ATL Atlanta Falcons@TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29–28 · Atlanta Falcons won
2025-12-11 · 2025 Regular Week 15
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 25.64 which ranks in the 98.4 percentile.
THRILLA
98percentile
Raw Score: 25.64
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 5.26, which ranks in the 84.8 percentile.
GEI
85percentile
Raw Score: 5.26
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Atlanta Falcons fell to a 3.4% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 4.87 which ranks in the 98.1 percentile.
Comeback
98percentile
Raw Score: 4.87
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 19.60 which ranks in the 87.8 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 11 × 0.5pts = 5.5pts
- Turnovers: 2 × 0.75pts = 1.5pts
- Sacks: 6 × 0.1pts = 0.6pts
- Touchdowns: 7 × 1pts = 7pts
Total: 19.6pts
Learn more →Audience
88percentile
Raw Score: 19.60
Spread
TB -6
O/U 43.5
TB
ATL
Biggest Play
Q4 0:04 · ATL 29–TB 28
ATL +57.3%
Win probability: ATL 42.7%
(:04) 45-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | ATL 0–TB 0 | — | ATL 35 | 45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 61 yards from ATL 35 to TB 4. 19-K.Johnson to TB 34 for 30 yards (31-X.Watts; 4-K.Hodge). | TB +0.3% |
| Q1 | 14:53 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | TB 34 | (14:53) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 45 for 11 yards (31-X.Watts; 3-J.Bates). | ATL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 14:13 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | TB 45 | (14:13) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving pushed ob at ATL 44 for 11 yards (3-J.Bates) [11-J.Walker]. | TB +5.8% |
| Q1 | 13:30 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 44 | (13:30) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (94-L.London). | ATL +1.5% |
| Q1 | 13:27 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 44 | (13:27) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to ATL 44 for no gain (54-B.Dorlus; 24-A.Terrell). | ATL +3.1% |
| Q1 | 12:46 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 10 | ATL 44 | (12:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka. | ATL +1.9% |
| Q1 | 12:43 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 4th & 10 | ATL 44 | (12:43) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to ATL 6, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-19-K.Johnson. | TB +0.3% |
| Q1 | 12:33 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 6 | (12:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right tackle to ATL 7 for 1 yard (0-Y.Diaby; 54-L.David). | TB +1.1% |
| Q1 | 11:53 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 9 | ATL 7 | (11:53) 7-B.Robinson left guard to ATL 17 for 10 yards (5-H.Reddick; 54-L.David). | ATL +3.0% |
| Q1 | 11:10 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 17 | (11:10) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 30 for 13 yards (35-J.Dean). TB-35-J.Dean was injured during the play. | ATL +2.3% |
| Q1 | 10:36 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 30 | (10:36) 7-B.Robinson right end to ATL 34 for 4 yards (90-L.Hall). | ATL +1.3% |
| Q1 | 9:57 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 6 | ATL 34 | (9:57) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 43 for 9 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 9:30 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 43 | (9:30) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left tackle to ATL 46 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea; 90-L.Hall). | TB +0.0% |
| Q1 | 8:49 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 7 | ATL 46 | (8:49) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 49 for 5 yards (90-L.Hall; 45-D.Jones). | TB +0.6% |
| Q1 | 8:03 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 2 | TB 49 | (8:03) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-71-E.Wilkinson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 49 - No Play. | TB +0.1% |
| Q1 | 7:37 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 7 | ATL 46 | (7:37) (Shotgun) ** Injury Update: TB-35-J.Dean has returned to the game. PENALTY on ATL, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 46 - No Play. | TB +1.7% |
| Q1 | 7:12 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 12 | ATL 41 | (7:12) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to ATL 45 for 4 yards (22-K.Vildor). | TB +2.7% |
| Q1 | 6:29 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 4th & 8 | ATL 45 | (6:29) 13-B.Pinion punts 38 yards to TB 17, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson. | TB +2.7% |
| Q1 | 6:22 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | TB 17 | (6:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (27-J.Pearce). | ATL +0.9% |
| Q1 | 6:18 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 10 | TB 17 | (6:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 24 for 7 yards (0-D.Deablo; 27-J.Pearce). | ATL +1.7% |
| Q1 | 5:32 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 3 | TB 24 | (5:32) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 18 for -6 yards (55-K.Elliss). PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24 - No Play. | TB +1.6% |
| Q1 | 5:06 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | TB 29 | (5:06) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left tackle to TB 49 for 20 yards (31-X.Watts). ATL-21-M.Hughes was injured during the play. | TB +2.2% |
| Q1 | 4:24 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | TB 49 | (4:24) 7-B.Irving up the middle to 50 for 1 yard (3-J.Bates). | ATL +1.2% |
| Q1 | 3:42 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 9 | MID 50 | (3:42) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at ATL 38 for 12 yards (37-C.Bryant). | TB +4.0% |
| Q1 | 3:06 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 38 | (3:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 2-E.Egbuka. | ATL +2.3% |
| Q1 | 3:01 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 38 | (3:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 43 for -5 yards (27-J.Pearce). | ATL +5.4% |
| Q1 | 2:15 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 3rd & 15 | ATL 43 | (2:15) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 2-E.Egbuka to ATL 20 for 23 yards (55-K.Elliss). Penalty on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Illegal Contact, declined. | TB +7.6% |
| Q1 | 1:53 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 10 | ATL 20 | (1:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 11-J.McMillan for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 11-J.McMillan to ATL 1 for 19 yards (31-X.Watts). | TB +3.8% |
| Q1 | 1:45 | ATL 0–TB 0 | 1st & 1 | ATL 1 | (1:45) 70-B.Chukwuma reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans (24-A.Terrell). | TB +0.2% |
| Q1 | 1:41 | ATL 0–TB 6 | 2nd & 1 | ATL 1 | (1:41) 77-C.Heck and 50-V.Vea reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. | TB +2.8% |
| Q1 | — | ATL 0–TB 7 | — | ATL 15 | 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +0.1% |
| Q1 | — | ATL 0–TB 7 | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35. | ATL +1.3% |
| Q1 | 1:38 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | ATL 35 | (1:38) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts to TB 39 for 26 yards (35-J.Dean). | ATL +2.1% |
| Q1 | 0:56 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 39 | (:56) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 36 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall). PENALTY on ATL-70-J.Matthews, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 39 - No Play. | TB +2.6% |
| Q1 | 0:28 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 20 | TB 49 | (:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 41 for 8 yards (53-N.Jackson; 90-L.Hall). | ATL +0.2% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 2nd & 12 | TB 41 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at TB 34 for 7 yards (31-A.Winfield; 45-D.Jones). | ATL +0.4% |
| Q2 | 14:32 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 3rd & 5 | TB 34 | (14:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 24 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +5.2% |
| Q2 | 13:58 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 24 | (13:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-63-C.Lindstrom, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24 - No Play. | TB +1.9% |
| Q2 | 13:34 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 15 | TB 29 | (13:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 24 for 5 yards (31-A.Winfield; 98-A.Nelson). PENALTY on TB-96-G.Gaines, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24. | ATL +2.7% |
| Q2 | 13:08 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 19 | (13:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right. | TB +1.5% |
