thrilla
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BUF Buffalo Bills@JAX Jacksonville Jaguars

27–24 · Buffalo Bills won
2026-01-11 · 2025 Wild Card
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 11.14 which ranks in the 78.5 percentile.

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THRILLA
78percentile
Raw Score: 11.14
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 5.22, which ranks in the 84.1 percentile.

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GEI
84percentile
Raw Score: 5.22
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Buffalo Bills fell to a 22.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 2.14 which ranks in the 74.2 percentile.

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Comeback
74percentile
Raw Score: 2.14
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 17.70 which ranks in the 79.1 percentile. It was calculated as follows:

  • One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
  • Lead changes in final 2 minutes / OT: 1 × 3pts = 3pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 7 × 0.5pts = 3.5pts
  • Turnovers: 4 × 0.75pts = 3pts
  • Sacks: 2 × 0.1pts = 0.2pts
  • Touchdowns: 6 × 1pts = 6pts
Total: 17.7pts

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Audience
79percentile
Raw Score: 17.70
Spread
JAX -1.5
O/U 51.5
JAX
BUF
Biggest Play
Q4 1:10 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +33.4%
Win probability: BUF 44.6%
4th & 1 · JAX 11
(1:10) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 1 for 10 yards (26-An.Johnson; 91-A.Armstead).
Game Log
QtrClockScoreDown & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—BUF 0–JAX 0—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 57 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 8. 36-L.Allen to JAX 34 for 26 yards (44-J.Andreessen).JAX +2.0%
Q114:56BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10JAX 34(14:56) 11-P.Washington right end to JAX 31 for -3 yards (58-M.Milano).BUF +5.9%
Q114:15BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 13JAX 31(14:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne to JAX 36 for 5 yards (50-G.Rousseau; 96-D.Walker).JAX +2.7%
Q113:47BUF 0–JAX 03rd & 8JAX 36(13:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers.BUF +6.4%
Q113:42BUF 0–JAX 04th & 8JAX 36(13:42) 9-L.Cooke punts 58 yards to BUF 6, Center-46-R.Matiscik, downed by JAX-25-R.Lane.JAX +2.2%
Q113:29BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10BUF 6(13:29) 4-J.Cook right guard to BUF 9 for 3 yards (44-T.Walker).JAX +0.9%
Q112:49BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 7BUF 9(12:49) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 9 for no gain (6-G.Newsome; 29-E.Murray).JAX +3.0%
Q112:04BUF 0–JAX 03rd & 7BUF 9(12:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-T.Shavers pushed ob at BUF 23 for 14 yards (29-E.Murray).BUF +5.3%
Q111:27BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10BUF 23(11:27) 4-J.Cook right tackle to BUF 27 for 4 yards (30-M.Brown). PENALTY on BUF-14-T.Shavers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 23 - No Play.JAX +3.6%
Q111:17BUF 0–JAX 01st & 20BUF 13(11:17) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 25 for 12 yards (29-E.Murray).BUF +1.8%
Q110:34BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 8BUF 25(10:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 18-B.Cooks ran ob at BUF 35 for 10 yards (30-M.Brown).BUF +2.9%
Q19:54BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10BUF 35(9:54) PENALTY on BUF-85-J.Hawes, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.JAX +3.5%
Q19:31BUF 0–JAX 01st & 15BUF 30(9:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to BUF 38 for 8 yards (0-D.Lloyd).BUF +1.9%
Q18:47BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 7BUF 38(8:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 38 for no gain (22-J.Jones).JAX +1.7%
Q18:02BUF 0–JAX 03rd & 7BUF 38(8:02) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 86-D.Kincaid.JAX +2.7%
Q17:58BUF 0–JAX 04th & 7BUF 38(7:58) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 42 yards to JAX 20, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 11-P.Washington.BUF +1.9%
Q17:51BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10JAX 20(7:51) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 23 for 3 yards (57-A.Epenesa).BUF +3.1%
Q17:05BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 7JAX 23(7:05) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-72-W.Little, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 23 - No Play.JAX +0.8%
Q16:45BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 12JAX 18(6:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne pushed ob at JAX 28 for 10 yards (45-S.Thompson).JAX +2.8%
Q16:00BUF 0–JAX 03rd & 2JAX 28(6:00) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 40 for 12 yards (21-J.Poyer).JAX +4.7%
Q15:30BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10JAX 40(5:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short middle to 11-P.Washington.BUF +1.8%
Q15:25BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 10JAX 40(5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 45-S.Thompson at BUF 48. 45-S.Thompson to JAX 33 for 19 yards (16-T.Lawrence).BUF +14.3%
Q15:15BUF 0–JAX 01st & 10JAX 33(5:15) 4-J.Cook right tackle to JAX 30 for 3 yards (91-A.Armstead).JAX +0.3%
Q14:35BUF 0–JAX 02nd & 7JAX 30(4:35) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 4-J.Cook to JAX 29 for 1 yard (0-D.Lloyd).JAX +1.5%
Q13:51BUF 0–JAX 03rd & 6JAX 29(3:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 27 for 2 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen; 44-T.Walker).JAX +1.8%
Q13:07BUF 0–JAX 04th & 4JAX 27(3:07) (Field Goal formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 27 - No Play.JAX +1.7%
Q13:00BUF 3–JAX 04th & 9JAX 32(3:00) 15-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.BUF +0.0%
Q1—BUF 3–JAX 0—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.JAX +2.6%
Q12:54BUF 3–JAX 01st & 10JAX 35(2:54) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange to JAX 44 for 9 yards (58-M.Milano).JAX +1.9%
Q12:12BUF 3–JAX 02nd & 1JAX 44(2:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne to 50 for 6 yards (42-D.Williams).BUF +0.1%
Q11:32BUF 3–JAX 01st & 10MID 50(1:32) 33-B.Tuten right end to BUF 30 for 20 yards (58-M.Milano).JAX +4.1%
Q10:56BUF 3–JAX 01st & 10BUF 30(:56) (No Huddle) 33-B.Tuten right tackle to BUF 16 for 14 yards (21-J.Poyer).JAX +3.7%
Q10:10BUF 3–JAX 01st & 10BUF 16(:10) 33-B.Tuten left end pushed ob at BUF 3 for 13 yards (27-T.White).JAX +5.1%
Q215:00BUF 3–JAX 01st & 3BUF 3(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 85-B.Strange to BUF 3 for no gain (50-G.Rousseau).BUF +2.6%
Q214:18BUF 3–JAX 62nd & 3BUF 3(14:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.JAX +0.7%
