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BUF Buffalo Bills@TB Tampa Bay BuccaneersOT

27–33 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers won
2021-12-12 · 2021 Regular Week 14
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 6.79 which ranks in the 61.0 percentile.

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THRILLA
61percentile
Raw Score: 6.79
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.67, which ranks in the 73.8 percentile.

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GEI
74percentile
Raw Score: 4.67
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Tampa Bay Buccaneers fell to a 36.6% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 1.45 which ranks in the 54.5 percentile.

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Comeback
54percentile
Raw Score: 1.45
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 24.75 which ranks in the 97.6 percentile. It was calculated as follows:

  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 2 × 3pts = 6pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 14 × 0.5pts = 7pts
  • Turnovers: 3 × 0.75pts = 2.25pts
  • Sacks: 5 × 0.1pts = 0.5pts
  • Touchdowns: 7 × 1pts = 7pts
Total: 24.75pts

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Audience
98percentile
Raw Score: 24.75
Spread
TB -3.5
O/U 52.5
TB
BUF
Biggest Play
OT 5:42 · BUF 27–TB 33
TB +54.2%
Win probability: TB 46.7%
3rd & 3 · TB 42
(5:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 16-B.Perriman for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game Log
QtrClockScoreDown & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—BUF 0–TB 0—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 56 yards from BUF 35 to TB 9. 1-J.Darden ran ob at TB 24 for 15 yards (42-J.Giles-Harris).TB +1.7%
Q114:57BUF 0–TB 01st & 10TB 24(14:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady Aborted. 66-R.Jensen FUMBLES at TB 24, recovered by TB-12-T.Brady at TB 10.BUF +9.5%
Q114:16BUF 0–TB 02nd & 24TB 10(14:16) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 16 for 6 yards (58-M.Milano).BUF +0.6%
Q113:38BUF 0–TB 03rd & 18TB 16(13:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 31 for 15 yards (21-J.Poyer).TB +3.5%
Q113:02BUF 0–TB 04th & 3TB 31(13:02) 8-B.Pinion punts 55 yards to BUF 14, Center-97-Z.Triner. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 18 for 4 yards (48-G.Stuard).BUF +3.1%
Q112:50BUF 0–TB 01st & 10BUF 18(12:50) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at BUF 19 for 1 yard (35-J.Dean).TB +3.9%
Q112:20BUF 0–TB 02nd & 9BUF 19(12:20) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 29 for 10 yards (26-A.Adams).BUF +3.6%
Q111:35BUF 0–TB 01st & 10BUF 29(11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 26-D.Singletary (26-A.Adams).TB +1.4%
Q111:31BUF 0–TB 02nd & 10BUF 29(11:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 22 for -7 yards (58-S.Barrett).TB +5.3%
Q110:49BUF 0–TB 03rd & 17BUF 22(10:49) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 33 for 11 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting; 31-A.Winfield) [90-J.Pierre-Paul].BUF +1.1%
Q110:05BUF 0–TB 04th & 6BUF 33(10:05) 3-M.Haack punts 44 yards to TB 23, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 1-J.Darden to TB 33 for 10 yards (9-A.Smith; 42-J.Giles-Harris).TB +1.2%
Q19:55BUF 0–TB 01st & 10TB 33(9:55) 7-L.Fournette left guard to TB 36 for 3 yards (99-H.Phillips; 49-T.Edmunds).BUF +0.4%
Q19:32BUF 0–TB 02nd & 7TB 36(9:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans to TB 41 for 5 yards (39-L.Wallace).BUF +0.4%
Q19:00BUF 0–TB 03rd & 2TB 41(9:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 48 for 7 yards (49-T.Edmunds).TB +3.2%
Q18:31BUF 0–TB 01st & 10TB 48(8:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 7-L.Fournette.BUF +1.5%
Q18:27BUF 0–TB 02nd & 10TB 48(8:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on BUF-24-T.Johnson, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 48 - No Play.TB +1.4%
Q18:22BUF 0–TB 61st & 10BUF 47(8:22) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right tackle for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.TB +12.6%
Q1—BUF 0–TB 7—BUF 153-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.TB +0.1%
Q1—BUF 0–TB 7—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q18:13BUF 0–TB 71st & 10BUF 25(8:13) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 30 for 5 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul, 45-D.White).BUF +0.2%
Q17:33BUF 0–TB 72nd & 5BUF 30(7:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right end to BUF 44 for 14 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +3.5%
Q16:54BUF 0–TB 71st & 10BUF 44(6:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 47 for 3 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting, 45-D.White).TB +0.0%
Q16:13BUF 0–TB 72nd & 7BUF 47(6:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 46 for -1 yards (sack split by 58-S.Barrett and 45-D.White).TB +1.7%
Q15:31BUF 0–TB 73rd & 8BUF 46(5:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 13-G.Davis.TB +2.1%
Q15:27BUF 0–TB 74th & 8BUF 46(5:27) 3-M.Haack punts 39 yards to TB 15, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.TB +3.3%
Q15:19BUF 0–TB 71st & 10TB 15(5:19) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to TB 19 for 4 yards (21-J.Poyer; 99-H.Phillips).TB +0.2%
Q14:46BUF 0–TB 72nd & 6TB 19(4:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to TB 24 for 5 yards (30-D.Jackson).BUF +0.0%
Q14:26BUF 0–TB 73rd & 1TB 24(4:26) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady up the middle to TB 26 for 2 yards (58-M.Milano; 91-E.Oliver).TB +0.4%
Q13:42BUF 0–TB 71st & 10TB 26(3:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to TB 38 for 12 yards (21-J.Poyer).TB +2.0%
Q13:11BUF 0–TB 71st & 10TB 38(3:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 47 for 9 yards (21-J.Poyer).TB +1.1%
Q12:46BUF 0–TB 72nd & 1TB 47(2:46) (No Huddle) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 49 for 2 yards (58-M.Milano).BUF +1.3%
Q12:10BUF 0–TB 71st & 10TB 49(2:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at BUF 31 for 20 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +2.1%
Q11:44BUF 0–TB 71st & 10BUF 31(1:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski (21-J.Poyer).BUF +1.1%
Q11:38BUF 0–TB 72nd & 10BUF 31(1:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to BUF 23 for 8 yards (57-A.Epenesa).TB +2.1%
Q11:07BUF 0–TB 73rd & 2BUF 23(1:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to BUF 20 for 3 yards (24-T.Johnson).BUF +0.1%
Q10:26BUF 0–TB 71st & 10BUF 20(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 4 for 16 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +1.6%
Q215:00BUF 0–TB 71st & 4BUF 4(15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at BUF 6 for -2 yards (51-E.Ankou).BUF +1.4%
Q214:24BUF 0–TB 72nd & 6BUF 6(14:24) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (58-M.Milano).BUF +2.8%
Q213:46BUF 0–TB 73rd & 5BUF 5(13:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Godwin [57-A.Epenesa].BUF +2.4%
Q213:40BUF 0–TB 104th & 5BUF 5(13:40) 3-R.Succop 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.TB +2.4%
Q2—BUF 0–TB 10—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q213:36BUF 0–TB 101st & 10BUF 25(13:36) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 1-E.Sanders to 50 for 25 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +2.6%
Q212:55BUF 0–TB 101st & 10MID 50(12:55) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis to TB 44 for 6 yards (24-C.Davis). PENALTY on BUF-14-S.Diggs, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.TB +0.9%