| Q2 | 13:04 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 2nd & 10 | TB 19 | (13:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 13 for 6 yards (54-L.David). | TB +0.7% |
| Q2 | 12:23 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 3rd & 4 | TB 13 | (12:23) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Robinson. | TB +1.9% |
| Q2 | 12:19 | ATL 0–TB 7 | 4th & 4 | TB 13 | (12:19) 45-Z.Gonzalez 31 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. PENALTY on TB-27-Z.McCollum, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 13 - No Play. | ATL +4.8% |
| Q2 | 12:16 | ATL 6–TB 7 | 1st & 8 | TB 8 | (12:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | ATL +7.5% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 7–TB 7 | — | TB 15 | 45-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. | ATL +0.3% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 7–TB 7 | — | ATL 35 | 45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 65 yards from ATL 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the TB 20. | ATL +0.6% |
| Q2 | 12:11 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 20 | (12:11) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 29 for 9 yards (0-D.Deablo). | TB +2.0% |
| Q2 | 11:30 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 1 | TB 29 | (11:30) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 23 for -6 yards (90-D.Onyemata). PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 29 - No Play. | TB +0.6% |
| Q2 | 11:15 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 34 | (11:15) (Shotgun) 44-S.Tucker left end to TB 40 for 6 yards (55-K.Elliss). | TB +0.1% |
| Q2 | 10:35 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 4 | TB 40 | (10:35) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 36 for -4 yards (55-K.Elliss). | ATL +2.8% |
| Q2 | 9:52 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 3rd & 8 | TB 36 | (9:52) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans. Penalty on TB-65-D.Feeney, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined. | ATL +3.7% |
| Q2 | 9:44 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 4th & 8 | TB 36 | (9:44) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 19, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins to ATL 29 for 10 yards (48-J.Gray; 32-J.Hayes). | ATL +0.3% |
| Q2 | 9:35 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | ATL 29 | (9:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle ran ob at TB 41 for 30 yards (31-A.Winfield). PENALTY on ATL-81-D.Drummond, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 38. | TB +0.4% |
| Q2 | 9:04 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 11 | ATL 28 | (9:04) PENALTY on ATL-8-K.Pitts, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 28 - No Play. | TB +1.5% |
| Q2 | 8:42 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 16 | ATL 23 | (8:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 36 for 13 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien). | ATL +3.7% |
| Q2 | 8:01 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 3 | ATL 36 | (8:01) 7-B.Robinson right guard to ATL 41 for 5 yards (0-Y.Diaby). | ATL +1.0% |
| Q2 | 7:18 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | ATL 41 | (7:18) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-D.Mooney [50-V.Vea]. | TB +1.6% |
| Q2 | 7:13 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 41 | (7:13) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 7-B.Robinson. | TB +2.4% |
| Q2 | 7:08 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 3rd & 10 | ATL 41 | (7:08) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-7-B.Robinson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 41 - No Play. | TB +1.6% |
| Q2 | 7:08 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 3rd & 15 | ATL 36 | (7:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 47 for 11 yards (25-J.Parrish). TB-27-Z.McCollum was injured during the play. | ATL +0.6% |
| Q2 | 6:37 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 4th & 4 | ATL 47 | (6:37) 13-B.Pinion punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback. | TB +1.9% |
| Q2 | 6:29 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 20 | (6:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 7-B.Irving. | ATL +1.7% |
| Q2 | 6:26 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 10 | TB 20 | (6:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 24 for 4 yards (90-D.Onyemata). | ATL +2.4% |
| Q2 | 5:46 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 3rd & 6 | TB 24 | (5:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans ran ob at TB 36 for 12 yards. | TB +6.2% |
| Q2 | 5:08 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 36 | (5:08) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 48 for 12 yards (24-A.Terrell). | TB +1.5% |
| Q2 | 4:27 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | TB 48 | (4:27) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 11-J.McMillan to ATL 33 for 19 yards (37-C.Bryant). | TB +4.9% |
| Q2 | 3:42 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 1st & 10 | ATL 33 | (3:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right end to ATL 32 for 1 yard (55-K.Elliss). | ATL +4.1% |
| Q2 | 2:58 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 2nd & 9 | ATL 32 | (2:58) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans (37-C.Bryant). | ATL +2.4% |
| Q2 | 2:54 | ATL 7–TB 7 | 3rd & 9 | ATL 32 | (2:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to ATL 31 for 1 yard (55-K.Elliss). | ATL +4.4% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 7–TB 7 | — | ATL 32 | Timeout #1 by TB at 02:54. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 2:08 | ATL 7–TB 10 | 4th & 8 | ATL 31 | (2:08) 4-C.McLaughlin 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +9.8% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 7–TB 10 | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35. | ATL +1.9% |
| Q2 | 2:04 | ATL 7–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | ATL 35 | (2:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to ATL 44 for 9 yards (90-L.Hall). | ATL +1.5% |
| Q2 | 1:57 | ATL 7–TB 10 | 2nd & 1 | ATL 44 | (1:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 47 for 3 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +1.6% |
| Q2 | 1:32 | ATL 7–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | ATL 47 | (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 8-K.Pitts to TB 17 for 36 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien). | ATL +12.0% |
| Q2 | 0:45 | ATL 13–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | TB 17 | (:45) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 8-K.Pitts for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | ATL +9.0% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 14–TB 10 | — | TB 15 | 45-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. | ATL +0.2% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 14–TB 10 | — | ATL 35 | 45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 58 yards from ATL 35 to TB 7. 44-S.Tucker MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 11. 44-S.Tucker to TB 26 for 15 yards (31-X.Watts; 28-M.Ford). | ATL +0.1% |
| Q2 | 0:33 | ATL 14–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | TB 26 | (:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin (98-R.Orhorhoro). | ATL +2.5% |
| Q2 | 0:25 | ATL 14–TB 10 | 2nd & 10 | TB 26 | (:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on ATL-20-D.Alford, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at TB 26 - No Play. | TB +4.1% |
| Q2 | 0:21 | ATL 14–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | TB 41 | (:21) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at ATL 26 for 33 yards (31-X.Watts). | TB +8.9% |
| Q2 | 0:13 | ATL 14–TB 10 | 1st & 10 | ATL 26 | (:13) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 34 for -8 yards (27-J.Pearce). | ATL +7.1% |
| Q2 | 0:07 | ATL 14–TB 10 | 2nd & 18 | ATL 34 | (:07) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right. | ATL +1.1% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 14–TB 10 | — | — | Timeout #2 by TB at 00:07. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | — | ATL 14–TB 10 | — | ATL 34 | Timeout #1 by ATL at 00:07. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:03 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 3rd & 18 | ATL 34 | (:03) 4-C.McLaughlin 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +5.6% |
| Q3 | — | ATL 14–TB 13 | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35. | ATL +1.4% |
| Q3 | 15:00 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | ATL 35 | (15:00) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to TB 49 for 16 yards (29-C.Izien). | ATL +0.6% |
| Q3 | 14:17 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | TB 49 | (14:17) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to TB 45 for 4 yards (29-C.Izien). | ATL +1.6% |
