MIN Minnesota Vikings@CAR Carolina Panthers
24–21 · Minnesota Vikings won
i
Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 17.06 which ranks in the 91.8 percentile.
Learn more →Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 17.06 which ranks in the 91.8 percentile.
THRILLA
92percentile
Raw Score: 17.06
i
Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 6.21, which ranks in the 95.0 percentile.
Learn more →Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 6.21, which ranks in the 95.0 percentile.
GEI
95percentile
Raw Score: 6.21
i
Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Minnesota Vikings fell to a 14.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.75 which ranks in the 85.8 percentile.
Learn more →How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Minnesota Vikings fell to a 14.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.75 which ranks in the 85.8 percentile.
Comeback
86percentile
Raw Score: 2.75
i
Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 15.95 which ranks in the 67.4 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
Learn more →The audience score for this game was 15.95 which ranks in the 67.4 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 10 × 0.5pts = 5pts
- Turnovers: 3 × 0.75pts = 2.25pts
- Sacks: 7 × 0.1pts = 0.7pts
- Touchdowns: 6 × 1pts = 6pts
Total: 15.95pts
Audience
67percentile
Raw Score: 15.95
Spread
CAR -3
O/U 47
CAR
MIN
Biggest Play
Q4 0:29 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +56.7%
Win probability: MIN 34.1%
(:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Poss. | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | — | CAR 35 | 10-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from CAR 35 to MIN -5. 35-M.Sherels to CAR 27 for 78 yards (30-C.Godfrey). | MIN +10.2% |
| Q1 | 14:50 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 27 | (14:50) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 27 for no gain (55-D.Connor). | CAR +2.1% |
| Q1 | 14:13 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | CAR 27 | (14:13) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 12-P.Harvin (76-G.Hardy). | CAR +2.0% |
| Q1 | 14:09 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | 3rd & 10 | CAR 27 | (14:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 27 for 0 yards (97-T.McClain). | CAR +2.4% |
| Q1 | 13:27 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | 4th & 10 | CAR 27 | (13:27) 8-R.Longwell 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe. | CAR +11.2% |
| Q1 | 13:26 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 35 | (13:26) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 26 for -9 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). FUMBLES (56-EJ.Henderson), RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at CAR 21. 69-J.Allen to CAR 16 for 5 yards (67-R.Kalil). | MIN +21.4% |
| Q1 | 13:13 | MIN 0–CAR 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 16 | (13:13) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 10 for 6 yards (97-T.McClain). | MIN +0.6% |
| Q1 | 12:34 | MIN 6–CAR 0 | MIN | 2nd & 4 | CAR 10 | (12:34) 12-P.Harvin right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | MIN +2.4% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | — | CAR 2 | 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe. | MIN +0.4% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | — | MIN 35 | 8-R.Longwell kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -1. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 23 for 24 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), and recovers at CAR 19. | CAR +0.4% |
| Q1 | 12:10 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 19 | (12:10) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 22 for 3 yards (52-C.Greenway). | MIN +1.6% |
| Q1 | 11:52 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 7 | CAR 22 | (11:52) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey to CAR 30 for 8 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). PENALTY on CAR-80-J.Shockey, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 22 - No Play. | MIN +3.6% |
| Q1 | 11:32 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 17 | CAR 12 | (11:32) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 28 for 16 yards (39-H.Abdullah). | CAR +4.9% |
| Q1 | 10:54 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 3rd & 1 | CAR 28 | (10:54) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 33 for 5 yards (93-K.Williams). | CAR +3.2% |
| Q1 | 10:16 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 33 | (10:16) 28-J.Stewart left guard to CAR 33 for no gain (56-EJ.Henderson; 92-R.Ayodele). | MIN +2.5% |
| Q1 | 9:39 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | CAR 33 | (9:39) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 80-J.Shockey (69-J.Allen). | MIN +1.7% |
| Q1 | 9:33 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 3rd & 10 | CAR 33 | (9:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles right end to CAR 48 for 15 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +4.2% |
| Q1 | 8:52 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 48 | (8:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to MIN 45 for 7 yards (35-M.Sherels). | CAR +1.6% |
| Q1 | 8:26 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 3 | MIN 45 | (8:26) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to MIN 34 for 11 yards (33-J.Sanford). | CAR +1.7% |
| Q1 | 7:49 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 34 | (7:49) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith. | MIN +2.1% |
| Q1 | 7:42 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | MIN 34 | (7:42) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 32 for 2 yards (39-H.Abdullah). | MIN +1.5% |
| Q1 | 7:00 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 3rd & 8 | MIN 32 | (7:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith. PENALTY on CAR-77-B.Bell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 32 - No Play. | MIN +3.0% |
| Q1 | 6:55 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 3rd & 18 | MIN 42 | (6:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Stewart. | MIN +2.9% |
| Q1 | 6:50 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 4th & 18 | MIN 42 | (6:50) 7-J.Baker punts 31 yards to MIN 11, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-53-J.Phillips. | MIN +1.3% |
| Q1 | 6:41 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 11 | (6:41) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 6 for -5 yards (56-T.Williams, 25-R.Stanford). | CAR +3.3% |
| Q1 | 6:04 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 2nd & 15 | MIN 6 | (6:04) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu [76-G.Hardy]. | CAR +1.6% |
| Q1 | 5:58 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 3rd & 15 | MIN 6 | (5:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to MIN 28 for 22 yards (50-J.Anderson, 23-S.Martin). Shuttle pass | MIN +8.7% |
| Q1 | 5:18 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 28 | (5:18) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 41 for 13 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). | MIN +0.9% |
| Q1 | 4:42 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 41 | (4:42) 12-P.Harvin right end to MIN 41 for no gain (93-A.Applewhite). End around by 12-Harvin, Percy | CAR +1.3% |
