KC Kansas City Chiefs@BAL Baltimore Ravens
35–36 · Baltimore Ravens won
2021-09-19 · 2021 Regular Week 2
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 18.13 which ranks in the 93.3 percentile.
THRILLA
93percentile
Raw Score: 18.13
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.14, which ranks in the 62.6 percentile.
GEI
63percentile
Raw Score: 4.14
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Baltimore Ravens fell to a 4.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 4.38 which ranks in the 97.1 percentile.
Comeback
97percentile
Raw Score: 4.38
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 22.10 which ranks in the 94.4 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 14 × 0.5pts = 7pts
- Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
- Sacks: 1 × 0.1pts = 0.1pts
- Touchdowns: 10 × 1pts = 10pts
Total: 22.1pts
Learn more →Audience
94percentile
Raw Score: 22.10
Spread
KC -3.5
O/U 53.5
BAL
KC
Biggest Play
Q4 1:26 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +56.5%
Win probability: BAL 27.5%
(1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | KC 0–BAL 0 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q1 | 15:00 | KC 0–BAL 0 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to BAL 27 for 2 yards (54-N.Bolton). | KC +1.8% |
| Q1 | 14:25 | KC 0–BAL 0 | 2nd & 8 | BAL 27 | (14:25) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 5-M.Brown. | KC +2.4% |
| Q1 | 14:19 | KC 6–BAL 0 | 3rd & 8 | BAL 27 | (14:19) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at BAL 34. 32-T.Mathieu for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +10.8% |
| Q1 | — | KC 7–BAL 0 | — | BAL 15 | 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend. | KC +0.1% |
| Q1 | — | KC 7–BAL 0 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q1 | 14:10 | KC 7–BAL 0 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (14:10) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 31 for 6 yards (54-N.Bolton). | KC +0.3% |
| Q1 | 13:30 | KC 7–BAL 0 | 2nd & 4 | BAL 31 | (13:30) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to BAL 36 for 5 yards (95-C.Jones; 53-A.Hitchens). | BAL +3.7% |
| Q1 | 12:51 | KC 7–BAL 0 | 1st & 10 | BAL 36 | (12:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown to BAL 47 for 11 yards (38-L.Sneed). | KC +1.4% |
| Q1 | 12:10 | KC 7–BAL 0 | 1st & 10 | BAL 47 | (12:10) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 41 for 12 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 11:29 | KC 7–BAL 0 | 1st & 10 | KC 41 | (11:29) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman right end to KC 10 for 31 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +5.6% |
| Q1 | 10:42 | KC 7–BAL 6 | 1st & 10 | KC 10 | (10:42) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left end to KC 1 for 9 yards (21-M.Hughes; 49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (21-M.Hughes), recovered by BAL-13-D.Duvernay at KC 2. 13-D.Duvernay for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | BAL +5.8% |
| Q1 | — | KC 7–BAL 7 | — | KC 15 | 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch. | BAL +0.1% |
| Q1 | — | KC 7–BAL 7 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to KC 8. 13-B.Pringle to KC 16 for 8 yards (21-B.Stephens). PENALTY on KC-26-C.Lammons, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at KC 16. | BAL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 10:31 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 8 | (10:31) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 17 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen). | KC +0.3% |
| Q1 | 9:54 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 2nd & 1 | KC 17 | (9:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 23 for 6 yards (54-T.Bowser). | BAL +0.6% |
| Q1 | 9:23 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 23 | (9:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 30 for 7 yards (44-M.Humphrey). | KC +1.0% |
| Q1 | 8:51 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 2nd & 3 | KC 30 | (8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman ran ob at KC 49 for 19 yards (44-M.Humphrey). | KC +2.1% |
| Q1 | 8:17 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 49 | (8:17) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to 50 for 1 yard (21-B.Stephens; 40-M.Harrison). | BAL +0.3% |
| Q1 | 7:37 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 2nd & 9 | MID 50 | (7:37) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to BAL 43 for 7 yards (92-J.Madubuike). | KC +1.6% |
| Q1 | 6:54 | KC 7–BAL 7 | 3rd & 2 | BAL 43 | (6:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 33 for 10 yards (6-P.Queen). | KC +4.9% |
| Q1 | 6:12 | KC 13–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 33 | (6:12) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +6.0% |
| Q1 | — | KC 14–BAL 7 | — | BAL 15 | 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend. | KC +0.1% |
| Q1 | — | KC 14–BAL 7 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q1 | 6:05 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (6:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown ran ob at BAL 42 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +1.9% |
| Q1 | 5:35 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 42 | (5:35) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 49 for 7 yards (91-D.Nnadi). | BAL +0.3% |
| Q1 | 4:54 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 3 | BAL 49 | (4:54) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to 50 for 1 yard (55-F.Clark). | KC +0.1% |
| Q1 | 4:15 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 2 | MID 50 | (4:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end ran ob at KC 41 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | BAL +1.0% |
| Q1 | 3:38 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 41 | (3:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end ran ob at KC 32 for 9 yards (97-A.Okafor). | BAL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 2:57 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 1 | KC 32 | (2:57) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to KC 24 for 8 yards (38-L.Sneed). | BAL +2.8% |
| Q1 | 2:13 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 24 | (2:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Watkins. | KC +1.4% |
| Q1 | 2:08 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 10 | KC 24 | (2:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for -4 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | KC +4.4% |