| Q3 | 13:38 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 2nd & 6 | TB 45 | (13:38) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 48 for -3 yards (0-Y.Diaby). | TB +5.0% |
| Q3 | 12:52 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 3rd & 9 | TB 48 | (12:52) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-8-K.Pitts, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 48 - No Play. | TB +1.5% |
| Q3 | 12:27 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 3rd & 14 | ATL 47 | (12:27) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts to TB 47 for 6 yards (45-D.Jones). | TB +2.1% |
| Q3 | 11:43 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 4th & 8 | TB 47 | (11:43) 13-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback. PENALTY on TB-32-J.Hayes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20. | ATL +0.6% |
| Q3 | 11:36 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | TB 10 | (11:36) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 10 for no gain (3-J.Bates). | ATL +2.7% |
| Q3 | 10:53 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 2nd & 10 | TB 10 | (10:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 18 for 8 yards (20-D.Alford). | TB +2.5% |
| Q3 | 10:31 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 3rd & 2 | TB 18 | (10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 23 for 5 yards (31-X.Watts). | TB +1.4% |
| Q3 | 9:54 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | TB 23 | (9:54) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 43 for 20 yards (20-D.Alford). | TB +3.1% |
| Q3 | 9:09 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | TB 43 | (9:09) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to ATL 12 for 45 yards (37-C.Bryant). | TB +9.8% |
| Q3 | 8:22 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 10 | ATL 12 | (8:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka (24-A.Terrell). PENALTY on ATL-37-C.Bryant, Face Mask, 6 yards, enforced at ATL 12 - No Play. | TB +1.9% |
| Q3 | 8:16 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 6 | ATL 6 | (8:16) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 13 for -7 yards (54-B.Dorlus). | ATL +5.7% |
| Q3 | 7:33 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 2nd & 13 | ATL 13 | (7:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Irving (27-J.Pearce). | ATL +2.5% |
| Q3 | 7:29 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 3rd & 13 | ATL 13 | (7:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka. PENALTY on ATL-20-D.Alford, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 13 - No Play. | TB +7.7% |
| Q3 | 7:23 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 8 | ATL 8 | (7:23) 44-S.Tucker left end to ATL 8 for no gain (93-K.Street). PENALTY on ATL-0-D.Deablo, Tripping, 4 yards, enforced at ATL 8 - No Play. Penalty on ATL-0-D.Deablo, Face Mask, declined. | TB +0.5% |
| Q3 | 7:09 | ATL 14–TB 13 | 1st & 4 | ATL 4 | (7:09) 44-S.Tucker right end to ATL 6 for -2 yards (37-C.Bryant). | ATL +1.3% |
| Q3 | 6:25 | ATL 14–TB 19 | 2nd & 6 | ATL 6 | (6:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 82-D.Culp for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | TB +7.0% |
| Q3 | — | ATL 14–TB 20 | — | ATL 15 | 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +0.4% |
| Q3 | — | ATL 14–TB 20 | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35. | ATL +1.1% |
| Q3 | 6:22 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | ATL 35 | (6:22) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills [0-Y.Diaby]. | TB +1.0% |
| Q3 | 6:16 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 35 | (6:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to TB 44 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +3.9% |
| Q3 | 5:26 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | TB 44 | (5:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 87-D.Sills [0-Y.Diaby]. | TB +1.6% |
| Q3 | 5:21 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 10 | TB 44 | (5:21) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 1-D.Mooney ran ob at TB 31 for 13 yards. | ATL +2.9% |
| Q3 | 4:48 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | TB 31 | (4:48) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 8-K.Pitts (54-L.David). | TB +1.2% |
| Q3 | 4:41 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 10 | TB 31 | (4:41) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on ATL-18-K.Cousins, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 31. | TB +5.6% |
| Q3 | 4:37 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 3rd & 20 | TB 41 | (4:37) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills. | TB +2.7% |
| Q3 | 4:34 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 4th & 20 | TB 41 | (4:34) 13-B.Pinion punts 32 yards to TB 9, Center-49-L.McCullough. 19-K.Johnson MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 10. | TB +1.0% |
| Q3 | 4:26 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | TB 10 | (4:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to TB 30 for 20 yards (24-A.Terrell). | TB +1.4% |
| Q3 | 3:45 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | TB 30 | (3:45) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 36 for 6 yards (17-A.Ebiketie; 3-J.Bates). | TB +0.6% |
| Q3 | 3:07 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 4 | TB 36 | (3:07) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 7-B.Irving. 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 48 for 16 yards (3-J.Bates). | TB +0.2% |
| Q3 | 2:30 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | ATL 48 | (2:30) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 7-B.Irving. 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 43 for 5 yards (90-D.Onyemata; 31-X.Watts). | ATL +0.2% |
| Q3 | 1:49 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 5 | ATL 43 | (1:49) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at 50 for -7 yards (94-L.London). | ATL +2.8% |
| Q3 | 1:04 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 3rd & 12 | MID 50 | (1:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 15-T.Johnson. | ATL +2.4% |
| Q3 | 1:00 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 4th & 12 | MID 50 | (1:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 37 yards to ATL 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 83-D.Thompkins. | TB +3.0% |
| Q3 | 0:53 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | ATL 13 | (:53) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 15 for 2 yards (54-L.David). | TB +0.8% |
| Q3 | 0:15 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 8 | ATL 15 | (:15) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 7-B.Robinson to ATL 22 for 7 yards (29-C.Izien). FUMBLES (29-C.Izien), RECOVERED by TB-25-J.Parrish at ATL 25. 25-J.Parrish to ATL 25 for no gain (87-D.Sills). | TB +5.4% |
| Q3 | 0:06 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | ATL 25 | (:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans to ATL 15 for 10 yards (31-X.Watts). | TB +0.3% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 10 | ATL 15 | (15:00) 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 15 for no gain (93-K.Street). | ATL +1.0% |
| Q4 | 14:22 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 15 | (14:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 15 - No Play. | TB +2.0% |
| Q4 | 14:18 | ATL 14–TB 20 | 1st & 5 | ATL 5 | (14:18) 65-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker up the middle to ATL 3 for 2 yards (3-J.Bates). | TB +0.4% |
| Q4 | 13:38 | ATL 14–TB 26 | 2nd & 3 | ATL 3 | (13:38) (Shotgun) 65-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 14–TB 28 | — | ATL 2 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-B.Mayfield pass to 14-C.Godwin is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. | TB +1.3% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 14–TB 28 | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35. | ATL +0.4% |
| Q4 | 13:34 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 35 | (13:34) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 1-D.Mooney. | TB +0.3% |
| Q4 | 13:29 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 35 | (13:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 42 for 7 yards (35-J.Dean). | TB +0.1% |
| Q4 | 13:03 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 3rd & 3 | ATL 42 | (13:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 48 for 6 yards (45-D.Jones). | TB +0.1% |
| Q4 | 12:23 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 48 | (12:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 48 for 4 yards (22-K.Vildor). | TB +0.3% |
| Q4 | 11:46 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 2nd & 6 | TB 48 | (11:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-C.Woerner to TB 44 for 4 yards (45-D.Jones). | TB +0.2% |
