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IND Indianapolis Colts@DET Detroit Lions

35–33 · Indianapolis Colts won
2012-12-02 · Regular Week 13
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i
Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 33.42 which ranks in the 99.7 percentile.
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THRILLA
100percentile
Raw Score: 33.42
i
Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.60, which ranks in the 72.0 percentile.
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GEI
72percentile
Raw Score: 4.60
i
Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Indianapolis Colts fell to a 0.7% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 7.27 which ranks in the 99.8 percentile.
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Comeback
100percentile
Raw Score: 7.27
i
Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 22.70 which ranks in the 95.3 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 13 × 0.5pts = 6.5pts
  • Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
  • Sacks: 2 × 0.1pts = 0.2pts
  • Touchdowns: 8 × 1pts = 8pts
Total: 22.7pts
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Audience
95percentile
Raw Score: 22.70
Spread
DET -7
O/U 51.5
DET
IND
Biggest Play
Q4 0:03 · IND 34–DET 33
IND +57.0%
Win probability: IND 26.3%
IND4th & 10 · DET 14
(:03) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 11-D.Avery for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game Log
QtrClockScorePoss.Down & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—IND 0–DET 0DET—IND 351-P.McAfee kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q115:00IND 0–DET 0DET1st & 10DET 20(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 31 for 11 yards (32-C.Vaughn).IND +0.4%
Q114:22IND 0–DET 0DET1st & 10DET 31(14:22) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to DET 34 for 3 yards (90-C.Redding).IND +0.5%
Q113:49IND 0–DET 0DET2nd & 7DET 34(13:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 25-M.Leshoure.IND +2.2%
Q113:44IND 0–DET 0DET3rd & 7DET 34(13:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 85-T.Scheffler (50-J.Freeman).IND +4.3%
Q113:40IND 0–DET 0DET4th & 7DET 34(13:40) 5-N.Harris punts 50 yards to IND 16, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, fair catch by 13-T.Hilton.DET +5.6%
Q113:32IND 0–DET 0IND1st & 10IND 16(13:32) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 9 for -7 yards (90-N.Suh).DET +3.5%
Q113:01IND 0–DET 0IND2nd & 17IND 9(13:01) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.DET +2.3%
Q112:55IND 0–DET 0IND3rd & 17IND 9(12:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 33-V.Ballard pushed ob at IND 17 for 8 yards (92-C.Avril) [93-K.Vanden Bosch].IND +1.3%
Q112:45IND 0–DET 0IND4th & 9IND 17(12:45) 1-P.McAfee punts 50 yards to DET 33, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 9 yards (38-S.Brown).IND +3.6%
Q112:34IND 0–DET 0DET1st & 10DET 42(12:34) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to DET 43 for 1 yard (91-R.Mathews).IND +3.9%
Q111:57IND 0–DET 0DET2nd & 9DET 43(11:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 81-C.Johnson to DET 45 for 2 yards (41-A.Bethea).DET +1.1%
Q111:18IND 0–DET 0DET3rd & 7DET 45(11:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND-90-C.Redding, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DET 45 - No Play.DET +3.3%
Q110:59IND 0–DET 0DET3rd & 2MID 50(10:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 36 for 14 yards (35-J.Lefeged).DET +3.5%
Q110:22IND 0–DET 0DET1st & 10IND 36(10:22) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 84-R.Broyles to IND 33 for 3 yards (23-V.Davis).DET +0.3%
Q19:42IND 0–DET 0DET2nd & 7IND 33(9:42) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 29 for 4 yards (53-K.Conner).IND +0.5%
Q18:59IND 0–DET 0DET3rd & 3IND 29(8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 81-C.Johnson [98-R.Mathis].IND +1.7%
Q18:54IND 0–DET 3DET4th & 3IND 29(8:54) 4-J.Hanson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.DET +0.9%
Q1—IND 0–DET 3IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 72 yards from DET 35 to IND -7. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback. +0.0%
Q18:49IND 0–DET 3IND1st & 10IND 20(8:49) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 24 for 4 yards (52-J.Durant).IND +0.9%
Q18:19IND 0–DET 3IND2nd & 6IND 24(8:19) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery (90-N.Suh).DET +1.4%
Q18:14IND 0–DET 3IND3rd & 6IND 24(8:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton to DET 16 for 60 yards (54-D.Levy).IND +13.6%
Q17:23IND 0–DET 3IND1st & 10DET 16(7:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 80-C.Fleener [93-K.Vanden Bosch].DET +1.1%
Q17:18IND 0–DET 3IND2nd & 10DET 16(7:18) 33-V.Ballard left end to DET 17 for -1 yards (55-S.Tulloch, 99-C.Williams).DET +5.0%
Q16:35IND 6–DET 3IND3rd & 11DET 17(6:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 11-D.Avery for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-32-D.Carey, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.IND +5.0%
Q1—IND 7–DET 3IND—DET 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.IND +0.3%
Q1—IND 7–DET 3DET—IND 351-P.McAfee kicks 73 yards from IND 35 to DET -8. 11-S.Logan to DET 13 for 21 yards (92-J.Hughes).IND +1.0%
Q16:24IND 7–DET 3DET1st & 10DET 13(6:24) 25-M.Leshoure left end to DET 17 for 4 yards (23-V.Davis).DET +0.4%
Q15:44IND 7–DET 3DET2nd & 6DET 17(5:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 35-J.Bell to DET 32 for 15 yards (58-M.Fokou).IND +0.6%
Q14:52IND 7–DET 3DET1st & 10DET 32(4:52) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 85-T.Scheffler ran ob at IND 29 for 39 yards (41-A.Bethea).DET +7.4%
Q14:36IND 7–DET 3DET1st & 10IND 29(4:36) (No Huddle) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to IND 32 for -3 yards (55-J.Hickman).IND +3.2%
Q13:57IND 7–DET 3DET2nd & 13IND 32(3:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 25 for 7 yards (53-K.Conner; 32-C.Vaughn).DET +0.1%
Q13:16IND 7–DET 3DET3rd & 6IND 25(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 85-T.Scheffler to IND 19 for 6 yards (20-D.Butler).DET +3.1%
Q12:35IND 7–DET 3DET1st & 10IND 19(2:35) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 16 for 3 yards (99-A.Johnson, 35-J.Lefeged).IND +2.2%
Q11:54IND 7–DET 9DET2nd & 7IND 16(1:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 87-B.Pettigrew for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.DET +6.8%
Q1—IND 7–DET 10DET—IND 24-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.DET +0.8%
Q1—IND 7–DET 10IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 68 yards from DET 35 to IND -3. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback. +0.0%
Q11:48IND 7–DET 10IND1st & 10IND 20(1:48) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at IND 26 for 6 yards (23-C.Houston).DET +0.3%
Q11:18IND 7–DET 10IND2nd & 4IND 26(1:18) 31-D.Brown up the middle to IND 23 for -3 yards (93-K.Vanden Bosch).DET +2.4%
Q10:35IND 7–DET 10IND3rd & 7IND 23(:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 11-D.Avery (52-J.Durant) [92-C.Avril].DET +2.1%
Q10:29IND 7–DET 10IND4th & 7IND 23(:29) 1-P.McAfee punts 61 yards to DET 16, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 25 for 9 yards (53-K.Conner).IND +3.3%
Q10:17IND 7–DET 10DET1st & 10DET 25(:17) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-B.Pettigrew to DET 35 for 10 yards (58-M.Fokou).DET +2.3%
Q215:00IND 7–DET 10DET1st & 10DET 35(15:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 40 for 5 yards (32-C.Vaughn).IND +2.1%
Q214:27IND 7–DET 10DET2nd & 5DET 40(14:27) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell left tackle to DET 44 for 4 yards (58-M.Fokou; 99-A.Johnson).DET +1.6%
Q213:45IND 7–DET 10DET3rd & 1DET 44(13:45) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 45 for 1 yard (99-A.Johnson).DET +2.2%
Q213:03IND 7–DET 10DET1st & 10DET 45(13:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-B.Pettigrew to IND 38 for 17 yards (35-J.Lefeged).DET +2.0%
Q212:19IND 7–DET 10DET1st & 10IND 38(12:19) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson pushed ob at IND 6 for 32 yards (32-C.Vaughn).DET +3.0%
Q211:38IND 7–DET 10DET1st & 6IND 6(11:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 19-M.Thomas.IND +0.9%
Q211:32IND 7–DET 16DET2nd & 6IND 6(11:32) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.DET +2.8%
Q2—IND 7–DET 17DET—IND 24-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.DET +0.4%