| Q1 | 4:04 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | MIN 41 | (4:04) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 43 for 2 yards (30-C.Godfrey). | CAR +2.3% |
| Q1 | 3:26 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 3rd & 8 | MIN 43 | (3:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 42 for -1 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). | CAR +3.3% |
| Q1 | 2:59 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | MIN | 4th & 9 | MIN 42 | (2:59) 4-C.Kluwe punts 53 yards to CAR 5, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 10 for 5 yards (44-R.D'Imperio). | CAR +0.4% |
| Q1 | 2:49 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 10 | (2:49) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 16 for 6 yards (52-C.Greenway). | CAR +0.3% |
| Q1 | 2:14 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 2nd & 4 | CAR 16 | (2:14) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 21 for 5 yards (33-J.Sanford). | MIN +0.1% |
| Q1 | 1:29 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 21 | (1:29) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 89-S.Smith to CAR 40 for 19 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +3.1% |
| Q1 | 0:49 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 40 | (:49) (Shotgun) 89-S.Smith left end to MIN 48 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on MIN-23-C.Griffin, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 48. End around, 89-Smith,Steve | CAR +3.2% |
| Q1 | 0:21 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 33 | (:21) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 21 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin). | CAR +3.0% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 21 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle to MIN 17 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah; 23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17. | MIN +2.7% |
| Q2 | 14:29 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 16 | MIN 27 | (14:29) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 1 for 26 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +7.4% |
| Q2 | 14:08 | MIN 7–CAR 0 | CAR | 1st & 1 | MIN 1 | (14:08) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 1 for no gain (93-K.Williams). | MIN +1.5% |
| Q2 | 13:30 | MIN 7–CAR 6 | CAR | 2nd & 1 | MIN 1 | (13:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. | CAR +4.8% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 7 | CAR | — | MIN 2 | 10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. | CAR +1.1% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 7 | MIN | — | CAR 35 | 10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 13:22 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 20 | (13:22) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 82-K.Rudolph (76-G.Hardy). | CAR +1.7% |
| Q2 | 13:18 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | MIN 20 | (13:18) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 22 for 2 yards (50-J.Anderson; 95-C.Johnson). | CAR +1.8% |
| Q2 | 12:33 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | MIN | 3rd & 8 | MIN 22 | (12:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder scrambles right tackle to MIN 27 for 5 yards (76-G.Hardy). PENALTY on MIN-12-P.Harvin, Personal Foul, 13 yards, enforced between downs. | CAR +6.4% |
| Q2 | 12:08 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | MIN | 4th & 16 | MIN 14 | (12:08) 4-C.Kluwe punts 48 yards to CAR 38, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to MIN 49 for 13 yards (97-E.Griffen). | MIN +6.6% |
| Q2 | 11:59 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 49 | (11:59) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 89-S.Smith. | MIN +1.6% |
| Q2 | 11:55 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | MIN 49 | (11:55) 28-J.Stewart left end to MIN 42 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway). | CAR +0.5% |
| Q2 | 11:13 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | CAR | 3rd & 3 | MIN 42 | (11:13) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 39 for 3 yards (93-K.Williams). | CAR +4.6% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 7 | — | — | MIN 39 | Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:30. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 10:30 | MIN 7–CAR 7 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 39 | (10:30) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 80-J.Shockey. | MIN +1.3% |
| Q2 | 10:24 | MIN 7–CAR 13 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | MIN 39 | (10:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 88-G.Olsen for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | CAR +13.4% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | — | MIN 2 | 10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. | CAR +0.7% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | — | CAR 35 | 10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 10:18 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 20 | (10:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 21 for 1 yard (68-A.Neblett). | CAR +0.7% |
| Q2 | 9:43 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 2nd & 9 | MIN 21 | (9:43) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 21 for no gain (50-J.Anderson; 20-C.Gamble). | CAR +1.3% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 3rd & 9 | MIN 21 | *** play under review *** | MIN +3.9% |
| Q2 | 8:38 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 33 | (8:38) 7-C.Ponder pass deep left to 84-M.Jenkins to CAR 43 for 24 yards (30-C.Godfrey). | MIN +2.4% |
| Q2 | 8:03 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 43 | (8:03) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 39 for 4 yards (93-A.Applewhite). | CAR +0.0% |
| Q2 | 7:28 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 2nd & 6 | CAR 39 | (7:28) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu. | CAR +1.7% |
| Q2 | 7:24 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 3rd & 6 | CAR 39 | (7:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 26 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey). | MIN +5.6% |
| Q2 | 6:48 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 26 | (6:48) 28-A.Peterson left end to CAR 16 for 10 yards (23-S.Martin). | MIN +1.5% |
| Q2 | 6:04 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 16 | (6:04) 7-C.Ponder right end to CAR 16 for no gain (41-C.Munnerlyn). | CAR +1.0% |
| Q2 | 5:22 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | CAR 16 | (5:22) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 17 for -1 yards (59-O.Gaither). | CAR +2.3% |
| Q2 | 4:47 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 3rd & 11 | CAR 17 | (4:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 5 for 12 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). FUMBLES (41-C.Munnerlyn), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 5. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 5 for no gain (12-P.Harvin). Minnesota challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 04:37.) | CAR +6.7% |
| Q2 | 4:37 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 5 | (4:37) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 45-J.Felton. | MIN +0.8% |