Q212:31BUF 0–TB 101st & 15BUF 45(12:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 14-S.Diggs to TB 31 for 24 yards (35-J.Dean).BUF +2.2%
Q211:48BUF 0–TB 101st & 10TB 31(11:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis to TB 10 for 21 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).BUF +1.8%
Q211:05BUF 0–TB 101st & 10TB 10(11:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left end to TB 13 for -3 yards (56-R.Nunez-Roches).TB +1.9%
Q210:22BUF 0–TB 102nd & 13TB 13(10:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to TB 3 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +1.6%
Q29:35BUF 0–TB 103rd & 3TB 3(9:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 13-G.Davis.TB +2.3%
Q29:32BUF 3–TB 104th & 3TB 3(9:32) 2-T.Bass 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.BUF +3.2%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 10—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q29:28BUF 3–TB 101st & 10TB 25(9:28) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at TB 48 for 23 yards (21-J.Poyer).TB +4.2%
Q29:02BUF 3–TB 101st & 10TB 48(9:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to BUF 34 for 18 yards (30-D.Jackson).TB +3.6%
Q28:35BUF 3–TB 101st & 10BUF 34(8:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right guard to BUF 29 for 5 yards (99-H.Phillips).TB +0.3%
Q28:07BUF 3–TB 102nd & 5BUF 29(8:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 16-B.Perriman.BUF +1.0%
Q28:04BUF 3–TB 103rd & 5BUF 29(8:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Gronkowski. PENALTY on BUF-30-D.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at BUF 29 - No Play.TB +3.0%
Q27:59BUF 3–TB 101st & 10BUF 18(7:59) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 13 for 5 yards (30-D.Jackson).BUF +0.3%
Q27:20BUF 3–TB 102nd & 5BUF 13(7:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 7-L.Fournette.BUF +1.1%
Q27:15BUF 3–TB 163rd & 5BUF 13(7:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.TB +4.6%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 17—BUF 153-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.TB +0.1%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 17—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 69 yards from TB 35 to BUF -4. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 25 for 29 yards (48-G.Stuard; 51-K.Minter).TB +0.0%
Q27:03BUF 3–TB 171st & 10BUF 25(7:03) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to BUF 34 for 9 yards (26-A.Adams).BUF +0.5%
Q26:24BUF 3–TB 172nd & 1BUF 34(6:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 19-I.McKenzie pushed ob at BUF 39 for 5 yards (54-L.David).TB +0.3%
Q25:50BUF 3–TB 171st & 10BUF 39(5:50) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 32 for -7 yards (45-D.White).TB +1.5%
Q25:04BUF 3–TB 172nd & 17BUF 32(5:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 11-C.Beasley.TB +0.6%
Q25:00BUF 3–TB 173rd & 17BUF 32(5:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to BUF 38 for 6 yards (31-A.Winfield).TB +0.4%
Q24:20BUF 3–TB 174th & 11BUF 38(4:20) 3-M.Haack punts 34 yards to TB 28, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.TB +1.4%
Q24:12BUF 3–TB 171st & 10TB 28(4:12) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 44 for 16 yards (58-M.Milano, 21-J.Poyer).TB +1.8%
Q23:37BUF 3–TB 171st & 10TB 44(3:37) (No Huddle) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to TB 43 for -1 yards (49-T.Edmunds, 91-E.Oliver).BUF +0.3%
Q22:56BUF 3–TB 172nd & 11TB 43(2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 44 for 13 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +0.2%
Q22:21BUF 3–TB 171st & 10BUF 44(2:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 37 for 7 yards (21-J.Poyer).TB +0.3%
Q22:01BUF 3–TB 172nd & 3BUF 37(2:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to BUF 29 for 8 yards (58-M.Milano; 49-T.Edmunds).TB +0.3%
Q21:56BUF 3–TB 171st & 10BUF 29(1:56) 7-L.Fournette left guard to BUF 27 for 2 yards (49-T.Edmunds).BUF +0.0%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 17—BUF 27Timeout #1 by BUF at 01:51. +0.0%
Q21:51BUF 3–TB 172nd & 8BUF 27(1:51) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski to BUF 22 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).TB +0.4%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 17—BUF 22Timeout #2 by BUF at 01:43. +0.0%
Q21:43BUF 3–TB 173rd & 3BUF 22(1:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 13-M.Evans ran ob at BUF 2 for 20 yards (24-T.Johnson) [58-M.Milano].TB +1.4%
Q21:38BUF 3–TB 171st & 2BUF 2(1:38) 72-J.Wells reported in as eligible. 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 1 for 1 yard (90-B.Bryant).TB +0.6%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 17—BUF 1Timeout #3 by BUF at 01:32. +0.0%
Q21:32BUF 3–TB 232nd & 1BUF 1(1:32) 72-J.Wells reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +0.7%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 24—BUF 153-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.TB +0.0%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 24—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q21:29BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 25(1:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 35 for 10 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul).BUF +0.2%
Q21:12BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 35(1:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 30 for -5 yards (58-S.Barrett). PENALTY on TB-58-S.Barrett, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.BUF +0.1%
Q21:08BUF 3–TB 241st & 5BUF 40(1:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 5-R.Sherman [9-J.Tryon] at BUF 45. 5-R.Sherman to BUF 45 for no gain (88-D.Knox).TB +1.5%
Q21:00BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 45(1:00) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 7-L.Fournette.BUF +0.1%
Q20:56BUF 3–TB 242nd & 10BUF 45(:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 40 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).TB +0.0%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 24—BUF 40Timeout #1 by TB at 00:50. +0.0%
Q20:50BUF 3–TB 243rd & 5BUF 40(:50) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin. TB-25-G.Bernard was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.BUF +0.4%
Q2—BUF 3–TB 24—BUF 40Timeout #2 by TB at 00:47. +0.0%
Q20:47BUF 3–TB 244th & 5BUF 40(:47) 8-B.Pinion punts 20 yards to BUF 20, Center-97-Z.Triner, out of bounds.BUF +0.3%
Q20:40BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 20(:40) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle pushed ob at BUF 42 for 22 yards (54-L.David).BUF +0.5%
Q20:34BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 42(:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Diggs.TB +0.4%
Q20:28BUF 3–TB 242nd & 10BUF 42(:28) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right [58-S.Barrett].BUF +0.0%
Q20:21BUF 3–TB 243rd & 10BUF 42(:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play.TB +0.2%
Q20:21BUF 3–TB 243rd & 15BUF 37(:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 14-S.Diggs [58-S.Barrett].TB +0.3%
Q20:13BUF 3–TB 244th & 15BUF 37(:13) 3-M.Haack punts 61 yards to TB 2, Center-69-R.Ferguson, downed by BUF-33-S.Neal.TB +0.3%
Q20:01BUF 3–TB 241st & 10TB 2(:01) 12-T.Brady kneels to TB 1 for -1 yards.BUF +1.7%
Q3—BUF 3–TB 24—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q315:00BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 25(15:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at BUF 37 for 12 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).BUF +0.0%