Q2—IND 7–DET 17IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 73 yards from DET 35 to IND -8. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback. +0.0%
Q211:27IND 7–DET 17IND1st & 10IND 20(11:27) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 83-D.Allen pushed ob at DET 40 for 40 yards (32-D.Carey).IND +2.2%
Q211:08IND 7–DET 17IND1st & 10DET 40(11:08) PENALTY on DET-99-C.Williams, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at DET 40 - No Play.IND +0.6%
Q210:39IND 7–DET 17IND1st & 5DET 35(10:39) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 87-R.Wayne [99-C.Williams]. PENALTY on DET-31-D.Florence, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DET 35 - No Play.IND +0.4%
Q210:33IND 7–DET 17IND1st & 10DET 30(10:33) 33-V.Ballard left tackle to DET 26 for 4 yards (91-SamL.Hill).DET +0.1%
Q29:55IND 13–DET 17IND2nd & 6DET 26(9:55) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 80-C.Fleener for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.IND +6.2%
Q2—IND 14–DET 17IND—DET 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.IND +0.5%
Q2—IND 14–DET 17DET—IND 351-P.McAfee kicks 71 yards from IND 35 to DET -6. 11-S.Logan to DET 16 for 22 yards (92-J.Hughes).IND +0.1%
Q29:42IND 14–DET 17DET1st & 10DET 16(9:42) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to DET 17 for 1 yard (99-A.Johnson).IND +0.6%
Q28:59IND 14–DET 17DET2nd & 9DET 17(8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 19-M.Thomas (32-C.Vaughn).IND +0.7%
Q28:55IND 14–DET 17DET3rd & 9DET 17(8:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 81-C.Johnson (20-D.Butler) [58-M.Fokou].IND +2.2%
Q28:46IND 14–DET 17DET4th & 9DET 17(8:46) 5-N.Harris punts 56 yards to IND 27, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, downed by DET-10-K.Osgood.IND +1.5%
Q28:32IND 14–DET 17IND1st & 10IND 27(8:32) 12-A.Luck pass short left INTERCEPTED by 55-S.Tulloch [92-C.Avril] at IND 23. 55-S.Tulloch to IND 23 for no gain (69-W.Justice). PENALTY on DET-93-K.Vanden Bosch, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at IND 27 - No Play.IND +1.7%
Q28:25IND 14–DET 17IND1st & 5IND 32(8:25) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Florence at IND 39. 31-D.Florence pushed ob at IND 10 for 29 yards (12-A.Luck). PENALTY on DET-21-J.Lacey, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at IND 10.DET +14.0%
Q28:16IND 14–DET 17DET1st & 10IND 20(8:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 87-B.Pettigrew (41-A.Bethea).IND +1.0%
Q28:08IND 14–DET 17DET2nd & 10IND 20(8:08) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 15 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman).IND +0.2%
Q27:27IND 14–DET 17DET3rd & 5IND 15(7:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 85-T.Scheffler.IND +3.1%
Q27:22IND 14–DET 20DET4th & 5IND 15(7:22) 4-J.Hanson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.IND +0.6%
Q2—IND 14–DET 20IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 65 yards from DET 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q27:17IND 14–DET 20IND1st & 10IND 20(7:17) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.DET +0.9%
Q27:14IND 14–DET 20IND2nd & 10IND 20(7:14) 33-V.Ballard up the middle to IND 16 for -4 yards (90-N.Suh, 98-N.Fairley).DET +1.7%
Q26:33IND 14–DET 20IND3rd & 14IND 16(6:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 83-D.Allen.DET +1.6%
Q26:21IND 14–DET 20IND4th & 14IND 16(6:21) 1-P.McAfee punts 48 yards to DET 36, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.DET +1.6%
Q26:15IND 14–DET 20DET1st & 10DET 36(6:15) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 81-C.Johnson to DET 42 for 6 yards (23-V.Davis).IND +0.3%
Q25:38IND 14–DET 20DET2nd & 4DET 42(5:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 81-C.Johnson to DET 49 for 7 yards (23-V.Davis). Penalty on IND-23-V.Davis, Defensive Holding, declined.DET +0.4%
Q25:15IND 14–DET 20DET1st & 10DET 49(5:15) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 25-M.Leshoure ran ob at IND 38 for 13 yards (32-C.Vaughn) [99-A.Johnson].DET +2.2%
Q24:38IND 14–DET 20DET1st & 10IND 38(4:38) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 33 for 5 yards (53-K.Conner).DET +0.2%
Q24:00IND 14–DET 20DET2nd & 5IND 33(4:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 81-C.Johnson.IND +0.6%
Q23:54IND 14–DET 20DET3rd & 5IND 33(3:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew (41-A.Bethea).IND +2.0%
Q23:50IND 14–DET 23DET4th & 5IND 33(3:50) 4-J.Hanson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.DET +2.3%
Q2—IND 14–DET 23IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 70 yards from DET 35 to IND -5. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback. +0.0%
Q23:46IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 20(3:46) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton ran ob at IND 24 for 4 yards (39-R.Silva).IND +0.0%
Q23:19IND 14–DET 23IND2nd & 6IND 24(3:19) (No Huddle) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 31-D.Brown to IND 29 for 5 yards (98-N.Fairley) [90-N.Suh].IND +0.7%
Q22:55IND 14–DET 23IND3rd & 1IND 29(2:55) (No Huddle) 12-A.Luck up the middle to IND 30 for 1 yard. PENALTY on DET-98-N.Fairley, Defensive Offside, 6 yards, enforced at IND 29 - No Play.IND +1.9%
Q22:44IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 35(2:44) 31-D.Brown left tackle to IND 42 for 7 yards (21-J.Lacey, 32-D.Carey).DET +0.1%
Q22:20IND 14–DET 23IND2nd & 3IND 42(2:20) 31-D.Brown left end to IND 49 for 7 yards (55-S.Tulloch).IND +0.3%
Q22:00IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 49(2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right intended for 15-L.Brazill INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Carey at DET 20. 32-D.Carey pushed ob at DET 43 for 23 yards (11-D.Avery).DET +6.8%
Q21:50IND 14–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 43(1:50) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell up the middle to DET 49 for 6 yards (58-M.Fokou; 41-A.Bethea).IND +0.1%
Q21:27IND 14–DET 23DET2nd & 4DET 49(1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 85-T.Scheffler to IND 41 for 10 yards (58-M.Fokou). DET-85-T.Scheffler was injured during the play.DET +0.2%
Q2—IND 14–DET 23——IND 41Timeout #1 by DET at 01:10. +0.0%
Q21:10IND 14–DET 23DET1st & 10IND 41(1:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 87-B.Pettigrew INTERCEPTED by 98-R.Mathis at IND 36. 98-R.Mathis to IND 37 for 1 yard (87-B.Pettigrew).IND +6.3%
Q21:05IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 37(1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Wayne [90-N.Suh].DET +0.7%
Q21:00IND 14–DET 23IND2nd & 10IND 37(1:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 87-R.Wayne ran ob at IND 45 for 8 yards (21-J.Lacey).DET +0.0%
Q20:55IND 14–DET 23IND3rd & 2IND 45(:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 13-T.Hilton [90-N.Suh].DET +1.8%
Q20:51IND 14–DET 23IND4th & 2IND 45(:51) 1-P.McAfee punts 45 yards to DET 10, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.DET +0.1%
Q20:44IND 14–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 10(:44) 35-J.Bell right tackle to DET 13 for 3 yards (98-R.Mathis).DET +1.2%
Q3—IND 14–DET 23IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 69 yards from DET 35 to IND -4. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback. +0.0%
Q315:00IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 20(15:00) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 23 for 3 yards (93-K.Vanden Bosch).IND +0.4%
Q314:29IND 14–DET 23IND2nd & 7IND 23(14:29) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 36 for 13 yards (32-D.Carey).IND +1.5%
Q313:49IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 36(13:49) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 11-D.Avery to DET 22 for 42 yards (23-C.Houston) [98-N.Fairley]. Penalty on DET-23-C.Houston, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.IND +4.1%
Q313:26IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10DET 22(13:26) 33-V.Ballard left tackle to DET 15 for 7 yards (32-D.Carey; 26-L.Delmas).IND +0.2%
Q312:55IND 14–DET 23IND2nd & 3DET 15(12:55) 33-V.Ballard up the middle to DET 11 for 4 yards (90-N.Suh; 32-D.Carey).IND +0.8%
Q312:14IND 14–DET 23IND1st & 10DET 11(12:14) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery.DET +1.3%
Q312:11IND 20–DET 23IND2nd & 10DET 11(12:11) 33-V.Ballard left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.IND +7.5%
Q3—IND 21–DET 23IND—DET 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.IND +0.4%