| Q2 | 4:33 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | CAR 5 | (4:33) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 13 for 8 yards (93-K.Williams, 52-C.Greenway). | CAR +1.0% |
| Q2 | 3:50 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 3rd & 2 | CAR 13 | (3:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 18 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway). | MIN +1.8% |
| Q2 | 3:11 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 18 | (3:11) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah). | CAR +0.8% |
| Q2 | 2:37 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 4 | CAR 24 | (2:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 31 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at CAR 31. | MIN +1.2% |
| Q2 | 2:03 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 12 | CAR 16 | (2:03) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to CAR 28 for 12 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +2.3% |
| Q2 | 1:57 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 28 | (1:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 34-D.Williams to CAR 35 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway). | CAR +1.5% |
| Q2 | 1:34 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 3 | CAR 35 | (1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 42 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson). | CAR +1.5% |
| Q2 | 1:15 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 42 | (1:15) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 33 for -9 yards (69-J.Allen). FUMBLES (69-J.Allen), RECOVERED by MIN-52-C.Greenway at CAR 39. 52-C.Greenway to CAR 39 for no gain (67-R.Kalil). | MIN +9.7% |
| Q2 | 1:03 | MIN 7–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 39 | (1:03) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 19 for 20 yards (50-J.Anderson). | MIN +3.5% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 7–CAR 14 | — | — | CAR 19 | Timeout #2 by MIN at 00:50. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:42 | MIN 13–CAR 14 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 19 | (:42) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 28-A.Peterson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | MIN +9.5% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 14–CAR 14 | MIN | — | CAR 2 | 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe. | MIN +0.5% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | — | MIN 35 | 8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:42 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 20 | (:42) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Greenway). | MIN +1.8% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | — | MIN 35 | 8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 15:00 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 20 | (15:00) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 17 for -3 yards (50-E.Henderson). | MIN +4.2% |
| Q3 | 14:24 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 13 | CAR 17 | (14:24) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 39 for 22 yards (33-J.Sanford). Minnesota challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.) | CAR +8.0% |
| Q3 | 13:57 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 39 | (13:57) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-L.Naanee. | MIN +2.6% |
| Q3 | 13:51 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | CAR 39 | (13:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to MIN 37 for 24 yards (69-J.Allen). | CAR +8.2% |
| Q3 | 13:23 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 37 | (13:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 28 for 9 yards (52-C.Greenway). | CAR +3.6% |
| Q3 | 12:54 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 1 | MIN 28 | (12:54) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams up the middle to MIN 25 for 3 yards (69-J.Allen). | MIN +1.1% |
| Q3 | 12:15 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 25 | (12:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep middle to 17-L.Naanee (50-E.Henderson). | MIN +1.9% |
| Q3 | 12:09 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | MIN 25 | (12:09) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 27 for -2 yards (52-C.Greenway). | MIN +4.9% |
| Q3 | 12:09 | MIN 14–CAR 14 | CAR | 3rd & 12 | MIN 27 | (12:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN-52-C.Greenway, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 27 - No Play. | CAR +3.7% |
| Q3 | 11:13 | MIN 14–CAR 20 | CAR | 3rd & 7 | MIN 22 | (11:13) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | CAR +14.2% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 14–CAR 21 | CAR | — | MIN 2 | 10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. | CAR +0.7% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | — | CAR 35 | 10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 11:07 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 20 | (11:07) 7-C.Ponder FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIN 15, recovered by MIN-28-A.Peterson at MIN 11. 28-A.Peterson to MIN 11 for no gain (97-T.McClain). | CAR +3.0% |
| Q3 | 10:30 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 19 | MIN 11 | (10:30) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 84-M.Jenkins to MIN 17 for 6 yards (20-C.Gamble). | CAR +0.9% |
| Q3 | 9:56 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 13 | MIN 17 | (9:56) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 22 for 5 yards (25-R.Stanford; 41-C.Munnerlyn). | CAR +0.6% |
| Q3 | 9:25 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 4th & 8 | MIN 22 | (9:25) 4-C.Kluwe punts 50 yards to CAR 28, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 29 for 1 yard (44-R.D'Imperio). PENALTY on MIN-51-L.Dean, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29. | MIN +3.5% |
| Q3 | 9:14 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 39 | (9:14) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 45-J.Felton (23-C.Griffin). | MIN +1.3% |
| Q3 | 9:07 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | CAR 39 | (9:07) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 43 for 4 yards (69-J.Allen, 52-C.Greenway). | CAR +0.6% |
| Q3 | 8:30 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 6 | CAR 43 | (8:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 47 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah). | CAR +0.7% |
| Q3 | 7:48 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | CAR | 4th & 2 | CAR 47 | (7:48) 7-J.Baker punts 41 yards to MIN 12, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 10 for -2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q3 | 7:39 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 10 | (7:39) 32-T.Gerhart up the middle to MIN 14 for 4 yards (95-C.Johnson). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q3 | 7:05 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 6 | MIN 14 | (7:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to MIN 23 for 9 yards (95-C.Johnson; 30-C.Godfrey). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q3 | 6:23 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 23 | (6:23) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to MIN 32 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither). | MIN +2.1% |