Q314:29BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 37(14:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left tackle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (54-L.David).TB +0.1%
Q313:54BUF 3–TB 242nd & 9BUF 38(13:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 44 for 6 yards (26-A.Adams).BUF +0.2%
Q313:13BUF 3–TB 243rd & 3BUF 44(13:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis to BUF 45 for 1 yard (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).TB +0.9%
Q312:34BUF 3–TB 244th & 2BUF 45(12:34) (Punt formation) 22-M.Breida left end to BUF 42 for -3 yards (79-P.O'Connor).TB +1.0%
Q312:28BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 42(12:28) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to BUF 40 for 2 yards (30-D.Jackson).TB +0.0%
Q312:03BUF 3–TB 242nd & 8BUF 40(12:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski.BUF +0.2%
Q312:00BUF 3–TB 243rd & 8BUF 40(12:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to BUF 34 for 6 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +0.5%
Q311:15BUF 3–TB 244th & 2BUF 34(11:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 84-C.Brate (49-T.Edmunds). PENALTY on BUF-91-E.Oliver, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.BUF +1.3%
Q311:09BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 19(11:09) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary right end pushed ob at BUF 48 for 29 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +0.8%
Q310:47BUF 3–TB 241st & 10BUF 48(10:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to TB 39 for 13 yards (24-C.Davis).BUF +0.1%
Q310:13BUF 3–TB 241st & 10TB 39(10:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right.TB +0.3%
Q310:09BUF 3–TB 242nd & 10TB 39(10:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 11-C.Beasley.TB +0.2%
Q310:07BUF 3–TB 243rd & 10TB 39(10:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to TB 30 for 9 yards (43-R.Cockrell) [50-V.Vea].TB +0.4%
Q39:17BUF 3–TB 244th & 1TB 30(9:17) (Shotgun) 71-R.Bates reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen right end to TB 26 for 4 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +1.5%
Q38:41BUF 3–TB 241st & 10TB 26(8:41) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to TB 28 for -2 yards (43-R.Cockrell; 54-L.David).TB +0.7%
Q38:06BUF 3–TB 242nd & 12TB 28(8:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at TB 18 for 10 yards (26-A.Adams; 24-C.Davis).BUF +0.5%
Q37:34BUF 9–TB 243rd & 2TB 18(7:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +1.4%
Q3—BUF 10–TB 24—TB 152-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.BUF +0.1%
Q3—BUF 10–TB 24—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q37:29BUF 10–TB 241st & 10TB 25(7:29) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones right end to TB 34 for 9 yards (30-D.Jackson).TB +0.9%
Q36:49BUF 10–TB 242nd & 1TB 34(6:49) 27-R.Jones right tackle to TB 35 for 1 yard (30-D.Jackson).TB +0.2%
Q36:15BUF 10–TB 241st & 10TB 35(6:15) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones right guard to TB 33 for -2 yards (99-H.Phillips, 55-J.Hughes).BUF +0.2%
Q35:35BUF 10–TB 242nd & 12TB 33(5:35) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-97-M.Addison, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 33 - No Play.TB +1.4%
Q35:14BUF 10–TB 242nd & 7TB 38(5:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski.BUF +0.4%
Q35:08BUF 10–TB 243rd & 7TB 38(5:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin.BUF +0.6%
Q35:02BUF 10–TB 244th & 7TB 38(5:02) 8-B.Pinion punts 39 yards to BUF 23, Center-97-Z.Triner, downed by TB-43-R.Cockrell.BUF +0.8%
Q34:53BUF 10–TB 241st & 10BUF 23(4:53) (Shotgun) 22-M.Breida right tackle to BUF 27 for 4 yards (54-L.David, 26-A.Adams).TB +0.4%
Q34:22BUF 10–TB 242nd & 6BUF 27(4:22) (Shotgun) 22-M.Breida left guard to BUF 38 for 11 yards (54-L.David).BUF +0.6%
Q33:46BUF 10–TB 241st & 10BUF 38(3:46) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle to BUF 43 for 5 yards (45-D.White).BUF +0.2%
Q33:11BUF 10–TB 242nd & 5BUF 43(3:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 22-M.Breida (50-V.Vea).TB +0.5%
Q33:06BUF 10–TB 243rd & 5BUF 43(3:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 45 for 2 yards (54-L.David).TB +1.0%
Q32:18BUF 10–TB 244th & 3BUF 45(2:18) 3-M.Haack punts 45 yards to TB 10, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 1-J.Darden.BUF +0.2%
Q32:11BUF 10–TB 241st & 10TB 10(2:11) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 12 for 2 yards (51-E.Ankou, 49-T.Edmunds).BUF +0.4%
Q31:35BUF 10–TB 242nd & 8TB 12(1:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 13-M.Evans to TB 36 for 24 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +1.2%
Q31:00BUF 10–TB 241st & 10TB 36(1:00) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette left guard to TB 36 for no gain (58-M.Milano, 39-L.Wallace).BUF +0.3%
Q30:21BUF 10–TB 242nd & 10TB 36(:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to TB 40 for 4 yards (30-D.Jackson).TB +0.8%
Q415:00BUF 10–TB 243rd & 6TB 40(15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 16-B.Perriman [58-M.Milano]. Penalty on BUF-30-D.Jackson, Defensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at TB 40 - No Play. Penalty on TB-66-R.Jensen, Offensive Holding, offsetting. +0.0%
Q414:55BUF 10–TB 243rd & 6TB 40(14:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to BUF 42 for 18 yards (23-M.Hyde; 24-T.Johnson).TB +0.9%
Q414:16BUF 10–TB 241st & 10BUF 42(14:16) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 35 for 7 yards (49-T.Edmunds).TB +0.4%
Q413:31BUF 10–TB 242nd & 3BUF 35(13:31) 7-L.Fournette right end pushed ob at BUF 14 for 21 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +0.2%
Q412:53BUF 10–TB 241st & 10BUF 14(12:53) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 14 for no gain (24-T.Johnson).TB +0.1%
Q412:14BUF 10–TB 242nd & 10BUF 14(12:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 84-C.Brate (30-D.Jackson).BUF +0.3%
Q412:10BUF 10–TB 243rd & 10BUF 14(12:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 6 for 8 yards (55-J.Hughes).BUF +0.2%
Q4—BUF 10–TB 24—BUF 6Timeout #1 by TB at 11:24. +0.0%
Q411:24BUF 10–TB 274th & 2BUF 6(11:24) 3-R.Succop 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.BUF +0.1%
Q4—BUF 10–TB 27—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q411:20BUF 10–TB 271st & 10BUF 25(11:20) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to BUF 29 for 4 yards (58-S.Barrett).TB +0.5%
Q410:50BUF 10–TB 272nd & 6BUF 29(10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 39 for 10 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).BUF +0.3%
Q410:22BUF 10–TB 271st & 10BUF 39(10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 11-C.Beasley. PENALTY on TB-9-J.Tryon, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 39 - No Play.BUF +0.1%
Q410:17BUF 10–TB 271st & 5BUF 44(10:17) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle pushed ob at TB 38 for 18 yards (45-D.White).BUF +0.5%
Q49:51BUF 10–TB 271st & 10TB 38(9:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard to TB 15 for 23 yards (45-D.White).BUF +0.5%
Q49:11BUF 16–TB 271st & 10TB 15(9:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +2.7%
Q4—BUF 17–TB 27—TB 152-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.BUF +0.1%
Q4—BUF 17–TB 27—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 61 yards from BUF 35 to TB 4. 1-J.Darden ran ob at TB 37 for 33 yards (2-T.Bass). PENALTY on TB-98-A.Nelson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.BUF +0.8%