| Q1 | 1:24 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 14 | KC 28 | (1:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 5-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC -2. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 14 for 16 yards (89-M.Andrews). | KC +3.6% |
| Q1 | 1:13 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 14 | (1:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 17-M.Hardman to KC 31 for 17 yards. | KC +1.6% |
| Q1 | 0:44 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 31 | (:44) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 45-M.Burton to KC 35 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 36-C.Clark). PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at KC 31 - No Play. | BAL +2.2% |
| Q1 | 0:18 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 20 | KC 21 | (:18) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 12 for -9 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 6. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [50-J.Houston]. PENALTY on KC-15-P.Mahomes, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at KC 21. | BAL +4.7% |
| Q1 | 0:12 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 38 | KC 3 | (:12) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 2 for -1 yards (50-J.Houston). | BAL +1.1% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 39 | KC 2 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 88-J.Fortson pushed ob at KC 13 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett). | KC +0.2% |
| Q2 | 14:33 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 4th & 28 | KC 13 | (14:33) 5-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 33, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-85-M.Kemp. | KC +4.8% |
| Q2 | 14:20 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 33 | (14:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left guard to BAL 33 for no gain (54-N.Bolton). | KC +1.3% |
| Q2 | 13:36 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 10 | BAL 33 | (13:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 40 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +1.4% |
| Q2 | 12:52 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 3 | BAL 40 | (12:52) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 40 for no gain (54-N.Bolton). | KC +2.5% |
| Q2 | 12:12 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 4th & 3 | BAL 40 | (12:12) 4-S.Koch punts 49 yards to KC 11, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-M.Hardman. | BAL +1.7% |
| Q2 | 12:05 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 11 | (12:05) 31-Da.Williams right guard to KC 12 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell). | BAL +1.0% |
| Q2 | 11:23 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 9 | KC 12 | (11:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 26 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison). | KC +1.2% |
| Q2 | 10:45 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 26 | (10:45) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to KC 29 for 3 yards (32-D.Elliott). | KC +1.0% |
| Q2 | 10:00 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 7 | KC 29 | (10:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 11-D.Robinson to KC 39 for 10 yards (49-C.Board). | KC +1.2% |
| Q2 | 9:20 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 39 | (9:20) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 17-M.Hardman (44-M.Humphrey). | BAL +1.0% |
| Q2 | 9:16 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 10 | KC 39 | (9:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 17-M.Hardman. | BAL +1.1% |
| Q2 | 9:11 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 10 | KC 39 | (9:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Robinson [32-D.Elliott]. | BAL +2.1% |
| Q2 | 9:03 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 4th & 10 | KC 39 | (9:03) 5-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to BAL 12, Center-41-J.Winchester. 13-D.Duvernay to BAL 28 for 16 yards (23-A.Watts). | KC +0.4% |
| Q2 | 8:52 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 28 | (8:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at BAL 49 for 21 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | BAL +1.7% |
| Q2 | 8:17 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | BAL 49 | (8:17) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 48 for 3 yards (53-A.Hitchens, 54-N.Bolton). | KC +0.5% |
| Q2 | 7:32 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 7 | KC 48 | (7:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | BAL +4.2% |
| Q2 | 6:46 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 28 | (6:46) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to KC 20 for 8 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | BAL +1.7% |
| Q2 | 6:09 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 2 | KC 20 | (6:09) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 16 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders; 49-D.Sorensen). | KC +0.1% |
| Q2 | 5:24 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 1st & 10 | KC 16 | (5:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown. | KC +1.8% |
| Q2 | 5:20 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 10 | KC 16 | (5:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to KC 13 for 3 yards (91-D.Nnadi). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 16 - No Play. | KC +1.2% |
| Q2 | 4:56 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 2nd & 15 | KC 21 | (4:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 12 for 9 yards (54-N.Bolton). | BAL +0.6% |
| Q2 | 4:14 | KC 14–BAL 7 | 3rd & 6 | KC 12 | (4:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 5 for 7 yards (54-N.Bolton). | BAL +6.0% |
| Q2 | 3:26 | KC 14–BAL 13 | 1st & 5 | KC 5 | (3:26) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | BAL +2.8% |
| Q2 | — | KC 14–BAL 14 | — | KC 15 | 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch. | BAL +0.4% |
| Q2 | — | KC 14–BAL 14 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to KC 0. 13-B.Pringle to KC 33 for 33 yards (23-A.Averett). | KC +2.8% |
| Q2 | 3:16 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | KC 33 | (3:16) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 42 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen, 54-T.Bowser). | KC +2.2% |
| Q2 | 2:42 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 2nd & 1 | KC 42 | (2:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 46 for 4 yards (32-D.Elliott). | BAL +2.6% |