| Q3 | 5:51 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 1 | MIN 32 | (5:51) 32-T.Gerhart right tackle to MIN 43 for 11 yards (30-C.Godfrey). | CAR +0.0% |
| Q3 | 5:13 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 43 | (5:13) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 42 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin; 93-A.Applewhite). | MIN +2.6% |
| Q3 | 4:40 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 42 | (4:40) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-V.Shiancoe (23-S.Martin). | CAR +1.5% |
| Q3 | 4:34 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | CAR 42 | (4:34) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu. | CAR +2.9% |
| Q3 | 4:29 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 10 | CAR 42 | (4:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 81-V.Shiancoe to CAR 30 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither). | MIN +7.9% |
| Q3 | 3:55 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 30 | (3:55) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 29 for 1 yard (30-C.Godfrey). | CAR +1.8% |
| Q3 | 3:22 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 9 | CAR 29 | (3:22) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 17 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither). | MIN +4.7% |
| Q3 | 2:45 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 17 | (2:45) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to CAR 14 for 3 yards (55-D.Connor, 68-A.Neblett). | CAR +0.3% |
| Q3 | 2:12 | MIN 14–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 7 | CAR 14 | (2:12) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu. PENALTY on CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 14 - No Play. | MIN +2.9% |
| Q3 | 2:06 | MIN 20–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 9 | CAR 9 | (2:06) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | MIN +7.0% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | — | CAR 2 | 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe. | MIN +0.5% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | — | MIN 35 | 8-R.Longwell kicks 60 yards from MIN 35 to CAR 5. 81-K.Pilares MUFFS catch, touched at CAR 5, and recovers at CAR 10. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 14 yards (37-E.Frampton). | CAR +0.1% |
| Q3 | 1:51 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 24 | (1:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right end pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (23-C.Griffin). | MIN +0.1% |
| Q3 | 1:22 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 4 | CAR 30 | (1:22) 34-D.Williams up the middle to CAR 32 for 2 yards (69-J.Allen). | MIN +0.9% |
| Q3 | 0:45 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 2 | CAR 32 | (:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles up the middle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (90-F.Evans, 52-C.Greenway). | MIN +4.9% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 4th & 1 | CAR 33 | (15:00) 7-J.Baker punts 50 yards to MIN 17, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 26 for 9 yards (57-J.Senn). | MIN +1.6% |
| Q4 | 14:49 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 26 | (14:49) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 19-D.Aromashodu. | CAR +2.9% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 21–CAR 21 | — | — | MIN 26 | Timeout #2 by MIN at 14:42. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 14:42 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | MIN 26 | (14:42) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 44-R.D'Imperio [95-C.Johnson]. | CAR +3.3% |
| Q4 | 14:36 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 10 | MIN 26 | (14:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 81-V.Shiancoe to MIN 39 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey, 50-J.Anderson). | MIN +9.6% |
| Q4 | 14:01 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 39 | (14:01) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 38 for -1 yards (91-R.Fields; 30-C.Godfrey). | CAR +3.2% |
| Q4 | 13:23 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 11 | MIN 38 | (13:23) 28-A.Peterson right end pushed ob at MIN 47 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither). | MIN +1.1% |
| Q4 | 12:56 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 2 | MIN 47 | (12:56) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 47 for 6 yards (23-S.Martin). | MIN +5.2% |
| Q4 | 12:21 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 47 | (12:21) 32-T.Gerhart left tackle to CAR 48 for -1 yards (95-C.Johnson). | CAR +2.7% |
| Q4 | 11:44 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 11 | CAR 48 | (11:44) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 82-K.Rudolph. | CAR +3.8% |
| Q4 | 11:38 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 11 | CAR 48 | (11:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 82-K.Rudolph. | CAR +5.1% |
| Q4 | 11:32 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 4th & 11 | CAR 48 | (11:32) 4-C.Kluwe punts 28 yards to CAR 20, Center-46-C.Loeffler, fair catch by 14-A.Edwards. | CAR +1.9% |
| Q4 | 11:24 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 20 | (11:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-D.Williams to CAR 26 for 6 yards (50-E.Henderson; 56-EJ.Henderson). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q4 | 10:52 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 4 | CAR 26 | (10:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 88-G.Olsen. | MIN +3.8% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 21–CAR 21 | — | — | CAR 26 | Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:48. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 10:48 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 4 | CAR 26 | (10:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle to CAR 28 for 2 yards (50-E.Henderson). | MIN +5.8% |
| Q4 | 10:07 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | CAR | 4th & 2 | CAR 28 | (10:07) 7-J.Baker punts 52 yards to MIN 20, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 15 for -5 yards (81-K.Pilares). | CAR +3.3% |
| Q4 | 9:53 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 15 | (9:53) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to MIN 17 for 2 yards (20-C.Gamble). | CAR +2.9% |
| Q4 | 9:18 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 8 | MIN 17 | (9:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 18 for 1 yard (50-J.Anderson). | CAR +1.4% |
| Q4 | 8:42 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 7 | MIN 18 | (8:42) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 29 for 11 yards (59-O.Gaither). | MIN +8.5% |
| Q4 | 7:55 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 29 | (7:55) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 34 for 5 yards (68-A.Neblett). | MIN +1.4% |
| Q4 | 7:20 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 5 | MIN 34 | (7:20) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 49 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin). | MIN +6.1% |
| Q4 | 6:40 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 49 | (6:40) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 44 for -5 yards (95-C.Johnson). | CAR +8.0% |
