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NE New England Patriots@ARI Arizona Cardinals

23–21 · New England Patriots won
2016-09-11 · Regular Week 1
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 13.21 which ranks in the 83.8 percentile.
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THRILLA
84percentile
Raw Score: 13.21
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 6.20, which ranks in the 94.9 percentile.
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GEI
95percentile
Raw Score: 6.20
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, New England Patriots fell to a 22.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.13 which ranks in the 74.1 percentile.
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Comeback
74percentile
Raw Score: 2.13
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 13.00 which ranks in the 38.1 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 8 × 0.5pts = 4pts
  • Turnovers: 2 × 0.75pts = 1.5pts
  • Sacks: 5 × 0.1pts = 0.5pts
  • Touchdowns: 5 × 1pts = 5pts
Total: 13pts
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Audience
38percentile
Raw Score: 13.00
Spread
ARI -9
O/U 44.5
ARI
NE
Biggest Play
Q4 0:41 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +54.0%
Win probability: NE 36.0%
ARI4th & 5 · NE 29
(:41) 7-C.Catanzaro 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.
Game Log
QtrClockScorePoss.Down & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—NE 0–ARI 0ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q115:00NE 0–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 25(15:00) 31-D.Johnson left tackle to ARI 27 for 2 yards (97-A.Branch).NE +3.1%
Q114:25NE 0–ARI 0ARI2nd & 8ARI 27(14:25) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 84-J.Gresham to ARI 40 for 13 yards (32-D.McCourty).ARI +6.0%
Q113:45NE 0–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 40(13:45) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 15-M.Floyd.NE +1.3%
Q113:40NE 0–ARI 0ARI2nd & 10ARI 40(13:40) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson right end to ARI 38 for -2 yards (93-J.Sheard).NE +4.9%
Q113:03NE 0–ARI 0ARI3rd & 12ARI 38(13:03) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald to ARI 49 for 11 yards (26-L.Ryan) [54-D.Hightower].ARI +3.1%
Q112:09NE 0–ARI 0ARI4th & 1ARI 49(12:09) (Punt formation) PENALTY on ARI-2-D.Butler, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 49 - No Play.NE +2.7%
Q111:59NE 0–ARI 0ARI4th & 6ARI 44(11:59) 2-D.Butler punts 38 yards to NE 18, Center-86-K.Canaday. 80-D.Amendola to NE 26 for 8 yards (20-D.Bucannon).ARI +3.1%
Q111:47NE 0–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 26(11:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 15-C.Hogan.ARI +1.0%
Q111:41NE 0–ARI 0NE2nd & 10NE 26(11:41) 11-J.Edelman right end to NE 26 for no gain (20-D.Bucannon).ARI +1.1%
Q111:02NE 0–ARI 0NE3rd & 10NE 26(11:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to NE 37 for 11 yards (32-T.Mathieu).NE +3.2%
Q110:29NE 0–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 37(10:29) 29-L.Blount right end to NE 39 for 2 yards (22-T.Jefferson). PENALTY on NE-75-T.Karras, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at NE 37 - No Play.ARI +0.9%
Q110:01NE 0–ARI 0NE1st & 19NE 28(10:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to NE 47 for 19 yards (22-T.Jefferson).NE +2.6%
Q19:30NE 0–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 47(9:30) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 49 for 2 yards (93-C.Campbell).ARI +0.4%
Q18:47NE 0–ARI 0NE2nd & 8NE 49(8:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman pushed ob at ARI 43 for 8 yards (22-T.Jefferson).NE +3.2%
Q18:23NE 0–ARI 0NE1st & 10ARI 43(8:23) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 37 for 6 yards (51-K.Minter).NE +2.5%
Q17:42NE 6–ARI 0NE2nd & 4ARI 37(7:42) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 15-C.Hogan for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +7.6%
Q1—NE 7–ARI 0NE—ARI 153-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.NE +0.0%
Q1—NE 7–ARI 0ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to ARI 0. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 11 for 11 yards (31-J.Jones).NE +1.4%
Q17:29NE 7–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 11(7:29) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 15-M.Floyd ran ob at 50 for 39 yards [98-T.Flowers].ARI +3.1%
Q17:02NE 7–ARI 0ARI1st & 10MID 50(7:02) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 47 for 3 yards (90-M.Brown).NE +0.2%
Q16:26NE 7–ARI 0ARI2nd & 7NE 47(6:26) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 31-D.Johnson.NE +3.1%
Q16:22NE 7–ARI 0ARI3rd & 7NE 47(6:22) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 14-J.Nelson.NE +2.9%
Q16:18NE 7–ARI 0ARI4th & 7NE 47(6:18) 2-D.Butler punts 39 yards to NE 8, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.ARI +0.3%
Q16:12NE 7–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 8(6:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to NE 29 for 21 yards (51-K.Minter).NE +2.5%
Q15:40NE 7–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 29(5:40) 29-L.Blount right tackle to NE 30 for 1 yard (20-D.Bucannon).NE +1.0%
Q15:03NE 7–ARI 0NE2nd & 9NE 30(5:03) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 28-J.White [98-C.Peters].ARI +3.2%
Q14:57NE 7–ARI 0NE3rd & 9NE 30(4:57) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ARI-90-R.Nkemdiche, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NE 30 - No Play.NE +1.4%
Q14:57NE 7–ARI 0NE3rd & 4NE 35(4:57) 28-J.White up the middle to NE 39 for 4 yards (51-K.Minter).NE +2.3%
Q14:27NE 7–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 39(4:27) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 48 for 13 yards (27-T.Branch).NE +0.8%
Q13:50NE 7–ARI 0NE1st & 10ARI 48(3:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 45 for 3 yards (32-T.Mathieu, 92-F.Rucker).ARI +2.0%
Q13:18NE 7–ARI 0NE2nd & 7ARI 45(3:18) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 43 for 2 yards (22-T.Jefferson).ARI +1.9%
Q12:40NE 7–ARI 0NE3rd & 5ARI 43(2:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 28-J.White to ARI 36 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu).NE +6.3%
Q12:02NE 7–ARI 0NE1st & 10ARI 36(2:02) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep middle to 19-M.Mitchell.ARI +1.7%
Q11:56NE 7–ARI 0NE2nd & 10ARI 36(1:56) 11-J.Edelman left end to ARI 29 for 7 yards (22-T.Jefferson).NE +1.7%
Q11:10NE 7–ARI 0NE3rd & 3ARI 29(1:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 80-D.Amendola (27-T.Branch).ARI +3.0%
Q11:05NE 10–ARI 0NE4th & 3ARI 29(1:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.NE +5.2%