| Q2 | 2:13 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | KC 46 | (2:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce ran ob at BAL 40 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison). | KC +2.5% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | BAL 40 | (2:00) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 81-B.Bell to BAL 20 for 20 yards (32-D.Elliott). BAL-32-D.Elliott was injured during the play. | KC +4.8% |
| Q2 | — | KC 14–BAL 14 | — | BAL 20 | Timeout #1 by BAL at 01:45. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 1:45 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | BAL 20 | (1:45) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to BAL 16 for 4 yards (93-C.Campbell; 49-C.Board). | BAL +1.6% |
| Q2 | 1:01 | KC 14–BAL 14 | 2nd & 6 | BAL 16 | (1:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon pushed ob at BAL 2 for 14 yards (6-P.Queen). | KC +4.7% |
| Q2 | 0:54 | KC 20–BAL 14 | 1st & 2 | BAL 2 | (:54) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +3.8% |
| Q2 | — | KC 21–BAL 14 | — | BAL 15 | 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend. | KC +0.1% |
| Q2 | — | KC 21–BAL 14 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:51 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 36 for 11 yards (27-R.Fenton). | BAL +1.6% |
| Q2 | — | KC 21–BAL 14 | — | BAL 36 | Timeout #2 by BAL at 00:47. | KC +1.7% |
| Q2 | 0:47 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | BAL 36 | (:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-5-M.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 36 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:47 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 15 | BAL 31 | (:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 34-T.Williams to BAL 35 for 4 yards (56-B.Niemann). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 31 - No Play. | KC +1.2% |
| Q2 | 0:40 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 25 | BAL 21 | (:40) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 41 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen; 98-T.Wharton). | KC +1.4% |
| Q2 | — | KC 21–BAL 14 | — | BAL 41 | Timeout #3 by BAL at 00:33. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:33 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 2nd & 5 | BAL 41 | (:33) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 47 for 12 yards (35-C.Ward). | BAL +1.3% |
| Q2 | 0:26 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | KC 47 | (:26) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right guard to KC 33 for 14 yards (56-B.Niemann). | BAL +2.8% |
| Q2 | 0:12 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 1st & 10 | KC 33 | (:12) (No Huddle) 8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock. | KC +0.7% |
| Q2 | 0:11 | KC 21–BAL 14 | 2nd & 10 | KC 33 | (:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 14-S.Watkins ran ob at KC 25 for 8 yards (27-R.Fenton). | BAL +2.4% |
| Q2 | 0:07 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 3rd & 2 | KC 25 | (:07) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch. | BAL +4.0% |
| Q2 | — | KC 21–BAL 17 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 55 yards from BAL 35 to KC 10. 17-M.Hardman to KC 13 for 3 yards. Lateral to 13-B.Pringle to KC 18 for 5 yards (26-G.Stone; 21-B.Stephens). | BAL +1.6% |
| Q3 | — | KC 21–BAL 17 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 48 yards from BAL 35 to KC 17. 45-M.Burton to KC 26 for 9 yards (49-C.Board). | KC +0.0% |
| Q3 | 14:55 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | KC 26 | (14:55) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 26 for no gain (92-J.Madubuike). PENALTY on BAL-92-J.Madubuike, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 26 - No Play. | KC +1.2% |
| Q3 | 14:38 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | KC 31 | (14:38) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 38 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen). | KC +0.6% |
| Q3 | 14:01 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 2nd & 3 | KC 38 | (14:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 43 for 5 yards (44-M.Humphrey). | KC +3.1% |
| Q3 | 13:25 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | KC 43 | (13:25) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 45-M.Burton to BAL 46 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett). | BAL +0.0% |
| Q3 | 12:46 | KC 21–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | BAL 46 | (12:46) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to BAL 40 for 6 yards (50-J.Houston). | KC +1.4% |
| Q3 | 12:01 | KC 27–BAL 17 | 2nd & 4 | BAL 40 | (12:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 13-B.Pringle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +9.0% |
| Q3 | — | KC 28–BAL 17 | — | BAL 15 | 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend. | KC +0.1% |
| Q3 | — | KC 28–BAL 17 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 11:53 | KC 28–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (11:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 48 for 27 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +2.9% |
| Q3 | 11:12 | KC 28–BAL 17 | 1st & 10 | KC 48 | (11:12) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 42 for 6 yards (55-F.Clark; 54-N.Bolton). PENALTY on BAL-72-B.Powers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 48 - No Play. | KC +1.6% |
| Q3 | 10:45 | KC 28–BAL 17 | 1st & 20 | BAL 42 | (10:45) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to BAL 38 for -4 yards (55-F.Clark). | KC +1.5% |
| Q3 | 10:05 | KC 28–BAL 17 | 2nd & 24 | BAL 38 | (10:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 42 for 20 yards (32-T.Mathieu). | BAL +0.7% |
| Q3 | 9:39 | KC 28–BAL 23 | 3rd & 4 | KC 42 | (9:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | BAL +15.2% |
| Q3 | — | KC 28–BAL 24 | — | KC 15 | 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch. | BAL +0.2% |
| Q3 | — | KC 28–BAL 24 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 9:30 | KC 28–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | KC 25 | (9:30) 10-T.Hill right end pushed ob at KC 40 for 15 yards (36-C.Clark). End around | KC +2.1% |
| Q3 | 9:03 | KC 28–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | KC 40 | (9:03) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 41 for 1 yard (99-O.Oweh, 54-T.Bowser). | KC +0.1% |
| Q3 | 8:20 | KC 28–BAL 24 | 2nd & 9 | KC 41 | (8:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 17-M.Hardman to KC 46 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 23-A.Averett). | KC +0.0% |
