thrilla
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HOU Houston Texans@NE New England Patriots

16–28 · New England Patriots won
2026-01-18 · 2025 Divisional
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Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 4.94 which ranks in the 51.1 percentile.

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THRILLA
51percentile
Raw Score: 4.94
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 3.71, which ranks in the 54.7 percentile.

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GEI
55percentile
Raw Score: 3.71
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, New England Patriots fell to a 39.7% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 1.33 which ranks in the 49.9 percentile.

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Comeback
50percentile
Raw Score: 1.33
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 17.80 which ranks in the 79.7 percentile. It was calculated as follows:

  • Two-possession game (final margin ≤ 16): 1pts
  • Explosive plays (20+ yards): 7 × 0.5pts = 3.5pts
  • Turnovers: 10 × 0.75pts = 7.5pts
  • Sacks: 8 × 0.1pts = 0.8pts
  • Touchdowns: 5 × 1pts = 5pts
Total: 17.8pts

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Audience
80percentile
Raw Score: 17.80
Spread
NE -3
O/U 40.5
NE
HOU
Biggest Play
Q2 10:41 · HOU 10–NE 13
NE +24.0%
Win probability: NE 40.0%
1st & 10 · HOU 25
(10:41) 7-C.Stroud pass short left intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones [44-K.Chaisson] at HOU 26. 25-M.Jones for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game Log
QtrClockScoreDown & DistanceYardlinePlaySwing
Q1—HOU 0–NE 0—HOU 3515-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NE 35.NE +2.3%
Q115:00HOU 0–NE 01st & 10NE 35(15:00) 38-R.Stevenson right guard to NE 35 for no gain (90-S.Rankins).HOU +2.0%
Q114:24HOU 0–NE 02nd & 10NE 35(14:24) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 85-H.Henry (39-H.To'oTo'o).HOU +2.1%
Q114:20HOU 0–NE 03rd & 10NE 35(14:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 8-S.Diggs to NE 41 for 6 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o; 2-C.Bullock).HOU +3.4%
Q113:48HOU 0–NE 04th & 4NE 41(13:48) 17-B.Baringer punts 44 yards to HOU 15, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel to HOU 26 for 11 yards (49-C.Muma).HOU +3.0%
Q113:37HOU 0–NE 01st & 10HOU 26(13:37) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 19-X.Hutchinson.NE +1.1%
Q113:32HOU 0–NE 02nd & 10HOU 26(13:32) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks up the middle to HOU 29 for 3 yards (14-R.Spillane).NE +0.7%
Q113:13HOU 0–NE 03rd & 7HOU 29(13:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 13-C.Kirk.NE +5.3%
Q113:08HOU 0–NE 04th & 7HOU 29(13:08) 6-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to NE 15, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones to NE 34 for 19 yards (45-E.Speed).NE +1.4%
Q112:53HOU 0–NE 01st & 10NE 34(12:53) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 43 for 9 yards (4-K.Lassiter).NE +2.4%
Q112:16HOU 0–NE 02nd & 1NE 43(12:16) 38-R.Stevenson right end pushed ob at HOU 37 for 20 yards (2-C.Bullock).NE +0.7%
Q111:39HOU 0–NE 01st & 10HOU 37(11:39) 32-T.Henderson left end to HOU 39 for -2 yards (5-J.Pitre, 23-J.Reed).HOU +1.8%
Q111:01HOU 0–NE 02nd & 12HOU 39(11:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 32-T.Henderson to HOU 41 for -2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).HOU +3.6%
Q110:25HOU 0–NE 03rd & 14HOU 41(10:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 8-S.Diggs to HOU 28 for 13 yards (5-J.Pitre).NE +2.8%
Q19:41HOU 0–NE 64th & 1HOU 28(9:41) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 3-D.Douglas for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +12.1%
Q1—HOU 0–NE 7—HOU 1536-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.NE +0.1%
Q1—HOU 0–NE 7—NE 3536-A.Borregales kicks 55 yards from NE 35 to HOU 10. 17-B.Berrios to HOU 29 for 19 yards (41-B.Schooler).HOU +0.4%
Q19:31HOU 0–NE 71st & 10HOU 29(9:31) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 31 for 2 yards (95-K.Tonga; 33-A.Jennings).HOU +0.2%
Q18:51HOU 0–NE 72nd & 8HOU 31(8:51) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Higgins (7-C.Davis).NE +1.5%
Q18:47HOU 0–NE 73rd & 8HOU 31(8:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 86-D.Schultz pushed ob at NE 27 for 42 yards (31-C.Woodson).HOU +8.1%
Q18:07HOU 0–NE 71st & 10NE 27(8:07) PENALTY on HOU-86-D.Schultz, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 27 - No Play.NE +2.2%
Q17:54HOU 0–NE 71st & 15NE 32(7:54) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins to NE 23 for 9 yards (21-J.Hawkins).HOU +3.1%
Q17:17HOU 0–NE 72nd & 6NE 23(7:17) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 19-X.Hutchinson (53-C.Elliss).NE +1.6%
Q17:13HOU 0–NE 73rd & 6NE 23(7:13) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-C.Kirk to NE 13 for 10 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 7 yards, enforced at NE 13.HOU +6.6%
Q16:59HOU 0–NE 71st & 6NE 6(6:59) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 6 for no gain (48-J.Tavai; 31-C.Woodson).NE +1.6%
Q16:23HOU 0–NE 72nd & 6NE 6(6:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to NE 1 for 5 yards (25-M.Jones).HOU +0.4%
Q15:39HOU 0–NE 73rd & 1NE 1(5:39) 72-T.Togiai and 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on HOU, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at NE 1 - No Play.NE +2.1%
Q15:36HOU 0–NE 73rd & 6NE 6(5:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 27-W.Marks [90-C.Barmore].NE +3.1%
Q15:29HOU 3–NE 74th & 6NE 6(5:29) 15-K.Fairbairn 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.NE +1.4%
Q1—HOU 3–NE 7—HOU 3515-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to NE 0. 18-K.Williams to NE 22 for 22 yards (48-C.Harris).HOU +0.3%
Q15:21HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 22(5:21) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 22 for no gain (95-D.Barnett; 72-T.Togiai).HOU +0.5%
Q14:39HOU 3–NE 72nd & 10NE 22(4:39) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 8-S.Diggs (95-D.Barnett).HOU +1.6%
Q14:34HOU 3–NE 73rd & 10NE 22(4:34) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 12 for -10 yards (55-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (55-D.Hunter), recovered by NE-66-W.Campbell at NE 3.HOU +7.8%
Q13:51HOU 3–NE 74th & 29NE 3(3:51) 17-B.Baringer punts 55 yards to HOU 42, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel pushed ob at NE 47 for 11 yards (91-E.Ponder).NE +1.5%
Q13:41HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 47(3:41) 27-W.Marks right guard to NE 47 for no gain (44-K.Chaisson; 33-A.Jennings).NE +1.8%
Q13:04HOU 3–NE 72nd & 10NE 47(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 81-J.Higgins (31-C.Woodson).NE +2.1%
Q13:00HOU 3–NE 73rd & 10NE 47(3:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins pushed ob at NE 38 for 9 yards (7-C.Davis) [31-C.Woodson].HOU +0.8%
Q12:24HOU 3–NE 74th & 1NE 38(2:24) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 36 for 2 yards (95-K.Tonga).HOU +4.8%
Q11:44HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 36(1:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 7-C.Davis [44-K.Chaisson] at NE 18. 7-C.Davis to NE 18 for no gain (13-C.Kirk).NE +11.1%
Q11:37HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 18(1:37) (Shotgun) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 23 for 5 yards (58-L.Fotu; 2-C.Bullock).HOU +1.6%
Q10:58HOU 3–NE 72nd & 5NE 23(:58) 10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 27 for 4 yards (72-T.Togiai). FUMBLES (72-T.Togiai), RECOVERED by HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair at NE 27.HOU +12.0%