| Q4 | 6:12 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 15 | MIN 44 | (6:12) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 34 for 22 yards (59-O.Gaither, 41-C.Munnerlyn). | MIN +13.5% |
| Q4 | 5:41 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 34 | (5:41) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (93-A.Applewhite). | CAR +2.5% |
| Q4 | 5:05 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 9 | CAR 33 | (5:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to CAR 21 for 12 yards (20-C.Gamble). | MIN +7.7% |
| Q4 | 4:25 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | CAR 21 | (4:25) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 18 for 3 yards (50-J.Anderson, 97-T.McClain). | CAR +2.1% |
| Q4 | 3:46 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 2nd & 7 | CAR 18 | (3:46) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 16 for 2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). | CAR +2.3% |
| Q4 | 3:04 | MIN 21–CAR 21 | MIN | 3rd & 5 | CAR 16 | (3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 13 for 3 yards (30-C.Godfrey). shuttle pass | CAR +4.3% |
| Q4 | 2:47 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | MIN | 4th & 2 | CAR 13 | (2:47) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe. | MIN +3.7% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | — | MIN 35 | 8-R.Longwell kicks 68 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -3. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 27 yards (37-E.Frampton). | CAR +0.4% |
| Q4 | 2:38 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 24 | (2:38) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (50-E.Henderson). | MIN +2.5% |
| Q4 | 2:33 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 10 | CAR 24 | (2:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 33 for 9 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +4.6% |
| Q4 | 2:07 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 1 | CAR 33 | (2:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 40 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson, 52-C.Greenway). | CAR +7.0% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | CAR 40 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 32 for -8 yards (39-H.Abdullah). | MIN +11.6% |
| Q4 | 1:39 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 18 | CAR 32 | (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 35 for 3 yards (35-M.Sherels). | MIN +2.8% |
| Q4 | 1:14 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 15 | CAR 35 | (1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep right to 11-B.LaFell (39-H.Abdullah). | MIN +6.7% |
| Q4 | 1:09 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 4th & 15 | CAR 35 | (1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 11-B.LaFell to MIN 21 for 44 yards (25-Ty.Johnson). | CAR +42.4% |
| Q4 | 1:09 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 1st & 10 | MIN 21 | (1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to MIN 14 for 7 yards (21-A.Allen). | CAR +3.3% |
| Q4 | 0:54 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 2nd & 3 | MIN 14 | (:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (39-H.Abdullah). | MIN +5.2% |
| Q4 | 0:50 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 3 | MIN 14 | (:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right end to MIN 8 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah). PENALTY on CAR-89-S.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 8. | MIN +1.1% |
| Q4 | 0:36 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 3rd & 7 | MIN 18 | (:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 13 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway). | CAR +4.2% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 24–CAR 21 | — | — | MIN 13 | Timeout #3 by MIN at 00:29. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 0:29 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | CAR | 4th & 2 | MIN 13 | (:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. | MIN +56.7% |
| Q4 | 0:26 | MIN 24–CAR 21 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 21 | (:26) 7-C.Ponder kneels to MIN 20 for -1 yards. | MIN +9.3% |
Q1 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +10.2%
Win probability: MIN 41.1%
10-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from CAR 35 to MIN -5. 35-M.Sherels to CAR 27 for 78 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q1 14:50 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 48.7%
(14:50) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 27 for no gain (55-D.Connor).
Q1 14:13 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.0%
Win probability: CAR 50.8%
(14:13) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 12-P.Harvin (76-G.Hardy).
Q1 14:09 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.4%
Win probability: CAR 52.8%
(14:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 27 for 0 yards (97-T.McClain).
Q1 13:27 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +11.2%
Win probability: CAR 55.2%
(13:27) 8-R.Longwell 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q1 13:26 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +21.4%
Win probability: MIN 33.6%
(13:26) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 26 for -9 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). FUMBLES (56-EJ.Henderson), RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at CAR 21. 69-J.Allen to CAR 16 for 5 yards (67-R.Kalil).
Q1 13:13 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +0.6%
Win probability: MIN 55.0%
(13:13) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 10 for 6 yards (97-T.McClain).
Q1 12:34 · MIN 6–CAR 0
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 55.6%
(12:34) 12-P.Harvin right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 58.0%
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q1 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 41.7%
8-R.Longwell kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -1. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 23 for 24 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), and recovers at CAR 19.
Q1 12:10 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 57.9%
(12:10) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 22 for 3 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q1 11:52 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +3.6%
Win probability: MIN 59.5%
(11:52) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey to CAR 30 for 8 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). PENALTY on CAR-80-J.Shockey, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 22 - No Play.
Q1 11:32 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +4.9%
Win probability: CAR 37.0%
(11:32) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 28 for 16 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q1 10:54 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 41.9%
(10:54) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 33 for 5 yards (93-K.Williams).
Q1 10:16 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.5%
Win probability: MIN 54.9%
(10:16) 28-J.Stewart left guard to CAR 33 for no gain (56-EJ.Henderson; 92-R.Ayodele).
Q1 9:39 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.7%
Win probability: MIN 57.4%
(9:39) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 80-J.Shockey (69-J.Allen).
