thrilla
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MIN Minnesota Vikings@CAR Carolina Panthers

24–21 · Minnesota Vikings won
2011-10-30 · 2011 Regular Week 8
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 16.80 which ranks in the 91.4 percentile.

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THRILLA
91percentile
Raw Score: 16.80
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 6.11, which ranks in the 94.7 percentile.

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GEI
95percentile
Raw Score: 6.11
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Minnesota Vikings fell to a 14.9% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.75 which ranks in the 85.8 percentile.

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Comeback
86percentile
Raw Score: 2.75
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 15.95 which ranks in the 67.7 percentile. It was calculated as follows:

  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 10 × 0.5pts = 5pts
  • Turnovers: 3 × 0.75pts = 2.25pts
  • Sacks: 7 × 0.1pts = 0.7pts
  • Touchdowns: 6 × 1pts = 6pts
Total: 15.95pts

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Audience
68percentile
Raw Score: 15.95
Spread
CAR -3
O/U 47
CAR
MIN
Biggest Play
Q4 0:29 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +56.7%
Win probability: MIN 34.1%
4th & 2 · MIN 13
(:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Game Log
QtrClockScoreDown & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—MIN 0–CAR 0—CAR 3510-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from CAR 35 to MIN -5. 35-M.Sherels to CAR 27 for 78 yards (30-C.Godfrey).MIN +10.2%
Q114:50MIN 0–CAR 01st & 10CAR 27(14:50) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 27 for no gain (55-D.Connor).CAR +2.1%
Q114:13MIN 0–CAR 02nd & 10CAR 27(14:13) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 12-P.Harvin (76-G.Hardy).CAR +2.0%
Q114:09MIN 0–CAR 03rd & 10CAR 27(14:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 27 for 0 yards (97-T.McClain).CAR +2.4%
Q113:27MIN 0–CAR 04th & 10CAR 27(13:27) 8-R.Longwell 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.CAR +11.2%
Q113:26MIN 0–CAR 01st & 10CAR 35(13:26) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 26 for -9 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). FUMBLES (56-EJ.Henderson), RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at CAR 21. 69-J.Allen to CAR 16 for 5 yards (67-R.Kalil).MIN +21.4%
Q113:13MIN 0–CAR 01st & 10CAR 16(13:13) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 10 for 6 yards (97-T.McClain).MIN +0.6%
Q112:34MIN 6–CAR 02nd & 4CAR 10(12:34) 12-P.Harvin right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIN +2.4%
Q1—MIN 7–CAR 0—CAR 28-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.MIN +0.4%
Q1—MIN 7–CAR 0—MIN 358-R.Longwell kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -1. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 23 for 24 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), and recovers at CAR 19.CAR +0.4%
Q112:10MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 19(12:10) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 22 for 3 yards (52-C.Greenway).MIN +1.6%
Q111:52MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 7CAR 22(11:52) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey to CAR 30 for 8 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). PENALTY on CAR-80-J.Shockey, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 22 - No Play.MIN +3.6%
Q111:32MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 17CAR 12(11:32) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 28 for 16 yards (39-H.Abdullah).CAR +4.9%
Q110:54MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 1CAR 28(10:54) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 33 for 5 yards (93-K.Williams).CAR +3.2%
Q110:16MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 33(10:16) 28-J.Stewart left guard to CAR 33 for no gain (56-EJ.Henderson; 92-R.Ayodele).MIN +2.5%
Q19:39MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 10CAR 33(9:39) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 80-J.Shockey (69-J.Allen).MIN +1.7%
Q19:33MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 10CAR 33(9:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles right end to CAR 48 for 15 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +4.2%
Q18:52MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 48(8:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to MIN 45 for 7 yards (35-M.Sherels).CAR +1.6%
Q18:26MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 3MIN 45(8:26) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to MIN 34 for 11 yards (33-J.Sanford).CAR +1.7%
Q17:49MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 34(7:49) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith.MIN +2.1%
Q17:42MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 10MIN 34(7:42) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 32 for 2 yards (39-H.Abdullah).MIN +1.5%
Q17:00MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 8MIN 32(7:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith. PENALTY on CAR-77-B.Bell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 32 - No Play.MIN +3.0%
Q16:55MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 18MIN 42(6:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Stewart.MIN +2.9%
Q16:50MIN 7–CAR 04th & 18MIN 42(6:50) 7-J.Baker punts 31 yards to MIN 11, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-53-J.Phillips.MIN +1.3%
Q16:41MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 11(6:41) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 6 for -5 yards (56-T.Williams, 25-R.Stanford).CAR +3.3%
Q16:04MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 15MIN 6(6:04) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu [76-G.Hardy].CAR +1.6%
Q15:58MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 15MIN 6(5:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to MIN 28 for 22 yards (50-J.Anderson, 23-S.Martin). Shuttle passMIN +8.7%
Q15:18MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 28(5:18) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 41 for 13 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).MIN +0.9%
Q14:42MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 41(4:42) 12-P.Harvin right end to MIN 41 for no gain (93-A.Applewhite). End around by 12-Harvin, PercyCAR +1.3%
Q14:04MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 10MIN 41(4:04) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 43 for 2 yards (30-C.Godfrey).CAR +2.3%
Q13:26MIN 7–CAR 03rd & 8MIN 43(3:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 42 for -1 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).CAR +3.3%
Q12:59MIN 7–CAR 04th & 9MIN 42(2:59) 4-C.Kluwe punts 53 yards to CAR 5, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 10 for 5 yards (44-R.D'Imperio).CAR +0.4%
Q12:49MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 10(2:49) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 16 for 6 yards (52-C.Greenway).CAR +0.3%
Q12:14MIN 7–CAR 02nd & 4CAR 16(2:14) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 21 for 5 yards (33-J.Sanford).MIN +0.1%
Q11:29MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 21(1:29) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 89-S.Smith to CAR 40 for 19 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +3.1%
