MIN Minnesota Vikings@TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23–16 · Minnesota Vikings won
i
Total Hair-Raising Index Log-Loss Adjusted
Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 4.69 which ranks in the 49.3 percentile.
Learn more →Raw THRILLA = Raw GEI x Raw Comeback. Raw THRILLA for this game is 4.69 which ranks in the 49.3 percentile.
THRILLA
49percentile
Raw Score: 4.69
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Game Excitement Index
Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.79, which ranks in the 75.8 percentile.
Learn more →Sums every play's swing in win probability across the whole game. Raw GEI for this game is 4.79, which ranks in the 75.8 percentile.
GEI
76percentile
Raw Score: 4.79
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Comeback Score
How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Minnesota Vikings fell to a 50.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 0.98 which ranks in the 34.2 percentile.
Learn more →How steep a hole the winning team climbed out of, calculated as -log2(p), where p is the winning team's lowest win probability at any point in the game. For this game, Minnesota Vikings fell to a 50.8% chance of winning, corresponding to a comeback score of 0.98 which ranks in the 34.2 percentile.
Comeback
34percentile
Raw Score: 0.98
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Audience Score
The audience score for this game was 12.65 which ranks in the 34.3 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
Learn more →The audience score for this game was 12.65 which ranks in the 34.3 percentile. It was calculated as follows:
- One-possession game (final margin ≤ 8): 2pts
- Explosive plays (20+ yards): 6 × 0.5pts = 3pts
- Turnovers: 5 × 0.75pts = 3.75pts
- Sacks: 9 × 0.1pts = 0.9pts
- Touchdowns: 3 × 1pts = 3pts
Total: 12.65pts
Audience
34percentile
Raw Score: 12.65
Spread
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
TB
MIN
Biggest Play
Q2 4:17 · MIN 16–TB 10
MIN +15.3%
Win probability: MIN 61.3%
(4:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 3-J.Addison for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [50-V.Vea].
Game Log
| Qtr | Clock | Score | Poss. | Down & Distance | Yardline | Play | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | — | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 62 yards from TB 35 to MIN 3. 4-M.Price to MIN 24 for 21 yards (22-K.Scott; 51-D.Walker). | TB +0.7% |
| Q1 | 14:54 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 24 | (14:54) 1-K.Murray pass deep middle to 18-J.Jefferson to MIN 46 for 22 yards (25-J.Parrish). | MIN +4.7% |
| Q1 | 14:11 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 46 | (14:11) 33-A.Jones left guard to TB 46 for 8 yards (97-A.Muhammad; 50-V.Vea). | MIN +1.8% |
| Q1 | 13:30 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 2nd & 2 | TB 46 | (13:30) 33-A.Jones right tackle to TB 37 for 9 yards (31-A.Winfield; 23-T.Smith). | MIN +2.0% |
| Q1 | 12:55 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 37 | (12:55) (No Huddle) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 35 for 2 yards (50-V.Vea). | TB +1.2% |
| Q1 | 12:14 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 2nd & 8 | TB 35 | (12:14) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 36 for -1 yards (92-E.Simmons). | TB +2.7% |
| Q1 | 11:33 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 3rd & 9 | TB 36 | (11:33) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked ob at TB 37 for -1 yards (34-A.Anzalone). PENALTY on MIN-74-D.Jackson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play. | TB +6.2% |
| Q1 | 11:07 | MIN 0–TB 0 | MIN | 3rd & 19 | TB 46 | (11:07) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to TB 36 for 10 yards (50-V.Vea; 23-T.Smith). | MIN +2.0% |
| Q1 | 10:24 | MIN 3–TB 0 | MIN | 4th & 9 | TB 36 | (10:24) 16-W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker. | MIN +3.0% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 3–TB 0 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to TB 0. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 40 for 40 yards (98-B.Richter; 23-J.Pierre). | TB +2.1% |
| Q1 | 10:11 | MIN 3–TB 0 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 40 | (10:11) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 44 for 4 yards (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins). | MIN +2.2% |
| Q1 | 9:28 | MIN 3–TB 0 | TB | 2nd & 6 | TB 44 | (9:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 45 for 1 yard (44-J.Metellus). | MIN +2.4% |
| Q1 | 9:05 | MIN 3–TB 0 | TB | 3rd & 5 | TB 45 | (9:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 11-J.McMillan (44-J.Metellus). TB-11-J.McMillan was injured during the play. Penalty on TB-78-T.Wirfs, Illegal Formation, declined. | MIN +2.7% |
| Q1 | 9:00 | MIN 9–TB 0 | TB | 4th & 5 | TB 45 | (9:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 14, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. | MIN +13.6% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 10–TB 0 | MIN | — | TB 30 | 16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker. | MIN +0.1% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 10–TB 0 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 57 yards from MIN 35 to TB 8. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 20 for 12 yards (41-J.Golday). | MIN +0.3% |
| Q1 | 8:38 | MIN 10–TB 0 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 20 | (8:38) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 7-B.Irving. | MIN +1.1% |
| Q1 | 8:29 | MIN 10–TB 0 | TB | 2nd & 10 | TB 20 | (8:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-C.Otton to TB 34 for 14 yards (51-B.Cashman). | TB +1.9% |
| Q1 | 7:50 | MIN 10–TB 0 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 34 | (7:50) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 42 for 8 yards (26-T.Jackson). | TB +0.8% |
| Q1 | 7:14 | MIN 10–TB 0 | TB | 2nd & 2 | TB 42 | (7:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 45 for 3 yards (44-J.Metellus; 50-L.Rodriguez). PENALTY on MIN-15-D.Turner, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at TB 45. | TB +2.2% |
| Q1 | 6:50 | MIN 10–TB 6 | TB | 1st & 10 | MIN 40 | (6:50) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 17-T.Hurst for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | TB +11.6% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | — | MIN 15 | 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +0.2% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 66 yards from TB 35 to MIN -1. 4-M.Price pushed ob at MIN 30 for 31 yards (22-K.Scott). | MIN +0.5% |
| Q1 | 6:39 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 30 | (6:39) 1-K.Murray scrambles right end to MIN 35 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith). | MIN +2.3% |
| Q1 | 5:50 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 2nd & 5 | MIN 35 | (5:50) 33-A.Jones left end to MIN 36 for 1 yard (91-A.Robinson). TB-0-Y.Diaby was injured during the play. PENALTY on MIN-84-J.Oliver, Offensive Holding, 11 yards, enforced at MIN 35 - No Play. | TB +4.2% |
| Q1 | 5:26 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 2nd & 16 | MIN 24 | (5:26) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q1 | 4:42 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 3rd & 11 | MIN 29 | (4:42) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray scrambles left end ran ob at MIN 41 for 12 yards (22-K.Scott). | MIN +6.0% |
| Q1 | 4:02 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 41 | (4:02) 21-D.Claiborne up the middle to MIN 44 for 3 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 31-A.Winfield). | TB +0.3% |
| Q1 | — | MIN 10–TB 7 | — | — | MIN 41 | Timeout #1 by MIN at 04:02. | +0.0% |
| Q1 | 3:22 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 2nd & 7 | MIN 44 | (3:22) 21-D.Claiborne left end to MIN 43 for -1 yards (51-D.Walker). | TB +1.9% |
| Q1 | 2:39 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 3rd & 8 | MIN 43 | (2:39) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 13-T.Felton (27-Z.McCollum). | TB +3.3% |
