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TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers@CAR Carolina Panthers

20–23 · Carolina Panthers won
2025-12-21 · 2025 Regular Week 16
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 12.89 which ranks in the 83.0 percentile.

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THRILLA
83percentile
Raw Score: 12.89
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.92, which ranks in the 78.5 percentile.

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GEI
78percentile
Raw Score: 4.92
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Carolina Panthers fell to a 16.3% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.62 which ranks in the 83.5 percentile.

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Comeback
83percentile
Raw Score: 2.62
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 10.65 which ranks in the 15.6 percentile. It was calculated as follows:

  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 7 × 0.5pts = 3.5pts
  • Turnovers: 1 × 0.75pts = 0.75pts
  • Sacks: 4 × 0.1pts = 0.4pts
  • Touchdowns: 4 × 1pts = 4pts
Total: 10.65pts

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Audience
16percentile
Raw Score: 10.65
Spread
TB -3
O/U 44.5
CAR
TB
Biggest Play
Q4 0:49 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +34.2%
Win probability: CAR 60.7%
2nd & 9 · CAR 42
(:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-L.Ransom at CAR 30. 22-L.Ransom to CAR 35 for 5 yards.
Game Log
QtrClockScoreDown & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—TB 0–CAR 0—TB 354-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.CAR +1.7%
Q115:00TB 0–CAR 01st & 10CAR 35(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 4-T.McMillan (35-J.Dean).TB +2.7%
Q114:57TB 0–CAR 02nd & 10CAR 35(14:57) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle to CAR 39 for 4 yards (54-L.David).TB +0.3%
Q114:10TB 0–CAR 03rd & 6CAR 39(14:10) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 49 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield; 21-B.Morrison).CAR +4.0%
Q113:34TB 0–CAR 01st & 10CAR 49(13:34) 15-Ji.Horn right end to TB 26 for 25 yards (35-J.Dean).CAR +5.7%
Q112:48TB 0–CAR 01st & 10TB 26(12:48) 5-R.Dowdle right guard to TB 13 for 13 yards (35-J.Dean; 31-A.Winfield).CAR +2.6%
Q112:03TB 0–CAR 01st & 10TB 13(12:03) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 5-R.Dowdle [8-S.Dennis].TB +2.1%
Q111:56TB 0–CAR 02nd & 10TB 13(11:56) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle right end to TB 6 for 7 yards (54-L.David).CAR +1.5%
Q111:14TB 0–CAR 03rd & 3TB 6(11:14) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left end to TB 9 for -3 yards (43-C.Braswell).TB +5.3%
Q110:34TB 0–CAR 34th & 6TB 9(10:34) 10-R.Fitzgerald 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.TB +0.8%
Q1—TB 0–CAR 3—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 55 yards from CAR 35 to TB 10. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at TB 47 for 37 yards (29-A.Evans). CAR-33-R.Rochell was injured during the play.TB +3.3%
Q110:24TB 0–CAR 31st & 10TB 47(10:24) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 47 for 6 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).CAR +1.6%
Q19:44TB 0–CAR 32nd & 4CAR 47(9:44) 7-B.Irving left tackle to CAR 41 for 6 yards (8-Ja.Horn).TB +4.6%
Q19:04TB 0–CAR 31st & 10CAR 41(9:04) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 40 for 1 yard (98-D.Wonnum; 53-C.Cherelus).CAR +0.6%
Q18:20TB 0–CAR 32nd & 9CAR 40(8:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to CAR 28 for 12 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade; 22-L.Ransom).TB +3.5%
Q17:40TB 0–CAR 31st & 10CAR 28(7:40) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 27 for 1 yard (95-D.Brown).CAR +0.1%
Q16:55TB 0–CAR 32nd & 9CAR 27(6:55) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 26 for 1 yard (11-N.Scourton).CAR +0.7%
Q16:11TB 0–CAR 33rd & 8CAR 26(6:11) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-J.McMillan to CAR 16 for 10 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +4.7%
Q15:24TB 0–CAR 31st & 10CAR 16(5:24) 44-S.Tucker left end pushed ob at CAR 13 for 3 yards (98-D.Wonnum).TB +0.5%
Q14:45TB 0–CAR 32nd & 7CAR 13(4:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 1 for 12 yards (21-N.Scott; 56-C.Rozeboom).TB +2.8%
Q14:06TB 6–CAR 31st & 1CAR 1(4:06) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +1.4%
Q1—TB 7–CAR 3—CAR 154-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.TB +0.2%
Q1—TB 7–CAR 3—TB 354-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.CAR +1.7%
Q14:01TB 7–CAR 31st & 10CAR 35(4:01) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to CAR 36 for 1 yard (0-Y.Diaby).TB +1.6%
Q13:26TB 7–CAR 32nd & 9CAR 36(3:26) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 84-M.Evans to CAR 41 for 5 yards (8-S.Dennis).TB +1.4%
Q12:44TB 7–CAR 33rd & 4CAR 41(2:44) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to TB 49 for 10 yards (5-H.Reddick; 25-J.Parrish).CAR +3.0%
Q12:10TB 7–CAR 31st & 10TB 49(2:10) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 43 for -8 yards (8-S.Dennis).TB +3.4%
Q11:24TB 7–CAR 32nd & 18CAR 43(1:24) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 5-R.Dowdle (50-V.Vea).TB +2.5%
Q11:20TB 7–CAR 33rd & 18CAR 43(1:20) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 0-J.Sanders to CAR 46 for 3 yards (25-J.Parrish; 21-B.Morrison).TB +2.0%
Q10:34TB 7–CAR 34th & 15CAR 46(:34) (Punt formation) PENALTY on CAR-48-T.Incoom, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 46 - No Play.TB +0.4%
Q10:28TB 7–CAR 34th & 20CAR 41(:28) 6-S.Martin punts 49 yards to TB 10, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson. Penalty on TB-58-M.Watts, Defensive Offside, declined.CAR +3.8%
Q10:21TB 7–CAR 31st & 10TB 10(:21) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 13 for 3 yards (7-T.Moehrig).TB +0.5%
Q215:00TB 7–CAR 32nd & 7TB 13(15:00) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 19 for 6 yards (7-T.Moehrig).CAR +0.0%
Q214:38TB 7–CAR 33rd & 1TB 19(14:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 20 for 1 yard (7-T.Moehrig). CAR-92-C.Jackson was injured during the play.TB +0.8%
