MIA +7.6%
Win probability: MIA 9.8%
MIA3rd & 13 · BUF 23
(7:44) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 23-R.Brown for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +1.3%
Win probability: MIA 17.4%
MIABUF 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 17
+0.0%
BUFMIA 30
5-D.Jones kicks 70 yards from MIA 30 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 7:35 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +2.4%
Win probability: BUF 81.3%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 20
(7:35) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 28 for 8 yards (90-J.Zgonina).
Q4 7:13 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 83.7%
BUF2nd & 2 · BUF 28
(7:13) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 29 for 1 yard (93-K.Carter).
Q4 6:34 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 84.1%
BUF3rd & 1 · BUF 29
(6:34) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman right end to BUF 31 for 2 yards (96-D.Bowens).
Q4 5:51 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +1.5%
Win probability: MIA 14.7%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 31
(5:51) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 33 for 2 yards (90-J.Zgonina).
Q4 5:02 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +1.6%
Win probability: MIA 16.1%
BUF2nd & 8 · BUF 33
(5:02) 20-S.Williams left end to BUF 35 for 2 yards (90-J.Zgonina; 56-D.Pope).
Q4 4:21 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +3.5%
Win probability: BUF 82.3%
BUF3rd & 6 · BUF 35
(4:21) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans. PENALTY on MIA-25-R.Howard, Defensive Pass Interference, 6 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.
Q4 4:00 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +1.6%
Win probability: MIA 14.2%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 41
(4:00) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 42 for 1 yard (90-J.Zgonina).
Q4 3:24 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +0.8%
Win probability: MIA 15.8%
BUF2nd & 9 · BUF 42
(3:24) 21-W.McGahee right guard to BUF 44 for 2 yards (59-D.Spragan).
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 17
+0.0%
BUF 44
Timeout #1 by MIA at 03:16.
Q4 3:16 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +6.1%
Win probability: MIA 16.6%
BUF3rd & 7 · BUF 44
(3:16) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete to 83-L.Evans (21-T.Daniels).
Q4 3:10 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 77.3%
BUF4th & 7 · BUF 44
(3:10) 8-B.Moorman punts 37 yards to MIA 19, Center-54-M.Schneck, out of bounds.
Q4 3:03 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +0.7%
Win probability: MIA 22.5%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 19
(3:03) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 81-R.McMichael to MIA 26 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell).
Q4 2:47 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +7.6%
Win probability: MIA 23.2%
MIA2nd & 3 · MIA 26
(2:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers pushed ob at BUF 50 for 24 yards (94-A.Schobel).
Q4 2:34 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +22.4%
Win probability: BUF 69.2%
MIA1st & 10 · MID 50
(2:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass INTERCEPTED by 94-A.Schobel at BUF 49. 94-A.Schobel to BUF 49 for no gain (77-D.McIntosh).
Q4 2:29 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +2.1%
Win probability: MIA 8.3%
BUF1st & 10 · BUF 49
(2:29) 21-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 48 for -1 yards (52-C.Crowder).
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 17
+0.0%
BUF 48
Timeout #2 by MIA at 02:24.
Q4 2:24 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +4.9%
Win probability: BUF 89.6%
BUF2nd & 11 · BUF 48
(2:24) 7-J.Losman to 50 for 2 yards (21-T.Daniels).
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 17
+0.0%
MID 50
Timeout #3 by MIA at 02:17.
Q4 2:17 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +2.7%
Win probability: MIA 5.5%
BUF3rd & 9 · MID 50
(2:17) (Shotgun) 20-S.Williams up the middle to BUF 45 for -5 yards (52-C.Crowder; 37-Y.Bell).
Q4 2:00 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +7.9%
Win probability: MIA 8.2%
BUF4th & 14 · BUF 45
(2:00) 8-B.Moorman punts 38 yards to MIA 17, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to MIA 27 for 10 yards (54-M.Schneck).
Q4 1:51 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 83.9%
MIA1st & 10 · MIA 27
(1:51) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q4 1:45 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +2.0%
Win probability: BUF 85.4%
MIA2nd & 10 · MIA 27
(1:45) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 23-R.Brown.
Q4 1:41 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +29.2%
Win probability: MIA 12.6%
MIA3rd & 10 · MIA 27
(1:41) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 16 for 57 yards (59-L.Fletcher).
Q4 1:06 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +6.0%
Win probability: MIA 41.8%
MIA1st & 10 · BUF 16
(1:06) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 83-W.Welker to BUF 9 for 7 yards.
Q4 1:00 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +5.3%
Win probability: BUF 52.3%
MIA2nd & 3 · BUF 9
(1:00) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.
Q4 0:55 · BUF 23–MIA 17
MIA +13.7%
Win probability: MIA 42.5%
MIA3rd & 3 · BUF 9
(:55) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers to BUF 1 for 8 yards (96-J.Posey).
Q4 0:43 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +4.6%
Win probability: BUF 43.8%
MIA1st & 1 · BUF 1
(:43) 18-S.Rosenfels spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q4 0:39 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +4.4%
Win probability: BUF 48.5%
MIA2nd & 1 · BUF 1
(:39) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers (22-N.Clements).
Q4 0:36 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +5.0%
Win probability: BUF 52.9%
MIA3rd & 1 · BUF 1
(:36) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-83-W.Welker, Illegal Touch Pass, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 1 - No Play.
Q4 0:29 · BUF 23–MIA 17
BUF +16.6%
Win probability: BUF 57.9%
MIA3rd & 6 · BUF 6
(:29) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels up the middle to BUF 4 for 2 yards (90-C.Kelsay).
Q4 0:06 · BUF 23–MIA 23
MIA +54.4%
Win probability: MIA 25.5%
MIA4th & 4 · BUF 4
(:06) 18-S.Rosenfels pass to 84-C.Chambers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 24
MIA +1.7%
Win probability: MIA 80.0%
MIABUF 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
Q4 · BUF 23–MIA 24
MIA +18.3%
Win probability: MIA 81.7%
BUFMIA 30
5-D.Jones kicks 71 yards from MIA 30 to BUF -1. 24-T.McGee to BUF 21 for 22 yards (96-D.Bowens).