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KC Kansas City Chiefs@BAL Baltimore Ravens

35–36 · Baltimore Ravens won
2021-09-19 · Regular Week 2
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i
Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 18.44 which ranks in the 93.7 percentile.
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THRILLA
94percentile
Raw Score: 18.44
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.21, which ranks in the 64.0 percentile.
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GEI
64percentile
Raw Score: 4.21
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Baltimore Ravens fell to a 4.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 4.38 which ranks in the 97.1 percentile.
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Comeback
97percentile
Raw Score: 4.38
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 22.10 which ranks in the 94.3 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 14 × 0.5pts = 7pts
  • Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
  • Sacks: 1 × 0.1pts = 0.1pts
  • Touchdowns: 10 × 1pts = 10pts
Total: 22.1pts
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Audience
94percentile
Raw Score: 22.10
Spread
KC -3.5
O/U 53.5
BAL
KC
Biggest Play
Q4 1:26 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +56.5%
Win probability: BAL 27.5%
KC2nd & 3 · BAL 32
(1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.
Game Log
QtrClockScorePoss.Down & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—KC 0–BAL 0BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q115:00KC 0–BAL 0BAL1st & 10BAL 25(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to BAL 27 for 2 yards (54-N.Bolton).KC +1.8%
Q114:25KC 0–BAL 0BAL2nd & 8BAL 27(14:25) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 5-M.Brown.KC +2.4%
Q114:19KC 6–BAL 0BAL3rd & 8BAL 27(14:19) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at BAL 34. 32-T.Mathieu for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +10.8%
Q1—KC 7–BAL 0KC—BAL 157-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.KC +0.1%
Q1—KC 7–BAL 0BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q114:10KC 7–BAL 0BAL1st & 10BAL 25(14:10) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 31 for 6 yards (54-N.Bolton).KC +0.3%
Q113:30KC 7–BAL 0BAL2nd & 4BAL 31(13:30) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to BAL 36 for 5 yards (95-C.Jones; 53-A.Hitchens).BAL +3.7%
Q112:51KC 7–BAL 0BAL1st & 10BAL 36(12:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown to BAL 47 for 11 yards (38-L.Sneed).KC +1.4%
Q112:10KC 7–BAL 0BAL1st & 10BAL 47(12:10) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 41 for 12 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +1.2%
Q111:29KC 7–BAL 0BAL1st & 10KC 41(11:29) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman right end to KC 10 for 31 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +5.6%
Q110:42KC 7–BAL 6BAL1st & 10KC 10(10:42) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left end to KC 1 for 9 yards (21-M.Hughes; 49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (21-M.Hughes), recovered by BAL-13-D.Duvernay at KC 2. 13-D.Duvernay for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BAL +5.8%
Q1—KC 7–BAL 7BAL—KC 159-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.BAL +0.1%
Q1—KC 7–BAL 7KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to KC 8. 13-B.Pringle to KC 16 for 8 yards (21-B.Stephens). PENALTY on KC-26-C.Lammons, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at KC 16.BAL +1.2%
Q110:31KC 7–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 8(10:31) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 17 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen).KC +0.3%
Q19:54KC 7–BAL 7KC2nd & 1KC 17(9:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 23 for 6 yards (54-T.Bowser).BAL +0.6%
Q19:23KC 7–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 23(9:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 30 for 7 yards (44-M.Humphrey).KC +1.0%
Q18:51KC 7–BAL 7KC2nd & 3KC 30(8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman ran ob at KC 49 for 19 yards (44-M.Humphrey).KC +2.1%
Q18:17KC 7–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 49(8:17) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to 50 for 1 yard (21-B.Stephens; 40-M.Harrison).BAL +0.3%
Q17:37KC 7–BAL 7KC2nd & 9MID 50(7:37) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to BAL 43 for 7 yards (92-J.Madubuike).KC +1.6%
Q16:54KC 7–BAL 7KC3rd & 2BAL 43(6:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 33 for 10 yards (6-P.Queen).KC +4.9%
Q16:12KC 13–BAL 7KC1st & 10BAL 33(6:12) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +6.0%
Q1—KC 14–BAL 7KC—BAL 157-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.KC +0.1%
Q1—KC 14–BAL 7BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q16:05KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10BAL 25(6:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown ran ob at BAL 42 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +1.9%
Q15:35KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10BAL 42(5:35) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 49 for 7 yards (91-D.Nnadi).BAL +0.3%
Q14:54KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 3BAL 49(4:54) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to 50 for 1 yard (55-F.Clark).KC +0.1%
Q14:15KC 14–BAL 7BAL3rd & 2MID 50(4:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end ran ob at KC 41 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).BAL +1.0%
Q13:38KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10KC 41(3:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end ran ob at KC 32 for 9 yards (97-A.Okafor).BAL +1.2%
Q12:57KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 1KC 32(2:57) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to KC 24 for 8 yards (38-L.Sneed).BAL +2.8%
Q12:13KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10KC 24(2:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Watkins.KC +1.4%
Q12:08KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 10KC 24(2:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for -4 yards (53-A.Hitchens).KC +4.4%
Q11:24KC 14–BAL 7BAL3rd & 14KC 28(1:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 5-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC -2. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 14 for 16 yards (89-M.Andrews).KC +3.6%