Q1—NE 10–ARI 0ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 67 yards from NE 35 to ARI -2. 38-A.Ellington pushed ob at ARI 19 for 21 yards (32-D.McCourty).NE +0.3%
Q10:52NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 19(:52) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to ARI 45 for 26 yards (58-S.McClellin).ARI +4.5%
Q10:08NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 45(:08) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at ARI 42 for -3 yards (99-V.Valentine).NE +3.3%
Q215:00NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 13ARI 42(15:00) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to 50 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung; 98-T.Flowers).ARI +0.0%
Q214:22NE 10–ARI 0ARI3rd & 5MID 50(14:22) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 14-J.Nelson to NE 39 for 11 yards (21-M.Butler). Penalty on NE-23-P.Chung, Defensive Holding, declined.ARI +5.1%
Q213:58NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10NE 39(13:58) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 38 for 1 yard (96-A.Johnson).NE +3.1%
Q213:19NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 9NE 38(13:19) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to NE 31 for 7 yards (32-D.McCourty; 23-P.Chung).ARI +3.0%
Q212:40NE 10–ARI 0ARI3rd & 2NE 31(12:40) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at NE 39 for -8 yards (95-C.Long). Penalty on ARI-74-D.Humphries, Face Mask (15 Yards), declined.NE +9.1%
Q212:30NE 10–ARI 0ARI4th & 10NE 39(12:30) 2-D.Butler punts 23 yards to NE 16, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.NE +1.1%
Q212:22NE 10–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 16(12:22) PENALTY on NE-86-A.Derby, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 16 - No Play.ARI +2.6%
Q212:22NE 10–ARI 0NE1st & 15NE 11(12:22) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman pushed ob at NE 21 for 10 yards (27-T.Branch).NE +1.4%
Q211:53NE 10–ARI 0NE2nd & 5NE 21(11:53) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 88-M.Bennett [22-T.Jefferson].ARI +2.0%
Q211:48NE 10–ARI 0NE3rd & 5NE 21(11:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 15-C.Hogan pushed ob at NE 40 for 19 yards (32-T.Mathieu).NE +6.0%
Q211:14NE 10–ARI 0NE1st & 10NE 40(11:14) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 19-M.Mitchell.ARI +2.2%
Q211:10NE 10–ARI 0NE2nd & 10NE 40(11:10) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 41 for 1 yard (55-C.Jones).ARI +0.5%
Q210:32NE 10–ARI 0NE3rd & 9NE 41(10:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at NE 36 for -5 yards (44-M.Golden). FUMBLES (44-M.Golden), RECOVERED by ARI-55-C.Jones at NE 39. 55-C.Jones to NE 39 for no gain (10-J.Garoppolo). PENALTY on ARI, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NE 39.ARI +4.4%
Q210:26NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10ARI 46(10:26) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 48 for 6 yards (26-L.Ryan).ARI +1.0%
Q29:47NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 4NE 48(9:47) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 15-M.Floyd to NE 37 for 11 yards (91-J.Collins; 21-M.Butler).ARI +2.7%
Q29:21NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10NE 37(9:21) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 29 for 8 yards (91-J.Collins).ARI +4.6%
Q28:43NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 2NE 29(8:43) 31-D.Johnson right end to NE 26 for 3 yards (95-C.Long).ARI +0.9%
Q28:07NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10NE 26(8:07) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 23 for 3 yards (99-V.Valentine).NE +0.8%
Q27:21NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 7NE 23(7:21) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 17 for 6 yards (23-P.Chung).NE +1.2%
Q26:47NE 10–ARI 0ARI3rd & 1NE 17(6:47) 23-C.Johnson up the middle to NE 15 for 2 yards (99-V.Valentine). ARI-69-E.Mathis was injured during the play.ARI +1.3%
Q26:15NE 10–ARI 0ARI1st & 10NE 15(6:15) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 84-J.Gresham to NE 6 for 9 yards (58-S.McClellin).ARI +2.5%
Q25:36NE 10–ARI 0ARI2nd & 1NE 6(5:36) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 6 for no gain (26-L.Ryan; 97-A.Branch).NE +3.9%
Q24:55NE 10–ARI 0ARI3rd & 1NE 6(4:55) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 3 for 3 yards (32-D.McCourty).ARI +4.5%
Q24:10NE 10–ARI 6ARI1st & 3NE 3(4:10) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +0.8%
Q2—NE 10–ARI 7ARI—NE 157-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.ARI +0.1%
Q2—NE 10–ARI 7NE—ARI 357-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to NE 0. 24-C.Jones to NE 26 for 26 yards (87-T.Niklas).ARI +0.3%
Q24:00NE 10–ARI 7NE1st & 10NE 26(4:00) 38-B.Bolden up the middle to NE 30 for 4 yards (27-T.Branch).NE +0.8%
Q23:26NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 6NE 30(3:26) 10-J.Garoppolo FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 25, recovered by NE-38-B.Bolden at NE 28. 38-B.Bolden to NE 28 for no gain (51-K.Minter).NE +0.1%
Q22:44NE 10–ARI 7NE3rd & 8NE 28(2:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to NE 26 for -2 yards (32-T.Mathieu).ARI +6.1%
Q22:00NE 10–ARI 7NE4th & 10NE 26(2:00) 6-R.Allen punts 44 yards to ARI 30, Center-49-J.Cardona. 21-P.Peterson ran ob at ARI 38 for 8 yards (38-B.Bolden).ARI +0.5%
Q21:50NE 10–ARI 7ARI1st & 10ARI 38(1:50) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 12-J.Brown.NE +1.8%
Q21:45NE 10–ARI 7ARI2nd & 10ARI 38(1:45) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 11-L.Fitzgerald.NE +3.5%
Q21:39NE 10–ARI 7ARI3rd & 10ARI 38(1:39) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 12-J.Brown (22-J.Coleman).NE +4.2%
Q21:34NE 10–ARI 7ARI4th & 10ARI 38(1:34) 2-D.Butler punts 41 yards to NE 21, Center-86-K.Canaday. 24-C.Jones to NE 31 for 10 yards (13-Ja.Brown).NE +0.0%
Q21:24NE 10–ARI 7NE1st & 10NE 31(1:24) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 32 for 1 yard (22-T.Jefferson).NE +1.4%
Q20:47NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 9NE 32(:47) 29-L.Blount right end to NE 40 for 8 yards (21-P.Peterson). PENALTY on NE-60-D.Andrews, Tripping, 10 yards, enforced at NE 35.ARI +3.1%
Q20:39NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 16NE 25(:39) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 33 for 8 yards (21-P.Peterson; 22-T.Jefferson). PENALTY on NE-69-S.Mason, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 25 - No Play.ARI +2.4%
Q20:33NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 26NE 15(:33) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 19 for 4 yards (55-C.Jones; 51-K.Minter).ARI +1.0%
Q2—NE 10–ARI 7——NE 19Timeout #1 by ARI at 00:27. +0.0%
Q20:27NE 10–ARI 7NE3rd & 22NE 19(:27) 29-L.Blount right tackle to NE 23 for 4 yards (55-C.Jones).ARI +2.8%