| Q1 | 2:34 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 4th & 8 | MIN 43 | (2:34) 6-J.Hekker punts 48 yards to TB 9, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson pushed ob at TB 25 for 16 yards (45-M.Bredeson). | TB +1.8% |
| Q1 | 2:25 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 25 | (2:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 29 for 4 yards (51-B.Cashman; 23-J.Pierre). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q1 | 2:02 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 2nd & 6 | TB 29 | (2:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 17-T.Hurst (61-J.Redmond). | MIN +2.4% |
| Q1 | 1:56 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 3rd & 6 | TB 29 | (1:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 33 for 4 yards (2-I.Rodgers). | MIN +1.9% |
| Q1 | 1:16 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 4th & 2 | TB 33 | (1:16) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to MIN 19, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price. | TB +1.0% |
| Q1 | 1:09 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 19 | (1:09) 33-A.Jones left tackle to MIN 20 for 1 yard (95-E.Roberts). ** Injury Update: TB-0-Y.Diaby has returned to the game. | TB +1.1% |
| Q1 | 0:25 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 2nd & 9 | MIN 20 | (:25) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to MIN 24 for 4 yards (25-J.Parrish). | MIN +0.1% |
| Q2 | 15:00 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 3rd & 5 | MIN 24 | (15:00) 1-K.Murray sacked at MIN 22 for -2 yards (34-A.Anzalone). | TB +3.8% |
| Q2 | 14:11 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 4th & 7 | MIN 22 | (14:11) (Punt formation) PENALTY on MIN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 22 - No Play. | TB +5.1% |
| Q2 | 13:56 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 4th & 12 | MIN 17 | (13:56) 6-J.Hekker punts 43 yards to TB 40, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson. | MIN +7.3% |
| Q2 | 13:49 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 40 | (13:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 33 for -7 yards (17-K.Van Noy). | MIN +3.7% |
| Q2 | 13:00 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 2nd & 17 | TB 33 | (13:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Godwin. | MIN +2.4% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 10–TB 7 | — | — | TB 33 | Timeout #1 by TB at 13:00. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 12:56 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 3rd & 17 | TB 33 | (12:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 46 for 13 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 44-J.Metellus). | TB +1.2% |
| Q2 | 12:19 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 4th & 4 | TB 46 | (12:19) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price. | TB +3.4% |
| Q2 | 12:11 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 13 | (12:11) 33-A.Jones right end to MIN 18 for 5 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 52-C.Rozeboom). | MIN +0.0% |
| Q2 | 11:29 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 2nd & 5 | MIN 18 | (11:29) 33-A.Jones left guard to MIN 19 for 1 yard (94-C.Kancey). | TB +0.7% |
| Q2 | 10:58 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 3rd & 4 | MIN 19 | (10:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at MIN 10 for -9 yards (51-D.Walker). | TB +9.1% |
| Q2 | 10:15 | MIN 10–TB 7 | MIN | 4th & 13 | MIN 10 | (10:15) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 48, Center-42-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-31-D.Dallas. | MIN +7.4% |
| Q2 | 10:06 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 48 | (10:06) 7-B.Irving left guard to MIN 47 for 5 yards (61-J.Redmond). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q2 | 9:28 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 2nd & 5 | MIN 47 | (9:28) 7-B.Irving right guard to MIN 44 for 3 yards (17-K.Van Noy; 51-B.Cashman). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q2 | 8:42 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 3rd & 2 | MIN 44 | (8:42) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-C.Otton to MIN 7 for 37 yards (44-J.Metellus; 55-E.Wilson). | TB +11.9% |
| Q2 | 7:56 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 7 | MIN 7 | (7:56) 7-B.Irving right tackle to MIN 3 for 4 yards (44-J.Metellus). PENALTY on TB-69-C.Mauch, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 7 - No Play. | MIN +2.9% |
| Q2 | 7:31 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 17 | MIN 17 | (7:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving to MIN 12 for 5 yards (51-B.Cashman; 55-E.Wilson). PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17 - No Play. | MIN +2.0% |
| Q2 | 7:02 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 1st & 27 | MIN 27 | (7:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to MIN 14 for 13 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 26-T.Jackson). | MIN +0.0% |
| Q2 | 6:23 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 2nd & 14 | MIN 14 | (6:23) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving pushed ob at MIN 10 for 4 yards (55-E.Wilson). | MIN +1.9% |
| Q2 | 5:41 | MIN 10–TB 7 | TB | 3rd & 10 | MIN 10 | (5:41) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Gainwell. | MIN +2.4% |
| Q2 | 5:35 | MIN 10–TB 10 | TB | 4th & 10 | MIN 10 | (5:35) 4-C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +1.0% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 10–TB 10 | MIN | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to MIN 0. 4-M.Price to MIN 27 for 27 yards (5-I.Melifonwu). | TB +0.2% |
| Q2 | 5:26 | MIN 10–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 27 | (5:26) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 3-J.Addison ran ob at TB 43 for 30 yards. Tampa Bay challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.) | MIN +6.0% |
| Q2 | 5:01 | MIN 10–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 43 | (5:01) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 33-A.Jones. | TB +1.9% |
| Q2 | 4:57 | MIN 10–TB 10 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | TB 43 | (4:57) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left tackle to TB 41 for 2 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 50-V.Vea). | TB +1.6% |
| Q2 | 4:17 | MIN 16–TB 10 | MIN | 3rd & 8 | TB 41 | (4:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 3-J.Addison for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [50-V.Vea]. | MIN +15.3% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | — | TB 15 | 16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker. | MIN +0.1% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to TB 0. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 33 for 33 yards (32-C.Chambliss; 0-I.Pace). PENALTY on TB-29-M.Killebrew, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 26. | TB +0.3% |
| Q2 | 4:06 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 16 | (4:06) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 20 for 4 yards (44-J.Metellus). | MIN +0.7% |
| Q2 | 3:22 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 6 | TB 20 | (3:22) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left end to TB 24 for 4 yards (23-J.Pierre). | MIN +0.2% |
| Q2 | 2:36 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 2 | TB 24 | (2:36) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to TB 26 for 2 yards (15-D.Turner). The first down was assisted by replay. | TB +0.8% |
| Q2 | 2:00 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 26 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 88-C.Otton (55-E.Wilson). | MIN +1.8% |
| Q2 | 1:58 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 10 | TB 26 | (1:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 88-C.Otton. | MIN +1.4% |
| Q2 | 1:53 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 10 | TB 26 | (1:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right. | MIN +3.2% |
| Q2 | 1:46 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 4th & 10 | TB 26 | (1:46) 9-R.Dixon punts 54 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price. | TB +3.7% |