Q49:00BUF 17–TB 271st & 10TB 10(9:00) 7-L.Fournette right end to TB 11 for 1 yard (21-J.Poyer).TB +0.0%
Q48:27BUF 17–TB 272nd & 9TB 11(8:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski (30-D.Jackson).BUF +0.9%
Q48:21BUF 17–TB 273rd & 9TB 11(8:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 14-C.Godwin.BUF +1.8%
Q48:17BUF 17–TB 274th & 9TB 11(8:17) 8-B.Pinion punts 35 yards to TB 46, Center-97-Z.Triner, downed by TB-48-G.Stuard.BUF +3.0%
Q48:08BUF 17–TB 271st & 10TB 46(8:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Diggs (26-A.Adams).TB +1.1%
Q48:04BUF 17–TB 272nd & 10TB 46(8:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley ran ob at TB 37 for 9 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).BUF +0.5%
Q47:28BUF 17–TB 273rd & 1TB 37(7:28) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to TB 35 for 2 yards (43-R.Cockrell).BUF +0.7%
Q46:54BUF 17–TB 271st & 10TB 35(6:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard to TB 35 for no gain (90-J.Pierre-Paul).TB +2.1%
Q46:27BUF 17–TB 272nd & 10TB 35(6:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to TB 23 for 12 yards (43-R.Cockrell).BUF +2.7%
Q45:51BUF 17–TB 271st & 10TB 23(5:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs pushed ob at TB 11 for 12 yards (24-C.Davis).BUF +0.8%
Q45:22BUF 17–TB 271st & 10TB 11(5:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 26-D.Singletary to TB 8 for 3 yards (45-D.White). PENALTY on TB-92-W.Gholston, Roughing the Passer, 4 yards, enforced at TB 8.BUF +1.1%
Q45:00BUF 17–TB 271st & 4TB 4(5:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 13-G.Davis.TB +1.0%
Q44:57BUF 23–TB 272nd & 4TB 4(4:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 13-G.Davis for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +7.3%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—TB 152-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.BUF +0.2%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
Q44:53BUF 24–TB 271st & 10TB 25(4:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to TB 30 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).BUF +0.4%
Q44:15BUF 24–TB 272nd & 5TB 30(4:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 13-M.Evans to TB 41 for 11 yards (23-M.Hyde).TB +3.7%
Q43:38BUF 24–TB 271st & 10TB 41(3:38) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 45 for 4 yards (51-E.Ankou; 99-H.Phillips).BUF +0.6%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—TB 45Timeout #1 by BUF at 03:35. +0.0%
Q43:35BUF 24–TB 272nd & 6TB 45(3:35) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 14-C.Godwin.BUF +3.4%
Q43:30BUF 24–TB 273rd & 6TB 45(3:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 45 for 10 yards (24-T.Johnson). Penalty on BUF-58-M.Milano, Defensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at TB 45 - No Play. Penalty on TB-76-D.Smith, Offensive Holding, offsetting.TB +1.0%
Q43:22BUF 24–TB 273rd & 6TB 45(3:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 35 for -10 yards (58-M.Milano).BUF +12.2%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—TB 35Timeout #2 by BUF at 03:16. +0.0%
Q43:16BUF 24–TB 274th & 16TB 35(3:16) 8-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to BUF 18, Center-97-Z.Triner. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 23 for 5 yards (48-G.Stuard; 52-K.Britt).TB +6.1%
Q43:05BUF 24–TB 271st & 10BUF 23(3:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 27 for 4 yards (24-C.Davis).TB +1.0%
Q42:32BUF 24–TB 272nd & 6BUF 27(2:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end pushed ob at BUF 34 for 7 yards (45-D.White).BUF +3.6%
Q42:24BUF 24–TB 271st & 10BUF 34(2:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to BUF 38 for 4 yards (45-D.White).BUF +0.4%
Q42:00BUF 24–TB 272nd & 6BUF 38(2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right.TB +4.7%
Q41:55BUF 24–TB 273rd & 6BUF 38(1:55) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 40 for 2 yards (43-R.Cockrell).TB +11.7%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—BUF 40Timeout #3 by BUF at 01:48. +0.0%
Q41:48BUF 24–TB 274th & 4BUF 40(1:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at BUF 45 for 5 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).BUF +11.5%
Q41:42BUF 24–TB 271st & 10BUF 45(1:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 14-S.Diggs [43-R.Cockrell].TB +1.8%
Q41:37BUF 24–TB 272nd & 10BUF 45(1:37) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to TB 40 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).BUF +11.9%
Q41:11BUF 24–TB 271st & 10TB 40(1:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley to TB 39 for 1 yard (31-A.Winfield).TB +1.8%
Q4—BUF 24–TB 27—TB 39Timeout #2 by TB at 01:04. +0.0%
Q41:04BUF 24–TB 272nd & 9TB 39(1:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to TB 15 for 24 yards (54-L.David).BUF +20.4%
Q40:40BUF 24–TB 271st & 10TB 15(:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Knox [58-S.Barrett].TB +1.9%
Q40:35BUF 24–TB 272nd & 10TB 15(:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left end ran ob at TB 7 for 8 yards (54-L.David).TB +2.3%
Q40:28BUF 24–TB 273rd & 2TB 7(:28) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 14-S.Diggs.TB +10.3%
Q40:25BUF 27–TB 274th & 2TB 7(:25) 2-T.Bass 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.TB +9.3%
Q4—BUF 27–TB 27—BUF 352-T.Bass kicks 57 yards from BUF 35 to TB 8. 1-J.Darden to TB 16 for 8 yards (15-J.Kumerow).BUF +2.2%
Q40:16BUF 27–TB 271st & 10TB 16(:16) 12-T.Brady kneels to TB 15 for -1 yards.BUF +17.8%
OT—BUF 27–TB 27—TB 358-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. +0.0%
OT10:00BUF 27–TB 271st & 10BUF 25(10:00) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to BUF 28 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea).TB +4.4%
OT9:33BUF 27–TB 272nd & 7BUF 28(9:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley ran ob at BUF 31 for 3 yards (24-C.Davis).TB +2.5%
OT9:01BUF 27–TB 273rd & 4BUF 31(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Diggs.TB +11.5%
OT8:58BUF 27–TB 274th & 4BUF 31(8:58) 3-M.Haack punts 63 yards to TB 6, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.BUF +28.9%
OT8:48BUF 27–TB 271st & 10TB 6(8:48) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 9 for 3 yards (99-H.Phillips).BUF +2.6%
OT8:20BUF 27–TB 272nd & 7TB 9(8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 15 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 58-M.Milano).TB +2.7%
OT7:45BUF 27–TB 273rd & 1TB 15(7:45) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 16 for 1 yard (21-J.Poyer). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.TB +1.4%
OT7:06BUF 27–TB 271st & 10TB 16(7:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on BUF-39-L.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at TB 16 - No Play.TB +10.5%
OT7:00BUF 27–TB 271st & 10TB 35(7:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette to TB 28 for -7 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 21-J.Poyer).BUF +12.2%
OT6:27BUF 27–TB 272nd & 17TB 28(6:27) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 42 for 14 yards (24-T.Johnson).TB +7.6%
OT5:42BUF 27–TB 333rd & 3TB 42(5:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 16-B.Perriman for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.TB +54.2%
Q1 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +1.7%
Win probability: TB 61.4%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 56 yards from BUF 35 to TB 9. 1-J.Darden ran ob at TB 24 for 15 yards (42-J.Giles-Harris).