Q10:49MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10CAR 40(:49) (Shotgun) 89-S.Smith left end to MIN 48 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on MIN-23-C.Griffin, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 48. End around, 89-Smith,SteveCAR +3.2%
Q10:21MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 33(:21) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 21 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin).CAR +3.0%
Q215:00MIN 7–CAR 01st & 10MIN 21(15:00) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle to MIN 17 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah; 23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17.MIN +2.7%
Q214:29MIN 7–CAR 01st & 16MIN 27(14:29) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 1 for 26 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +7.4%
Q214:08MIN 7–CAR 01st & 1MIN 1(14:08) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 1 for no gain (93-K.Williams).MIN +1.5%
Q213:30MIN 7–CAR 62nd & 1MIN 1(13:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +4.8%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 7—MIN 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.CAR +1.1%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 7—CAR 3510-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q213:22MIN 7–CAR 71st & 10MIN 20(13:22) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 82-K.Rudolph (76-G.Hardy).CAR +1.7%
Q213:18MIN 7–CAR 72nd & 10MIN 20(13:18) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 22 for 2 yards (50-J.Anderson; 95-C.Johnson).CAR +1.8%
Q212:33MIN 7–CAR 73rd & 8MIN 22(12:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder scrambles right tackle to MIN 27 for 5 yards (76-G.Hardy). PENALTY on MIN-12-P.Harvin, Personal Foul, 13 yards, enforced between downs.CAR +6.4%
Q212:08MIN 7–CAR 74th & 16MIN 14(12:08) 4-C.Kluwe punts 48 yards to CAR 38, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to MIN 49 for 13 yards (97-E.Griffen).MIN +6.6%
Q211:59MIN 7–CAR 71st & 10MIN 49(11:59) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 89-S.Smith.MIN +1.6%
Q211:55MIN 7–CAR 72nd & 10MIN 49(11:55) 28-J.Stewart left end to MIN 42 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).CAR +0.5%
Q211:13MIN 7–CAR 73rd & 3MIN 42(11:13) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 39 for 3 yards (93-K.Williams).CAR +4.6%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 7—MIN 39Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:30. +0.0%
Q210:30MIN 7–CAR 71st & 10MIN 39(10:30) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 80-J.Shockey.MIN +1.3%
Q210:24MIN 7–CAR 132nd & 10MIN 39(10:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 88-G.Olsen for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +13.4%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 14—MIN 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.CAR +0.7%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 14—CAR 3510-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q210:18MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10MIN 20(10:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 21 for 1 yard (68-A.Neblett).CAR +0.7%
Q29:43MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 9MIN 21(9:43) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 21 for no gain (50-J.Anderson; 20-C.Gamble).CAR +1.3%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 143rd & 9MIN 21*** play under review ***MIN +3.9%
Q28:38MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10MIN 33(8:38) 7-C.Ponder pass deep left to 84-M.Jenkins to CAR 43 for 24 yards (30-C.Godfrey).MIN +2.4%
Q28:03MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 43(8:03) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 39 for 4 yards (93-A.Applewhite).CAR +0.0%
Q27:28MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 6CAR 39(7:28) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu.CAR +1.7%
Q27:24MIN 7–CAR 143rd & 6CAR 39(7:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 26 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey).MIN +5.6%
Q26:48MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 26(6:48) 28-A.Peterson left end to CAR 16 for 10 yards (23-S.Martin).MIN +1.5%
Q26:04MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 16(6:04) 7-C.Ponder right end to CAR 16 for no gain (41-C.Munnerlyn).CAR +1.0%
Q25:22MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 10CAR 16(5:22) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 17 for -1 yards (59-O.Gaither).CAR +2.3%
Q24:47MIN 7–CAR 143rd & 11CAR 17(4:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 5 for 12 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). FUMBLES (41-C.Munnerlyn), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 5. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 5 for no gain (12-P.Harvin). Minnesota challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 04:37.)CAR +6.7%
Q24:37MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 5(4:37) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 45-J.Felton.MIN +0.8%
Q24:33MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 10CAR 5(4:33) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 13 for 8 yards (93-K.Williams, 52-C.Greenway).CAR +1.0%
Q23:50MIN 7–CAR 143rd & 2CAR 13(3:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 18 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).MIN +1.8%
Q23:11MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 18(3:11) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah).CAR +0.8%
Q22:37MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 4CAR 24(2:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 31 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at CAR 31.MIN +1.2%
Q22:03MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 12CAR 16(2:03) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to CAR 28 for 12 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +2.3%
Q21:57MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 28(1:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 34-D.Williams to CAR 35 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).CAR +1.5%
Q21:34MIN 7–CAR 142nd & 3CAR 35(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 42 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson).CAR +1.5%
Q21:15MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 42(1:15) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 33 for -9 yards (69-J.Allen). FUMBLES (69-J.Allen), RECOVERED by MIN-52-C.Greenway at CAR 39. 52-C.Greenway to CAR 39 for no gain (67-R.Kalil).MIN +9.7%
Q21:03MIN 7–CAR 141st & 10CAR 39(1:03) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 19 for 20 yards (50-J.Anderson).MIN +3.5%
Q2—MIN 7–CAR 14—CAR 19Timeout #2 by MIN at 00:50. +0.0%
Q20:42MIN 13–CAR 141st & 10CAR 19(:42) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 28-A.Peterson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIN +9.5%
Q2—MIN 14–CAR 14—CAR 28-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.MIN +0.5%
Q2—MIN 14–CAR 14—MIN 358-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q20:42MIN 14–CAR 141st & 10CAR 20(:42) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Greenway).MIN +1.8%