Q214:16TB 7–CAR 31st & 10TB 20(14:16) 1-R.White left tackle pushed ob at CAR 41 for 39 yards (8-Ja.Horn). PENALTY on CAR-94-A.Robinson, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 41.TB +5.3%
Q213:49TB 7–CAR 31st & 10CAR 36(13:49) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to CAR 36 for no gain (7-T.Moehrig; 53-C.Cherelus).CAR +1.8%
Q213:02TB 7–CAR 32nd & 10CAR 36(13:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (7-T.Moehrig).TB +1.2%
Q212:25TB 7–CAR 33rd & 4CAR 30(12:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).CAR +2.3%
Q212:20TB 7–CAR 34th & 4CAR 30(12:20) 4-C.McLaughlin 48 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. PENALTY on CAR-94-A.Robinson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 30 - No Play.TB +5.4%
Q212:15TB 7–CAR 31st & 10CAR 15(12:15) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to CAR 12 for 3 yards (95-D.Brown; 97-B.Brown).CAR +0.3%
Q211:31TB 7–CAR 32nd & 7CAR 12(11:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 9 for 3 yards (21-N.Scott).CAR +1.0%
Q210:47TB 7–CAR 33rd & 4CAR 9(10:47) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 4 for 5 yards (53-C.Cherelus).TB +2.7%
Q210:24TB 7–CAR 31st & 4CAR 4(10:24) (No Huddle) 1-R.White right guard to CAR 4 for no gain (11-N.Scourton; 56-C.Rozeboom).CAR +0.8%
Q29:43TB 7–CAR 32nd & 4CAR 4(9:43) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker left tackle to CAR 2 for 2 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).CAR +0.0%
Q28:59TB 7–CAR 33rd & 2CAR 2(8:59) 70-B.Chukwuma and 50-V.Vea reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker right end to CAR 5 for -3 yards (8-Ja.Horn).CAR +2.1%
Q28:13TB 10–CAR 34th & 5CAR 5(8:13) 4-C.McLaughlin 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.CAR +1.2%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 3—TB 354-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.CAR +1.4%
Q28:09TB 10–CAR 31st & 10CAR 35(8:09) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 84-M.Evans to CAR 43 for 8 yards (35-J.Dean).CAR +0.7%
Q27:45TB 10–CAR 32nd & 2CAR 43(7:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 17-X.Legette (23-T.Smith).TB +2.2%
Q27:40TB 10–CAR 33rd & 2CAR 43(7:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep right to 4-T.McMillan [97-A.Gotsis].TB +2.7%
Q27:34TB 10–CAR 34th & 2CAR 43(7:34) 6-S.Martin punts 43 yards to TB 14, Center-44-J.Jansen. 19-K.Johnson to TB 21 for 7 yards (29-A.Evans; 87-B.Tremayne). ** Injury Update: CAR-33-R.Rochell has returned to the game.CAR +0.4%
Q27:23TB 10–CAR 31st & 10TB 21(7:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 22 for 1 yard (93-L.Ray; 56-C.Rozeboom).TB +0.9%
Q26:40TB 10–CAR 32nd & 9TB 22(6:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to TB 27 for 5 yards (97-B.Brown). PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, Illegal Blindside Block, 10 yards, enforced at TB 22 - No Play.CAR +1.9%
Q26:09TB 10–CAR 32nd & 19TB 12(6:09) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 18 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).CAR +0.9%
Q25:22TB 10–CAR 33rd & 13TB 18(5:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 9 for -9 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).CAR +5.9%
Q24:35TB 10–CAR 34th & 22TB 9(4:35) 9-R.Dixon punts 42 yards to CAR 49, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne to TB 39 for 12 yards (86-E.Deckers).TB +0.3%
Q24:25TB 10–CAR 31st & 10TB 39(4:25) 5-R.Dowdle right end to TB 40 for -1 yards (21-B.Morrison, 25-J.Parrish).TB +2.4%
Q23:43TB 10–CAR 32nd & 11TB 40(3:43) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan to TB 23 for 17 yards (8-S.Dennis) [0-Y.Diaby].CAR +4.0%
Q23:03TB 10–CAR 31st & 10TB 23(3:03) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to TB 23 for no gain (5-H.Reddick).TB +1.1%
Q22:19TB 10–CAR 32nd & 10TB 23(2:19) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 4-T.McMillan (25-J.Parrish) [0-Y.Diaby].TB +2.7%
Q22:14TB 10–CAR 33rd & 10TB 23(2:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 4-T.McMillan.TB +3.2%
Q22:10TB 10–CAR 64th & 10TB 23(2:10) 10-R.Fitzgerald 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.CAR +5.9%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 6—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 55 yards from CAR 35 to TB 10. 44-S.Tucker to TB 33 for 23 yards (29-A.Evans; 33-R.Rochell).TB +2.2%
Q21:59TB 10–CAR 61st & 10TB 33(1:59) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to TB 36 for 3 yards (3-P.Umanmielen; 95-D.Brown).CAR +0.4%
Q21:24TB 10–CAR 62nd & 7TB 36(1:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka.CAR +1.4%
Q21:20TB 10–CAR 63rd & 7TB 36(1:20) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play.CAR +2.4%
Q21:20TB 10–CAR 63rd & 12TB 31(1:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right. Penalty on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.CAR +4.4%
Q21:17TB 10–CAR 64th & 12TB 31(1:17) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to CAR 24, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 37 for 13 yards (43-C.Braswell; 57-J.Bullock).TB +3.0%
Q21:06TB 10–CAR 61st & 10CAR 37(1:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 45 for 8 yards (8-S.Dennis).CAR +0.9%
Q20:46TB 10–CAR 62nd & 2CAR 45(:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle left guard to CAR 48 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall; 54-L.David).TB +0.4%
Q20:43TB 10–CAR 61st & 10CAR 48(:43) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 17-X.Legette [50-V.Vea].TB +2.0%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 6—CAR 48Timeout #1 by CAR at 00:43. +0.0%
Q20:38TB 10–CAR 62nd & 10CAR 48(:38) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 17-X.Legette pushed ob at TB 40 for 12 yards (23-T.Smith) [90-L.Hall].CAR +3.0%
Q20:31TB 10–CAR 61st & 10TB 40(:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 5-R.Dowdle to TB 38 for 2 yards (8-S.Dennis).TB +0.2%
Q20:26TB 10–CAR 62nd & 8TB 38(:26) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 18-J.Coker to TB 30 for 8 yards (25-J.Parrish).TB +1.1%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 6—TB 38Timeout #2 by CAR at 00:26. +0.0%