Q10:53HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 27(:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins pushed ob at NE 22 for 5 yards (0-C.Gonzalez). ** Injury Update: NE-14-R.Spillane has returned to the game.HOU +0.2%
Q10:18HOU 3–NE 72nd & 5NE 22(:18) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks right end to NE 18 for 4 yards (2-H.Landry).NE +0.6%
Q215:00HOU 3–NE 73rd & 1NE 18(15:00) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 87-C.Stover. 87-C.Stover right guard to NE 16 for 2 yards (31-C.Woodson).HOU +1.0%
Q214:28HOU 3–NE 71st & 10NE 16(14:28) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 27-W.Marks to NE 10 for 6 yards (53-C.Elliss).NE +0.2%
Q213:42HOU 3–NE 72nd & 4NE 10(13:42) (Shotgun) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left tackle to NE 10 for no gain (97-M.Williams; 53-C.Elliss).NE +2.1%
Q212:57HOU 9–NE 73rd & 4NE 10(12:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.HOU +11.9%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 7—NE 1515-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.HOU +0.3%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 7—HOU 3515-K.Fairbairn kicks 58 yards from HOU 35 to NE 7. 86-E.Chism to NE 27 for 20 yards (11-T.Smith).NE +0.5%
Q212:47HOU 10–NE 71st & 10NE 27(12:47) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 9-K.Boutte (4-K.Lassiter).HOU +1.9%
Q212:42HOU 10–NE 72nd & 10NE 27(12:42) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson right guard to NE 30 for 3 yards (90-S.Rankins; 2-C.Bullock).HOU +0.9%
Q212:01HOU 10–NE 73rd & 7NE 30(12:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles left end ran ob at NE 38 for 8 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 4-K.Lassiter).NE +5.5%
Q211:25HOU 10–NE 71st & 10NE 38(11:25) 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 39 for 1 yard (55-D.Hunter). NE-32-T.Henderson was injured during the play.HOU +1.2%
Q210:59HOU 10–NE 72nd & 9NE 39(10:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 9-K.Boutte.HOU +2.6%
Q210:54HOU 10–NE 73rd & 9NE 39(10:54) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.HOU +3.8%
Q210:49HOU 10–NE 74th & 9NE 39(10:49) 17-B.Baringer punts 36 yards to HOU 25, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.NE +0.3%
Q210:41HOU 10–NE 131st & 10HOU 25(10:41) 7-C.Stroud pass short left intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones [44-K.Chaisson] at HOU 26. 25-M.Jones for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +24.0%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 14—HOU 1536-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.NE +0.2%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 14—NE 3536-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to HOU 0. 14-J.Noel to HOU 26 for 26 yards (48-J.Tavai; 24-D.Pettus). +0.0%
Q210:25HOU 10–NE 141st & 10HOU 26(10:25) 27-W.Marks left guard to HOU 25 for -1 yards (53-C.Elliss).NE +2.4%
Q29:50HOU 10–NE 142nd & 11HOU 25(9:50) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to HOU 37 for 12 yards (44-K.Chaisson; 0-C.Gonzalez).HOU +3.5%
Q29:13HOU 10–NE 141st & 10HOU 37(9:13) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 36 for -1 yards (7-C.Davis, 25-M.Jones).NE +1.6%
Q28:37HOU 10–NE 142nd & 11HOU 36(8:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 31-C.Woodson at HOU 48. 31-C.Woodson to HOU 48 for no gain (19-X.Hutchinson).NE +8.0%
Q28:33HOU 10–NE 141st & 10HOU 48(8:33) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 43 for 5 yards (4-K.Lassiter). ** Injury Update: NE-32-T.Henderson has returned to the game.NE +1.0%
Q27:56HOU 10–NE 142nd & 5HOU 43(7:56) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 49 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson).HOU +4.5%
Q27:16HOU 10–NE 143rd & 13NE 49(7:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to HOU 46 for 5 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 39-H.To'oTo'o).HOU +2.5%
Q26:40HOU 10–NE 144th & 8HOU 46(6:40) 17-B.Baringer punts 37 yards to HOU 9, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.HOU +1.1%
Q26:33HOU 10–NE 141st & 10HOU 9(6:33) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 19-X.Hutchinson (24-D.Pettus) [95-K.Tonga]. HOU-71-T.Howard was injured during the play.NE +1.3%
Q26:28HOU 10–NE 142nd & 10HOU 9(6:28) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 21-N.Chubb.NE +2.0%
Q26:23HOU 10–NE 143rd & 10HOU 9(6:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle. ** Injury Update: NE-31-C.Woodson has returned to the game.NE +2.9%
Q26:12HOU 10–NE 144th & 10HOU 9(6:12) 6-T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NE 46, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones to NE 44 for -2 yards (42-J.Ingram; 31-D.Clark). NE-22-C.Woods was injured during the play.NE +1.6%
Q26:00HOU 10–NE 141st & 10NE 44(6:00) 32-T.Henderson right tackle to NE 47 for 3 yards (72-T.Togiai; 92-D.Horton).HOU +0.6%
Q25:23HOU 10–NE 142nd & 7NE 47(5:23) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 9-K.Boutte to HOU 28 for 25 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).NE +6.6%
Q24:36HOU 10–NE 141st & 10HOU 28(4:36) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 25 for 3 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 72-T.Togiai).HOU +0.3%
Q24:01HOU 10–NE 142nd & 7HOU 25(4:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 9-K.Boutte to HOU 7 for 18 yards (4-K.Lassiter).NE +2.9%
Q23:17HOU 10–NE 201st & 7HOU 7(3:17) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.NE +1.8%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 21—HOU 1536-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.NE +0.3%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 21—NE 3536-A.Borregales kicks 64 yards from NE 35 to HOU 1. 14-J.Noel to HOU 24 for 23 yards (22-C.Woods; 24-D.Pettus). ** Injury Update: NE-22-C.Woods has returned to the game.NE +0.7%
Q23:06HOU 10–NE 211st & 10HOU 24(3:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 88-H.Bryant (44-K.Chaisson). ** Injury Update: HOU-71-T.Howard has returned to the game.NE +0.8%
Q23:02HOU 10–NE 212nd & 10HOU 24(3:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on HOU-87-C.Stover, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 24 - No Play.NE +1.1%
Q23:02HOU 10–NE 212nd & 15HOU 19(3:02) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 13-C.Kirk. PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at HOU 19 - No Play.HOU +3.7%
Q22:55HOU 10–NE 211st & 10HOU 39(2:55) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left end to HOU 35 for -4 yards (90-C.Barmore).NE +2.6%
Q22:20HOU 10–NE 212nd & 14HOU 35(2:20) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 49 for 16 yards (21-J.Hawkins).HOU +3.3%
Q22:00HOU 10–NE 211st & 10NE 49(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 7-C.Davis at NE 48. 7-C.Davis ran ob at NE 48 for no gain.NE +7.8%
Q21:54HOU 10–NE 211st & 10NE 48(1:54) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left tackle to HOU 49 for 3 yards (72-T.Togiai).HOU +0.6%
Q21:18HOU 10–NE 212nd & 7HOU 49(1:18) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 18-K.Williams (4-K.Lassiter).HOU +0.8%
Q21:14HOU 10–NE 213rd & 7HOU 49(1:14) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 32-T.Henderson.HOU +1.7%
Q21:10HOU 10–NE 214th & 7HOU 49(1:10) 17-B.Baringer punts 39 yards to HOU 10, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.NE +0.7%
Q21:03HOU 10–NE 211st & 10HOU 10(1:03) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 81-J.Higgins. ** Injury Update: HOU-27-W.Marks has returned to the game.NE +0.9%
Q21:00HOU 10–NE 212nd & 10HOU 10(1:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 13-C.Kirk.NE +1.1%