| Q3 | 7:37 | KC 28–BAL 24 | 3rd & 4 | KC 46 | (7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (6-P.Queen). PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 49. | KC +2.7% |
| Q3 | 7:14 | KC 28–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | BAL 46 | (7:14) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to 17-M.Hardman. | BAL +1.0% |
| Q3 | 7:07 | KC 34–BAL 24 | 2nd & 10 | BAL 46 | (7:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +12.2% |
| Q3 | — | KC 35–BAL 24 | — | BAL 15 | 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend. | KC +0.2% |
| Q3 | — | KC 35–BAL 24 | — | KC 35 | 7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 6:50 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | BAL 25 | (6:50) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 28 for 3 yards (99-K.Saunders). | KC +0.7% |
| Q3 | 6:09 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 2nd & 7 | BAL 28 | (6:09) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 26 for -2 yards (38-L.Sneed). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 28 - No Play. | BAL +0.8% |
| Q3 | 5:44 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | BAL 33 | (5:44) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 37 for 4 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 99-K.Saunders). | KC +0.0% |
| Q3 | 5:03 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 2nd & 6 | BAL 37 | (5:03) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman left end to BAL 35 for -2 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | KC +2.7% |
| Q3 | 4:22 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 3rd & 8 | BAL 35 | (4:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 26 for -9 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | KC +2.7% |
| Q3 | 3:35 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 4th & 17 | BAL 26 | (3:35) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to KC 28 for no gain (38-K.Seymour). PENALTY on BAL-46-N.Moore, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 26 - No Play. | KC +0.2% |
| Q3 | 3:24 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 4th & 27 | BAL 16 | (3:24) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 38, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to BAL 49 for 13 yards (54-T.Bowser). | BAL +0.9% |
| Q3 | 3:14 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | BAL 49 | (3:14) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams up the middle to KC 46 for -5 yards (92-J.Madubuike). | BAL +0.9% |
| Q3 | 2:35 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 2nd & 15 | KC 46 | (2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (44-M.Humphrey). | KC +0.3% |
| Q3 | — | KC 35–BAL 24 | — | KC 49 | Timeout #1 by BAL at 02:09. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 2:09 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 3rd & 12 | KC 49 | (2:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Young [99-O.Oweh] at BAL 44. 25-T.Young to BAL 44 for no gain (87-T.Kelce). | BAL +4.6% |
| Q3 | 2:01 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | BAL 44 | (2:01) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end to KC 36 for 20 yards (35-C.Ward). | BAL +2.5% |
| Q3 | — | KC 35–BAL 24 | — | KC 36 | Timeout #2 by BAL at 01:16. | +0.0% |
| Q3 | 1:16 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | KC 36 | (1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 17 for 19 yards (38-L.Sneed). | BAL +1.7% |
| Q3 | 0:33 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 1st & 10 | KC 17 | (:33) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 11 for 6 yards (90-J.Reed). | BAL +0.6% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | KC 35–BAL 24 | 2nd & 4 | KC 11 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 84-J.Oliver to KC 2 for 9 yards (56-B.Niemann). | BAL +4.6% |
| Q4 | 14:21 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 2 | KC 2 | (14:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | KC +0.4% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 30 | — | KC 2 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on BAL-70-K.Zeitler, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at KC 2 - No Play. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 30 | — | KC 7 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 53-A.Hitchens intercepted the try attempt. ATTEMPT FAILS. | KC +1.8% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 30 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 67 yards from BAL 35 to KC -2. 21-M.Hughes to KC 23 for 25 yards (49-C.Board). | BAL +0.8% |
| Q4 | 14:08 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 23 | (14:08) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 27 for 4 yards (90-P.McPhee). | KC +0.0% |
| Q4 | 13:27 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 6 | KC 27 | (13:27) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 35 for 8 yards (6-P.Queen). | KC +1.9% |
| Q4 | 12:51 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 35 | (12:51) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 33 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh, 71-J.Ellis). | BAL +1.9% |
| Q4 | 12:12 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 12 | KC 33 | (12:12) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 11-D.Robinson to KC 36 for 3 yards (23-A.Averett). | KC +0.4% |
| Q4 | 11:28 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 3rd & 9 | KC 36 | (11:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 10-T.Hill (23-A.Averett). | BAL +3.7% |
| Q4 | 11:23 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 4th & 9 | KC 36 | (11:23) 5-T.Townsend punts 32 yards to BAL 32, Center-41-J.Winchester, out of bounds. | BAL +3.7% |
| Q4 | 11:16 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | BAL 32 | (11:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 40 for 8 yards (54-N.Bolton). | BAL +1.1% |
| Q4 | 10:31 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 2 | BAL 40 | (10:31) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 45 for 5 yards (90-J.Reed). | BAL +1.4% |
| Q4 | 9:51 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | BAL 45 | (9:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 14-S.Watkins. | KC +2.2% |
| Q4 | 9:47 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 10 | BAL 45 | (9:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 46 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | KC +0.1% |
| Q4 | 9:10 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 3rd & 1 | KC 46 | (9:10) 42-P.Ricard right guard to KC 44 for 2 yards (95-C.Jones). | BAL +3.0% |