Q20:18TB 10–CAR 61st & 10TB 30(:18) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle ran ob at TB 22 for 8 yards (35-J.Dean).CAR +5.4%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 6—TB 30Timeout #3 by CAR at 00:18. +0.0%
Q20:12TB 10–CAR 122nd & 2TB 22(:12) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 4-T.McMillan for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +15.9%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 13—TB 1510-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.CAR +0.4%
Q2—TB 10–CAR 13—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 62 yards from CAR 35 to TB 3. 44-S.Tucker to TB 16 for 13 yards (40-K.Barnes).CAR +1.1%
Q20:02TB 10–CAR 131st & 10TB 16(:02) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield kneels to TB 15 for -1 yards.TB +2.5%
Q3—TB 10–CAR 13—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 51 yards from CAR 35 to TB 14. 19-K.Johnson to TB 34 for 20 yards (55-M.Njongmeta; 87-B.Tremayne).TB +2.5%
Q314:56TB 10–CAR 131st & 10TB 34(14:56) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 15-T.Johnson to TB 33 for -1 yards (2-M.Jackson).CAR +2.5%
Q314:17TB 10–CAR 132nd & 11TB 33(14:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 37 for 4 yards (95-D.Brown).CAR +0.4%
Q313:33TB 10–CAR 133rd & 7TB 37(13:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles right end ran ob at CAR 40 for 23 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +9.2%
Q312:55TB 10–CAR 131st & 10CAR 40(12:55) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 34 for 6 yards (97-B.Brown).CAR +0.5%
Q312:11TB 10–CAR 132nd & 4CAR 34(12:11) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 31 for 3 yards (11-N.Scourton; 94-A.Robinson).CAR +1.5%
Q311:44TB 10–CAR 133rd & 1CAR 31(11:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 29 for 2 yards (56-C.Rozeboom; 7-T.Moehrig).TB +3.3%
Q311:04TB 10–CAR 131st & 10CAR 29(11:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 1-R.White pushed ob at CAR 27 for 2 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).CAR +0.8%
Q310:23TB 10–CAR 132nd & 8CAR 27(10:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 23 for 4 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).CAR +0.1%
Q39:40TB 10–CAR 133rd & 4CAR 23(9:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 18 for 5 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).TB +4.0%
Q39:02TB 10–CAR 131st & 10CAR 18(9:02) 11-J.McMillan right end to CAR 17 for 1 yard (53-C.Cherelus). ** Injury Update: CAR-92-C.Jackson has returned to the game.CAR +0.6%
Q38:16TB 10–CAR 132nd & 9CAR 17(8:16) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 14 for 3 yards (93-L.Ray).CAR +1.0%
Q37:33TB 10–CAR 133rd & 6CAR 14(7:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White to CAR 1 for 13 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +9.1%
Q36:52TB 10–CAR 131st & 1CAR 1(6:52) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).CAR +1.3%
Q36:49TB 10–CAR 132nd & 1CAR 1(6:49) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on CAR-8-Ja.Horn, Defensive Pass Interference, 0 yards, enforced at CAR 1 - No Play.TB +1.3%
Q36:45TB 16–CAR 131st & 1CAR 1(6:45) 44-S.Tucker left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.TB +0.8%
Q3—TB 17–CAR 13—CAR 154-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.TB +0.2%
Q3—TB 17–CAR 13—TB 354-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.CAR +1.9%
Q36:41TB 17–CAR 131st & 10CAR 35(6:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CAR-68-D.Lewis, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 35 - No Play.TB +2.5%
Q36:41TB 17–CAR 131st & 15CAR 30(6:41) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young scrambles right end to CAR 38 for 8 yards (5-H.Reddick).CAR +2.1%
Q35:55TB 17–CAR 132nd & 7CAR 38(5:55) 30-C.Hubbard left end pushed ob at CAR 48 for 10 yards (54-L.David).CAR +2.8%
Q35:20TB 17–CAR 131st & 10CAR 48(5:20) 9-B.Young pass short left to 84-M.Evans ran ob at TB 42 for 10 yards (8-S.Dennis).CAR +1.8%
Q34:38TB 17–CAR 131st & 10TB 42(4:38) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young scrambles left tackle to TB 38 for 4 yards (90-L.Hall; 96-G.Gaines).CAR +2.8%
Q33:54TB 17–CAR 132nd & 6TB 38(3:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to TB 33 for 5 yards (54-L.David).TB +0.5%
Q33:08TB 17–CAR 133rd & 1TB 33(3:08) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to TB 22 for 11 yards (21-B.Morrison).CAR +5.5%
Q32:28TB 17–CAR 131st & 10TB 22(2:28) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young right end ran ob at TB 13 for 9 yards (23-T.Smith; 54-L.David).CAR +4.2%
Q31:46TB 17–CAR 132nd & 1TB 13(1:46) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to TB 11 for 2 yards (96-G.Gaines; 54-L.David).CAR +0.5%
Q31:05TB 17–CAR 131st & 10TB 11(1:05) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 18-J.Coker (25-J.Parrish).TB +2.5%
Q31:01TB 17–CAR 132nd & 10TB 11(1:01) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to TB 6 for 5 yards (54-L.David; 8-S.Dennis).TB +0.8%
Q30:17TB 17–CAR 193rd & 5TB 6(:17) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 0-J.Sanders for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.CAR +9.9%
Q3—TB 17–CAR 20—TB 1510-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.CAR +0.3%
Q3—TB 17–CAR 20—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 52 yards from CAR 35 to TB 13. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at CAR 43 for 44 yards (29-A.Evans).TB +7.5%
Q415:00TB 17–CAR 201st & 10CAR 43(15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 43 - No Play.CAR +4.2%
Q415:00TB 17–CAR 201st & 15CAR 48(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to CAR 42 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).TB +0.7%
Q414:18TB 17–CAR 202nd & 9CAR 42(14:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 29 for 13 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +7.8%
Q413:39TB 17–CAR 201st & 10CAR 29(13:39) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 24 for 5 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade; 98-D.Wonnum).TB +1.0%
Q413:01TB 17–CAR 202nd & 5CAR 24(13:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield right tackle to CAR 23 for 1 yard (53-C.Cherelus).CAR +2.7%
Q412:20TB 17–CAR 203rd & 4CAR 23(12:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at CAR 32 for -9 yards (95-D.Brown).CAR +13.8%