Q20:56HOU 10–NE 213rd & 10HOU 10(:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles up the middle to HOU 11 for 1 yard (97-M.Williams). Penalty on HOU-79-A.Ersery, Illegal Formation, declined.NE +1.5%
Q20:49HOU 10–NE 214th & 9HOU 11(:49) 6-T.Townsend punts 58 yards to NE 31, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at HOU 45 for 24 yards (40-A.Brinkman).HOU +0.7%
Q20:36HOU 10–NE 211st & 10HOU 45(:36) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 47 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), recovered by NE-66-W.Campbell at NE 46.HOU +1.5%
Q20:13HOU 10–NE 212nd & 19NE 46(:13) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 3-D.Douglas to HOU 46 for 8 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).HOU +0.8%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 21—NE 46Timeout #1 by NE at 00:13. +0.0%
Q20:07HOU 10–NE 213rd & 11HOU 46(:07) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 8-S.Diggs (4-K.Lassiter).NE +0.2%
Q2—HOU 10–NE 21—HOU 46Timeout #2 by NE at 00:07. +0.0%
Q20:02HOU 10–NE 214th & 11HOU 46(:02) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left INTERCEPTED by 42-J.Ingram at HOU -7. Touchback.HOU +1.0%
Q3—HOU 10–NE 21—NE 3536-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the HOU 35.HOU +0.8%
Q315:00HOU 10–NE 211st & 10HOU 35(15:00) 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 37 for 2 yards (51-J.Gibbens).NE +0.6%
Q314:26HOU 10–NE 212nd & 8HOU 37(14:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 40 for 23 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).HOU +3.0%
Q313:47HOU 10–NE 211st & 10NE 40(13:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 35 for 5 yards (0-C.Gonzalez). FUMBLES (0-C.Gonzalez), RECOVERED by NE-25-M.Jones at NE 40. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 36 for 4 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).NE +0.5%
Q313:35HOU 10–NE 212nd & 6NE 36(13:35) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 28 for 8 yards (48-J.Tavai).HOU +2.2%
Q312:59HOU 10–NE 211st & 10NE 28(12:59) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 21 for 7 yards (51-J.Gibbens; 21-J.Hawkins).HOU +0.9%
Q312:29HOU 10–NE 212nd & 3NE 21(12:29) 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 19 for 2 yards (33-A.Jennings; 14-R.Spillane).NE +1.2%
Q311:43HOU 10–NE 213rd & 1NE 19(11:43) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 87-C.Stover. 87-C.Stover right guard to NE 15 for 4 yards (31-C.Woodson).HOU +1.2%
Q311:06HOU 10–NE 211st & 10NE 15(11:06) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 7 for 8 yards (90-C.Barmore; 14-R.Spillane).HOU +0.6%
Q310:32HOU 10–NE 212nd & 2NE 7(10:32) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 7 for no gain (2-H.Landry).NE +2.6%
Q39:52HOU 10–NE 213rd & 2NE 7(9:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 13-C.Kirk (25-M.Jones).NE +2.8%
Q3—HOU 10–NE 21—NE 7Timeout #1 by HOU at 09:52. +0.0%
Q39:48HOU 13–NE 214th & 2NE 7(9:48) 15-K.Fairbairn 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.HOU +2.0%
Q3—HOU 13–NE 21—HOU 3515-K.Fairbairn kicks 56 yards from HOU 35 to NE 9. 34-D.Johnson to NE 31 for 22 yards (31-D.Clark; 56-J.Hill).NE +1.2%
Q39:36HOU 13–NE 211st & 10NE 31(9:36) 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 36 for 5 yards (23-J.Reed; 90-S.Rankins). ** Injury Update: NE-38-R.Stevenson has returned to the game.NE +0.4%
Q39:01HOU 13–NE 212nd & 5NE 36(9:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 35 for -1 yards (72-T.Togiai).HOU +0.9%
Q38:16HOU 13–NE 213rd & 6NE 35(8:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 28 for -7 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), RECOVERED by HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair at NE 35. 0-A.Al-Shaair to NE 33 for 2 yards (65-G.Bradbury). NE-76-M.Moses was injured during the play.HOU +8.5%
Q38:08HOU 13–NE 211st & 10NE 33(8:08) 7-C.Stroud sacked at NE 41 for -8 yards (44-K.Chaisson).NE +3.7%
Q37:26HOU 13–NE 212nd & 18NE 41(7:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 29 for 12 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).HOU +2.3%
Q36:48HOU 13–NE 213rd & 6NE 29(6:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles right end ran ob at NE 19 for 10 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 31-C.Woodson).HOU +4.3%
Q36:04HOU 13–NE 211st & 10NE 19(6:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 87-C.Stover to NE 17 for 2 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).NE +1.9%
Q35:30HOU 13–NE 212nd & 8NE 17(5:30) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks right tackle to NE 17 for no gain (0-C.Gonzalez; 91-E.Ponder). FUMBLES (0-C.Gonzalez), RECOVERED by NE-31-C.Woodson at NE 12.NE +7.4%
Q35:21HOU 13–NE 211st & 10NE 12(5:21) (Shotgun) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 10 for -2 yards (91-N.Jones). ** Injury Update: NE-76-M.Moses has returned to the game.HOU +1.5%
Q34:47HOU 13–NE 212nd & 12NE 10(4:47) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 14 for 4 yards (5-J.Pitre; 91-N.Jones).NE +1.0%
Q34:12HOU 13–NE 213rd & 8NE 14(4:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson pushed ob at NE 15 for 1 yard (24-D.Stingley).HOU +3.2%
Q33:34HOU 13–NE 214th & 7NE 15(3:34) 17-B.Baringer punts 44 yards to HOU 41, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.NE +3.1%
Q33:28HOU 13–NE 211st & 10HOU 41(3:28) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb up the middle to HOU 44 for 3 yards (33-A.Jennings).NE +0.5%
Q32:54HOU 13–NE 212nd & 7HOU 44(2:54) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (7-C.Davis).NE +1.6%
Q32:48HOU 13–NE 213rd & 7HOU 44(2:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 81-J.Higgins. PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at HOU 44 - No Play.HOU +6.3%
Q32:43HOU 13–NE 211st & 10NE 35(2:43) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 87-C.Stover.NE +1.5%
Q32:37HOU 13–NE 212nd & 10NE 35(2:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at NE 38 for -3 yards (33-A.Jennings). NE-33-A.Jennings was injured during the play.NE +2.9%
Q32:16HOU 13–NE 213rd & 13NE 38(2:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 33 for 5 yards (14-R.Spillane).NE +0.6%
Q31:37HOU 16–NE 214th & 8NE 33(1:37) 15-K.Fairbairn 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.HOU +3.8%
Q3—HOU 16–NE 21—HOU 3515-K.Fairbairn kicks 61 yards from HOU 35 to NE 4. 34-D.Johnson to NE 29 for 25 yards (56-J.Hill; 31-D.Clark). ** Injury Update: NE-33-A.Jennings has returned to the game.NE +0.2%
Q31:22HOU 16–NE 211st & 10NE 29(1:22) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 81-A.Hooper to NE 43 for 14 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).NE +2.9%
Q30:44HOU 16–NE 211st & 10NE 43(:44) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 43 for 0 yards (55-D.Hunter).HOU +1.9%
Q415:00HOU 16–NE 212nd & 10NE 43(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 45 for 2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).HOU +1.9%
Q414:22HOU 16–NE 213rd & 8NE 45(14:22) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 9-K.Boutte. PENALTY on HOU-24-D.Stingley, Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards, enforced at NE 45 - No Play.NE +6.3%
Q414:18HOU 16–NE 211st & 10HOU 38(14:18) 32-T.Henderson right guard to HOU 32 for 6 yards (92-D.Horton).NE +0.2%
Q413:44HOU 16–NE 212nd & 4HOU 32(13:44) 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 32 for no gain (39-H.To'oTo'o; 0-A.Al-Shaair).HOU +1.1%
Q413:05HOU 16–NE 273rd & 4HOU 32(13:05) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 9-K.Boutte for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.NE +7.9%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—HOU 1536-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.NE +0.1%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—NE 3536-A.Borregales kicks 62 yards from NE 35 to HOU 3. 14-J.Noel to HOU 23 for 20 yards (41-B.Schooler).NE +0.1%