| Q2 | 1:39 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 20 | (1:39) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left end to MIN 26 for 6 yards (25-J.Parrish). | MIN +1.0% |
| Q2 | 1:13 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 2nd & 4 | MIN 26 | (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle to 13-T.Felton (50-V.Vea). | TB +1.4% |
| Q2 | 1:10 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 3rd & 4 | MIN 26 | (1:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep middle to 3-J.Addison (27-Z.McCollum). | TB +2.9% |
| Q2 | 1:03 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 4th & 4 | MIN 26 | (1:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to TB 23, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson. | MIN +1.1% |
| Q2 | 0:56 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 23 | (:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Otton [43-A.Van Ginkel]. | MIN +1.0% |
| Q2 | 0:52 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 10 | TB 23 | (:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 37 for 14 yards (22-H.Smith). | TB +3.5% |
| Q2 | 0:34 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 37 | (:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 32 for -5 yards (sack split by 43-A.Van Ginkel and 55-E.Wilson). | MIN +7.3% |
| Q2 | 0:27 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 15 | TB 32 | (:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 15-T.Johnson to TB 40 for 8 yards (23-J.Pierre). | TB +1.1% |
| Q2 | — | MIN 17–TB 10 | — | — | TB 32 | Timeout #3 by TB at 00:27. | +0.0% |
| Q2 | 0:12 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 7 | TB 40 | (:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 15-T.Johnson. | MIN +3.2% |
| Q2 | 0:06 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 4th & 7 | TB 40 | (:06) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to MIN 15, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price ran ob at MIN 25 for 10 yards (29-M.Killebrew). | TB +5.8% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 62 yards from MIN 35 to TB 3. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 30 for 27 yards (23-J.Pierre). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q3 | 14:55 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 30 | (14:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 33 for 3 yards (51-B.Cashman; 55-E.Wilson). | TB +1.3% |
| Q3 | 14:14 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 7 | TB 33 | (14:14) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving to TB 41 for 8 yards (2-I.Rodgers). | TB +2.9% |
| Q3 | 13:38 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 41 | (13:38) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 44 for 3 yards (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins). | MIN +0.5% |
| Q3 | 12:58 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 7 | TB 44 | (12:58) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 42 for -2 yards (55-E.Wilson). Penalty on TB-69-C.Mauch, Offensive Holding, declined. | MIN +3.0% |
| Q3 | 12:34 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 9 | TB 42 | (12:34) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka [55-E.Wilson]. | MIN +2.5% |
| Q3 | 12:29 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 4th & 9 | TB 42 | (12:29) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price. | TB +0.0% |
| Q3 | 12:21 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 20 | (12:21) 33-A.Jones right end to MIN 34 for 14 yards (31-A.Winfield; 25-J.Parrish). | MIN +3.2% |
| Q3 | 11:36 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 34 | (11:36) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones right guard to MIN 36 for 2 yards (91-A.Robinson; 8-S.Dennis). | TB +0.4% |
| Q3 | 10:51 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 2nd & 8 | MIN 36 | (10:51) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right. | TB +1.9% |
| Q3 | 10:45 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 3rd & 8 | MIN 36 | (10:45) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 14-J.Jennings pushed ob at MIN 37 for 1 yard (22-K.Scott). Penalty on MIN-71-C.Darrisaw, Offensive Holding, declined. | TB +2.5% |
| Q3 | 10:30 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 4th & 7 | MIN 37 | (10:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 63 yards to TB 0, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 14 for 14 yards (23-J.Pierre). | TB +0.5% |
| Q3 | 10:19 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 14 | (10:19) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 19 for 5 yards (44-J.Metellus) [0-I.Pace]. | MIN +0.5% |
| Q3 | 9:44 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 5 | TB 19 | (9:44) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka. | MIN +1.7% |
| Q3 | 9:41 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 5 | TB 19 | (9:41) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 2-E.Egbuka. | MIN +2.8% |
| Q3 | 9:38 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 4th & 5 | TB 19 | (9:38) 9-R.Dixon punts 59 yards to MIN 22, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 32 for 10 yards (84-B.Sharp). | TB +2.0% |
| Q3 | 9:24 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 32 | (9:24) 21-D.Claiborne left tackle to MIN 31 for -1 yards (95-E.Roberts). | TB +1.3% |
| Q3 | 8:45 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 2nd & 11 | MIN 31 | (8:45) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 87-T.Hockenson. | TB +1.5% |
| Q3 | 8:41 | MIN 17–TB 10 | MIN | 3rd & 11 | MIN 31 | (8:41) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle intended for 3-J.Addison INTERCEPTED by 91-A.Robinson (50-V.Vea) at MIN 22. 91-A.Robinson to MIN 22 for no gain (64-B.Brandel). | TB +12.3% |
| Q3 | 8:35 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 1st & 10 | MIN 22 | (8:35) 7-B.Irving left end to MIN 19 for 3 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 90-T.Ingram-Dawkins). | MIN +0.5% |
| Q3 | 7:56 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 2nd & 7 | MIN 19 | (7:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Irving (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins). | MIN +2.8% |
| Q3 | 7:51 | MIN 17–TB 10 | TB | 3rd & 7 | MIN 19 | (7:51) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked ob at MIN 20 for -1 yards (55-E.Wilson). | MIN +3.2% |
| Q3 | 7:16 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 4th & 8 | MIN 20 | (7:16) 4-C.McLaughlin 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | MIN +0.9% |
| Q3 | — | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to MIN 0. 4-M.Price to MIN 28 for 28 yards (29-M.Killebrew; 41-K.Kieft). | MIN +0.1% |
| Q3 | 7:06 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 28 | (7:06) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle. | TB +1.2% |
| Q3 | 7:00 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | MIN 28 | (7:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 28 - No Play. | TB +2.4% |
| Q3 | 6:58 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 2nd & 15 | MIN 23 | (6:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 6 yards (94-C.Kancey). | MIN +1.1% |
| Q3 | 6:15 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 3rd & 9 | MIN 29 | (6:15) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left. | TB +4.1% |
| Q3 | 6:09 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 4th & 9 | MIN 29 | (6:09) 6-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to TB 24, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 34 for 10 yards (41-J.Golday; 29-Jac.Thomas). | TB +0.1% |
| Q3 | 5:58 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 34 | (5:58) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 35 for 1 yard (51-B.Cashman; 0-I.Pace). | MIN +1.6% |
| Q3 | 5:18 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 2nd & 9 | TB 35 | (5:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 29 for -6 yards (sack split by 0-I.Pace and 17-K.Van Noy). | MIN +6.2% |
| Q3 | 4:28 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 15 | TB 29 | (4:28) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to TB 44 for 15 yards (17-K.Van Noy) [51-B.Cashman]. PENALTY on TB-7-B.Irving, Chop Block, 14 yards, enforced at TB 29 - No Play. | MIN +1.3% |