Q11:13KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 14(1:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 17-M.Hardman to KC 31 for 17 yards.KC +1.6%
Q10:44KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 31(:44) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 45-M.Burton to KC 35 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 36-C.Clark). PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at KC 31 - No Play.BAL +2.2%
Q10:18KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 20KC 21(:18) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 12 for -9 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 6. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [50-J.Houston]. PENALTY on KC-15-P.Mahomes, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at KC 21.BAL +4.7%
Q10:12KC 14–BAL 7KC2nd & 38KC 3(:12) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 2 for -1 yards (50-J.Houston).BAL +1.1%
Q215:00KC 14–BAL 7KC3rd & 39KC 2(15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 88-J.Fortson pushed ob at KC 13 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).KC +0.2%
Q214:33KC 14–BAL 7KC4th & 28KC 13(14:33) 5-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 33, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-85-M.Kemp.KC +4.8%
Q214:20KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10BAL 33(14:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left guard to BAL 33 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).KC +1.3%
Q213:36KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 10BAL 33(13:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 40 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +1.4%
Q212:52KC 14–BAL 7BAL3rd & 3BAL 40(12:52) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 40 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).KC +2.5%
Q212:12KC 14–BAL 7BAL4th & 3BAL 40(12:12) 4-S.Koch punts 49 yards to KC 11, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-M.Hardman.BAL +1.7%
Q212:05KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 11(12:05) 31-Da.Williams right guard to KC 12 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell).BAL +1.0%
Q211:23KC 14–BAL 7KC2nd & 9KC 12(11:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 26 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).KC +1.2%
Q210:45KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 26(10:45) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to KC 29 for 3 yards (32-D.Elliott).KC +1.0%
Q210:00KC 14–BAL 7KC2nd & 7KC 29(10:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 11-D.Robinson to KC 39 for 10 yards (49-C.Board).KC +1.2%
Q29:20KC 14–BAL 7KC1st & 10KC 39(9:20) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 17-M.Hardman (44-M.Humphrey).BAL +1.0%
Q29:16KC 14–BAL 7KC2nd & 10KC 39(9:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 17-M.Hardman.BAL +1.1%
Q29:11KC 14–BAL 7KC3rd & 10KC 39(9:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Robinson [32-D.Elliott].BAL +2.1%
Q29:03KC 14–BAL 7KC4th & 10KC 39(9:03) 5-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to BAL 12, Center-41-J.Winchester. 13-D.Duvernay to BAL 28 for 16 yards (23-A.Watts).KC +0.4%
Q28:52KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10BAL 28(8:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at BAL 49 for 21 yards (53-A.Hitchens).BAL +1.7%
Q28:17KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10BAL 49(8:17) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 48 for 3 yards (53-A.Hitchens, 54-N.Bolton).KC +0.5%
Q27:32KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 7KC 48(7:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen).BAL +4.2%
Q26:46KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10KC 28(6:46) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to KC 20 for 8 yards (49-D.Sorensen).BAL +1.7%
Q26:09KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 2KC 20(6:09) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 16 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders; 49-D.Sorensen).KC +0.1%
Q25:24KC 14–BAL 7BAL1st & 10KC 16(5:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown.KC +1.8%
Q25:20KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 10KC 16(5:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to KC 13 for 3 yards (91-D.Nnadi). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 16 - No Play.KC +1.2%
Q24:56KC 14–BAL 7BAL2nd & 15KC 21(4:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 12 for 9 yards (54-N.Bolton).BAL +0.6%
Q24:14KC 14–BAL 7BAL3rd & 6KC 12(4:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 5 for 7 yards (54-N.Bolton).BAL +6.0%
Q23:26KC 14–BAL 13BAL1st & 5KC 5(3:26) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BAL +2.8%
Q2—KC 14–BAL 14BAL—KC 159-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.BAL +0.4%
Q2—KC 14–BAL 14KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to KC 0. 13-B.Pringle to KC 33 for 33 yards (23-A.Averett).KC +2.8%
Q23:16KC 14–BAL 14KC1st & 10KC 33(3:16) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 42 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen, 54-T.Bowser).KC +2.2%
Q22:42KC 14–BAL 14KC2nd & 1KC 42(2:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 46 for 4 yards (32-D.Elliott).BAL +2.6%
Q22:13KC 14–BAL 14KC1st & 10KC 46(2:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce ran ob at BAL 40 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).KC +2.5%
Q22:00KC 14–BAL 14KC1st & 10BAL 40(2:00) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 81-B.Bell to BAL 20 for 20 yards (32-D.Elliott). BAL-32-D.Elliott was injured during the play.KC +4.8%
Q2—KC 14–BAL 14——BAL 20Timeout #1 by BAL at 01:45. +0.0%
Q21:45KC 14–BAL 14KC1st & 10BAL 20(1:45) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to BAL 16 for 4 yards (93-C.Campbell; 49-C.Board).BAL +1.6%
Q21:01KC 14–BAL 14KC2nd & 6BAL 16(1:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon pushed ob at BAL 2 for 14 yards (6-P.Queen).KC +4.7%
Q20:54KC 20–BAL 14KC1st & 2BAL 2(:54) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +3.8%
Q2—KC 21–BAL 14KC—BAL 157-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.KC +0.1%
Q2—KC 21–BAL 14BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q20:51KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 10BAL 25(:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 36 for 11 yards (27-R.Fenton).BAL +1.6%
Q2—KC 21–BAL 14——BAL 36Timeout #2 by BAL at 00:47.KC +1.7%