Q412:51HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 23(12:51) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left end pushed ob at HOU 27 for 4 yards (7-C.Davis).NE +0.1%
Q412:23HOU 16–NE 282nd & 6HOU 27(12:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Higgins.NE +0.5%
Q412:16HOU 16–NE 283rd & 6HOU 27(12:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 87-C.Stover. HOU-87-C.Stover was injured during the play.NE +2.3%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—HOU 27Timeout #2 by HOU at 12:16. +0.0%
Q412:09HOU 16–NE 284th & 6HOU 27(12:09) 6-T.Townsend punts 69 yards to NE 4, impetus ends at NE 1, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-42-J.Ingram.NE +1.1%
Q411:57HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 4(11:57) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 12 for 8 yards (90-S.Rankins).NE +0.6%
Q411:17HOU 16–NE 282nd & 2NE 12(11:17) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 18 for 6 yards (55-D.Hunter).NE +0.2%
Q410:34HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 18(10:34) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 27 for 9 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 2-C.Bullock).NE +0.8%
Q49:59HOU 16–NE 282nd & 1NE 27(9:59) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 29 for 2 yards (5-J.Pitre).HOU +0.5%
Q49:18HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 29(9:18) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 35 for 6 yards (4-K.Lassiter).NE +0.3%
Q48:42HOU 16–NE 282nd & 4NE 35(8:42) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson right end to NE 32 for -3 yards (45-E.Speed).HOU +0.9%
Q48:03HOU 16–NE 283rd & 7NE 32(8:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 8-S.Diggs to NE 46 for 14 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).NE +2.2%
Q47:21HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 46(7:21) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right guard to NE 44 for -2 yards (5-J.Pitre).HOU +0.1%
Q46:37HOU 16–NE 282nd & 12NE 44(6:37) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 48 for 4 yards (24-D.Stingley).NE +0.2%
Q45:59HOU 16–NE 283rd & 8NE 48(5:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.HOU +0.4%
Q45:54HOU 16–NE 284th & 8NE 48(5:54) 17-B.Baringer punts 38 yards to HOU 14, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.HOU +0.9%
Q45:48HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 14(5:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 88-H.Bryant (31-C.Woodson).NE +0.3%
Q45:44HOU 16–NE 282nd & 10HOU 14(5:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant to HOU 23 for 9 yards (53-C.Elliss).HOU +0.6%
Q45:23HOU 16–NE 283rd & 1HOU 23(5:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant to HOU 29 for 6 yards (0-C.Gonzalez; 14-R.Spillane).HOU +0.3%
Q45:07HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 29(5:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right [44-K.Chaisson].NE +0.4%
Q44:59HOU 16–NE 282nd & 10HOU 29(4:59) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (0-C.Gonzalez).NE +0.3%
Q44:54HOU 16–NE 283rd & 10HOU 29(4:54) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 21 for -8 yards (95-K.Tonga).NE +1.4%
Q44:17HOU 16–NE 284th & 18HOU 21(4:17) 6-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to NE 16, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at NE 28 for 12 yards (42-J.Ingram).NE +0.6%
Q44:03HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 28(4:03) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right end to NE 37 for 9 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).NE +0.4%
Q43:55HOU 16–NE 282nd & 1NE 37(3:55) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for 2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o; 72-T.Togiai).NE +0.1%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—NE 37Timeout #3 by HOU at 03:55. +0.0%
Q43:11HOU 16–NE 281st & 10NE 39(3:11) 74-T.Munford and 95-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for no gain (72-T.Togiai; 91-N.Jones).HOU +0.1%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—NE 39Timeout #1 by NE at 03:11. +0.0%
Q42:29HOU 16–NE 282nd & 10NE 39(2:29) 74-T.Munford and 95-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for no gain (0-A.Al-Shaair).NE +0.1%
Q42:00HOU 16–NE 283rd & 10NE 39(2:00) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 81-A.Hooper.HOU +0.0%
Q41:54HOU 16–NE 284th & 10NE 39(1:54) 17-B.Baringer punts 40 yards to HOU 21, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel to HOU 28 for 7 yards (41-B.Schooler).HOU +0.5%
Q41:45HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 28(1:45) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 27-W.Marks to HOU 41 for 13 yards (14-R.Spillane; 24-D.Pettus).NE +0.0%
Q41:27HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 41(1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant pushed ob at HOU 47 for 6 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).HOU +0.1%
Q41:19HOU 16–NE 282nd & 4HOU 47(1:19) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 14-J.Noel.NE +0.1%
Q41:16HOU 16–NE 283rd & 4HOU 47(1:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 88-H.Bryant.NE +0.2%
Q41:11HOU 16–NE 284th & 4HOU 47(1:11) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (14-R.Spillane).NE +0.4%
Q4—HOU 16–NE 28—HOU 47Timeout #2 by NE at 01:11. +0.0%
Q41:03HOU 16–NE 281st & 10HOU 47(1:03) 10-D.Maye kneels to HOU 48 for -1 yards.HOU +0.0%
Q40:34HOU 16–NE 282nd & 11HOU 48(:34) 10-D.Maye kneels to HOU 49 for -1 yards.—
Q1 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +2.3%
Win probability: NE 59.6%
— · HOU 35
15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NE 35.
Q1 15:00 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +2.0%
Win probability: HOU 38.1%
1st & 10 · NE 35
(15:00) 38-R.Stevenson right guard to NE 35 for no gain (90-S.Rankins).
Q1 14:24 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +2.1%
Win probability: HOU 40.1%
2nd & 10 · NE 35
(14:24) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 85-H.Henry (39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q1 14:20 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +3.4%
Win probability: HOU 42.1%
3rd & 10 · NE 35
(14:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 8-S.Diggs to NE 41 for 6 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o; 2-C.Bullock).
Q1 13:48 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +3.0%
Win probability: HOU 45.6%
4th & 4 · NE 41
(13:48) 17-B.Baringer punts 44 yards to HOU 15, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel to HOU 26 for 11 yards (49-C.Muma).
Q1 13:37 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 51.4%
1st & 10 · HOU 26
(13:37) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 19-X.Hutchinson.
Q1 13:32 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +0.7%
Win probability: NE 52.6%
2nd & 10 · HOU 26
(13:32) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks up the middle to HOU 29 for 3 yards (14-R.Spillane).
Q1 13:13 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +5.3%
Win probability: NE 53.3%
3rd & 7 · HOU 29
(13:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 13-C.Kirk.
Q1 13:08 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 58.5%
4th & 7 · HOU 29
(13:08) 6-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to NE 15, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones to NE 34 for 19 yards (45-E.Speed).
Q1 12:53 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +2.4%
Win probability: NE 59.9%
1st & 10 · NE 34
(12:53) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 43 for 9 yards (4-K.Lassiter).