Q3—MIN 14–CAR 14—MIN 358-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q315:00MIN 14–CAR 141st & 10CAR 20(15:00) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 17 for -3 yards (50-E.Henderson).MIN +4.2%
Q314:24MIN 14–CAR 142nd & 13CAR 17(14:24) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 39 for 22 yards (33-J.Sanford). Minnesota challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)CAR +8.0%
Q313:57MIN 14–CAR 141st & 10CAR 39(13:57) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-L.Naanee.MIN +2.6%
Q313:51MIN 14–CAR 142nd & 10CAR 39(13:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to MIN 37 for 24 yards (69-J.Allen).CAR +8.2%
Q313:23MIN 14–CAR 141st & 10MIN 37(13:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 28 for 9 yards (52-C.Greenway).CAR +3.6%
Q312:54MIN 14–CAR 142nd & 1MIN 28(12:54) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams up the middle to MIN 25 for 3 yards (69-J.Allen).MIN +1.1%
Q312:15MIN 14–CAR 141st & 10MIN 25(12:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep middle to 17-L.Naanee (50-E.Henderson).MIN +1.9%
Q312:09MIN 14–CAR 142nd & 10MIN 25(12:09) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 27 for -2 yards (52-C.Greenway).MIN +4.9%
Q312:09MIN 14–CAR 143rd & 12MIN 27(12:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN-52-C.Greenway, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 27 - No Play.CAR +3.7%
Q311:13MIN 14–CAR 203rd & 7MIN 22(11:13) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +14.2%
Q3—MIN 14–CAR 21—MIN 210-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.CAR +0.7%
Q3—MIN 14–CAR 21—CAR 3510-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q311:07MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10MIN 20(11:07) 7-C.Ponder FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIN 15, recovered by MIN-28-A.Peterson at MIN 11. 28-A.Peterson to MIN 11 for no gain (97-T.McClain).CAR +3.0%
Q310:30MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 19MIN 11(10:30) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 84-M.Jenkins to MIN 17 for 6 yards (20-C.Gamble).CAR +0.9%
Q39:56MIN 14–CAR 213rd & 13MIN 17(9:56) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 22 for 5 yards (25-R.Stanford; 41-C.Munnerlyn).CAR +0.6%
Q39:25MIN 14–CAR 214th & 8MIN 22(9:25) 4-C.Kluwe punts 50 yards to CAR 28, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 29 for 1 yard (44-R.D'Imperio). PENALTY on MIN-51-L.Dean, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29.MIN +3.5%
Q39:14MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10CAR 39(9:14) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 45-J.Felton (23-C.Griffin).MIN +1.3%
Q39:07MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 10CAR 39(9:07) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 43 for 4 yards (69-J.Allen, 52-C.Greenway).CAR +0.6%
Q38:30MIN 14–CAR 213rd & 6CAR 43(8:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 47 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah).CAR +0.7%
Q37:48MIN 14–CAR 214th & 2CAR 47(7:48) 7-J.Baker punts 41 yards to MIN 12, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 10 for -2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).MIN +0.7%
Q37:39MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10MIN 10(7:39) 32-T.Gerhart up the middle to MIN 14 for 4 yards (95-C.Johnson).MIN +0.4%
Q37:05MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 6MIN 14(7:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to MIN 23 for 9 yards (95-C.Johnson; 30-C.Godfrey).MIN +0.7%
Q36:23MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10MIN 23(6:23) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to MIN 32 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).MIN +2.1%
Q35:51MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 1MIN 32(5:51) 32-T.Gerhart right tackle to MIN 43 for 11 yards (30-C.Godfrey).CAR +0.0%
Q35:13MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10MIN 43(5:13) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 42 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin; 93-A.Applewhite).MIN +2.6%
Q34:40MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10CAR 42(4:40) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-V.Shiancoe (23-S.Martin).CAR +1.5%
Q34:34MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 10CAR 42(4:34) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu.CAR +2.9%
Q34:29MIN 14–CAR 213rd & 10CAR 42(4:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 81-V.Shiancoe to CAR 30 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).MIN +7.9%
Q33:55MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10CAR 30(3:55) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 29 for 1 yard (30-C.Godfrey).CAR +1.8%
Q33:22MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 9CAR 29(3:22) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 17 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).MIN +4.7%
Q32:45MIN 14–CAR 211st & 10CAR 17(2:45) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to CAR 14 for 3 yards (55-D.Connor, 68-A.Neblett).CAR +0.3%
Q32:12MIN 14–CAR 212nd & 7CAR 14(2:12) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu. PENALTY on CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 14 - No Play.MIN +2.9%
Q32:06MIN 20–CAR 211st & 9CAR 9(2:06) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.MIN +7.0%
Q3—MIN 21–CAR 21—CAR 28-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.MIN +0.5%
Q3—MIN 21–CAR 21—MIN 358-R.Longwell kicks 60 yards from MIN 35 to CAR 5. 81-K.Pilares MUFFS catch, touched at CAR 5, and recovers at CAR 10. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 14 yards (37-E.Frampton).CAR +0.1%
Q31:51MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10CAR 24(1:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right end pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (23-C.Griffin).MIN +0.1%
Q31:22MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 4CAR 30(1:22) 34-D.Williams up the middle to CAR 32 for 2 yards (69-J.Allen).MIN +0.9%
Q30:45MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 2CAR 32(:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles up the middle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (90-F.Evans, 52-C.Greenway).MIN +4.9%
Q415:00MIN 21–CAR 214th & 1CAR 33(15:00) 7-J.Baker punts 50 yards to MIN 17, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 26 for 9 yards (57-J.Senn).MIN +1.6%
Q414:49MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10MIN 26(14:49) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 19-D.Aromashodu.CAR +2.9%
Q4—MIN 21–CAR 21—MIN 26Timeout #2 by MIN at 14:42. +0.0%
Q414:42MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 10MIN 26(14:42) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 44-R.D'Imperio [95-C.Johnson].CAR +3.3%
Q414:36MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 10MIN 26(14:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 81-V.Shiancoe to MIN 39 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey, 50-J.Anderson).MIN +9.6%
Q414:01MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10MIN 39(14:01) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 38 for -1 yards (91-R.Fields; 30-C.Godfrey).CAR +3.2%
Q413:23MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 11MIN 38(13:23) 28-A.Peterson right end pushed ob at MIN 47 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).MIN +1.1%