Q1 14:57 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +9.5%
Win probability: BUF 36.9%
1st & 10 · TB 24
(14:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady Aborted. 66-R.Jensen FUMBLES at TB 24, recovered by TB-12-T.Brady at TB 10.
Q1 14:16 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 46.4%
2nd & 24 · TB 10
(14:16) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 16 for 6 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q1 13:38 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +3.5%
Win probability: TB 52.9%
3rd & 18 · TB 16
(13:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 31 for 15 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 13:02 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +3.1%
Win probability: BUF 43.5%
4th & 3 · TB 31
(13:02) 8-B.Pinion punts 55 yards to BUF 14, Center-97-Z.Triner. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 18 for 4 yards (48-G.Stuard).
Q1 12:50 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +3.9%
Win probability: TB 53.4%
1st & 10 · BUF 18
(12:50) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at BUF 19 for 1 yard (35-J.Dean).
Q1 12:20 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +3.6%
Win probability: BUF 42.8%
2nd & 9 · BUF 19
(12:20) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 29 for 10 yards (26-A.Adams).
Q1 11:35 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 53.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 29
(11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 26-D.Singletary (26-A.Adams).
Q1 11:31 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +5.3%
Win probability: TB 55.0%
2nd & 10 · BUF 29
(11:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 22 for -7 yards (58-S.Barrett).
Q1 10:49 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 39.7%
3rd & 17 · BUF 22
(10:49) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 33 for 11 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting; 31-A.Winfield) [90-J.Pierre-Paul].
Q1 10:05 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 59.2%
4th & 6 · BUF 33
(10:05) 3-M.Haack punts 44 yards to TB 23, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 1-J.Darden to TB 33 for 10 yards (9-A.Smith; 42-J.Giles-Harris).
Q1 9:55 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 39.5%
1st & 10 · TB 33
(9:55) 7-L.Fournette left guard to TB 36 for 3 yards (99-H.Phillips; 49-T.Edmunds).
Q1 9:32 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 40.0%
2nd & 7 · TB 36
(9:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans to TB 41 for 5 yards (39-L.Wallace).
Q1 9:00 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +3.2%
Win probability: TB 59.6%
3rd & 2 · TB 41
(9:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 48 for 7 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q1 8:31 · BUF 0–TB 0
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 37.1%
1st & 10 · TB 48
(8:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 7-L.Fournette.
Q1 8:27 · BUF 0–TB 0
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 61.4%
2nd & 10 · TB 48
(8:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on BUF-24-T.Johnson, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 48 - No Play.
Q1 8:22 · BUF 0–TB 6
TB +12.6%
Win probability: TB 62.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 47
(8:22) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right tackle for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 75.4%
— · BUF 15
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Q1 · BUF 0–TB 7
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q1 8:13 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 24.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(8:13) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 30 for 5 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul, 45-D.White).
Q1 7:33 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +3.5%
Win probability: BUF 24.7%
2nd & 5 · BUF 30
(7:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right end to BUF 44 for 14 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q1 6:54 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 71.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 44
(6:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 47 for 3 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting, 45-D.White).
Q1 6:13 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +1.7%
Win probability: TB 71.8%
2nd & 7 · BUF 47
(6:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 46 for -1 yards (sack split by 58-S.Barrett and 45-D.White).
Q1 5:31 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 73.6%
3rd & 8 · BUF 46
(5:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 13-G.Davis.
Q1 5:27 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +3.3%
Win probability: TB 75.7%
4th & 8 · BUF 46
(5:27) 3-M.Haack punts 39 yards to TB 15, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
Q1 5:19 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 79.0%
1st & 10 · TB 15
(5:19) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to TB 19 for 4 yards (21-J.Poyer; 99-H.Phillips).
Q1 4:46 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 20.8%
2nd & 6 · TB 19
(4:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to TB 24 for 5 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q1 4:26 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 79.2%
3rd & 1 · TB 24
(4:26) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady up the middle to TB 26 for 2 yards (58-M.Milano; 91-E.Oliver).
Q1 3:42 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 79.6%
1st & 10 · TB 26
(3:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to TB 38 for 12 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 3:11 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 81.5%
1st & 10 · TB 38
(3:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 47 for 9 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 2:46 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 17.4%
2nd & 1 · TB 47
(2:46) (No Huddle) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 49 for 2 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q1 2:10 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 81.3%
1st & 10 · TB 49
(2:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at BUF 31 for 20 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q1 1:44 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 16.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 31
(1:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 1:38 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 82.4%
2nd & 10 · BUF 31
(1:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to BUF 23 for 8 yards (57-A.Epenesa).
Q1 1:07 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 15.5%
3rd & 2 · BUF 23
(1:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to BUF 20 for 3 yards (24-T.Johnson).
Q1 0:26 · BUF 0–TB 7
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 84.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 20
(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 4 for 16 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q2 15:00 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 13.9%
1st & 4 · BUF 4
(15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at BUF 6 for -2 yards (51-E.Ankou).
Q2 14:24 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +2.8%
Win probability: BUF 15.3%
2nd & 6 · BUF 6
(14:24) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (58-M.Milano).
Q2 13:46 · BUF 0–TB 7
BUF +2.4%
Win probability: BUF 18.1%
3rd & 5 · BUF 5
(13:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Godwin [57-A.Epenesa].
Q2 13:40 · BUF 0–TB 10
TB +2.4%
Win probability: TB 79.5%
4th & 5 · BUF 5
(13:40) 3-R.Succop 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Q2 · BUF 0–TB 10
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 13:36 · BUF 0–TB 10
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 18.1%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(13:36) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 1-E.Sanders to 50 for 25 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q2 12:55 · BUF 0–TB 10
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 79.3%
1st & 10 · MID 50
(12:55) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis to TB 44 for 6 yards (24-C.Davis). PENALTY on BUF-14-S.Diggs, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.
Q2 12:31 · BUF 0–TB 10
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 19.8%
1st & 15 · BUF 45
(12:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 14-S.Diggs to TB 31 for 24 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q2 11:48 · BUF 0–TB 10
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 22.0%
1st & 10 · TB 31
(11:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis to TB 10 for 21 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q2 11:05 · BUF 0–TB 10
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 76.2%
1st & 10 · TB 10
(11:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left end to TB 13 for -3 yards (56-R.Nunez-Roches).
Q2 10:22 · BUF 0–TB 10
BUF +1.6%
Win probability: BUF 21.9%
2nd & 13 · TB 13
(10:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to TB 3 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q2 9:35 · BUF 0–TB 10
TB +2.3%
Win probability: TB 76.5%
3rd & 3 · TB 3
(9:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 13-G.Davis.