Q2—NE 10–ARI 7——NE 23Timeout #2 by ARI at 00:22. +0.0%
Q20:22NE 10–ARI 7NE4th & 18NE 23(:22) 6-R.Allen punts 45 yards to ARI 32, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 21-P.Peterson.NE +3.5%
Q20:15NE 10–ARI 7ARI1st & 10ARI 32(:15) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at ARI 24 for -8 yards (91-J.Collins).NE +3.1%
Q3—NE 10–ARI 7NE—ARI 357-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q315:00NE 10–ARI 7NE1st & 10NE 25(15:00) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 10-J.Garoppolo to NE 28 for 3 yards (21-P.Peterson).ARI +1.8%
Q314:24NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 7NE 28(14:24) 29-L.Blount left tackle to NE 29 for 1 yard (92-F.Rucker; 98-C.Peters).ARI +0.4%
Q313:46NE 10–ARI 7NE3rd & 6NE 29(13:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo scrambles up the middle to NE 39 for 10 yards (32-T.Mathieu).NE +5.5%
Q313:02NE 10–ARI 7NE1st & 10NE 39(13:02) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to NE 48 for 9 yards (21-P.Peterson).NE +1.0%
Q312:25NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 1NE 48(12:25) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount right tackle pushed ob at ARI 39 for 13 yards (20-D.Bucannon).NE +3.8%
Q312:05NE 10–ARI 7NE1st & 10ARI 39(12:05) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 40 for -1 yards (44-M.Golden).ARI +2.5%
Q311:26NE 10–ARI 7NE2nd & 11ARI 40(11:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 88-M.Bennett to ARI 36 for 4 yards (21-P.Peterson).ARI +0.8%
Q310:44NE 10–ARI 7NE3rd & 7ARI 36(10:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 19-M.Mitchell to ARI 8 for 28 yards (36-D.Swearinger).NE +9.3%
Q310:08NE 16–ARI 7NE1st & 8ARI 8(10:08) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +6.9%
Q3—NE 17–ARI 7NE—ARI 153-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.NE +0.1%
Q3—NE 17–ARI 7ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q310:00NE 17–ARI 7ARI1st & 10ARI 25(10:00) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 84-J.Gresham to ARI 29 for 4 yards (23-P.Chung; 26-L.Ryan).NE +0.6%
Q39:21NE 17–ARI 7ARI2nd & 6ARI 29(9:21) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to ARI 34 for 5 yards (93-J.Sheard).ARI +0.4%
Q38:45NE 17–ARI 7ARI3rd & 1ARI 34(8:45) 3-C.Palmer up the middle to ARI 35 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty).ARI +1.1%
Q37:58NE 17–ARI 7ARI1st & 10ARI 35(7:58) 3-C.Palmer FUMBLES (Aborted) at ARI 33, and recovers at ARI 33. 3-C.Palmer to ARI 33 for no gain (93-J.Sheard).NE +3.4%
Q37:19NE 17–ARI 7ARI2nd & 12ARI 33(7:19) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep middle to 12-J.Brown (21-M.Butler).NE +2.0%
Q37:14NE 17–ARI 7ARI3rd & 12ARI 33(7:14) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald (26-L.Ryan).NE +2.8%
Q37:08NE 17–ARI 7ARI4th & 12ARI 33(7:08) 2-D.Butler punts 39 yards to NE 28, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 24-C.Jones.ARI +3.9%
Q37:01NE 17–ARI 7NE1st & 10NE 28(7:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 19-M.Mitchell to NE 33 for 5 yards (26-B.Williams).NE +0.3%
Q36:30NE 17–ARI 7NE2nd & 5NE 33(6:30) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 33 for no gain (92-F.Rucker). FUMBLES (92-F.Rucker), RECOVERED by ARI-93-C.Campbell at NE 33. 93-C.Campbell to NE 33 for no gain (62-J.Thuney).ARI +10.7%
Q36:20NE 17–ARI 7ARI1st & 10NE 33(6:20) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 84-J.Gresham pushed ob at NE 18 for 15 yards (21-M.Butler).ARI +4.4%
Q35:46NE 17–ARI 7ARI1st & 10NE 18(5:46) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 31-D.Johnson.NE +1.8%
Q35:41NE 17–ARI 7ARI2nd & 10NE 18(5:41) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 4 for 14 yards (32-D.McCourty).ARI +5.7%
Q34:58NE 17–ARI 7ARI1st & 4NE 4(4:58) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 1 for 3 yards (95-C.Long).ARI +1.4%
Q34:33NE 17–ARI 13ARI2nd & 1NE 1(4:33) (No Huddle) 31-D.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-21-M.Butler, Defensive 12 On-field, declined.ARI +2.4%
Q3—NE 17–ARI 14ARI—NE 157-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.ARI +0.1%
Q3—NE 17–ARI 14NE—ARI 357-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q34:29NE 17–ARI 14NE1st & 10NE 25(4:29) 29-L.Blount left end to NE 28 for 3 yards (97-J.Mauro).NE +1.2%
Q33:51NE 17–ARI 14NE2nd & 7NE 28(3:51) 11-J.Edelman right end to NE 37 for 9 yards (32-T.Mathieu).NE +5.2%
Q33:05NE 17–ARI 14NE1st & 10NE 37(3:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 15-C.Hogan to NE 41 for 4 yards (20-D.Bucannon).ARI +0.2%
Q32:29NE 17–ARI 14NE2nd & 6NE 41(2:29) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 42 for 1 yard (22-T.Jefferson; 93-C.Campbell).ARI +3.0%
Q31:46NE 17–ARI 14NE3rd & 5NE 42(1:46) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 88-M.Bennett to NE 47 for 5 yards (27-T.Branch).NE +4.7%
Q31:12NE 17–ARI 14NE1st & 10NE 47(1:12) 29-L.Blount left end to NE 48 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell).NE +2.6%
Q30:27NE 17–ARI 14NE2nd & 9NE 48(:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 46 for 6 yards (51-K.Minter).ARI +1.5%
Q415:00NE 17–ARI 14NE3rd & 3ARI 46(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 15-C.Hogan [51-K.Minter]. PENALTY on ARI-51-K.Minter, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 46 - No Play.NE +8.0%
Q414:57NE 17–ARI 14NE1st & 10ARI 31(14:57) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 30 for 1 yard (98-C.Peters; 55-C.Jones).NE +0.0%
Q414:14NE 17–ARI 14NE2nd & 9ARI 30(14:14) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 88-M.Bennett to ARI 25 for 5 yards (26-B.Williams).ARI +0.2%
Q413:27NE 17–ARI 14NE3rd & 4ARI 25(13:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep right to 80-D.Amendola. Penalty on NE-61-M.Cannon, Offensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at ARI 25 - No Play. Penalty on ARI-27-T.Branch, Defensive Pass Interference, offsetting.ARI +0.5%
Q413:18NE 17–ARI 14NE3rd & 4ARI 25(13:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 15 for 10 yards (26-B.Williams). PENALTY on NE-88-M.Bennett, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 25 - No Play.ARI +4.5%
Q412:50NE 17–ARI 14NE3rd & 14ARI 35(12:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep left to 19-M.Mitchell.ARI +4.8%
Q412:40NE 20–ARI 14NE4th & 14ARI 35(12:40) 3-S.Gostkowski 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.NE +10.5%
Q4—NE 20–ARI 14ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 60 yards from NE 35 to ARI 5. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 21 for 16 yards (23-P.Chung).ARI +1.1%
Q412:29NE 20–ARI 14ARI1st & 10ARI 21(12:29) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to ARI 26 for 5 yards (32-D.McCourty).NE +4.4%