Q412:56MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 2MIN 47(12:56) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 47 for 6 yards (23-S.Martin).MIN +5.2%
Q412:21MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10CAR 47(12:21) 32-T.Gerhart left tackle to CAR 48 for -1 yards (95-C.Johnson).CAR +2.7%
Q411:44MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 11CAR 48(11:44) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 82-K.Rudolph.CAR +3.8%
Q411:38MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 11CAR 48(11:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 82-K.Rudolph.CAR +5.1%
Q411:32MIN 21–CAR 214th & 11CAR 48(11:32) 4-C.Kluwe punts 28 yards to CAR 20, Center-46-C.Loeffler, fair catch by 14-A.Edwards.CAR +1.9%
Q411:24MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10CAR 20(11:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-D.Williams to CAR 26 for 6 yards (50-E.Henderson; 56-EJ.Henderson).MIN +0.4%
Q410:52MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 4CAR 26(10:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 88-G.Olsen.MIN +3.8%
Q4—MIN 21–CAR 21—CAR 26Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:48. +0.0%
Q410:48MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 4CAR 26(10:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle to CAR 28 for 2 yards (50-E.Henderson).MIN +5.8%
Q410:07MIN 21–CAR 214th & 2CAR 28(10:07) 7-J.Baker punts 52 yards to MIN 20, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 15 for -5 yards (81-K.Pilares).CAR +3.3%
Q49:53MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10MIN 15(9:53) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to MIN 17 for 2 yards (20-C.Gamble).CAR +2.9%
Q49:18MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 8MIN 17(9:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 18 for 1 yard (50-J.Anderson).CAR +1.4%
Q48:42MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 7MIN 18(8:42) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 29 for 11 yards (59-O.Gaither).MIN +8.5%
Q47:55MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10MIN 29(7:55) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 34 for 5 yards (68-A.Neblett).MIN +1.4%
Q47:20MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 5MIN 34(7:20) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 49 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin).MIN +6.1%
Q46:40MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10MIN 49(6:40) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 44 for -5 yards (95-C.Johnson).CAR +8.0%
Q46:12MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 15MIN 44(6:12) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 34 for 22 yards (59-O.Gaither, 41-C.Munnerlyn).MIN +13.5%
Q45:41MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10CAR 34(5:41) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (93-A.Applewhite).CAR +2.5%
Q45:05MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 9CAR 33(5:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to CAR 21 for 12 yards (20-C.Gamble).MIN +7.7%
Q44:25MIN 21–CAR 211st & 10CAR 21(4:25) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 18 for 3 yards (50-J.Anderson, 97-T.McClain).CAR +2.1%
Q43:46MIN 21–CAR 212nd & 7CAR 18(3:46) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 16 for 2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).CAR +2.3%
Q43:04MIN 21–CAR 213rd & 5CAR 16(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 13 for 3 yards (30-C.Godfrey). shuttle passCAR +4.3%
Q42:47MIN 24–CAR 214th & 2CAR 13(2:47) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.MIN +3.7%
Q4—MIN 24–CAR 21—MIN 358-R.Longwell kicks 68 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -3. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 27 yards (37-E.Frampton).CAR +0.4%
Q42:38MIN 24–CAR 211st & 10CAR 24(2:38) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (50-E.Henderson).MIN +2.5%
Q42:33MIN 24–CAR 212nd & 10CAR 24(2:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 33 for 9 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +4.6%
Q42:07MIN 24–CAR 213rd & 1CAR 33(2:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 40 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson, 52-C.Greenway).CAR +7.0%
Q42:00MIN 24–CAR 211st & 10CAR 40(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 32 for -8 yards (39-H.Abdullah).MIN +11.6%
Q41:39MIN 24–CAR 212nd & 18CAR 32(1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 35 for 3 yards (35-M.Sherels).MIN +2.8%
Q41:14MIN 24–CAR 213rd & 15CAR 35(1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep right to 11-B.LaFell (39-H.Abdullah).MIN +6.7%
Q41:09MIN 24–CAR 214th & 15CAR 35(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 11-B.LaFell to MIN 21 for 44 yards (25-Ty.Johnson).CAR +42.4%
Q41:09MIN 24–CAR 211st & 10MIN 21(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to MIN 14 for 7 yards (21-A.Allen).CAR +3.3%
Q40:54MIN 24–CAR 212nd & 3MIN 14(:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (39-H.Abdullah).MIN +5.2%
Q40:50MIN 24–CAR 213rd & 3MIN 14(:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right end to MIN 8 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah). PENALTY on CAR-89-S.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 8.MIN +1.1%
Q40:36MIN 24–CAR 213rd & 7MIN 18(:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 13 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).CAR +4.2%
Q4—MIN 24–CAR 21—MIN 13Timeout #3 by MIN at 00:29. +0.0%
Q40:29MIN 24–CAR 214th & 2MIN 13(:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.MIN +56.7%
Q40:26MIN 24–CAR 211st & 10MIN 21(:26) 7-C.Ponder kneels to MIN 20 for -1 yards.—
Q1 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +10.2%
Win probability: MIN 41.1%
— · CAR 35
10-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from CAR 35 to MIN -5. 35-M.Sherels to CAR 27 for 78 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q1 14:50 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 48.7%
1st & 10 · CAR 27
(14:50) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 27 for no gain (55-D.Connor).
Q1 14:13 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.0%
Win probability: CAR 50.8%
2nd & 10 · CAR 27
(14:13) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 12-P.Harvin (76-G.Hardy).
Q1 14:09 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.4%
Win probability: CAR 52.8%
3rd & 10 · CAR 27
(14:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 27 for 0 yards (97-T.McClain).
Q1 13:27 · MIN 0–CAR 0
CAR +11.2%
Win probability: CAR 55.2%
4th & 10 · CAR 27
(13:27) 8-R.Longwell 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q1 13:26 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +21.4%
Win probability: MIN 33.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(13:26) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 26 for -9 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). FUMBLES (56-EJ.Henderson), RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at CAR 21. 69-J.Allen to CAR 16 for 5 yards (67-R.Kalil).
Q1 13:13 · MIN 0–CAR 0
MIN +0.6%
Win probability: MIN 55.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 16
(13:13) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 10 for 6 yards (97-T.McClain).