Q2 9:32 · BUF 3–TB 10
BUF +3.2%
Win probability: BUF 21.2%
4th & 3 · TB 3
(9:32) 2-T.Bass 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 10
+0.0%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 9:28 · BUF 3–TB 10
TB +4.2%
Win probability: TB 75.6%
1st & 10 · TB 25
(9:28) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at TB 48 for 23 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q2 9:02 · BUF 3–TB 10
TB +3.6%
Win probability: TB 79.7%
1st & 10 · TB 48
(9:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to BUF 34 for 18 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q2 8:35 · BUF 3–TB 10
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 83.4%
1st & 10 · BUF 34
(8:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right guard to BUF 29 for 5 yards (99-H.Phillips).
Q2 8:07 · BUF 3–TB 10
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 16.3%
2nd & 5 · BUF 29
(8:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 16-B.Perriman.
Q2 8:04 · BUF 3–TB 10
TB +3.0%
Win probability: TB 82.7%
3rd & 5 · BUF 29
(8:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Gronkowski. PENALTY on BUF-30-D.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at BUF 29 - No Play.
Q2 7:59 · BUF 3–TB 10
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 14.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 18
(7:59) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 13 for 5 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q2 7:20 · BUF 3–TB 10
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 14.6%
2nd & 5 · BUF 13
(7:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 7-L.Fournette.
Q2 7:15 · BUF 3–TB 16
TB +4.6%
Win probability: TB 84.3%
3rd & 5 · BUF 13
(7:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 88.9%
— · BUF 15
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 89.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 69 yards from TB 35 to BUF -4. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 25 for 29 yards (48-G.Stuard; 51-K.Minter).
Q2 7:03 · BUF 3–TB 17
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 10.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(7:03) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to BUF 34 for 9 yards (26-A.Adams).
Q2 6:24 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 88.5%
2nd & 1 · BUF 34
(6:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 19-I.McKenzie pushed ob at BUF 39 for 5 yards (54-L.David).
Q2 5:50 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 88.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 39
(5:50) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 32 for -7 yards (45-D.White).
Q2 5:04 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.6%
Win probability: TB 90.3%
2nd & 17 · BUF 32
(5:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 11-C.Beasley.
Q2 5:00 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 90.9%
3rd & 17 · BUF 32
(5:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to BUF 38 for 6 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q2 4:20 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 91.3%
4th & 11 · BUF 38
(4:20) 3-M.Haack punts 34 yards to TB 28, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
Q2 4:12 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +1.8%
Win probability: TB 92.7%
1st & 10 · TB 28
(4:12) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 44 for 16 yards (58-M.Milano, 21-J.Poyer).
Q2 3:37 · BUF 3–TB 17
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 5.5%
1st & 10 · TB 44
(3:37) (No Huddle) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to TB 43 for -1 yards (49-T.Edmunds, 91-E.Oliver).
Q2 2:56 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 94.2%
2nd & 11 · TB 43
(2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 44 for 13 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q2 2:21 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 94.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 44
(2:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 37 for 7 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q2 2:01 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 94.8%
2nd & 3 · BUF 37
(2:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to BUF 29 for 8 yards (58-M.Milano; 49-T.Edmunds).
Q2 1:56 · BUF 3–TB 17
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 4.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 29
(1:56) 7-L.Fournette left guard to BUF 27 for 2 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 17
+0.0%
— · BUF 27
Timeout #1 by BUF at 01:51.
Q2 1:51 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 95.1%
2nd & 8 · BUF 27
(1:51) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski to BUF 22 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 17
+0.0%
— · BUF 22
Timeout #2 by BUF at 01:43.
Q2 1:43 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 95.5%
3rd & 3 · BUF 22
(1:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 13-M.Evans ran ob at BUF 2 for 20 yards (24-T.Johnson) [58-M.Milano].
Q2 1:38 · BUF 3–TB 17
TB +0.6%
Win probability: TB 96.9%
1st & 2 · BUF 2
(1:38) 72-J.Wells reported in as eligible. 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 1 for 1 yard (90-B.Bryant).
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 17
+0.0%
— · BUF 1
Timeout #3 by BUF at 01:32.
Q2 1:32 · BUF 3–TB 23
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 2.5%
2nd & 1 · BUF 1
(1:32) 72-J.Wells reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 96.8%
— · BUF 15
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 24
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q2 1:29 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 3.2%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(1:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 35 for 10 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul).
Q2 1:12 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 3.4%
1st & 10 · BUF 35
(1:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 30 for -5 yards (58-S.Barrett). PENALTY on TB-58-S.Barrett, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.
Q2 1:08 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 96.6%
1st & 5 · BUF 40
(1:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 5-R.Sherman [9-J.Tryon] at BUF 45. 5-R.Sherman to BUF 45 for no gain (88-D.Knox).
Q2 1:00 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 2.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 45
(1:00) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 7-L.Fournette.
Q2 0:56 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 98.0%
2nd & 10 · BUF 45
(:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 7-L.Fournette to BUF 40 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 24
+0.0%
— · BUF 40
Timeout #1 by TB at 00:50.
Q2 0:50 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 2.0%
3rd & 5 · BUF 40
(:50) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin. TB-25-G.Bernard was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Q2 · BUF 3–TB 24
+0.0%
— · BUF 40
Timeout #2 by TB at 00:47.
Q2 0:47 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 2.4%
4th & 5 · BUF 40
(:47) 8-B.Pinion punts 20 yards to BUF 20, Center-97-Z.Triner, out of bounds.
Q2 0:40 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 2.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 20
(:40) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle pushed ob at BUF 42 for 22 yards (54-L.David).
Q2 0:34 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 96.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 42
(:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Diggs.
Q2 0:28 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 2.7%
2nd & 10 · BUF 42
(:28) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right [58-S.Barrett].
Q2 0:21 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 97.3%
3rd & 10 · BUF 42
(:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play.
Q2 0:21 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 97.4%
3rd & 15 · BUF 37
(:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 14-S.Diggs [58-S.Barrett].
Q2 0:13 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 97.7%
4th & 15 · BUF 37
(:13) 3-M.Haack punts 61 yards to TB 2, Center-69-R.Ferguson, downed by BUF-33-S.Neal.
Q2 0:01 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 2.0%
1st & 10 · TB 2
(:01) 12-T.Brady kneels to TB 1 for -1 yards.
Q3 · BUF 3–TB 24
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 15:00 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 3.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(15:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at BUF 37 for 12 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q3 14:29 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 96.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 37
(14:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left tackle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (54-L.David).
Q3 13:54 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 3.7%
2nd & 9 · BUF 38
(13:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 44 for 6 yards (26-A.Adams).
Q3 13:13 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 96.1%
3rd & 3 · BUF 44
(13:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis to BUF 45 for 1 yard (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q3 12:34 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 97.0%
4th & 2 · BUF 45
(12:34) (Punt formation) 22-M.Breida left end to BUF 42 for -3 yards (79-P.O'Connor).
Q3 12:28 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 98.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 42
(12:28) 7-L.Fournette right tackle to BUF 40 for 2 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q3 12:03 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 2.0%
2nd & 8 · BUF 40
(12:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski.
Q3 12:00 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 97.8%
3rd & 8 · BUF 40
(12:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to BUF 34 for 6 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q3 11:15 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 1.7%
4th & 2 · BUF 34
(11:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 84-C.Brate (49-T.Edmunds). PENALTY on BUF-91-E.Oliver, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q3 11:09 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 3.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 19
(11:09) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary right end pushed ob at BUF 48 for 29 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q3 10:47 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 3.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 48
(10:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to TB 39 for 13 yards (24-C.Davis).