Q1 12:16 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +0.7%
Win probability: NE 62.3%
2nd & 1 · NE 43
(12:16) 38-R.Stevenson right end pushed ob at HOU 37 for 20 yards (2-C.Bullock).
Q1 11:39 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +1.8%
Win probability: HOU 36.9%
1st & 10 · HOU 37
(11:39) 32-T.Henderson left end to HOU 39 for -2 yards (5-J.Pitre, 23-J.Reed).
Q1 11:01 · HOU 0–NE 0
HOU +3.6%
Win probability: HOU 38.7%
2nd & 12 · HOU 39
(11:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 32-T.Henderson to HOU 41 for -2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q1 10:25 · HOU 0–NE 0
NE +2.8%
Win probability: NE 57.6%
3rd & 14 · HOU 41
(10:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 8-S.Diggs to HOU 28 for 13 yards (5-J.Pitre).
Q1 9:41 · HOU 0–NE 6
NE +12.1%
Win probability: NE 60.4%
4th & 1 · HOU 28
(9:41) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 3-D.Douglas for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 72.6%
— · HOU 15
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Q1 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +0.4%
Win probability: HOU 27.3%
— · NE 35
36-A.Borregales kicks 55 yards from NE 35 to HOU 10. 17-B.Berrios to HOU 29 for 19 yards (41-B.Schooler).
Q1 9:31 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +0.2%
Win probability: HOU 27.7%
1st & 10 · HOU 29
(9:31) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 31 for 2 yards (95-K.Tonga; 33-A.Jennings).
Q1 8:51 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +1.5%
Win probability: NE 72.1%
2nd & 8 · HOU 31
(8:51) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Higgins (7-C.Davis).
Q1 8:47 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +8.1%
Win probability: HOU 26.4%
3rd & 8 · HOU 31
(8:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 86-D.Schultz pushed ob at NE 27 for 42 yards (31-C.Woodson).
Q1 8:07 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 65.5%
1st & 10 · NE 27
(8:07) PENALTY on HOU-86-D.Schultz, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 27 - No Play.
Q1 7:54 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +3.1%
Win probability: HOU 32.3%
1st & 15 · NE 32
(7:54) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins to NE 23 for 9 yards (21-J.Hawkins).
Q1 7:17 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 64.6%
2nd & 6 · NE 23
(7:17) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 19-X.Hutchinson (53-C.Elliss).
Q1 7:13 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +6.6%
Win probability: HOU 33.8%
3rd & 6 · NE 23
(7:13) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-C.Kirk to NE 13 for 10 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 7 yards, enforced at NE 13.
Q1 6:59 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 59.6%
1st & 6 · NE 6
(6:59) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 6 for no gain (48-J.Tavai; 31-C.Woodson).
Q1 6:23 · HOU 0–NE 7
HOU +0.4%
Win probability: HOU 38.8%
2nd & 6 · NE 6
(6:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to NE 1 for 5 yards (25-M.Jones).
Q1 5:39 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +2.1%
Win probability: NE 60.9%
3rd & 1 · NE 1
(5:39) 72-T.Togiai and 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on HOU, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at NE 1 - No Play.
Q1 5:36 · HOU 0–NE 7
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 63.0%
3rd & 6 · NE 6
(5:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 27-W.Marks [90-C.Barmore].
Q1 5:29 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 66.1%
4th & 6 · NE 6
(5:29) 15-K.Fairbairn 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Q1 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +0.3%
Win probability: HOU 32.6%
— · HOU 35
15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to NE 0. 18-K.Williams to NE 22 for 22 yards (48-C.Harris).
Q1 5:21 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +0.5%
Win probability: HOU 32.8%
1st & 10 · NE 22
(5:21) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 22 for no gain (95-D.Barnett; 72-T.Togiai).
Q1 4:39 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +1.6%
Win probability: HOU 33.4%
2nd & 10 · NE 22
(4:39) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 8-S.Diggs (95-D.Barnett).
Q1 4:34 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +7.8%
Win probability: HOU 35.0%
3rd & 10 · NE 22
(4:34) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 12 for -10 yards (55-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (55-D.Hunter), recovered by NE-66-W.Campbell at NE 3.
Q1 3:51 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +1.5%
Win probability: NE 57.2%
4th & 29 · NE 3
(3:51) 17-B.Baringer punts 55 yards to HOU 42, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel pushed ob at NE 47 for 11 yards (91-E.Ponder).
Q1 3:41 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 58.7%
1st & 10 · NE 47
(3:41) 27-W.Marks right guard to NE 47 for no gain (44-K.Chaisson; 33-A.Jennings).
Q1 3:04 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +2.1%
Win probability: NE 60.5%
2nd & 10 · NE 47
(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 81-J.Higgins (31-C.Woodson).
Q1 3:00 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +0.8%
Win probability: HOU 37.4%
3rd & 10 · NE 47
(3:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins pushed ob at NE 38 for 9 yards (7-C.Davis) [31-C.Woodson].
Q1 2:24 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +4.8%
Win probability: HOU 38.2%
4th & 1 · NE 38
(2:24) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 36 for 2 yards (95-K.Tonga).
Q1 1:44 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +11.1%
Win probability: NE 57.0%
1st & 10 · NE 36
(1:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 7-C.Davis [44-K.Chaisson] at NE 18. 7-C.Davis to NE 18 for no gain (13-C.Kirk).
Q1 1:37 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +1.6%
Win probability: HOU 31.9%
1st & 10 · NE 18
(1:37) (Shotgun) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 23 for 5 yards (58-L.Fotu; 2-C.Bullock).
Q1 0:58 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +12.0%
Win probability: HOU 33.5%
2nd & 5 · NE 23
(:58) 10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 27 for 4 yards (72-T.Togiai). FUMBLES (72-T.Togiai), RECOVERED by HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair at NE 27.
Q1 0:53 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +0.2%
Win probability: HOU 45.5%
1st & 10 · NE 27
(:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 81-J.Higgins pushed ob at NE 22 for 5 yards (0-C.Gonzalez). ** Injury Update: NE-14-R.Spillane has returned to the game.
Q1 0:18 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 54.3%
2nd & 5 · NE 22
(:18) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks right end to NE 18 for 4 yards (2-H.Landry).
Q2 15:00 · HOU 3–NE 7
HOU +1.0%
Win probability: HOU 45.1%
3rd & 1 · NE 18
(15:00) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 87-C.Stover. 87-C.Stover right guard to NE 16 for 2 yards (31-C.Woodson).
Q2 14:28 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 53.9%
1st & 10 · NE 16
(14:28) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 27-W.Marks to NE 10 for 6 yards (53-C.Elliss).
Q2 13:42 · HOU 3–NE 7
NE +2.1%
Win probability: NE 54.1%
2nd & 4 · NE 10
(13:42) (Shotgun) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left tackle to NE 10 for no gain (97-M.Williams; 53-C.Elliss).
Q2 12:57 · HOU 9–NE 7
HOU +11.9%
Win probability: HOU 43.8%
3rd & 4 · NE 10
(12:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +0.3%
Win probability: HOU 55.7%
— · NE 15
15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 7
NE +0.5%
Win probability: NE 44.0%
— · HOU 35
15-K.Fairbairn kicks 58 yards from HOU 35 to NE 7. 86-E.Chism to NE 27 for 20 yards (11-T.Smith).
Q2 12:47 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +1.9%
Win probability: HOU 55.4%
1st & 10 · NE 27
(12:47) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 9-K.Boutte (4-K.Lassiter).