Q20:47KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 10BAL 36(:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-5-M.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 36 - No Play. +0.0%
Q20:47KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 15BAL 31(:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 34-T.Williams to BAL 35 for 4 yards (56-B.Niemann). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 31 - No Play.KC +1.2%
Q20:40KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 25BAL 21(:40) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 41 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen; 98-T.Wharton).KC +1.4%
Q2—KC 21–BAL 14——BAL 41Timeout #3 by BAL at 00:33. +0.0%
Q20:33KC 21–BAL 14BAL2nd & 5BAL 41(:33) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 47 for 12 yards (35-C.Ward).BAL +1.3%
Q20:26KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 10KC 47(:26) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right guard to KC 33 for 14 yards (56-B.Niemann).BAL +2.8%
Q20:12KC 21–BAL 14BAL1st & 10KC 33(:12) (No Huddle) 8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock.KC +0.7%
Q20:11KC 21–BAL 14BAL2nd & 10KC 33(:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 14-S.Watkins ran ob at KC 25 for 8 yards (27-R.Fenton).BAL +2.4%
Q20:07KC 21–BAL 17BAL3rd & 2KC 25(:07) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.BAL +4.0%
Q2—KC 21–BAL 17KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 55 yards from BAL 35 to KC 10. 17-M.Hardman to KC 13 for 3 yards. Lateral to 13-B.Pringle to KC 18 for 5 yards (26-G.Stone; 21-B.Stephens).BAL +1.6%
Q3—KC 21–BAL 17KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 48 yards from BAL 35 to KC 17. 45-M.Burton to KC 26 for 9 yards (49-C.Board).KC +0.0%
Q314:55KC 21–BAL 17KC1st & 10KC 26(14:55) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 26 for no gain (92-J.Madubuike). PENALTY on BAL-92-J.Madubuike, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 26 - No Play.KC +1.2%
Q314:38KC 21–BAL 17KC1st & 10KC 31(14:38) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 38 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen).KC +0.6%
Q314:01KC 21–BAL 17KC2nd & 3KC 38(14:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 43 for 5 yards (44-M.Humphrey).KC +3.1%
Q313:25KC 21–BAL 17KC1st & 10KC 43(13:25) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 45-M.Burton to BAL 46 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).BAL +0.0%
Q312:46KC 21–BAL 17KC1st & 10BAL 46(12:46) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to BAL 40 for 6 yards (50-J.Houston).KC +1.4%
Q312:01KC 27–BAL 17KC2nd & 4BAL 40(12:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 13-B.Pringle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +9.0%
Q3—KC 28–BAL 17KC—BAL 157-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.KC +0.1%
Q3—KC 28–BAL 17BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q311:53KC 28–BAL 17BAL1st & 10BAL 25(11:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 48 for 27 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +2.9%
Q311:12KC 28–BAL 17BAL1st & 10KC 48(11:12) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 42 for 6 yards (55-F.Clark; 54-N.Bolton). PENALTY on BAL-72-B.Powers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 48 - No Play.KC +1.6%
Q310:45KC 28–BAL 17BAL1st & 20BAL 42(10:45) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to BAL 38 for -4 yards (55-F.Clark).KC +1.5%
Q310:05KC 28–BAL 17BAL2nd & 24BAL 38(10:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 42 for 20 yards (32-T.Mathieu).BAL +0.7%
Q39:39KC 28–BAL 23BAL3rd & 4KC 42(9:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BAL +15.2%
Q3—KC 28–BAL 24BAL—KC 159-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.BAL +0.2%
Q3—KC 28–BAL 24KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q39:30KC 28–BAL 24KC1st & 10KC 25(9:30) 10-T.Hill right end pushed ob at KC 40 for 15 yards (36-C.Clark). End aroundKC +2.1%
Q39:03KC 28–BAL 24KC1st & 10KC 40(9:03) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 41 for 1 yard (99-O.Oweh, 54-T.Bowser).KC +0.1%
Q38:20KC 28–BAL 24KC2nd & 9KC 41(8:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 17-M.Hardman to KC 46 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 23-A.Averett).KC +0.0%
Q37:37KC 28–BAL 24KC3rd & 4KC 46(7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (6-P.Queen). PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 49.KC +2.7%
Q37:14KC 28–BAL 24KC1st & 10BAL 46(7:14) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to 17-M.Hardman.BAL +1.0%
Q37:07KC 34–BAL 24KC2nd & 10BAL 46(7:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +12.2%
Q3—KC 35–BAL 24KC—BAL 157-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.KC +0.2%
Q3—KC 35–BAL 24BAL—KC 357-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q36:50KC 35–BAL 24BAL1st & 10BAL 25(6:50) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 28 for 3 yards (99-K.Saunders).KC +0.7%
Q36:09KC 35–BAL 24BAL2nd & 7BAL 28(6:09) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 26 for -2 yards (38-L.Sneed). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 28 - No Play.BAL +0.8%
Q35:44KC 35–BAL 24BAL1st & 10BAL 33(5:44) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 37 for 4 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 99-K.Saunders).KC +0.0%
Q35:03KC 35–BAL 24BAL2nd & 6BAL 37(5:03) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman left end to BAL 35 for -2 yards (49-D.Sorensen).KC +2.7%
Q34:22KC 35–BAL 24BAL3rd & 8BAL 35(4:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 26 for -9 yards (49-D.Sorensen).KC +2.7%
Q33:35KC 35–BAL 24BAL4th & 17BAL 26(3:35) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to KC 28 for no gain (38-K.Seymour). PENALTY on BAL-46-N.Moore, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 26 - No Play.KC +0.2%
Q33:24KC 35–BAL 24BAL4th & 27BAL 16(3:24) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 38, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to BAL 49 for 13 yards (54-T.Bowser).BAL +0.9%
Q33:14KC 35–BAL 24KC1st & 10BAL 49(3:14) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams up the middle to KC 46 for -5 yards (92-J.Madubuike).BAL +0.9%
Q32:35KC 35–BAL 24KC2nd & 15KC 46(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (44-M.Humphrey).KC +0.3%
Q3—KC 35–BAL 24——KC 49Timeout #1 by BAL at 02:09. +0.0%
Q32:09KC 35–BAL 24KC3rd & 12KC 49(2:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Young [99-O.Oweh] at BAL 44. 25-T.Young to BAL 44 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).BAL +4.6%