Q411:29TB 20–CAR 204th & 13CAR 32(11:29) 4-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.TB +10.1%
Q4—TB 20–CAR 20—TB 354-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.CAR +2.7%
Q411:24TB 20–CAR 201st & 10CAR 35(11:24) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 18-J.Coker to CAR 40 for 5 yards (21-B.Morrison).CAR +0.5%
Q410:53TB 20–CAR 202nd & 5CAR 40(10:53) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle right guard to CAR 43 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall).TB +2.7%
Q410:12TB 20–CAR 203rd & 2CAR 43(10:12) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 46 for 3 yards (54-L.David).CAR +4.7%
Q49:34TB 20–CAR 201st & 10CAR 46(9:34) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 37 for -9 yards (54-L.David).TB +5.9%
Q48:53TB 20–CAR 202nd & 19CAR 37(8:53) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 18-J.Coker.TB +4.3%
Q48:44TB 20–CAR 203rd & 19CAR 37(8:44) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 30-C.Hubbard to CAR 44 for 7 yards (25-J.Parrish).TB +3.8%
Q48:02TB 20–CAR 204th & 12CAR 44(8:02) 6-S.Martin punts 44 yards to TB 12, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.CAR +3.3%
Q47:55TB 20–CAR 201st & 10TB 12(7:55) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left tackle to TB 23 for 11 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade). PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at TB 12 - No Play.CAR +6.4%
Q47:19TB 20–CAR 201st & 16TB 6(7:19) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-J.McMillan to TB 11 for 5 yards (7-T.Moehrig).TB +2.1%
Q46:38TB 20–CAR 202nd & 11TB 11(6:38) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka to CAR 49 for 40 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +11.7%
Q45:52TB 20–CAR 201st & 10CAR 49(5:52) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 49 for -2 yards (11-N.Scourton).CAR +4.0%
Q45:08TB 20–CAR 202nd & 12TB 49(5:08) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).CAR +4.3%
Q45:02TB 20–CAR 203rd & 12TB 49(5:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at TB 49 - No Play.CAR +3.4%
Q45:02TB 20–CAR 203rd & 17TB 44(5:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Godwin.CAR +6.3%
Q44:57TB 20–CAR 204th & 17TB 44(4:57) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to CAR 9, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne pushed ob at CAR 17 for 8 yards (19-K.Johnson). PENALTY on TB-86-E.Deckers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 17.TB +2.6%
Q44:46TB 20–CAR 201st & 10CAR 27(4:46) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble to CAR 33 for 6 yards (21-B.Morrison) [23-T.Smith].TB +0.7%
Q44:03TB 20–CAR 202nd & 4CAR 33(4:03) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle to CAR 33 for no gain (90-L.Hall).TB +2.3%
Q43:16TB 20–CAR 203rd & 4CAR 33(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 18-J.Coker pushed ob at TB 33 for 34 yards (21-B.Morrison). Penalty on TB-21-B.Morrison, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.CAR +17.8%
Q43:10TB 20–CAR 201st & 10TB 33(3:10) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle left end to TB 33 for no gain (23-T.Smith; 8-S.Dennis).TB +2.5%
Q42:34TB 20–CAR 202nd & 10TB 33(2:34) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to TB 30 for 3 yards (23-T.Smith). TB-5-H.Reddick was injured during the play.TB +3.7%
Q42:28TB 20–CAR 203rd & 7TB 30(2:28) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left.TB +8.7%
Q4—TB 20–CAR 20—TB 30Timeout #1 by TB at 02:28. +0.0%
Q42:24TB 20–CAR 234th & 7TB 30(2:24) 10-R.Fitzgerald 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.CAR +14.9%
Q4—TB 20–CAR 23—CAR 3510-R.Fitzgerald kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the TB 20. PENALTY on TB-57-J.Bullock, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.CAR +6.3%
Q42:20TB 20–CAR 231st & 10TB 10(2:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 13-M.Evans to TB 16 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).TB +3.8%
Q42:00TB 20–CAR 232nd & 4TB 16(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left guard ran ob at TB 42 for 26 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +3.6%
Q41:51TB 20–CAR 231st & 10TB 42(1:51) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.McMillan.CAR +1.5%
Q41:47TB 20–CAR 232nd & 10TB 42(1:47) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to TB 48 for 6 yards (2-M.Jackson).CAR +0.3%
Q41:19TB 20–CAR 233rd & 4TB 48(1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to CAR 43 for 9 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +9.5%
Q40:57TB 20–CAR 231st & 10CAR 43(:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to CAR 37 for 6 yards (21-N.Scott).TB +1.9%
Q40:49TB 20–CAR 232nd & 4CAR 37(:49) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-2-E.Egbuka, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 37 - No Play.CAR +6.7%
Q4—TB 20–CAR 23—CAR 37Timeout #2 by TB at 00:49. +0.0%
Q40:49TB 20–CAR 232nd & 9CAR 42(:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-L.Ransom at CAR 30. 22-L.Ransom to CAR 35 for 5 yards.CAR +34.2%
Q40:42TB 20–CAR 231st & 10CAR 35(:42) 9-B.Young kneels to CAR 34 for -1 yards.—
Q1 · TB 0–CAR 0
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 40.1%
— · TB 35
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.
Q1 15:00 · TB 0–CAR 0
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 58.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 4-T.McMillan (35-J.Dean).
Q1 14:57 · TB 0–CAR 0
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 60.8%
2nd & 10 · CAR 35
(14:57) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle to CAR 39 for 4 yards (54-L.David).
Q1 14:10 · TB 0–CAR 0
CAR +4.0%
Win probability: CAR 38.9%
3rd & 6 · CAR 39
(14:10) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 49 for 10 yards (31-A.Winfield; 21-B.Morrison).
Q1 13:34 · TB 0–CAR 0
CAR +5.7%
Win probability: CAR 43.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 49
(13:34) 15-Ji.Horn right end to TB 26 for 25 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q1 12:48 · TB 0–CAR 0
CAR +2.6%
Win probability: CAR 48.6%
1st & 10 · TB 26
(12:48) 5-R.Dowdle right guard to TB 13 for 13 yards (35-J.Dean; 31-A.Winfield).