Q2 12:42 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +0.9%
Win probability: HOU 57.3%
2nd & 10 · NE 27
(12:42) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson right guard to NE 30 for 3 yards (90-S.Rankins; 2-C.Bullock).
Q2 12:01 · HOU 10–NE 7
NE +5.5%
Win probability: NE 41.8%
3rd & 7 · NE 30
(12:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles left end ran ob at NE 38 for 8 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 4-K.Lassiter).
Q2 11:25 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +1.2%
Win probability: HOU 52.7%
1st & 10 · NE 38
(11:25) 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 39 for 1 yard (55-D.Hunter). NE-32-T.Henderson was injured during the play.
Q2 10:59 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +2.6%
Win probability: HOU 53.9%
2nd & 9 · NE 39
(10:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 9-K.Boutte.
Q2 10:54 · HOU 10–NE 7
HOU +3.8%
Win probability: HOU 56.5%
3rd & 9 · NE 39
(10:54) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.
Q2 10:49 · HOU 10–NE 7
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 39.7%
4th & 9 · NE 39
(10:49) 17-B.Baringer punts 36 yards to HOU 25, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
Q2 10:41 · HOU 10–NE 13
NE +24.0%
Win probability: NE 40.0%
1st & 10 · HOU 25
(10:41) 7-C.Stroud pass short left intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones [44-K.Chaisson] at HOU 26. 25-M.Jones for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 64.1%
— · HOU 15
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 14
+0.0%
— · NE 35
36-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to HOU 0. 14-J.Noel to HOU 26 for 26 yards (48-J.Tavai; 24-D.Pettus).
Q2 10:25 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +2.4%
Win probability: NE 64.2%
1st & 10 · HOU 26
(10:25) 27-W.Marks left guard to HOU 25 for -1 yards (53-C.Elliss).
Q2 9:50 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +3.5%
Win probability: HOU 33.4%
2nd & 11 · HOU 25
(9:50) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to HOU 37 for 12 yards (44-K.Chaisson; 0-C.Gonzalez).
Q2 9:13 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 63.1%
1st & 10 · HOU 37
(9:13) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 36 for -1 yards (7-C.Davis, 25-M.Jones).
Q2 8:37 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +8.0%
Win probability: NE 64.7%
2nd & 11 · HOU 36
(8:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 31-C.Woodson at HOU 48. 31-C.Woodson to HOU 48 for no gain (19-X.Hutchinson).
Q2 8:33 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +1.0%
Win probability: NE 72.7%
1st & 10 · HOU 48
(8:33) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 43 for 5 yards (4-K.Lassiter). ** Injury Update: NE-32-T.Henderson has returned to the game.
Q2 7:56 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +4.5%
Win probability: HOU 26.3%
2nd & 5 · HOU 43
(7:56) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 49 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson).
Q2 7:16 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +2.5%
Win probability: HOU 30.7%
3rd & 13 · NE 49
(7:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to HOU 46 for 5 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q2 6:40 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +1.1%
Win probability: HOU 33.2%
4th & 8 · HOU 46
(6:40) 17-B.Baringer punts 37 yards to HOU 9, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
Q2 6:33 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +1.3%
Win probability: NE 65.7%
1st & 10 · HOU 9
(6:33) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 19-X.Hutchinson (24-D.Pettus) [95-K.Tonga]. HOU-71-T.Howard was injured during the play.
Q2 6:28 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +2.0%
Win probability: NE 67.0%
2nd & 10 · HOU 9
(6:28) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 21-N.Chubb.
Q2 6:23 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 68.9%
3rd & 10 · HOU 9
(6:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle. ** Injury Update: NE-31-C.Woodson has returned to the game.
Q2 6:12 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 71.8%
4th & 10 · HOU 9
(6:12) 6-T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NE 46, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones to NE 44 for -2 yards (42-J.Ingram; 31-D.Clark). NE-22-C.Woods was injured during the play.
Q2 6:00 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +0.6%
Win probability: HOU 26.6%
1st & 10 · NE 44
(6:00) 32-T.Henderson right tackle to NE 47 for 3 yards (72-T.Togiai; 92-D.Horton).
Q2 5:23 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +6.6%
Win probability: NE 72.8%
2nd & 7 · NE 47
(5:23) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 9-K.Boutte to HOU 28 for 25 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q2 4:36 · HOU 10–NE 14
HOU +0.3%
Win probability: HOU 20.6%
1st & 10 · HOU 28
(4:36) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 25 for 3 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 72-T.Togiai).
Q2 4:01 · HOU 10–NE 14
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 79.1%
2nd & 7 · HOU 25
(4:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 9-K.Boutte to HOU 7 for 18 yards (4-K.Lassiter).
Q2 3:17 · HOU 10–NE 20
NE +1.8%
Win probability: NE 82.0%
1st & 7 · HOU 7
(3:17) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 83.8%
— · HOU 15
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.7%
Win probability: NE 84.1%
— · NE 35
36-A.Borregales kicks 64 yards from NE 35 to HOU 1. 14-J.Noel to HOU 24 for 23 yards (22-C.Woods; 24-D.Pettus). ** Injury Update: NE-22-C.Woods has returned to the game.
Q2 3:06 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 84.9%
1st & 10 · HOU 24
(3:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 88-H.Bryant (44-K.Chaisson). ** Injury Update: HOU-71-T.Howard has returned to the game.
Q2 3:02 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 85.7%
2nd & 10 · HOU 24
(3:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on HOU-87-C.Stover, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 24 - No Play.
Q2 3:02 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +3.7%
Win probability: HOU 13.2%
2nd & 15 · HOU 19
(3:02) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 13-C.Kirk. PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at HOU 19 - No Play.
Q2 2:55 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 83.1%
1st & 10 · HOU 39
(2:55) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left end to HOU 35 for -4 yards (90-C.Barmore).
Q2 2:20 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +3.3%
Win probability: HOU 14.3%
2nd & 14 · HOU 35
(2:20) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 49 for 16 yards (21-J.Hawkins).
Q2 2:00 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +7.8%
Win probability: NE 82.3%
1st & 10 · NE 49
(2:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left intended for 19-X.Hutchinson INTERCEPTED by 7-C.Davis at NE 48. 7-C.Davis ran ob at NE 48 for no gain.
Q2 1:54 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.6%
Win probability: HOU 9.9%
1st & 10 · NE 48
(1:54) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left tackle to HOU 49 for 3 yards (72-T.Togiai).
Q2 1:18 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.8%
Win probability: HOU 10.5%
2nd & 7 · HOU 49
(1:18) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 18-K.Williams (4-K.Lassiter).
Q2 1:14 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +1.7%
Win probability: HOU 11.3%
3rd & 7 · HOU 49
(1:14) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 32-T.Henderson.
Q2 1:10 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.7%
Win probability: NE 87.0%
4th & 7 · HOU 49
(1:10) 17-B.Baringer punts 39 yards to HOU 10, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
Q2 1:03 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.9%
Win probability: NE 87.6%
1st & 10 · HOU 10
(1:03) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 81-J.Higgins. ** Injury Update: HOU-27-W.Marks has returned to the game.
Q2 1:00 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 88.5%
2nd & 10 · HOU 10
(1:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 13-C.Kirk.
Q2 0:56 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +1.5%
Win probability: NE 89.7%
3rd & 10 · HOU 10
(:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles up the middle to HOU 11 for 1 yard (97-M.Williams). Penalty on HOU-79-A.Ersery, Illegal Formation, declined.
Q2 0:49 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.7%
Win probability: HOU 8.8%
4th & 9 · HOU 11
(:49) 6-T.Townsend punts 58 yards to NE 31, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at HOU 45 for 24 yards (40-A.Brinkman).