Q2—BUF 3–JAX 7—BUF 1539-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.JAX +0.1%
Q2—BUF 3–JAX 7—JAX 3539-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 0. 22-R.Davis to BUF 34 for 34 yards (36-L.Allen; 30-M.Brown). FUMBLES (36-L.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-0-D.Lloyd at BUF 36. BUF-22-R.Davis was injured during the play.JAX +10.2%
Q214:05BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10BUF 36(14:05) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne right end to BUF 29 for 7 yards (7-Ta.Johnson).JAX +1.0%
Q213:21BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 3BUF 29(13:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 3-J.Meyers to BUF 17 for 12 yards (7-Ta.Johnson) [50-G.Rousseau].JAX +2.4%
Q212:54BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10BUF 17(12:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers (58-M.Milano).BUF +1.5%
Q212:50BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 10BUF 17(12:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 19 for -2 yards (50-G.Rousseau).BUF +1.8%
Q212:06BUF 3–JAX 73rd & 12BUF 19(12:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left tackle to BUF 9 for 10 yards (92-D.Jones).JAX +0.6%
Q211:21BUF 3–JAX 74th & 2BUF 9(11:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to BUF 7 for 2 yards (45-S.Thompson). (Virtual Measurement). Buffalo challenged the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to BUF 8 for 1 yard (45-S.Thompson).BUF +8.4%
Q2—BUF 3–JAX 7—BUF 9Timeout #1 by JAX at 11:21. +0.0%
Q211:19BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10BUF 8(11:19) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 12 for 4 yards (30-M.Brown).JAX +1.0%
Q210:42BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 6BUF 12(10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at BUF 27 for 15 yards (23-F.Oluokun).BUF +2.1%
Q210:07BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10BUF 27(10:07) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 20-F.Gore pushed ob at BUF 33 for 6 yards (0-D.Lloyd).BUF +0.6%
Q29:29BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 4BUF 33(9:29) 4-J.Cook left tackle to BUF 44 for 11 yards (42-A.Wingard). JAX-42-A.Wingard was injured during the play.BUF +1.9%
Q28:59BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10BUF 44(8:59) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 44 for 12 yards (22-J.Jones). ** Injury Update: BUF-22-R.Davis has returned to the game. Penalty on JAX-22-J.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.BUF +2.6%
Q28:32BUF 3–JAX 71st & 10JAX 44(8:32) 4-J.Cook left end to JAX 44 for no gain (44-T.Walker).JAX +1.9%
Q27:47BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 10JAX 44(7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd).BUF +10.4%
Q2—BUF 3–JAX 7—JAX 44Timeout #1 by BUF at 07:47. +0.0%
Q27:04BUF 3–JAX 71st & 8JAX 8(7:04) 4-J.Cook right end pushed ob at JAX 2 for 6 yards (30-M.Brown).BUF +1.1%
Q26:22BUF 3–JAX 72nd & 2JAX 2(6:22) 4-J.Cook right guard to JAX 2 for no gain (26-An.Johnson; 23-F.Oluokun).JAX +2.8%
Q25:42BUF 9–JAX 73rd & 2JAX 2(5:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +7.5%
Q2—BUF 10–JAX 7—JAX 1515-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky. ** Injury Update: JAX-42-A.Wingard has returned to the game.BUF +0.3%
Q2—BUF 10–JAX 7—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 59 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 6. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 26 for 20 yards (28-S.Franklin; 54-B.Spector).JAX +0.1%
Q25:33BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10JAX 26(5:33) (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten left end to JAX 30 for 4 yards (45-S.Thompson).BUF +0.8%
Q24:51BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 6JAX 30(4:51) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep left to 85-B.Strange (96-D.Walker).BUF +2.6%
Q24:46BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 6JAX 30(4:46) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep middle to 11-P.Washington.BUF +4.7%
Q2—BUF 10–JAX 7—JAX 30Timeout #2 by JAX at 04:46. +0.0%
Q24:41BUF 10–JAX 74th & 6JAX 30(4:41) 9-L.Cooke punts 42 yards to BUF 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds. BUF-14-T.Shavers was injured during the play.JAX +1.2%
Q24:35BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 28(4:35) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 18-B.Cooks.JAX +1.4%
Q24:29BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 10BUF 28(4:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 13-G.Davis to BUF 37 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray).BUF +3.1%
Q23:48BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 1BUF 37(3:48) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (44-T.Walker).BUF +1.5%
Q23:07BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 38(3:07) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 86-D.Kincaid to BUF 44 for 6 yards (22-J.Jones).JAX +1.8%
Q22:27BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 4BUF 44(2:27) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook left guard to BUF 49 for 5 yards (29-E.Murray; 0-D.Lloyd).BUF +2.1%
Q22:00BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 49(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook up the middle to JAX 49 for 2 yards (91-A.Armstead).JAX +0.7%
Q21:24BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 8JAX 49(1:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 22 for 27 yards (30-M.Brown). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 18-B.Cooks.JAX +1.9%
Q21:20BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 8JAX 49(1:20) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to JAX 45 for 4 yards (23-F.Oluokun).BUF +1.0%
Q21:14BUF 10–JAX 74th & 4JAX 45(1:14) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 45 - No Play.JAX +2.8%
Q2—BUF 10–JAX 7—JAX 45Timeout #3 by JAX at 01:14. +0.0%
Q21:14BUF 10–JAX 74th & 9MID 50(1:14) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 47 yards to JAX 3, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.BUF +4.2%
Q21:05BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10JAX 3(1:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to JAX 21 for 18 yards (45-S.Thompson; 37-J.Hancock).JAX +4.3%
Q20:34BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10JAX 21(:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-72-W.Little, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 21 - No Play.BUF +4.2%
Q20:22BUF 10–JAX 71st & 15JAX 16(:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 36-L.Allen pushed ob at JAX 25 for 9 yards (58-M.Milano).JAX +1.5%
Q20:15BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 6JAX 25(:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to BUF 41 for 34 yards (37-J.Hancock).JAX +9.1%