Q1 9:33 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 40.9%
(9:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles right end to CAR 48 for 15 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q1 8:52 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.6%
Win probability: CAR 45.0%
(8:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to MIN 45 for 7 yards (35-M.Sherels).
Q1 8:26 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 46.7%
(8:26) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to MIN 34 for 11 yards (33-J.Sanford).
Q1 7:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.1%
Win probability: MIN 51.6%
(7:49) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith.
Q1 7:42 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 53.8%
(7:42) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 32 for 2 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q1 7:00 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +3.0%
Win probability: MIN 55.3%
(7:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith. PENALTY on CAR-77-B.Bell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 32 - No Play.
Q1 6:55 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.9%
Win probability: MIN 58.3%
(6:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Stewart.
Q1 6:50 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 61.2%
(6:50) 7-J.Baker punts 31 yards to MIN 11, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-53-J.Phillips.
Q1 6:41 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 37.5%
(6:41) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 6 for -5 yards (56-T.Williams, 25-R.Stanford).
Q1 6:04 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.6%
Win probability: CAR 40.8%
(6:04) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu [76-G.Hardy].
Q1 5:58 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +8.7%
Win probability: MIN 57.7%
(5:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to MIN 28 for 22 yards (50-J.Anderson, 23-S.Martin). Shuttle pass
Q1 5:18 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 66.4%
(5:18) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 41 for 13 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q1 4:42 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.3%
Win probability: CAR 32.7%
(4:42) 12-P.Harvin right end to MIN 41 for no gain (93-A.Applewhite). End around by 12-Harvin, Percy
Q1 4:04 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 34.0%
(4:04) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 43 for 2 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q1 3:26 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 36.3%
(3:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 42 for -1 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q1 2:59 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 39.6%
(2:59) 4-C.Kluwe punts 53 yards to CAR 5, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 10 for 5 yards (44-R.D'Imperio).
Q1 2:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 40.0%
(2:49) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 16 for 6 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q1 2:14 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 59.7%
(2:14) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 21 for 5 yards (33-J.Sanford).
Q1 1:29 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.1%
Win probability: CAR 40.2%
(1:29) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 89-S.Smith to CAR 40 for 19 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q1 0:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 43.3%
(:49) (Shotgun) 89-S.Smith left end to MIN 48 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on MIN-23-C.Griffin, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 48. End around, 89-Smith,Steve
Q1 0:21 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 46.5%
(:21) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 21 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin).
Q2 15:00 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.7%
Win probability: MIN 50.5%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle to MIN 17 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah; 23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17.
Q2 14:29 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +7.4%
Win probability: CAR 46.8%
(14:29) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 1 for 26 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q2 14:08 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 45.8%
(14:08) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 1 for no gain (93-K.Williams).
Q2 13:30 · MIN 7–CAR 6
CAR +4.8%
Win probability: CAR 52.7%
(13:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.1%
Win probability: CAR 57.5%
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
+0.0%
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 13:22 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 58.6%
(13:22) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 82-K.Rudolph (76-G.Hardy).
Q2 13:18 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 60.3%
(13:18) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 22 for 2 yards (50-J.Anderson; 95-C.Johnson).
Q2 12:33 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +6.4%
Win probability: CAR 62.2%
(12:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder scrambles right tackle to MIN 27 for 5 yards (76-G.Hardy). PENALTY on MIN-12-P.Harvin, Personal Foul, 13 yards, enforced between downs.
Q2 12:08 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +6.6%
Win probability: MIN 31.5%
(12:08) 4-C.Kluwe punts 48 yards to CAR 38, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to MIN 49 for 13 yards (97-E.Griffen).
Q2 11:59 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 38.0%
(11:59) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 89-S.Smith.
Q2 11:55 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +0.5%
Win probability: CAR 60.4%
(11:55) 28-J.Stewart left end to MIN 42 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 11:13 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +4.6%
Win probability: CAR 60.9%
(11:13) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 39 for 3 yards (93-K.Williams).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:30.
Q2 10:30 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 34.5%
(10:30) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 80-J.Shockey.
Q2 10:24 · MIN 7–CAR 13
CAR +13.4%
Win probability: CAR 64.2%
(10:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 88-G.Olsen for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 77.6%
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
+0.0%
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 10:18 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 78.2%
(10:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 21 for 1 yard (68-A.Neblett).
Q2 9:43 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.3%
Win probability: CAR 78.9%
(9:43) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 21 for no gain (50-J.Anderson; 20-C.Gamble).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +3.9%
Win probability: MIN 19.8%
*** play under review ***
Q2 8:38 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 23.7%
(8:38) 7-C.Ponder pass deep left to 84-M.Jenkins to CAR 43 for 24 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q2 8:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 74.0%
(8:03) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 39 for 4 yards (93-A.Applewhite).
Q2 7:28 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 74.0%
(7:28) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q2 7:24 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +5.6%
Win probability: MIN 24.3%
(7:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 26 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q2 6:48 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 29.9%
(6:48) 28-A.Peterson left end to CAR 16 for 10 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q2 6:04 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 68.6%
(6:04) 7-C.Ponder right end to CAR 16 for no gain (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q2 5:22 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 69.6%
(5:22) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 17 for -1 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q2 4:47 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +6.7%
Win probability: CAR 71.9%
(4:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 5 for 12 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). FUMBLES (41-C.Munnerlyn), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 5. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 5 for no gain (12-P.Harvin). Minnesota challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 04:37.)