| Q3 | 4:03 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 29 | TB 15 | (4:03) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 14-C.Godwin for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at TB 15 - No Play. | MIN +0.9% |
| Q3 | 3:50 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 36 | TB 8 | (3:50) (Shotgun) 1-K.Gainwell left tackle to TB 14 for 6 yards (55-E.Wilson). | MIN +3.4% |
| Q3 | 3:09 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 4th & 30 | TB 14 | (3:09) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to MIN 39, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-86-E.Deckers. | TB +3.4% |
| Q3 | 2:57 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 39 | (2:57) 33-A.Jones right tackle to MIN 41 for 2 yards (91-A.Robinson; 52-C.Rozeboom). | TB +1.2% |
| Q3 | 2:13 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 2nd & 8 | MIN 41 | (2:13) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left guard to MIN 42 for 1 yard (97-A.Muhammad). | TB +2.1% |
| Q3 | 1:30 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 3rd & 7 | MIN 42 | (1:30) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 3-J.Addison. | TB +4.8% |
| Q3 | 1:27 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 4th & 7 | MIN 42 | (1:27) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 16, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson. | MIN +2.2% |
| Q3 | 1:20 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 16 | (1:20) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 21 for 5 yards (15-D.Turner). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q3 | 0:40 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 2nd & 5 | TB 21 | (:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 24 for 3 yards (55-E.Wilson). | MIN +1.4% |
| Q4 | 15:00 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 2 | TB 24 | (15:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 22 for -2 yards (sack split by 15-D.Turner and 44-J.Metellus). | MIN +5.6% |
| Q4 | 14:23 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 4th & 4 | TB 22 | (14:23) 9-R.Dixon punts 53 yards to MIN 25, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 25 for no gain (19-K.Johnson). | TB +2.0% |
| Q4 | 14:17 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 25 | (14:17) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep right to 87-T.Hockenson. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | 14:11 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | MIN 25 | (14:11) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 3-J.Addison. | TB +1.8% |
| Q4 | 14:06 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 3rd & 10 | MIN 25 | (14:06) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 4 yards (22-K.Scott). PENALTY on TB-34-A.Anzalone, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 25 - No Play. | MIN +1.8% |
| Q4 | 13:35 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 3rd & 5 | MIN 30 | (13:35) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 14-J.Jennings (22-K.Scott). | TB +5.4% |
| Q4 | 13:30 | MIN 17–TB 13 | MIN | 4th & 5 | MIN 30 | (13:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to TB 34, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson. | TB +2.9% |
| Q4 | 13:23 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 34 | (13:23) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to MIN 45 for 21 yards (44-J.Metellus). | TB +4.5% |
| Q4 | 12:44 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 1st & 10 | MIN 45 | (12:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to MIN 44 for 1 yard (55-E.Wilson; 95-C.Banks). | MIN +2.8% |
| Q4 | 12:02 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 2nd & 9 | MIN 44 | (12:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to MIN 30 for 14 yards (51-B.Cashman). PENALTY on TB-87-P.Durham, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 44 - No Play. | MIN +4.6% |
| Q4 | 11:33 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 2nd & 19 | TB 46 | (11:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 36 for -10 yards (51-B.Cashman). | MIN +4.9% |
| Q4 | 10:49 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 29 | TB 36 | (10:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 46 for 10 yards (44-J.Metellus; 7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on MIN-44-J.Metellus, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TB 46. | TB +13.9% |
| Q4 | 10:20 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 1st & 10 | MIN 39 | (10:20) (Shotgun) 1-K.Gainwell up the middle to MIN 45 for -6 yards (17-K.Van Noy, 43-A.Van Ginkel). | MIN +7.8% |
| Q4 | 9:56 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 2nd & 16 | MIN 45 | (9:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 87-P.Durham. | MIN +3.0% |
| Q4 | 9:46 | MIN 17–TB 13 | TB | 3rd & 16 | MIN 45 | (9:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to MIN 36 for 9 yards (51-B.Cashman; 23-J.Pierre). | TB +1.5% |
| Q4 | 9:06 | MIN 17–TB 16 | TB | 4th & 7 | MIN 36 | (9:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. | TB +3.3% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | — | TB 35 | 4-C.McLaughlin kicks 60 yards from TB 35 to MIN 5. 4-M.Price to MIN 30 for 25 yards (8-S.Dennis). PENALTY on TB-38-K.Knowles, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 30. | MIN +2.8% |
| Q4 | 8:56 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 1st & 10 | MIN 45 | (8:56) 33-A.Jones right end pushed ob at MIN 46 for 1 yard (27-Z.McCollum). | TB +1.6% |
| Q4 | 8:24 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 2nd & 9 | MIN 46 | (8:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to TB 44 for 10 yards (25-J.Parrish). | MIN +6.5% |
| Q4 | 7:43 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 44 | (7:43) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short left. | TB +2.3% |
| Q4 | 7:38 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 2nd & 10 | TB 44 | (7:38) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 39 for 5 yards (0-Y.Diaby). | MIN +2.7% |
| Q4 | 6:53 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 3rd & 5 | TB 39 | (6:53) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to TB 35 for 4 yards (34-A.Anzalone). | TB +2.8% |
| Q4 | 6:08 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 4th & 1 | TB 35 | (6:08) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 32 for 3 yards (22-K.Scott). | MIN +8.3% |
| Q4 | 5:24 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 32 | (5:24) 1-K.Murray sacked at TB 37 for -5 yards (98-A.Nelson). | TB +5.2% |
| Q4 | 4:49 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 2nd & 15 | TB 37 | (4:49) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 35 for 2 yards (31-A.Winfield). | TB +3.7% |
| Q4 | 4:02 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 3rd & 13 | TB 35 | (4:02) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle to 33-A.Jones (95-E.Roberts). PENALTY on MIN-76-W.Fries, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TB 35 - No Play. | TB +5.7% |
| Q4 | 3:58 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 3rd & 22 | TB 44 | (3:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to TB 35 for 9 yards (0-Y.Diaby). PENALTY on MIN-74-D.Jackson, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at TB 39. | TB +5.4% |
| Q4 | 3:52 | MIN 17–TB 16 | MIN | 3rd & 27 | TB 49 | (3:52) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to TB 38 for 11 yards (52-C.Rozeboom). | MIN +2.8% |
| Q4 | 3:15 | MIN 20–TB 16 | MIN | 4th & 16 | TB 38 | (3:15) 16-W.Reichard 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker. | MIN +14.7% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 59 yards from MIN 35 to TB 6. 1-K.Gainwell pushed ob at TB 29 for 23 yards (23-J.Pierre). | TB +0.2% |
| Q4 | 3:05 | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 29 | (3:05) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell ran ob at TB 42 for 13 yards (51-B.Cashman). | TB +3.4% |