Q20:01BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 41(:01) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 41 - No Play.JAX +5.1%
Q20:01BUF 10–JAX 71st & 5BUF 36(:01) 39-C.Little 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.BUF +7.8%
Q3—BUF 10–JAX 7—JAX 3539-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 1. 22-R.Davis to BUF 26 for 25 yards (47-D.Gardeck).JAX +0.5%
Q314:54BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 26(14:54) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 28 for 2 yards (52-D.Hamilton). ** Injury Update: BUF-14-T.Shavers has returned to the game.JAX +1.3%
Q314:13BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 8BUF 28(14:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-T.Shavers [44-T.Walker].JAX +1.8%
Q314:09BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 8BUF 28(14:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 37 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray).BUF +5.2%
Q313:30BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10BUF 37(13:30) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 45 for 18 yards (30-M.Brown) [41-J.Hines-Allen].BUF +3.7%
Q312:49BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10JAX 45(12:49) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 4-J.Cook to JAX 41 for 4 yards (6-G.Newsome).BUF +0.1%
Q312:08BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 6JAX 41(12:08) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook left guard to JAX 40 for 1 yard (52-D.Hamilton).BUF +0.5%
Q311:23BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 5JAX 40(11:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at JAX 35 for 5 yards (6-G.Newsome).BUF +3.9%
Q310:48BUF 10–JAX 71st & 10JAX 35(10:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen). ** Injury Update: JAX-92-D.Striggow has returned to the game.JAX +1.5%
Q310:06BUF 10–JAX 72nd & 8JAX 33(10:06) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook up the middle to JAX 30 for 3 yards (99-Au.Johnson).JAX +0.0%
Q39:22BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 5JAX 30(9:22) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-88-D.Knox, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at JAX 30 - No Play.JAX +0.8%
Q38:59BUF 10–JAX 73rd & 9JAX 34(8:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 29 for 5 yards (42-A.Wingard).JAX +2.3%
Q38:16BUF 13–JAX 74th & 4JAX 29(8:16) 15-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.BUF +3.2%
Q3—BUF 13–JAX 7—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.JAX +1.9%
Q38:12BUF 13–JAX 71st & 10JAX 35(8:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at JAX 48 for 13 yards (47-C.Benford).JAX +2.7%
Q37:34BUF 13–JAX 71st & 10JAX 48(7:34) 1-T.Etienne right tackle to BUF 26 for 26 yards (27-T.White).JAX +9.3%
Q36:48BUF 13–JAX 71st & 10BUF 26(6:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 85-B.Strange (27-T.White).BUF +2.2%
Q36:44BUF 13–JAX 72nd & 10BUF 26(6:44) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to BUF 25 for 1 yard (96-D.Walker; 50-G.Rousseau).BUF +2.2%
Q35:57BUF 13–JAX 73rd & 9BUF 25(5:57) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep right to 85-B.Strange (27-T.White).BUF +4.0%
Q35:52BUF 13–JAX 104th & 9BUF 25(5:52) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.BUF +1.2%
Q3—BUF 13–JAX 10—JAX 3539-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 1. 22-R.Davis to BUF 31 for 30 yards (50-B.Combs).BUF +0.8%
Q35:41BUF 13–JAX 101st & 10BUF 31(5:41) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 33 for 2 yards (93-M.Dickerson).JAX +2.2%
Q34:57BUF 13–JAX 102nd & 8BUF 33(4:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 21 for -12 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen).JAX +6.2%
Q34:11BUF 13–JAX 103rd & 20BUF 21(4:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 86-D.Kincaid.JAX +4.2%
Q34:05BUF 13–JAX 104th & 20BUF 21(4:05) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 41 yards to JAX 38, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.BUF +1.7%
Q33:58BUF 13–JAX 101st & 10JAX 38(3:58) 1-T.Etienne left guard to JAX 43 for 5 yards (42-D.Williams).BUF +0.1%
Q33:24BUF 13–JAX 102nd & 5JAX 43(3:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 44 for 1 yard (75-A.Jones).BUF +3.9%
Q32:45BUF 13–JAX 103rd & 4JAX 44(2:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 7-B.Thomas to BUF 38 for 18 yards (37-J.Hancock).JAX +11.4%
Q32:18BUF 13–JAX 101st & 10BUF 38(2:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 36-L.Allen right end to BUF 35 for 3 yards (58-M.Milano).JAX +0.3%
Q31:34BUF 13–JAX 102nd & 7BUF 35(1:34) 1-T.Etienne right end to BUF 30 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson; 37-J.Hancock).BUF +0.5%
Q30:51BUF 13–JAX 103rd & 2BUF 30(:51) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington to BUF 16 for 14 yards (37-J.Hancock).JAX +6.8%
Q30:05BUF 13–JAX 101st & 10BUF 16(:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at BUF 12 for 4 yards (47-C.Benford).JAX +0.6%
Q415:00BUF 13–JAX 102nd & 6BUF 12(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington to BUF 7 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson).BUF +1.5%
Q414:15BUF 13–JAX 103rd & 1BUF 7(14:15) 16-T.Lawrence right guard to BUF 5 for 2 yards (50-G.Rousseau).JAX +4.6%
Q413:33BUF 13–JAX 101st & 5BUF 5(13:33) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence right end to BUF 6 for -1 yards (50-G.Rousseau, 37-J.Hancock).BUF +2.8%
Q413:01BUF 13–JAX 162nd & 6BUF 6(13:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-77-A.Harrison was injured during the play.JAX +6.9%
Q4—BUF 13–JAX 17—BUF 1539-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.JAX +0.3%
Q4—BUF 13–JAX 17—JAX 3539-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BUF 35.BUF +1.4%
Q412:55BUF 13–JAX 171st & 10BUF 35(12:55) 4-J.Cook right tackle to BUF 41 for 6 yards (93-M.Dickerson).BUF +0.3%
Q412:14BUF 13–JAX 172nd & 4BUF 41(12:14) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 4-J.Cook.JAX +2.8%
Q412:09BUF 13–JAX 173rd & 4BUF 41(12:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid pushed ob at BUF 48 for 7 yards (26-An.Johnson).BUF +5.1%
Q411:32BUF 13–JAX 171st & 10BUF 48(11:32) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 88-D.Knox to JAX 28 for 24 yards (42-A.Wingard).BUF +10.0%
Q410:47BUF 13–JAX 171st & 10JAX 28(10:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 13-G.Davis. BUF-13-G.Davis was injured during the play.JAX +2.3%
Q410:41BUF 13–JAX 172nd & 10JAX 28(10:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 24 for 4 yards (42-A.Wingard; 44-T.Walker).JAX +1.1%
Q49:56BUF 13–JAX 173rd & 6JAX 24(9:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 18 for 6 yards (26-An.Johnson). Jacksonville challenged the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 19 for 5 yards (26-An.Johnson).JAX +3.8%