Q1 12:34 · MIN 6–CAR 0
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 55.6%
2nd & 4 · CAR 10
(12:34) 12-P.Harvin right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 58.0%
— · CAR 2
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q1 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 41.7%
— · MIN 35
8-R.Longwell kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -1. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 23 for 24 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), and recovers at CAR 19.
Q1 12:10 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 57.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 19
(12:10) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 22 for 3 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q1 11:52 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +3.6%
Win probability: MIN 59.5%
2nd & 7 · CAR 22
(11:52) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey to CAR 30 for 8 yards (56-EJ.Henderson). PENALTY on CAR-80-J.Shockey, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 22 - No Play.
Q1 11:32 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +4.9%
Win probability: CAR 37.0%
2nd & 17 · CAR 12
(11:32) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 28 for 16 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q1 10:54 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 41.9%
3rd & 1 · CAR 28
(10:54) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 33 for 5 yards (93-K.Williams).
Q1 10:16 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.5%
Win probability: MIN 54.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 33
(10:16) 28-J.Stewart left guard to CAR 33 for no gain (56-EJ.Henderson; 92-R.Ayodele).
Q1 9:39 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.7%
Win probability: MIN 57.4%
2nd & 10 · CAR 33
(9:39) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 80-J.Shockey (69-J.Allen).
Q1 9:33 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 40.9%
3rd & 10 · CAR 33
(9:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles right end to CAR 48 for 15 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q1 8:52 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.6%
Win probability: CAR 45.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 48
(8:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to MIN 45 for 7 yards (35-M.Sherels).
Q1 8:26 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 46.7%
2nd & 3 · MIN 45
(8:26) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to MIN 34 for 11 yards (33-J.Sanford).
Q1 7:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.1%
Win probability: MIN 51.6%
1st & 10 · MIN 34
(7:49) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith.
Q1 7:42 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 53.8%
2nd & 10 · MIN 34
(7:42) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 32 for 2 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q1 7:00 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +3.0%
Win probability: MIN 55.3%
3rd & 8 · MIN 32
(7:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 89-S.Smith. PENALTY on CAR-77-B.Bell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 32 - No Play.
Q1 6:55 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.9%
Win probability: MIN 58.3%
3rd & 18 · MIN 42
(6:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Stewart.
Q1 6:50 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 61.2%
4th & 18 · MIN 42
(6:50) 7-J.Baker punts 31 yards to MIN 11, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-53-J.Phillips.
Q1 6:41 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 37.5%
1st & 10 · MIN 11
(6:41) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 6 for -5 yards (56-T.Williams, 25-R.Stanford).
Q1 6:04 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.6%
Win probability: CAR 40.8%
2nd & 15 · MIN 6
(6:04) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu [76-G.Hardy].
Q1 5:58 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +8.7%
Win probability: MIN 57.7%
3rd & 15 · MIN 6
(5:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to MIN 28 for 22 yards (50-J.Anderson, 23-S.Martin). Shuttle pass
Q1 5:18 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 66.4%
1st & 10 · MIN 28
(5:18) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 41 for 13 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q1 4:42 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +1.3%
Win probability: CAR 32.7%
1st & 10 · MIN 41
(4:42) 12-P.Harvin right end to MIN 41 for no gain (93-A.Applewhite). End around by 12-Harvin, Percy
Q1 4:04 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 34.0%
2nd & 10 · MIN 41
(4:04) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 43 for 2 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q1 3:26 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 36.3%
3rd & 8 · MIN 43
(3:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 42 for -1 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q1 2:59 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 39.6%
4th & 9 · MIN 42
(2:59) 4-C.Kluwe punts 53 yards to CAR 5, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 10 for 5 yards (44-R.D'Imperio).
Q1 2:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 40.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 10
(2:49) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 16 for 6 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q1 2:14 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 59.7%
2nd & 4 · CAR 16
(2:14) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 21 for 5 yards (33-J.Sanford).
Q1 1:29 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.1%
Win probability: CAR 40.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 21
(1:29) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 89-S.Smith to CAR 40 for 19 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q1 0:49 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 43.3%
1st & 10 · CAR 40
(:49) (Shotgun) 89-S.Smith left end to MIN 48 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on MIN-23-C.Griffin, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 48. End around, 89-Smith,Steve
Q1 0:21 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 46.5%
1st & 10 · MIN 33
(:21) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams left end to MIN 21 for 12 yards (23-C.Griffin).
Q2 15:00 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +2.7%
Win probability: MIN 50.5%
1st & 10 · MIN 21
(15:00) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle to MIN 17 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah; 23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17.
Q2 14:29 · MIN 7–CAR 0
CAR +7.4%
Win probability: CAR 46.8%
1st & 16 · MIN 27
(14:29) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 1 for 26 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q2 14:08 · MIN 7–CAR 0
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 45.8%
1st & 1 · MIN 1
(14:08) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 1 for no gain (93-K.Williams).
Q2 13:30 · MIN 7–CAR 6
CAR +4.8%
Win probability: CAR 52.7%
2nd & 1 · MIN 1
(13:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-J.Shockey for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.1%
Win probability: CAR 57.5%
— · MIN 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
+0.0%
— · CAR 35
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 13:22 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 58.6%
1st & 10 · MIN 20
(13:22) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 82-K.Rudolph (76-G.Hardy).
Q2 13:18 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 60.3%
2nd & 10 · MIN 20
(13:18) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 22 for 2 yards (50-J.Anderson; 95-C.Johnson).
Q2 12:33 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +6.4%
Win probability: CAR 62.2%
3rd & 8 · MIN 22
(12:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder scrambles right tackle to MIN 27 for 5 yards (76-G.Hardy). PENALTY on MIN-12-P.Harvin, Personal Foul, 13 yards, enforced between downs.
Q2 12:08 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +6.6%
Win probability: MIN 31.5%
4th & 16 · MIN 14
(12:08) 4-C.Kluwe punts 48 yards to CAR 38, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to MIN 49 for 13 yards (97-E.Griffen).
Q2 11:59 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 38.0%
1st & 10 · MIN 49
(11:59) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 89-S.Smith.