Q3 10:13 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 96.1%
1st & 10 · TB 39
(10:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right.
Q3 10:09 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 96.3%
2nd & 10 · TB 39
(10:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 11-C.Beasley.
Q3 10:07 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 96.6%
3rd & 10 · TB 39
(10:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to TB 30 for 9 yards (43-R.Cockrell) [50-V.Vea].
Q3 9:17 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 3.1%
4th & 1 · TB 30
(9:17) (Shotgun) 71-R.Bates reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen right end to TB 26 for 4 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q3 8:41 · BUF 3–TB 24
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 95.5%
1st & 10 · TB 26
(8:41) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to TB 28 for -2 yards (43-R.Cockrell; 54-L.David).
Q3 8:06 · BUF 3–TB 24
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 3.9%
2nd & 12 · TB 28
(8:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at TB 18 for 10 yards (26-A.Adams; 24-C.Davis).
Q3 7:34 · BUF 9–TB 24
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 4.4%
3rd & 2 · TB 18
(7:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 5.8%
— · TB 15
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Q3 · BUF 10–TB 24
+0.0%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q3 7:29 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 94.1%
1st & 10 · TB 25
(7:29) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones right end to TB 34 for 9 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q3 6:49 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 95.1%
2nd & 1 · TB 34
(6:49) 27-R.Jones right tackle to TB 35 for 1 yard (30-D.Jackson).
Q3 6:15 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 4.7%
1st & 10 · TB 35
(6:15) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones right guard to TB 33 for -2 yards (99-H.Phillips, 55-J.Hughes).
Q3 5:35 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 95.0%
2nd & 12 · TB 33
(5:35) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-97-M.Addison, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 33 - No Play.
Q3 5:14 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 3.6%
2nd & 7 · TB 38
(5:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski.
Q3 5:08 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 4.0%
3rd & 7 · TB 38
(5:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin.
Q3 5:02 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 4.6%
4th & 7 · TB 38
(5:02) 8-B.Pinion punts 39 yards to BUF 23, Center-97-Z.Triner, downed by TB-43-R.Cockrell.
Q3 4:53 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 94.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 23
(4:53) (Shotgun) 22-M.Breida right tackle to BUF 27 for 4 yards (54-L.David, 26-A.Adams).
Q3 4:22 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 5.0%
2nd & 6 · BUF 27
(4:22) (Shotgun) 22-M.Breida left guard to BUF 38 for 11 yards (54-L.David).
Q3 3:46 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 5.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 38
(3:46) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle to BUF 43 for 5 yards (45-D.White).
Q3 3:11 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 94.2%
2nd & 5 · BUF 43
(3:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 22-M.Breida (50-V.Vea).
Q3 3:06 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 94.7%
3rd & 5 · BUF 43
(3:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 45 for 2 yards (54-L.David).
Q3 2:18 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 4.3%
4th & 3 · BUF 45
(2:18) 3-M.Haack punts 45 yards to TB 10, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 1-J.Darden.
Q3 2:11 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 4.5%
1st & 10 · TB 10
(2:11) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 12 for 2 yards (51-E.Ankou, 49-T.Edmunds).
Q3 1:35 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 95.1%
2nd & 8 · TB 12
(1:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 13-M.Evans to TB 36 for 24 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q3 1:00 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 3.7%
1st & 10 · TB 36
(1:00) (Shotgun) 7-L.Fournette left guard to TB 36 for no gain (58-M.Milano, 39-L.Wallace).
Q3 0:21 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 96.0%
2nd & 10 · TB 36
(:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 18-T.Johnson to TB 40 for 4 yards (30-D.Jackson).
Q4 15:00 · BUF 10–TB 24
+0.0%
3rd & 6 · TB 40
(15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 16-B.Perriman [58-M.Milano]. Penalty on BUF-30-D.Jackson, Defensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at TB 40 - No Play. Penalty on TB-66-R.Jensen, Offensive Holding, offsetting.
Q4 14:55 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 96.8%
3rd & 6 · TB 40
(14:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to BUF 42 for 18 yards (23-M.Hyde; 24-T.Johnson).
Q4 14:16 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 97.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 42
(14:16) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to BUF 35 for 7 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q4 13:31 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 98.1%
2nd & 3 · BUF 35
(13:31) 7-L.Fournette right end pushed ob at BUF 14 for 21 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q4 12:53 · BUF 10–TB 24
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 98.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 14
(12:53) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 14 for no gain (24-T.Johnson).
Q4 12:14 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 1.6%
2nd & 10 · BUF 14
(12:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 84-C.Brate (30-D.Jackson).
Q4 12:10 · BUF 10–TB 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 1.9%
3rd & 10 · BUF 14
(12:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 6 for 8 yards (55-J.Hughes).
Q4 · BUF 10–TB 24
+0.0%
— · BUF 6
Timeout #1 by TB at 11:24.
Q4 11:24 · BUF 10–TB 27
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 2.1%
4th & 2 · BUF 6
(11:24) 3-R.Succop 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Q4 · BUF 10–TB 27
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 11:20 · BUF 10–TB 27
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 97.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(11:20) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to BUF 29 for 4 yards (58-S.Barrett).
Q4 10:50 · BUF 10–TB 27
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 1.6%
2nd & 6 · BUF 29
(10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 39 for 10 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q4 10:22 · BUF 10–TB 27
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 1.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 39
(10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 11-C.Beasley. PENALTY on TB-9-J.Tryon, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 39 - No Play.
Q4 10:17 · BUF 10–TB 27
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 2.0%
1st & 5 · BUF 44
(10:17) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle pushed ob at TB 38 for 18 yards (45-D.White).
Q4 9:51 · BUF 10–TB 27
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 2.5%
1st & 10 · TB 38
(9:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard to TB 15 for 23 yards (45-D.White).
Q4 9:11 · BUF 16–TB 27
BUF +2.7%
Win probability: BUF 3.1%
1st & 10 · TB 15
(9:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 5.8%
— · TB 15
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Q4 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 5.9%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 61 yards from BUF 35 to TB 4. 1-J.Darden ran ob at TB 37 for 33 yards (2-T.Bass). PENALTY on TB-98-A.Nelson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.
Q4 9:00 · BUF 17–TB 27
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 93.3%
1st & 10 · TB 10
(9:00) 7-L.Fournette right end to TB 11 for 1 yard (21-J.Poyer).
Q4 8:27 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 6.7%
2nd & 9 · TB 11
(8:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski (30-D.Jackson).
Q4 8:21 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 7.6%
3rd & 9 · TB 11
(8:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 14-C.Godwin.
Q4 8:17 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 9.4%
4th & 9 · TB 11
(8:17) 8-B.Pinion punts 35 yards to TB 46, Center-97-Z.Triner, downed by TB-48-G.Stuard.
Q4 8:08 · BUF 17–TB 27
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 87.6%
1st & 10 · TB 46
(8:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Diggs (26-A.Adams).
Q4 8:04 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 11.3%
2nd & 10 · TB 46
(8:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-C.Beasley ran ob at TB 37 for 9 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q4 7:28 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 11.8%
3rd & 1 · TB 37
(7:28) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to TB 35 for 2 yards (43-R.Cockrell).