Q1 12:03 · TB 0–CAR 0
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 48.7%
1st & 10 · TB 13
(12:03) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 5-R.Dowdle [8-S.Dennis].
Q1 11:56 · TB 0–CAR 0
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 49.2%
2nd & 10 · TB 13
(11:56) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle right end to TB 6 for 7 yards (54-L.David).
Q1 11:14 · TB 0–CAR 0
TB +5.3%
Win probability: TB 49.3%
3rd & 3 · TB 6
(11:14) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left end to TB 9 for -3 yards (43-C.Braswell).
Q1 10:34 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 54.6%
4th & 6 · TB 9
(10:34) 10-R.Fitzgerald 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Q1 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +3.3%
Win probability: TB 55.4%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 55 yards from CAR 35 to TB 10. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at TB 47 for 37 yards (29-A.Evans). CAR-33-R.Rochell was injured during the play.
Q1 10:24 · TB 0–CAR 3
CAR +1.6%
Win probability: CAR 41.3%
1st & 10 · TB 47
(10:24) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 47 for 6 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).
Q1 9:44 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +4.6%
Win probability: TB 57.1%
2nd & 4 · CAR 47
(9:44) 7-B.Irving left tackle to CAR 41 for 6 yards (8-Ja.Horn).
Q1 9:04 · TB 0–CAR 3
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 38.3%
1st & 10 · CAR 41
(9:04) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 40 for 1 yard (98-D.Wonnum; 53-C.Cherelus).
Q1 8:20 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +3.5%
Win probability: TB 61.1%
2nd & 9 · CAR 40
(8:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to CAR 28 for 12 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade; 22-L.Ransom).
Q1 7:40 · TB 0–CAR 3
CAR +0.1%
Win probability: CAR 35.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 28
(7:40) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 27 for 1 yard (95-D.Brown).
Q1 6:55 · TB 0–CAR 3
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 35.4%
2nd & 9 · CAR 27
(6:55) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 26 for 1 yard (11-N.Scourton).
Q1 6:11 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +4.7%
Win probability: TB 63.9%
3rd & 8 · CAR 26
(6:11) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-J.McMillan to CAR 16 for 10 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q1 5:24 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 68.6%
1st & 10 · CAR 16
(5:24) 44-S.Tucker left end pushed ob at CAR 13 for 3 yards (98-D.Wonnum).
Q1 4:45 · TB 0–CAR 3
TB +2.8%
Win probability: TB 69.1%
2nd & 7 · CAR 13
(4:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 1 for 12 yards (21-N.Scott; 56-C.Rozeboom).
Q1 4:06 · TB 6–CAR 3
CAR +1.4%
Win probability: CAR 28.1%
1st & 1 · CAR 1
(4:06) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 13-M.Evans for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 70.5%
— · CAR 15
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q1 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +1.7%
Win probability: CAR 29.3%
— · TB 35
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.
Q1 4:01 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 69.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(4:01) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to CAR 36 for 1 yard (0-Y.Diaby).
Q1 3:26 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 70.6%
2nd & 9 · CAR 36
(3:26) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 84-M.Evans to CAR 41 for 5 yards (8-S.Dennis).
Q1 2:44 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 28.0%
3rd & 4 · CAR 41
(2:44) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to TB 49 for 10 yards (5-H.Reddick; 25-J.Parrish).
Q1 2:10 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +3.4%
Win probability: TB 68.9%
1st & 10 · TB 49
(2:10) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 43 for -8 yards (8-S.Dennis).
Q1 1:24 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 72.3%
2nd & 18 · CAR 43
(1:24) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 5-R.Dowdle (50-V.Vea).
Q1 1:20 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 74.8%
3rd & 18 · CAR 43
(1:20) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 0-J.Sanders to CAR 46 for 3 yards (25-J.Parrish; 21-B.Morrison).
Q1 0:34 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 76.8%
4th & 15 · CAR 46
(:34) (Punt formation) PENALTY on CAR-48-T.Incoom, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 46 - No Play.
Q1 0:28 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +3.8%
Win probability: CAR 22.9%
4th & 20 · CAR 41
(:28) 6-S.Martin punts 49 yards to TB 10, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson. Penalty on TB-58-M.Watts, Defensive Offside, declined.
Q1 0:21 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 73.3%
1st & 10 · TB 10
(:21) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 13 for 3 yards (7-T.Moehrig).
Q2 15:00 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 26.2%
2nd & 7 · TB 13
(15:00) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 19 for 6 yards (7-T.Moehrig).
Q2 14:38 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 73.8%
3rd & 1 · TB 19
(14:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 20 for 1 yard (7-T.Moehrig). CAR-92-C.Jackson was injured during the play.
Q2 14:16 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +5.3%
Win probability: TB 74.6%
1st & 10 · TB 20
(14:16) 1-R.White left tackle pushed ob at CAR 41 for 39 yards (8-Ja.Horn). PENALTY on CAR-94-A.Robinson, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 41.
Q2 13:49 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 20.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 36
(13:49) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to CAR 36 for no gain (7-T.Moehrig; 53-C.Cherelus).
Q2 13:02 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 78.0%
2nd & 10 · CAR 36
(13:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 30 for 6 yards (7-T.Moehrig).
Q2 12:25 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +2.3%
Win probability: CAR 20.7%
3rd & 4 · CAR 30
(12:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).
Q2 12:20 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +5.4%
Win probability: TB 76.9%
4th & 4 · CAR 30
(12:20) 4-C.McLaughlin 48 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. PENALTY on CAR-94-A.Robinson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 30 - No Play.
Q2 12:15 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 17.7%
1st & 10 · CAR 15
(12:15) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to CAR 12 for 3 yards (95-D.Brown; 97-B.Brown).
Q2 11:31 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 18.0%
2nd & 7 · CAR 12
(11:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 9 for 3 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q2 10:47 · TB 7–CAR 3
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 81.0%
3rd & 4 · CAR 9
(10:47) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 4 for 5 yards (53-C.Cherelus).
Q2 10:24 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +0.8%
Win probability: CAR 16.3%
1st & 4 · CAR 4
(10:24) (No Huddle) 1-R.White right guard to CAR 4 for no gain (11-N.Scourton; 56-C.Rozeboom).