| Q4 | 2:58 | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 42 | (2:58) 1-K.Gainwell right end to TB 38 for -4 yards (17-K.Van Noy). | MIN +6.0% |
| Q4 | 2:25 | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | 2nd & 14 | TB 38 | (2:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell to TB 39 for 1 yard (2-I.Rodgers; 43-A.Van Ginkel). | TB +0.5% |
| Q4 | 2:00 | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | 3rd & 13 | TB 39 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 2-E.Egbuka. | MIN +6.7% |
| Q4 | 1:54 | MIN 20–TB 16 | TB | 4th & 13 | TB 39 | (1:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right intended for 1-K.Gainwell INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel [51-B.Cashman] at TB 41. 43-A.Van Ginkel to TB 41 for no gain (1-K.Gainwell). TB-6-B.Mayfield was injured during the play. | MIN +8.8% |
| Q4 | 1:39 | MIN 20–TB 16 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 41 | (1:39) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 29 for 12 yards (23-T.Smith). | MIN +1.1% |
| Q4 | 1:32 | MIN 20–TB 16 | MIN | 1st & 10 | TB 29 | (1:32) 31-D.Dallas up the middle to TB 27 for 2 yards (8-S.Dennis; 31-A.Winfield). | MIN +1.6% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 20–TB 16 | — | — | TB 29 | Timeout #1 by TB at 01:32. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 1:28 | MIN 20–TB 16 | MIN | 2nd & 8 | TB 27 | (1:28) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 26 for 1 yard (92-E.Simmons). | MIN +0.6% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 20–TB 16 | — | — | TB 27 | Timeout #2 by TB at 01:28. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 1:22 | MIN 20–TB 16 | MIN | 3rd & 7 | TB 26 | (1:22) 33-A.Jones left guard to TB 25 for 1 yard (8-S.Dennis; 91-A.Robinson). | MIN +0.4% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 20–TB 16 | — | — | TB 26 | Timeout #3 by TB at 01:22. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | 0:37 | MIN 23–TB 16 | MIN | 4th & 6 | TB 25 | (:37) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker. | TB +1.2% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 23–TB 16 | — | — | TB 25 | Timeout #1 by MIN at 00:37. | +0.0% |
| Q4 | — | MIN 23–TB 16 | TB | — | MIN 35 | 16-W.Reichard kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to TB -1. 1-K.Gainwell ran ob at TB 31 for 32 yards (32-C.Chambliss). | MIN +0.3% |
| Q4 | 0:28 | MIN 23–TB 16 | TB | 1st & 10 | TB 31 | (:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.Hurst. | MIN +0.6% |
| Q4 | 0:21 | MIN 23–TB 16 | TB | 2nd & 10 | TB 31 | (:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob at TB 41 for 10 yards (55-E.Wilson). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob at TB 40 for 9 yards (55-E.Wilson). | TB +0.5% |
| Q4 | 0:14 | MIN 23–TB 16 | TB | 3rd & 1 | TB 40 | (:14) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Gainwell (51-B.Cashman). | MIN +0.8% |
| Q4 | 0:08 | MIN 23–TB 16 | TB | 4th & 1 | TB 40 | (:08) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers at MIN 3. 2-I.Rodgers to MIN 3 for no gain (17-T.Hurst). | MIN +1.1% |
Q1 · MIN 0–TB 0
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 43.2%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 62 yards from TB 35 to MIN 3. 4-M.Price to MIN 24 for 21 yards (22-K.Scott; 51-D.Walker).
Q1 14:54 · MIN 0–TB 0
MIN +4.7%
Win probability: MIN 56.0%
(14:54) 1-K.Murray pass deep middle to 18-J.Jefferson to MIN 46 for 22 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q1 14:11 · MIN 0–TB 0
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 60.7%
(14:11) 33-A.Jones left guard to TB 46 for 8 yards (97-A.Muhammad; 50-V.Vea).
Q1 13:30 · MIN 0–TB 0
MIN +2.0%
Win probability: MIN 62.5%
(13:30) 33-A.Jones right tackle to TB 37 for 9 yards (31-A.Winfield; 23-T.Smith).
Q1 12:55 · MIN 0–TB 0
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 35.5%
(12:55) (No Huddle) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 35 for 2 yards (50-V.Vea).
Q1 12:14 · MIN 0–TB 0
TB +2.7%
Win probability: TB 36.6%
(12:14) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 36 for -1 yards (92-E.Simmons).
Q1 11:33 · MIN 0–TB 0
TB +6.2%
Win probability: TB 39.3%
(11:33) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked ob at TB 37 for -1 yards (34-A.Anzalone). PENALTY on MIN-74-D.Jackson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play.
Q1 11:07 · MIN 0–TB 0
MIN +2.0%
Win probability: MIN 54.5%
(11:07) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to TB 36 for 10 yards (50-V.Vea; 23-T.Smith).
Q1 10:24 · MIN 3–TB 0
MIN +3.0%
Win probability: MIN 56.5%
(10:24) 16-W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Q1 · MIN 3–TB 0
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 40.5%
16-W.Reichard kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to TB 0. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 40 for 40 yards (98-B.Richter; 23-J.Pierre).
Q1 10:11 · MIN 3–TB 0
MIN +2.2%
Win probability: MIN 57.4%
(10:11) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 44 for 4 yards (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins).
Q1 9:28 · MIN 3–TB 0
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 59.6%
(9:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 45 for 1 yard (44-J.Metellus).
Q1 9:05 · MIN 3–TB 0
MIN +2.7%
Win probability: MIN 61.9%
(9:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 11-J.McMillan (44-J.Metellus). TB-11-J.McMillan was injured during the play. Penalty on TB-78-T.Wirfs, Illegal Formation, declined.
Q1 9:00 · MIN 9–TB 0
MIN +13.6%
Win probability: MIN 64.7%
(9:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 14, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q1 · MIN 10–TB 0
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 78.3%
16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Q1 · MIN 10–TB 0
MIN +0.3%
Win probability: MIN 78.4%
16-W.Reichard kicks 57 yards from MIN 35 to TB 8. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 20 for 12 yards (41-J.Golday).
Q1 8:38 · MIN 10–TB 0
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 78.7%
(8:38) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 7-B.Irving.
Q1 8:29 · MIN 10–TB 0
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 20.2%
(8:29) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-C.Otton to TB 34 for 14 yards (51-B.Cashman).
Q1 7:50 · MIN 10–TB 0
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 22.2%
(7:50) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 42 for 8 yards (26-T.Jackson).
Q1 7:14 · MIN 10–TB 0
TB +2.2%
Win probability: TB 22.9%
(7:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 45 for 3 yards (44-J.Metellus; 50-L.Rodriguez). PENALTY on MIN-15-D.Turner, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at TB 45.
Q1 6:50 · MIN 10–TB 6
TB +11.6%
Win probability: TB 25.2%
(6:50) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 17-T.Hurst for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 36.7%
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q1 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 63.1%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 66 yards from TB 35 to MIN -1. 4-M.Price pushed ob at MIN 30 for 31 yards (22-K.Scott).
Q1 6:39 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.3%
Win probability: MIN 63.6%
(6:39) 1-K.Murray scrambles right end to MIN 35 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith).
Q1 5:50 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +4.2%
Win probability: TB 34.0%
(5:50) 33-A.Jones left end to MIN 36 for 1 yard (91-A.Robinson). TB-0-Y.Diaby was injured during the play. PENALTY on MIN-84-J.Oliver, Offensive Holding, 11 yards, enforced at MIN 35 - No Play.
Q1 5:26 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 61.8%
(5:26) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith).
Q1 4:42 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +6.0%
Win probability: MIN 62.2%
(4:42) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray scrambles left end ran ob at MIN 41 for 12 yards (22-K.Scott).
Q1 4:02 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 31.8%
(4:02) 21-D.Claiborne up the middle to MIN 44 for 3 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 31-A.Winfield).