Q32:01KC 35–BAL 24BAL1st & 10BAL 44(2:01) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end to KC 36 for 20 yards (35-C.Ward).BAL +2.5%
Q3—KC 35–BAL 24——KC 36Timeout #2 by BAL at 01:16. +0.0%
Q31:16KC 35–BAL 24BAL1st & 10KC 36(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 17 for 19 yards (38-L.Sneed).BAL +1.7%
Q30:33KC 35–BAL 24BAL1st & 10KC 17(:33) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 11 for 6 yards (90-J.Reed).BAL +0.6%
Q415:00KC 35–BAL 24BAL2nd & 4KC 11(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 84-J.Oliver to KC 2 for 9 yards (56-B.Niemann).BAL +4.6%
Q414:21KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 2KC 2(14:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.KC +0.4%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 30BAL—KC 2TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on BAL-70-K.Zeitler, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at KC 2 - No Play. +0.0%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 30BAL—KC 7TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 53-A.Hitchens intercepted the try attempt. ATTEMPT FAILS.KC +1.8%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 30KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 67 yards from BAL 35 to KC -2. 21-M.Hughes to KC 23 for 25 yards (49-C.Board).BAL +0.8%
Q414:08KC 35–BAL 30KC1st & 10KC 23(14:08) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 27 for 4 yards (90-P.McPhee).KC +0.0%
Q413:27KC 35–BAL 30KC2nd & 6KC 27(13:27) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 35 for 8 yards (6-P.Queen).KC +1.9%
Q412:51KC 35–BAL 30KC1st & 10KC 35(12:51) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 33 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh, 71-J.Ellis).BAL +1.9%
Q412:12KC 35–BAL 30KC2nd & 12KC 33(12:12) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 11-D.Robinson to KC 36 for 3 yards (23-A.Averett).KC +0.4%
Q411:28KC 35–BAL 30KC3rd & 9KC 36(11:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 10-T.Hill (23-A.Averett).BAL +3.7%
Q411:23KC 35–BAL 30KC4th & 9KC 36(11:23) 5-T.Townsend punts 32 yards to BAL 32, Center-41-J.Winchester, out of bounds.BAL +3.7%
Q411:16KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10BAL 32(11:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 40 for 8 yards (54-N.Bolton).BAL +1.1%
Q410:31KC 35–BAL 30BAL2nd & 2BAL 40(10:31) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 45 for 5 yards (90-J.Reed).BAL +1.4%
Q49:51KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10BAL 45(9:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 14-S.Watkins.KC +2.2%
Q49:47KC 35–BAL 30BAL2nd & 10BAL 45(9:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 46 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).KC +0.1%
Q49:10KC 35–BAL 30BAL3rd & 1KC 46(9:10) 42-P.Ricard right guard to KC 44 for 2 yards (95-C.Jones).BAL +3.0%
Q48:29KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10KC 44(8:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at 50 for -6 yards (35-C.Ward). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at KC 44 - No Play.BAL +1.6%
Q48:06KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10KC 39(8:06) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 29 for 10 yards (49-D.Sorensen).BAL +3.7%
Q47:32KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10KC 29(7:32) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end pushed ob at KC 28 for 1 yard (49-D.Sorensen).KC +1.0%
Q46:59KC 35–BAL 30BAL2nd & 9KC 28(6:59) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 17 for 11 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 35-C.Ward).BAL +7.6%
Q46:15KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 10KC 17(6:15) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 12 for 5 yards (56-B.Niemann).BAL +0.7%
Q45:36KC 35–BAL 30BAL2nd & 5KC 12(5:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown (32-T.Mathieu).KC +4.1%
Q45:31KC 35–BAL 30BAL3rd & 5KC 12(5:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 3 for 9 yards (35-C.Ward).BAL +12.7%
Q44:46KC 35–BAL 30BAL1st & 3KC 3(4:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 4 for -1 yards (54-N.Bolton, 53-A.Hitchens).KC +7.2%
Q44:03KC 35–BAL 30BAL2nd & 4KC 4(4:03) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 1 for 3 yards (49-D.Sorensen).KC +0.4%
Q43:18KC 35–BAL 36BAL3rd & 1KC 1(3:18) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.BAL +12.1%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 36BAL—KC 2TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.KC +6.6%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 36KC—BAL 359-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q43:14KC 35–BAL 36KC1st & 10KC 25(3:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 13-B.Pringle to KC 48 for 23 yards (36-C.Clark).KC +6.0%
Q42:35KC 35–BAL 36KC1st & 10KC 48(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 39 for 13 yards (49-C.Board).KC +10.1%
Q42:00KC 35–BAL 36KC1st & 10BAL 39(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 32 for 7 yards (54-T.Bowser).KC +4.7%
Q41:26KC 35–BAL 36KC2nd & 3BAL 32(1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.BAL +56.5%
Q41:20KC 35–BAL 36BAL1st & 10BAL 34(1:20) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left tackle to BAL 35 for 1 yard (53-A.Hitchens).KC +0.9%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 36——BAL 35Timeout #1 by KC at 01:16. +0.0%
Q41:16KC 35–BAL 36BAL2nd & 9BAL 35(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to BAL 37 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).KC +1.4%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 36——BAL 37Timeout #2 by KC at 01:11. +0.0%
Q41:11KC 35–BAL 36BAL3rd & 7BAL 37(1:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 43 for 6 yards (21-M.Hughes).BAL +0.5%
Q4—KC 35–BAL 36——BAL 43Timeout #3 by KC at 01:05. +0.0%
Q41:05KC 35–BAL 36BAL4th & 1BAL 43(1:05) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 45 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).BAL +10.7%
Q40:19KC 35–BAL 36BAL1st & 10BAL 45(:19) 8-L.Jackson kneels to BAL 44 for -1 yards.BAL +7.1%
Q1 · KC 0–BAL 0
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 15:00 · KC 0–BAL 0
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 65.2%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right tackle to BAL 27 for 2 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q1 14:25 · KC 0–BAL 0
KC +2.4%
Win probability: KC 67.0%
BAL2nd & 8 · BAL 27
(14:25) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 5-M.Brown.