Q49:42BUF 13–JAX 174th & 1JAX 19(9:42) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard to JAX 15 for 4 yards (47-D.Gardeck).BUF +8.2%
Q49:01BUF 19–JAX 171st & 10JAX 15(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +13.3%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 17—JAX 1515-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.BUF +0.4%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 17—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 50 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 15. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 23 for 8 yards (23-D.Jackson).BUF +0.4%
Q48:50BUF 20–JAX 171st & 10JAX 23(8:50) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 11-P.Washington (50-G.Rousseau). ** Injury Update: JAX-77-A.Harrison has returned to the game.BUF +2.5%
Q48:45BUF 20–JAX 172nd & 10JAX 23(8:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 1-T.Etienne to JAX 37 for 14 yards (24-C.Bishop).JAX +6.2%
Q48:04BUF 20–JAX 171st & 10JAX 37(8:04) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 39 for 2 yards (45-S.Thompson).BUF +0.7%
Q47:21BUF 20–JAX 172nd & 8JAX 39(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 11-P.Washington (47-C.Benford).BUF +4.3%
Q47:17BUF 20–JAX 173rd & 8JAX 39(7:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 85-B.Strange [45-S.Thompson]. PENALTY on BUF-47-C.Benford, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 39 - No Play.JAX +7.7%
Q47:10BUF 20–JAX 171st & 10JAX 44(7:10) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep left to 17-T.Patrick [97-J.Bosa].BUF +3.0%
Q47:05BUF 20–JAX 172nd & 10JAX 44(7:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to BUF 25 for 31 yards (24-C.Bishop).JAX +18.3%
Q46:20BUF 20–JAX 171st & 10BUF 25(6:20) (Shotgun) 11-P.Washington left end ran ob at BUF 20 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson).BUF +0.2%
Q45:36BUF 20–JAX 172nd & 5BUF 20(5:36) 1-T.Etienne left end pushed ob at BUF 16 for 4 yards (47-C.Benford).BUF +1.1%
Q44:52BUF 20–JAX 173rd & 1BUF 16(4:52) (Shotgun) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne up the middle to BUF 14 for 2 yards (96-D.Walker).JAX +1.1%
Q44:10BUF 20–JAX 231st & 10BUF 14(4:10) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.JAX +16.7%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 24—BUF 1539-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.JAX +0.4%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 24—JAX 3539-C.Little kicks 61 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 4. 22-R.Davis to BUF 34 for 30 yards (47-D.Gardeck).BUF +1.8%
Q43:58BUF 20–JAX 241st & 10BUF 34(3:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 42 for 8 yards (0-D.Lloyd).BUF +2.1%
Q43:19BUF 20–JAX 242nd & 2BUF 42(3:19) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 43 for 1 yard (52-D.Hamilton; 91-A.Armstead).JAX +0.5%
Q43:00BUF 20–JAX 243rd & 1BUF 43(3:00) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left tackle to BUF 44 for 1 yard (29-E.Murray; 23-F.Oluokun). (Virtual Measurement).BUF +2.6%
Q42:27BUF 20–JAX 241st & 10BUF 44(2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 20 for 36 yards (26-An.Johnson).BUF +18.7%
Q42:00BUF 20–JAX 241st & 10JAX 20(2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to JAX 18 for 2 yards (23-F.Oluokun).JAX +0.2%
Q41:21BUF 20–JAX 242nd & 8JAX 18(1:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 14 for 4 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen).BUF +1.3%
Q41:16BUF 20–JAX 243rd & 4JAX 14(1:16) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 11 for 3 yards (26-An.Johnson; 30-M.Brown).JAX +4.1%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 24—JAX 14Timeout #1 by JAX at 01:16. +0.0%
Q41:10BUF 20–JAX 244th & 1JAX 11(1:10) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 1 for 10 yards (26-An.Johnson; 91-A.Armstead).BUF +33.4%
Q4—BUF 20–JAX 24—JAX 11Timeout #2 by JAX at 01:10. +0.0%
Q41:05BUF 26–JAX 241st & 1JAX 1(1:05) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.BUF +0.9%
Q4—BUF 26–JAX 24—JAX 1Timeout #3 by JAX at 01:05. +0.0%
Q4—BUF 27–JAX 24—JAX 1515-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.BUF +0.5%
Q4—BUF 27–JAX 24—BUF 3519-M.Wishnowsky kicks 63 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 2. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 23 for 21 yards (56-J.Solomon).BUF +1.7%
Q40:59BUF 27–JAX 241st & 10JAX 23(:59) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 3-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bishop (27-T.White) at JAX 37. 24-C.Bishop to JAX 35 for 2 yards.BUF +17.0%
Q40:54BUF 27–JAX 241st & 10JAX 35(:54) 17-J.Allen kneels to JAX 36 for -1 yards.BUF +0.2%
Q40:36BUF 27–JAX 242nd & 11JAX 36(:36) 17-J.Allen kneels to JAX 37 for -1 yards.—
Q1 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +2.0%
Win probability: JAX 54.2%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 57 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 8. 36-L.Allen to JAX 34 for 26 yards (44-J.Andreessen).
Q1 14:56 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +5.9%
Win probability: BUF 43.8%
1st & 10 · JAX 34
(14:56) 11-P.Washington right end to JAX 31 for -3 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q1 14:15 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +2.7%
Win probability: JAX 50.3%
2nd & 13 · JAX 31
(14:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne to JAX 36 for 5 yards (50-G.Rousseau; 96-D.Walker).
Q1 13:47 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +6.4%
Win probability: BUF 47.0%
3rd & 8 · JAX 36
(13:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers.
Q1 13:42 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +2.2%
Win probability: JAX 46.6%
4th & 8 · JAX 36
(13:42) 9-L.Cooke punts 58 yards to BUF 6, Center-46-R.Matiscik, downed by JAX-25-R.Lane.
Q1 13:29 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +0.9%
Win probability: JAX 48.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 6
(13:29) 4-J.Cook right guard to BUF 9 for 3 yards (44-T.Walker).
Q1 12:49 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +3.0%
Win probability: JAX 49.8%
2nd & 7 · BUF 9
(12:49) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 9 for no gain (6-G.Newsome; 29-E.Murray).
Q1 12:04 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +5.3%
Win probability: BUF 47.2%
3rd & 7 · BUF 9
(12:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-T.Shavers pushed ob at BUF 23 for 14 yards (29-E.Murray).
Q1 11:27 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +3.6%
Win probability: JAX 47.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 23
(11:27) 4-J.Cook right tackle to BUF 27 for 4 yards (30-M.Brown). PENALTY on BUF-14-T.Shavers, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 23 - No Play.