| Q4 | 8:29 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 44 | (8:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at 50 for -6 yards (35-C.Ward). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at KC 44 - No Play. | BAL +1.6% |
| Q4 | 8:06 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 39 | (8:06) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 29 for 10 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | BAL +3.7% |
| Q4 | 7:32 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 29 | (7:32) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end pushed ob at KC 28 for 1 yard (49-D.Sorensen). | KC +1.0% |
| Q4 | 6:59 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 9 | KC 28 | (6:59) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 17 for 11 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 35-C.Ward). | BAL +7.6% |
| Q4 | 6:15 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 10 | KC 17 | (6:15) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 12 for 5 yards (56-B.Niemann). | BAL +0.7% |
| Q4 | 5:36 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 5 | KC 12 | (5:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown (32-T.Mathieu). | KC +4.1% |
| Q4 | 5:31 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 3rd & 5 | KC 12 | (5:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 3 for 9 yards (35-C.Ward). | BAL +12.7% |
| Q4 | 4:46 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 1st & 3 | KC 3 | (4:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 4 for -1 yards (54-N.Bolton, 53-A.Hitchens). | KC +7.2% |
| Q4 | 4:03 | KC 35–BAL 30 | 2nd & 4 | KC 4 | (4:03) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 1 for 3 yards (49-D.Sorensen). | KC +0.4% |
| Q4 | 3:18 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 3rd & 1 | KC 1 | (3:18) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. | BAL +12.1% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 36 | — | KC 2 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. | KC +6.6% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 36 | — | BAL 35 | 9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 3:14 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 1st & 10 | KC 25 | (3:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 13-B.Pringle to KC 48 for 23 yards (36-C.Clark). | KC +6.0% |
| Q4 | 2:35 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 1st & 10 | KC 48 | (2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 39 for 13 yards (49-C.Board). | KC +10.1% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 1st & 10 | BAL 39 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 32 for 7 yards (54-T.Bowser). | KC +4.7% |
| Q4 | 1:26 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 2nd & 3 | BAL 32 | (1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34. | BAL +56.5% |
| Q4 | 1:20 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 1st & 10 | BAL 34 | (1:20) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left tackle to BAL 35 for 1 yard (53-A.Hitchens). | KC +0.9% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 36 | — | BAL 35 | Timeout #1 by KC at 01:16. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 1:16 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 2nd & 9 | BAL 35 | (1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to BAL 37 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | KC +1.4% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 36 | — | BAL 37 | Timeout #2 by KC at 01:11. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 1:11 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 3rd & 7 | BAL 37 | (1:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 43 for 6 yards (21-M.Hughes). | BAL +0.5% |
| Q4 | — | KC 35–BAL 36 | — | BAL 43 | Timeout #3 by KC at 01:05. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 1:05 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 4th & 1 | BAL 43 | (1:05) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 45 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens). | BAL +10.7% |
| Q4 | 0:19 | KC 35–BAL 36 | 1st & 10 | BAL 45 | (:19) 8-L.Jackson kneels to BAL 44 for -1 yards. | — |
Q1 · KC 0–BAL 0
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 15:00 · KC 0–BAL 0
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 65.2%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to BAL 27 for 2 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q1 14:25 · KC 0–BAL 0
KC +2.4%
Win probability: KC 67.0%
(14:25) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 5-M.Brown.
Q1 14:19 · KC 6–BAL 0
KC +10.8%
Win probability: KC 69.4%
(14:19) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at BAL 34. 32-T.Mathieu for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 80.2%
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 0
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 14:10 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 80.3%
(14:10) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 31 for 6 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q1 13:30 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 19.4%
(13:30) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to BAL 36 for 5 yards (95-C.Jones; 53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 12:51 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 76.9%
(12:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown to BAL 47 for 11 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q1 12:10 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 21.7%
(12:10) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 41 for 12 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 11:29 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +5.6%
Win probability: BAL 22.9%
(11:29) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman right end to KC 10 for 31 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 10:42 · KC 7–BAL 6
BAL +5.8%
Win probability: BAL 28.4%
(10:42) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left end to KC 1 for 9 yards (21-M.Hughes; 49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (21-M.Hughes), recovered by BAL-13-D.Duvernay at KC 2. 13-D.Duvernay for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.1%
Win probability: BAL 34.2%
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 34.4%
9-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to KC 8. 13-B.Pringle to KC 16 for 8 yards (21-B.Stephens). PENALTY on KC-26-C.Lammons, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at KC 16.