Q2 9:43 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +0.0%
Win probability: CAR 17.1%
2nd & 4 · CAR 4
(9:43) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker left tackle to CAR 2 for 2 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).
Q2 8:59 · TB 7–CAR 3
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 17.1%
3rd & 2 · CAR 2
(8:59) 70-B.Chukwuma and 50-V.Vea reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker right end to CAR 5 for -3 yards (8-Ja.Horn).
Q2 8:13 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +1.2%
Win probability: CAR 19.2%
4th & 5 · CAR 5
(8:13) 4-C.McLaughlin 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +1.4%
Win probability: CAR 20.4%
— · TB 35
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.
Q2 8:09 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +0.7%
Win probability: CAR 21.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(8:09) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 84-M.Evans to CAR 43 for 8 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q2 7:45 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +2.2%
Win probability: TB 77.4%
2nd & 2 · CAR 43
(7:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 17-X.Legette (23-T.Smith).
Q2 7:40 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 79.6%
3rd & 2 · CAR 43
(7:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep right to 4-T.McMillan [97-A.Gotsis].
Q2 7:34 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 17.7%
4th & 2 · CAR 43
(7:34) 6-S.Martin punts 43 yards to TB 14, Center-44-J.Jansen. 19-K.Johnson to TB 21 for 7 yards (29-A.Evans; 87-B.Tremayne). ** Injury Update: CAR-33-R.Rochell has returned to the game.
Q2 7:23 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +0.9%
Win probability: TB 82.0%
1st & 10 · TB 21
(7:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 22 for 1 yard (93-L.Ray; 56-C.Rozeboom).
Q2 6:40 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +1.9%
Win probability: CAR 17.1%
2nd & 9 · TB 22
(6:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to TB 27 for 5 yards (97-B.Brown). PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, Illegal Blindside Block, 10 yards, enforced at TB 22 - No Play.
Q2 6:09 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +0.9%
Win probability: CAR 19.0%
2nd & 19 · TB 12
(6:09) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 18 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).
Q2 5:22 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +5.9%
Win probability: CAR 19.9%
3rd & 13 · TB 18
(5:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 9 for -9 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).
Q2 4:35 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 74.2%
4th & 22 · TB 9
(4:35) 9-R.Dixon punts 42 yards to CAR 49, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne to TB 39 for 12 yards (86-E.Deckers).
Q2 4:25 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +2.4%
Win probability: TB 74.5%
1st & 10 · TB 39
(4:25) 5-R.Dowdle right end to TB 40 for -1 yards (21-B.Morrison, 25-J.Parrish).
Q2 3:43 · TB 10–CAR 3
CAR +4.0%
Win probability: CAR 23.1%
2nd & 11 · TB 40
(3:43) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan to TB 23 for 17 yards (8-S.Dennis) [0-Y.Diaby].
Q2 3:03 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 72.9%
1st & 10 · TB 23
(3:03) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to TB 23 for no gain (5-H.Reddick).
Q2 2:19 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 74.0%
2nd & 10 · TB 23
(2:19) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 4-T.McMillan (25-J.Parrish) [0-Y.Diaby].
Q2 2:14 · TB 10–CAR 3
TB +3.2%
Win probability: TB 76.7%
3rd & 10 · TB 23
(2:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 4-T.McMillan.
Q2 2:10 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +5.9%
Win probability: CAR 20.2%
4th & 10 · TB 23
(2:10) 10-R.Fitzgerald 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +2.2%
Win probability: TB 73.9%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 55 yards from CAR 35 to TB 10. 44-S.Tucker to TB 33 for 23 yards (29-A.Evans; 33-R.Rochell).
Q2 1:59 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 23.8%
1st & 10 · TB 33
(1:59) (Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to TB 36 for 3 yards (3-P.Umanmielen; 95-D.Brown).
Q2 1:24 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +1.4%
Win probability: CAR 24.3%
2nd & 7 · TB 36
(1:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q2 1:20 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +2.4%
Win probability: CAR 25.7%
3rd & 7 · TB 36
(1:20) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play.
Q2 1:20 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +4.4%
Win probability: CAR 28.0%
3rd & 12 · TB 31
(1:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right. Penalty on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
Q2 1:17 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +3.0%
Win probability: TB 67.6%
4th & 12 · TB 31
(1:17) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to CAR 24, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 37 for 13 yards (43-C.Braswell; 57-J.Bullock).
Q2 1:06 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +0.9%
Win probability: CAR 29.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 37
(1:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 45 for 8 yards (8-S.Dennis).
Q2 0:46 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 69.8%
2nd & 2 · CAR 45
(:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle left guard to CAR 48 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall; 54-L.David).
Q2 0:43 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 70.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 48
(:43) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 17-X.Legette [50-V.Vea].
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 6
+0.0%
— · CAR 48
Timeout #1 by CAR at 00:43.
Q2 0:38 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +3.0%
Win probability: CAR 27.8%
2nd & 10 · CAR 48
(:38) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 17-X.Legette pushed ob at TB 40 for 12 yards (23-T.Smith) [90-L.Hall].
Q2 0:31 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 69.1%
1st & 10 · TB 40
(:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 5-R.Dowdle to TB 38 for 2 yards (8-S.Dennis).
Q2 0:26 · TB 10–CAR 6
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 69.4%
2nd & 8 · TB 38
(:26) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 18-J.Coker to TB 30 for 8 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 6
+0.0%
— · TB 38
Timeout #2 by CAR at 00:26.
Q2 0:18 · TB 10–CAR 6
CAR +5.4%
Win probability: CAR 29.6%
1st & 10 · TB 30
(:18) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle ran ob at TB 22 for 8 yards (35-J.Dean).
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 6
+0.0%
— · TB 30
Timeout #3 by CAR at 00:18.
Q2 0:12 · TB 10–CAR 12
CAR +15.9%
Win probability: CAR 35.0%
2nd & 2 · TB 22
(:12) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 4-T.McMillan for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 50.9%
— · TB 15
10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Q2 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +1.1%
Win probability: CAR 51.2%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 62 yards from CAR 35 to TB 3. 44-S.Tucker to TB 16 for 13 yards (40-K.Barnes).
Q2 0:02 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 47.6%
1st & 10 · TB 16
(:02) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield kneels to TB 15 for -1 yards.