Q2 4:37 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +0.8%
Win probability: MIN 21.4%
(4:37) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 45-J.Felton.
Q2 4:33 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 77.8%
(4:33) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 13 for 8 yards (93-K.Williams, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 3:50 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 21.2%
(3:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 18 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q2 3:11 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.8%
Win probability: CAR 77.0%
(3:11) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q2 2:37 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.2%
Win probability: MIN 22.3%
(2:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 31 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at CAR 31.
Q2 2:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 76.6%
(2:03) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to CAR 28 for 12 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q2 1:57 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 78.9%
(1:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 34-D.Williams to CAR 35 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 1:34 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 80.4%
(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 42 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q2 1:15 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +9.7%
Win probability: MIN 18.1%
(1:15) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 33 for -9 yards (69-J.Allen). FUMBLES (69-J.Allen), RECOVERED by MIN-52-C.Greenway at CAR 39. 52-C.Greenway to CAR 39 for no gain (67-R.Kalil).
Q2 1:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +3.5%
Win probability: MIN 27.8%
(1:03) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 19 for 20 yards (50-J.Anderson).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by MIN at 00:50.
Q2 0:42 · MIN 13–CAR 14
MIN +9.5%
Win probability: MIN 31.3%
(:42) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 28-A.Peterson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 40.7%
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q2 · MIN 14–CAR 14
+0.0%
8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 0:42 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 41.3%
(:42) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 14
+0.0%
8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 15:00 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +4.2%
Win probability: MIN 43.1%
(15:00) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 17 for -3 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q3 14:24 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +8.0%
Win probability: CAR 52.8%
(14:24) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 39 for 22 yards (33-J.Sanford). Minnesota challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)
Q3 13:57 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +2.6%
Win probability: MIN 39.2%
(13:57) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-L.Naanee.
Q3 13:51 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +8.2%
Win probability: CAR 58.2%
(13:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to MIN 37 for 24 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 13:23 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +3.6%
Win probability: CAR 66.4%
(13:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 28 for 9 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 12:54 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 30.1%
(12:54) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams up the middle to MIN 25 for 3 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 12:15 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.9%
Win probability: MIN 31.2%
(12:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep middle to 17-L.Naanee (50-E.Henderson).
Q3 12:09 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +4.9%
Win probability: MIN 33.1%
(12:09) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 27 for -2 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 12:09 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +3.7%
Win probability: CAR 62.0%
(12:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN-52-C.Greenway, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 27 - No Play.
Q3 11:13 · MIN 14–CAR 20
CAR +14.2%
Win probability: CAR 65.8%
(11:13) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 79.9%
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 21
+0.0%
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 11:07 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 80.6%
(11:07) 7-C.Ponder FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIN 15, recovered by MIN-28-A.Peterson at MIN 11. 28-A.Peterson to MIN 11 for no gain (97-T.McClain).
Q3 10:30 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.9%
Win probability: CAR 83.6%
(10:30) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 84-M.Jenkins to MIN 17 for 6 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q3 9:56 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 84.5%
(9:56) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 22 for 5 yards (25-R.Stanford; 41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q3 9:25 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +3.5%
Win probability: MIN 14.9%
(9:25) 4-C.Kluwe punts 50 yards to CAR 28, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 29 for 1 yard (44-R.D'Imperio). PENALTY on MIN-51-L.Dean, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29.
Q3 9:14 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 18.4%
(9:14) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 45-J.Felton (23-C.Griffin).
Q3 9:07 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 80.3%
(9:07) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 43 for 4 yards (69-J.Allen, 52-C.Greenway).
Q3 8:30 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 80.9%
(8:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 47 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q3 7:48 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 18.4%
(7:48) 7-J.Baker punts 41 yards to MIN 12, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 10 for -2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q3 7:39 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 19.1%
(7:39) 32-T.Gerhart up the middle to MIN 14 for 4 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q3 7:05 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 19.5%
(7:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to MIN 23 for 9 yards (95-C.Johnson; 30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 6:23 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.1%
Win probability: MIN 20.2%
(6:23) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to MIN 32 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 5:51 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 77.7%
(5:51) 32-T.Gerhart right tackle to MIN 43 for 11 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 5:13 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.6%
Win probability: MIN 22.3%
(5:13) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 42 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin; 93-A.Applewhite).
Q3 4:40 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 75.1%
(4:40) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-V.Shiancoe (23-S.Martin).
Q3 4:34 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 76.6%
(4:34) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q3 4:29 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +7.9%
Win probability: MIN 20.5%
(4:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 81-V.Shiancoe to CAR 30 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 3:55 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 71.6%
(3:55) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 29 for 1 yard (30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 3:22 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +4.7%
Win probability: MIN 26.6%
(3:22) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 17 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 2:45 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 68.7%
(2:45) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to CAR 14 for 3 yards (55-D.Connor, 68-A.Neblett).
Q3 2:12 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.9%
Win probability: MIN 30.9%
(2:12) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu. PENALTY on CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 14 - No Play.
Q3 2:06 · MIN 20–CAR 21
MIN +7.0%
Win probability: MIN 33.8%
(2:06) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 40.8%
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q3 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +0.1%
Win probability: CAR 58.7%
8-R.Longwell kicks 60 yards from MIN 35 to CAR 5. 81-K.Pilares MUFFS catch, touched at CAR 5, and recovers at CAR 10. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 14 yards (37-E.Frampton).