Q1 10:31 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 64.4%
(10:31) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 17 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q1 9:54 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 35.4%
(9:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 23 for 6 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q1 9:23 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 64.0%
(9:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 30 for 7 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q1 8:51 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +2.1%
Win probability: KC 65.0%
(8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman ran ob at KC 49 for 19 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q1 8:17 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.3%
Win probability: BAL 32.9%
(8:17) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to 50 for 1 yard (21-B.Stephens; 40-M.Harrison).
Q1 7:37 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 66.8%
(7:37) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to BAL 43 for 7 yards (92-J.Madubuike).
Q1 6:54 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +4.9%
Win probability: KC 68.4%
(6:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 33 for 10 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q1 6:12 · KC 13–BAL 7
KC +6.0%
Win probability: KC 73.3%
(6:12) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 79.3%
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q1 · KC 14–BAL 7
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 6:05 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.9%
Win probability: BAL 20.6%
(6:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown ran ob at BAL 42 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 5:35 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +0.3%
Win probability: BAL 22.5%
(5:35) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 49 for 7 yards (91-D.Nnadi).
Q1 4:54 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 77.2%
(4:54) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to 50 for 1 yard (55-F.Clark).
Q1 4:15 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 22.7%
(4:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end ran ob at KC 41 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 3:38 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 23.6%
(3:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end ran ob at KC 32 for 9 yards (97-A.Okafor).
Q1 2:57 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 24.8%
(2:57) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to KC 24 for 8 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q1 2:13 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 72.5%
(2:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Watkins.
Q1 2:08 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +4.4%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
(2:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for -4 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 1:24 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +3.6%
Win probability: KC 78.3%
(1:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 5-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC -2. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 14 for 16 yards (89-M.Andrews).
Q1 1:13 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 81.8%
(1:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 17-M.Hardman to KC 31 for 17 yards.
Q1 0:44 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.2%
Win probability: BAL 16.6%
(:44) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 45-M.Burton to KC 35 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 36-C.Clark). PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at KC 31 - No Play.
Q1 0:18 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +4.7%
Win probability: BAL 18.8%
(:18) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 12 for -9 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 6. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [50-J.Houston]. PENALTY on KC-15-P.Mahomes, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at KC 21.
Q1 0:12 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 23.5%
(:12) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 2 for -1 yards (50-J.Houston).
Q2 15:00 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 75.4%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 88-J.Fortson pushed ob at KC 13 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q2 14:33 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +4.8%
Win probability: KC 75.7%
(14:33) 5-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 33, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-85-M.Kemp.
Q2 14:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.3%
Win probability: KC 80.5%
(14:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left guard to BAL 33 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 13:36 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.4%
Win probability: BAL 18.2%
(13:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 40 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q2 12:52 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +2.5%
Win probability: KC 80.4%
(12:52) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 40 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 12:12 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 17.1%
(12:12) 4-S.Koch punts 49 yards to KC 11, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-M.Hardman.
Q2 12:05 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 18.8%
(12:05) 31-Da.Williams right guard to KC 12 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell).
Q2 11:23 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 80.2%
(11:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 26 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).
Q2 10:45 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 81.3%
(10:45) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to KC 29 for 3 yards (32-D.Elliott).
Q2 10:00 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 82.3%
(10:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 11-D.Robinson to KC 39 for 10 yards (49-C.Board).
Q2 9:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 16.5%
(9:20) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 17-M.Hardman (44-M.Humphrey).
Q2 9:16 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 17.5%
(9:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 17-M.Hardman.
Q2 9:11 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.1%
Win probability: BAL 18.5%
(9:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Robinson [32-D.Elliott].
Q2 9:03 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 79.4%
(9:03) 5-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to BAL 12, Center-41-J.Winchester. 13-D.Duvernay to BAL 28 for 16 yards (23-A.Watts).
Q2 8:52 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 20.2%
(8:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at BAL 49 for 21 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q2 8:17 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.5%
Win probability: KC 78.1%
(8:17) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 48 for 3 yards (53-A.Hitchens, 54-N.Bolton).
Q2 7:32 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +4.2%
Win probability: BAL 21.4%
(7:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 6:46 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 25.7%
(6:46) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to KC 20 for 8 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 6:09 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 72.6%
(6:09) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 16 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders; 49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 5:24 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 72.7%
(5:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown.
Q2 5:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 74.5%
(5:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to KC 13 for 3 yards (91-D.Nnadi). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 16 - No Play.
Q2 4:56 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.3%
(4:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 12 for 9 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 4:14 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +6.0%
Win probability: BAL 24.9%
(4:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 5 for 7 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 3:26 · KC 14–BAL 13
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 30.9%
(3:26) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +0.4%
Win probability: BAL 33.7%
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.8%
Win probability: KC 65.8%
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to KC 0. 13-B.Pringle to KC 33 for 33 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q2 3:16 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.2%
Win probability: KC 68.6%
(3:16) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 42 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen, 54-T.Bowser).