Q1 11:17 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 48.9%
1st & 20 · BUF 13
(11:17) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 25 for 12 yards (29-E.Murray).
Q1 10:34 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +2.9%
Win probability: BUF 50.7%
2nd & 8 · BUF 25
(10:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 18-B.Cooks ran ob at BUF 35 for 10 yards (30-M.Brown).
Q1 9:54 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +3.5%
Win probability: JAX 46.4%
1st & 10 · BUF 35
(9:54) PENALTY on BUF-85-J.Hawes, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.
Q1 9:31 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 50.1%
1st & 15 · BUF 30
(9:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to BUF 38 for 8 yards (0-D.Lloyd).
Q1 8:47 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 48.0%
2nd & 7 · BUF 38
(8:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 38 for no gain (22-J.Jones).
Q1 8:02 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +2.7%
Win probability: JAX 49.7%
3rd & 7 · BUF 38
(8:02) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 86-D.Kincaid.
Q1 7:58 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 47.6%
4th & 7 · BUF 38
(7:58) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 42 yards to JAX 20, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 11-P.Washington.
Q1 7:51 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +3.1%
Win probability: BUF 49.5%
1st & 10 · JAX 20
(7:51) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 23 for 3 yards (57-A.Epenesa).
Q1 7:05 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 47.4%
2nd & 7 · JAX 23
(7:05) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-72-W.Little, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 23 - No Play.
Q1 6:45 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 48.2%
2nd & 12 · JAX 18
(6:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne pushed ob at JAX 28 for 10 yards (45-S.Thompson).
Q1 6:00 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +4.7%
Win probability: JAX 51.0%
3rd & 2 · JAX 28
(6:00) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 40 for 12 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 5:30 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 44.3%
1st & 10 · JAX 40
(5:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short middle to 11-P.Washington.
Q1 5:25 · BUF 0–JAX 0
BUF +14.3%
Win probability: BUF 46.1%
2nd & 10 · JAX 40
(5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 45-S.Thompson at BUF 48. 45-S.Thompson to JAX 33 for 19 yards (16-T.Lawrence).
Q1 5:15 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +0.3%
Win probability: JAX 39.6%
1st & 10 · JAX 33
(5:15) 4-J.Cook right tackle to JAX 30 for 3 yards (91-A.Armstead).
Q1 4:35 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 39.9%
2nd & 7 · JAX 30
(4:35) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 4-J.Cook to JAX 29 for 1 yard (0-D.Lloyd).
Q1 3:51 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +1.8%
Win probability: JAX 41.4%
3rd & 6 · JAX 29
(3:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 27 for 2 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen; 44-T.Walker).
Q1 3:07 · BUF 0–JAX 0
JAX +1.7%
Win probability: JAX 43.2%
4th & 4 · JAX 27
(3:07) (Field Goal formation) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 27 - No Play.
Q1 3:00 · BUF 3–JAX 0
BUF +0.0%
Win probability: BUF 55.2%
4th & 9 · JAX 32
(3:00) 15-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Q1 · BUF 3–JAX 0
JAX +2.6%
Win probability: JAX 44.8%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.
Q1 2:54 · BUF 3–JAX 0
JAX +1.9%
Win probability: JAX 47.4%
1st & 10 · JAX 35
(2:54) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange to JAX 44 for 9 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q1 2:12 · BUF 3–JAX 0
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 50.7%
2nd & 1 · JAX 44
(2:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne to 50 for 6 yards (42-D.Williams).
Q1 1:32 · BUF 3–JAX 0
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 49.2%
1st & 10 · MID 50
(1:32) 33-B.Tuten right end to BUF 30 for 20 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q1 0:56 · BUF 3–JAX 0
JAX +3.7%
Win probability: JAX 53.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 30
(:56) (No Huddle) 33-B.Tuten right tackle to BUF 16 for 14 yards (21-J.Poyer).
Q1 0:10 · BUF 3–JAX 0
JAX +5.1%
Win probability: JAX 57.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 16
(:10) 33-B.Tuten left end pushed ob at BUF 3 for 13 yards (27-T.White).
Q2 15:00 · BUF 3–JAX 0
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 37.9%
1st & 3 · BUF 3
(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 85-B.Strange to BUF 3 for no gain (50-G.Rousseau).
Q2 14:18 · BUF 3–JAX 6
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 59.5%
2nd & 3 · BUF 3
(14:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +0.1%
Win probability: JAX 60.2%
— · BUF 15
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Q2 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +10.2%
Win probability: JAX 60.3%
— · JAX 35
39-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 0. 22-R.Davis to BUF 34 for 34 yards (36-L.Allen; 30-M.Brown). FUMBLES (36-L.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-0-D.Lloyd at BUF 36. BUF-22-R.Davis was injured during the play.
Q2 14:05 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 70.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 36
(14:05) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne right end to BUF 29 for 7 yards (7-Ta.Johnson).
Q2 13:21 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +2.4%
Win probability: JAX 71.4%
2nd & 3 · BUF 29
(13:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 3-J.Meyers to BUF 17 for 12 yards (7-Ta.Johnson) [50-G.Rousseau].
Q2 12:54 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 26.2%
1st & 10 · BUF 17
(12:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers (58-M.Milano).
Q2 12:50 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 27.7%
2nd & 10 · BUF 17
(12:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 19 for -2 yards (50-G.Rousseau).
Q2 12:06 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 70.5%
3rd & 12 · BUF 19
(12:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left tackle to BUF 9 for 10 yards (92-D.Jones).
Q2 11:21 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +8.4%
Win probability: BUF 28.9%
4th & 2 · BUF 9
(11:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to BUF 7 for 2 yards (45-S.Thompson). (Virtual Measurement). Buffalo challenged the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to BUF 8 for 1 yard (45-S.Thompson).
Q2 · BUF 3–JAX 7
+0.0%
— · BUF 9
Timeout #1 by JAX at 11:21.
Q2 11:19 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +1.0%
Win probability: JAX 62.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 8
(11:19) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 12 for 4 yards (30-M.Brown).
Q2 10:42 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 36.3%
2nd & 6 · BUF 12
(10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at BUF 27 for 15 yards (23-F.Oluokun).
Q2 10:07 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +0.6%
Win probability: BUF 38.4%
1st & 10 · BUF 27
(10:07) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 20-F.Gore pushed ob at BUF 33 for 6 yards (0-D.Lloyd).