| Q4 | 11:03 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 3rd & 2 | TB 44 | (11:03) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts ran ob at TB 26 for 18 yards (22-K.Vildor). | ATL +0.6% |
| Q4 | 10:24 | ATL 14–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 26 | (10:24) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 6 for 20 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien). | ATL +1.3% |
| Q4 | 9:42 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 6 | TB 6 | (9:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | ATL +5.1% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 20–TB 28 | — | TB 2 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-K.Cousins pass to 8-K.Pitts is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. | TB +2.4% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 20–TB 28 | — | ATL 35 | 45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 27 yards from ATL 35 to TB 38, short of landing zone. PENALTY on ATL-45-Z.Gonzalez, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at TB 40. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | 9:37 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 40 | (9:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White to TB 46 for 6 yards (90-D.Onyemata). | ATL +0.1% |
| Q4 | 8:57 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 4 | TB 46 | (8:57) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to ATL 45 for 9 yards (37-C.Bryant). Penalty on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, declined. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | 8:32 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 45 | (8:32) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right. | ATL +0.9% |
| Q4 | 8:28 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 10 | ATL 45 | (8:28) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Alford at ATL 33. 20-D.Alford to ATL 33 for no gain (13-M.Evans). | ATL +4.0% |
| Q4 | 8:22 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 33 | (8:22) 7-B.Robinson left tackle pushed ob at ATL 47 for 14 yards (35-J.Dean). | ATL +0.9% |
| Q4 | 7:40 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 47 | (7:40) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to 50 for 3 yards (0-Y.Diaby; 45-D.Jones). | ATL +0.1% |
| Q4 | 7:04 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 7 | MID 50 | (7:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 7-B.Robinson. | TB +1.3% |
| Q4 | 7:01 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 3rd & 7 | MID 50 | (7:01) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts to TB 40 for 10 yards (25-J.Parrish). | ATL +3.8% |
| Q4 | 6:26 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 40 | (6:26) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left tackle to TB 25 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +4.1% |
| Q4 | 5:43 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 25 | (5:43) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to TB 25 for no gain (54-L.David). | TB +1.6% |
| Q4 | 5:11 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 10 | TB 25 | (5:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney to TB 9 for 16 yards (54-L.David; 29-C.Izien). FUMBLES (54-L.David), touched at TB 9, recovered by ATL-64-R.Neuzil at TB 10. | ATL +0.7% |
| Q4 | 4:23 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 10 | (4:23) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | 4:18 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 10 | TB 10 | (4:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-87-D.Sills, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 10 - No Play. | TB +2.8% |
| Q4 | 4:18 | ATL 20–TB 28 | 2nd & 15 | TB 15 | (4:18) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 89-C.Woerner to TB 7 for 8 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +1.1% |
| Q4 | 3:40 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 3rd & 7 | TB 7 | (3:40) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. | ATL +15.8% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | TB 2 | TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-K.Cousins pass to 81-D.Drummond is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. | TB +8.9% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | ATL 35 | 45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 65 yards from ATL 35 to TB 0. 44-S.Tucker pushed ob at TB 27 for 27 yards (89-C.Woerner). | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 3:29 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 27 | (3:29) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 33 for 6 yards (55-K.Elliss). | TB +1.9% |
| Q4 | 2:45 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 2nd & 4 | TB 33 | (2:45) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 34 for 1 yard (3-J.Bates). | ATL +1.9% |
| Q4 | 2:37 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 3rd & 3 | TB 34 | (2:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 39 for 5 yards (20-D.Alford). | TB +5.3% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | TB 34 | Timeout #1 by ATL at 02:37. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:28 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 39 | (2:28) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 35 for -4 yards (90-D.Onyemata). | ATL +2.6% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | TB 39 | Timeout #2 by ATL at 02:28. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:24 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 2nd & 14 | TB 35 | (2:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka. | TB +0.9% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | TB 35 | Timeout #3 by ATL at 02:24. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:20 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 3rd & 14 | TB 35 | (2:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 35 for 0 yards (sack split by 11-J.Walker and 0-D.Deablo). | ATL +0.1% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 26–TB 28 | — | TB 35 | Timeout #1 by TB at 02:20. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 4th & 14 | TB 35 | (2:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 20, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins ran ob at ATL 30 for 10 yards (58-M.Watts). | ATL +10.3% |
| Q4 | 1:49 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 30 | (1:49) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 87-D.Sills pushed ob at ATL 47 for 17 yards (29-C.Izien). | ATL +5.6% |
| Q4 | 1:44 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | ATL 47 | (1:44) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (5-H.Reddick). FUMBLES (5-H.Reddick) [5-H.Reddick], and recovers at ATL 39. | TB +9.2% |
| Q4 | 1:29 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 2nd & 18 | ATL 39 | (1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 1-D.Mooney (35-J.Dean). PENALTY on ATL-70-J.Matthews, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 39 - No Play. | TB +4.5% |
| Q4 | 1:24 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 2nd & 28 | ATL 29 | (1:24) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-D.Mooney. | TB +3.4% |
| Q4 | 1:20 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 3rd & 28 | ATL 29 | (1:20) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 43 for 14 yards (22-K.Vildor; 45-D.Jones). | TB +0.3% |
| Q4 | 0:49 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 4th & 14 | ATL 43 | (:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 87-D.Sills to TB 36 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield). | ATL +30.4% |
| Q4 | 0:30 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 36 | (:30) (No Huddle) 18-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock. PENALTY on TB-50-V.Vea, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play. Penalty on TB, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined. | ATL +4.9% |
| Q4 | 0:29 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 5 | TB 31 | (:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 1-D.Mooney pushed ob at TB 25 for 6 yards (35-J.Dean). | TB +1.7% |
| Q4 | 0:24 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 1st & 10 | TB 25 | (:24) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to TB 25 for no gain (45-D.Jones). | TB +5.1% |
| Q4 | 0:05 | ATL 26–TB 28 | 2nd & 10 | TB 25 | (:05) (No Huddle) 18-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock. | TB +2.1% |
| Q4 | 0:04 | ATL 29–TB 28 | 3rd & 10 | TB 25 | (:04) 45-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. | ATL +57.3% |
| Q4 | — | ATL 29–TB 28 | — | TB 25 | Timeout #2 by TB at 00:04. | ATL +0.0% |
Q1 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 70.6%
45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 61 yards from ATL 35 to TB 4. 19-K.Johnson to TB 34 for 30 yards (31-X.Watts; 4-K.Hodge).