Q3—IND 21–DET 23DET—IND 351-P.McAfee kicks 73 yards from IND 35 to DET -8. 11-S.Logan, Touchback. +0.0%
Q312:05IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 20(12:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 29 for 9 yards (41-A.Bethea).DET +1.6%
Q3—IND 21–DET 23——DET 29Timeout #1 by DET at 11:29. +0.0%
Q311:29IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 1DET 29(11:29) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 33 for 4 yards (91-R.Mathews).IND +1.2%
Q310:49IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 33(10:49) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 25-M.Leshoure to DET 36 for 3 yards (50-J.Freeman).DET +0.2%
Q310:05IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 7DET 36(10:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 35-J.Bell to DET 39 for 3 yards (23-V.Davis).DET +0.1%
Q39:21IND 21–DET 23DET3rd & 4DET 39(9:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 48 for 13 yards (32-C.Vaughn).DET +2.6%
Q38:39IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10IND 48(8:39) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 46 for 2 yards (58-M.Fokou).IND +0.8%
Q37:59IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 8IND 46(7:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew (53-K.Conner) [93-D.Freeney].IND +1.4%
Q37:54IND 21–DET 23DET3rd & 8IND 46(7:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 19-M.Thomas to IND 47 for -1 yards (23-V.Davis).IND +2.9%
Q37:26IND 21–DET 23DET4th & 9IND 47(7:26) 5-N.Harris punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Touchback.IND +5.1%
Q37:17IND 21–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 20(7:17) PENALTY on IND-74-A.Castonzo, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 20 - No Play.DET +1.8%
Q37:17IND 21–DET 23IND1st & 15IND 15(7:17) 31-D.Brown left tackle to IND 13 for -2 yards (90-N.Suh).DET +0.6%
Q36:41IND 21–DET 23IND2nd & 17IND 13(6:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 25 for 12 yards (23-C.Houston).IND +0.5%
Q36:07IND 21–DET 23IND3rd & 5IND 25(6:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 13-T.Hilton. Indianapolis challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)DET +3.1%
Q36:00IND 21–DET 23IND4th & 5IND 25(6:00) 1-P.McAfee punts 45 yards to DET 30, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 12 yards (35-J.Lefeged).DET +0.8%
Q35:50IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 42(5:50) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 19-M.Thomas.IND +1.9%
Q35:45IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 10DET 42(5:45) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 35-J.Bell to DET 45 for 3 yards (99-A.Johnson, 58-M.Fokou).DET +1.4%
Q35:04IND 21–DET 23DET3rd & 7DET 45(5:04) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson.IND +3.2%
Q34:59IND 21–DET 23DET4th & 7DET 45(4:59) 5-N.Harris punts 43 yards to IND 12, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 13-T.Hilton to IND 14 for 2 yards (29-J.Wendling). IND-55-J.Hickman was injured during the play. He is Out.IND +2.1%
Q34:50IND 21–DET 23IND1st & 10IND 14(4:50) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 18 for 4 yards (23-C.Houston; 32-D.Carey).DET +0.2%
Q34:18IND 21–DET 23IND2nd & 6IND 18(4:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery (91-SamL.Hill) [98-N.Fairley].DET +2.5%
Q34:13IND 21–DET 23IND3rd & 6IND 18(4:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 33-V.Ballard.DET +3.3%
Q34:07IND 21–DET 23IND4th & 6IND 18(4:07) 1-P.McAfee punts 49 yards to DET 33, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 9 yards (35-J.Lefeged).DET +1.6%
Q33:56IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10DET 42(3:56) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to DET 46 for 4 yards (41-A.Bethea).DET +0.6%
Q33:15IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 6DET 46(3:15) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 45 for -1 yards (51-P.Angerer, 68-M.Tevaseu).IND +2.1%
Q32:34IND 21–DET 23DET3rd & 7DET 45(2:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 44 for 11 yards (32-C.Vaughn).DET +4.5%
Q31:50IND 21–DET 23DET1st & 10IND 44(1:50) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 45, and recovers at IND 46. 9-M.Stafford to IND 46 for no gain (67-L.Guy).IND +3.2%
Q31:15IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 12IND 46(1:15) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DET-77-G.Cherilus, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 46 - No Play.IND +1.1%
Q30:55IND 21–DET 23DET2nd & 17DET 49(:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-W.Heller to IND 46 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman).IND +2.9%
Q30:12IND 21–DET 29DET3rd & 12IND 46(:12) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.DET +18.8%
Q3—IND 21–DET 30DET—IND 24-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris. PENALTY on IND-35-J.Lefeged, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.DET +0.5%
Q3—IND 21–DET 30IND—DET 404-J.Hanson kicks 60 yards from DET 40 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q30:02IND 21–DET 30IND1st & 10IND 20(:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton ran ob at IND 27 for 7 yards (39-R.Silva).IND +0.4%
Q415:00IND 21–DET 30IND2nd & 3IND 27(15:00) 31-D.Brown right tackle to IND 34 for 7 yards (32-D.Carey).IND +0.6%
Q414:25IND 21–DET 30IND1st & 10IND 34(14:25) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 13-T.Hilton.DET +0.7%
Q414:20IND 21–DET 30IND2nd & 10IND 34(14:20) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown left end to IND 31 for -3 yards (31-D.Florence).DET +1.4%
Q413:38IND 21–DET 30IND3rd & 13IND 31(13:38) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 83-D.Allen.DET +1.6%
Q413:33IND 21–DET 30IND4th & 13IND 31(13:33) 1-P.McAfee punts 44 yards to DET 25, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.IND +1.6%
Q413:25IND 21–DET 30DET1st & 10DET 25(13:25) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 25 for no gain (53-K.Conner).IND +0.5%
Q412:43IND 21–DET 30DET2nd & 10DET 25(12:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 81-C.Johnson to DET 33 for 8 yards (32-C.Vaughn).DET +0.7%
Q411:57IND 21–DET 30DET3rd & 2DET 33(11:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 81-C.Johnson.IND +1.9%
Q411:51IND 21–DET 30DET4th & 2DET 33(11:51) 5-N.Harris punts 43 yards to IND 24, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, fair catch by 13-T.Hilton.IND +0.3%
Q411:44IND 21–DET 30IND1st & 10IND 24(11:44) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (31-D.Florence).DET +0.6%
Q411:40IND 21–DET 30IND2nd & 10IND 24(11:40) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 16 for -8 yards (92-C.Avril). FUMBLES (92-C.Avril), and recovers at IND 12. 12-A.Luck to IND 12 for no gain (90-N.Suh).DET +1.9%
Q411:04IND 21–DET 30IND3rd & 22IND 12(11:04) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep right to 15-L.Brazill.DET +1.6%
Q410:58IND 21–DET 30IND4th & 22IND 12(10:58) 1-P.McAfee punts 58 yards to DET 30, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.IND +1.3%
Q410:50IND 21–DET 30DET1st & 10DET 30(10:50) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell left end to DET 28 for -2 yards (98-R.Mathis). PENALTY on DET-67-R.Sims, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 30 - No Play.IND +0.6%
Q410:28IND 21–DET 30DET1st & 20DET 20(10:28) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell right tackle to IND 13 for 67 yards (32-C.Vaughn).DET +3.1%
Q49:36IND 21–DET 30DET1st & 10IND 13(9:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson (32-C.Vaughn).IND +0.3%
Q49:31IND 21–DET 30DET2nd & 10IND 13(9:31) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell up the middle to IND 13 for no gain (90-C.Redding).IND +0.5%
Q48:51IND 21–DET 30DET3rd & 10IND 13(8:51) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 30-K.Smith.IND +0.9%
Q48:45IND 21–DET 33DET4th & 10IND 13(8:45) 4-J.Hanson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.DET +2.0%
Q4—IND 21–DET 33IND—DET 354-J.Hanson kicks 70 yards from DET 35 to IND -5. 35-J.Lefeged, Touchback. +0.0%
Q48:41IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 20(8:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 87-R.Wayne to IND 31 for 11 yards (26-L.Delmas).IND +0.7%
Q48:15IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 31(8:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 44 for 13 yards (23-C.Houston).IND +0.7%