Q411:49NE 20–ARI 14ARI2nd & 5ARI 26(11:49) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 38-A.Ellington pushed ob at ARI 38 for 12 yards (91-J.Collins).ARI +3.1%
Q411:13NE 20–ARI 14ARI1st & 10ARI 38(11:13) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short left to 15-M.Floyd. PENALTY on NE-21-M.Butler, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 38 - No Play.ARI +3.8%
Q411:08NE 20–ARI 14ARI1st & 10ARI 43(11:08) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 12 for 45 yards (32-D.McCourty).ARI +9.2%
Q4—NE 20–ARI 14——NE 12Timeout #1 by ARI at 10:18. +0.0%
Q410:18NE 20–ARI 14ARI1st & 10NE 12(10:18) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 15-M.Floyd (21-M.Butler).NE +2.6%
Q410:13NE 20–ARI 14ARI2nd & 10NE 12(10:13) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 15-M.Floyd.NE +2.9%
Q410:08NE 20–ARI 14ARI3rd & 10NE 12(10:08) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 15-M.Floyd pushed ob at NE 1 for 11 yards (21-M.Butler).ARI +13.0%
Q49:51NE 20–ARI 20ARI1st & 1NE 1(9:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.ARI +10.4%
Q4—NE 20–ARI 21ARI—NE 157-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler. PENALTY on NE-91-J.Collins, Leaping, 15 yards, enforced between downs.ARI +0.5%
Q4—NE 20–ARI 21NE—MID 507-C.Catanzaro kicks 50 yards from 50 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q49:46NE 20–ARI 21NE1st & 10NE 25(9:46) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at NE 20 for -5 yards (55-C.Jones).ARI +6.9%
Q49:07NE 20–ARI 21NE2nd & 15NE 20(9:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 28-J.White.ARI +3.1%
Q49:04NE 20–ARI 21NE3rd & 15NE 20(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 48 for 32 yards (27-T.Branch) [55-C.Jones].NE +15.6%
Q48:23NE 20–ARI 21NE1st & 10ARI 48(8:23) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 46 for -6 yards (22-T.Jefferson).ARI +6.5%
Q47:43NE 20–ARI 21NE2nd & 16NE 46(7:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 41 for 13 yards (51-K.Minter).NE +9.6%
Q46:58NE 20–ARI 21NE3rd & 3ARI 41(6:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 28-J.White to ARI 34 for 7 yards (22-T.Jefferson).NE +7.9%
Q46:21NE 20–ARI 21NE1st & 10ARI 34(6:21) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 35 for -1 yards (22-T.Jefferson).ARI +3.6%
Q45:39NE 20–ARI 21NE2nd & 11ARI 35(5:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 88-M.Bennett.ARI +4.0%
Q45:35NE 20–ARI 21NE3rd & 11ARI 35(5:35) 29-L.Blount left tackle to ARI 22 for 13 yards (22-T.Jefferson).NE +12.4%
Q44:45NE 20–ARI 21NE1st & 10ARI 22(4:45) PENALTY on NE-10-J.Garoppolo, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 22 - No Play.ARI +7.1%
Q44:45NE 20–ARI 21NE1st & 15ARI 27(4:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to ARI 20 for 7 yards (27-T.Branch).NE +6.0%
Q4—NE 20–ARI 21——ARI 20Timeout #2 by ARI at 04:37. +0.0%
Q44:37NE 20–ARI 21NE2nd & 8ARI 20(4:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 17 for 3 yards (27-T.Branch).ARI +1.4%
Q44:33NE 20–ARI 21NE3rd & 5ARI 17(4:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo scrambles right end to ARI 14 for 3 yards (20-D.Bucannon).ARI +9.3%
Q43:48NE 23–ARI 21NE4th & 2ARI 14(3:48) 3-S.Gostkowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.NE +7.3%
Q4—NE 23–ARI 21ARI—NE 353-S.Gostkowski kicks 62 yards from NE 35 to ARI 3. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 17 for 14 yards (43-N.Ebner). PENALTY on ARI-27-T.Branch, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at ARI 16.NE +4.4%
Q43:38NE 23–ARI 21ARI1st & 10ARI 8(3:38) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 12-J.Brown to ARI 16 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung).ARI +5.1%
Q43:15NE 23–ARI 21ARI2nd & 2ARI 16(3:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald to ARI 37 for 21 yards (30-D.Harmon).ARI +2.7%
Q42:47NE 23–ARI 21ARI1st & 10ARI 37(2:47) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short left to 13-Ja.Brown (22-J.Coleman).NE +3.2%
Q42:42NE 23–ARI 21ARI2nd & 10ARI 37(2:42) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 48 for 15 yards (26-L.Ryan).ARI +9.4%
Q42:15NE 23–ARI 21ARI1st & 10NE 48(2:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 15-M.Floyd (91-J.Collins).NE +4.3%
Q42:11NE 23–ARI 21ARI2nd & 10NE 48(2:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 31-D.Johnson pushed ob at NE 44 for 4 yards (32-D.McCourty).NE +1.3%
Q42:06NE 23–ARI 21ARI3rd & 6NE 44(2:06) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 34 for 10 yards (26-L.Ryan).ARI +13.7%
Q42:00NE 23–ARI 21ARI1st & 10NE 34(2:00) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to NE 33 for 1 yard (54-D.Hightower).NE +2.4%
Q4—NE 23–ARI 21——NE 33Timeout #1 by NE at 01:55.NE +10.8%
Q41:55NE 23–ARI 21ARI2nd & 9NE 33(1:55) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 12-J.Brown (22-J.Coleman). PENALTY on ARI-78-E.Watford, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 33 - No Play. +0.0%
Q41:51NE 23–ARI 21ARI2nd & 19NE 43(1:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 38-A.Ellington to NE 47 for -4 yards (93-J.Sheard).NE +9.3%
Q4—NE 23–ARI 21——NE 47Timeout #2 by NE at 01:10. +0.0%
Q41:10NE 23–ARI 21ARI3rd & 23NE 47(1:10) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown to NE 29 for 18 yards (32-D.McCourty).ARI +20.0%
Q4—NE 23–ARI 21——NE 29Timeout #3 by NE at 00:41. +0.0%
Q40:41NE 23–ARI 21ARI4th & 5NE 29(:41) 7-C.Catanzaro 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.NE +54.0%
Q40:36NE 23–ARI 21NE1st & 10NE 37(:36) 10-J.Garoppolo kneels to NE 36 for -1 yards.NE +10.0%
Q1 · NE 0–ARI 0
+0.0%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 15:00 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 25.8%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 25
(15:00) 31-D.Johnson left tackle to ARI 27 for 2 yards (97-A.Branch).
Q1 14:25 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +6.0%
Win probability: ARI 71.1%
ARI2nd & 8 · ARI 27
(14:25) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 84-J.Gresham to ARI 40 for 13 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q1 13:45 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +1.3%
Win probability: NE 22.8%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 40
(13:45) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 15-M.Floyd.
Q1 13:40 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +4.9%
Win probability: NE 24.1%
ARI2nd & 10 · ARI 40
(13:40) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson right end to ARI 38 for -2 yards (93-J.Sheard).
Q1 13:03 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 71.0%
ARI3rd & 12 · ARI 38
(13:03) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald to ARI 49 for 11 yards (26-L.Ryan) [54-D.Hightower].