Q2 11:55 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +0.5%
Win probability: CAR 60.4%
2nd & 10 · MIN 49
(11:55) 28-J.Stewart left end to MIN 42 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 11:13 · MIN 7–CAR 7
CAR +4.6%
Win probability: CAR 60.9%
3rd & 3 · MIN 42
(11:13) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 39 for 3 yards (93-K.Williams).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 7
+0.0%
— · MIN 39
Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:30.
Q2 10:30 · MIN 7–CAR 7
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 34.5%
1st & 10 · MIN 39
(10:30) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 80-J.Shockey.
Q2 10:24 · MIN 7–CAR 13
CAR +13.4%
Win probability: CAR 64.2%
2nd & 10 · MIN 39
(10:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 88-G.Olsen for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 77.6%
— · MIN 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
+0.0%
— · CAR 35
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 10:18 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 78.2%
1st & 10 · MIN 20
(10:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 21 for 1 yard (68-A.Neblett).
Q2 9:43 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.3%
Win probability: CAR 78.9%
2nd & 9 · MIN 21
(9:43) 28-A.Peterson right guard to MIN 21 for no gain (50-J.Anderson; 20-C.Gamble).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +3.9%
Win probability: MIN 19.8%
3rd & 9 · MIN 21
*** play under review ***
Q2 8:38 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 23.7%
1st & 10 · MIN 33
(8:38) 7-C.Ponder pass deep left to 84-M.Jenkins to CAR 43 for 24 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q2 8:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 74.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 43
(8:03) 28-A.Peterson left guard to CAR 39 for 4 yards (93-A.Applewhite).
Q2 7:28 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 74.0%
2nd & 6 · CAR 39
(7:28) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q2 7:24 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +5.6%
Win probability: MIN 24.3%
3rd & 6 · CAR 39
(7:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 26 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q2 6:48 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.5%
Win probability: MIN 29.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 26
(6:48) 28-A.Peterson left end to CAR 16 for 10 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q2 6:04 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 68.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 16
(6:04) 7-C.Ponder right end to CAR 16 for no gain (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q2 5:22 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 69.6%
2nd & 10 · CAR 16
(5:22) 7-C.Ponder sacked at CAR 17 for -1 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q2 4:47 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +6.7%
Win probability: CAR 71.9%
3rd & 11 · CAR 17
(4:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 5 for 12 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). FUMBLES (41-C.Munnerlyn), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 5. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 5 for no gain (12-P.Harvin). Minnesota challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 04:37.)
Q2 4:37 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +0.8%
Win probability: MIN 21.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 5
(4:37) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 45-J.Felton.
Q2 4:33 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 77.8%
2nd & 10 · CAR 5
(4:33) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 13 for 8 yards (93-K.Williams, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 3:50 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 21.2%
3rd & 2 · CAR 13
(3:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 18 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q2 3:11 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +0.8%
Win probability: CAR 77.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 18
(3:11) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q2 2:37 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +1.2%
Win probability: MIN 22.3%
2nd & 4 · CAR 24
(2:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 31 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin). PENALTY on CAR-17-L.Naanee, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at CAR 31.
Q2 2:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 76.6%
2nd & 12 · CAR 16
(2:03) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 89-S.Smith to CAR 28 for 12 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q2 1:57 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 78.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 28
(1:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 34-D.Williams to CAR 35 for 7 yards (23-C.Griffin, 52-C.Greenway).
Q2 1:34 · MIN 7–CAR 14
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 80.4%
2nd & 3 · CAR 35
(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 42 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q2 1:15 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +9.7%
Win probability: MIN 18.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 42
(1:15) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 33 for -9 yards (69-J.Allen). FUMBLES (69-J.Allen), RECOVERED by MIN-52-C.Greenway at CAR 39. 52-C.Greenway to CAR 39 for no gain (67-R.Kalil).
Q2 1:03 · MIN 7–CAR 14
MIN +3.5%
Win probability: MIN 27.8%
1st & 10 · CAR 39
(1:03) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 19 for 20 yards (50-J.Anderson).
Q2 · MIN 7–CAR 14
+0.0%
— · CAR 19
Timeout #2 by MIN at 00:50.
Q2 0:42 · MIN 13–CAR 14
MIN +9.5%
Win probability: MIN 31.3%
1st & 10 · CAR 19
(:42) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 28-A.Peterson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 40.7%
— · CAR 2
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q2 · MIN 14–CAR 14
+0.0%
— · MIN 35
8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 0:42 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 41.3%
1st & 10 · CAR 20
(:42) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 24 for 4 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 14
+0.0%
— · MIN 35
8-R.Longwell kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 15:00 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +4.2%
Win probability: MIN 43.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 20
(15:00) 34-D.Williams right tackle to CAR 17 for -3 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q3 14:24 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +8.0%
Win probability: CAR 52.8%
2nd & 13 · CAR 17
(14:24) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 39 for 22 yards (33-J.Sanford). Minnesota challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)
Q3 13:57 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +2.6%
Win probability: MIN 39.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 39
(13:57) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-L.Naanee.
Q3 13:51 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +8.2%
Win probability: CAR 58.2%
2nd & 10 · CAR 39
(13:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to MIN 37 for 24 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 13:23 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +3.6%
Win probability: CAR 66.4%
1st & 10 · MIN 37
(13:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 28 for 9 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 12:54 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 30.1%
2nd & 1 · MIN 28
(12:54) (Shotgun) 34-D.Williams up the middle to MIN 25 for 3 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 12:15 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +1.9%
Win probability: MIN 31.2%
1st & 10 · MIN 25
(12:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep middle to 17-L.Naanee (50-E.Henderson).
Q3 12:09 · MIN 14–CAR 14
MIN +4.9%
Win probability: MIN 33.1%
2nd & 10 · MIN 25
(12:09) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to MIN 27 for -2 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q3 12:09 · MIN 14–CAR 14
CAR +3.7%
Win probability: CAR 62.0%
3rd & 12 · MIN 27
(12:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN-52-C.Greenway, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 27 - No Play.