Q1 · MIN 10–TB 7
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by MIN at 04:02.
Q1 3:22 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 32.1%
(3:22) 21-D.Claiborne left end to MIN 43 for -1 yards (51-D.Walker).
Q1 2:39 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +3.3%
Win probability: TB 34.0%
(2:39) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 13-T.Felton (27-Z.McCollum).
Q1 2:34 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +1.8%
Win probability: TB 37.3%
(2:34) 6-J.Hekker punts 48 yards to TB 9, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson pushed ob at TB 25 for 16 yards (45-M.Bredeson).
Q1 2:25 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 60.9%
(2:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 29 for 4 yards (51-B.Cashman; 23-J.Pierre).
Q1 2:02 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 61.6%
(2:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 17-T.Hurst (61-J.Redmond).
Q1 1:56 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +1.9%
Win probability: MIN 64.0%
(1:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 33 for 4 yards (2-I.Rodgers).
Q1 1:16 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 34.1%
(1:16) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to MIN 19, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
Q1 1:09 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 35.1%
(1:09) 33-A.Jones left tackle to MIN 20 for 1 yard (95-E.Roberts). ** Injury Update: TB-0-Y.Diaby has returned to the game.
Q1 0:25 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 63.8%
(:25) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to MIN 24 for 4 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q2 15:00 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +3.8%
Win probability: TB 36.1%
(15:00) 1-K.Murray sacked at MIN 22 for -2 yards (34-A.Anzalone).
Q2 14:11 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +5.1%
Win probability: TB 39.9%
(14:11) (Punt formation) PENALTY on MIN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 22 - No Play.
Q2 13:56 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +7.3%
Win probability: MIN 55.0%
(13:56) 6-J.Hekker punts 43 yards to TB 40, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
Q2 13:49 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +3.7%
Win probability: MIN 62.2%
(13:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 33 for -7 yards (17-K.Van Noy).
Q2 13:00 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 65.9%
(13:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Godwin.
Q2 · MIN 10–TB 7
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by TB at 13:00.
Q2 12:56 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 31.7%
(12:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 46 for 13 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 44-J.Metellus).
Q2 12:19 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +3.4%
Win probability: TB 32.9%
(12:19) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
Q2 12:11 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.0%
Win probability: MIN 63.7%
(12:11) 33-A.Jones right end to MIN 18 for 5 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 52-C.Rozeboom).
Q2 11:29 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +0.7%
Win probability: TB 36.3%
(11:29) 33-A.Jones left guard to MIN 19 for 1 yard (94-C.Kancey).
Q2 10:58 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +9.1%
Win probability: TB 37.0%
(10:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at MIN 10 for -9 yards (51-D.Walker).
Q2 10:15 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +7.4%
Win probability: MIN 53.9%
(10:15) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 48, Center-42-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-31-D.Dallas.
Q2 10:06 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 61.2%
(10:06) 7-B.Irving left guard to MIN 47 for 5 yards (61-J.Redmond).
Q2 9:28 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 61.9%
(9:28) 7-B.Irving right guard to MIN 44 for 3 yards (17-K.Van Noy; 51-B.Cashman).
Q2 8:42 · MIN 10–TB 7
TB +11.9%
Win probability: TB 37.3%
(8:42) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-C.Otton to MIN 7 for 37 yards (44-J.Metellus; 55-E.Wilson).
Q2 7:56 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.9%
Win probability: MIN 50.8%
(7:56) 7-B.Irving right tackle to MIN 3 for 4 yards (44-J.Metellus). PENALTY on TB-69-C.Mauch, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 7 - No Play.
Q2 7:31 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.0%
Win probability: MIN 53.7%
(7:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving to MIN 12 for 5 yards (51-B.Cashman; 55-E.Wilson). PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 17 - No Play.
Q2 7:02 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +0.0%
Win probability: MIN 55.7%
(7:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to MIN 14 for 13 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 26-T.Jackson).
Q2 6:23 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +1.9%
Win probability: MIN 55.7%
(6:23) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving pushed ob at MIN 10 for 4 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q2 5:41 · MIN 10–TB 7
MIN +2.4%
Win probability: MIN 57.6%
(5:41) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Gainwell.
Q2 5:35 · MIN 10–TB 10
TB +1.0%
Win probability: TB 40.0%
(5:35) 4-C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q2 · MIN 10–TB 10
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 41.0%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to MIN 0. 4-M.Price to MIN 27 for 27 yards (5-I.Melifonwu).
Q2 5:26 · MIN 10–TB 10
MIN +6.0%
Win probability: MIN 58.8%
(5:26) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 3-J.Addison ran ob at TB 43 for 30 yards. Tampa Bay challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)
Q2 5:01 · MIN 10–TB 10
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 35.2%
(5:01) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 33-A.Jones.
Q2 4:57 · MIN 10–TB 10
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 37.1%
(4:57) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left tackle to TB 41 for 2 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 50-V.Vea).
Q2 4:17 · MIN 16–TB 10
MIN +15.3%
Win probability: MIN 61.3%
(4:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 3-J.Addison for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [50-V.Vea].
Q2 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 76.6%
16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Q2 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +0.3%
Win probability: TB 23.3%
16-W.Reichard kicks 65 yards from MIN 35 to TB 0. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 33 for 33 yards (32-C.Chambliss; 0-I.Pace). PENALTY on TB-29-M.Killebrew, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 26.
Q2 4:06 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.7%
Win probability: MIN 76.4%
(4:06) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 20 for 4 yards (44-J.Metellus).
Q2 3:22 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.2%
Win probability: MIN 77.1%
(3:22) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left end to TB 24 for 4 yards (23-J.Pierre).
Q2 2:36 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +0.8%
Win probability: TB 22.7%
(2:36) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to TB 26 for 2 yards (15-D.Turner). The first down was assisted by replay.
Q2 2:00 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 76.5%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 88-C.Otton (55-E.Wilson).
Q2 1:58 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.4%
Win probability: MIN 78.3%
(1:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 88-C.Otton.
Q2 1:53 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +3.2%
Win probability: MIN 79.7%
(1:53) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right.
Q2 1:46 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +3.7%
Win probability: TB 17.1%
(1:46) 9-R.Dixon punts 54 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
Q2 1:39 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.0%
Win probability: MIN 79.2%
(1:39) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left end to MIN 26 for 6 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q2 1:13 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.4%
Win probability: TB 19.8%
(1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle to 13-T.Felton (50-V.Vea).
Q2 1:10 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +2.9%
Win probability: TB 21.3%
(1:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep middle to 3-J.Addison (27-Z.McCollum).
Q2 1:03 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 75.8%
(1:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to TB 23, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
Q2 0:56 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.0%
Win probability: MIN 76.9%
(:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Otton [43-A.Van Ginkel].
Q2 0:52 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +3.5%
Win probability: TB 22.1%
(:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 37 for 14 yards (22-H.Smith).
Q2 0:34 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +7.3%
Win probability: MIN 74.4%
(:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 32 for -5 yards (sack split by 43-A.Van Ginkel and 55-E.Wilson).
Q2 0:27 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.1%
Win probability: TB 18.3%
(:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 15-T.Johnson to TB 40 for 8 yards (23-J.Pierre).