Q1 12:09 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +2.7%
Win probability: NE 25.9%
ARI4th & 1 · ARI 49
(12:09) (Punt formation) PENALTY on ARI-2-D.Butler, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 49 - No Play.
Q1 11:59 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 71.3%
ARI4th & 6 · ARI 44
(11:59) 2-D.Butler punts 38 yards to NE 18, Center-86-K.Canaday. 80-D.Amendola to NE 26 for 8 yards (20-D.Bucannon).
Q1 11:47 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +1.0%
Win probability: ARI 74.4%
NE1st & 10 · NE 26
(11:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 15-C.Hogan.
Q1 11:41 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +1.1%
Win probability: ARI 75.5%
NE2nd & 10 · NE 26
(11:41) 11-J.Edelman right end to NE 26 for no gain (20-D.Bucannon).
Q1 11:02 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +3.2%
Win probability: NE 23.5%
NE3rd & 10 · NE 26
(11:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to NE 37 for 11 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 10:29 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +0.9%
Win probability: ARI 73.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 37
(10:29) 29-L.Blount right end to NE 39 for 2 yards (22-T.Jefferson). PENALTY on NE-75-T.Karras, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at NE 37 - No Play.
Q1 10:01 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 25.8%
NE1st & 19 · NE 28
(10:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to NE 47 for 19 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q1 9:30 · NE 0–ARI 0
ARI +0.4%
Win probability: ARI 71.6%
NE1st & 10 · NE 47
(9:30) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 49 for 2 yards (93-C.Campbell).
Q1 8:47 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +3.2%
Win probability: NE 28.0%
NE2nd & 8 · NE 49
(8:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman pushed ob at ARI 43 for 8 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q1 8:23 · NE 0–ARI 0
NE +2.5%
Win probability: NE 31.1%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 43
(8:23) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 37 for 6 yards (51-K.Minter).
Q1 7:42 · NE 6–ARI 0
NE +7.6%
Win probability: NE 33.6%
NE2nd & 4 · ARI 37
(7:42) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 15-C.Hogan for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 41.2%
NEARI 15
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
Q1 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 41.2%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to ARI 0. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 11 for 11 yards (31-J.Jones).
Q1 7:29 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 57.4%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 11
(7:29) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 15-M.Floyd ran ob at 50 for 39 yards [98-T.Flowers].
Q1 7:02 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 39.5%
ARI1st & 10 · MID 50
(7:02) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 47 for 3 yards (90-M.Brown).
Q1 6:26 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 39.7%
ARI2nd & 7 · NE 47
(6:26) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 31-D.Johnson.
Q1 6:22 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 42.8%
ARI3rd & 7 · NE 47
(6:22) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 14-J.Nelson.
Q1 6:18 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +0.3%
Win probability: ARI 54.4%
ARI4th & 7 · NE 47
(6:18) 2-D.Butler punts 39 yards to NE 8, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.
Q1 6:12 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +2.5%
Win probability: NE 45.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 8
(6:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to NE 29 for 21 yards (51-K.Minter).
Q1 5:40 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +1.0%
Win probability: NE 47.8%
NE1st & 10 · NE 29
(5:40) 29-L.Blount right tackle to NE 30 for 1 yard (20-D.Bucannon).
Q1 5:03 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +3.2%
Win probability: ARI 51.2%
NE2nd & 9 · NE 30
(5:03) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 28-J.White [98-C.Peters].
Q1 4:57 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 45.6%
NE3rd & 9 · NE 30
(4:57) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ARI-90-R.Nkemdiche, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NE 30 - No Play.
Q1 4:57 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +2.3%
Win probability: NE 47.1%
NE3rd & 4 · NE 35
(4:57) 28-J.White up the middle to NE 39 for 4 yards (51-K.Minter).
Q1 4:27 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 49.3%
NE1st & 10 · NE 39
(4:27) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 48 for 13 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q1 3:50 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +2.0%
Win probability: ARI 49.9%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 48
(3:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 45 for 3 yards (32-T.Mathieu, 92-F.Rucker).
Q1 3:18 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +1.9%
Win probability: ARI 51.9%
NE2nd & 7 · ARI 45
(3:18) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 43 for 2 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q1 2:40 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +6.3%
Win probability: NE 46.3%
NE3rd & 5 · ARI 43
(2:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 28-J.White to ARI 36 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 2:02 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +1.7%
Win probability: ARI 47.5%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 36
(2:02) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep middle to 19-M.Mitchell.
Q1 1:56 · NE 7–ARI 0
NE +1.7%
Win probability: NE 50.8%
NE2nd & 10 · ARI 36
(1:56) 11-J.Edelman left end to ARI 29 for 7 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q1 1:10 · NE 7–ARI 0
ARI +3.0%
Win probability: ARI 47.5%
NE3rd & 3 · ARI 29
(1:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 80-D.Amendola (27-T.Branch).
Q1 1:05 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +5.2%
Win probability: NE 49.6%
NE4th & 3 · ARI 29
(1:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
Q1 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 54.8%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 67 yards from NE 35 to ARI -2. 38-A.Ellington pushed ob at ARI 19 for 21 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q1 0:52 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +4.5%
Win probability: ARI 45.0%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 19
(:52) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to ARI 45 for 26 yards (58-S.McClellin).
Q1 0:08 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +3.3%
Win probability: NE 50.6%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 45
(:08) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at ARI 42 for -3 yards (99-V.Valentine).
Q2 15:00 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +0.0%
Win probability: ARI 46.1%
ARI2nd & 13 · ARI 42
(15:00) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to 50 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung; 98-T.Flowers).
Q2 14:22 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +5.1%
Win probability: ARI 46.2%
ARI3rd & 5 · MID 50
(14:22) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 14-J.Nelson to NE 39 for 11 yards (21-M.Butler). Penalty on NE-23-P.Chung, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q2 13:58 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 48.7%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 39
(13:58) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 38 for 1 yard (96-A.Johnson).
Q2 13:19 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +3.0%
Win probability: ARI 48.2%
ARI2nd & 9 · NE 38
(13:19) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to NE 31 for 7 yards (32-D.McCourty; 23-P.Chung).
Q2 12:40 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +9.1%
Win probability: NE 48.9%
ARI3rd & 2 · NE 31
(12:40) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at NE 39 for -8 yards (95-C.Long). Penalty on ARI-74-D.Humphries, Face Mask (15 Yards), declined.
Q2 12:30 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 58.0%
ARI4th & 10 · NE 39
(12:30) 2-D.Butler punts 23 yards to NE 16, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.
Q2 12:22 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +2.6%
Win probability: ARI 40.9%
NE1st & 10 · NE 16
(12:22) PENALTY on NE-86-A.Derby, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 16 - No Play.
Q2 12:22 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 56.5%
NE1st & 15 · NE 11
(12:22) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman pushed ob at NE 21 for 10 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q2 11:53 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +2.0%
Win probability: ARI 42.1%
NE2nd & 5 · NE 21
(11:53) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 88-M.Bennett [22-T.Jefferson].
Q2 11:48 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +6.0%
Win probability: NE 55.9%
NE3rd & 5 · NE 21
(11:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 15-C.Hogan pushed ob at NE 40 for 19 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q2 11:14 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +2.2%
Win probability: ARI 38.1%
NE1st & 10 · NE 40
(11:14) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 19-M.Mitchell.