Q2 2:42 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +2.6%
Win probability: BAL 29.2%
(2:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 46 for 4 yards (32-D.Elliott).
Q2 2:13 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.5%
Win probability: KC 68.2%
(2:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce ran ob at BAL 40 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).
Q2 2:00 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +4.8%
Win probability: KC 70.7%
(2:00) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 81-B.Bell to BAL 20 for 20 yards (32-D.Elliott). BAL-32-D.Elliott was injured during the play.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by BAL at 01:45.
Q2 1:45 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.5%
(1:45) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to BAL 16 for 4 yards (93-C.Campbell; 49-C.Board).
Q2 1:01 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +4.7%
Win probability: KC 73.9%
(1:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon pushed ob at BAL 2 for 14 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q2 0:54 · KC 20–BAL 14
KC +3.8%
Win probability: KC 78.6%
(:54) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 82.4%
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 0:51 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 17.5%
(:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 36 for 11 yards (27-R.Fenton).
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.7%
Win probability: KC 80.9%
Timeout #2 by BAL at 00:47.
Q2 0:47 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
(:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-5-M.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 36 - No Play.
Q2 0:47 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 82.7%
(:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 34-T.Williams to BAL 35 for 4 yards (56-B.Niemann). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 31 - No Play.
Q2 0:40 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 83.8%
(:40) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 41 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen; 98-T.Wharton).
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by BAL at 00:33.
Q2 0:33 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +1.3%
Win probability: BAL 14.8%
(:33) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 47 for 12 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q2 0:26 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 16.1%
(:26) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right guard to KC 33 for 14 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q2 0:12 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +0.7%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
(:12) (No Huddle) 8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q2 0:11 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +2.4%
Win probability: BAL 18.2%
(:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 14-S.Watkins ran ob at KC 25 for 8 yards (27-R.Fenton).
Q2 0:07 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +4.0%
Win probability: BAL 20.6%
(:07) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.6%
9-J.Tucker kicks 55 yards from BAL 35 to KC 10. 17-M.Hardman to KC 13 for 3 yards. Lateral to 13-B.Pringle to KC 18 for 5 yards (26-G.Stone; 21-B.Stephens).
Q3 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 73.7%
9-J.Tucker kicks 48 yards from BAL 35 to KC 17. 45-M.Burton to KC 26 for 9 yards (49-C.Board).
Q3 14:55 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
(14:55) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 26 for no gain (92-J.Madubuike). PENALTY on BAL-92-J.Madubuike, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 26 - No Play.
Q3 14:38 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +0.6%
Win probability: KC 74.9%
(14:38) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 38 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q3 14:01 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +3.1%
Win probability: KC 75.5%
(14:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 43 for 5 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q3 13:25 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +0.0%
Win probability: BAL 21.4%
(13:25) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 45-M.Burton to BAL 46 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q3 12:46 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 78.6%
(12:46) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to BAL 40 for 6 yards (50-J.Houston).
Q3 12:01 · KC 27–BAL 17
KC +9.0%
Win probability: KC 80.0%
(12:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 13-B.Pringle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 89.0%
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 17
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 11:53 · KC 28–BAL 17
BAL +2.9%
Win probability: BAL 10.9%
(11:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 48 for 27 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 11:12 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 86.2%
(11:12) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 42 for 6 yards (55-F.Clark; 54-N.Bolton). PENALTY on BAL-72-B.Powers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 48 - No Play.
Q3 10:45 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +1.5%
Win probability: KC 87.9%
(10:45) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to BAL 38 for -4 yards (55-F.Clark).
Q3 10:05 · KC 28–BAL 17
BAL +0.7%
Win probability: BAL 10.6%
(10:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 42 for 20 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 9:39 · KC 28–BAL 23
BAL +15.2%
Win probability: BAL 11.2%
(9:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 24
BAL +0.2%
Win probability: BAL 26.5%
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 24
+0.0%
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 9:30 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +2.1%
Win probability: KC 73.3%
(9:30) 10-T.Hill right end pushed ob at KC 40 for 15 yards (36-C.Clark). End around
Q3 9:03 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 75.4%
(9:03) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 41 for 1 yard (99-O.Oweh, 54-T.Bowser).
Q3 8:20 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 75.6%
(8:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 17-M.Hardman to KC 46 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 23-A.Averett).
Q3 7:37 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 75.6%
(7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (6-P.Queen). PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 49.
Q3 7:14 · KC 28–BAL 24
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 21.7%
(7:14) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to 17-M.Hardman.
Q3 7:07 · KC 34–BAL 24
KC +12.2%
Win probability: KC 77.3%
(7:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 89.5%
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 6:50 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.7%
Win probability: KC 89.7%
(6:50) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 28 for 3 yards (99-K.Saunders).
Q3 6:09 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.8%
Win probability: BAL 9.6%
(6:09) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 26 for -2 yards (38-L.Sneed). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 28 - No Play.