Q47:50IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 44(7:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 33-V.Ballard to 50 for 6 yards (52-J.Durant, 21-J.Lacey).IND +0.3%
Q47:24IND 21–DET 33IND2nd & 4MID 50(7:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 11-D.Avery to DET 40 for 10 yards (31-D.Florence).IND +1.1%
Q46:59IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10DET 40(6:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 83-D.Allen (31-D.Florence).DET +0.5%
Q46:54IND 21–DET 33IND2nd & 10DET 40(6:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery [93-K.Vanden Bosch].DET +0.8%
Q46:49IND 21–DET 33IND3rd & 10DET 40(6:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Carey at DET 17. 32-D.Carey pushed ob at DET 45 for 28 yards (87-R.Wayne).DET +3.6%
Q46:40IND 21–DET 33DET1st & 10DET 45(6:40) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to IND 48 for 7 yards (67-L.Guy).DET +0.3%
Q45:48IND 21–DET 33DET2nd & 3IND 48(5:48) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 45 for 3 yards (67-L.Guy; 50-J.Freeman).DET +0.1%
Q45:06IND 21–DET 33DET1st & 10IND 45(5:06) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 45 for no gain (99-A.Johnson).DET +0.2%
Q44:24IND 21–DET 33DET2nd & 10IND 45(4:24) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew.IND +0.2%
Q44:18IND 21–DET 33DET3rd & 10IND 45(4:18) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson.IND +0.2%
Q44:13IND 21–DET 33DET4th & 10IND 45(4:13) 5-N.Harris punts 34 yards to IND 11, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 13-T.Hilton to IND 15 for 4 yards (10-K.Osgood).IND +1.3%
Q44:02IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 15(4:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 15-L.Brazill.DET +0.2%
Q43:58IND 21–DET 33IND2nd & 10IND 15(3:58) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 11-D.Avery to IND 23 for 8 yards (23-C.Houston).IND +0.5%
Q43:33IND 21–DET 33IND3rd & 2IND 23(3:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne [90-N.Suh].DET +0.8%
Q43:29IND 21–DET 33IND4th & 2IND 23(3:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles up the middle to IND 31 for 8 yards (98-N.Fairley). PENALTY on DET-98-N.Fairley, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at IND 31.IND +2.2%
Q43:22IND 21–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 46(3:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 31-D.Brown pushed ob at DET 49 for 5 yards (54-D.Levy).DET +0.1%
Q43:16IND 21–DET 33IND2nd & 5DET 49(3:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 13-T.Hilton (31-D.Florence).DET +0.6%
Q43:12IND 21–DET 33IND3rd & 5DET 49(3:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 33-V.Ballard to DET 42 for 7 yards (54-D.Levy; 55-S.Tulloch).IND +0.5%
Q42:47IND 27–DET 33IND1st & 10DET 42(2:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 15-L.Brazill for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [79-W.Young]. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.IND +7.8%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33IND—DET 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.IND +0.2%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33DET—IND 351-P.McAfee kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q42:39IND 28–DET 33DET1st & 10DET 20(2:39) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 35-J.Bell left end to DET 23 for 3 yards (50-J.Freeman).IND +0.4%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33——DET 23Timeout #2 by IND at 02:34.DET +3.8%
Q42:34IND 28–DET 33DET2nd & 7DET 23(2:34) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 81-C.Johnson. PENALTY on IND-32-C.Vaughn, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at DET 23 - No Play. +0.0%
Q42:29IND 28–DET 33DET1st & 10DET 44(2:29) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 35-J.Bell left tackle to DET 42 for -2 yards (90-C.Redding).IND +1.5%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33——DET 42Timeout #3 by IND at 02:26. +0.0%
Q42:26IND 28–DET 33DET2nd & 12DET 42(2:26) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to DET 49 for 7 yards (41-A.Bethea).DET +5.2%
Q42:00IND 28–DET 33DET3rd & 5DET 49(2:00) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left end to 50 for 1 yard (91-R.Mathews; 50-J.Freeman).DET +1.1%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33——MID 50Timeout #2 by DET at 01:14. +0.0%
Q41:14IND 28–DET 33DET4th & 4MID 50(1:14) 5-N.Harris punts 25 yards to IND 25, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, out of bounds.IND +10.3%
Q41:07IND 28–DET 33IND1st & 10IND 25(1:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles up the middle to IND 34 for 9 yards (90-N.Suh).IND +2.3%
Q40:54IND 28–DET 33IND2nd & 1IND 34(:54) 12-A.Luck spiked the ball to stop the clock.DET +2.5%
Q40:52IND 28–DET 33IND3rd & 1IND 34(:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to DET 40 for 26 yards (26-L.Delmas).IND +11.6%
Q40:38IND 28–DET 33IND1st & 10DET 40(:38) 12-A.Luck spiked the ball to stop the clock.DET +1.7%
Q40:37IND 28–DET 33IND2nd & 10DET 40(:37) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles right end ran ob at DET 24 for 16 yards (21-J.Lacey).IND +10.3%
Q40:29IND 28–DET 33IND1st & 10DET 24(:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.DET +4.8%
Q40:24IND 28–DET 33IND2nd & 10DET 24(:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 83-D.Allen ran ob at DET 14 for 10 yards (21-J.Lacey).IND +3.3%
Q40:18IND 28–DET 33IND1st & 10DET 14(:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (32-D.Carey).DET +3.1%
Q40:14IND 28–DET 33IND2nd & 10DET 14(:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (21-J.Lacey).IND +0.3%
Q4—IND 28–DET 33——DET 14Timeout #3 by DET at 00:08. +0.0%
Q40:08IND 28–DET 33IND3rd & 10DET 14(:08) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.DET +3.5%
Q40:03IND 34–DET 33IND4th & 10DET 14(:03) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 11-D.Avery for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.IND +57.0%
Q4—IND 35–DET 33IND—DET 24-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.IND +16.7%
Q1 · IND 0–DET 0
+0.0%
DETIND 35
1-P.McAfee kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 15:00 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 26.5%
DET1st & 10 · DET 20
(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 31 for 11 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q1 14:22 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 26.8%
DET1st & 10 · DET 31
(14:22) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to DET 34 for 3 yards (90-C.Redding).
Q1 13:49 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +2.2%
Win probability: IND 27.4%
DET2nd & 7 · DET 34
(13:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 25-M.Leshoure.
Q1 13:44 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +4.3%
Win probability: IND 29.6%
DET3rd & 7 · DET 34
(13:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 85-T.Scheffler (50-J.Freeman).
Q1 13:40 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +5.6%
Win probability: DET 66.0%
DET4th & 7 · DET 34
(13:40) 5-N.Harris punts 50 yards to IND 16, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, fair catch by 13-T.Hilton.
Q1 13:32 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +3.5%
Win probability: DET 71.7%
IND1st & 10 · IND 16
(13:32) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 9 for -7 yards (90-N.Suh).
Q1 13:01 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +2.3%
Win probability: DET 75.1%
IND2nd & 17 · IND 9
(13:01) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.
Q1 12:55 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +1.3%
Win probability: IND 22.6%
IND3rd & 17 · IND 9
(12:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 33-V.Ballard pushed ob at IND 17 for 8 yards (92-C.Avril) [93-K.Vanden Bosch].
Q1 12:45 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +3.6%
Win probability: IND 23.9%
IND4th & 9 · IND 17
(12:45) 1-P.McAfee punts 50 yards to DET 33, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 9 yards (38-S.Brown).
Q1 12:34 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +3.9%
Win probability: IND 27.6%
DET1st & 10 · DET 42
(12:34) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to DET 43 for 1 yard (91-R.Mathews).
Q1 11:57 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +1.1%
Win probability: DET 68.5%
DET2nd & 9 · DET 43
(11:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 81-C.Johnson to DET 45 for 2 yards (41-A.Bethea).