Q1 14:53 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.2%
Win probability: ATL 29.2%
(14:53) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 45 for 11 yards (31-X.Watts; 3-J.Bates).
Q1 14:13 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +5.8%
Win probability: TB 69.6%
(14:13) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving pushed ob at ATL 44 for 11 yards (3-J.Bates) [11-J.Walker].
Q1 13:30 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.5%
Win probability: ATL 24.6%
(13:30) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (94-L.London).
Q1 13:27 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +3.1%
Win probability: ATL 26.1%
(13:27) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to ATL 44 for no gain (54-B.Dorlus; 24-A.Terrell).
Q1 12:46 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.9%
Win probability: ATL 29.2%
(12:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q1 12:43 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 68.9%
(12:43) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to ATL 6, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-19-K.Johnson.
Q1 12:33 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 69.2%
(12:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right tackle to ATL 7 for 1 yard (0-Y.Diaby; 54-L.David).
Q1 11:53 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +3.0%
Win probability: ATL 29.7%
(11:53) 7-B.Robinson left guard to ATL 17 for 10 yards (5-H.Reddick; 54-L.David).
Q1 11:10 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +2.3%
Win probability: ATL 32.7%
(11:10) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 30 for 13 yards (35-J.Dean). TB-35-J.Dean was injured during the play.
Q1 10:36 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.3%
Win probability: ATL 35.0%
(10:36) 7-B.Robinson right end to ATL 34 for 4 yards (90-L.Hall).
Q1 9:57 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.2%
Win probability: ATL 36.3%
(9:57) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 43 for 9 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q1 9:30 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 62.5%
(9:30) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left tackle to ATL 46 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea; 90-L.Hall).
Q1 8:49 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.6%
Win probability: TB 62.5%
(8:49) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 49 for 5 yards (90-L.Hall; 45-D.Jones).
Q1 8:03 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 63.1%
(8:03) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-71-E.Wilkinson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 49 - No Play.
Q1 7:37 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +1.7%
Win probability: TB 63.2%
(7:37) (Shotgun) ** Injury Update: TB-35-J.Dean has returned to the game. PENALTY on ATL, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 46 - No Play.
Q1 7:12 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 64.8%
(7:12) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to ATL 45 for 4 yards (22-K.Vildor).
Q1 6:29 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 67.6%
(6:29) 13-B.Pinion punts 38 yards to TB 17, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
Q1 6:22 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +0.9%
Win probability: ATL 29.7%
(6:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (27-J.Pearce).
Q1 6:18 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.7%
Win probability: ATL 30.6%
(6:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 24 for 7 yards (0-D.Deablo; 27-J.Pearce).
Q1 5:32 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 67.7%
(5:32) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 18 for -6 yards (55-K.Elliss). PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24 - No Play.
Q1 5:06 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +2.2%
Win probability: TB 69.3%
(5:06) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left tackle to TB 49 for 20 yards (31-X.Watts). ATL-21-M.Hughes was injured during the play.
Q1 4:24 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +1.2%
Win probability: ATL 28.5%
(4:24) 7-B.Irving up the middle to 50 for 1 yard (3-J.Bates).
Q1 3:42 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +4.0%
Win probability: TB 70.4%
(3:42) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at ATL 38 for 12 yards (37-C.Bryant).
Q1 3:06 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +2.3%
Win probability: ATL 25.6%
(3:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q1 3:01 · ATL 0–TB 0
ATL +5.4%
Win probability: ATL 27.9%
(3:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 43 for -5 yards (27-J.Pearce).
Q1 2:15 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +7.6%
Win probability: TB 66.7%
(2:15) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 2-E.Egbuka to ATL 20 for 23 yards (55-K.Elliss). Penalty on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Illegal Contact, declined.
Q1 1:53 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +3.8%
Win probability: TB 74.3%
(1:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 11-J.McMillan for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 11-J.McMillan to ATL 1 for 19 yards (31-X.Watts).
Q1 1:45 · ATL 0–TB 0
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 78.0%
(1:45) 70-B.Chukwuma reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans (24-A.Terrell).
Q1 1:41 · ATL 0–TB 6
TB +2.8%
Win probability: TB 78.2%
(1:41) 77-C.Heck and 50-V.Vea reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 81.0%
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q1 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +1.3%
Win probability: ATL 18.9%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35.
Q1 1:38 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +2.1%
Win probability: ATL 20.2%
(1:38) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts to TB 39 for 26 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q1 0:56 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +2.6%
Win probability: TB 77.7%
(:56) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 36 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall). PENALTY on ATL-70-J.Matthews, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 39 - No Play.