Q3 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 50.1%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 51 yards from CAR 35 to TB 14. 19-K.Johnson to TB 34 for 20 yards (55-M.Njongmeta; 87-B.Tremayne).
Q3 14:56 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +2.5%
Win probability: CAR 47.4%
1st & 10 · TB 34
(14:56) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 15-T.Johnson to TB 33 for -1 yards (2-M.Jackson).
Q3 14:17 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.4%
Win probability: CAR 49.9%
2nd & 11 · TB 33
(14:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 37 for 4 yards (95-D.Brown).
Q3 13:33 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +9.2%
Win probability: TB 49.6%
3rd & 7 · TB 37
(13:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles right end ran ob at CAR 40 for 23 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q3 12:55 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.5%
Win probability: CAR 41.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 40
(12:55) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 34 for 6 yards (97-B.Brown).
Q3 12:11 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 41.6%
2nd & 4 · CAR 34
(12:11) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 31 for 3 yards (11-N.Scourton; 94-A.Robinson).
Q3 11:44 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +3.3%
Win probability: TB 56.9%
3rd & 1 · CAR 31
(11:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 29 for 2 yards (56-C.Rozeboom; 7-T.Moehrig).
Q3 11:04 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.8%
Win probability: CAR 39.8%
1st & 10 · CAR 29
(11:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 1-R.White pushed ob at CAR 27 for 2 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).
Q3 10:23 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.1%
Win probability: CAR 40.6%
2nd & 8 · CAR 27
(10:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to CAR 23 for 4 yards (56-C.Rozeboom).
Q3 9:40 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +4.0%
Win probability: TB 59.2%
3rd & 4 · CAR 23
(9:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 18 for 5 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).
Q3 9:02 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +0.6%
Win probability: CAR 36.7%
1st & 10 · CAR 18
(9:02) 11-J.McMillan right end to CAR 17 for 1 yard (53-C.Cherelus). ** Injury Update: CAR-92-C.Jackson has returned to the game.
Q3 8:16 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +1.0%
Win probability: CAR 37.3%
2nd & 9 · CAR 17
(8:16) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 14 for 3 yards (93-L.Ray).
Q3 7:33 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +9.1%
Win probability: TB 61.7%
3rd & 6 · CAR 14
(7:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White to CAR 1 for 13 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q3 6:52 · TB 10–CAR 13
CAR +1.3%
Win probability: CAR 29.2%
1st & 1 · CAR 1
(6:52) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).
Q3 6:49 · TB 10–CAR 13
TB +1.3%
Win probability: TB 69.4%
2nd & 1 · CAR 1
(6:49) 77-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on CAR-8-Ja.Horn, Defensive Pass Interference, 0 yards, enforced at CAR 1 - No Play.
Q3 6:45 · TB 16–CAR 13
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 70.8%
1st & 1 · CAR 1
(6:45) 44-S.Tucker left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · TB 17–CAR 13
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 71.6%
— · CAR 15
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q3 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +1.9%
Win probability: CAR 28.2%
— · TB 35
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.
Q3 6:41 · TB 17–CAR 13
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 69.9%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(6:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CAR-68-D.Lewis, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 35 - No Play.
Q3 6:41 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +2.1%
Win probability: CAR 27.6%
1st & 15 · CAR 30
(6:41) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young scrambles right end to CAR 38 for 8 yards (5-H.Reddick).
Q3 5:55 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +2.8%
Win probability: CAR 29.6%
2nd & 7 · CAR 38
(5:55) 30-C.Hubbard left end pushed ob at CAR 48 for 10 yards (54-L.David).
Q3 5:20 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +1.8%
Win probability: CAR 32.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 48
(5:20) 9-B.Young pass short left to 84-M.Evans ran ob at TB 42 for 10 yards (8-S.Dennis).
Q3 4:38 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +2.8%
Win probability: CAR 34.3%
1st & 10 · TB 42
(4:38) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young scrambles left tackle to TB 38 for 4 yards (90-L.Hall; 96-G.Gaines).
Q3 3:54 · TB 17–CAR 13
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 63.0%
2nd & 6 · TB 38
(3:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to TB 33 for 5 yards (54-L.David).
Q3 3:08 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +5.5%
Win probability: CAR 36.5%
3rd & 1 · TB 33
(3:08) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to TB 22 for 11 yards (21-B.Morrison).
Q3 2:28 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 42.0%
1st & 10 · TB 22
(2:28) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young right end ran ob at TB 13 for 9 yards (23-T.Smith; 54-L.David).
Q3 1:46 · TB 17–CAR 13
CAR +0.5%
Win probability: CAR 46.2%
2nd & 1 · TB 13
(1:46) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to TB 11 for 2 yards (96-G.Gaines; 54-L.David).
Q3 1:05 · TB 17–CAR 13
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 53.3%
1st & 10 · TB 11
(1:05) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 18-J.Coker (25-J.Parrish).
Q3 1:01 · TB 17–CAR 13
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 55.8%
2nd & 10 · TB 11
(1:01) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to TB 6 for 5 yards (54-L.David; 8-S.Dennis).
Q3 0:17 · TB 17–CAR 19
CAR +9.9%
Win probability: CAR 43.5%
3rd & 5 · TB 6
(:17) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 0-J.Sanders for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · TB 17–CAR 20
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 53.4%
— · TB 15
10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Q3 · TB 17–CAR 20
TB +7.5%
Win probability: TB 46.3%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 52 yards from CAR 35 to TB 13. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at CAR 43 for 44 yards (29-A.Evans).
Q4 15:00 · TB 17–CAR 20
CAR +4.2%
Win probability: CAR 46.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 43
(15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 43 - No Play.
Q4 15:00 · TB 17–CAR 20
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 49.6%
1st & 15 · CAR 48
(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to CAR 42 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).
Q4 14:18 · TB 17–CAR 20
TB +7.8%
Win probability: TB 50.3%
2nd & 9 · CAR 42
(14:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to CAR 29 for 13 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q4 13:39 · TB 17–CAR 20
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 58.1%
1st & 10 · CAR 29
(13:39) 7-B.Irving up the middle to CAR 24 for 5 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade; 98-D.Wonnum).
Q4 13:01 · TB 17–CAR 20
CAR +2.7%
Win probability: CAR 40.9%
2nd & 5 · CAR 24
(13:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield right tackle to CAR 23 for 1 yard (53-C.Cherelus).