Q1 11:18 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +3.3%
Win probability: DET 69.6%
DET3rd & 7 · DET 45
(11:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND-90-C.Redding, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DET 45 - No Play.
Q1 10:59 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +3.5%
Win probability: DET 72.9%
DET3rd & 2 · MID 50
(10:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 36 for 14 yards (35-J.Lefeged).
Q1 10:22 · IND 0–DET 0
DET +0.3%
Win probability: DET 76.5%
DET1st & 10 · IND 36
(10:22) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 84-R.Broyles to IND 33 for 3 yards (23-V.Davis).
Q1 9:42 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 23.3%
DET2nd & 7 · IND 33
(9:42) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 29 for 4 yards (53-K.Conner).
Q1 8:59 · IND 0–DET 0
IND +1.7%
Win probability: IND 23.8%
DET3rd & 3 · IND 29
(8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 81-C.Johnson [98-R.Mathis].
Q1 8:54 · IND 0–DET 3
DET +0.9%
Win probability: DET 74.5%
DET4th & 3 · IND 29
(8:54) 4-J.Hanson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q1 · IND 0–DET 3
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 72 yards from DET 35 to IND -7. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback.
Q1 8:49 · IND 0–DET 3
IND +0.9%
Win probability: IND 24.6%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(8:49) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 24 for 4 yards (52-J.Durant).
Q1 8:19 · IND 0–DET 3
DET +1.4%
Win probability: DET 74.5%
IND2nd & 6 · IND 24
(8:19) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery (90-N.Suh).
Q1 8:14 · IND 0–DET 3
IND +13.6%
Win probability: IND 24.1%
IND3rd & 6 · IND 24
(8:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton to DET 16 for 60 yards (54-D.Levy).
Q1 7:23 · IND 0–DET 3
DET +1.1%
Win probability: DET 62.3%
IND1st & 10 · DET 16
(7:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 80-C.Fleener [93-K.Vanden Bosch].
Q1 7:18 · IND 0–DET 3
DET +5.0%
Win probability: DET 63.4%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 16
(7:18) 33-V.Ballard left end to DET 17 for -1 yards (55-S.Tulloch, 99-C.Williams).
Q1 6:35 · IND 6–DET 3
IND +5.0%
Win probability: IND 31.6%
IND3rd & 11 · DET 17
(6:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 11-D.Avery for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-32-D.Carey, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q1 · IND 7–DET 3
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 36.6%
INDDET 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
Q1 · IND 7–DET 3
IND +1.0%
Win probability: IND 36.9%
DETIND 35
1-P.McAfee kicks 73 yards from IND 35 to DET -8. 11-S.Logan to DET 13 for 21 yards (92-J.Hughes).
Q1 6:24 · IND 7–DET 3
DET +0.4%
Win probability: DET 62.1%
DET1st & 10 · DET 13
(6:24) 25-M.Leshoure left end to DET 17 for 4 yards (23-V.Davis).
Q1 5:44 · IND 7–DET 3
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 37.6%
DET2nd & 6 · DET 17
(5:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 35-J.Bell to DET 32 for 15 yards (58-M.Fokou).
Q1 4:52 · IND 7–DET 3
DET +7.4%
Win probability: DET 61.8%
DET1st & 10 · DET 32
(4:52) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 85-T.Scheffler ran ob at IND 29 for 39 yards (41-A.Bethea).
Q1 4:36 · IND 7–DET 3
IND +3.2%
Win probability: IND 30.8%
DET1st & 10 · IND 29
(4:36) (No Huddle) 25-M.Leshoure right tackle to IND 32 for -3 yards (55-J.Hickman).
Q1 3:57 · IND 7–DET 3
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 66.0%
DET2nd & 13 · IND 32
(3:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 25 for 7 yards (53-K.Conner; 32-C.Vaughn).
Q1 3:16 · IND 7–DET 3
DET +3.1%
Win probability: DET 66.1%
DET3rd & 6 · IND 25
(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 85-T.Scheffler to IND 19 for 6 yards (20-D.Butler).
Q1 2:35 · IND 7–DET 3
IND +2.2%
Win probability: IND 30.8%
DET1st & 10 · IND 19
(2:35) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 16 for 3 yards (99-A.Johnson, 35-J.Lefeged).
Q1 1:54 · IND 7–DET 9
DET +6.8%
Win probability: DET 67.0%
DET2nd & 7 · IND 16
(1:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 87-B.Pettigrew for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +0.8%
Win probability: DET 73.8%
DETIND 2
4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q1 · IND 7–DET 10
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 68 yards from DET 35 to IND -3. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback.
Q1 1:48 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +0.3%
Win probability: DET 74.7%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(1:48) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at IND 26 for 6 yards (23-C.Houston).
Q1 1:18 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +2.4%
Win probability: DET 75.0%
IND2nd & 4 · IND 26
(1:18) 31-D.Brown up the middle to IND 23 for -3 yards (93-K.Vanden Bosch).
Q1 0:35 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +2.1%
Win probability: DET 77.4%
IND3rd & 7 · IND 23
(:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 11-D.Avery (52-J.Durant) [92-C.Avril].
Q1 0:29 · IND 7–DET 10
IND +3.3%
Win probability: IND 20.6%
IND4th & 7 · IND 23
(:29) 1-P.McAfee punts 61 yards to DET 16, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 25 for 9 yards (53-K.Conner).
Q1 0:17 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +2.3%
Win probability: DET 76.2%
DET1st & 10 · DET 25
(:17) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-B.Pettigrew to DET 35 for 10 yards (58-M.Fokou).
Q2 15:00 · IND 7–DET 10
IND +2.1%
Win probability: IND 21.6%
DET1st & 10 · DET 35
(15:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 40 for 5 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q2 14:27 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 76.4%
DET2nd & 5 · DET 40
(14:27) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell left tackle to DET 44 for 4 yards (58-M.Fokou; 99-A.Johnson).
Q2 13:45 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +2.2%
Win probability: DET 77.9%
DET3rd & 1 · DET 44
(13:45) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 45 for 1 yard (99-A.Johnson).
Q2 13:03 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +2.0%
Win probability: DET 80.1%
DET1st & 10 · DET 45
(13:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-B.Pettigrew to IND 38 for 17 yards (35-J.Lefeged).
Q2 12:19 · IND 7–DET 10
DET +3.0%
Win probability: DET 82.1%
DET1st & 10 · IND 38
(12:19) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson pushed ob at IND 6 for 32 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q2 11:38 · IND 7–DET 10
IND +0.9%
Win probability: IND 14.9%
DET1st & 6 · IND 6
(11:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 19-M.Thomas.
Q2 11:32 · IND 7–DET 16
DET +2.8%
Win probability: DET 84.2%
DET2nd & 6 · IND 6
(11:32) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · IND 7–DET 17
DET +0.4%
Win probability: DET 87.0%
DETIND 2
4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q2 · IND 7–DET 17
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 73 yards from DET 35 to IND -8. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback.
Q2 11:27 · IND 7–DET 17
IND +2.2%
Win probability: IND 12.6%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(11:27) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 83-D.Allen pushed ob at DET 40 for 40 yards (32-D.Carey).
Q2 11:08 · IND 7–DET 17
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 14.8%
IND1st & 10 · DET 40
(11:08) PENALTY on DET-99-C.Williams, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at DET 40 - No Play.
Q2 10:39 · IND 7–DET 17
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 15.4%
IND1st & 5 · DET 35
(10:39) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 87-R.Wayne [99-C.Williams]. PENALTY on DET-31-D.Florence, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DET 35 - No Play.
Q2 10:33 · IND 7–DET 17
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 84.2%
IND1st & 10 · DET 30
(10:33) 33-V.Ballard left tackle to DET 26 for 4 yards (91-SamL.Hill).
Q2 9:55 · IND 13–DET 17
IND +6.2%
Win probability: IND 15.7%
IND2nd & 6 · DET 26
(9:55) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 80-C.Fleener for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 22.0%
INDDET 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
Q2 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +0.1%
Win probability: IND 22.5%
DETIND 35
1-P.McAfee kicks 71 yards from IND 35 to DET -6. 11-S.Logan to DET 16 for 22 yards (92-J.Hughes).
Q2 9:42 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 22.6%
DET1st & 10 · DET 16
(9:42) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to DET 17 for 1 yard (99-A.Johnson).