Q3 11:13 · MIN 14–CAR 20
CAR +14.2%
Win probability: CAR 65.8%
3rd & 7 · MIN 22
(11:13) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 79.9%
— · MIN 2
10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q3 · MIN 14–CAR 21
+0.0%
— · CAR 35
10-O.Mare kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 11:07 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 80.6%
1st & 10 · MIN 20
(11:07) 7-C.Ponder FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIN 15, recovered by MIN-28-A.Peterson at MIN 11. 28-A.Peterson to MIN 11 for no gain (97-T.McClain).
Q3 10:30 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.9%
Win probability: CAR 83.6%
2nd & 19 · MIN 11
(10:30) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 84-M.Jenkins to MIN 17 for 6 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q3 9:56 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 84.5%
3rd & 13 · MIN 17
(9:56) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 22 for 5 yards (25-R.Stanford; 41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q3 9:25 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +3.5%
Win probability: MIN 14.9%
4th & 8 · MIN 22
(9:25) 4-C.Kluwe punts 50 yards to CAR 28, Center-46-C.Loeffler. 14-A.Edwards to CAR 29 for 1 yard (44-R.D'Imperio). PENALTY on MIN-51-L.Dean, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29.
Q3 9:14 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 18.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 39
(9:14) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 45-J.Felton (23-C.Griffin).
Q3 9:07 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 80.3%
2nd & 10 · CAR 39
(9:07) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to CAR 43 for 4 yards (69-J.Allen, 52-C.Greenway).
Q3 8:30 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 80.9%
3rd & 6 · CAR 43
(8:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 47 for 4 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q3 7:48 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 18.4%
4th & 2 · CAR 47
(7:48) 7-J.Baker punts 41 yards to MIN 12, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 10 for -2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q3 7:39 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 19.1%
1st & 10 · MIN 10
(7:39) 32-T.Gerhart up the middle to MIN 14 for 4 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q3 7:05 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 19.5%
2nd & 6 · MIN 14
(7:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to MIN 23 for 9 yards (95-C.Johnson; 30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 6:23 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.1%
Win probability: MIN 20.2%
1st & 10 · MIN 23
(6:23) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to MIN 32 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 5:51 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 77.7%
2nd & 1 · MIN 32
(5:51) 32-T.Gerhart right tackle to MIN 43 for 11 yards (30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 5:13 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.6%
Win probability: MIN 22.3%
1st & 10 · MIN 43
(5:13) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 42 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin; 93-A.Applewhite).
Q3 4:40 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 75.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 42
(4:40) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-V.Shiancoe (23-S.Martin).
Q3 4:34 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 76.6%
2nd & 10 · CAR 42
(4:34) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short right to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q3 4:29 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +7.9%
Win probability: MIN 20.5%
3rd & 10 · CAR 42
(4:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 81-V.Shiancoe to CAR 30 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 3:55 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 71.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 30
(3:55) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 29 for 1 yard (30-C.Godfrey).
Q3 3:22 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +4.7%
Win probability: MIN 26.6%
2nd & 9 · CAR 29
(3:22) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 17 for 12 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q3 2:45 · MIN 14–CAR 21
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 68.7%
1st & 10 · CAR 17
(2:45) 32-T.Gerhart right guard to CAR 14 for 3 yards (55-D.Connor, 68-A.Neblett).
Q3 2:12 · MIN 14–CAR 21
MIN +2.9%
Win probability: MIN 30.9%
2nd & 7 · CAR 14
(2:12) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Aromashodu. PENALTY on CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 14 - No Play.
Q3 2:06 · MIN 20–CAR 21
MIN +7.0%
Win probability: MIN 33.8%
1st & 9 · CAR 9
(2:06) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 40.8%
— · CAR 2
8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q3 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +0.1%
Win probability: CAR 58.7%
— · MIN 35
8-R.Longwell kicks 60 yards from MIN 35 to CAR 5. 81-K.Pilares MUFFS catch, touched at CAR 5, and recovers at CAR 10. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 14 yards (37-E.Frampton).
Q3 1:51 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 41.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 24
(1:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right end pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (23-C.Griffin).
Q3 1:22 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 41.3%
2nd & 4 · CAR 30
(1:22) 34-D.Williams up the middle to CAR 32 for 2 yards (69-J.Allen).
Q3 0:45 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +4.9%
Win probability: MIN 42.2%
3rd & 2 · CAR 32
(:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles up the middle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (90-F.Evans, 52-C.Greenway).
Q4 15:00 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 47.1%
4th & 1 · CAR 33
(15:00) 7-J.Baker punts 50 yards to MIN 17, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 26 for 9 yards (57-J.Senn).
Q4 14:49 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 51.2%
1st & 10 · MIN 26
(14:49) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 19-D.Aromashodu.
Q4 · MIN 21–CAR 21
+0.0%
— · MIN 26
Timeout #2 by MIN at 14:42.
Q4 14:42 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 54.1%
2nd & 10 · MIN 26
(14:42) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 44-R.D'Imperio [95-C.Johnson].
Q4 14:36 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +9.6%
Win probability: MIN 42.6%
3rd & 10 · MIN 26
(14:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 81-V.Shiancoe to MIN 39 for 13 yards (30-C.Godfrey, 50-J.Anderson).
Q4 14:01 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.2%
Win probability: CAR 47.8%
1st & 10 · MIN 39
(14:01) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 38 for -1 yards (91-R.Fields; 30-C.Godfrey).
Q4 13:23 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 49.0%
2nd & 11 · MIN 38
(13:23) 28-A.Peterson right end pushed ob at MIN 47 for 9 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q4 12:56 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +5.2%
Win probability: MIN 50.2%
3rd & 2 · MIN 47
(12:56) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to CAR 47 for 6 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q4 12:21 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.7%
Win probability: CAR 44.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 47
(12:21) 32-T.Gerhart left tackle to CAR 48 for -1 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q4 11:44 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.8%
Win probability: CAR 47.4%
2nd & 11 · CAR 48
(11:44) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 82-K.Rudolph.