Q4 12:20 · TB 17–CAR 20
CAR +13.8%
Win probability: CAR 43.6%
3rd & 4 · CAR 23
(12:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at CAR 32 for -9 yards (95-D.Brown).
Q4 11:29 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +10.1%
Win probability: TB 42.6%
4th & 13 · CAR 32
(11:29) 4-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q4 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +2.7%
Win probability: CAR 47.3%
— · TB 35
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CAR 35.
Q4 11:24 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +0.5%
Win probability: CAR 50.0%
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(11:24) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 18-J.Coker to CAR 40 for 5 yards (21-B.Morrison).
Q4 10:53 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 49.5%
2nd & 5 · CAR 40
(10:53) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle right guard to CAR 43 for 3 yards (90-L.Hall).
Q4 10:12 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +4.7%
Win probability: CAR 47.8%
3rd & 2 · CAR 43
(10:12) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 46 for 3 yards (54-L.David).
Q4 9:34 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +5.9%
Win probability: TB 47.5%
1st & 10 · CAR 46
(9:34) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 37 for -9 yards (54-L.David).
Q4 8:53 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +4.3%
Win probability: TB 53.5%
2nd & 19 · CAR 37
(8:53) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 18-J.Coker.
Q4 8:44 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +3.8%
Win probability: TB 57.8%
3rd & 19 · CAR 37
(8:44) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 30-C.Hubbard to CAR 44 for 7 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q4 8:02 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +3.3%
Win probability: CAR 38.4%
4th & 12 · CAR 44
(8:02) 6-S.Martin punts 44 yards to TB 12, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
Q4 7:55 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +6.4%
Win probability: CAR 41.8%
1st & 10 · TB 12
(7:55) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left tackle to TB 23 for 11 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade). PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at TB 12 - No Play.
Q4 7:19 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 51.8%
1st & 16 · TB 6
(7:19) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-J.McMillan to TB 11 for 5 yards (7-T.Moehrig).
Q4 6:38 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +11.7%
Win probability: TB 53.9%
2nd & 11 · TB 11
(6:38) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka to CAR 49 for 40 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q4 5:52 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +4.0%
Win probability: CAR 34.4%
1st & 10 · CAR 49
(5:52) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 49 for -2 yards (11-N.Scourton).
Q4 5:08 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +4.3%
Win probability: CAR 38.4%
2nd & 12 · TB 49
(5:08) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Evans (2-M.Jackson).
Q4 5:02 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +3.4%
Win probability: CAR 42.7%
3rd & 12 · TB 49
(5:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at TB 49 - No Play.
Q4 5:02 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +6.3%
Win probability: CAR 46.1%
3rd & 17 · TB 44
(5:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Godwin.
Q4 4:57 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +2.6%
Win probability: TB 47.6%
4th & 17 · TB 44
(4:57) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to CAR 9, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-T.Etienne pushed ob at CAR 17 for 8 yards (19-K.Johnson). PENALTY on TB-86-E.Deckers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 17.
Q4 4:46 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 50.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 27
(4:46) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble to CAR 33 for 6 yards (21-B.Morrison) [23-T.Smith].
Q4 4:03 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +2.3%
Win probability: TB 50.9%
2nd & 4 · CAR 33
(4:03) 9-B.Young pass short left to 5-R.Dowdle to CAR 33 for no gain (90-L.Hall).
Q4 3:16 · TB 20–CAR 20
CAR +17.8%
Win probability: CAR 46.8%
3rd & 4 · CAR 33
(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 18-J.Coker pushed ob at TB 33 for 34 yards (21-B.Morrison). Penalty on TB-21-B.Morrison, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q4 3:10 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 35.4%
1st & 10 · TB 33
(3:10) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle left end to TB 33 for no gain (23-T.Smith; 8-S.Dennis).
Q4 2:34 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +3.7%
Win probability: TB 37.9%
2nd & 10 · TB 33
(2:34) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to TB 30 for 3 yards (23-T.Smith). TB-5-H.Reddick was injured during the play.
Q4 2:28 · TB 20–CAR 20
TB +8.7%
Win probability: TB 41.7%
3rd & 7 · TB 30
(2:28) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left.
Q4 · TB 20–CAR 20
+0.0%
— · TB 30
Timeout #1 by TB at 02:28.
Q4 2:24 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +14.9%
Win probability: CAR 49.6%
4th & 7 · TB 30
(2:24) 10-R.Fitzgerald 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Q4 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +6.3%
Win probability: CAR 64.6%
— · CAR 35
10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the TB 20. PENALTY on TB-57-J.Bullock, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.
Q4 2:20 · TB 20–CAR 23
TB +3.8%
Win probability: TB 29.2%
1st & 10 · TB 10
(2:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 13-M.Evans to TB 16 for 6 yards (53-C.Cherelus).
Q4 2:00 · TB 20–CAR 23
TB +3.6%
Win probability: TB 33.0%
2nd & 4 · TB 16
(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left guard ran ob at TB 42 for 26 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q4 1:51 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +1.5%
Win probability: CAR 63.5%
1st & 10 · TB 42
(1:51) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.McMillan.
Q4 1:47 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +0.3%
Win probability: CAR 65.0%
2nd & 10 · TB 42
(1:47) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to TB 48 for 6 yards (2-M.Jackson).
Q4 1:19 · TB 20–CAR 23
TB +9.5%
Win probability: TB 34.7%
3rd & 4 · TB 48
(1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to CAR 43 for 9 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q4 0:57 · TB 20–CAR 23
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 44.2%
1st & 10 · CAR 43
(:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to CAR 37 for 6 yards (21-N.Scott).
Q4 0:49 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +6.7%
Win probability: CAR 53.9%
2nd & 4 · CAR 37
(:49) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-2-E.Egbuka, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 37 - No Play.
Q4 · TB 20–CAR 23
+0.0%
— · CAR 37
Timeout #2 by TB at 00:49.
Q4 0:49 · TB 20–CAR 23
CAR +34.2%
Win probability: CAR 60.7%
2nd & 9 · CAR 42
(:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-L.Ransom at CAR 30. 22-L.Ransom to CAR 35 for 5 yards.
Q4 0:42 · TB 20–CAR 23
1st & 10 · CAR 35
(:42) 9-B.Young kneels to CAR 34 for -1 yards.