Q2 8:59 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +0.7%
Win probability: IND 23.2%
DET2nd & 9 · DET 17
(8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 19-M.Thomas (32-C.Vaughn).
Q2 8:55 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +2.2%
Win probability: IND 23.8%
DET3rd & 9 · DET 17
(8:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 81-C.Johnson (20-D.Butler) [58-M.Fokou].
Q2 8:46 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +1.5%
Win probability: IND 26.0%
DET4th & 9 · DET 17
(8:46) 5-N.Harris punts 56 yards to IND 27, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, downed by DET-10-K.Osgood.
Q2 8:32 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +1.7%
Win probability: IND 27.5%
IND1st & 10 · IND 27
(8:32) 12-A.Luck pass short left INTERCEPTED by 55-S.Tulloch [92-C.Avril] at IND 23. 55-S.Tulloch to IND 23 for no gain (69-W.Justice). PENALTY on DET-93-K.Vanden Bosch, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at IND 27 - No Play.
Q2 8:25 · IND 14–DET 17
DET +14.0%
Win probability: DET 70.8%
IND1st & 5 · IND 32
(8:25) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Florence at IND 39. 31-D.Florence pushed ob at IND 10 for 29 yards (12-A.Luck). PENALTY on DET-21-J.Lacey, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at IND 10.
Q2 8:16 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +1.0%
Win probability: IND 15.2%
DET1st & 10 · IND 20
(8:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 87-B.Pettigrew (41-A.Bethea).
Q2 8:08 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +0.2%
Win probability: IND 16.2%
DET2nd & 10 · IND 20
(8:08) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 15 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman).
Q2 7:27 · IND 14–DET 17
IND +3.1%
Win probability: IND 16.3%
DET3rd & 5 · IND 15
(7:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 85-T.Scheffler.
Q2 7:22 · IND 14–DET 20
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 19.4%
DET4th & 5 · IND 15
(7:22) 4-J.Hanson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q2 · IND 14–DET 20
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 65 yards from DET 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 7:17 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +0.9%
Win probability: DET 80.0%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(7:17) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.
Q2 7:14 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +1.7%
Win probability: DET 80.9%
IND2nd & 10 · IND 20
(7:14) 33-V.Ballard up the middle to IND 16 for -4 yards (90-N.Suh, 98-N.Fairley).
Q2 6:33 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 82.6%
IND3rd & 14 · IND 16
(6:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 83-D.Allen.
Q2 6:21 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 84.2%
IND4th & 14 · IND 16
(6:21) 1-P.McAfee punts 48 yards to DET 36, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.
Q2 6:15 · IND 14–DET 20
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 14.2%
DET1st & 10 · DET 36
(6:15) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 81-C.Johnson to DET 42 for 6 yards (23-V.Davis).
Q2 5:38 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +0.4%
Win probability: DET 85.6%
DET2nd & 4 · DET 42
(5:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 81-C.Johnson to DET 49 for 7 yards (23-V.Davis). Penalty on IND-23-V.Davis, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q2 5:15 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +2.2%
Win probability: DET 86.0%
DET1st & 10 · DET 49
(5:15) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 25-M.Leshoure ran ob at IND 38 for 13 yards (32-C.Vaughn) [99-A.Johnson].
Q2 4:38 · IND 14–DET 20
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 88.2%
DET1st & 10 · IND 38
(4:38) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to IND 33 for 5 yards (53-K.Conner).
Q2 4:00 · IND 14–DET 20
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 11.6%
DET2nd & 5 · IND 33
(4:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 81-C.Johnson.
Q2 3:54 · IND 14–DET 20
IND +2.0%
Win probability: IND 12.2%
DET3rd & 5 · IND 33
(3:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew (41-A.Bethea).
Q2 3:50 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +2.3%
Win probability: DET 85.8%
DET4th & 5 · IND 33
(3:50) 4-J.Hanson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q2 · IND 14–DET 23
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 70 yards from DET 35 to IND -5. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback.
Q2 3:46 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.0%
Win probability: IND 11.9%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(3:46) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton ran ob at IND 24 for 4 yards (39-R.Silva).
Q2 3:19 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.7%
Win probability: IND 11.9%
IND2nd & 6 · IND 24
(3:19) (No Huddle) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 31-D.Brown to IND 29 for 5 yards (98-N.Fairley) [90-N.Suh].
Q2 2:55 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +1.9%
Win probability: IND 12.6%
IND3rd & 1 · IND 29
(2:55) (No Huddle) 12-A.Luck up the middle to IND 30 for 1 yard. PENALTY on DET-98-N.Fairley, Defensive Offside, 6 yards, enforced at IND 29 - No Play.
Q2 2:44 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 85.5%
IND1st & 10 · IND 35
(2:44) 31-D.Brown left tackle to IND 42 for 7 yards (21-J.Lacey, 32-D.Carey).
Q2 2:20 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 14.4%
IND2nd & 3 · IND 42
(2:20) 31-D.Brown left end to IND 49 for 7 yards (55-S.Tulloch).
Q2 2:00 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +6.8%
Win probability: DET 85.3%
IND1st & 10 · IND 49
(2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right intended for 15-L.Brazill INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Carey at DET 20. 32-D.Carey pushed ob at DET 43 for 23 yards (11-D.Avery).
Q2 1:50 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.1%
Win probability: IND 7.9%
DET1st & 10 · DET 43
(1:50) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell up the middle to DET 49 for 6 yards (58-M.Fokou; 41-A.Bethea).
Q2 1:27 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 92.0%
DET2nd & 4 · DET 49
(1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 85-T.Scheffler to IND 41 for 10 yards (58-M.Fokou). DET-85-T.Scheffler was injured during the play.
Q2 · IND 14–DET 23
+0.0%
IND 41
Timeout #1 by DET at 01:10.
Q2 1:10 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +6.3%
Win probability: IND 7.8%
DET1st & 10 · IND 41
(1:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 87-B.Pettigrew INTERCEPTED by 98-R.Mathis at IND 36. 98-R.Mathis to IND 37 for 1 yard (87-B.Pettigrew).
Q2 1:05 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +0.7%
Win probability: DET 85.9%
IND1st & 10 · IND 37
(1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Wayne [90-N.Suh].
Q2 1:00 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +0.0%
Win probability: DET 86.6%
IND2nd & 10 · IND 37
(1:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 87-R.Wayne ran ob at IND 45 for 8 yards (21-J.Lacey).
Q2 0:55 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +1.8%
Win probability: DET 86.6%
IND3rd & 2 · IND 45
(:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 13-T.Hilton [90-N.Suh].
Q2 0:51 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 88.4%
IND4th & 2 · IND 45
(:51) 1-P.McAfee punts 45 yards to DET 10, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.
Q2 0:44 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +1.2%
Win probability: DET 88.6%
DET1st & 10 · DET 10
(:44) 35-J.Bell right tackle to DET 13 for 3 yards (98-R.Mathis).
Q3 · IND 14–DET 23
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 69 yards from DET 35 to IND -4. 32-C.Vaughn, Touchback.
Q3 15:00 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 10.2%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(15:00) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 23 for 3 yards (93-K.Vanden Bosch).
Q3 14:29 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +1.5%
Win probability: IND 10.6%
IND2nd & 7 · IND 23
(14:29) 33-V.Ballard right tackle to IND 36 for 13 yards (32-D.Carey).
Q3 13:49 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +4.1%
Win probability: IND 12.1%
IND1st & 10 · IND 36
(13:49) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 11-D.Avery to DET 22 for 42 yards (23-C.Houston) [98-N.Fairley]. Penalty on DET-23-C.Houston, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q3 13:26 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.2%
Win probability: IND 16.1%
IND1st & 10 · DET 22
(13:26) 33-V.Ballard left tackle to DET 15 for 7 yards (32-D.Carey; 26-L.Delmas).
Q3 12:55 · IND 14–DET 23
IND +0.8%
Win probability: IND 16.3%
IND2nd & 3 · DET 15
(12:55) 33-V.Ballard up the middle to DET 11 for 4 yards (90-N.Suh; 32-D.Carey).
Q3 12:14 · IND 14–DET 23
DET +1.3%
Win probability: DET 82.9%
IND1st & 10 · DET 11
(12:14) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery.