Q1 14:19 · KC 6–BAL 0
KC +10.8%
Win probability: KC 69.4%
BAL3rd & 8 · BAL 27
(14:19) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at BAL 34. 32-T.Mathieu for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 80.2%
KCBAL 15
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 0
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 14:10 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 80.3%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(14:10) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 31 for 6 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q1 13:30 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 19.4%
BAL2nd & 4 · BAL 31
(13:30) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to BAL 36 for 5 yards (95-C.Jones; 53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 12:51 · KC 7–BAL 0
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 76.9%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 36
(12:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown to BAL 47 for 11 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q1 12:10 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 21.7%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 47
(12:10) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 41 for 12 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 11:29 · KC 7–BAL 0
BAL +5.6%
Win probability: BAL 22.9%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 41
(11:29) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman right end to KC 10 for 31 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 10:42 · KC 7–BAL 6
BAL +5.8%
Win probability: BAL 28.4%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 10
(10:42) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left end to KC 1 for 9 yards (21-M.Hughes; 49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (21-M.Hughes), recovered by BAL-13-D.Duvernay at KC 2. 13-D.Duvernay for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.1%
Win probability: BAL 34.2%
BALKC 15
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q1 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 34.4%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to KC 8. 13-B.Pringle to KC 16 for 8 yards (21-B.Stephens). PENALTY on KC-26-C.Lammons, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at KC 16.
Q1 10:31 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 64.4%
KC1st & 10 · KC 8
(10:31) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 17 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q1 9:54 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 35.4%
KC2nd & 1 · KC 17
(9:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 23 for 6 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q1 9:23 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 64.0%
KC1st & 10 · KC 23
(9:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 30 for 7 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q1 8:51 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +2.1%
Win probability: KC 65.0%
KC2nd & 3 · KC 30
(8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman ran ob at KC 49 for 19 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q1 8:17 · KC 7–BAL 7
BAL +0.3%
Win probability: BAL 32.9%
KC1st & 10 · KC 49
(8:17) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to 50 for 1 yard (21-B.Stephens; 40-M.Harrison).
Q1 7:37 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 66.8%
KC2nd & 9 · MID 50
(7:37) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to BAL 43 for 7 yards (92-J.Madubuike).
Q1 6:54 · KC 7–BAL 7
KC +4.9%
Win probability: KC 68.4%
KC3rd & 2 · BAL 43
(6:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 33 for 10 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q1 6:12 · KC 13–BAL 7
KC +6.0%
Win probability: KC 73.3%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 33
(6:12) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 79.3%
KCBAL 15
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q1 · KC 14–BAL 7
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 6:05 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.9%
Win probability: BAL 20.6%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(6:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 5-M.Brown ran ob at BAL 42 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q1 5:35 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +0.3%
Win probability: BAL 22.5%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 42
(5:35) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 49 for 7 yards (91-D.Nnadi).
Q1 4:54 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 77.2%
BAL2nd & 3 · BAL 49
(4:54) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to 50 for 1 yard (55-F.Clark).
Q1 4:15 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 22.7%
BAL3rd & 2 · MID 50
(4:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end ran ob at KC 41 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 3:38 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.2%
Win probability: BAL 23.6%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 41
(3:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end ran ob at KC 32 for 9 yards (97-A.Okafor).
Q1 2:57 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 24.8%
BAL2nd & 1 · KC 32
(2:57) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to KC 24 for 8 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q1 2:13 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 72.5%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 24
(2:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Watkins.
Q1 2:08 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +4.4%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
BAL2nd & 10 · KC 24
(2:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for -4 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q1 1:24 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +3.6%
Win probability: KC 78.3%
BAL3rd & 14 · KC 28
(1:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 5-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC -2. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 14 for 16 yards (89-M.Andrews).
Q1 1:13 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 81.8%
KC1st & 10 · KC 14
(1:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 17-M.Hardman to KC 31 for 17 yards.
Q1 0:44 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.2%
Win probability: BAL 16.6%
KC1st & 10 · KC 31
(:44) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 45-M.Burton to KC 35 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 36-C.Clark). PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at KC 31 - No Play.
Q1 0:18 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +4.7%
Win probability: BAL 18.8%
KC1st & 20 · KC 21
(:18) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 12 for -9 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 6. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [50-J.Houston]. PENALTY on KC-15-P.Mahomes, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at KC 21.
Q1 0:12 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 23.5%
KC2nd & 38 · KC 3
(:12) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 2 for -1 yards (50-J.Houston).
Q2 15:00 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 75.4%
KC3rd & 39 · KC 2
(15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 88-J.Fortson pushed ob at KC 13 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q2 14:33 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +4.8%
Win probability: KC 75.7%
KC4th & 28 · KC 13
(14:33) 5-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 33, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-85-M.Kemp.
Q2 14:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.3%
Win probability: KC 80.5%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 33
(14:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams left guard to BAL 33 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 13:36 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.4%
Win probability: BAL 18.2%
BAL2nd & 10 · BAL 33
(13:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 40 for 7 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q2 12:52 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +2.5%
Win probability: KC 80.4%
BAL3rd & 3 · BAL 40
(12:52) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 40 for no gain (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 12:12 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 17.1%
BAL4th & 3 · BAL 40
(12:12) 4-S.Koch punts 49 yards to KC 11, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-M.Hardman.
Q2 12:05 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 18.8%
KC1st & 10 · KC 11
(12:05) 31-Da.Williams right guard to KC 12 for 1 yard (93-C.Campbell).
Q2 11:23 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 80.2%
KC2nd & 9 · KC 12
(11:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 26 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).
Q2 10:45 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 81.3%
KC1st & 10 · KC 26
(10:45) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to KC 29 for 3 yards (32-D.Elliott).