Q3 5:44 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 89.6%
(5:44) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 37 for 4 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 99-K.Saunders).
Q3 5:03 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 89.6%
(5:03) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman left end to BAL 35 for -2 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q3 4:22 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 92.3%
(4:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 26 for -9 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q3 3:35 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 95.0%
(3:35) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to KC 28 for no gain (38-K.Seymour). PENALTY on BAL-46-N.Moore, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 26 - No Play.
Q3 3:24 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.9%
Win probability: BAL 4.8%
(3:24) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 38, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to BAL 49 for 13 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q3 3:14 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.9%
Win probability: BAL 5.7%
(3:14) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams up the middle to KC 46 for -5 yards (92-J.Madubuike).
Q3 2:35 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 93.4%
(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by BAL at 02:09.
Q3 2:09 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +4.6%
Win probability: BAL 6.3%
(2:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Young [99-O.Oweh] at BAL 44. 25-T.Young to BAL 44 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).
Q3 2:01 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +2.5%
Win probability: BAL 10.9%
(2:01) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end to KC 36 for 20 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by BAL at 01:16.
Q3 1:16 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 13.4%
(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 17 for 19 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q3 0:33 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 15.1%
(:33) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 11 for 6 yards (90-J.Reed).
Q4 15:00 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +4.6%
Win probability: BAL 15.7%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 84-J.Oliver to KC 2 for 9 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q4 14:21 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 79.7%
(14:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
+0.0%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on BAL-70-K.Zeitler, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at KC 2 - No Play.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 80.1%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 53-A.Hitchens intercepted the try attempt. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +0.8%
Win probability: BAL 18.1%
9-J.Tucker kicks 67 yards from BAL 35 to KC -2. 21-M.Hughes to KC 23 for 25 yards (49-C.Board).
Q4 14:08 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
(14:08) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 27 for 4 yards (90-P.McPhee).
Q4 13:27 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.9%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
(13:27) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 35 for 8 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q4 12:51 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.9%
Win probability: BAL 17.0%
(12:51) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 33 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh, 71-J.Ellis).
Q4 12:12 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
(12:12) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 11-D.Robinson to KC 36 for 3 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q4 11:28 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 18.5%
(11:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 10-T.Hill (23-A.Averett).
Q4 11:23 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 22.2%
(11:23) 5-T.Townsend punts 32 yards to BAL 32, Center-41-J.Winchester, out of bounds.
Q4 11:16 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 25.9%
(11:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 40 for 8 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q4 10:31 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.4%
Win probability: BAL 27.1%
(10:31) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 45 for 5 yards (90-J.Reed).
Q4 9:51 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +2.2%
Win probability: KC 71.6%
(9:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 14-S.Watkins.
Q4 9:47 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
(9:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 46 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 9:10 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.0%
Win probability: BAL 26.1%
(9:10) 42-P.Ricard right guard to KC 44 for 2 yards (95-C.Jones).
Q4 8:29 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 29.1%
(8:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at 50 for -6 yards (35-C.Ward). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at KC 44 - No Play.
Q4 8:06 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 30.7%
(8:06) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 29 for 10 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 7:32 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 65.5%
(7:32) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end pushed ob at KC 28 for 1 yard (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 6:59 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +7.6%
Win probability: BAL 33.5%
(6:59) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 17 for 11 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 35-C.Ward).
Q4 6:15 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +0.7%
Win probability: BAL 41.0%
(6:15) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 12 for 5 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q4 5:36 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +4.1%
Win probability: KC 58.3%
(5:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown (32-T.Mathieu).
Q4 5:31 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +12.7%
Win probability: BAL 37.6%
(5:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 3 for 9 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q4 4:46 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +7.2%
Win probability: KC 49.7%
(4:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 4 for -1 yards (54-N.Bolton, 53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 4:03 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 56.9%
(4:03) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 1 for 3 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 3:18 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +12.1%
Win probability: BAL 42.7%
(3:18) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +6.6%
Win probability: KC 45.2%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 3:14 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +6.0%
Win probability: KC 51.8%
(3:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 13-B.Pringle to KC 48 for 23 yards (36-C.Clark).
Q4 2:35 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +10.1%
Win probability: KC 57.8%
(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 39 for 13 yards (49-C.Board).
Q4 2:00 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +4.7%
Win probability: KC 67.9%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 32 for 7 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q4 1:26 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +56.5%
Win probability: BAL 27.5%
(1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.
Q4 1:20 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +0.9%
Win probability: KC 16.0%
(1:20) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left tackle to BAL 35 for 1 yard (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by KC at 01:16.
Q4 1:16 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 16.9%
(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to BAL 37 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by KC at 01:11.
Q4 1:11 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +0.5%
Win probability: BAL 81.6%
(1:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 43 for 6 yards (21-M.Hughes).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by KC at 01:05.
Q4 1:05 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +10.7%
Win probability: BAL 82.1%
(1:05) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 45 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 0:19 · KC 35–BAL 36
(:19) 8-L.Jackson kneels to BAL 44 for -1 yards.