Q4 11:38 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +5.1%
Win probability: CAR 51.1%
3rd & 11 · CAR 48
(11:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete short left to 82-K.Rudolph.
Q4 11:32 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +1.9%
Win probability: CAR 56.2%
4th & 11 · CAR 48
(11:32) 4-C.Kluwe punts 28 yards to CAR 20, Center-46-C.Loeffler, fair catch by 14-A.Edwards.
Q4 11:24 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 42.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 20
(11:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-D.Williams to CAR 26 for 6 yards (50-E.Henderson; 56-EJ.Henderson).
Q4 10:52 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +3.8%
Win probability: MIN 42.4%
2nd & 4 · CAR 26
(10:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 88-G.Olsen.
Q4 · MIN 21–CAR 21
+0.0%
— · CAR 26
Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:48.
Q4 10:48 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +5.8%
Win probability: MIN 46.2%
3rd & 4 · CAR 26
(10:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle to CAR 28 for 2 yards (50-E.Henderson).
Q4 10:07 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 48.1%
4th & 2 · CAR 28
(10:07) 7-J.Baker punts 52 yards to MIN 20, Center-44-J.Jansen. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 15 for -5 yards (81-K.Pilares).
Q4 9:53 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.9%
Win probability: CAR 51.4%
1st & 10 · MIN 15
(9:53) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to MIN 17 for 2 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q4 9:18 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +1.4%
Win probability: CAR 54.4%
2nd & 8 · MIN 17
(9:18) 28-A.Peterson left guard to MIN 18 for 1 yard (50-J.Anderson).
Q4 8:42 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +8.5%
Win probability: MIN 44.2%
3rd & 7 · MIN 18
(8:42) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 12-P.Harvin to MIN 29 for 11 yards (59-O.Gaither).
Q4 7:55 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +1.4%
Win probability: MIN 52.8%
1st & 10 · MIN 29
(7:55) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to MIN 34 for 5 yards (68-A.Neblett).
Q4 7:20 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +6.1%
Win probability: MIN 54.2%
2nd & 5 · MIN 34
(7:20) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 19-D.Aromashodu to MIN 49 for 15 yards (23-S.Martin).
Q4 6:40 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +8.0%
Win probability: CAR 39.7%
1st & 10 · MIN 49
(6:40) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 44 for -5 yards (95-C.Johnson).
Q4 6:12 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +13.5%
Win probability: MIN 52.2%
2nd & 15 · MIN 44
(6:12) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short left to 12-P.Harvin to CAR 34 for 22 yards (59-O.Gaither, 41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q4 5:41 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.5%
Win probability: CAR 34.3%
1st & 10 · CAR 34
(5:41) 28-A.Peterson left tackle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (93-A.Applewhite).
Q4 5:05 · MIN 21–CAR 21
MIN +7.7%
Win probability: MIN 63.2%
2nd & 9 · CAR 33
(5:05) 28-A.Peterson right tackle to CAR 21 for 12 yards (20-C.Gamble).
Q4 4:25 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 29.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 21
(4:25) 12-P.Harvin up the middle to CAR 18 for 3 yards (50-J.Anderson, 97-T.McClain).
Q4 3:46 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 31.1%
2nd & 7 · CAR 18
(3:46) 7-C.Ponder pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph to CAR 16 for 2 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn).
Q4 3:04 · MIN 21–CAR 21
CAR +4.3%
Win probability: CAR 33.4%
3rd & 5 · CAR 16
(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass short middle to 28-A.Peterson to CAR 13 for 3 yards (30-C.Godfrey). shuttle pass
Q4 2:47 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +3.7%
Win probability: MIN 62.2%
4th & 2 · CAR 13
(2:47) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-4-C.Kluwe.
Q4 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 34.0%
— · MIN 35
8-R.Longwell kicks 68 yards from MIN 35 to CAR -3. 81-K.Pilares to CAR 24 for 27 yards (37-E.Frampton).
Q4 2:38 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +2.5%
Win probability: MIN 65.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 24
(2:38) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (50-E.Henderson).
Q4 2:33 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +4.6%
Win probability: CAR 31.9%
2nd & 10 · CAR 24
(2:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to CAR 33 for 9 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q4 2:07 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +7.0%
Win probability: CAR 36.5%
3rd & 1 · CAR 33
(2:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 40 for 7 yards (50-E.Henderson, 52-C.Greenway).
Q4 2:00 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +11.6%
Win probability: MIN 56.5%
1st & 10 · CAR 40
(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 32 for -8 yards (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 1:39 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 68.1%
2nd & 18 · CAR 32
(1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 28-J.Stewart to CAR 35 for 3 yards (35-M.Sherels).
Q4 1:14 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +6.7%
Win probability: MIN 70.9%
3rd & 15 · CAR 35
(1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep right to 11-B.LaFell (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 1:09 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +42.4%
Win probability: CAR 22.3%
4th & 15 · CAR 35
(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 11-B.LaFell to MIN 21 for 44 yards (25-Ty.Johnson).
Q4 1:09 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 64.7%
1st & 10 · MIN 21
(1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 17-L.Naanee to MIN 14 for 7 yards (21-A.Allen).
Q4 0:54 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +5.2%
Win probability: MIN 32.0%
2nd & 3 · MIN 14
(:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 88-G.Olsen (39-H.Abdullah).
Q4 0:50 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 37.2%
3rd & 3 · MIN 14
(:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right end to MIN 8 for 6 yards (39-H.Abdullah). PENALTY on CAR-89-S.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 8.
Q4 0:36 · MIN 24–CAR 21
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 61.7%
3rd & 7 · MIN 18
(:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 89-S.Smith to MIN 13 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway).
Q4 · MIN 24–CAR 21
+0.0%
— · MIN 13
Timeout #3 by MIN at 00:29.
Q4 0:29 · MIN 24–CAR 21
MIN +56.7%
Win probability: MIN 34.1%
4th & 2 · MIN 13
(:29) 10-O.Mare 31 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Q4 0:26 · MIN 24–CAR 21
1st & 10 · MIN 21
(:26) 7-C.Ponder kneels to MIN 20 for -1 yards.