Q1 0:28 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +0.2%
Win probability: ATL 19.7%
(:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 41 for 8 yards (53-N.Jackson; 90-L.Hall).
Q2 15:00 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +0.4%
Win probability: ATL 19.8%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at TB 34 for 7 yards (31-A.Winfield; 45-D.Jones).
Q2 14:32 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +5.2%
Win probability: ATL 20.3%
(14:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 24 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q2 13:58 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 74.6%
(13:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-63-C.Lindstrom, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24 - No Play.
Q2 13:34 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +2.7%
Win probability: ATL 23.6%
(13:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 24 for 5 yards (31-A.Winfield; 98-A.Nelson). PENALTY on TB-96-G.Gaines, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 24.
Q2 13:08 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 73.7%
(13:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right.
Q2 13:04 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 75.2%
(13:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 13 for 6 yards (54-L.David).
Q2 12:23 · ATL 0–TB 7
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 76.0%
(12:23) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Robinson.
Q2 12:19 · ATL 0–TB 7
ATL +4.8%
Win probability: ATL 22.1%
(12:19) 45-Z.Gonzalez 31 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. PENALTY on TB-27-Z.McCollum, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 13 - No Play.
Q2 12:16 · ATL 6–TB 7
ATL +7.5%
Win probability: ATL 26.9%
(12:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +0.3%
Win probability: ATL 34.4%
45-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Q2 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +0.6%
Win probability: ATL 34.7%
45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 65 yards from ATL 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the TB 20.
Q2 12:11 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 64.7%
(12:11) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 29 for 9 yards (0-D.Deablo).
Q2 11:30 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +0.6%
Win probability: TB 66.7%
(11:30) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 23 for -6 yards (90-D.Onyemata). PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 29 - No Play.
Q2 11:15 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 67.3%
(11:15) (Shotgun) 44-S.Tucker left end to TB 40 for 6 yards (55-K.Elliss).
Q2 10:35 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +2.8%
Win probability: ATL 32.6%
(10:35) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 36 for -4 yards (55-K.Elliss).
Q2 9:52 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +3.7%
Win probability: ATL 35.4%
(9:52) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans. Penalty on TB-65-D.Feeney, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
Q2 9:44 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +0.3%
Win probability: ATL 39.2%
(9:44) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 19, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins to ATL 29 for 10 yards (48-J.Gray; 32-J.Hayes).
Q2 9:35 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 60.6%
(9:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle ran ob at TB 41 for 30 yards (31-A.Winfield). PENALTY on ATL-81-D.Drummond, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 38.
Q2 9:04 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 61.0%
(9:04) PENALTY on ATL-8-K.Pitts, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 28 - No Play.
Q2 8:42 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +3.7%
Win probability: ATL 37.6%
(8:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 36 for 13 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien).
Q2 8:01 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +1.0%
Win probability: ATL 41.2%
(8:01) 7-B.Robinson right guard to ATL 41 for 5 yards (0-Y.Diaby).
Q2 7:18 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 57.8%
(7:18) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-D.Mooney [50-V.Vea].
Q2 7:13 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +2.4%
Win probability: TB 59.4%
(7:13) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 7-B.Robinson.
Q2 7:08 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 61.8%
(7:08) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-7-B.Robinson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 41 - No Play.
Q2 7:08 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +0.6%
Win probability: ATL 36.6%
(7:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 47 for 11 yards (25-J.Parrish). TB-27-Z.McCollum was injured during the play.
Q2 6:37 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 62.7%
(6:37) 13-B.Pinion punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback.
Q2 6:29 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +1.7%
Win probability: ATL 35.4%
(6:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 7-B.Irving.
Q2 6:26 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +2.4%
Win probability: ATL 37.1%
(6:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 24 for 4 yards (90-D.Onyemata).
Q2 5:46 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +6.2%
Win probability: TB 60.6%
(5:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans ran ob at TB 36 for 12 yards.
Q2 5:08 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 66.8%
(5:08) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 48 for 12 yards (24-A.Terrell).
Q2 4:27 · ATL 7–TB 7
TB +4.9%
Win probability: TB 68.3%
(4:27) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 11-J.McMillan to ATL 33 for 19 yards (37-C.Bryant).
Q2 3:42 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +4.1%
Win probability: ATL 26.8%
(3:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right end to ATL 32 for 1 yard (55-K.Elliss).
Q2 2:58 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +2.4%
Win probability: ATL 30.9%
(2:58) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans (37-C.Bryant).
Q2 2:54 · ATL 7–TB 7
ATL +4.4%
Win probability: ATL 33.3%
(2:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to ATL 31 for 1 yard (55-K.Elliss).
Q2 · ATL 7–TB 7
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by TB at 02:54.
Q2 2:08 · ATL 7–TB 10
TB +9.8%
Win probability: TB 62.3%
(2:08) 4-C.McLaughlin 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q2 · ATL 7–TB 10
ATL +1.9%
Win probability: ATL 27.9%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35.
Q2 2:04 · ATL 7–TB 10
ATL +1.5%
Win probability: ATL 29.8%
(2:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to ATL 44 for 9 yards (90-L.Hall).
Q2 1:57 · ATL 7–TB 10
ATL +1.6%
Win probability: ATL 31.4%
(1:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 47 for 3 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q2 1:32 · ATL 7–TB 10
ATL +12.0%
Win probability: ATL 32.9%
(1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 8-K.Pitts to TB 17 for 36 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien).
Q2 0:45 · ATL 13–TB 10
ATL +9.0%
Win probability: ATL 44.9%
(:45) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 8-K.Pitts for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · ATL 14–TB 10
ATL +0.2%
Win probability: ATL 53.9%
45-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Q2 · ATL 14–TB 10
ATL +0.1%
Win probability: ATL 54.1%
45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 58 yards from ATL 35 to TB 7. 44-S.Tucker MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 11. 44-S.Tucker to TB 26 for 15 yards (31-X.Watts; 28-M.Ford).
Q2 0:33 · ATL 14–TB 10
ATL +2.5%
Win probability: ATL 54.2%
(:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 14-C.Godwin (98-R.Orhorhoro).
Q2 0:25 · ATL 14–TB 10
TB +4.1%
Win probability: TB 43.4%
(:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on ATL-20-D.Alford, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at TB 26 - No Play.
Q2 0:21 · ATL 14–TB 10
TB +8.9%
Win probability: TB 47.5%
(:21) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at ATL 26 for 33 yards (31-X.Watts).