Q3 12:11 · IND 20–DET 23
IND +7.5%
Win probability: IND 15.8%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 11
(12:11) 33-V.Ballard left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 23.3%
INDDET 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
Q3 · IND 21–DET 23
+0.0%
DETIND 35
1-P.McAfee kicks 73 yards from IND 35 to DET -8. 11-S.Logan, Touchback.
Q3 12:05 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 76.3%
DET1st & 10 · DET 20
(12:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to DET 29 for 9 yards (41-A.Bethea).
Q3 · IND 21–DET 23
+0.0%
DET 29
Timeout #1 by DET at 11:29.
Q3 11:29 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +1.2%
Win probability: IND 22.1%
DET2nd & 1 · DET 29
(11:29) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 33 for 4 yards (91-R.Mathews).
Q3 10:49 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 76.7%
DET1st & 10 · DET 33
(10:49) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 25-M.Leshoure to DET 36 for 3 yards (50-J.Freeman).
Q3 10:05 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 76.8%
DET2nd & 7 · DET 36
(10:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 35-J.Bell to DET 39 for 3 yards (23-V.Davis).
Q3 9:21 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +2.6%
Win probability: DET 76.9%
DET3rd & 4 · DET 39
(9:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 48 for 13 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q3 8:39 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +0.8%
Win probability: IND 20.5%
DET1st & 10 · IND 48
(8:39) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 46 for 2 yards (58-M.Fokou).
Q3 7:59 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +1.4%
Win probability: IND 21.3%
DET2nd & 8 · IND 46
(7:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew (53-K.Conner) [93-D.Freeney].
Q3 7:54 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +2.9%
Win probability: IND 22.7%
DET3rd & 8 · IND 46
(7:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 19-M.Thomas to IND 47 for -1 yards (23-V.Davis).
Q3 7:26 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +5.1%
Win probability: IND 25.6%
DET4th & 9 · IND 47
(7:26) 5-N.Harris punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Touchback.
Q3 7:17 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +1.8%
Win probability: DET 69.3%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(7:17) PENALTY on IND-74-A.Castonzo, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 20 - No Play.
Q3 7:17 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.6%
Win probability: DET 71.2%
IND1st & 15 · IND 15
(7:17) 31-D.Brown left tackle to IND 13 for -2 yards (90-N.Suh).
Q3 6:41 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 28.2%
IND2nd & 17 · IND 13
(6:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 25 for 12 yards (23-C.Houston).
Q3 6:07 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +3.1%
Win probability: DET 71.2%
IND3rd & 5 · IND 25
(6:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 13-T.Hilton. Indianapolis challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)
Q3 6:00 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.8%
Win probability: DET 74.3%
IND4th & 5 · IND 25
(6:00) 1-P.McAfee punts 45 yards to DET 30, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 12 yards (35-J.Lefeged).
Q3 5:50 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +1.9%
Win probability: IND 24.9%
DET1st & 10 · DET 42
(5:50) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 19-M.Thomas.
Q3 5:45 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +1.4%
Win probability: DET 73.2%
DET2nd & 10 · DET 42
(5:45) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 35-J.Bell to DET 45 for 3 yards (99-A.Johnson, 58-M.Fokou).
Q3 5:04 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +3.2%
Win probability: IND 25.4%
DET3rd & 7 · DET 45
(5:04) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson.
Q3 4:59 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +2.1%
Win probability: IND 28.7%
DET4th & 7 · DET 45
(4:59) 5-N.Harris punts 43 yards to IND 12, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 13-T.Hilton to IND 14 for 2 yards (29-J.Wendling). IND-55-J.Hickman was injured during the play. He is Out.
Q3 4:50 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 69.3%
IND1st & 10 · IND 14
(4:50) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 18 for 4 yards (23-C.Houston; 32-D.Carey).
Q3 4:18 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +2.5%
Win probability: DET 69.5%
IND2nd & 6 · IND 18
(4:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery (91-SamL.Hill) [98-N.Fairley].
Q3 4:13 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +3.3%
Win probability: DET 72.0%
IND3rd & 6 · IND 18
(4:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 33-V.Ballard.
Q3 4:07 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 75.3%
IND4th & 6 · IND 18
(4:07) 1-P.McAfee punts 49 yards to DET 33, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-S.Logan pushed ob at DET 42 for 9 yards (35-J.Lefeged).
Q3 3:56 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +0.6%
Win probability: DET 76.9%
DET1st & 10 · DET 42
(3:56) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to DET 46 for 4 yards (41-A.Bethea).
Q3 3:15 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +2.1%
Win probability: IND 22.6%
DET2nd & 6 · DET 46
(3:15) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 45 for -1 yards (51-P.Angerer, 68-M.Tevaseu).
Q3 2:34 · IND 21–DET 23
DET +4.5%
Win probability: DET 75.3%
DET3rd & 7 · DET 45
(2:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 81-C.Johnson to IND 44 for 11 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q3 1:50 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +3.2%
Win probability: IND 20.2%
DET1st & 10 · IND 44
(1:50) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 45, and recovers at IND 46. 9-M.Stafford to IND 46 for no gain (67-L.Guy).
Q3 1:15 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +1.1%
Win probability: IND 23.4%
DET2nd & 12 · IND 46
(1:15) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DET-77-G.Cherilus, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 46 - No Play.
Q3 0:55 · IND 21–DET 23
IND +2.9%
Win probability: IND 24.4%
DET2nd & 17 · DET 49
(:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-W.Heller to IND 46 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman).
Q3 0:12 · IND 21–DET 29
DET +18.8%
Win probability: DET 72.7%
DET3rd & 12 · IND 46
(:12) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +0.5%
Win probability: DET 91.5%
DETIND 2
4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris. PENALTY on IND-35-J.Lefeged, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
Q3 · IND 21–DET 30
+0.0%
INDDET 40
4-J.Hanson kicks 60 yards from DET 40 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 0:02 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 8.0%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton ran ob at IND 27 for 7 yards (39-R.Silva).
Q4 15:00 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 8.5%
IND2nd & 3 · IND 27
(15:00) 31-D.Brown right tackle to IND 34 for 7 yards (32-D.Carey).
Q4 14:25 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +0.7%
Win probability: DET 90.9%
IND1st & 10 · IND 34
(14:25) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 13-T.Hilton.
Q4 14:20 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +1.4%
Win probability: DET 91.6%
IND2nd & 10 · IND 34
(14:20) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown left end to IND 31 for -3 yards (31-D.Florence).
Q4 13:38 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 93.1%
IND3rd & 13 · IND 31
(13:38) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 83-D.Allen.
Q4 13:33 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +1.6%
Win probability: IND 5.3%
IND4th & 13 · IND 31
(13:33) 1-P.McAfee punts 44 yards to DET 25, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.
Q4 13:25 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 6.9%
DET1st & 10 · DET 25
(13:25) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure up the middle to DET 25 for no gain (53-K.Conner).
Q4 12:43 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +0.7%
Win probability: DET 92.6%
DET2nd & 10 · DET 25
(12:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 81-C.Johnson to DET 33 for 8 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q4 11:57 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +1.9%
Win probability: IND 6.7%
DET3rd & 2 · DET 33
(11:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 81-C.Johnson.
Q4 11:51 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 8.6%
DET4th & 2 · DET 33
(11:51) 5-N.Harris punts 43 yards to IND 24, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, fair catch by 13-T.Hilton.
Q4 11:44 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +0.6%
Win probability: DET 91.1%
IND1st & 10 · IND 24
(11:44) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (31-D.Florence).
Q4 11:40 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +1.9%
Win probability: DET 91.7%
IND2nd & 10 · IND 24
(11:40) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 16 for -8 yards (92-C.Avril). FUMBLES (92-C.Avril), and recovers at IND 12. 12-A.Luck to IND 12 for no gain (90-N.Suh).
Q4 11:04 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +1.6%
Win probability: DET 93.6%
IND3rd & 22 · IND 12
(11:04) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep right to 15-L.Brazill.
Q4 10:58 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +1.3%
Win probability: IND 4.9%
IND4th & 22 · IND 12
(10:58) 1-P.McAfee punts 58 yards to DET 30, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 11-S.Logan.
Q4 10:50 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.6%
Win probability: IND 6.2%
DET1st & 10 · DET 30
(10:50) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell left end to DET 28 for -2 yards (98-R.Mathis). PENALTY on DET-67-R.Sims, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 30 - No Play.