Q2 10:00 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 82.3%
KC2nd & 7 · KC 29
(10:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 11-D.Robinson to KC 39 for 10 yards (49-C.Board).
Q2 9:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 16.5%
KC1st & 10 · KC 39
(9:20) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 17-M.Hardman (44-M.Humphrey).
Q2 9:16 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 17.5%
KC2nd & 10 · KC 39
(9:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 17-M.Hardman.
Q2 9:11 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +2.1%
Win probability: BAL 18.5%
KC3rd & 10 · KC 39
(9:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 11-D.Robinson [32-D.Elliott].
Q2 9:03 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 79.4%
KC4th & 10 · KC 39
(9:03) 5-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to BAL 12, Center-41-J.Winchester. 13-D.Duvernay to BAL 28 for 16 yards (23-A.Watts).
Q2 8:52 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 20.2%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 28
(8:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at BAL 49 for 21 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q2 8:17 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.5%
Win probability: KC 78.1%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 49
(8:17) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 48 for 3 yards (53-A.Hitchens, 54-N.Bolton).
Q2 7:32 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +4.2%
Win probability: BAL 21.4%
BAL2nd & 7 · KC 48
(7:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 28 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 6:46 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 25.7%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 28
(6:46) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to KC 20 for 8 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 6:09 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 72.6%
BAL2nd & 2 · KC 20
(6:09) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 16 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders; 49-D.Sorensen).
Q2 5:24 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 72.7%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 16
(5:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown.
Q2 5:20 · KC 14–BAL 7
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 74.5%
BAL2nd & 10 · KC 16
(5:20) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right tackle to KC 13 for 3 yards (91-D.Nnadi). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 16 - No Play.
Q2 4:56 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.3%
BAL2nd & 15 · KC 21
(4:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 12 for 9 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 4:14 · KC 14–BAL 7
BAL +6.0%
Win probability: BAL 24.9%
BAL3rd & 6 · KC 12
(4:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 34-T.Williams to KC 5 for 7 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q2 3:26 · KC 14–BAL 13
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 30.9%
BAL1st & 5 · KC 5
(3:26) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +0.4%
Win probability: BAL 33.7%
BALKC 15
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.8%
Win probability: KC 65.8%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to KC 0. 13-B.Pringle to KC 33 for 33 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q2 3:16 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.2%
Win probability: KC 68.6%
KC1st & 10 · KC 33
(3:16) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 42 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen, 54-T.Bowser).
Q2 2:42 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +2.6%
Win probability: BAL 29.2%
KC2nd & 1 · KC 42
(2:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill ran ob at KC 46 for 4 yards (32-D.Elliott).
Q2 2:13 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +2.5%
Win probability: KC 68.2%
KC1st & 10 · KC 46
(2:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce ran ob at BAL 40 for 14 yards (40-M.Harrison).
Q2 2:00 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +4.8%
Win probability: KC 70.7%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 40
(2:00) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 81-B.Bell to BAL 20 for 20 yards (32-D.Elliott). BAL-32-D.Elliott was injured during the play.
Q2 · KC 14–BAL 14
+0.0%
BAL 20
Timeout #1 by BAL at 01:45.
Q2 1:45 · KC 14–BAL 14
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.5%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 20
(1:45) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to BAL 16 for 4 yards (93-C.Campbell; 49-C.Board).
Q2 1:01 · KC 14–BAL 14
KC +4.7%
Win probability: KC 73.9%
KC2nd & 6 · BAL 16
(1:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon pushed ob at BAL 2 for 14 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q2 0:54 · KC 20–BAL 14
KC +3.8%
Win probability: KC 78.6%
KC1st & 2 · BAL 2
(:54) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 82.4%
KCBAL 15
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 0:51 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 17.5%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 36 for 11 yards (27-R.Fenton).
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.7%
Win probability: KC 80.9%
BAL 36
Timeout #2 by BAL at 00:47.
Q2 0:47 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 36
(:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-5-M.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 36 - No Play.
Q2 0:47 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 82.7%
BAL1st & 15 · BAL 31
(:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 34-T.Williams to BAL 35 for 4 yards (56-B.Niemann). PENALTY on BAL-78-A.Villanueva, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 31 - No Play.
Q2 0:40 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 83.8%
BAL1st & 25 · BAL 21
(:40) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to BAL 41 for 20 yards (49-D.Sorensen; 98-T.Wharton).
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 14
+0.0%
BAL 41
Timeout #3 by BAL at 00:33.
Q2 0:33 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +1.3%
Win probability: BAL 14.8%
BAL2nd & 5 · BAL 41
(:33) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 47 for 12 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q2 0:26 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +2.8%
Win probability: BAL 16.1%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 47
(:26) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right guard to KC 33 for 14 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q2 0:12 · KC 21–BAL 14
KC +0.7%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 33
(:12) (No Huddle) 8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q2 0:11 · KC 21–BAL 14
BAL +2.4%
Win probability: BAL 18.2%
BAL2nd & 10 · KC 33
(:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 14-S.Watkins ran ob at KC 25 for 8 yards (27-R.Fenton).
Q2 0:07 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +4.0%
Win probability: BAL 20.6%
BAL3rd & 2 · KC 25
(:07) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q2 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 24.6%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 55 yards from BAL 35 to KC 10. 17-M.Hardman to KC 13 for 3 yards. Lateral to 13-B.Pringle to KC 18 for 5 yards (26-G.Stone; 21-B.Stephens).
Q3 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 73.7%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 48 yards from BAL 35 to KC 17. 45-M.Burton to KC 26 for 9 yards (49-C.Board).
Q3 14:55 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +1.2%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
KC1st & 10 · KC 26
(14:55) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to KC 26 for no gain (92-J.Madubuike). PENALTY on BAL-92-J.Madubuike, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 26 - No Play.