Q2 0:13 · ATL 14–TB 10
ATL +7.1%
Win probability: ATL 43.5%
(:13) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 34 for -8 yards (27-J.Pearce).
Q2 0:07 · ATL 14–TB 10
ATL +1.1%
Win probability: ATL 50.7%
(:07) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right.
Q2 · ATL 14–TB 10
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by TB at 00:07.
Q2 · ATL 14–TB 10
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by ATL at 00:07.
Q2 0:03 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +5.6%
Win probability: TB 48.3%
(:03) 4-C.McLaughlin 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q3 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +1.4%
Win probability: ATL 46.1%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35.
Q3 15:00 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +0.6%
Win probability: ATL 47.5%
(15:00) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to TB 49 for 16 yards (29-C.Izien).
Q3 14:17 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +1.6%
Win probability: ATL 48.1%
(14:17) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to TB 45 for 4 yards (29-C.Izien).
Q3 13:38 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +5.0%
Win probability: TB 50.3%
(13:38) 7-B.Robinson left end to TB 48 for -3 yards (0-Y.Diaby).
Q3 12:52 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 55.3%
(12:52) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-8-K.Pitts, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 48 - No Play.
Q3 12:27 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 56.8%
(12:27) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts to TB 47 for 6 yards (45-D.Jones).
Q3 11:43 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +0.6%
Win probability: ATL 41.1%
(11:43) 13-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback. PENALTY on TB-32-J.Hayes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.
Q3 11:36 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +2.7%
Win probability: ATL 41.7%
(11:36) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 10 for no gain (3-J.Bates).
Q3 10:53 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 55.6%
(10:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 18 for 8 yards (20-D.Alford).
Q3 10:31 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 58.2%
(10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 23 for 5 yards (31-X.Watts).
Q3 9:54 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +3.1%
Win probability: TB 59.5%
(9:54) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 43 for 20 yards (20-D.Alford).
Q3 9:09 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +9.8%
Win probability: TB 62.7%
(9:09) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to ATL 12 for 45 yards (37-C.Bryant).
Q3 8:22 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 72.4%
(8:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka (24-A.Terrell). PENALTY on ATL-37-C.Bryant, Face Mask, 6 yards, enforced at ATL 12 - No Play.
Q3 8:16 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +5.7%
Win probability: ATL 25.7%
(8:16) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 13 for -7 yards (54-B.Dorlus).
Q3 7:33 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +2.5%
Win probability: ATL 31.3%
(7:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Irving (27-J.Pearce).
Q3 7:29 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +7.7%
Win probability: TB 66.2%
(7:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 2-E.Egbuka. PENALTY on ATL-20-D.Alford, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 13 - No Play.
Q3 7:23 · ATL 14–TB 13
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 73.8%
(7:23) 44-S.Tucker left end to ATL 8 for no gain (93-K.Street). PENALTY on ATL-0-D.Deablo, Tripping, 4 yards, enforced at ATL 8 - No Play. Penalty on ATL-0-D.Deablo, Face Mask, declined.
Q3 7:09 · ATL 14–TB 13
ATL +1.3%
Win probability: ATL 25.7%
(7:09) 44-S.Tucker right end to ATL 6 for -2 yards (37-C.Bryant).
Q3 6:25 · ATL 14–TB 19
TB +7.0%
Win probability: TB 73.0%
(6:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 82-D.Culp for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 80.0%
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q3 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +1.1%
Win probability: ATL 19.6%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35.
Q3 6:22 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 79.3%
(6:22) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills [0-Y.Diaby].
Q3 6:16 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +3.9%
Win probability: ATL 19.7%
(6:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson to TB 44 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q3 5:26 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 76.4%
(5:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 87-D.Sills [0-Y.Diaby].
Q3 5:21 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +2.9%
Win probability: ATL 22.0%
(5:21) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 1-D.Mooney ran ob at TB 31 for 13 yards.
Q3 4:48 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 75.1%
(4:48) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 8-K.Pitts (54-L.David).
Q3 4:41 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +5.6%
Win probability: TB 76.4%
(4:41) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on ATL-18-K.Cousins, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 31.
Q3 4:37 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 82.0%
(4:37) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills.
Q3 4:34 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 84.7%
(4:34) 13-B.Pinion punts 32 yards to TB 9, Center-49-L.McCullough. 19-K.Johnson MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 10.
Q3 4:26 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 85.7%
(4:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to TB 30 for 20 yards (24-A.Terrell).
Q3 3:45 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.6%
Win probability: TB 87.2%
(3:45) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 36 for 6 yards (17-A.Ebiketie; 3-J.Bates).
Q3 3:07 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 87.8%
(3:07) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 7-B.Irving. 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 48 for 16 yards (3-J.Bates).
Q3 2:30 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +0.2%
Win probability: ATL 12.0%
(2:30) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 7-B.Irving. 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 43 for 5 yards (90-D.Onyemata; 31-X.Watts).
Q3 1:49 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +2.8%
Win probability: ATL 12.2%
(1:49) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at 50 for -7 yards (94-L.London).
Q3 1:04 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +2.4%
Win probability: ATL 15.0%
(1:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 15-T.Johnson.
Q3 1:00 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +3.0%
Win probability: TB 82.6%
(1:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 37 yards to ATL 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 83-D.Thompkins.
Q3 0:53 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 85.6%
(:53) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson up the middle to ATL 15 for 2 yards (54-L.David).
Q3 0:15 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +5.4%
Win probability: TB 86.3%
(:15) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 7-B.Robinson to ATL 22 for 7 yards (29-C.Izien). FUMBLES (29-C.Izien), RECOVERED by TB-25-J.Parrish at ATL 25. 25-J.Parrish to ATL 25 for no gain (87-D.Sills).
Q3 0:06 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 91.7%
(:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans to ATL 15 for 10 yards (31-X.Watts).
Q4 15:00 · ATL 14–TB 20
ATL +1.0%
Win probability: ATL 8.0%
(15:00) 7-B.Irving up the middle to ATL 15 for no gain (93-K.Street).
Q4 14:22 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 91.0%
(14:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 15 - No Play.
Q4 14:18 · ATL 14–TB 20
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 93.0%
(14:18) 65-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker up the middle to ATL 3 for 2 yards (3-J.Bates).
Q4 13:38 · ATL 14–TB 26
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 93.5%
(13:38) (Shotgun) 65-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +1.3%
Win probability: TB 94.7%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-B.Mayfield pass to 14-C.Godwin is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Q4 · ATL 14–TB 28
ATL +0.4%
Win probability: ATL 4.1%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the ATL 35.