Q2 0:36 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +1.5%
Win probability: HOU 9.5%
1st & 10 · HOU 45
(:36) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 47 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), recovered by NE-66-W.Campbell at NE 46.
Q2 0:13 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.8%
Win probability: HOU 11.0%
2nd & 19 · NE 46
(:13) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 3-D.Douglas to HOU 46 for 8 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 21
+0.0%
— · NE 46
Timeout #1 by NE at 00:13.
Q2 0:07 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 88.2%
3rd & 11 · HOU 46
(:07) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 8-S.Diggs (4-K.Lassiter).
Q2 · HOU 10–NE 21
+0.0%
— · HOU 46
Timeout #2 by NE at 00:07.
Q2 0:02 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +1.0%
Win probability: HOU 11.6%
4th & 11 · HOU 46
(:02) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left INTERCEPTED by 42-J.Ingram at HOU -7. Touchback.
Q3 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.8%
Win probability: HOU 12.7%
— · NE 35
36-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the HOU 35.
Q3 15:00 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 86.5%
1st & 10 · HOU 35
(15:00) 27-W.Marks right guard to HOU 37 for 2 yards (51-J.Gibbens).
Q3 14:26 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +3.0%
Win probability: HOU 12.9%
2nd & 8 · HOU 37
(14:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 40 for 23 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q3 13:47 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +0.5%
Win probability: NE 84.1%
1st & 10 · NE 40
(13:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 35 for 5 yards (0-C.Gonzalez). FUMBLES (0-C.Gonzalez), RECOVERED by NE-25-M.Jones at NE 40. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 36 for 4 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q3 13:35 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +2.2%
Win probability: HOU 15.4%
2nd & 6 · NE 36
(13:35) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 28 for 8 yards (48-J.Tavai).
Q3 12:59 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.9%
Win probability: HOU 17.6%
1st & 10 · NE 28
(12:59) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 21 for 7 yards (51-J.Gibbens; 21-J.Hawkins).
Q3 12:29 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 81.5%
2nd & 3 · NE 21
(12:29) 21-N.Chubb right guard to NE 19 for 2 yards (33-A.Jennings; 14-R.Spillane).
Q3 11:43 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +1.2%
Win probability: HOU 17.3%
3rd & 1 · NE 19
(11:43) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 87-C.Stover. 87-C.Stover right guard to NE 15 for 4 yards (31-C.Woodson).
Q3 11:06 · HOU 10–NE 21
HOU +0.6%
Win probability: HOU 18.5%
1st & 10 · NE 15
(11:06) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 7 for 8 yards (90-C.Barmore; 14-R.Spillane).
Q3 10:32 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +2.6%
Win probability: NE 80.9%
2nd & 2 · NE 7
(10:32) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left guard to NE 7 for no gain (2-H.Landry).
Q3 9:52 · HOU 10–NE 21
NE +2.8%
Win probability: NE 83.5%
3rd & 2 · NE 7
(9:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 13-C.Kirk (25-M.Jones).
Q3 · HOU 10–NE 21
+0.0%
— · NE 7
Timeout #1 by HOU at 09:52.
Q3 9:48 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +2.0%
Win probability: HOU 13.8%
4th & 2 · NE 7
(9:48) 15-K.Fairbairn 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Q3 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +1.2%
Win probability: NE 84.2%
— · HOU 35
15-K.Fairbairn kicks 56 yards from HOU 35 to NE 9. 34-D.Johnson to NE 31 for 22 yards (31-D.Clark; 56-J.Hill).
Q3 9:36 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 85.4%
1st & 10 · NE 31
(9:36) 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 36 for 5 yards (23-J.Reed; 90-S.Rankins). ** Injury Update: NE-38-R.Stevenson has returned to the game.
Q3 9:01 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +0.9%
Win probability: HOU 14.2%
2nd & 5 · NE 36
(9:01) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 35 for -1 yards (72-T.Togiai).
Q3 8:16 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +8.5%
Win probability: HOU 15.2%
3rd & 6 · NE 35
(8:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 28 for -7 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), RECOVERED by HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair at NE 35. 0-A.Al-Shaair to NE 33 for 2 yards (65-G.Bradbury). NE-76-M.Moses was injured during the play.
Q3 8:08 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +3.7%
Win probability: NE 76.3%
1st & 10 · NE 33
(8:08) 7-C.Stroud sacked at NE 41 for -8 yards (44-K.Chaisson).
Q3 7:26 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +2.3%
Win probability: HOU 20.0%
2nd & 18 · NE 41
(7:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 81-J.Higgins to NE 29 for 12 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q3 6:48 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +4.3%
Win probability: HOU 22.3%
3rd & 6 · NE 29
(6:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles right end ran ob at NE 19 for 10 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 31-C.Woodson).
Q3 6:04 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +1.9%
Win probability: NE 73.4%
1st & 10 · NE 19
(6:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 87-C.Stover to NE 17 for 2 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q3 5:30 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +7.4%
Win probability: NE 75.2%
2nd & 8 · NE 17
(5:30) (Shotgun) 27-W.Marks right tackle to NE 17 for no gain (0-C.Gonzalez; 91-E.Ponder). FUMBLES (0-C.Gonzalez), RECOVERED by NE-31-C.Woodson at NE 12.
Q3 5:21 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +1.5%
Win probability: HOU 17.4%
1st & 10 · NE 12
(5:21) (Shotgun) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 10 for -2 yards (91-N.Jones). ** Injury Update: NE-76-M.Moses has returned to the game.
Q3 4:47 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +1.0%
Win probability: NE 81.1%
2nd & 12 · NE 10
(4:47) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 14 for 4 yards (5-J.Pitre; 91-N.Jones).
Q3 4:12 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +3.2%
Win probability: HOU 17.9%
3rd & 8 · NE 14
(4:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson pushed ob at NE 15 for 1 yard (24-D.Stingley).
Q3 3:34 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +3.1%
Win probability: NE 78.9%
4th & 7 · NE 15
(3:34) 17-B.Baringer punts 44 yards to HOU 41, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
Q3 3:28 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +0.5%
Win probability: NE 82.0%
1st & 10 · HOU 41
(3:28) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 21-N.Chubb up the middle to HOU 44 for 3 yards (33-A.Jennings).
Q3 2:54 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +1.6%
Win probability: NE 82.5%
2nd & 7 · HOU 44
(2:54) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (7-C.Davis).
Q3 2:48 · HOU 13–NE 21
HOU +6.3%
Win probability: HOU 15.8%
3rd & 7 · HOU 44
(2:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 81-J.Higgins. PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at HOU 44 - No Play.
Q3 2:43 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +1.5%
Win probability: NE 77.8%
1st & 10 · NE 35
(2:43) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 87-C.Stover.
Q3 2:37 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 79.3%
2nd & 10 · NE 35
(2:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at NE 38 for -3 yards (33-A.Jennings). NE-33-A.Jennings was injured during the play.
Q3 2:16 · HOU 13–NE 21
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 82.2%
3rd & 13 · NE 38
(2:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 19-X.Hutchinson to NE 33 for 5 yards (14-R.Spillane).
Q3 1:37 · HOU 16–NE 21
HOU +3.8%
Win probability: HOU 17.2%
4th & 8 · NE 33
(1:37) 15-K.Fairbairn 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Q3 · HOU 16–NE 21
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 79.0%
— · HOU 35
15-K.Fairbairn kicks 61 yards from HOU 35 to NE 4. 34-D.Johnson to NE 29 for 25 yards (56-J.Hill; 31-D.Clark). ** Injury Update: NE-33-A.Jennings has returned to the game.
Q3 1:22 · HOU 16–NE 21
NE +2.9%
Win probability: NE 79.2%
1st & 10 · NE 29
(1:22) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 81-A.Hooper to NE 43 for 14 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).