Q3 14:38 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +0.6%
Win probability: KC 74.9%
KC1st & 10 · KC 31
(14:38) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right guard to KC 38 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q3 14:01 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +3.1%
Win probability: KC 75.5%
KC2nd & 3 · KC 38
(14:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 43 for 5 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q3 13:25 · KC 21–BAL 17
BAL +0.0%
Win probability: BAL 21.4%
KC1st & 10 · KC 43
(13:25) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 45-M.Burton to BAL 46 for 11 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q3 12:46 · KC 21–BAL 17
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 78.6%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 46
(12:46) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left end to BAL 40 for 6 yards (50-J.Houston).
Q3 12:01 · KC 27–BAL 17
KC +9.0%
Win probability: KC 80.0%
KC2nd & 4 · BAL 40
(12:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 13-B.Pringle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 89.0%
KCBAL 15
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 17
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 11:53 · KC 28–BAL 17
BAL +2.9%
Win probability: BAL 10.9%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(11:53) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 5-M.Brown to KC 48 for 27 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 11:12 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +1.6%
Win probability: KC 86.2%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 48
(11:12) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 42 for 6 yards (55-F.Clark; 54-N.Bolton). PENALTY on BAL-72-B.Powers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 48 - No Play.
Q3 10:45 · KC 28–BAL 17
KC +1.5%
Win probability: KC 87.9%
BAL1st & 20 · BAL 42
(10:45) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end to BAL 38 for -4 yards (55-F.Clark).
Q3 10:05 · KC 28–BAL 17
BAL +0.7%
Win probability: BAL 10.6%
BAL2nd & 24 · BAL 38
(10:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 42 for 20 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
Q3 9:39 · KC 28–BAL 23
BAL +15.2%
Win probability: BAL 11.2%
BAL3rd & 4 · KC 42
(9:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 24
BAL +0.2%
Win probability: BAL 26.5%
BALKC 15
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q3 · KC 28–BAL 24
+0.0%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 9:30 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +2.1%
Win probability: KC 73.3%
KC1st & 10 · KC 25
(9:30) 10-T.Hill right end pushed ob at KC 40 for 15 yards (36-C.Clark). End around
Q3 9:03 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 75.4%
KC1st & 10 · KC 40
(9:03) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle to KC 41 for 1 yard (99-O.Oweh, 54-T.Bowser).
Q3 8:20 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 75.6%
KC2nd & 9 · KC 41
(8:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 17-M.Hardman to KC 46 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 23-A.Averett).
Q3 7:37 · KC 28–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 75.6%
KC3rd & 4 · KC 46
(7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (6-P.Queen). PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 49.
Q3 7:14 · KC 28–BAL 24
BAL +1.0%
Win probability: BAL 21.7%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 46
(7:14) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to 17-M.Hardman.
Q3 7:07 · KC 34–BAL 24
KC +12.2%
Win probability: KC 77.3%
KC2nd & 10 · BAL 46
(7:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 89.5%
KCBAL 15
7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
BALKC 35
7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 6:50 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.7%
Win probability: KC 89.7%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 25
(6:50) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to BAL 28 for 3 yards (99-K.Saunders).
Q3 6:09 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.8%
Win probability: BAL 9.6%
BAL2nd & 7 · BAL 28
(6:09) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 26 for -2 yards (38-L.Sneed). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 28 - No Play.
Q3 5:44 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 89.6%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 33
(5:44) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 37 for 4 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 99-K.Saunders).
Q3 5:03 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 89.6%
BAL2nd & 6 · BAL 37
(5:03) (Shotgun) 33-D.Freeman left end to BAL 35 for -2 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q3 4:22 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +2.7%
Win probability: KC 92.3%
BAL3rd & 8 · BAL 35
(4:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 26 for -9 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q3 3:35 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.2%
Win probability: KC 95.0%
BAL4th & 17 · BAL 26
(3:35) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to KC 28 for no gain (38-K.Seymour). PENALTY on BAL-46-N.Moore, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 26 - No Play.
Q3 3:24 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.9%
Win probability: BAL 4.8%
BAL4th & 27 · BAL 16
(3:24) 4-S.Koch punts 46 yards to KC 38, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-M.Hardman to BAL 49 for 13 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q3 3:14 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.9%
Win probability: BAL 5.7%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 49
(3:14) (Shotgun) 31-Da.Williams up the middle to KC 46 for -5 yards (92-J.Madubuike).
Q3 2:35 · KC 35–BAL 24
KC +0.3%
Win probability: KC 93.4%
KC2nd & 15 · KC 46
(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-T.Hill pushed ob at KC 49 for 3 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
KC 49
Timeout #1 by BAL at 02:09.
Q3 2:09 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +4.6%
Win probability: BAL 6.3%
KC3rd & 12 · KC 49
(2:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Young [99-O.Oweh] at BAL 44. 25-T.Young to BAL 44 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).
Q3 2:01 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +2.5%
Win probability: BAL 10.9%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 44
(2:01) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end to KC 36 for 20 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q3 · KC 35–BAL 24
+0.0%
KC 36
Timeout #2 by BAL at 01:16.
Q3 1:16 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +1.7%
Win probability: BAL 13.4%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 36
(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 17 for 19 yards (38-L.Sneed).
Q3 0:33 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +0.6%
Win probability: BAL 15.1%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 17
(:33) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 11 for 6 yards (90-J.Reed).
Q4 15:00 · KC 35–BAL 24
BAL +4.6%
Win probability: BAL 15.7%
BAL2nd & 4 · KC 11
(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 84-J.Oliver to KC 2 for 9 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q4 14:21 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 79.7%
BAL1st & 2 · KC 2
(14:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
+0.0%
BALKC 2
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on BAL-70-K.Zeitler, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at KC 2 - No Play.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.8%
Win probability: KC 80.1%
BALKC 7
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 53-A.Hitchens intercepted the try attempt. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +0.8%
Win probability: BAL 18.1%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 67 yards from BAL 35 to KC -2. 21-M.Hughes to KC 23 for 25 yards (49-C.Board).