Q4 10:28 · IND 21–DET 30
DET +3.1%
Win probability: DET 93.3%
DET1st & 20 · DET 20
(10:28) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell right tackle to IND 13 for 67 yards (32-C.Vaughn).
Q4 9:36 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 3.6%
DET1st & 10 · IND 13
(9:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson (32-C.Vaughn).
Q4 9:31 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 3.9%
DET2nd & 10 · IND 13
(9:31) (Shotgun) 35-J.Bell up the middle to IND 13 for no gain (90-C.Redding).
Q4 8:51 · IND 21–DET 30
IND +0.9%
Win probability: IND 4.4%
DET3rd & 10 · IND 13
(8:51) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 30-K.Smith.
Q4 8:45 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +2.0%
Win probability: DET 94.7%
DET4th & 10 · IND 13
(8:45) 4-J.Hanson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
Q4 · IND 21–DET 33
+0.0%
INDDET 35
4-J.Hanson kicks 70 yards from DET 35 to IND -5. 35-J.Lefeged, Touchback.
Q4 8:41 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.7%
Win probability: IND 3.3%
IND1st & 10 · IND 20
(8:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 87-R.Wayne to IND 31 for 11 yards (26-L.Delmas).
Q4 8:15 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.7%
Win probability: IND 4.0%
IND1st & 10 · IND 31
(8:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton to IND 44 for 13 yards (23-C.Houston).
Q4 7:50 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 4.7%
IND1st & 10 · IND 44
(7:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 33-V.Ballard to 50 for 6 yards (52-J.Durant, 21-J.Lacey).
Q4 7:24 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +1.1%
Win probability: IND 5.0%
IND2nd & 4 · MID 50
(7:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 11-D.Avery to DET 40 for 10 yards (31-D.Florence).
Q4 6:59 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.5%
Win probability: DET 93.9%
IND1st & 10 · DET 40
(6:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 83-D.Allen (31-D.Florence).
Q4 6:54 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.8%
Win probability: DET 94.4%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 40
(6:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 11-D.Avery [93-K.Vanden Bosch].
Q4 6:49 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +3.6%
Win probability: DET 95.2%
IND3rd & 10 · DET 40
(6:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Carey at DET 17. 32-D.Carey pushed ob at DET 45 for 28 yards (87-R.Wayne).
Q4 6:40 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.3%
Win probability: DET 98.8%
DET1st & 10 · DET 45
(6:40) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to IND 48 for 7 yards (67-L.Guy).
Q4 5:48 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 99.1%
DET2nd & 3 · IND 48
(5:48) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 45 for 3 yards (67-L.Guy; 50-J.Freeman).
Q4 5:06 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 99.2%
DET1st & 10 · IND 45
(5:06) 25-M.Leshoure left tackle to IND 45 for no gain (99-A.Johnson).
Q4 4:24 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.2%
Win probability: IND 0.7%
DET2nd & 10 · IND 45
(4:24) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Pettigrew.
Q4 4:18 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.2%
Win probability: IND 0.8%
DET3rd & 10 · IND 45
(4:18) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 81-C.Johnson.
Q4 4:13 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +1.3%
Win probability: IND 1.0%
DET4th & 10 · IND 45
(4:13) 5-N.Harris punts 34 yards to IND 11, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 13-T.Hilton to IND 15 for 4 yards (10-K.Osgood).
Q4 4:02 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.2%
Win probability: DET 97.7%
IND1st & 10 · IND 15
(4:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 15-L.Brazill.
Q4 3:58 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 2.1%
IND2nd & 10 · IND 15
(3:58) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 11-D.Avery to IND 23 for 8 yards (23-C.Houston).
Q4 3:33 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.8%
Win probability: DET 97.5%
IND3rd & 2 · IND 23
(3:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne [90-N.Suh].
Q4 3:29 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +2.2%
Win probability: IND 1.7%
IND4th & 2 · IND 23
(3:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles up the middle to IND 31 for 8 yards (98-N.Fairley). PENALTY on DET-98-N.Fairley, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at IND 31.
Q4 3:22 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.1%
Win probability: DET 96.1%
IND1st & 10 · IND 46
(3:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 31-D.Brown pushed ob at DET 49 for 5 yards (54-D.Levy).
Q4 3:16 · IND 21–DET 33
DET +0.6%
Win probability: DET 96.2%
IND2nd & 5 · DET 49
(3:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short left to 13-T.Hilton (31-D.Florence).
Q4 3:12 · IND 21–DET 33
IND +0.5%
Win probability: IND 3.2%
IND3rd & 5 · DET 49
(3:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 33-V.Ballard to DET 42 for 7 yards (54-D.Levy; 55-S.Tulloch).
Q4 2:47 · IND 27–DET 33
IND +7.8%
Win probability: IND 3.7%
IND1st & 10 · DET 42
(2:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 15-L.Brazill for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [79-W.Young]. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +0.2%
Win probability: IND 11.6%
INDDET 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
+0.0%
DETIND 35
1-P.McAfee kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 2:39 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +0.4%
Win probability: IND 11.8%
DET1st & 10 · DET 20
(2:39) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 35-J.Bell left end to DET 23 for 3 yards (50-J.Freeman).
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +3.8%
Win probability: DET 87.8%
DET 23
Timeout #2 by IND at 02:34.
Q4 2:34 · IND 28–DET 33
+0.0%
DET2nd & 7 · DET 23
(2:34) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 81-C.Johnson. PENALTY on IND-32-C.Vaughn, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at DET 23 - No Play.
Q4 2:29 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +1.5%
Win probability: IND 8.4%
DET1st & 10 · DET 44
(2:29) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 35-J.Bell left tackle to DET 42 for -2 yards (90-C.Redding).
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
+0.0%
DET 42
Timeout #3 by IND at 02:26.
Q4 2:26 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +5.2%
Win probability: DET 90.0%
DET2nd & 12 · DET 42
(2:26) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 25-M.Leshoure right end to DET 49 for 7 yards (41-A.Bethea).
Q4 2:00 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +1.1%
Win probability: DET 95.2%
DET3rd & 5 · DET 49
(2:00) (Shotgun) 25-M.Leshoure left end to 50 for 1 yard (91-R.Mathews; 50-J.Freeman).
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
+0.0%
MID 50
Timeout #2 by DET at 01:14.
Q4 1:14 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +10.3%
Win probability: IND 3.7%
DET4th & 4 · MID 50
(1:14) 5-N.Harris punts 25 yards to IND 25, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, out of bounds.
Q4 1:07 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +2.3%
Win probability: IND 14.0%
IND1st & 10 · IND 25
(1:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles up the middle to IND 34 for 9 yards (90-N.Suh).
Q4 0:54 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +2.5%
Win probability: DET 83.7%
IND2nd & 1 · IND 34
(:54) 12-A.Luck spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q4 0:52 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +11.6%
Win probability: IND 13.8%
IND3rd & 1 · IND 34
(:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to DET 40 for 26 yards (26-L.Delmas).
Q4 0:38 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +1.7%
Win probability: DET 74.6%
IND1st & 10 · DET 40
(:38) 12-A.Luck spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q4 0:37 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +10.3%
Win probability: IND 23.7%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 40
(:37) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles right end ran ob at DET 24 for 16 yards (21-J.Lacey).
Q4 0:29 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +4.8%
Win probability: DET 66.0%
IND1st & 10 · DET 24
(:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.
Q4 0:24 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +3.3%
Win probability: IND 29.3%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 24
(:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 83-D.Allen ran ob at DET 14 for 10 yards (21-J.Lacey).
Q4 0:18 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +3.1%
Win probability: DET 67.4%
IND1st & 10 · DET 14
(:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (32-D.Carey).
Q4 0:14 · IND 28–DET 33
IND +0.3%
Win probability: IND 29.5%
IND2nd & 10 · DET 14
(:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Wayne (21-J.Lacey).
Q4 · IND 28–DET 33
+0.0%
DET 14
Timeout #3 by DET at 00:08.
Q4 0:08 · IND 28–DET 33
DET +3.5%
Win probability: DET 70.2%
IND3rd & 10 · DET 14
(:08) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Avery.
Q4 0:03 · IND 34–DET 33
IND +57.0%
Win probability: IND 26.3%
IND4th & 10 · DET 14
(:03) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 11-D.Avery for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · IND 35–DET 33
IND +16.7%
Win probability: IND 83.3%
INDDET 2
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.