Q2 9:29 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +1.9%
Win probability: BUF 39.1%
2nd & 4 · BUF 33
(9:29) 4-J.Cook left tackle to BUF 44 for 11 yards (42-A.Wingard). JAX-42-A.Wingard was injured during the play.
Q2 8:59 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 41.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 44
(8:59) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 44 for 12 yards (22-J.Jones). ** Injury Update: BUF-22-R.Davis has returned to the game. Penalty on JAX-22-J.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q2 8:32 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +1.9%
Win probability: JAX 56.4%
1st & 10 · JAX 44
(8:32) 4-J.Cook left end to JAX 44 for no gain (44-T.Walker).
Q2 7:47 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +10.4%
Win probability: BUF 41.7%
2nd & 10 · JAX 44
(7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd).
Q2 · BUF 3–JAX 7
+0.0%
— · JAX 44
Timeout #1 by BUF at 07:47.
Q2 7:04 · BUF 3–JAX 7
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 52.1%
1st & 8 · JAX 8
(7:04) 4-J.Cook right end pushed ob at JAX 2 for 6 yards (30-M.Brown).
Q2 6:22 · BUF 3–JAX 7
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 46.8%
2nd & 2 · JAX 2
(6:22) 4-J.Cook right guard to JAX 2 for no gain (26-An.Johnson; 23-F.Oluokun).
Q2 5:42 · BUF 9–JAX 7
BUF +7.5%
Win probability: BUF 50.4%
3rd & 2 · JAX 2
(5:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 57.9%
— · JAX 15
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky. ** Injury Update: JAX-42-A.Wingard has returned to the game.
Q2 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +0.1%
Win probability: JAX 41.8%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 59 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 6. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 26 for 20 yards (28-S.Franklin; 54-B.Spector).
Q2 5:33 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 58.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 26
(5:33) (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten left end to JAX 30 for 4 yards (45-S.Thompson).
Q2 4:51 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 58.8%
2nd & 6 · JAX 30
(4:51) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep left to 85-B.Strange (96-D.Walker).
Q2 4:46 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +4.7%
Win probability: BUF 61.4%
3rd & 6 · JAX 30
(4:46) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep middle to 11-P.Washington.
Q2 · BUF 10–JAX 7
+0.0%
— · JAX 30
Timeout #2 by JAX at 04:46.
Q2 4:41 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.2%
Win probability: JAX 33.9%
4th & 6 · JAX 30
(4:41) 9-L.Cooke punts 42 yards to BUF 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds. BUF-14-T.Shavers was injured during the play.
Q2 4:35 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.4%
Win probability: JAX 35.1%
1st & 10 · BUF 28
(4:35) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 18-B.Cooks.
Q2 4:29 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +3.1%
Win probability: BUF 63.5%
2nd & 10 · BUF 28
(4:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 13-G.Davis to BUF 37 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray).
Q2 3:48 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 66.6%
3rd & 1 · BUF 37
(3:48) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (44-T.Walker).
Q2 3:07 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.8%
Win probability: JAX 31.9%
1st & 10 · BUF 38
(3:07) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 86-D.Kincaid to BUF 44 for 6 yards (22-J.Jones).
Q2 2:27 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 66.3%
2nd & 4 · BUF 44
(2:27) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook left guard to BUF 49 for 5 yards (29-E.Murray; 0-D.Lloyd).
Q2 2:00 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +0.7%
Win probability: JAX 31.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 49
(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook up the middle to JAX 49 for 2 yards (91-A.Armstead).
Q2 1:24 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.9%
Win probability: JAX 32.3%
2nd & 8 · JAX 49
(1:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 22 for 27 yards (30-M.Brown). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 18-B.Cooks.
Q2 1:20 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +1.0%
Win probability: BUF 65.8%
3rd & 8 · JAX 49
(1:20) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to JAX 45 for 4 yards (23-F.Oluokun).
Q2 1:14 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 33.2%
4th & 4 · JAX 45
(1:14) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 45 - No Play.
Q2 · BUF 10–JAX 7
+0.0%
— · JAX 45
Timeout #3 by JAX at 01:14.
Q2 1:14 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +4.2%
Win probability: BUF 64.0%
4th & 9 · MID 50
(1:14) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 47 yards to JAX 3, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
Q2 1:05 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +4.3%
Win probability: JAX 31.8%
1st & 10 · JAX 3
(1:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to JAX 21 for 18 yards (45-S.Thompson; 37-J.Hancock).
Q2 0:34 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +4.2%
Win probability: BUF 63.9%
1st & 10 · JAX 21
(:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-72-W.Little, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 21 - No Play.
Q2 0:22 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 31.9%
1st & 15 · JAX 16
(:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 36-L.Allen pushed ob at JAX 25 for 9 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q2 0:15 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +9.1%
Win probability: JAX 33.5%
2nd & 6 · JAX 25
(:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to BUF 41 for 34 yards (37-J.Hancock).
Q2 0:01 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +5.1%
Win probability: JAX 42.5%
1st & 10 · BUF 41
(:01) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 41 - No Play.
Q2 0:01 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +7.8%
Win probability: BUF 52.4%
1st & 5 · BUF 36
(:01) 39-C.Little 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Q3 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +0.5%
Win probability: JAX 39.8%
— · JAX 35
39-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 1. 22-R.Davis to BUF 26 for 25 yards (47-D.Gardeck).
Q3 14:54 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.3%
Win probability: JAX 40.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 26
(14:54) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 28 for 2 yards (52-D.Hamilton). ** Injury Update: BUF-14-T.Shavers has returned to the game.
Q3 14:13 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.8%
Win probability: JAX 41.6%
2nd & 8 · BUF 28
(14:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-T.Shavers [44-T.Walker].
Q3 14:09 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +5.2%
Win probability: BUF 56.6%
3rd & 8 · BUF 28
(14:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 37 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray).
Q3 13:30 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +3.7%
Win probability: BUF 61.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 37
(13:30) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 45 for 18 yards (30-M.Brown) [41-J.Hines-Allen].
Q3 12:49 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 65.5%
1st & 10 · JAX 45
(12:49) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 4-J.Cook to JAX 41 for 4 yards (6-G.Newsome).
Q3 12:08 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 65.6%
2nd & 6 · JAX 41
(12:08) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook left guard to JAX 40 for 1 yard (52-D.Hamilton).
Q3 11:23 · BUF 10–JAX 7
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 66.1%
3rd & 5 · JAX 40
(11:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at JAX 35 for 5 yards (6-G.Newsome).