Q3 0:44 · HOU 16–NE 21
HOU +1.9%
Win probability: HOU 17.8%
1st & 10 · NE 43
(:44) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 43 for 0 yards (55-D.Hunter).
Q4 15:00 · HOU 16–NE 21
HOU +1.9%
Win probability: HOU 19.8%
2nd & 10 · NE 43
(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 45 for 2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q4 14:22 · HOU 16–NE 21
NE +6.3%
Win probability: NE 78.3%
3rd & 8 · NE 45
(14:22) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 9-K.Boutte. PENALTY on HOU-24-D.Stingley, Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards, enforced at NE 45 - No Play.
Q4 14:18 · HOU 16–NE 21
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 84.6%
1st & 10 · HOU 38
(14:18) 32-T.Henderson right guard to HOU 32 for 6 yards (92-D.Horton).
Q4 13:44 · HOU 16–NE 21
HOU +1.1%
Win probability: HOU 15.2%
2nd & 4 · HOU 32
(13:44) 32-T.Henderson up the middle to HOU 32 for no gain (39-H.To'oTo'o; 0-A.Al-Shaair).
Q4 13:05 · HOU 16–NE 27
NE +7.9%
Win probability: NE 83.7%
3rd & 4 · HOU 32
(13:05) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 9-K.Boutte for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 91.5%
— · HOU 15
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 91.6%
— · NE 35
36-A.Borregales kicks 62 yards from NE 35 to HOU 3. 14-J.Noel to HOU 23 for 20 yards (41-B.Schooler).
Q4 12:51 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 91.7%
1st & 10 · HOU 23
(12:51) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 27-W.Marks left end pushed ob at HOU 27 for 4 yards (7-C.Davis).
Q4 12:23 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.5%
Win probability: NE 91.8%
2nd & 6 · HOU 27
(12:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Higgins.
Q4 12:16 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +2.3%
Win probability: NE 92.3%
3rd & 6 · HOU 27
(12:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 87-C.Stover. HOU-87-C.Stover was injured during the play.
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
+0.0%
— · HOU 27
Timeout #2 by HOU at 12:16.
Q4 12:09 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +1.1%
Win probability: NE 94.6%
4th & 6 · HOU 27
(12:09) 6-T.Townsend punts 69 yards to NE 4, impetus ends at NE 1, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-42-J.Ingram.
Q4 11:57 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 95.7%
1st & 10 · NE 4
(11:57) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 12 for 8 yards (90-S.Rankins).
Q4 11:17 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 96.3%
2nd & 2 · NE 12
(11:17) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 18 for 6 yards (55-D.Hunter).
Q4 10:34 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.8%
Win probability: NE 96.4%
1st & 10 · NE 18
(10:34) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 27 for 9 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 2-C.Bullock).
Q4 9:59 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.5%
Win probability: HOU 2.8%
2nd & 1 · NE 27
(9:59) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to NE 29 for 2 yards (5-J.Pitre).
Q4 9:18 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 96.7%
1st & 10 · NE 29
(9:18) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson left guard to NE 35 for 6 yards (4-K.Lassiter).
Q4 8:42 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.9%
Win probability: HOU 3.0%
2nd & 4 · NE 35
(8:42) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson right end to NE 32 for -3 yards (45-E.Speed).
Q4 8:03 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +2.2%
Win probability: NE 96.2%
3rd & 7 · NE 32
(8:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 8-S.Diggs to NE 46 for 14 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).
Q4 7:21 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.1%
Win probability: HOU 1.6%
1st & 10 · NE 46
(7:21) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right guard to NE 44 for -2 yards (5-J.Pitre).
Q4 6:37 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 98.3%
2nd & 12 · NE 44
(6:37) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 48 for 4 yards (24-D.Stingley).
Q4 5:59 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.4%
Win probability: HOU 1.5%
3rd & 8 · NE 48
(5:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.
Q4 5:54 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.9%
Win probability: HOU 1.9%
4th & 8 · NE 48
(5:54) 17-B.Baringer punts 38 yards to HOU 14, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
Q4 5:48 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 97.1%
1st & 10 · HOU 14
(5:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 88-H.Bryant (31-C.Woodson).
Q4 5:44 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.6%
Win probability: HOU 2.5%
2nd & 10 · HOU 14
(5:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant to HOU 23 for 9 yards (53-C.Elliss).
Q4 5:23 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.3%
Win probability: HOU 3.1%
3rd & 1 · HOU 23
(5:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant to HOU 29 for 6 yards (0-C.Gonzalez; 14-R.Spillane).
Q4 5:07 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 96.6%
1st & 10 · HOU 29
(5:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right [44-K.Chaisson].
Q4 4:59 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.3%
Win probability: NE 97.0%
2nd & 10 · HOU 29
(4:59) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q4 4:54 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +1.4%
Win probability: NE 97.3%
3rd & 10 · HOU 29
(4:54) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 21 for -8 yards (95-K.Tonga).
Q4 4:17 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.6%
Win probability: NE 98.7%
4th & 18 · HOU 21
(4:17) 6-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to NE 16, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at NE 28 for 12 yards (42-J.Ingram).
Q4 4:03 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 99.3%
1st & 10 · NE 28
(4:03) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right end to NE 37 for 9 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).
Q4 3:55 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 99.7%
2nd & 1 · NE 37
(3:55) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for 2 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o; 72-T.Togiai).
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
+0.0%
— · NE 37
Timeout #3 by HOU at 03:55.
Q4 3:11 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.1%
Win probability: HOU 0.2%
1st & 10 · NE 39
(3:11) 74-T.Munford and 95-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for no gain (72-T.Togiai; 91-N.Jones).
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
+0.0%
— · NE 39
Timeout #1 by NE at 03:11.
Q4 2:29 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 99.8%
2nd & 10 · NE 39
(2:29) 74-T.Munford and 95-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 39 for no gain (0-A.Al-Shaair).
Q4 2:00 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.0%
Win probability: HOU 0.1%
3rd & 10 · NE 39
(2:00) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 81-A.Hooper.
Q4 1:54 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.5%
Win probability: HOU 0.2%
4th & 10 · NE 39
(1:54) 17-B.Baringer punts 40 yards to HOU 21, Center-47-J.Ashby. 14-J.Noel to HOU 28 for 7 yards (41-B.Schooler).
Q4 1:45 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.0%
Win probability: NE 99.4%
1st & 10 · HOU 28
(1:45) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 27-W.Marks to HOU 41 for 13 yards (14-R.Spillane; 24-D.Pettus).
Q4 1:27 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.1%
Win probability: HOU 0.6%
1st & 10 · HOU 41
(1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 88-H.Bryant pushed ob at HOU 47 for 6 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
Q4 1:19 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.1%
Win probability: NE 99.3%
2nd & 4 · HOU 47
(1:19) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 14-J.Noel.
Q4 1:16 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.2%
Win probability: NE 99.4%
3rd & 4 · HOU 47
(1:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 88-H.Bryant.
Q4 1:11 · HOU 16–NE 28
NE +0.4%
Win probability: NE 99.6%
4th & 4 · HOU 47
(1:11) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep middle to 19-X.Hutchinson (14-R.Spillane).
Q4 · HOU 16–NE 28
+0.0%
— · HOU 47
Timeout #2 by NE at 01:11.
Q4 1:03 · HOU 16–NE 28
HOU +0.0%
Win probability: HOU 0.0%
1st & 10 · HOU 47
(1:03) 10-D.Maye kneels to HOU 48 for -1 yards.
Q4 0:34 · HOU 16–NE 28
2nd & 11 · HOU 48
(:34) 10-D.Maye kneels to HOU 49 for -1 yards.