Q4 6:54 · BUF 17–TB 27
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 87.5%
1st & 10 · TB 35
(6:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left guard to TB 35 for no gain (90-J.Pierre-Paul).
Q4 6:27 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +2.7%
Win probability: BUF 10.3%
2nd & 10 · TB 35
(6:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to TB 23 for 12 yards (43-R.Cockrell).
Q4 5:51 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 13.1%
1st & 10 · TB 23
(5:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs pushed ob at TB 11 for 12 yards (24-C.Davis).
Q4 5:22 · BUF 17–TB 27
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 13.9%
1st & 10 · TB 11
(5:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 26-D.Singletary to TB 8 for 3 yards (45-D.White). PENALTY on TB-92-W.Gholston, Roughing the Passer, 4 yards, enforced at TB 8.
Q4 5:00 · BUF 17–TB 27
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 84.9%
1st & 4 · TB 4
(5:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 13-G.Davis.
Q4 4:57 · BUF 23–TB 27
BUF +7.3%
Win probability: BUF 14.1%
2nd & 4 · TB 4
(4:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 13-G.Davis for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 21.3%
— · TB 15
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
+0.0%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback.
Q4 4:53 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 21.5%
1st & 10 · TB 25
(4:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to TB 30 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q4 4:15 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +3.7%
Win probability: TB 78.1%
2nd & 5 · TB 30
(4:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 13-M.Evans to TB 41 for 11 yards (23-M.Hyde).
Q4 3:38 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 18.2%
1st & 10 · TB 41
(3:38) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 45 for 4 yards (51-E.Ankou; 99-H.Phillips).
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
+0.0%
— · TB 45
Timeout #1 by BUF at 03:35.
Q4 3:35 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +3.4%
Win probability: BUF 18.8%
2nd & 6 · TB 45
(3:35) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 14-C.Godwin.
Q4 3:30 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 77.8%
3rd & 6 · TB 45
(3:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to BUF 45 for 10 yards (24-T.Johnson). Penalty on BUF-58-M.Milano, Defensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at TB 45 - No Play. Penalty on TB-76-D.Smith, Offensive Holding, offsetting.
Q4 3:22 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +12.2%
Win probability: BUF 21.2%
3rd & 6 · TB 45
(3:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 35 for -10 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
+0.0%
— · TB 35
Timeout #2 by BUF at 03:16.
Q4 3:16 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +6.1%
Win probability: TB 66.6%
4th & 16 · TB 35
(3:16) 8-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to BUF 18, Center-97-Z.Triner. 5-M.Stevenson to BUF 23 for 5 yards (48-G.Stuard; 52-K.Britt).
Q4 3:05 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 72.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 23
(3:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to BUF 27 for 4 yards (24-C.Davis).
Q4 2:32 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +3.6%
Win probability: BUF 26.3%
2nd & 6 · BUF 27
(2:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end pushed ob at BUF 34 for 7 yards (45-D.White).
Q4 2:24 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 29.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 34
(2:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to BUF 38 for 4 yards (45-D.White).
Q4 2:00 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +4.7%
Win probability: TB 69.6%
2nd & 6 · BUF 38
(2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right.
Q4 1:55 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +11.7%
Win probability: TB 74.3%
3rd & 6 · BUF 38
(1:55) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley to BUF 40 for 2 yards (43-R.Cockrell).
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
+0.0%
— · BUF 40
Timeout #3 by BUF at 01:48.
Q4 1:48 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +11.5%
Win probability: BUF 13.9%
4th & 4 · BUF 40
(1:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at BUF 45 for 5 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).
Q4 1:42 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +1.8%
Win probability: TB 74.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 45
(1:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 14-S.Diggs [43-R.Cockrell].
Q4 1:37 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +11.9%
Win probability: BUF 23.6%
2nd & 10 · BUF 45
(1:37) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to TB 40 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 1:11 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +1.8%
Win probability: TB 64.5%
1st & 10 · TB 40
(1:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley to TB 39 for 1 yard (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 · BUF 24–TB 27
+0.0%
— · TB 39
Timeout #2 by TB at 01:04.
Q4 1:04 · BUF 24–TB 27
BUF +20.4%
Win probability: BUF 33.7%
2nd & 9 · TB 39
(1:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to TB 15 for 24 yards (54-L.David).
Q4 0:40 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 45.9%
1st & 10 · TB 15
(:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Knox [58-S.Barrett].
Q4 0:35 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +2.3%
Win probability: TB 47.8%
2nd & 10 · TB 15
(:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left end ran ob at TB 7 for 8 yards (54-L.David).
Q4 0:28 · BUF 24–TB 27
TB +10.3%
Win probability: TB 50.1%
3rd & 2 · TB 7
(:28) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 14-S.Diggs.
Q4 0:25 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +9.3%
Win probability: TB 60.4%
4th & 2 · TB 7
(:25) 2-T.Bass 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Q4 · BUF 27–TB 27
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 30.3%
— · BUF 35
2-T.Bass kicks 57 yards from BUF 35 to TB 8. 1-J.Darden to TB 16 for 8 yards (15-J.Kumerow).
Q4 0:16 · BUF 27–TB 27
BUF +17.8%
Win probability: BUF 32.5%
1st & 10 · TB 16
(:16) 12-T.Brady kneels to TB 15 for -1 yards.
OT · BUF 27–TB 27
+0.0%
— · TB 35
8-B.Pinion kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.
OT 10:00 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +4.4%
Win probability: TB 49.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(10:00) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to BUF 28 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea).
OT 9:33 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 54.1%
2nd & 7 · BUF 28
(9:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 11-C.Beasley ran ob at BUF 31 for 3 yards (24-C.Davis).
OT 9:01 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +11.5%
Win probability: TB 56.6%
3rd & 4 · BUF 31
(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Diggs.
OT 8:58 · BUF 27–TB 27
BUF +28.9%
Win probability: BUF 31.9%
4th & 4 · BUF 31
(8:58) 3-M.Haack punts 63 yards to TB 6, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
OT 8:48 · BUF 27–TB 27
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 60.9%
1st & 10 · TB 6
(8:48) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 9 for 3 yards (99-H.Phillips).
OT 8:20 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 36.6%
2nd & 7 · TB 9
(8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 15 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 58-M.Milano).
OT 7:45 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 39.3%
3rd & 1 · TB 15
(7:45) 7-L.Fournette up the middle to TB 16 for 1 yard (21-J.Poyer). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
OT 7:06 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +10.5%
Win probability: TB 40.7%
1st & 10 · TB 16
(7:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on BUF-39-L.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at TB 16 - No Play.
OT 7:00 · BUF 27–TB 27
BUF +12.2%
Win probability: BUF 48.8%
1st & 10 · TB 35
(7:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette to TB 28 for -7 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 21-J.Poyer).
OT 6:27 · BUF 27–TB 27
TB +7.6%
Win probability: TB 39.1%
2nd & 17 · TB 28
(6:27) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski to TB 42 for 14 yards (24-T.Johnson).
OT 5:42 · BUF 27–TB 33
TB +54.2%
Win probability: TB 46.7%
3rd & 3 · TB 42
(5:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 16-B.Perriman for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.