Q3 10:48 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +1.5%
Win probability: JAX 30.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 35
(10:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen). ** Injury Update: JAX-92-D.Striggow has returned to the game.
Q3 10:06 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +0.0%
Win probability: JAX 31.5%
2nd & 8 · JAX 33
(10:06) (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook up the middle to JAX 30 for 3 yards (99-Au.Johnson).
Q3 9:22 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +0.8%
Win probability: JAX 31.5%
3rd & 5 · JAX 30
(9:22) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BUF-88-D.Knox, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at JAX 30 - No Play.
Q3 8:59 · BUF 10–JAX 7
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 32.3%
3rd & 9 · JAX 34
(8:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 29 for 5 yards (42-A.Wingard).
Q3 8:16 · BUF 13–JAX 7
BUF +3.2%
Win probability: BUF 65.4%
4th & 4 · JAX 29
(8:16) 15-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Q3 · BUF 13–JAX 7
JAX +1.9%
Win probability: JAX 31.4%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.
Q3 8:12 · BUF 13–JAX 7
JAX +2.7%
Win probability: JAX 33.3%
1st & 10 · JAX 35
(8:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at JAX 48 for 13 yards (47-C.Benford).
Q3 7:34 · BUF 13–JAX 7
JAX +9.3%
Win probability: JAX 36.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 48
(7:34) 1-T.Etienne right tackle to BUF 26 for 26 yards (27-T.White).
Q3 6:48 · BUF 13–JAX 7
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 54.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 26
(6:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 85-B.Strange (27-T.White).
Q3 6:44 · BUF 13–JAX 7
BUF +2.2%
Win probability: BUF 57.0%
2nd & 10 · BUF 26
(6:44) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to BUF 25 for 1 yard (96-D.Walker; 50-G.Rousseau).
Q3 5:57 · BUF 13–JAX 7
BUF +4.0%
Win probability: BUF 59.2%
3rd & 9 · BUF 25
(5:57) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep right to 85-B.Strange (27-T.White).
Q3 5:52 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +1.2%
Win probability: BUF 63.2%
4th & 9 · BUF 25
(5:52) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Q3 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +0.8%
Win probability: BUF 64.4%
— · JAX 35
39-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 1. 22-R.Davis to BUF 31 for 30 yards (50-B.Combs).
Q3 5:41 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +2.2%
Win probability: JAX 34.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 31
(5:41) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 33 for 2 yards (93-M.Dickerson).
Q3 4:57 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +6.2%
Win probability: JAX 37.0%
2nd & 8 · BUF 33
(4:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 21 for -12 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen).
Q3 4:11 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +4.2%
Win probability: JAX 43.2%
3rd & 20 · BUF 21
(4:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 86-D.Kincaid.
Q3 4:05 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 52.7%
4th & 20 · BUF 21
(4:05) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 41 yards to JAX 38, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
Q3 3:58 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +0.1%
Win probability: BUF 54.4%
1st & 10 · JAX 38
(3:58) 1-T.Etienne left guard to JAX 43 for 5 yards (42-D.Williams).
Q3 3:24 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +3.9%
Win probability: BUF 54.5%
2nd & 5 · JAX 43
(3:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 44 for 1 yard (75-A.Jones).
Q3 2:45 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +11.4%
Win probability: JAX 41.6%
3rd & 4 · JAX 44
(2:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 7-B.Thomas to BUF 38 for 18 yards (37-J.Hancock).
Q3 2:18 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +0.3%
Win probability: JAX 53.0%
1st & 10 · BUF 38
(2:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 36-L.Allen right end to BUF 35 for 3 yards (58-M.Milano).
Q3 1:34 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 46.6%
2nd & 7 · BUF 35
(1:34) 1-T.Etienne right end to BUF 30 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson; 37-J.Hancock).
Q3 0:51 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +6.8%
Win probability: JAX 52.8%
3rd & 2 · BUF 30
(:51) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington to BUF 16 for 14 yards (37-J.Hancock).
Q3 0:05 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +0.6%
Win probability: JAX 59.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 16
(:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at BUF 12 for 4 yards (47-C.Benford).
Q4 15:00 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +1.5%
Win probability: BUF 39.7%
2nd & 6 · BUF 12
(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington to BUF 7 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson).
Q4 14:15 · BUF 13–JAX 10
JAX +4.6%
Win probability: JAX 58.7%
3rd & 1 · BUF 7
(14:15) 16-T.Lawrence right guard to BUF 5 for 2 yards (50-G.Rousseau).
Q4 13:33 · BUF 13–JAX 10
BUF +2.8%
Win probability: BUF 36.6%
1st & 5 · BUF 5
(13:33) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence right end to BUF 6 for -1 yards (50-G.Rousseau, 37-J.Hancock).
Q4 13:01 · BUF 13–JAX 16
JAX +6.9%
Win probability: JAX 60.5%
2nd & 6 · BUF 6
(13:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-77-A.Harrison was injured during the play.
Q4 · BUF 13–JAX 17
JAX +0.3%
Win probability: JAX 67.5%
— · BUF 15
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Q4 · BUF 13–JAX 17
BUF +1.4%
Win probability: BUF 32.3%
— · JAX 35
39-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BUF 35.
Q4 12:55 · BUF 13–JAX 17
BUF +0.3%
Win probability: BUF 33.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 35
(12:55) 4-J.Cook right tackle to BUF 41 for 6 yards (93-M.Dickerson).
Q4 12:14 · BUF 13–JAX 17
JAX +2.8%
Win probability: JAX 66.0%
2nd & 4 · BUF 41
(12:14) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 4-J.Cook.
Q4 12:09 · BUF 13–JAX 17
BUF +5.1%
Win probability: BUF 31.2%
3rd & 4 · BUF 41
(12:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid pushed ob at BUF 48 for 7 yards (26-An.Johnson).
Q4 11:32 · BUF 13–JAX 17
BUF +10.0%
Win probability: BUF 36.3%
1st & 10 · BUF 48
(11:32) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 88-D.Knox to JAX 28 for 24 yards (42-A.Wingard).
Q4 10:47 · BUF 13–JAX 17
JAX +2.3%
Win probability: JAX 53.7%
1st & 10 · JAX 28
(10:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 13-G.Davis. BUF-13-G.Davis was injured during the play.
Q4 10:41 · BUF 13–JAX 17
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 55.9%
2nd & 10 · JAX 28
(10:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 24 for 4 yards (42-A.Wingard; 44-T.Walker).