Q4 13:34 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 95.6%
(13:34) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 1-D.Mooney.
Q4 13:29 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 95.9%
(13:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 42 for 7 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q4 13:03 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 96.0%
(13:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at ATL 48 for 6 yards (45-D.Jones).
Q4 12:23 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 96.1%
(12:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right end to TB 48 for 4 yards (22-K.Vildor).
Q4 11:46 · ATL 14–TB 28
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 96.4%
(11:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-C.Woerner to TB 44 for 4 yards (45-D.Jones).
Q4 11:03 · ATL 14–TB 28
ATL +0.6%
Win probability: ATL 3.4%
(11:03) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts ran ob at TB 26 for 18 yards (22-K.Vildor).
Q4 10:24 · ATL 14–TB 28
ATL +1.3%
Win probability: ATL 4.0%
(10:24) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-D.Sills to TB 6 for 20 yards (31-A.Winfield; 29-C.Izien).
Q4 9:42 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +5.1%
Win probability: ATL 5.2%
(9:42) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +2.4%
Win probability: TB 89.7%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-K.Cousins pass to 8-K.Pitts is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 92.1%
45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 27 yards from ATL 35 to TB 38, short of landing zone. PENALTY on ATL-45-Z.Gonzalez, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at TB 40.
Q4 9:37 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +0.1%
Win probability: ATL 6.8%
(9:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White to TB 46 for 6 yards (90-D.Onyemata).
Q4 8:57 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 93.1%
(8:57) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to ATL 45 for 9 yards (37-C.Bryant). Penalty on ATL-24-A.Terrell, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q4 8:32 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +0.9%
Win probability: ATL 5.6%
(8:32) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right.
Q4 8:28 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +4.0%
Win probability: ATL 6.5%
(8:28) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Alford at ATL 33. 20-D.Alford to ATL 33 for no gain (13-M.Evans).
Q4 8:22 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +0.9%
Win probability: ATL 10.5%
(8:22) 7-B.Robinson left tackle pushed ob at ATL 47 for 14 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q4 7:40 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +0.1%
Win probability: ATL 11.4%
(7:40) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to 50 for 3 yards (0-Y.Diaby; 45-D.Jones).
Q4 7:04 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +1.3%
Win probability: TB 88.5%
(7:04) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 7-B.Robinson.
Q4 7:01 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +3.8%
Win probability: ATL 10.2%
(7:01) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Pitts to TB 40 for 10 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q4 6:26 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +4.1%
Win probability: ATL 13.9%
(6:26) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left tackle to TB 25 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 5:43 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 82.0%
(5:43) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to TB 25 for no gain (54-L.David).
Q4 5:11 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +0.7%
Win probability: ATL 16.5%
(5:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney to TB 9 for 16 yards (54-L.David; 29-C.Izien). FUMBLES (54-L.David), touched at TB 9, recovered by ATL-64-R.Neuzil at TB 10.
Q4 4:23 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 82.8%
(4:23) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 87-D.Sills.
Q4 4:18 · ATL 20–TB 28
TB +2.8%
Win probability: TB 84.1%
(4:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on ATL-87-D.Sills, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 10 - No Play.
Q4 4:18 · ATL 20–TB 28
ATL +1.1%
Win probability: ATL 13.1%
(4:18) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 89-C.Woerner to TB 7 for 8 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 3:40 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +15.8%
Win probability: ATL 14.3%
(3:40) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +8.9%
Win probability: TB 69.9%
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-K.Cousins pass to 81-D.Drummond is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
+0.0%
45-Z.Gonzalez kicks 65 yards from ATL 35 to TB 0. 44-S.Tucker pushed ob at TB 27 for 27 yards (89-C.Woerner).
Q4 3:29 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 78.7%
(3:29) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 33 for 6 yards (55-K.Elliss).
Q4 2:45 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +1.9%
Win probability: ATL 19.4%
(2:45) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 34 for 1 yard (3-J.Bates).
Q4 2:37 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +5.3%
Win probability: TB 78.7%
(2:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 39 for 5 yards (20-D.Alford).
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by ATL at 02:37.
Q4 2:28 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +2.6%
Win probability: ATL 16.0%
(2:28) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 35 for -4 yards (90-D.Onyemata).
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by ATL at 02:28.
Q4 2:24 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 81.4%
(2:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by ATL at 02:24.
Q4 2:20 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +0.1%
Win probability: ATL 17.7%
(2:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 35 for 0 yards (sack split by 11-J.Walker and 0-D.Deablo).
Q4 · ATL 26–TB 28
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by TB at 02:20.
Q4 2:00 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +10.3%
Win probability: ATL 17.8%
(2:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 20, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins ran ob at ATL 30 for 10 yards (58-M.Watts).
Q4 1:49 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +5.6%
Win probability: ATL 28.1%
(1:49) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 87-D.Sills pushed ob at ATL 47 for 17 yards (29-C.Izien).
Q4 1:44 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +9.2%
Win probability: TB 66.3%
(1:44) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (5-H.Reddick). FUMBLES (5-H.Reddick) [5-H.Reddick], and recovers at ATL 39.
Q4 1:29 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +4.5%
Win probability: TB 75.5%
(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 1-D.Mooney (35-J.Dean). PENALTY on ATL-70-J.Matthews, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 39 - No Play.
Q4 1:24 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +3.4%
Win probability: TB 80.0%
(1:24) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-D.Mooney.
Q4 1:20 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 83.4%
(1:20) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts to ATL 43 for 14 yards (22-K.Vildor; 45-D.Jones).
Q4 0:49 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +30.4%
Win probability: ATL 16.3%
(:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 87-D.Sills to TB 36 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 0:30 · ATL 26–TB 28
ATL +4.9%
Win probability: ATL 46.6%
(:30) (No Huddle) 18-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock. PENALTY on TB-50-V.Vea, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play. Penalty on TB, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.
Q4 0:29 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +1.7%
Win probability: TB 48.4%
(:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 1-D.Mooney pushed ob at TB 25 for 6 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q4 0:24 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +5.1%
Win probability: TB 50.1%
(:24) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left tackle to TB 25 for no gain (45-D.Jones).
Q4 0:05 · ATL 26–TB 28
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 55.2%
(:05) (No Huddle) 18-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.
Q4 0:04 · ATL 29–TB 28
ATL +57.3%
Win probability: ATL 42.7%
(:04) 45-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Q4 · ATL 29–TB 28
ATL +0.0%
Win probability: ATL 42.7%
Timeout #2 by TB at 00:04.