Q3 1:51 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 41.2%
(1:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right end pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (23-C.Griffin).
Q3 1:22 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 41.3%
(1:22) 34-D.Williams up the middle to CAR 32 for 2 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 0:45 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +4.9%
Win probability: MIN 42.2%
(:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles up the middle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (90-F.Evans, 52-C.Greenway).
Q4 15:00 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 47.1%
(15:00) 7-J.Baker punts 50 yards to MIN 17, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 26 for 9 yards (57-J.Senn).
Q4 14:49 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 51.2%
(14:49) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q4 · MIN 21–CAR 21
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by MIN at 14:42.
Q4 14:42 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 54.1%
(14:42) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 44-R.D'Imperio [95-C.Johnson].
Q4 14:36 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +9.6%
Win probability: MIN 42.6%
(14:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 81-V.Shiancoe to MIN 39 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey, 50-J.Anderson).
Q4 14:01 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 47.8%
(14:01) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 38 for -1 yards (91-R.Fields; 30-C.Godfrey).
Q4 13:23 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 49.0%
(13:23) 28-A.Peterson right end pushed ob at MIN 47 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q4 12:56 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +5.2%
Win probability: MIN 50.2%
(12:56) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 47 for 6 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q4 12:21 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.7%
Win probability: CAR 44.6%
(12:21) 32-T.Gerhart left tackle to CAR 48 for -1 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q4 11:44 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.8%
Win probability: CAR 47.4%
(11:44) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 82-K.Rudolph.
Q4 11:38 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +5.1%
Win probability: CAR 51.1%
(11:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 82-K.Rudolph.
Q4 11:32 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +1.9%
Win probability: CAR 56.2%
(11:32) 4-C.Kluwe punts 28 yards to CAR 20, Center-46-C.Loeffler, fair catch by 14-A.Edwards.
Q4 11:24 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 42.0%
(11:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-D.Williams to CAR 26 for 6 yards (50-E.Henderson; 56-EJ.Henderson).
Q4 10:52 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +3.8%
Win probability: MIN 42.4%
(10:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 88-G.Olsen.
Q4 · MIN 21–CAR 21
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:48.
Q4 10:48 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +5.8%
Win probability: MIN 46.2%
(10:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle to CAR 28 for 2 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q4 10:07 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 48.1%
(10:07) 7-J.Baker punts 52 yards to MIN 20, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 15 for -5 yards (81-K.Pilares).
Q4 9:53 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 51.4%
(9:53) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to MIN 17 for 2 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q4 9:18 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +1.4%
Win probability: CAR 54.4%
(9:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 18 for 1 yard (50-J.Anderson).
Q4 8:42 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +8.5%
Win probability: MIN 44.2%
(8:42) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 29 for 11 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q4 7:55 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.4%
Win probability: MIN 52.8%
(7:55) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 34 for 5 yards (68-A.Neblett).
Q4 7:20 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +6.1%
Win probability: MIN 54.2%
(7:20) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 49 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q4 6:40 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +8.0%
Win probability: CAR 39.7%
(6:40) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 44 for -5 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q4 6:12 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +13.5%
Win probability: MIN 52.2%
(6:12) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 34 for 22 yards (59-O.Gaither, 41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q4 5:41 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.5%
Win probability: CAR 34.3%
(5:41) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (93-A.Applewhite).
Q4 5:05 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +7.7%
Win probability: MIN 63.2%
(5:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to CAR 21 for 12 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q4 4:25 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 29.0%
(4:25) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 18 for 3 yards (50-J.Anderson, 97-T.McClain).
Q4 3:46 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 31.1%
(3:46) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 16 for 2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q4 3:04 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +4.3%
Win probability: CAR 33.4%
(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 13 for 3 yards (30-C.Godfrey). shuttle pass
Q4 2:47 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +3.7%
Win probability: MIN 62.2%
(2:47) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q4 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 34.0%
8-R.Longwell kicks 68 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -3. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 27 yards (37-E.Frampton).
Q4 2:38 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +2.5%
Win probability: MIN 65.6%
(2:38) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (50-E.Henderson).
Q4 2:33 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +4.6%
Win probability: CAR 31.9%
(2:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 33 for 9 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q4 2:07 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +7.0%
Win probability: CAR 36.5%
(2:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 40 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson, 52-C.Greenway).
Q4 2:00 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +11.6%
Win probability: MIN 56.5%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 32 for -8 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 1:39 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 68.1%
(1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 35 for 3 yards (35-M.Sherels).
Q4 1:14 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +6.7%
Win probability: MIN 70.9%
(1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep right to 11-B.LaFell (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 1:09 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +42.4%
Win probability: CAR 22.3%
(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 11-B.LaFell to MIN 21 for 44 yards (25-Ty.Johnson).
Q4 1:09 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 64.7%
(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to MIN 14 for 7 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q4 0:54 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +5.2%
Win probability: MIN 32.0%
(:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 0:50 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 37.2%
(:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right end to MIN 8 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah). PENALTY on CAR-89-S.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 8.
Q4 0:36 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 61.7%
(:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 13 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q4 · MIN 24–CAR 21
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by MIN at 00:29.
Q4 0:29 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +56.7%
Win probability: MIN 34.1%
(:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q4 0:26 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +9.3%
Win probability: MIN 90.7%
(:26) 7-C.Ponder kneels to MIN 20 for -1 yards.