Q2 11:10 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +0.5%
Win probability: ARI 40.3%
NE2nd & 10 · NE 40
(11:10) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 41 for 1 yard (55-C.Jones).
Q2 10:32 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +4.4%
Win probability: ARI 40.8%
NE3rd & 9 · NE 41
(10:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at NE 36 for -5 yards (44-M.Golden). FUMBLES (44-M.Golden), RECOVERED by ARI-55-C.Jones at NE 39. 55-C.Jones to NE 39 for no gain (10-J.Garoppolo). PENALTY on ARI, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NE 39.
Q2 10:26 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +1.0%
Win probability: ARI 45.2%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 46
(10:26) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 48 for 6 yards (26-L.Ryan).
Q2 9:47 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +2.7%
Win probability: ARI 46.1%
ARI2nd & 4 · NE 48
(9:47) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 15-M.Floyd to NE 37 for 11 yards (91-J.Collins; 21-M.Butler).
Q2 9:21 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +4.6%
Win probability: ARI 48.9%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 37
(9:21) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 29 for 8 yards (91-J.Collins).
Q2 8:43 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +0.9%
Win probability: ARI 53.4%
ARI2nd & 2 · NE 29
(8:43) 31-D.Johnson right end to NE 26 for 3 yards (95-C.Long).
Q2 8:07 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 45.6%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 26
(8:07) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 23 for 3 yards (99-V.Valentine).
Q2 7:21 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 46.4%
ARI2nd & 7 · NE 23
(7:21) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 17 for 6 yards (23-P.Chung).
Q2 6:47 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +1.3%
Win probability: ARI 52.4%
ARI3rd & 1 · NE 17
(6:47) 23-C.Johnson up the middle to NE 15 for 2 yards (99-V.Valentine). ARI-69-E.Mathis was injured during the play.
Q2 6:15 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +2.5%
Win probability: ARI 53.7%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 15
(6:15) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 84-J.Gresham to NE 6 for 9 yards (58-S.McClellin).
Q2 5:36 · NE 10–ARI 0
NE +3.9%
Win probability: NE 43.9%
ARI2nd & 1 · NE 6
(5:36) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 6 for no gain (26-L.Ryan; 97-A.Branch).
Q2 4:55 · NE 10–ARI 0
ARI +4.5%
Win probability: ARI 52.2%
ARI3rd & 1 · NE 6
(4:55) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 3 for 3 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q2 4:10 · NE 10–ARI 6
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 43.3%
ARI1st & 3 · NE 3
(4:10) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +0.1%
Win probability: ARI 56.0%
ARINE 15
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.
Q2 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +0.3%
Win probability: ARI 56.0%
NEARI 35
7-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to NE 0. 24-C.Jones to NE 26 for 26 yards (87-T.Niklas).
Q2 4:00 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 43.7%
NE1st & 10 · NE 26
(4:00) 38-B.Bolden up the middle to NE 30 for 4 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q2 3:26 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 44.4%
NE2nd & 6 · NE 30
(3:26) 10-J.Garoppolo FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 25, recovered by NE-38-B.Bolden at NE 28. 38-B.Bolden to NE 28 for no gain (51-K.Minter).
Q2 2:44 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +6.1%
Win probability: ARI 55.5%
NE3rd & 8 · NE 28
(2:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to NE 26 for -2 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q2 2:00 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +0.5%
Win probability: ARI 61.6%
NE4th & 10 · NE 26
(2:00) 6-R.Allen punts 44 yards to ARI 30, Center-49-J.Cardona. 21-P.Peterson ran ob at ARI 38 for 8 yards (38-B.Bolden).
Q2 1:50 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 37.9%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 38
(1:50) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep left to 12-J.Brown.
Q2 1:45 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +3.5%
Win probability: NE 39.7%
ARI2nd & 10 · ARI 38
(1:45) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 11-L.Fitzgerald.
Q2 1:39 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +4.2%
Win probability: NE 43.2%
ARI3rd & 10 · ARI 38
(1:39) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 12-J.Brown (22-J.Coleman).
Q2 1:34 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 47.4%
ARI4th & 10 · ARI 38
(1:34) 2-D.Butler punts 41 yards to NE 21, Center-86-K.Canaday. 24-C.Jones to NE 31 for 10 yards (13-Ja.Brown).
Q2 1:24 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 47.4%
NE1st & 10 · NE 31
(1:24) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 32 for 1 yard (22-T.Jefferson).
Q2 0:47 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 51.2%
NE2nd & 9 · NE 32
(:47) 29-L.Blount right end to NE 40 for 8 yards (21-P.Peterson). PENALTY on NE-60-D.Andrews, Tripping, 10 yards, enforced at NE 35.
Q2 0:39 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +2.4%
Win probability: ARI 54.2%
NE2nd & 16 · NE 25
(:39) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 33 for 8 yards (21-P.Peterson; 22-T.Jefferson). PENALTY on NE-69-S.Mason, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 25 - No Play.
Q2 0:33 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +1.0%
Win probability: ARI 56.6%
NE2nd & 26 · NE 15
(:33) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 19 for 4 yards (55-C.Jones; 51-K.Minter).
Q2 · NE 10–ARI 7
+0.0%
NE 19
Timeout #1 by ARI at 00:27.
Q2 0:27 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +2.8%
Win probability: ARI 57.6%
NE3rd & 22 · NE 19
(:27) 29-L.Blount right tackle to NE 23 for 4 yards (55-C.Jones).
Q2 · NE 10–ARI 7
+0.0%
NE 23
Timeout #2 by ARI at 00:22.
Q2 0:22 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +3.5%
Win probability: NE 39.6%
NE4th & 18 · NE 23
(:22) 6-R.Allen punts 45 yards to ARI 32, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 21-P.Peterson.
Q2 0:15 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 43.1%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 32
(:15) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at ARI 24 for -8 yards (91-J.Collins).
Q3 · NE 10–ARI 7
+0.0%
NEARI 35
7-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 15:00 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +1.8%
Win probability: ARI 53.8%
NE1st & 10 · NE 25
(15:00) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 10-J.Garoppolo to NE 28 for 3 yards (21-P.Peterson).
Q3 14:24 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +0.4%
Win probability: ARI 55.5%
NE2nd & 7 · NE 28
(14:24) 29-L.Blount left tackle to NE 29 for 1 yard (92-F.Rucker; 98-C.Peters).
Q3 13:46 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +5.5%
Win probability: NE 44.1%
NE3rd & 6 · NE 29
(13:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo scrambles up the middle to NE 39 for 10 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 13:02 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +1.0%
Win probability: NE 49.5%
NE1st & 10 · NE 39
(13:02) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to NE 48 for 9 yards (21-P.Peterson).
Q3 12:25 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +3.8%
Win probability: NE 50.5%
NE2nd & 1 · NE 48
(12:25) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount right tackle pushed ob at ARI 39 for 13 yards (20-D.Bucannon).
Q3 12:05 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +2.5%
Win probability: ARI 45.7%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 39
(12:05) 29-L.Blount right tackle to ARI 40 for -1 yards (44-M.Golden).