Q4 14:08 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.0%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
KC1st & 10 · KC 23
(14:08) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 27 for 4 yards (90-P.McPhee).
Q4 13:27 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.9%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
KC2nd & 6 · KC 27
(13:27) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 17-M.Hardman to KC 35 for 8 yards (6-P.Queen).
Q4 12:51 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.9%
Win probability: BAL 17.0%
KC1st & 10 · KC 35
(12:51) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right end to KC 33 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh, 71-J.Ellis).
Q4 12:12 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 81.1%
KC2nd & 12 · KC 33
(12:12) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 11-D.Robinson to KC 36 for 3 yards (23-A.Averett).
Q4 11:28 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 18.5%
KC3rd & 9 · KC 36
(11:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 10-T.Hill (23-A.Averett).
Q4 11:23 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 22.2%
KC4th & 9 · KC 36
(11:23) 5-T.Townsend punts 32 yards to BAL 32, Center-41-J.Winchester, out of bounds.
Q4 11:16 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.1%
Win probability: BAL 25.9%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 32
(11:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 40 for 8 yards (54-N.Bolton).
Q4 10:31 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.4%
Win probability: BAL 27.1%
BAL2nd & 2 · BAL 40
(10:31) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 28-L.Murray right guard to BAL 45 for 5 yards (90-J.Reed).
Q4 9:51 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +2.2%
Win probability: KC 71.6%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 45
(9:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 14-S.Watkins.
Q4 9:47 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.1%
Win probability: KC 73.8%
BAL2nd & 10 · BAL 45
(9:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 46 for 9 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 9:10 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.0%
Win probability: BAL 26.1%
BAL3rd & 1 · KC 46
(9:10) 42-P.Ricard right guard to KC 44 for 2 yards (95-C.Jones).
Q4 8:29 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +1.6%
Win probability: BAL 29.1%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 44
(8:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at 50 for -6 yards (35-C.Ward). PENALTY on KC-32-T.Mathieu, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at KC 44 - No Play.
Q4 8:06 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +3.7%
Win probability: BAL 30.7%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 39
(8:06) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews pushed ob at KC 29 for 10 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 7:32 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +1.0%
Win probability: KC 65.5%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 29
(7:32) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end pushed ob at KC 28 for 1 yard (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 6:59 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +7.6%
Win probability: BAL 33.5%
BAL2nd & 9 · KC 28
(6:59) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right end to KC 17 for 11 yards (53-A.Hitchens; 35-C.Ward).
Q4 6:15 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +0.7%
Win probability: BAL 41.0%
BAL1st & 10 · KC 17
(6:15) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left guard to KC 12 for 5 yards (56-B.Niemann).
Q4 5:36 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +4.1%
Win probability: KC 58.3%
BAL2nd & 5 · KC 12
(5:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Brown (32-T.Mathieu).
Q4 5:31 · KC 35–BAL 30
BAL +12.7%
Win probability: BAL 37.6%
BAL3rd & 5 · KC 12
(5:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 3 for 9 yards (35-C.Ward).
Q4 4:46 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +7.2%
Win probability: KC 49.7%
BAL1st & 3 · KC 3
(4:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to KC 4 for -1 yards (54-N.Bolton, 53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 4:03 · KC 35–BAL 30
KC +0.4%
Win probability: KC 56.9%
BAL2nd & 4 · KC 4
(4:03) (Shotgun) 34-T.Williams right guard to KC 1 for 3 yards (49-D.Sorensen).
Q4 3:18 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +12.1%
Win probability: BAL 42.7%
BAL3rd & 1 · KC 1
(3:18) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +6.6%
Win probability: KC 45.2%
BALKC 2
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 5-M.Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
KCBAL 35
9-J.Tucker kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 3:14 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +6.0%
Win probability: KC 51.8%
KC1st & 10 · KC 25
(3:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 13-B.Pringle to KC 48 for 23 yards (36-C.Clark).
Q4 2:35 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +10.1%
Win probability: KC 57.8%
KC1st & 10 · KC 48
(2:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 39 for 13 yards (49-C.Board).
Q4 2:00 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +4.7%
Win probability: KC 67.9%
KC1st & 10 · BAL 39
(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to BAL 32 for 7 yards (54-T.Bowser).
Q4 1:26 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +56.5%
Win probability: BAL 27.5%
KC2nd & 3 · BAL 32
(1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.
Q4 1:20 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +0.9%
Win probability: KC 16.0%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 34
(1:20) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left tackle to BAL 35 for 1 yard (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
BAL 35
Timeout #1 by KC at 01:16.
Q4 1:16 · KC 35–BAL 36
KC +1.4%
Win probability: KC 16.9%
BAL2nd & 9 · BAL 35
(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to BAL 37 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
BAL 37
Timeout #2 by KC at 01:11.
Q4 1:11 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +0.5%
Win probability: BAL 81.6%
BAL3rd & 7 · BAL 37
(1:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to BAL 43 for 6 yards (21-M.Hughes).
Q4 · KC 35–BAL 36
+0.0%
BAL 43
Timeout #3 by KC at 01:05.
Q4 1:05 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +10.7%
Win probability: BAL 82.1%
BAL4th & 1 · BAL 43
(1:05) (Shotgun) 63-T.Colon reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BAL 45 for 2 yards (53-A.Hitchens).
Q4 0:19 · KC 35–BAL 36
BAL +7.1%
Win probability: BAL 92.9%
BAL1st & 10 · BAL 45
(:19) 8-L.Jackson kneels to BAL 44 for -1 yards.