Q2 · MIN 17–TB 10
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by TB at 00:27.
Q2 0:12 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +3.2%
Win probability: MIN 80.6%
(:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 15-T.Johnson.
Q2 0:06 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +5.8%
Win probability: TB 16.2%
(:06) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to MIN 15, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price ran ob at MIN 25 for 10 yards (29-M.Killebrew).
Q3 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 77.9%
16-W.Reichard kicks 62 yards from MIN 35 to TB 3. 1-K.Gainwell to TB 30 for 27 yards (23-J.Pierre).
Q3 14:55 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.3%
Win probability: TB 21.6%
(14:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 33 for 3 yards (51-B.Cashman; 55-E.Wilson).
Q3 14:14 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +2.9%
Win probability: TB 23.0%
(14:14) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving to TB 41 for 8 yards (2-I.Rodgers).
Q3 13:38 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 74.2%
(13:38) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 44 for 3 yards (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins).
Q3 12:58 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +3.0%
Win probability: MIN 74.7%
(12:58) 7-B.Irving left guard to TB 42 for -2 yards (55-E.Wilson). Penalty on TB-69-C.Mauch, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q3 12:34 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +2.5%
Win probability: MIN 77.7%
(12:34) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka [55-E.Wilson].
Q3 12:29 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +0.0%
Win probability: TB 19.8%
(12:29) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
Q3 12:21 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +3.2%
Win probability: MIN 80.1%
(12:21) 33-A.Jones right end to MIN 34 for 14 yards (31-A.Winfield; 25-J.Parrish).
Q3 11:36 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +0.4%
Win probability: TB 16.7%
(11:36) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones right guard to MIN 36 for 2 yards (91-A.Robinson; 8-S.Dennis).
Q3 10:51 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.9%
Win probability: TB 17.1%
(10:51) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right.
Q3 10:45 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +2.5%
Win probability: TB 18.9%
(10:45) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 14-J.Jennings pushed ob at MIN 37 for 1 yard (22-K.Scott). Penalty on MIN-71-C.Darrisaw, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q3 10:30 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 21.5%
(10:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 63 yards to TB 0, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 14 for 14 yards (23-J.Pierre).
Q3 10:19 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 78.1%
(10:19) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 19 for 5 yards (44-J.Metellus) [0-I.Pace].
Q3 9:44 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +1.7%
Win probability: MIN 78.6%
(9:44) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q3 9:41 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 80.3%
(9:41) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q3 9:38 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 16.9%
(9:38) 9-R.Dixon punts 59 yards to MIN 22, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 32 for 10 yards (84-B.Sharp).
Q3 9:24 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.3%
Win probability: TB 18.9%
(9:24) 21-D.Claiborne left tackle to MIN 31 for -1 yards (95-E.Roberts).
Q3 8:45 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 20.2%
(8:45) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 87-T.Hockenson.
Q3 8:41 · MIN 17–TB 10
TB +12.3%
Win probability: TB 21.7%
(8:41) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle intended for 3-J.Addison INTERCEPTED by 91-A.Robinson (50-V.Vea) at MIN 22. 91-A.Robinson to MIN 22 for no gain (64-B.Brandel).
Q3 8:35 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +0.5%
Win probability: MIN 66.0%
(8:35) 7-B.Irving left end to MIN 19 for 3 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 90-T.Ingram-Dawkins).
Q3 7:56 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 66.5%
(7:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 7-B.Irving (90-T.Ingram-Dawkins).
Q3 7:51 · MIN 17–TB 10
MIN +3.2%
Win probability: MIN 69.2%
(7:51) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked ob at MIN 20 for -1 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q3 7:16 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 72.5%
(7:16) 4-C.McLaughlin 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q3 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +0.1%
Win probability: MIN 73.4%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to MIN 0. 4-M.Price to MIN 28 for 28 yards (29-M.Killebrew; 41-K.Kieft).
Q3 7:06 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 26.5%
(7:06) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle.
Q3 7:00 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +2.4%
Win probability: TB 27.7%
(7:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 28 - No Play.
Q3 6:58 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 69.9%
(6:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 6 yards (94-C.Kancey).
Q3 6:15 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +4.1%
Win probability: TB 29.1%
(6:15) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left.
Q3 6:09 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +0.1%
Win probability: TB 33.2%
(6:09) 6-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to TB 24, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 34 for 10 yards (41-J.Golday; 29-Jac.Thomas).
Q3 5:58 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 66.7%
(5:58) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 35 for 1 yard (51-B.Cashman; 0-I.Pace).
Q3 5:18 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +6.2%
Win probability: MIN 68.3%
(5:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 29 for -6 yards (sack split by 0-I.Pace and 17-K.Van Noy).
Q3 4:28 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +1.3%
Win probability: MIN 74.5%
(4:28) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to TB 44 for 15 yards (17-K.Van Noy) [51-B.Cashman]. PENALTY on TB-7-B.Irving, Chop Block, 14 yards, enforced at TB 29 - No Play.
Q3 4:03 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +0.9%
Win probability: MIN 75.8%
(4:03) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 14-C.Godwin for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at TB 15 - No Play.
Q3 3:50 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +3.4%
Win probability: MIN 76.7%
(3:50) (Shotgun) 1-K.Gainwell left tackle to TB 14 for 6 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q3 3:09 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +3.4%
Win probability: TB 19.9%
(3:09) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to MIN 39, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-86-E.Deckers.
Q3 2:57 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 23.3%
(2:57) 33-A.Jones right tackle to MIN 41 for 2 yards (91-A.Robinson; 52-C.Rozeboom).
Q3 2:13 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +2.1%
Win probability: TB 24.4%
(2:13) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones left guard to MIN 42 for 1 yard (97-A.Muhammad).
Q3 1:30 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +4.8%
Win probability: TB 26.6%
(1:30) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 3-J.Addison.
Q3 1:27 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +2.2%
Win probability: MIN 68.6%
(1:27) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 16, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
Q3 1:20 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 70.9%
(1:20) 7-B.Irving up the middle to TB 21 for 5 yards (15-D.Turner).
Q3 0:40 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +1.4%
Win probability: MIN 71.3%
(:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 24 for 3 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q4 15:00 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +5.6%
Win probability: MIN 72.7%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 22 for -2 yards (sack split by 15-D.Turner and 44-J.Metellus).
Q4 14:23 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +2.0%
Win probability: TB 21.7%
(14:23) 9-R.Dixon punts 53 yards to MIN 25, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 25 for no gain (19-K.Johnson).
Q4 14:17 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 23.7%
(14:17) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep right to 87-T.Hockenson.
Q4 14:11 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +1.8%
Win probability: TB 24.9%
(14:11) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 3-J.Addison.
Q4 14:06 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +1.8%
Win probability: MIN 73.2%
(14:06) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson to MIN 29 for 4 yards (22-K.Scott). PENALTY on TB-34-A.Anzalone, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 25 - No Play.
Q4 13:35 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +5.4%
Win probability: TB 25.0%
(13:35) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete deep left to 14-J.Jennings (22-K.Scott).