Q3 11:26 · NE 10–ARI 7
ARI +0.8%
Win probability: ARI 48.3%
NE2nd & 11 · ARI 40
(11:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 88-M.Bennett to ARI 36 for 4 yards (21-P.Peterson).
Q3 10:44 · NE 10–ARI 7
NE +9.3%
Win probability: NE 50.9%
NE3rd & 7 · ARI 36
(10:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 19-M.Mitchell to ARI 8 for 28 yards (36-D.Swearinger).
Q3 10:08 · NE 16–ARI 7
NE +6.9%
Win probability: NE 60.2%
NE1st & 8 · ARI 8
(10:08) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 67.1%
NEARI 15
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
Q3 · NE 17–ARI 7
+0.0%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 10:00 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 67.2%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 25
(10:00) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 84-J.Gresham to ARI 29 for 4 yards (23-P.Chung; 26-L.Ryan).
Q3 9:21 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +0.4%
Win probability: ARI 32.2%
ARI2nd & 6 · ARI 29
(9:21) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to ARI 34 for 5 yards (93-J.Sheard).
Q3 8:45 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +1.1%
Win probability: ARI 32.6%
ARI3rd & 1 · ARI 34
(8:45) 3-C.Palmer up the middle to ARI 35 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty).
Q3 7:58 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +3.4%
Win probability: NE 66.3%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 35
(7:58) 3-C.Palmer FUMBLES (Aborted) at ARI 33, and recovers at ARI 33. 3-C.Palmer to ARI 33 for no gain (93-J.Sheard).
Q3 7:19 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +2.0%
Win probability: NE 69.7%
ARI2nd & 12 · ARI 33
(7:19) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep middle to 12-J.Brown (21-M.Butler).
Q3 7:14 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +2.8%
Win probability: NE 71.7%
ARI3rd & 12 · ARI 33
(7:14) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald (26-L.Ryan).
Q3 7:08 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +3.9%
Win probability: ARI 25.5%
ARI4th & 12 · ARI 33
(7:08) 2-D.Butler punts 39 yards to NE 28, Center-86-K.Canaday, fair catch by 24-C.Jones.
Q3 7:01 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 70.6%
NE1st & 10 · NE 28
(7:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 19-M.Mitchell to NE 33 for 5 yards (26-B.Williams).
Q3 6:30 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +10.7%
Win probability: ARI 29.0%
NE2nd & 5 · NE 33
(6:30) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 33 for no gain (92-F.Rucker). FUMBLES (92-F.Rucker), RECOVERED by ARI-93-C.Campbell at NE 33. 93-C.Campbell to NE 33 for no gain (62-J.Thuney).
Q3 6:20 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +4.4%
Win probability: ARI 39.7%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 33
(6:20) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 84-J.Gresham pushed ob at NE 18 for 15 yards (21-M.Butler).
Q3 5:46 · NE 17–ARI 7
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 55.9%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 18
(5:46) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 31-D.Johnson.
Q3 5:41 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +5.7%
Win probability: ARI 42.3%
ARI2nd & 10 · NE 18
(5:41) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 4 for 14 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q3 4:58 · NE 17–ARI 7
ARI +1.4%
Win probability: ARI 48.0%
ARI1st & 4 · NE 4
(4:58) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 1 for 3 yards (95-C.Long).
Q3 4:33 · NE 17–ARI 13
ARI +2.4%
Win probability: ARI 49.4%
ARI2nd & 1 · NE 1
(4:33) (No Huddle) 31-D.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-21-M.Butler, Defensive 12 On-field, declined.
Q3 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +0.1%
Win probability: ARI 51.8%
ARINE 15
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.
Q3 · NE 17–ARI 14
+0.0%
NEARI 35
7-C.Catanzaro kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 4:29 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 48.1%
NE1st & 10 · NE 25
(4:29) 29-L.Blount left end to NE 28 for 3 yards (97-J.Mauro).
Q3 3:51 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +5.2%
Win probability: NE 49.3%
NE2nd & 7 · NE 28
(3:51) 11-J.Edelman right end to NE 37 for 9 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 3:05 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +0.2%
Win probability: ARI 45.4%
NE1st & 10 · NE 37
(3:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 15-C.Hogan to NE 41 for 4 yards (20-D.Bucannon).
Q3 2:29 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +3.0%
Win probability: ARI 45.6%
NE2nd & 6 · NE 41
(2:29) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 42 for 1 yard (22-T.Jefferson; 93-C.Campbell).
Q3 1:46 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +4.7%
Win probability: NE 51.4%
NE3rd & 5 · NE 42
(1:46) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 88-M.Bennett to NE 47 for 5 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q3 1:12 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 56.1%
NE1st & 10 · NE 47
(1:12) 29-L.Blount left end to NE 48 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell).
Q3 0:27 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +1.5%
Win probability: ARI 41.2%
NE2nd & 9 · NE 48
(:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 46 for 6 yards (51-K.Minter).
Q4 15:00 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +8.0%
Win probability: NE 57.2%
NE3rd & 3 · ARI 46
(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 15-C.Hogan [51-K.Minter]. PENALTY on ARI-51-K.Minter, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 46 - No Play.
Q4 14:57 · NE 17–ARI 14
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 65.2%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 31
(14:57) (Shotgun) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 30 for 1 yard (98-C.Peters; 55-C.Jones).
Q4 14:14 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +0.2%
Win probability: ARI 34.8%
NE2nd & 9 · ARI 30
(14:14) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 88-M.Bennett to ARI 25 for 5 yards (26-B.Williams).
Q4 13:27 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +0.5%
Win probability: ARI 35.0%
NE3rd & 4 · ARI 25
(13:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep right to 80-D.Amendola. Penalty on NE-61-M.Cannon, Offensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at ARI 25 - No Play. Penalty on ARI-27-T.Branch, Defensive Pass Interference, offsetting.
Q4 13:18 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +4.5%
Win probability: ARI 35.5%
NE3rd & 4 · ARI 25
(13:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to ARI 15 for 10 yards (26-B.Williams). PENALTY on NE-88-M.Bennett, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 25 - No Play.
Q4 12:50 · NE 17–ARI 14
ARI +4.8%
Win probability: ARI 40.0%
NE3rd & 14 · ARI 35
(12:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete deep left to 19-M.Mitchell.
Q4 12:40 · NE 20–ARI 14
NE +10.5%
Win probability: NE 55.2%
NE4th & 14 · ARI 35
(12:40) 3-S.Gostkowski 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
Q4 · NE 20–ARI 14
ARI +1.1%
Win probability: ARI 34.3%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 60 yards from NE 35 to ARI 5. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 21 for 16 yards (23-P.Chung).
Q4 12:29 · NE 20–ARI 14
NE +4.4%
Win probability: NE 64.6%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 21
(12:29) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-D.Johnson to ARI 26 for 5 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q4 11:49 · NE 20–ARI 14
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 31.0%
ARI2nd & 5 · ARI 26
(11:49) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 38-A.Ellington pushed ob at ARI 38 for 12 yards (91-J.Collins).
Q4 11:13 · NE 20–ARI 14
ARI +3.8%
Win probability: ARI 34.1%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 38
(11:13) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short left to 15-M.Floyd. PENALTY on NE-21-M.Butler, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 38 - No Play.