Q4 9:56 · BUF 13–JAX 17
JAX +3.8%
Win probability: JAX 57.0%
3rd & 6 · JAX 24
(9:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 18 for 6 yards (26-An.Johnson). Jacksonville challenged the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to JAX 19 for 5 yards (26-An.Johnson).
Q4 9:42 · BUF 13–JAX 17
BUF +8.2%
Win probability: BUF 39.2%
4th & 1 · JAX 19
(9:42) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard to JAX 15 for 4 yards (47-D.Gardeck).
Q4 9:01 · BUF 19–JAX 17
BUF +13.3%
Win probability: BUF 47.3%
1st & 10 · JAX 15
(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 60.7%
— · JAX 15
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +0.4%
Win probability: BUF 61.1%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 50 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 15. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 23 for 8 yards (23-D.Jackson).
Q4 8:50 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +2.5%
Win probability: BUF 61.4%
1st & 10 · JAX 23
(8:50) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 11-P.Washington (50-G.Rousseau). ** Injury Update: JAX-77-A.Harrison has returned to the game.
Q4 8:45 · BUF 20–JAX 17
JAX +6.2%
Win probability: JAX 36.0%
2nd & 10 · JAX 23
(8:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 1-T.Etienne to JAX 37 for 14 yards (24-C.Bishop).
Q4 8:04 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +0.7%
Win probability: BUF 57.7%
1st & 10 · JAX 37
(8:04) 1-T.Etienne up the middle to JAX 39 for 2 yards (45-S.Thompson).
Q4 7:21 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +4.3%
Win probability: BUF 58.5%
2nd & 8 · JAX 39
(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 11-P.Washington (47-C.Benford).
Q4 7:17 · BUF 20–JAX 17
JAX +7.7%
Win probability: JAX 37.3%
3rd & 8 · JAX 39
(7:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 85-B.Strange [45-S.Thompson]. PENALTY on BUF-47-C.Benford, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 39 - No Play.
Q4 7:10 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +3.0%
Win probability: BUF 55.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 44
(7:10) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep left to 17-T.Patrick [97-J.Bosa].
Q4 7:05 · BUF 20–JAX 17
JAX +18.3%
Win probability: JAX 42.0%
2nd & 10 · JAX 44
(7:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to BUF 25 for 31 yards (24-C.Bishop).
Q4 6:20 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 39.7%
1st & 10 · BUF 25
(6:20) (Shotgun) 11-P.Washington left end ran ob at BUF 20 for 5 yards (45-S.Thompson).
Q4 5:36 · BUF 20–JAX 17
BUF +1.1%
Win probability: BUF 39.9%
2nd & 5 · BUF 20
(5:36) 1-T.Etienne left end pushed ob at BUF 16 for 4 yards (47-C.Benford).
Q4 4:52 · BUF 20–JAX 17
JAX +1.1%
Win probability: JAX 59.0%
3rd & 1 · BUF 16
(4:52) (Shotgun) 55-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne up the middle to BUF 14 for 2 yards (96-D.Walker).
Q4 4:10 · BUF 20–JAX 23
JAX +16.7%
Win probability: JAX 60.1%
1st & 10 · BUF 14
(4:10) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 24
JAX +0.4%
Win probability: JAX 76.9%
— · BUF 15
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +1.8%
Win probability: BUF 22.8%
— · JAX 35
39-C.Little kicks 61 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 4. 22-R.Davis to BUF 34 for 30 yards (47-D.Gardeck).
Q4 3:58 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +2.1%
Win probability: BUF 24.6%
1st & 10 · BUF 34
(3:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 42 for 8 yards (0-D.Lloyd).
Q4 3:19 · BUF 20–JAX 24
JAX +0.5%
Win probability: JAX 73.3%
2nd & 2 · BUF 42
(3:19) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 43 for 1 yard (52-D.Hamilton; 91-A.Armstead).
Q4 3:00 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +2.6%
Win probability: BUF 26.2%
3rd & 1 · BUF 43
(3:00) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left tackle to BUF 44 for 1 yard (29-E.Murray; 23-F.Oluokun). (Virtual Measurement).
Q4 2:27 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +18.7%
Win probability: BUF 28.8%
1st & 10 · BUF 44
(2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 20 for 36 yards (26-An.Johnson).
Q4 2:00 · BUF 20–JAX 24
JAX +0.2%
Win probability: JAX 52.5%
1st & 10 · JAX 20
(2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to JAX 18 for 2 yards (23-F.Oluokun).
Q4 1:21 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +1.3%
Win probability: BUF 47.3%
2nd & 8 · JAX 18
(1:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 14 for 4 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen).
Q4 1:16 · BUF 20–JAX 24
JAX +4.1%
Win probability: JAX 51.4%
3rd & 4 · JAX 14
(1:16) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to JAX 11 for 3 yards (26-An.Johnson; 30-M.Brown).
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 24
+0.0%
— · JAX 14
Timeout #1 by JAX at 01:16.
Q4 1:10 · BUF 20–JAX 24
BUF +33.4%
Win probability: BUF 44.6%
4th & 1 · JAX 11
(1:10) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 1 for 10 yards (26-An.Johnson; 91-A.Armstead).
Q4 · BUF 20–JAX 24
+0.0%
— · JAX 11
Timeout #2 by JAX at 01:10.
Q4 1:05 · BUF 26–JAX 24
BUF +0.9%
Win probability: BUF 78.0%
1st & 1 · JAX 1
(1:05) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · BUF 26–JAX 24
+0.0%
— · JAX 1
Timeout #3 by JAX at 01:05.
Q4 · BUF 27–JAX 24
BUF +0.5%
Win probability: BUF 78.9%
— · JAX 15
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Q4 · BUF 27–JAX 24
BUF +1.7%
Win probability: BUF 79.4%
— · BUF 35
19-M.Wishnowsky kicks 63 yards from BUF 35 to JAX 2. 33-B.Tuten to JAX 23 for 21 yards (56-J.Solomon).
Q4 0:59 · BUF 27–JAX 24
BUF +17.0%
Win probability: BUF 81.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 23
(:59) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 3-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bishop (27-T.White) at JAX 37. 24-C.Bishop to JAX 35 for 2 yards.
Q4 0:54 · BUF 27–JAX 24
BUF +0.2%
Win probability: BUF 98.0%
1st & 10 · JAX 35
(:54) 17-J.Allen kneels to JAX 36 for -1 yards.
Q4 0:36 · BUF 27–JAX 24
2nd & 11 · JAX 36
(:36) 17-J.Allen kneels to JAX 37 for -1 yards.