Q4 13:30 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +2.9%
Win probability: TB 30.4%
(13:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to TB 34, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
Q4 13:23 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +4.5%
Win probability: TB 33.3%
(13:23) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 2-E.Egbuka to MIN 45 for 21 yards (44-J.Metellus).
Q4 12:44 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 62.2%
(12:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to MIN 44 for 1 yard (55-E.Wilson; 95-C.Banks).
Q4 12:02 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +4.6%
Win probability: MIN 65.0%
(12:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to MIN 30 for 14 yards (51-B.Cashman). PENALTY on TB-87-P.Durham, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIN 44 - No Play.
Q4 11:33 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +4.9%
Win probability: MIN 69.6%
(11:33) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 36 for -10 yards (51-B.Cashman).
Q4 10:49 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +13.9%
Win probability: TB 25.6%
(10:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 46 for 10 yards (44-J.Metellus; 7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on MIN-44-J.Metellus, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TB 46.
Q4 10:20 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +7.8%
Win probability: MIN 60.5%
(10:20) (Shotgun) 1-K.Gainwell up the middle to MIN 45 for -6 yards (17-K.Van Noy, 43-A.Van Ginkel).
Q4 9:56 · MIN 17–TB 13
MIN +3.0%
Win probability: MIN 68.3%
(9:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 87-P.Durham.
Q4 9:46 · MIN 17–TB 13
TB +1.5%
Win probability: TB 28.6%
(9:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to MIN 36 for 9 yards (51-B.Cashman; 23-J.Pierre).
Q4 9:06 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +3.3%
Win probability: TB 30.1%
(9:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Q4 · MIN 17–TB 16
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 66.6%
4-C.McLaughlin kicks 60 yards from TB 35 to MIN 5. 4-M.Price to MIN 30 for 25 yards (8-S.Dennis). PENALTY on TB-38-K.Knowles, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIN 30.
Q4 8:56 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +1.6%
Win probability: TB 30.5%
(8:56) 33-A.Jones right end pushed ob at MIN 46 for 1 yard (27-Z.McCollum).
Q4 8:24 · MIN 17–TB 16
MIN +6.5%
Win probability: MIN 67.9%
(8:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to TB 44 for 10 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q4 7:43 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +2.3%
Win probability: TB 25.6%
(7:43) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short left.
Q4 7:38 · MIN 17–TB 16
MIN +2.7%
Win probability: MIN 72.1%
(7:38) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 39 for 5 yards (0-Y.Diaby).
Q4 6:53 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +2.8%
Win probability: TB 25.2%
(6:53) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to TB 35 for 4 yards (34-A.Anzalone).
Q4 6:08 · MIN 17–TB 16
MIN +8.3%
Win probability: MIN 72.0%
(6:08) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 32 for 3 yards (22-K.Scott).
Q4 5:24 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +5.2%
Win probability: TB 19.8%
(5:24) 1-K.Murray sacked at TB 37 for -5 yards (98-A.Nelson).
Q4 4:49 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +3.7%
Win probability: TB 24.9%
(4:49) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 35 for 2 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Q4 4:02 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +5.7%
Win probability: TB 28.6%
(4:02) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short middle to 33-A.Jones (95-E.Roberts). PENALTY on MIN-76-W.Fries, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TB 35 - No Play.
Q4 3:58 · MIN 17–TB 16
TB +5.4%
Win probability: TB 34.3%
(3:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 3-J.Addison to TB 35 for 9 yards (0-Y.Diaby). PENALTY on MIN-74-D.Jackson, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at TB 39.
Q4 3:52 · MIN 17–TB 16
MIN +2.8%
Win probability: MIN 60.3%
(3:52) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to TB 38 for 11 yards (52-C.Rozeboom).
Q4 3:15 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +14.7%
Win probability: MIN 63.1%
(3:15) 16-W.Reichard 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Q4 · MIN 20–TB 16
TB +0.2%
Win probability: TB 22.2%
16-W.Reichard kicks 59 yards from MIN 35 to TB 6. 1-K.Gainwell pushed ob at TB 29 for 23 yards (23-J.Pierre).
Q4 3:05 · MIN 20–TB 16
TB +3.4%
Win probability: TB 22.4%
(3:05) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell ran ob at TB 42 for 13 yards (51-B.Cashman).
Q4 2:58 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +6.0%
Win probability: MIN 74.2%
(2:58) 1-K.Gainwell right end to TB 38 for -4 yards (17-K.Van Noy).
Q4 2:25 · MIN 20–TB 16
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 19.8%
(2:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell to TB 39 for 1 yard (2-I.Rodgers; 43-A.Van Ginkel).
Q4 2:00 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +6.7%
Win probability: MIN 79.7%
(2:00) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 2-E.Egbuka.
Q4 1:54 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +8.8%
Win probability: MIN 86.4%
(1:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right intended for 1-K.Gainwell INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel [51-B.Cashman] at TB 41. 43-A.Van Ginkel to TB 41 for no gain (1-K.Gainwell). TB-6-B.Mayfield was injured during the play.
Q4 1:39 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 95.2%
(1:39) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 33-A.Jones to TB 29 for 12 yards (23-T.Smith).
Q4 1:32 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +1.6%
Win probability: MIN 96.3%
(1:32) 31-D.Dallas up the middle to TB 27 for 2 yards (8-S.Dennis; 31-A.Winfield).
Q4 · MIN 20–TB 16
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by TB at 01:32.
Q4 1:28 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +0.6%
Win probability: MIN 97.9%
(1:28) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 26 for 1 yard (92-E.Simmons).
Q4 · MIN 20–TB 16
+0.0%
Timeout #2 by TB at 01:28.
Q4 1:22 · MIN 20–TB 16
MIN +0.4%
Win probability: MIN 98.5%
(1:22) 33-A.Jones left guard to TB 25 for 1 yard (8-S.Dennis; 91-A.Robinson).
Q4 · MIN 20–TB 16
+0.0%
Timeout #3 by TB at 01:22.
Q4 0:37 · MIN 23–TB 16
TB +1.2%
Win probability: TB 1.1%
(:37) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Q4 · MIN 23–TB 16
+0.0%
Timeout #1 by MIN at 00:37.
Q4 · MIN 23–TB 16
MIN +0.3%
Win probability: MIN 97.7%
16-W.Reichard kicks 66 yards from MIN 35 to TB -1. 1-K.Gainwell ran ob at TB 31 for 32 yards (32-C.Chambliss).
Q4 0:28 · MIN 23–TB 16
MIN +0.6%
Win probability: MIN 98.0%
(:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.Hurst.
Q4 0:21 · MIN 23–TB 16
TB +0.5%
Win probability: TB 1.4%
(:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob at TB 41 for 10 yards (55-E.Wilson). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob at TB 40 for 9 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q4 0:14 · MIN 23–TB 16
MIN +0.8%
Win probability: MIN 98.1%
(:14) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Gainwell (51-B.Cashman).
Q4 0:08 · MIN 23–TB 16
MIN +1.1%
Win probability: MIN 98.9%
(:08) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers at MIN 3. 2-I.Rodgers to MIN 3 for no gain (17-T.Hurst).