Q4 11:08 · NE 20–ARI 14
ARI +9.2%
Win probability: ARI 37.9%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 43
(11:08) 31-D.Johnson up the middle to NE 12 for 45 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q4 · NE 20–ARI 14
+0.0%
NE 12
Timeout #1 by ARI at 10:18.
Q4 10:18 · NE 20–ARI 14
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 52.9%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 12
(10:18) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 15-M.Floyd (21-M.Butler).
Q4 10:13 · NE 20–ARI 14
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 55.5%
ARI2nd & 10 · NE 12
(10:13) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 15-M.Floyd.
Q4 10:08 · NE 20–ARI 14
ARI +13.0%
Win probability: ARI 41.6%
ARI3rd & 10 · NE 12
(10:08) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 15-M.Floyd pushed ob at NE 1 for 11 yards (21-M.Butler).
Q4 9:51 · NE 20–ARI 20
ARI +10.4%
Win probability: ARI 54.6%
ARI1st & 1 · NE 1
(9:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +0.5%
Win probability: ARI 65.0%
ARINE 15
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler. PENALTY on NE-91-J.Collins, Leaping, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q4 · NE 20–ARI 21
+0.0%
NEMID 50
7-C.Catanzaro kicks 50 yards from 50 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 9:46 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +6.9%
Win probability: ARI 65.5%
NE1st & 10 · NE 25
(9:46) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at NE 20 for -5 yards (55-C.Jones).
Q4 9:07 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +3.1%
Win probability: ARI 72.4%
NE2nd & 15 · NE 20
(9:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 28-J.White.
Q4 9:04 · NE 20–ARI 21
NE +15.6%
Win probability: NE 24.5%
NE3rd & 15 · NE 20
(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 48 for 32 yards (27-T.Branch) [55-C.Jones].
Q4 8:23 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +6.5%
Win probability: ARI 59.9%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 48
(8:23) 29-L.Blount up the middle to NE 46 for -6 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q4 7:43 · NE 20–ARI 21
NE +9.6%
Win probability: NE 33.6%
NE2nd & 16 · NE 46
(7:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 41 for 13 yards (51-K.Minter).
Q4 6:58 · NE 20–ARI 21
NE +7.9%
Win probability: NE 43.2%
NE3rd & 3 · ARI 41
(6:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 28-J.White to ARI 34 for 7 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q4 6:21 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +3.6%
Win probability: ARI 48.9%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 34
(6:21) 29-L.Blount up the middle to ARI 35 for -1 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q4 5:39 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +4.0%
Win probability: ARI 52.4%
NE2nd & 11 · ARI 35
(5:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short right to 88-M.Bennett.
Q4 5:35 · NE 20–ARI 21
NE +12.4%
Win probability: NE 43.6%
NE3rd & 11 · ARI 35
(5:35) 29-L.Blount left tackle to ARI 22 for 13 yards (22-T.Jefferson).
Q4 4:45 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +7.1%
Win probability: ARI 44.0%
NE1st & 10 · ARI 22
(4:45) PENALTY on NE-10-J.Garoppolo, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ARI 22 - No Play.
Q4 4:45 · NE 20–ARI 21
NE +6.0%
Win probability: NE 48.9%
NE1st & 15 · ARI 27
(4:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 28-J.White to ARI 20 for 7 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q4 · NE 20–ARI 21
+0.0%
ARI 20
Timeout #2 by ARI at 04:37.
Q4 4:37 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +1.4%
Win probability: ARI 45.1%
NE2nd & 8 · ARI 20
(4:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 80-D.Amendola to ARI 17 for 3 yards (27-T.Branch).
Q4 4:33 · NE 20–ARI 21
ARI +9.3%
Win probability: ARI 46.5%
NE3rd & 5 · ARI 17
(4:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo scrambles right end to ARI 14 for 3 yards (20-D.Bucannon).
Q4 3:48 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +7.3%
Win probability: NE 44.1%
NE4th & 2 · ARI 14
(3:48) 3-S.Gostkowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
Q4 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +4.4%
Win probability: NE 51.5%
ARINE 35
3-S.Gostkowski kicks 62 yards from NE 35 to ARI 3. 38-A.Ellington to ARI 17 for 14 yards (43-N.Ebner). PENALTY on ARI-27-T.Branch, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at ARI 16.
Q4 3:38 · NE 23–ARI 21
ARI +5.1%
Win probability: ARI 44.1%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 8
(3:38) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 12-J.Brown to ARI 16 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung).
Q4 3:15 · NE 23–ARI 21
ARI +2.7%
Win probability: ARI 49.2%
ARI2nd & 2 · ARI 16
(3:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald to ARI 37 for 21 yards (30-D.Harmon).
Q4 2:47 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +3.2%
Win probability: NE 48.0%
ARI1st & 10 · ARI 37
(2:47) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short left to 13-Ja.Brown (22-J.Coleman).
Q4 2:42 · NE 23–ARI 21
ARI +9.4%
Win probability: ARI 48.8%
ARI2nd & 10 · ARI 37
(2:42) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 48 for 15 yards (26-L.Ryan).
Q4 2:15 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +4.3%
Win probability: NE 41.8%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 48
(2:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 15-M.Floyd (91-J.Collins).
Q4 2:11 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +1.3%
Win probability: NE 46.0%
ARI2nd & 10 · NE 48
(2:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 31-D.Johnson pushed ob at NE 44 for 4 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q4 2:06 · NE 23–ARI 21
ARI +13.7%
Win probability: ARI 52.7%
ARI3rd & 6 · NE 44
(2:06) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald to NE 34 for 10 yards (26-L.Ryan).
Q4 2:00 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +2.4%
Win probability: NE 33.5%
ARI1st & 10 · NE 34
(2:00) (Shotgun) 31-D.Johnson right tackle to NE 33 for 1 yard (54-D.Hightower).
Q4 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +10.8%
Win probability: NE 35.9%
NE 33
Timeout #1 by NE at 01:55.
Q4 1:55 · NE 23–ARI 21
+0.0%
ARI2nd & 9 · NE 33
(1:55) 3-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 12-J.Brown (22-J.Coleman). PENALTY on ARI-78-E.Watford, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 33 - No Play.
Q4 1:51 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +9.3%
Win probability: NE 46.7%
ARI2nd & 19 · NE 43
(1:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 38-A.Ellington to NE 47 for -4 yards (93-J.Sheard).
Q4 · NE 23–ARI 21
+0.0%
NE 47
Timeout #2 by NE at 01:10.
Q4 1:10 · NE 23–ARI 21
ARI +20.0%
Win probability: ARI 44.0%
ARI3rd & 23 · NE 47
(1:10) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown to NE 29 for 18 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q4 · NE 23–ARI 21
+0.0%
NE 29
Timeout #3 by NE at 00:41.
Q4 0:41 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +54.0%
Win probability: NE 36.0%
ARI4th & 5 · NE 29
(:41) 7-C.Catanzaro 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-K.Canaday, Holder-2-D.Butler.
Q4 0:36 · NE 23–ARI 21
NE +10.0%
Win probability: NE 90.0%
NE1st & 10 · NE 37
(:36) 10-J.Garoppolo kneels to NE 36 for -1 yards.